Rasmussen: Bounce gone, strong disapproval back to 40%

posted at 4:00 pm on February 5, 2011 by Ed Morrissey

After the Tucson shooting and Barack Obama’s speech to the nation, polling showed a bounce in his approval ratings — unlinked, however, to any improvement on the issues.  Voters appeared to remain opposed to Obama’s previous performance on jobs, the economy, and the deficit, but willing to give the President a chance to make good on his promises to reach across the aisle to newly-resurgent Republicans to chart a new course.  According to the last several days of Rasmussen’s tracking poll, that window of opportunity looks like it’s closing fast:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows that 23% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -17 (see trends).

The president’s Approval Index ratings have fallen nine points since Monday as the crisis in Egypt unfolds. Most of the decline comes from a fall in the number who Strongly Approve of the president’s performance (30% on Monday, 23% now). However, for the first time since mid-December, the number who Strongly Disapprove has moved back over the 40% mark for five straight days. The Strongly Disapprove total had been above 40% for most of 2010 but fell to the high-30s after the president and Senate Republicans reached a deal to extend the Bush Administration tax cuts. …

Overall, 46% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president’s performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) disapprove.

Obama peaked in Rasmussen polling almost two weeks ago at 52/47, with a -4 on Rasmussen’s “presidential approval index,” the difference between strong approval and strong disapproval.  That was Obama’s best rating since February 1, 2010, and the first time it had been in double digits since June 2010.  Four days ago, Obama had a positive overall approval of 50/49, and now he’s -7 on that score too.

Did Egypt cause the bounce to deflate?  It may certainly have been the catalyst.  The steep drop began about the same time that Obama demanded an immediate “transition” from Mubarak, and seems to have accelerated as Mubarak defied Obama and then strengthened his position. That made the White House look foolish and defensive, and couldn’t help but erode Obama’s standing at home.

However, I think this is more due to the abrupt end of a second Obama honeymoon.  The goodwill seems to have faded almost as soon as Obama left the podium from his State of the Union speech.  In two days, the PAI jumped from -5 to -11 and his overall approval went from 52/47 to 47/51.  The Egyptian crisis gave a slight boost initially to his standing, then a full tilt downward over the past week.  The SOTU speech, chock full of demands for new spending, told voters that Obama hadn’t learned anything at all from his midterm defeat, and that his administration considered it business as usual.  All it took was one major fumble to lose all the ground Obama gained coming out of the lame-duck session of Congress in December, and the Egyptian crisis provided it.


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That made the White House look foolish and defensive, and couldn’t help but erode Obama’s standing at home.

the White House looks fine. The occupant is another matter.

ted c on February 5, 2011 at 4:06 PM

Anyone who pins their hopes on circumstances to save them is in deep, dark trouble.

pugwriter on February 5, 2011 at 4:11 PM

Carter redux.

OmahaConservative on February 5, 2011 at 4:11 PM

Well, I mean, come on! Egypt is literally going up in flames and the only thing Obama seems to be concerned about is what selection of dips to serve at his Superbowl bash.

pilamaye on February 5, 2011 at 4:12 PM

It also started when Palin went on the offensive. before the Greta and WTF? comment all oundits were saying how great his speech was. gov Palin gets on and calls it a joke. his polls go down. Obama’s inept handling of Eygpt furthered it. But it proves a point when you have no opposition you numbers go up. Only in the heat of politcal battle does people get to compare and contrast. If the media, left and right pundits are all telling americans that Obama is a centrist many will believe but as soon as a leader of the right says no he isn’t he is a still a leftist sand here is why preceptions start to change and people ar eopen to seeing the other side.

this of course is why socialist regimes must as a matter of certiainity shut up dessent to remain long in power. it is also why the left attacks our leaders like Palin and gives people like mitt a pass.

unseen on February 5, 2011 at 4:12 PM

All it took was one major fumble to lose all the ground Obama gained coming out of the lame-duck session of Congress in December, and the Egyptian crisis provided it.

