The Power Struggle Within Iran

posted at 9:15 am on April 30, 2011 by John Sexton

Yesterday the AP reported that Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has apparently stopped showing up for work. This is apparently just the latest move in an ongoing power struggle between the President and Iran’s “Supreme Leader” Ayatollah Ali Khamenei:

When Ahmadinejad tried to fire his powerful Intelligence chief, Heidar Moslehi, Khamenei intervened to reinstate him. And things have gotten so bad that Ahmadinejad not only is reportedly not showing up to work, but may be planning to resign and has presented a list of demands for the Supreme Leader, including removing the current Chief Nuclear Negotiator and Head of the Supreme National Security Council Saeed Jalili.

But one doesn’t make demands of the Supreme Leader. It’s possible Ahmadinejad’s threat to resign may actually be his attempt to avoid impeachment:

Ahmadinejad’s big sulk may have to do with his fear of what will happen next, as, according to Sazegara, members of parliament are preparing a mechanism to impeach the president. Clerics close to Ahmadinejad have tried to convince him to find a way to compromise with Khamenei.

Websites close to the president have warned that if he is removed, things could get very messy – even violent.

As we saw during the last Iranian election, there are tens of thousands of people in Iran willing to take a risk for a chance at freedom. Could visible signs of weakness in the government lead them to take to the streets once again?

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Maybe Cap’n HopenChange will offer some helpful oratory.

exdeadhead on April 30, 2011 at 9:22 AM

I wonder if he’ll pull the Madhi out of the well.

Disturb the Universe on April 30, 2011 at 9:25 AM

This is the power struggle between the Revolutionary Guard and the Mullahs.

Neither one is on the side of the people of Iran, thus our only real hope is that they take each other down enough to be unable to run their Islamic thugocracy. Hope is not a strategy, but it is all we have left with this President in office.

ajacksonian on April 30, 2011 at 9:26 AM

Of all the screw ups from PBHO’s administration, the failure to provide all viable means of support to the Iranian protesters stands as his most shameful and wasteful. Let us hope that this incompetent is finally made to see that this is our best chance in a generation for genuine improvement to the most meddlesome and strategic area of the world.

MJBrutus on April 30, 2011 at 9:27 AM

I’m sure Barackoli will issue a “Strongly Worded” statement two or three weeks after the demonstrations start.

countrybumpkin on April 30, 2011 at 9:27 AM

Websites close to the president have warned that if he is removed, things could get very messy – even violent.

There ya go. I wouldn’t mind seeing a circular fatwa squad forming up.

a capella on April 30, 2011 at 9:28 AM

Is the ayatollah the more sane one, or is Mahmoud more sane?

Not showing up to work may mean Mahmoud fears for his continued physical well being.

Hard to know who should win in this case.

65droptop on April 30, 2011 at 9:28 AM

Not a good sign for his career. Even the Supreme Leader knows he is a fruitloop.

katy the mean old lady on April 30, 2011 at 9:29 AM


… Ahmadinejad … may be planning to resign …

Sweet.

But it’d be even better if he’d ‘resign’ the same way Mussolini did!

Tony737 on April 30, 2011 at 9:29 AM

Anything that leads to possible dead Iranian leaders, no matter who, is a good thing…

patrick neid on April 30, 2011 at 9:30 AM


Could visible signs of weakness in the government lead them to take to the streets once again?

Hope so … not that Obama will encourage them or anything.

How awesome would it be to have Ahmahdingdong and Bastird Asshat both get strung up on the same day?

Tony737 on April 30, 2011 at 9:35 AM

65droptop on April 30, 2011 at 9:28 AM

They are both crazy 12th-ers, but which one is more likely to stir up chaos to usher in the arrival of the Mahdi?

Disturb the Universe on April 30, 2011 at 9:38 AM

This is what happens in nations that don’t have Papa John’s Pizza.

abobo on April 30, 2011 at 9:39 AM

Has any one ever pointed out that ‘imadinnerjacket’ looks like Oliver North without a shave and a hangover?

percysunshine on April 30, 2011 at 9:43 AM

Disturb the Universe on April 30, 2011 at 9:38 AM

My money is on Mahmoud coming out of this on the short end.

