WaPo poll: Romney’s favorable rating higher than Palin’s among Republicans and leaners?

posted at 10:02 pm on March 16, 2011 by Allahpundit

The key, I assume, is “leaners.” She always polls exceptionally well among Republicans and, especially, conservatives. The further left you move on the ideological spectrum, the more of a hit her numbers take. See, e.g., this Gallup poll from November showing her at cruising altitude among Republicans with an 80 percent favorable rating. Among independents, most of whom keep one foot planted in the center, it was … 35 percent. In the new WaPo poll, it’s 47 percent. Romney’s probably cleaning up among them. Cause for hope, then, for Palin fans in closed primaries: If the indies can’t or won’t vote, you’re in good shape.

I’m not sure how the “no opinion” numbers shake out. By now, everyone has an opinion of Palin; for most of them, I suspect, that opinion’s as hard as concrete. Huckabee and Romney have more room to grow, but since views of them are softer, there’s also room to tear them down via attacks on, say, RomneyCare and Huck’s clemency record. And since so much of the primaries is about momentum, there’s no reason to think Palin’s favorables wouldn’t boost if she ended up winning Iowa. Obviously she’d rather be in a different position, and this isn’t the only poll out today seeing a slide in her numbers over the last few months, but even unfavorables like that aren’t fatal. No matter what Ari Fleischer thinks.

Speaking of sliding numbers, the PPP poll linked above notes that Mitt is now pulling just 13 percent in Missouri despite having won 29 percent of the vote in 2008. Among “very conservative” voters, who make up the largest segment of the Republican primary electorate, just 10 percent support him. There’d better be an awful lot of “leaners” turning out on election day.


Related Posts:

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Comment pages: 1 2

Have I missed the poll where people are asked who they would vote for in a Palin-Obama race?

MadisonConservative on March 16, 2011 at 10:24 PM

Good question!

However, if they had one of those polls the participants
would mostly be democraps! They would find a way to skew
the results as usual.

I noticed your posting “name” – if you are from Madison,
Wisconsin can you tell us how it is going up there after
the public union battle? Have things calmed down any?

Amjean on March 17, 2011 at 8:23 AM

Obviously she’d rather be in a different position, and this isn’t the only poll out today seeing a slide in her numbers over the last few months
Yes. The curtain is being pulled back, despite how furious her supporters are to keep it closed.

Vyce on March 16, 2011 at 10:34 PM

The curtain on Palin was yanked off the window long ago.
And we Palin supporters like what we see! And you can’t
stand it.

Again, instead of bashing Palin, chat up your candidate!

Amjean on March 17, 2011 at 8:26 AM

I think a lot of Independents doubt her ability to govern because she left office

Her choices were to remain in office and bankrupt her family defending frivolous ethics complaints which prevented her from doing her job or leave office and make millions while becoming the leading substantive critic of Obama’s policies and spreading her influence among conservatives throughout the country.

Are Independents too stupid to understand that Palin made a very smart decision?

The quitter label as applied to Palin is moronic. There is no one more involved in the fight for the soul of the nation.

Basilsbest on March 17, 2011 at 8:32 AM

If the other effete potential Repuplican 2012 contenders would attack the Obama administration and their disastrous policies like Governor Palin does then their favorable numbers would fall as well.

Palin will continue to expose this fraud in the White House and that will never change. Polling results or not. The question is whether these other weak-kneed 2012 contenders will ever offer their thoughts and opinions on the job that the president is currently doing. I look forward to eventually hearing what they have to say about the Obama administration.

Of course, by then they will probably be more focused on going after Palin instead of Obama. That way the media and the blogs will continue to love them and the enlightened moderates can continue to praise them and think highly of them. Not like that mean Palin who attacks our wonderful president.

Can someone please link some of the lastest positions of Mitt Romney concerning US energy development, the unrest in the Middle East, the out of control US debt, the promised pension benefits debate, and other current hot topic issues of the day.

If possible can you be sure they are recent Romney opinions and not something from the past where he has probably changed his opinion two or three times since then. Thanks in advance.

chief on March 16, 2011 at 10:51 PM

Great post! I think the repub contenders will wait to see
how the points Palin makes goes over good with the public and then they will mimic them. It has worked for Charles
Sourkraut in the past.

Amjean on March 17, 2011 at 8:32 AM

Basilsbest on March 17, 2011 at 8:32 AM

this

cmsinaz on March 17, 2011 at 8:37 AM

In WaPØ’s U-HØPE-IAN dreams.

Jayrae on March 17, 2011 at 8:47 AM

Yes. The curtain is being pulled back, despite how furious her supporters are to keep it closed.