The contempt of court charges would be the opposition’s fumble recovery and touchdown run if life was fair. Our side needs a “waterboy”. Funny movie, and yes I just plumbed the depths of my football Arcanum.

/sigh

Mord on February 5, 2011 at 4:13 PM

“Overall, 46% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president’s performance.”

Who the heck are these people? They must all have a death wish.

VBMax on February 5, 2011 at 4:13 PM

Good. I thought you had detected a bounce from the SOTU. I had been watching and didn’t see one… which I thought a good sign.

I’m not actually too unhappy myself with what they are doing in Egypt, mostly cause I keep wavering myself as to what I think should be done…

Principles or self-interest… tough choice in real life.

But over all Obama is still Obama he needs to go.

petunia on February 5, 2011 at 4:14 PM

40% is his ceiling for the next election, too. Count it.

SouthernGent on February 5, 2011 at 4:14 PM

also the willful disregard for not one but two federal court ruling gives more evidence that Obama has not moved left. If the gop was smart they would put out a national ad campaign expalianing the EPA/milk ruling

unseen on February 5, 2011 at 4:16 PM

Good. I thought you had detected a bounce from the SOTU. I had been watching and didn’t see one… which I thought a good sign.

I’m not actually too unhappy myself with what they are doing in Egypt, mostly cause I keep wavering myself as to what I think should be done…

Principles or self-interest… tough choice in real life.

But over all Obama is still Obama he needs to go.

petunia on February 5, 2011 at 4:14 PM

Principles and self-interest are not mutually exclusive. We should support a constitutional government, but anything with the Muslim Brotherhood or something with the same stripes we cannot support. Continued military and humanitarian aid should be predicated on a substantially constitutional government, not that we dictate who does what, but that it cannot become a theocratic oligarchy.

pugwriter on February 5, 2011 at 4:21 PM

40% is his ceiling for the next election, too. Count it.

SouthernGent on February 5, 2011 at 4:14 PM

Doubt it. Even Carter and Mondale got more than 40% of the vote, and Carter had a liberal Republican taking anti-Reagan votes away in New England. That was a much better America as well, 47% is his minimum for 2012.

jarodea on February 5, 2011 at 4:21 PM

Gallup’s showing the same trend. He got a boost, stayed mostly steady, and now has had a steep decline. Today he’s at 45/47, but just four days ago he was at 50/41.

theperfecteconomist on February 5, 2011 at 4:22 PM

No bounce from me. I’ve been Strongly Disapproved and On the Wrong Track consistently from 1/2009.

Dandapani on February 5, 2011 at 4:23 PM

The people who mentored him, the people he hangs with, are all far left zealots.
Bill Daley is lipstick on a socialist pig and the actions of his minions in places like the EPA and Justice Dept. speak of his real beliefs.
It will up to the GOP to make that case in 2012.
Which worries the hell out of me.

jjshaka on February 5, 2011 at 4:25 PM

Carter redux.

OmahaConservative on February 5, 2011 at 4:11 PM

Obama is starting to make Carter look good.

Knucklehead on February 5, 2011 at 4:25 PM

@SouthernGent: IF WE HAVE THEM!!1!1!

/sarcastic foil hat

The next election is going to be interesting times. In like, you know, the bad way. Can you imagine what will happen if Obama gets beat in a hugely lop-sided election? Especially if our guy is That Woman That Shall Not Be Named In The Month Of February!

It doesn’t really matter who beats Obama in 2012. They will face a press corpse as hostile as those in 28 days later: The Movie.

Mord on February 5, 2011 at 4:27 PM

Oh, come on. We all know why his numbers are suddenly lower. All the snow and cold weather has caused conservatives to stay home in droves which means they’re available to speak to all these pollsters.

Sadly even though I pulled that explanation out of my backside, I wouldn’t be shocked if that was a factor.

