Obama down to 47% in seriously skewed WaPo/ABC poll

posted at 8:45 am on April 19, 2011 by Ed Morrissey

The Washington Post and ABC News have published their latest poll, and try as they might, they still have bad news for Barack Obama.  The President has lost seven points off of their poorly-sampled approval rating from January with the latest even-more-poorly-sampled survey today.  Despite giving Obama a ten-point advantage, he drops to 47% approval and hits new lows on the economy:

Deepening economic pessimism has pushed down President Obama’s approval rating to a near record low, but he holds an early advantage over prospective 2012 rivals in part because of widespread dissatisfaction with Republican candidates, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

In the survey, 47 percent approve of the job Obama is doing, down seven points since January. Half of all Americans disapprove of his job performance, with 37 percent saying they “strongly disapprove,” nearly matching the worst level of his presidency.

Driving the downward movement in Obama’s standing are renewed concerns about the economy and fresh worry about rising prices, particularly for gasoline. Despite signs of economic growth, 44 percent of Americans see the economy as getting worse, the highest percentage to say so in more than two years.

The toll on Obama is direct: 57 percent disapprove of the job the president is doing dealing with the economy, tying his highest negative rating when it comes to the issue. And the president is doing a bit worse among politically important independents.

Let’s take a look at the sample, shall we?  In January, when the WaPo/ABC survey gave Obama a 54% approval rating, it came from a sample with a 10-point edge for Democrats, with a D/R/I of 33/23/38.  Their pollster apparently never bothered to pay attention to Gallup or Rasmussen on party affiliation, both of whom show dead heats between the two parties, with Rasmussen showing a slight edge to Democrats this month, 35.3% to 34.0%.  Today’s WaPo/ABC sample is just as ludicrous as last December at 32/22/41, which I’d remind people is three points wider than Barack Obama’s popular-vote margin of victory in 2008 — and that included independents and crossover Republicans.

Spotting Obama ten points doesn’t do him much good, however.  His 50% disapproval is his highest level since September among general-population adults (he got a 52% disapproval among likely voters in the poll before the midterms in October).  Similarly, his 57% disapproval on the economy ties his worst performance in September, and the number strongly disapproving on the economy (46%) is not just his worst ever but approaching a majority. That’s not terribly surprising, however, since 44% now believe the economy is getting worse instead of better or staying the same (28% each), the worst result since March 2009 and a ten-point jump in pessimism since the midterms.  Another near-majority (43%) say that increasing gasoline prices have been a “serious” hardship.

The ten-point lead doesn’t help much on Obama’s re-elect chances, either.  Only 28% are firm in backing a second term, while 45% are firm in opposing Obama.  That doesn’t leave much room for error, and a properly balanced sample might have shown a majority already opposed.  Since the sampling imbalance directly impacts the head-to-head matches, the results there are mostly useless, but even the Republican/GOP leaner question of which candidate gets the most support looks like an outlier.  This poll has Mitt Romney (16%) doubled up on Donald Trump (8%), almost tripled up on Mike Huckabee (6%) and more than tripled up on Sarah Palin (5%).  I’m not familiar with any other national poll that has anything close to those characteristics.

As badly as this poll’s sample skews to Democrats, one might expect Obama to have done much better.  Perhaps WaPo/ABC might consider using an honest sample next time out.  I doubt Obama could do much worse.


Related Posts:

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

I doubt Obama could do much worse.

And once again, the Captain is far too kind.

apostic on April 19, 2011 at 8:49 AM

The respondents probably work for the federal government. How else would ObaMaoLackeys reply?

onlineanalyst on April 19, 2011 at 8:50 AM

Ann Compton with ABC news talked to the local radio talk show this morning and discussed this poll. Of course, the sampling was never mentioned…

ladyingray on April 19, 2011 at 8:53 AM

This is what 2012 will be like.

New Poll shows Obama leading 52% to 43%….with a sampleof 56% Democrats, 7% Republicans and 37% Democrats

angryed on April 19, 2011 at 8:55 AM

Perhaps WaPo/ABC might consider using an honest sample next time out.

