Rasmussen on SOTU speech: No sale

posted at 2:55 pm on January 27, 2011 by Ed Morrissey

Via Power Line, it appears as if the State of the Union speech had little impact on the electorate’s desire for “investments.”  Despite Barack Obama’s reference to a “Sputnik moment,” Rasmussen’s poll of voters on the issue of spending showed almost no movement at all from the pre-speech baseline.  In fact, it got ever so slightly more negative:

The president’s Tuesday night State of the Union speech had little impact on support for his new spending proposals in areas like education, transportation and technological innovation.

Rasmussen Reports asked voters the same three questions about the president’s economic proposals on the two nights prior to the speech and then again on Tuesday and Wednesday nights.

On the first two nights, 39% supported the proposals. On the next two nights, support was 41%.

Fifty percent (50%) of Likely U.S. Voters now oppose the federal government spending more money in areas like education, transportation and technological innovation, up from 45% in the previous survey. Forty-one percent (41%) favor the idea, a two-point increase from before. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

On the issue of overall spending and the economy, a near-majority of 49% believe spending cuts will benefit the economy more than spending.  Just over a third believe more spending will stimulate the economy.  Among independents, however, 61% back spending cuts against only 23% that want increased spending.  Obama didn’t even really make the sale among Democrats; only 57% believe more spending will boost the economy.

As for Obama’s promise to cut the deficit in half in his first term, hardly anyone bought that promise either.  Among all voters, only 22% thought it was somewhat or very likely, while 73% thought it not very or not at all likely.  Independents split 12/83, even more harshly than Republicans at 16/82.  Once again, Democrats didn’t buy it either, with a 35/55 split.

On that score, though, Obama might find himself rescued by Republicans.  They have promised to attack government spending in the next two budget cycles, starting with a token reduction in what’s left of the FY2011 budgeting.  Rand Paul wants to cut $500 billion right now, which would take Obama about two-thirds of the way towards his promise — assuming that he’d sign Paul’s plan, which he most assuredly will not.  Perhaps that’s why Republicans find their popularity on the upswing in the latest Gallup poll:

Americans’ opinions of the Republican Party have improved to the point where now more have a favorable than unfavorable opinion of the party. The last time more Americans viewed the GOP more positively than negatively was in 2005.

For the early part of the 2000s, Americans had a net-positive image of the Republican Party. That changed in 2005, as Americans soured on the Bush administration over the ongoing Iraq war, the federal government’s response to Hurricane Katrina, and rising gas prices, among other issues. After the 2006 midterm elections, which saw Americans remove the Republicans as the majority party in Congress, the Republicans’ ratings were 35% favorable and 58% unfavorable.

The Republican Party’s image remained negative over the next two years as the economy worsened, except for a 47%-47% reading after the party’s well-received national convention in 2008, which ended days before the financial crisis intensified. Just after Americans elected Barack Obama to replace Bush later that year, the Republicans’ net-favorable score was -27 (34% favorable, 61% unfavorable) — the worst Gallup has measured in this trend dating to 1992.

The GOP now rates a 47/43 in favorability for a plus-4.  Democrats also bounced back a little from their 41/54 nadir in early 2010 to 46/47.  Unlike the GOP, though, Democrats have rarely had negative favorability in Gallup’s polling.  The polling was done well before the SOTU speech but just days after the Tucson shooting, which indicates that respondents largely ignored the “heated rhetoric” meme.


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Loser

PatriotRider on January 27, 2011 at 2:58 PM

Come on people!
BO just didn’t explain it right.
Let him try it again.
Sooner or later he will get it through our thick skulls.

Badger40 on January 27, 2011 at 2:59 PM

American’s polled by Rassmussen: Winning The Future????

Bwaa haa haaa.

portlandon on January 27, 2011 at 3:00 PM

On the issue of overall spending and the economy, a near-majority of 49% believe spending cuts will benefit the economy more than spending. Just over a third believe more spending will stimulate the economy. Among independents, however, 61% back spending cuts against only 23% that want increased spending. Obama didn’t even really make the sale among Democrats; only 57% believe more spending will boost the economy.

WTF, these people are not “cheerful”.