Doughboy on February 5, 2011 at 4:29 PM

Obama is starting to make Carter look good.

Knucklehead on February 5, 2011 at 4:25 PM

Pretty damned scary, ain’t it?

OmahaConservative on February 5, 2011 at 4:31 PM

Gato muerto.

princetrumpet on February 5, 2011 at 4:32 PM

Oh, come on. We all know why his numbers are suddenly lower. All the snow and cold weather has caused conservatives to stay home in droves which means they’re available to speak to all these pollsters.

Sadly even though I pulled that explanation out of my backside, I wouldn’t be shocked if that was a factor.

Doughboy on February 5, 2011 at 4:29 PM

Nah,I’m in South Floriduh and not talking to pollsters. He really sucks. Biiiig time.

katy the mean old lady on February 5, 2011 at 4:33 PM

He only gets an approval bump only when mass murders happen. Pray to lord Jesus none of that happens between now and November 2012.

Apologetic California on February 5, 2011 at 4:34 PM

Ulsterman has another “insider” story up.

I don’t know if I believe it is anything but fiction… but since I’m not the origin and it might turn out true… I read it and mention it.

If this is true. Someone inside the Whitehouse who is a patriot will emerge to stop his reelection, surely.

I wish this hadn’t been done while we are trying to deal with something as important as Egypt. The illusion that we have a President with a brain is useful in times like this.

petunia on February 5, 2011 at 4:35 PM

Can’t Hide the Decline.

Humpty-Dumpty had a great fall.

The MSM has failed to prop up their puppet. They are losing the public perception battle in spite of so much back-stage theatrics. Industrial Light and Magic couldn’t put this Humpty-Dumpty back together again.

Geochelone on February 5, 2011 at 4:37 PM

Obama is starting to make Carter look good.
Knucklehead on February 5, 2011 at 4:25 PM

At least Carter was an American………I think?

VBMax on February 5, 2011 at 4:37 PM

Come to think of it. If Ulsterman is a fake, this is almost treasonous. To make up something like this when we are dealing with something as important as Egypt.

I think we need to know who this is. It also bothers my sense of fair play.

petunia on February 5, 2011 at 4:37 PM

Gato muerto.

princetrumpet on February 5, 2011 at 4:32 PM

Speaking of which.I heard Allah’s cat sitter just put them on e-bay

katy the mean old lady on February 5, 2011 at 4:37 PM

VBMax on February 5, 2011 at 4:37 PM

Jimmuh is one of the biggest queens of the Blame-America-First crowd. 0 learned by example.

OmahaConservative on February 5, 2011 at 4:42 PM

Ulsterman has another “insider” story up.

I don’t know if I believe it is anything but fiction… but since I’m not the origin and it might turn out true… I read it and mention it.

If this is true. Someone inside the Whitehouse who is a patriot will emerge to stop his reelection, surely.

I wish this hadn’t been done while we are trying to deal with something as important as Egypt. The illusion that we have a President with a brain is useful in times like this.

petunia on February 5, 2011 at 4:35 PM

Link if you would.Thanks!

katy the mean old lady on February 5, 2011 at 4:44 PM

At least Carter was an American………I think?

VBMax on February 5, 2011 at 4:37 PM

I got a paycheck from the SOB. It was on a foreign bank.

Limerick on February 5, 2011 at 4:45 PM

Where’s the jobs?

CWforFreedom on February 5, 2011 at 4:45 PM

I want our nation to heal.

Barack Obama is like applying alcohol or bleach to an open wound.

sizzle fuzizzile pop

Key West Reader on February 5, 2011 at 4:47 PM

Link if you would.Thanks!

katy the mean old lady on February 5, 2011 at 4:44 PM

I have no idea who this blogger is or if any of its legit, but it’s mighty juicy reading.

