Video: Hey, who’s up for more gloating over Prosser’s glorious Wisconsin victory?

posted at 5:05 pm on April 8, 2011 by Allahpundit

We’re all hung over from yesterday’s 12-pack of schadenfreude so here’s some video hair-of-the-dog for you. Prosser himself, ironically, seems to be the only Republican in America who isn’t high-fiving people in the street today over the ballot windfall in Waukesha. Quote: “I’m not conceding, and I’m not congratulating. And I’m not claiming victory.” How … judicious.

The state is sending officials to Waukesha to make sure that everything’s on the up-and-up with the new totals, but the statistical evidence is compelling. A political analyst at the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel crunched the turnout numbers and found that the new data is more in line with traditional Waukesha turnout models than the original erroneous data from election night. Nate Silver, performing an even more thorough analysis, found the same thing. His conclusion:

[I]f you want to allege that there’s a conspiracy afoot, the statistical evidence tends to work against you. Waukesha County’s revised turnout figures are pretty normal for Waukesha County, a wealthy, white suburban county that usually votes at high rates, whereas its original figures were at the low end of reasonable expectations, given the way the rest of the state voted.

Also of note is that the number of votes that Ms. Nickolaus says she failed to count in Brookfield, amounting to 11 percent of the county total, is in line with the proportion Brookfield normally represents: the city supplied 11 percent of Waukesha County’s total vote in both the 2008 and 2010 general elections.

If this was a conspiracy, it was one executed with an extraordinarily high degree of cunning and competence. I’m more inclined to think that Ms. Nickolaus, who has drawn complaints for her sloppy management practices in the past, is no savvier than she seems.

A day later, the strongest “evidence” the left seems to have of shenanigans taking place is the fact that Nickolaus once worked for the state assembly’s Republican caucus in 1995 when Prosser was speaker and therefore technically in charge of it. There was eventually a criminal investigation of the caucus, years after Prosser had left; Nickolaus was still there at the time but was granted immunity. And so the “underpants gnomes” theory of election-rigging takes shape: Phase one — Prosser and Nickolaus meet, Phase two — ????, Phase three — Nickolaus rigs the election for Prosser 16 years later. Exit question: If you were going to rig an election, wouldn’t you want to do it very quietly on election night rather than a day later later via a bombshell announcement that draws the attention of, well, everyone in America?

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Comment pages: 1 2

Just like I always say: given a choice between conspiracy and incompetence, I’ll bet on incompetence every time.

(I want to get a tatoo of that but it needs to be snappier. How about just “Bet On Incompetence”?)

JackOfClubs on April 8, 2011 at 6:22 PM

I never knew hearing union goons squealing like stuck pigs could be so enjoyable…

… It’s the little things in life that bring the greatest joy!

Seven Percent Solution on April 8, 2011 at 6:24 PM

I never knew hearing union goons squealing like stuck pigs could be so enjoyable…

… It’s the little things in life that bring the greatest joy!

Seven Percent Solution on April 8, 2011 at 6:24 PM

It’s even better here on the ground in Wisconsin. Hi-fives all around,

idesign on April 8, 2011 at 6:28 PM

Dan Riehl found contemporaneous evidence that the Brookfield votes were reported earlier than “the best press conference of all time.”

http://brookfield-wi.patch.com/articles/brookfield-gives-prosser-nearly-11k-votes

Terrie on April 8, 2011 at 6:36 PM

Now now.
This is Wisconsin. If they are taking math as kids from these union good teachers. Math may be a little tough and counting to 7,500 by ones is hard.

seven on April 8, 2011 at 6:44 PM

I was so disappointed before. Now… *sigh* Sometimes our side wins one.

Mojave Mark on April 8, 2011 at 6:53 PM

Gloat. Gloat.

Much sweeter than this it seldom gets.

petefrt on April 8, 2011 at 7:01 PM

We’re all hung over from yesterday’s 12-pack of schadenfreude…

No, I’m not hung-over. I’m still trying to take that buzz higher and higher. This is one high that I can’t get enough of. Count it!

Big John on April 8, 2011 at 7:05 PM

I wanna see video of lib’s heads exploding…literally (but only from their own hysteria, not any kind of violence type thing).