Schadenfreude on January 27, 2011 at 3:01 PM

I know those overnight polls showing how people loved that speech are b o g u s. How do I know? I heard the speech. It was flat, at best.

petefrt on January 27, 2011 at 3:01 PM

Sooner or later he will get it through our thick skulls.

Badger40 on January 27, 2011 at 2:59 PM

More like when will it ever get through his concrete cranium?

upinak on January 27, 2011 at 3:01 PM

But we can afford new spending, AND new taxes!

/ernesto

fossten on January 27, 2011 at 3:02 PM

Dead cat bounce?

SKYFOX on January 27, 2011 at 3:03 PM

But…but…92% of CBS viewers got a thrill down their leg, listening to it. You mean that’s not representative of America as a whole?

MNHawk on January 27, 2011 at 3:03 PM

At this point, don’t care if dear leader gets a bounce for the gop cutting….just get it done…..

Clinton basked in the gop reforms even though he fought them every step of the way….the blm will always bash the gop in whatever gets done..

Just do it

cmsinaz on January 27, 2011 at 3:04 PM

What a smug little sh*t he is in that picture up front.

Schadenfreude on January 27, 2011 at 3:04 PM

WTF=Winning the FAIL

RedRedRice on January 27, 2011 at 3:04 PM

Fifty percent (50%) of Likely U.S. Voters now oppose the federal government spending more money in areas like education, transportation and technological innovation, up from 45% in the previous survey

50% still living in denial!

brtex on January 27, 2011 at 3:05 PM

It was a about the UNION BASE PEP RALLY!!

So,his message could be heard clearly,for

HopeLessNess/ChangeLessNess/WTF/TWT/2012!!

canopfor on January 27, 2011 at 3:06 PM

C – see
B – bull
S – not perfume, nor roses

Schadenfreude on January 27, 2011 at 3:06 PM

Dead cat bounce?

SKYFOX on January 27, 2011 at 3:03 PM

What happened to the chicken?

upinak on January 27, 2011 at 3:07 PM

“Sputnik moment”

Didn’t “Sputnik” accelerate the “arms race” ?

… on the other hand, it’s probably not in most history textbooks anymore because of it’s relationship to the “arms race.”

J_Crater on January 27, 2011 at 3:08 PM

I seriously want to know who the 33%+ is that believes spending more money would stimulate the economy.

Anyone that stupid should not be allowed to vote.

ButterflyDragon on January 27, 2011 at 3:08 PM

but 92% said the speech was great and they loved Obama on prom night….

unseen on January 27, 2011 at 3:09 PM

From the SOTU Open-Tread!
—————————
Obama is going to revive his Pillar’s again!
================================================

The Hopey/Changey Shovel-Ready Roman Temple Pillars of
Perpetual Hope and EverLasting NeverEnding Change of
Progressive Utopian Fantasys of EndLess Cash Cows!!!!!

canopfor on January 27, 2011 at 3:09 PM

WTF????? I can’t believe it!!

davek70 on January 27, 2011 at 3:09 PM

But 90% of people who watched the speech loved it. I saw it on CBS.

Katie would never lie to me.

Rassmussen is just a facist, racist teabagger who hates the President.

ramrants on January 27, 2011 at 3:10 PM

Maybe if I had a labotomy, and drooled onto a bib, I’d get the Dems. Otherwise…anything they propose, is an abject fail, in my mind.

capejasmine on January 27, 2011 at 3:11 PM

WTF=Winning the FAIL

RedRedRice on January 27, 2011 at 3:04 PM

++heh

ted c on January 27, 2011 at 3:13 PM

WORM: What Obama Really Meant…

Hey Barry: WTF? Why The Frown? Didn’t you get any SpudNuts?

Bwaaah.

Geochelone on January 27, 2011 at 3:15 PM

Only poll the folks who are going to be forced to pay -not them that are gonna get the freebies. When it comes to getting free money, everyone can be expected to act like a Bob Barker constestent.

What’s the surprise?

Don L on January 27, 2011 at 3:16 PM

“A million points of trite”

Emperor Norton on January 27, 2011 at 3:17 PM

Interesting!
===============

Obama’s Episodic Stories in SOTU All Rooted in 2012 Battleground States
======================

Although State of the Union Addresses are often criticized for being high on generalities and soaring oratory but low on specifics, it has become customary for presidents to highlight stories from ‘regular Americans’ in order to place emphasis on their policy proposals and also to help their larger thematic points resonate with the viewing public.