Knucklehead on February 5, 2011 at 4:50 PM

There is a pattern I’ve noticed with approval ratings and Nobama. When he does something like go to Hawaii and eat ice cream and appears to avoid anything related to the presidency, his approval ratings go up. The second that he actually looks like a President and is seen doing something pertaining to the job, his ratings go back down. Watch, you’ll see.

joejm65 on February 5, 2011 at 4:53 PM

Pretty damned scary, ain’t it?

OmahaConservative on February 5, 2011 at 4:31 PM

I just cruised through the Panama Canal last week. Panama charges $350,000 bucks for a cruise ship to go through just the Gaton Locks, only a small portion of the canal. And Panama City is now this huge, sparkling new and modern city with high rise buildings, banks and condo’s as far as the eye can see.

Thanks, Jimmy/

Knucklehead on February 5, 2011 at 4:54 PM

Jimmuh is one of the biggest queens of the Blame-America-First crowd. 0 learned by example.

OmahaConservative on February 5, 2011 at 4:42 PM

So true. Think of the positives though; Billy Beer, peanuts,
Cardigan sweaters, fireside chats, $1.00 gasoline. /s

P. Monk on February 5, 2011 at 4:54 PM

The bounce Obama got was an ‘attaboy’ for not stepping up in his Tucson speech and flat out blaming his Republican “enemies” for the shooting. Everyone’s so used to his intense partisanship that he got some credit for not being the a–hole he usually is. That’s all. Now it’s back to business as usual.

Django on February 5, 2011 at 4:55 PM

P. Monk on February 5, 2011 at 4:54 PM

I quit peanuts & peanut butter during the Carter regime.

OmahaConservative on February 5, 2011 at 5:02 PM

from knucklehead’s post above..

That is a very strong statement – anything recent that causes you to now say you will not support Obama in 2012? (Long pause – question is repeated) There is much I have been told, some I know, some more that will probably develop in the coming weeks and months. But you want specifics, right? I understand that…I’ll give you an example of why President Obama is not right for America. He sure as hell has not been right for the party. Not long ago, the president took a meeting. He’s late, which apparently is becoming more and more common with him. The meeting was almost cancelled. In strolls the president, joking with an aide. He plops down on a sofa, leans over and claps another guy on the back asking how he’s been. Apologizes for being late, says he was “held up”. He laughs some more. The meeting begins. After just ten minutes, during which time the president appears to almost totally withdraw into himself, an aide walks in and whispers something to the president, who then nods and quickly stands up, shakes a few hands and tells another aide to update him later on the rest of the meeting. As the president is walking out he is laughing at something yet again. He asked no questions of those at the meeting – not one. He left after just ten minutes, coming in laughing and leaving laughing. His behavior during that brief time he was there was described as “borderline manic”.

Read more: http://newsflavor.com/politics/world-politics/white-house-insider-they-were-in-shock-at-the-presidents-behavior/#ixzz1D7mOzKFD

ted c on February 5, 2011 at 5:03 PM

Knucklehead on February 5, 2011 at 4:50 PM

It is a good read, but based on the “PalinInsider” guy that they let post I have to doubt that it is anything more than political porn for both sides.

/I keep reading it though, lol

Mord on February 5, 2011 at 5:05 PM

Sarah aims… (I know… I KNOW! Relax, I mean figuratively)… She shoots… (Ditto the above)… She SCORES!!! (are we still allowed to say scores?)…
-

“The only thing these investments will get us is a bullet train to bankruptcy,”

-
Damn that’s good…
-

RalphyBoy on February 5, 2011 at 5:11 PM

Knucklehead on February 5, 2011 at 4:50 PM

It is a good read, but based on the “PalinInsider” guy that they let post I have to doubt that it is anything more than political porn for both sides.

/I keep reading it though, lol

Mord on February 5, 2011 at 5:05 PM

I haven’t cared enough to read the Palin guy. I wish someone would expose this. It is so troubling. I guess I could read the Palin guy… Although it might just be a reaction to this guy… one could be fake and the other real. This guy did have a few predictions right, like everyone would go, but never Jarret, because she is the one who runs stuff.