He seems to have more guys with the word “supreme” in their title arrayed against him.

65droptop on April 30, 2011 at 9:49 AM

65droptop on April 30, 2011 at 9:49 AM

That’s probably for the best. Unless they replace him with the guy from the well.

Disturb the Universe on April 30, 2011 at 9:52 AM

The problem, as I see it, is that the winner will come out all the stronger – and neither of them are good for the planet.

OldEnglish on April 30, 2011 at 9:56 AM

Maybe the Supreme Council will toss him down that well (head first) to see if the Mahdi is down there and ready to come out yet.

I’m not in the well, suckers!

Mahdi on April 30, 2011 at 10:00 AM

As we saw during the last Iranian election, there are tens of thousands of people in Iran willing to take a risk for a chance at freedom. Could visible signs of weakness in the government lead them to take to the streets once again?

They should keep taking to the streets often enough until the regime gets tired of it and their government falls.

Conservative Samizdat on April 30, 2011 at 10:01 AM

Absolutely (pun intended), OldEnglish.

I know: Let’s have Jimmy Catarrh (*spit*) settle the dispute. After all, he managed to usher in the travesty in Iran, and he has done such a bang-up job on behalf of NoKo.
http://pajamasmedia.com/claudiarosett/jimmy-carter-guest-blogging-for-pyongyang/?singlepage=true

onlineanalyst on April 30, 2011 at 10:02 AM

Websites close to the president have warned that if he is removed, things could get very messy – even violent.

Translation: $7 dollar gas, here we come!!!

Rovin on April 30, 2011 at 10:07 AM

When two rabid dogs fight there is no winner, only a live rabid dog standing over a dead rabid dog.

With nuclear bombs being readied to strap to the live one’s back.

If Obama’s birth certificate were made of lead maybe it would help some.

profitsbeard on April 30, 2011 at 10:11 AM

Not a good sign for his career. Even the Supreme Leader knows he is a fruitloop.

katy the mean old lady on April 30, 2011 at 9:29 AM

The creators of Stuxnet could not be reached for comment.

Rovin on April 30, 2011 at 10:12 AM

onlineanalyst on April 30, 2011 at 10:02 AM

I know we like to compare Obama with Carter, but Carter is merely nuts.

OldEnglish on April 30, 2011 at 10:15 AM

Not to mention the ongoing meltdown of Iran’s chief ally, Syria.

Viator on April 30, 2011 at 10:17 AM

Evil or Eviler……….what a choice in Iran!!

Carters Presidency just keeps on giving…….after 30+ years.

PappyD61 on April 30, 2011 at 10:20 AM

The only Supreme Leader I know is Diana Ross………

jordy2009 on April 30, 2011 at 10:29 AM

I thought Beck said the Ayatollah was the one who set Ahmadinejad into power so he could usher in the Mahdi.. If they both had the same goal why would their be infighting?

offroadaz on April 30, 2011 at 10:30 AM

I hope they both lose.

Count to 10 on April 30, 2011 at 10:33 AM

I thought Beck said the Ayatollah was the one who set Ahmadinejad into power so he could usher in the Mahdi.. If they both had the same goal why would their be infighting?

offroadaz on April 30, 2011 at 10:30 AM

It’s over which one gets to be the Mahdi’s main functionary. Ahmadinnerjacket built a lovely, wide road ending at the President’s Palace for him…Khameini knows that the functionary must be an Imam…

See?

Perfect sense when you get into the mindset of the deranged.

ajacksonian on April 30, 2011 at 10:57 AM

When Mahdi shows up the Ayatollah will lose his earthly power. And to them it is all about power, 30 years of power. Ahmadinejad does not have power to lose as he is just a puppet in power.

But, how much the failure of the nukes play into it. The Ayatollahs want destruction now and as Ahmadinejad failed he is gone to find someone who will continue both the earthly power and bringing the Mahdi.

tjexcite on April 30, 2011 at 10:57 AM

Has any one ever pointed out that ‘imadinnerjacket’ looks like Oliver North without a shave and a hangover?

percysunshine on April 30, 2011 at 9:43 AM

More like one of the extras in Planet of the Apes.

slickwillie2001 on April 30, 2011 at 11:02 AM

See?