Presidents therefore frequently single out the names of specific Americans – often special guests at the annual Address – and mention where they are from, and how their stories have a larger meaning, contributing not only to the greatness of America, but also to the theme of that particular section of the president’s speech.

In Tuesday night’s State of the Union Address, each of these stories relayed by Barack Obama had one thing in common.
———-

A Smart Politics review of the State of the Union Address finds that every personal, episodic story told by the President about regular Americans was rooted in a battleground state carried by Obama in 2008: Michigan, Colorado, North Carolina, Oregon, and Pennsylvania.

To be sure, if the President is going to be reelected in 2012, he will need to carry almost all of these states.

On the heels of the President’s “This is our generation’s Sputnik moment” line, Obama described the entrepreneurial spirit of a small business in Michigan that was an innovator in solar energy:
************************************************************

Robert and Gary Allen are brothers who run a small Michigan roofing company. After September 11th, they volunteered their best roofers to help repair the Pentagon. But half of their factory went unused, and the recession hit them hard. Today, with the help of a government loan, that empty space is being used to manufacture solar shingles that are being sold all across the country. In Robert’s words, “We reinvented ourselves.”
************************************************************

Obama won Michigan by 16.4 points in 2008, but the Wolverine State was one of many in the Midwest in 2010 that saw a GOP landslide.

http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2011/01/obamas_episodic_stories_in_sot.php
================================

So,it was POLITICS as per usual!!!!

The NeverEnding Story of Hopey the Perpetual Campaigner!!

canopfor on January 27, 2011 at 3:20 PM

WORM: What Obama Really Meant…

Geochelone on January 27, 2011 at 3:15 PM

What Obama really is.

Schadenfreude on January 27, 2011 at 3:20 PM

Note to the Liar in Chief-they are not so dumb after all!

rjoco1 on January 27, 2011 at 3:21 PM

but 92% said the speech was great and they loved Obama on prom night….

unseen on January 27, 2011 at 3:09 PM

This is what really galls me. CBS drops the 92% turd. Anyone with at least as much common sense as a box of rocks would say…Oh Really?? And then CBS just skips down the road, another day, another lie…..I’m getting paid…so what??

And I don’t put a whole lot of stock in any of these polling outfits either…You have this entire industry conducting polls on a nation of 300 million people…it’s all crap…

BigWyo on January 27, 2011 at 3:22 PM

WORM: What Obama Really Meant…

Hey Barry: WTF? Why The Frown? Didn’t you get any SpudNuts?

Bwaaah.

Geochelone on January 27, 2011 at 3:15 PM

Geochelone: *O.M.G.*:)

World
Order
Republican
Menace
——

canopfor on January 27, 2011 at 3:23 PM

WORM: What Obama Really Meant…

Geochelone on January 27, 2011 at 3:15 PM

A WORM like this?

petefrt on January 27, 2011 at 3:30 PM

What happened to the chicken?

upinak on January 27, 2011 at 3:07 PM

Don’t ask

darwin-t on January 27, 2011 at 3:30 PM

I suggest a new HA rule:

All posts must somehow incorporate the acronym “WTF”.

It’s Barry’s rallying cry and, by gum, we should show our president some support!

Who’s with me?

Whahooo! WTF!

turfmann on January 27, 2011 at 3:33 PM

“Sputnik moment”

Didn’t “Sputnik” accelerate the “arms race” ?

… on the other hand, it’s probably not in most history textbooks anymore because of it’s relationship to the “arms race.”

J_Crater on January 27, 2011 at 3:08 PM

Why not? The Russians are our friends now, and we’ve gotta show the good little kiddies how successful the Communist system was–they even had free health care! Just don’t mention little details like millions of starving Ukrainians, the Gulag, and the Iron Curtain–Uncle Joe was such a kind man!

Steve Z on January 27, 2011 at 3:35 PM

The Obama WTF speech has America saying WTF …

The thin margin is directly due to the probation status of the GOP.

tarpon on January 27, 2011 at 3:38 PM

All posts must somehow incorporate the acronym “WTF”.

It’s Barry’s rallying cry and, by gum, we should show our president some support!