Riiight!

darwin-t on April 19, 2011 at 8:55 AM

Wapo and honest polling….not gonna happen

cmsinaz on April 19, 2011 at 8:56 AM

Perhaps WaPo/ABC might consider using an honest sample next time out.

Good one, Ed. Perhaps they might also consider admitting that they made a horrible mistake backing an inexperienced, incompetent, corrupt, hypocritical, Marxist, despot-appeaser for president.

The MSM will continue to do everything they can to dupe the voting public into giving the MSM’s Chosen One a second term. They were responsible for Barry getting the office in the first place, and as Chrissy Matthews told us all, they see it as their responsibility to make sure he’s a “success.”

AZCoyote on April 19, 2011 at 8:56 AM

Perhaps WaPo/ABC might consider using an honest sample next time out. I doubt Obama could do much worse.

Actually, Ed, that’s precisely why they won’t use an accurate sample. If he’s pulling 47% approval when only 22% of the poll is made up of Republicans, that means dude is down in the high 30′s more than likely. And that’s one barrier he’s never broken in any prominent poll thus far in his Presidency. You think WaPo/ABC wanna be the first to show him doing that poorly?

Doughboy on April 19, 2011 at 8:57 AM

As Rush said, the media treats Obama likes a special needs kid. They just don’t want to hurt his feelings.

JammieWearingFool on April 19, 2011 at 8:59 AM

+1 azcoyote and Doughboy

cmsinaz on April 19, 2011 at 9:02 AM

Let the MSM spin these polls any way they want. It just leads to a false sense of security leading to ’12, when Obama gets beaten in the General Election. Only question is how badly. His supporters will stay home (I’d never expect them to vote Repub, they’re just too close minded, and well marinated in Kool Aid) but the last time I checked being an Obama supporter didn’t entitle you to buy gas at $2.50 a gallon, and high prices and another year of un/underemployment will seriously sap the enthusiasm we saw in ’08.

teacherman on April 19, 2011 at 9:02 AM

This won’t make Michelle want to embrace the country that she loves.

lorien1973 on April 19, 2011 at 9:03 AM

JammieWearingFool on April 19, 2011 at 8:59 AM

Or as Bush put it, the soft bigotry of low expectations.

lorien1973 on April 19, 2011 at 9:03 AM

I doubt Obama could do much worse.

The day is still young.

pilamaye on April 19, 2011 at 9:04 AM

Ported my comment over from the headlines thread:

In the survey, 47 percent approve of the job Obama is doing, down seven points since January. Half of all Americans disapprove of his job performance, with 37 percent saying they “strongly disapprove,” nearly matching the worst level of his presidency.

See how the writer tries to mitigate the disapproval numbers by NOT saying “50 percent” but instead using the innocuous word “half”?

fossten on April 19, 2011 at 9:05 AM

All polls are leftist PR tools. Stop looking at polls and start using your minds about what is occurring on the ground. Go out to eat and listen ion on conversations across form you. Obama is becoming a cuss word, Go pump gas and Obama’s name is cursed. Watch how many people show up for his events and Obama is fading.

The facts on the ground is not matching up with the leftist PR (hmm I means polls) thus the polls are totally wrong.

unseen on April 19, 2011 at 9:06 AM

The right really needs to get with thye program and start up their own polling firms like the left did with PEW.

Foxnews farms out its polls to leftists.

unseen on April 19, 2011 at 9:09 AM

I usually just call this FRAUD

faraway on April 19, 2011 at 9:15 AM

Only 22% Republicans? Of course. And for this poll ABC only surveyed RINOs. Even still, they can’t get the results to favor Obama. Could he fare worse with an honest sample? Oh, indeedy!