Big John on April 8, 2011 at 7:07 PM

My collie says:

This entire episode is a splendid example of Hanlon’s razor.

*sigh* If only government officials were as smart as my dog. Of course, even if that were true, there’s STILL a downside — viz. where would AllahPundit get his material for these posts?

CyberCipher on April 8, 2011 at 7:12 PM

in the article from Patch, the author, one Lisa Sink, answers a query about her post:

I posted this article and chart at 12:24 a.m. on election night, using data handed to me from the City of Brookfield clerk’s office, not from Waukesha County. Lots of confusion about this. This came straight from the city ON election night. These are the results County Clerk Kathy Nickolaus said today that she failed to properly save and include in the countywide total she released to AP on election night.

http://brookfield-wi.patch.com/articles/brookfield-gives-prosser-nearly-11k-votes

Of course, professional politicians would take a wait and see attitude toward a 200 vote margin…unless of course they just wanted to maximize the chaos, and present themselves as victims of an Evil Machine.

One way or another, they do grave damage to the publics view of the system. No doubt, low information leftists (I know, redundant) really believe they were robbed…and therefore, per alinsky, the only way to win is to rob others.

r keller on April 8, 2011 at 7:13 PM

There is a God.

NickDeringer on April 8, 2011 at 5:37 PM

Yes, many prayers were said.

redridinghood on April 8, 2011 at 7:14 PM

Thank you sir, may I have another!?
Thank you sir, may I have another!?
Thank you sir, may I have another!?
Thank you sir, may I have another!?
Thank you sir, may I have another!?
Thank you sir, may I have another!?
Thank you sir, may I have another!?

maineconservative on April 8, 2011 at 7:15 PM

Well, it looks like Kloppenburg won. I am absolutely confident in that fact, and there is a 0% chance that I will later be proven incorrect.

This post will never come back to bite me.

crr6 on April 7, 2011 at 5:21 PM

Re-posting for no other reason than I want to and I can.

GrannyDee on April 8, 2011 at 7:22 PM

GrannyDee on April 8, 2011 at 7:22 PM

you go girl :)

cmsinaz on April 8, 2011 at 7:28 PM

You go GrannyDee!!

crr6: time for you to go find a tire and a gallon of gasoline… Metaphorically speaking, of course…

Khun Joe on April 8, 2011 at 7:42 PM

Yeah I mean….I know sarcasm is hard to pick up over the internet, but good lord.

crr6 on April 8, 2011 at 5:38 PM

Here’s a new one for you-you once told us that “the private sector is generally more incompetent than the public sector.”

Wouldn’t this episode disprove that in spades?

I would love nothing better than to blame the “private sector” in this case, namely Associated Press for not picking up on the “found” votes. My complaints with that organization are well documented in my posts here on HA.

But they never held a gun to Klopper’s head and ordered her to go on teevee and say she was the winner based on their “reporting”.

And they never went to the other lady and asked her why 11,000 votes were missing from her tally. They ran with the story anyway.

Final tally: 2 incompetent public sector people, 1 incompetent private sector source. Public Sector Incompetence wins 2 to 1!

Del Dolemonte on April 8, 2011 at 7:52 PM

Kathy Nickolaus, the Waukesha County Clerk, has just demonstrated why you should NEVER use a database or a spreadsheet on a Windows system to do anything important: especially if you have not first verified that the “Lazy Write” aka “Write Behind Caching” feature is OFF!!!

If you do NOT turn this “feature” (I call it a major bug) OFF, you will get exactly the same results that Kathy did: data will disappear, two parts of the same program will report different results, etc. IT professionals have known about this for years, yet Microsoft ships every system with this data-losing feature ON!! The problem is even worse in a network.

Umm, for the average user who uses Excel, but not Access, how do you go turn this thingie “off”?

karenhasfreedom on April 8, 2011 at 8:39 PM

Yeah I mean….I know sarcasm is hard to pick up over the internet, but good lord.

crr6 on April 8, 2011 at 5:38 PM

I knew you didn’t write that, but secretly, I was wishing you had. Like finding out obama really wasn’t born here. You can understand.

Lanceman on April 8, 2011 at 8:52 PM

Been on the road we listened to Ed Schultz OMG he blamed Bush, Rove, all the past Republican rigged elections from I dunno what events…

I did my best to explain to Mr. PPF what went on without blowing a gasket, he still thinks something is up. He hasn’t seen any of the links nor dug deeper. I understand how it sounds like but like I told him, electoral events in Puerto Rico are WAY corrupt.