If people inside the Whitehouse are using Manic to describe the President and he is not with it enough to participate in meetings about Egypt… this is really bad.

petunia on February 5, 2011 at 5:15 PM

http://www.triond.com/users/Ulsterman

Actually this site has the Ulsterman stuff… new one yesterday. Very distrubing.

petunia on February 5, 2011 at 5:19 PM

I quit peanuts & peanut butter during the Carter regime.

OmahaConservative on February 5, 2011 at 5:02 PM

LOL

P. Monk on February 5, 2011 at 5:24 PM

Don’t worry – J-Lo is coming to the WH tomorrow to watch the Superbowl.

That’s gotta count for something.

Good Lt on February 5, 2011 at 5:24 PM

The coming revelations about who BHO is will not play favorable. The bounce was expected. The plummet is/was not.

Watch for unexpected unexpectedness in the coming days.

Key West Reader on February 5, 2011 at 5:24 PM

They say that it only takes one “Ah Sh*#” to wipe out all your “Atta boys”

J_Crater on February 5, 2011 at 5:35 PM

http://www.drudgereport.com/

Drudge Banner Headlines Palin.

WE’RE ON ‘ROAD TO RUIN’

Geochelone on February 5, 2011 at 5:43 PM

The coming revelations about who BHO is will not play favorable. The bounce was expected. The plummet is/was not.

Watch for unexpected unexpectedness in the coming days.

Key West Reader on February 5, 2011 at 5:24 PM

So are you the Insider?… This is an ominous post. Please elaborate.

petunia on February 5, 2011 at 5:49 PM

I almost feel sorry for Obama, he just can’t do much of anything right. Snicker, snicker!!

jeanie on February 5, 2011 at 5:59 PM

Or…the “bounce” could have been total BS, sold by the MFM and asundry poll sniffers simply to change the subject…ie, there never was a bounce.

winston on February 5, 2011 at 6:01 PM

If Obama didn’t own the Mainstream Media his disapproval ratings would be off the charts.

volsense on February 5, 2011 at 6:06 PM

Watch for unexpected unexpectedness in the coming days.

Key West Reader on February 5, 2011 at 5:24 PM

what’s going on?

ted c on February 5, 2011 at 6:07 PM

Or…the “bounce” could have been total BS, sold by the MFM and asundry poll sniffers simply to change the subject…ie, there never was a bounce.

winston on February 5, 2011 at 6:01 PM

-
True that…
-

RalphyBoy on February 5, 2011 at 6:14 PM

Figures the moment he has to start leading again and making decisions, he falls on his face.

Daemonocracy on February 5, 2011 at 6:15 PM

If Obama didn’t own the Mainstream Media his disapproval ratings would be off the charts.

volsense on February 5, 2011 at 6:06 PM

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Uhhh… True that too!
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RalphyBoy on February 5, 2011 at 6:15 PM

I almost feel sorry for Obama, he just can’t do much of anything right. Snicker, snicker!!

jeanie on February 5, 2011 at 5:59 PM

So true! Though, more and more, I’m feeling that the yokes on us. :-)

P. Monk on February 5, 2011 at 6:30 PM

So true! Though, more and more, I’m feeling that the yokes on us. :-)

P. Monk on February 5, 2011 at 6:30 PM

I know from the minute he took office it’s like we fell down a rabbit hole.