DrStock on April 19, 2011 at 9:16 AM

The poll only makes sense if the pollsters only questioned people living within 20 miles of I-5 on the west coast or i-95 north of Richmond on the easy coast. That would explain both the Democratic sampling surplus and the big advantage for Mitt over the GOP field.

jon1979 on April 19, 2011 at 9:16 AM

So, Obama is really at about 37-38% approval, which means a 63% disapproval? Who will be the first to provide an objective report?. . . . . *crickets*

conservative pilgrim on April 19, 2011 at 9:16 AM

We need some Rasmussen polling with the sampling highlighted and the comment “Tell us where we’re going wrong.”

As Rush said, the media treats Obama likes a special needs kid. They just don’t want to hurt his feelings.

JammieWearingFool on April 19, 2011 at 8:59 AM

That’s funny. I never heard that. Still, let’s be more candid, though less politically correct. The media, liberals, too many independents, and too many conservatives treat Obama like an aff****tive a****n hire. Too many people have a vested interest in Obama’s story to see him fail, and too many people are afraid of being called a racist by that first group to call Obama the second-rate hack that he is.

BuckeyeSam on April 19, 2011 at 9:17 AM

Another near-majority (43%) say that increasing gasoline prices have been a “serious” hardship.

Yeah, we made an “investment” the other day filling up our car. If gas prices remain this high throughout the summer, we may see an accurate poll after all.

conservative pilgrim on April 19, 2011 at 9:18 AM

So, who’s going to primary him? Anyone? Come on! Door’s wide open!

parteagirl on April 19, 2011 at 9:19 AM

Too many people have a vested interest in Obama’s story to see him fail, and too many people are afraid of being called a racist by that first group to call Obama the second-rate hack that he is.

BuckeyeSam on April 19, 2011 at 9:17 AM

Second rate hack!? I’d say he’s a first-rate hack!!

DrStock on April 19, 2011 at 9:19 AM

BuckeyeSam on April 19, 2011 at 9:17 AM

Sorry but Rasmussen is also part of the problem.

unseen on April 19, 2011 at 9:19 AM

President Barack Hussein Obama…an oblivious politician whose actions are covered up by an equally oblivious national media.

kingsjester on April 19, 2011 at 9:20 AM

“It doesn’t take a genius to see that Obama is very likely to be re-elected.” – David Brooks, 4/14/11

princetrumpet on April 19, 2011 at 9:21 AM

I will be surprised if his numbers get alot lower simply for the fact of the many on welfare and gov’t. handouts.That number is what…40% or so?

ohiobabe on April 19, 2011 at 9:21 AM

I know why the MSM constantly covers for Obama and skews polls in his favor….they don’t want to say the words “President Biden”.

Mord on April 19, 2011 at 9:22 AM

“It doesn’t take a genius to see that Obama is very likely to be re-elected.” – David Brooks, 4/14/11

princetrumpet on April 19, 2011 at 9:21 AM

Well if there’s one thing we can all agree on, it’s that David Brooks is no genius.

Doughboy on April 19, 2011 at 9:23 AM

So, who’s going to primary him? Anyone? Come on! Door’s wide open!

parteagirl on April 19, 2011 at 9:19 AM

He could be the Franklin Pierce of the 21st century.

Tommy_G on April 19, 2011 at 9:28 AM

Second rate hack!? I’d say he’s a first-rate hack!!

DrStock on April 19, 2011 at 9:19 AM

As hacks go, I would have to agree that he has few in his league. Jimmah is the only one that comes to mind.

darwin-t on April 19, 2011 at 9:28 AM

Another good one KJ….

How he can equate passover with Muslims is insulting to say the least

cmsinaz on April 19, 2011 at 9:29 AM

but the last time I checked being an Obama supporter didn’t entitle you to buy gas at $2.50 a gallon, and high prices and another year of un/underemployment will seriously sap the enthusiasm we saw in ’08.

teacherman on April 19, 2011 at 9:02 AM

I’ve said this before….