ProudPalinFan on April 8, 2011 at 8:55 PM

Nationally, unions have poured more than $3 million into backing Kloppenburg,

canopfor on April 8, 2011 at 5:29 PM

For me, this is the best part — all that money down the drain. Dried up campaign coffers combined with the end of the state collecting union dues will make the playing field level.

scrubjay on April 8, 2011 at 9:49 PM

I keep trying to share this with “concerned Democrats” but they keep howling so loudly, they can’t seem to hear it:

Ramona Kitzinger, the vice chair of Waukesha County Democratic party who observed the canvass, said she is satisfied the numbers are now correct.

“We went over everything and made sure all the numbers jibed up and they did,” she said.

IndieDogg on April 8, 2011 at 10:07 PM

From what I heard on El Rushbo’s show today the only numbers that were wrong were the ones given to the AP and/or other Lamestream media outlets. The individual tallies from all precincts were essentially correct. All of the noise from the Dems is just the whole herd of jackasses braying.

hamradio on April 9, 2011 at 12:27 AM

It’s even better here on the ground in Wisconsin. Hi-fives all around,
idesign on April 8, 2011 at 6:28 PM

Of the 10,000 ballots in Madison that only had 1 issue voted on, this race, do we know who those ballots were for?

DSchoen on April 9, 2011 at 12:33 AM

Here’s what I don’t get… You have a vote margin of 200 or so against a total of 1.5 million. Who the hell takes that and runs with it to a press conference and declares victory? Before the canvass a margin that small is meaningless, and not much better after because a recount is then mandatory. And yet she went there. What was she thinking, seriously?

Nobody sets themselves up for a 50% chance of self-immolation unless they have some confidence that it isn’t really a 50% chance. You have to wonder what card she thought she had up her sleeve. I’m not really conspiracy theorizing, just trying to make sense of someone who must be at least marginally intelligent assuming an unnecessary risk when it was clearly a pure toss-up. She was at least politically astute enough to repeat the things think progress told her to say. Didn’t they advise her that Americans don’t like people who are presumptive or dismissive?

Look… I’m not surprised that she’s arrogant and tone-deaf. That comes with the party. But this isn’t subtle messaging, but simple politics 101.

Immolate on April 9, 2011 at 12:36 AM

What has been fun is reading the threads over at DU, where a few of the more sane folk there are trying to convince the fire and pitchfork set that yes, this appears to be exactly that, no vote totals have been changed. Check it out for yourself, but don’t forget the hazmat suit.

Also quite delicious is the gloating on their threads when it appeared that Kloppy had won.

TeeDee on April 9, 2011 at 1:01 AM

As reported by Lisa Sink, whose contemporaneous corroboration of the Brookfield voting results I posted above at 6:36pm, just linked to this official statement from the City Clerk of Brookfield also documenting the accuracy of the Brookfield voting results and how they came to be omitted from Waukesha County’s initial report to the State.

Stick a fork in the Kloppenburgers. They’re done.

Terrie on April 9, 2011 at 1:22 AM

Nobody sets themselves up for a 50% chance of self-immolation unless they have some confidence that it isn’t really a 50% chance.

Immolate on April 9, 2011 at 12:36 AM

As someone upthread said, always bet on incompetance.

BadgerHawk on April 9, 2011 at 1:42 AM

Watching the tape, Prosser came across as an old-school politician, quiet in victory or defeat. No doubt about it, Wisconsin will be more well served with a judge that is waiting for evidence beyond a reasonable doubt than one that declares victory before all evidence is brought to bear.

itsspideyman on April 9, 2011 at 9:03 AM

I have been so out of the loop traveling for my contract. What is the Cliff’s notes of this election?

Was this a recall? Is the final tally going to stand? How did the nuimbers turn so dramatically?

Link anyone with a good play by play?

hawkdriver on April 9, 2011 at 10:22 AM

Link anyone with a good play by play?

hawkdriver on April 9, 2011 at 10:22 AM

Found a thread here.

hawkdriver on April 9, 2011 at 11:33 AM

Comment pages: 1 2