Vyce on March 16, 2011 at 10:34 PM

Oh please. Her numbers have never been great since she left Alaska. The argument is that in a campaign they can change, because her numbers are worst among the most fickle voters. You and the rest of the Morons just need to relax and quit poking the Palinistas.

alwaysfiredup on March 17, 2011 at 8:54 AM

All the talking heads and big wig Rs have proclaimed that a woman need not apply. This is an old, rich, white guy game. Hope Sarah decides to crash their party.

Kissmygrits on March 17, 2011 at 8:59 AM

Hard to understand the Huckabee numbers but basically this indicates that the squishes and those who aren’t really Republican like Romney. The reality that he exhibits no leadership doesn’t bother those who want a bean counter.

katiejane on March 17, 2011 at 9:33 AM

Sarah Palin Facebook post on Israel:

http://www.facebook.com/notes/sarah-palin/needed-a-reset-with-israel/366863963434

technopeasant on March 17, 2011 at 9:46 AM

I’m getting sick of this circular firing squad. All it does is divide us and create animus between us, making unity all that more difficult to achieve – and we MUST have unity in 2012 or the Democrats win.

If you cannot in good conscience support the chosen nominee of the party, leave it now and do not interfere with the process. We don’t need your fickle butt, you Obama-loving hypocrite.

Because I guarantee no matter which candidate you back for the nomination will endorse and support the nominee. If you won’t follow them that far, you don’t really support them much at all.

So if you can only tear down the others, get out now. If you are only trying to “send a message,” we already get it: the message is you aren’t with us. Got it.

Get out now, form your useless third party, get your irrelevant <1% of the vote in the general, and let the adults get about the business of righting the ship.

Adjoran on March 17, 2011 at 4:40 AM

This cannot be a serious post. It’s FILLED with self-contradiction.

On one hand you urge unity, but in the same breath you say GTFO.

And it’s highly presumptive and very silly for you to assume that conservatives who are fed up with the establishment and go third party make up less than 1% of the base.

I’m laughing at how ridiculous you sound.

fossten on March 17, 2011 at 10:47 AM

Sarah Palin Facebook post on Israel:

http://www.facebook.com/notes/sarah-palin/needed-a-reset-with-israel/366863963434

technopeasant on March 17, 2011 at 9:46 AM

Palin is speaking at an important India conference this
Saturday and stopping by Israel on her return. PJTV has
a nice video from India speaking about her appearance.
Hopefully Allahpundit will post a thread on this.

Palin is going to speak about how great America is I believe. What a contrast to “The One”.

Amjean on March 17, 2011 at 10:48 AM

And it’s highly presumptive and very silly for you to assume that conservatives who are fed up with the establishment and go third party make up less than 1% of the base.

I’m laughing at how ridiculous you sound.

fossten on March 17, 2011 at 10:47 AM

I would say it is closer to half to 2/3rds of the gop base that would go third party.

unseen on March 17, 2011 at 12:02 PM

Sarah will not attack Bush. It makes no strategic sense
Basilsbest on March 17, 2011 at 8:20 AM

I doubt she will attack him personally. But by the Bush wing’s attacks on her openes up the bush policies to her counter attack. Remember the same people attacking her are the ones that got us into the problems we are in. It would be stupid not to use that. Just like bush’s attack on Reagan in 1980 and his voodoo economics opened up the pathway for Reagan to attack the Nixon, Ford and rockefeller republicans policies in the primary.

unseen on March 17, 2011 at 12:41 PM

unseen

I admire your enthusiastic support for Sarah but bear in mind that once she wins the nomination, she will need to unite the party behind her. And the same goes for Romney which is why he doesn’t attack Palin directly.

I see that I’ve convinced you to use the HTML buttons (Canopfor is next on my list). I wish I could convince you that this talk of a 3rd party is plain foolishness. It will guarantee another 4 years for Obama and his anti-American wrecking crew.

Any, and I mean any and all, of the GOP contenders is infinitely better, and less worse, than Obama. At this point only one potential nominee is running against Obama , which is one of the reasons why Sarah should be our nominee.

Basilsbest on March 17, 2011 at 1:26 PM

Yeah, whatever. Everyone knows it’s Mitt’s turn, so, you know, shut up.

/s

holygoat on March 17, 2011 at 3:06 PM

Huckabee’s negative is 18%?

Does anybody believe this poll?

Trust me, if Huckabee ran for office, his negative would go much, much higher than 18%.

philwynk on March 17, 2011 at 8:09 PM

And Mitt Romney?

Listen: I’ve lived in Massachusetts since 2007. I’ve had no medical insurance most of the time, because I can’t get the effing bureaucracy to make a reasonable decision. Romney created this pig rut of a health insurance system, and claims it makes sense.

Talk about Democrat Lite… Mitt Romney is not the solution, he’s the effing problem. NO to Romney. No. No, no, no, no, no. Not now. Not ever. NO.

philwynk on March 17, 2011 at 8:12 PM

Comment pages: 1 2