High gas prices are not going to hurt Obama in 2012 with his base. His base likes and wants high gas prices. These are the people who drive a Prius or a Civic or in many cases don’t drive at all (think NYC residents). And if they do drive, it’s small urban distances. If gas is $2 or $4 or $6, the effect on them is barely noticeable. But when has hit $6 and those evil people in the suburbs have to trade in the SUV or truck for a Honda or a Prius, to the Kool Aid guzzlers, it’s a good thing.

Conservatives often forget that what is seemingly a bad thing for a politician (high has prices, high unemployment, increase in welfare cases) is a wet dream for liberals.

angryed on April 19, 2011 at 9:32 AM

Only 22% Republicans? Of course. And for this poll ABC only surveyed RINOs.
DrStock on April 19, 2011 at 9:16 AM

That’s always the case. If you RANDOMLY chose a group of 100 people, and then a slightly larger segment just happened to be of one party, it could be possible to try and mathematically adjust the results.

But that’s not what happens with these media polls. Obviously, their samples are not random to begin with. That means their selection process itself is systemically biased. So the Democrats polled will tend to be more liberal than average Democrats, the Republicans will tend to be more liberal than average Republicans, and the “independants” in the sample will be a LOT more liberal than average independants.

Whenever media outlets perform – or even merely endorse – their own polls, they are crossing the line between reporting the news and making the news. So, practically by definition, every media poll is a push poll. And it’s pretty obvious which way they’re pushing.

logis on April 19, 2011 at 9:36 AM

This won’t make Michelle want to embrace the country that she loves.

lorien1973 on April 19, 2011 at 9:03 AM

Did she ever mention the name of the country she loves?

lukespapa on April 19, 2011 at 9:37 AM

Uh guys, has anyone considered that part of this “skew” is a result of people like me – after watching Bush and now Boehner and the GOP screw up since January, I no longer self-identify as a GOP. Maybe some of this skew should be a wake up call for the GOP.

Over50 on April 19, 2011 at 9:40 AM

As Rush said, the media treats Obama likes a special needs kid. They just don’t want to hurt his feelings.

JammieWearingFool on April 19, 2011 at 8:59 AM

Feelings have nothing to do with it. By treating him as a special needs kid, they don’t look stupid for never having honestly evaluated him as an adult. Jonathan Alter, for one, would excuse and justify anything, including homicide.

Marcus on April 19, 2011 at 9:41 AM

If only full cross tabs were available, so that re-weightings would be possible. Alas, TNS/WaPo/ABC does not provide them.

steebo77 on April 19, 2011 at 9:42 AM

How he can equate passover with Muslims is insulting to say the least

cmsinaz on April 19, 2011 at 9:29 AM

We should be seeing that in a future Obamateurism! Jews should be outraged with Obama’s political pandering.

kingsjester on April 19, 2011 at 9:20 AM

I read that article yesterday. It was a disgusting display of adulation and sycophancy by the author. The only remaining act was to kiss the ring of Obama. Or call him “Elijah.” *shudders*

conservative pilgrim on April 19, 2011 at 9:44 AM

Did she ever mention the name of the country she loves?

lukespapa on April 19, 2011 at 9:37 AM

Yes. It was her way of telling all the critics of her extravagant trips to, eh-hem, stick it where the sun doesn’t shine. And with a smile scowl.

conservative pilgrim on April 19, 2011 at 9:46 AM

Uh guys, has anyone considered that part of this “skew” is a result of people like me – after watching Bush and now Boehner and the GOP screw up since January, I no longer self-identify as a GOP. Maybe some of this skew should be a wake up call for the GOP.

Over50 on April 19, 2011 at 9:40 AM

That wouldn’t effect the break-down of party affiliation. They accounted for Indies like yourself, but under-polled Republicans. Ed points out the party break-down in the post:

Their pollster apparently never bothered to pay attention to Gallup or Rasmussen on party affiliation, both of whom show dead heats between the two parties, with Rasmussen showing a slight edge to Democrats this month, 35.3% to 34.0%.

conservative pilgrim on April 19, 2011 at 9:49 AM

Indeed CP

cmsinaz on April 19, 2011 at 9:50 AM

I’ve said this before….