Or maybe before he took office. At any rate I feel like I got the bad end of a practical joke.

petunia on February 5, 2011 at 6:55 PM

There is simply no way 40% of this country thinks this guy is doing a good or average job. No way possible. I know way too many Democrat voting family members and friends who were sky high (obnoxiously)in 08 and well into 09.. Even these people were shaking their heads when Obama screwed over the GM share holders. That was the beginning of their head shaking wondering to themselves “this is not what we Democrats do.” Only a few of the many people I know who were so into this guys hopey changey thingy remain happy with the guy. They have different reasons and concerns, but they are not happy. I have a very Liberal brother who is 62 and has lost most of his retirement and all of the equity in his California home. As is the case with most Liberals, my brother is concerned about himself first, then comes himself second, and then comes himself…. This brother wants Obama locked up and put away for the rest of his life. I’m old enough to know that my experience is not likely to differ from that of yours; no way 40% of this country remains into this phony.

Keemo on February 5, 2011 at 6:57 PM

Amazing…the man says pretty much nothing about an emotional national news story/event, and millions out there think the guy’s the cat’s meow. A couple of weeks later all those Hope and Change tingly feelings suddenly wear off?

Beginning to realize what a truly strange country this has become.

Dr. ZhivBlago on February 5, 2011 at 7:10 PM

Beginning to realize what a truly strange country this has become.

Dr. ZhivBlago on February 5, 2011 at 7:10 PM

I’m not buying into it one bit. So much propaganda and attempts to control the mood of the people. What has always controlled the mood of our people is freedom, jobs, personal opportunity, and individual/family health. Financial insecurity is a very powerful and negative emotion.

The media is in constant spin mode, and under this regime the spin is worse than every before. Nothing has changed since last November. The mood of the people was clear then, and it remains the same today. The elections of 2012 will be much worse for the Democrats (progressives) than that of 2010. I don’t care how many fabricated polls they come out with between here and there.

Keemo on February 5, 2011 at 7:16 PM

Or maybe before he took office. At any rate I feel like I got the bad end of a practical joke.

petunia on February 5, 2011 at 6:55 PM

A very bad practical joke at that!

P. Monk on February 5, 2011 at 7:29 PM

MY drive-by sampling of commentary at left/center left publications indicates Pres. Obama’s negatives are way more than 45% and probably rising.

el Vaquero on February 5, 2011 at 7:46 PM

MY drive-by sampling of commentary at left/center left publications indicates Pres. Obama’s negatives are way more than 45% and probably rising.

el Vaquero on February 5, 2011 at 7:46 PM

Thanks for the intel. Is there anything in particular that has their undies in a twist?

P.S. I admire your courage cowboy.

P. Monk on February 5, 2011 at 7:58 PM

I foresee a lot of unhappiness among the Dims in Congress when they realize how many of them will have to ‘take one for team’ to keep this guys poll numbers up.

trigon on February 5, 2011 at 8:01 PM

*for the team*

Still waiting for that edit function…

trigon on February 5, 2011 at 8:04 PM

I’m old enough to know that my experience is not likely to differ from that of yours; no way 40% of this country remains into this phony.

Keemo on February 5, 2011 at 6:57 PM

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Well… over the past 3 months I’ve told 2 old friends to shove their love and defence of this a**hole up theirs…
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Two use to be friends that even after being told that I took the whole “punish your enemies” comment personally, and that the TEA bagger stuff from the left, and the racist name calling was outta line… still tried to make fun of Palin and praise Obama all in a single breath…
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There may be 40 percent… I doubt it too until I think about guys like those two. Normally level headed, but loony for the Zero in the WH.
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RalphyBoy on February 5, 2011 at 10:21 PM

Dear leader can’t govern and run his campaign at the same time. He came out and gave essentially the same speech on Egypt twice in one week. He spouted about rights nobody has in that country and told the Egyptians what they should do as if he was ruler of the world. More people here are seeing his arrogance and incompetence.

Kissmygrits on February 6, 2011 at 9:13 AM

He didn’t look particularly good during this Egyptian crisis. His flaws are truly his flaws. They show.

AnninCA on February 6, 2011 at 1:18 PM

Is there anything in particular that has their undies in a twist?

P. Monk on February 5, 2011 at 7:58 PM

The war’s a big one.

Dark-Star on February 6, 2011 at 8:38 PM