Who’s with me?

Whahooo! WTF!

turfmann on January 27, 2011 at 3:33 PM

Only if I can also say Annicaing WTF!

Badger40 on January 27, 2011 at 3:39 PM

The thin margin is directly due to the probation status of the GOP ignorant, uneducated, & downright stupid morons that plague this country.tarpon on January 27, 2011 at 3:38 PM

I think this works much better.

Badger40 on January 27, 2011 at 3:40 PM

OT: OK WTF! PETA to Sponsor MTV Child Porn

http://www.moonbattery.com

WOW…This may be where the chicken went upinak….

sicoit on January 27, 2011 at 3:41 PM

WTF=Winning the FAIL

RedRedRice on January 27, 2011 at 3:04 PM

With this, Palin’s WTF, and too many other take-offs, it’s clear that Obama stumbled on to a terrible initialism.

When do the bumper stickers start appearing: Obama 2012? WTF?

BuckeyeSam on January 27, 2011 at 3:41 PM

The roofers dear leader mentioned were hit hard by the recession because of govt meddling in the housing industry. No new houses started, no need for roofers. When are the stupid going to think things through? Sarah got him good with the wtf, just like death panels.

Kissmygrits on January 27, 2011 at 3:45 PM

WTF…….Winning the Future?

Yeah….. in November 2012 when we throw the bums out!!!

PappyD61 on January 27, 2011 at 3:56 PM

I thought this year’s theme is ‘laser-like focus on jobs, jobs, jobs’?

How come it is no sale?

/s

Sir Napsalot on January 27, 2011 at 3:57 PM

Has anybody followed up on the young entrepreneur from PA who drilled the escape shaft for the Chilean miners? Does his company make drilling equipment for oil or gas wells? Do you think he could get a grant or subsidy from the Obama administration? Ha!

rgeaste on January 27, 2011 at 4:21 PM

This may be where the chicken went upinak….

sicoit on January 27, 2011 at 3:41 PM

Actually guys, the chicken is in my stomach.
*BURP*

Badger40 on January 27, 2011 at 4:22 PM

More WTF (Winning The Future)

J_Crater on January 27, 2011 at 4:30 PM

The poll is obviously WRONG! Our ‘bright, clean, articulate president is supposed to have the ability to sell ice cubes to Eskimos.

He has foreign leaders eating out of his hand!

GarandFan on January 27, 2011 at 5:48 PM

All posts must somehow incorporate the acronym “WTF”

We The Ferengi. . .

Emperor Norton on January 27, 2011 at 5:59 PM

According to StansberryResearch.com
-
we are headed for a hyper-inflation of the dollar
-
that will destroy this country.
-
The feds will try to print their way out of debt.
-
The dollar will become worth zero.
-
With much pain and suffering along the way.
-
Not a pretty picture.

esblowfeld on January 27, 2011 at 6:00 PM

With this, Palin’s WTF, and too many other take-offs, it’s clear that Obama stumbled on to a terrible initialism.

When do the bumper stickers start appearing: Obama 2012? WTF?

BuckeyeSam on January 27, 2011 at 3:41 P
Glenn Reynolds has the WTF sticker up on Instapundit.
Print it out.

Col.John Wm. Reed on January 27, 2011 at 6:00 PM

I’m sure there’s an appropriate hand signal to go with “WTF”…

landlines on January 27, 2011 at 6:28 PM

He didn’t listen did he?

CWforFreedom on January 27, 2011 at 6:48 PM

All posts must somehow incorporate the acronym “WTF”

WTF >>>> With The Framers

Yoop on January 27, 2011 at 7:01 PM

Fifty percent (50%) of Likely U.S. Voters now oppose the federal government spending more money

“So I know who’s ass to kick…”

Mr_Magoo on January 27, 2011 at 7:44 PM

When do the bumper stickers start appearing: Obama 2012? WTF?

Speaking of… when do we start seeing Paul/Paul 2012 bumper stickers?

Mr_Magoo on January 27, 2011 at 7:46 PM

BO just didn’t explain it right.

You mean WE didn’t hear it right.

If we fail to see the awesomeness that is BO, the fault always lies within ourselves.

Dark Star on January 27, 2011 at 10:39 PM