High gas prices are not going to hurt Obama in 2012 with his base. His base likes and wants high gas prices. These are the people who drive a Prius or a Civic or in many cases don’t drive at all (think NYC residents). And if they do drive, it’s small urban distances. If gas is $2 or $4 or $6, the effect on them is barely noticeable. But when has hit $6 and those evil people in the suburbs have to trade in the SUV or truck for a Honda or a Prius, to the Kool Aid guzzlers, it’s a good thing.

Conservatives often forget that what is seemingly a bad thing for a politician (high has prices, high unemployment, increase in welfare cases) is a wet dream for liberals.

angryed on April 19, 2011 at 9:32 AM

Maybe it won’t hurt him with voters on the Upper West Side or in Brentwood, but for everyone else, it’s a disaster for his reelection chances. Most Democrats are middle and lower income voters just like Republicans and independents. And higher gas prices will hurt them at the pump and at the supermarket. That might not translate into votes for the GOP, but it could seriously depress Democrat turnout in 2012.

Doughboy on April 19, 2011 at 9:52 AM

Some polls are merely propaganda tools by the MSM to unfairly promote the extreme leftist agenda. If it has the Washington Post and ABC on it, its not worth the water to flush it down the toilet. The MSM is only relevant if you acknowledge their existence.

volsense on April 19, 2011 at 9:59 AM

Doughboy on April 19, 2011 at 9:52 AM

In fact it is even more of a problem because his base will not give him a warning sign that it is a problem. they will cause him to double down.

unseen on April 19, 2011 at 10:02 AM

Some ALL polls are merely propaganda tools by the MSM to unfairly promote the extreme leftist agenda. If it has the Washington Post and ABC on it, its not worth the water to flush it down the toilet. The MSM is only relevant if you acknowledge their existence.

volsense on April 19, 2011 at 9:59 AM

FIFY

unseen on April 19, 2011 at 10:03 AM

ABC and WAPO are an integral part of the BHO reelection team, why on earth would you think they want fair analysis?

georgealbert on April 19, 2011 at 10:06 AM

In fact it is even more of a problem because his base will not give him a warning sign that it is a problem. they will cause him to double down.

unseen on April 19, 2011 at 10:02 AM

I think he’s well aware that it’s an issue for most Americans. The problem is he’s a hardcore ideologue. Everytime he runs out there to give some emergency speech or statement on energy prices, it’s the same tired nonsense about green energy and how we need to ween ourselves off of oil. It’s a euphemistic way of him telling the American people to just grin and bear it.

Doughboy on April 19, 2011 at 10:12 AM

Despite signs of economic growth, 44 percent of Americans see the economy as getting worse, the highest percentage to say so in more than two years.

Despite our every effort to write fabricated stories about a fabricated economy, using fabricated numbers, to give credibility to a fabricated President, we can only hope that the general public is stupidly gullible.

Rovin on April 19, 2011 at 10:12 AM

I’d say let’s allow WaPo/ABC to keep their skew’d sampling. That way, the Dems will believe they still have their “hope and change” and the rest of know The One is almost done. There’s nothing more dangerous than a cornered animal. If Obama realizes he’s close to being done, he could be even more dangerous than he is now. He’s an angry and bitter man, he’ll be even more so when he realizes nobody likes him.

TulsAmerican on April 19, 2011 at 10:15 AM

Maybe it won’t hurt him with voters on the Upper West Side or in Brentwood, but for everyone else, it’s a disaster for his reelection chances.
Doughboy on April 19, 2011 at 9:52 AM

“Re-election?” How quaint.

In 2012, ACORN will be back with a vengeance – literally. And it won’t be the “Upper-West Side” chapter of the Black Panthers manning the polls.

Previous Fascist “fundamental transformations” have taken place with as little as seven or eight percent of the populous consciously aware of and fully supporting the core beliefs of the movement. In the end, popularity is irrelevant; all that’s required is a fanatic base and a collapse of the existing system.

logis on April 19, 2011 at 10:23 AM

That poll sample is recycled Grape-Nuts.