Perfect sense when you get into the mindset of the deranged.

ajacksonian on April 30, 2011 at 10:57 AM

Fighting over who gets to push the final little red button? Like that?

a capella on April 30, 2011 at 11:05 AM

a capella on April 30, 2011 at 11:05 AM

Red Button first, Mahdi appears!

Mind you the sudden influx of radiation might tend to delay that sort of thing. But that’s what happens when you have magical thinking: you never believe there will be other consequences to your actions beyond the ones you want.

Tens of millions are dead due to that little problem but magical thinking doesn’t require you to study history… just the opposite, really. Explains so much of the Islamist and Leftist view of the world, that does.

ajacksonian on April 30, 2011 at 11:13 AM

Hope is not a strategy, but it is all we have left with this President in office.

ajacksonian on April 30, 2011 at 9:26 AM

Look on the bright side: sometimes doing nothing is the best of all possible options.

YiZhangZhe on April 30, 2011 at 12:14 PM

A pox upon them both as filthy murdering barbarian Satan-worshipers.

And many unhappy returns of the boils until they meet again in hell.

Adjoran on April 30, 2011 at 12:19 PM

Maybe our fearless leader will appoint Jimmy Carter as special mediator in Iran and straighten it out that way. If Jimmeh is on the case, all will be well. We can all relax.

hachiban on April 30, 2011 at 12:20 PM

I wonder where Ahmadinejad will go for diplomatic asylum. I sure hope that Obama won’t consider welcoming the guy here.

Special Forces Grunt on April 30, 2011 at 12:53 PM

Agree with “hachiban” of sending Jimmy Carter over to be the mediator…but then Jimmy would release a statement over there demanding the US get out of Iraq and Afghanistan and that Iran has the right to nuclear weapons….

After that Jimmy would attend the unveiling of his statue in Iran as to honor him as one of the “friends” that helped re-start Islamic fundamentalism in Iran and elsewhere.

albill on April 30, 2011 at 1:33 PM

It is important to remember that this division is merely political, not philosophical. Theocracy versus Civilian/military Dictatorship. Both sides are a serial killers.

pat on April 30, 2011 at 1:35 PM

The creators of Stuxnet could not be reached for comment.

Rovin on April 30, 2011 at 10:12 AM

All those “high fives” make it hard to answer the phone.

katy the mean old lady on April 30, 2011 at 1:39 PM

Maybe with this distraction Israel could get a covert operation in to take down their nuclear plants from the inside.
Remove the threat permenately.

concernedsenior on April 30, 2011 at 1:44 PM

Somewhere in Iran there is a genie in a bottle just waiting to be let out. Mahmoud Ahmadinnerjacket is not going to simply just slink away quietly into the dustbin of history.

That 5’4″ self-anointed Persian messianic who told of how he felt the hand of God literally touch him as he spoke before the UN General Assembly, in all his piety, is on a divine mission to manifest and make incarnate the 12th Imam… destroyer of worlds.

FlatFoot on April 30, 2011 at 4:11 PM

Look on the bright side: sometimes doing nothing is the best of all possible options.

YiZhangZhe on April 30, 2011 at 12:14 PM

All that it takes for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing…

We gots plenty of nothing in the WH, that’s for sure, and it ain’t good when its doing something so that’s a plus. Meanwhile, evil still marches on.

And to think, all it would have taken is a flight of A-10′s during one night to shoot up the entire oil infrastructure in Iran. But no one wanted to give payback for IEDs and rockets used against our military in Iraq. Seems we’ve forgotten what the rules of war actually are, these days.

We shall pay for that.

ajacksonian on April 30, 2011 at 4:38 PM

And elsewhere: Reality Bites
http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/266102/end-illusion-andrew-stuttaford

Some Leftists are becoming aware of their illusions.

onlineanalyst on April 30, 2011 at 5:30 PM