Del Dolemonte on April 19, 2011 at 10:26 AM

When Obama goes onstage and gets a Charlie Sheen reception, then it’s over.

The day’s a comin’ ~!

Faked polls will only make it hurt worse for the Boy King.

profitsbeard on April 19, 2011 at 10:33 AM

Despite our every effort to write fabricated stories about a fabricated economy, using fabricated numbers, to give credibility to a fabricated President, we can only hope that 51 % of the general public is stupidly gullible.

Rovin on April 19, 2011 at 10:12 AM

FIFY

profitsbeard on April 19, 2011 at 10:35 AM

Perhaps WaPo/ABC might consider using an honest sample next time out. I doubt Obama could do much worse.

No. Once you start down this road, there’s no way out. You’re invested.

rrpjr on April 19, 2011 at 10:35 AM

Did she ever mention the name of the country she loves?

lukespapa on April 19, 2011 at 9:37 AM

I think it’s safe to say that Israel is off the list.

John Deaux on April 19, 2011 at 10:44 AM

angryed on April 19, 2011 at 9:32 AM

You are forgetting the hispanic, african american, welfare recipient, college student and the single mom elements of his base. Last time I checked unless they are riding the bus most of these folks have to pay the same higher food and gas costs as the republicans.

txmomof6 on April 19, 2011 at 10:46 AM

Doughboy on April 19, 2011 at 10:12 AM

what words or actions of Obama makes you think he sees high gas prices as a problem.

You don’t tell people to “get use to it” if you think it is a problem.

unseen on April 19, 2011 at 10:48 AM

Today’s WaPo/ABC sample is just as ludicrous as last December at 32/22/41, which I’d remind people is three points wider than Barack Obama’s popular-vote margin of victory in 2008 — and that included independents and crossover Republicans.

CNN’s exit polling in 2008 showed a 39D/32R/29I split.

BTW, I’d post a link, but for some reason, the filtering software gets indigestion from CNN links.

JohnGalt23 on April 19, 2011 at 10:48 AM

what words or actions of Obama makes you think he sees high gas prices as a problem.

unseen on April 19, 2011 at 10:48 AM

His employment of professional campaign advisers makes me think at least that someone is telling him high gas prices are a problem.

JohnGalt23 on April 19, 2011 at 10:49 AM

Barry’s altitude is dropping. Will the ATC be awake in the tower when he lands?

Yoop on April 19, 2011 at 10:52 AM

Everytime he runs out there to give some emergency speech or statement on energy prices, it’s the same tired nonsense about green energy and how we need to ween ourselves off of oil. It’s a euphemistic way of him telling the American people to just grin and bear it.

Doughboy on April 19, 2011 at 10:12 AM

Oh, Doughboy, you’re being too kind. It’s more like BHO’s way of giving his middle finger to the American people.

GrannyDee on April 19, 2011 at 11:08 AM

His employment of professional campaign advisers makes me think at least that someone is telling him high gas prices are a problem.

JohnGalt23 on April 19, 2011 at 10:49 AM

I disgree again. He shows no signs he things it is a problem. in fact all signs point to him seeing it as a net positve.

unseen on April 19, 2011 at 11:14 AM

I’m not familiar with any other national poll that has anything close to those characteristics.

They just make this crap up to make the gullible believe what they (the media) want them to believe.

Big John on April 19, 2011 at 12:30 PM

His employment of professional campaign advisers makes me think at least that someone is telling him high gas prices are a problem.

JohnGalt23 on April 19, 2011 at 10:49 AM

All this tells me is that he doesn’t care enough about the governance of our country to hire true professionals in the government positions where they’re needed but he does care about being re-elected so he brings in the hired guns.

Big John on April 19, 2011 at 12:34 PM

When they stop comparing His poll numbers to prior depression/recession presidents who were reelected, you know he is in trouble.

IlikedAUH2O on April 19, 2011 at 1:10 PM

These poll analyses are my favorite things to read.

The only way this sample could be representative of any community would possibly, just possibly, be if it was taken in Manhattan (possibly in the halls of ABC hq) or perhaps Cambridge, Mass. And I think the sample was probably 41% dem and 32% independent. But once you get that far down the road of making it up out of whole cloth, one might as well save all the money and just make the whole thing up.

Mitt’s pre-eminence is pure wish-casting. In fact, I start to wonder if he is running solely as a ringer.

perries on April 19, 2011 at 1:15 PM

Perhaps WaPo/ABC might consider using an honest sample next time out.

Not a chance. In fact, do not be surprised if they simply drop the sample details from future polls.

This is not about reporting what people think, it is about maniputaling politicians into believing the propaganda.

Freddy on April 19, 2011 at 1:26 PM

As badly as this poll’s sample skews to Democrats, one might expect Obama to have done much better. Perhaps WaPo/ABC might consider using an honest sample next time out. I doubt Obama could do much worse.

Oh yes he could. Maybe the functionally illiterate and people who only think when the TeeVee tells them to have finally (or are finally) figuring it out. Maybe.

Plus, there’s always the percentage that are terrified of being thought of as “racist” or “hillbillies” when confronted by these “pollsters”.

It’s disheartening sometimes to see these polls, but that’s the whole point of the exercise, isn’t it? I’d really hate to think that half the population are morons, but it wouldn’t be a shock if so.

Why do you think the sample is so skewed? Pretty soon they’re not going to have anyone left to poll that isn’t going to tow the party line.

Thank you for continuing to shine a light on these cockroaches, Ed. (and Allah)

kim roy on April 19, 2011 at 1:41 PM

As badly as this poll’s sample skews to Democrats, one might expect Obama to have done much better. Perhaps WaPo/ABC might consider using an honest sample next time out. I doubt Obama could do much worse.

C’mon Ed. they chose the sampling ratio after they saw the numbers, in order to get results that support Dear Leader. Obama’s real numbers are much worse.

novaculus on April 19, 2011 at 2:25 PM

This poll has Mitt Romney (16%) doubled up on Donald Trump (8%), almost tripled up on Mike Huckabee (6%) and more than tripled up on Sarah Palin (5%). I’m not familiar with any other national poll that has anything close to those characteristics.

If only 22% of the sample were Republicans, that gives Romney 3.5% and Trump 1.8% of the entire sample. Good luck trying to win with that, but the not-Obama vote is already 45%.

Steve Z on April 19, 2011 at 2:28 PM

The only way I can see Obama winning a second term is if some spoiler runs as an independent to pull anybody-but-Obama and not-Obama-but-only-reluctantly-Republican votes from his GOP opponent. I wonder who fits the bill of such a spoiler posing as a Republican but backed by liberals?

starboardhelm on April 19, 2011 at 2:37 PM

This poll, however skewed the sample, is also of “all adults.” Of course it is difficult to accurately screen for likely voters over 18 months away from an election, but after the record-setting registrations for the last Presidential cycle, one would think accuracy demands at least only “registered voters” be polled about elections. Instead, included are ineligibles like aliens and felons, and those who cannot be bothered to fill out a postcard. It means nothing at all.

Adjoran on April 19, 2011 at 2:51 PM

This is not about reporting what people think, it is about maniputaling politicians into believing the propaganda.
Freddy on April 19, 2011 at 1:26 PM

Politicians have their own pollsters. These media push-polls are written to convince their readers what their readers themselves think.

People who can’t think for themselves live their lives to agree with “the crowd;” i.e, the perceived concensus. Collectivism begins and ends with the desire for collective THOUGHT. Communism exists to enforce propaganda; not the other way around.

logis on April 19, 2011 at 3:05 PM

Reminds me of all those polls and resulting commentary showing Da Peeple of Wisconsin in open and overwhelming revolt against the conservative agenda until the actual votes were counted and Prosser won.

DaMav on April 20, 2011 at 5:16 AM