Huckabee, Romney lead in early Iowa caucus poll

posted at 2:15 pm on January 10, 2011 by Ed Morrissey

With most of the nation distracted by the tragedy in Tucson and the political attacks over it, news on the GOP presidential campaign front from Gallup and Politico have slipped mainly under the radar.  Both show former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee in good position in the early going to lay claim to frontrunner status as the nomination cycle begins, both in Iowa and across the country.  In a poll of Republican voters who cast ballots in the 2010 midterm elections in Iowa, Huckabee leads a large field by five points over Mitt Romney (24/19), who surpasses Huckabee when it comes to second-choice voters.  Palin comes in third in first-choice responses with 11%:

Right now, a quarter of voters are undecided and that number beats any other candidate.  Huckabee and Romney are clearly the top two contenders and Romney, despite being in second, has a more motivated voter and ultimately would probably edge out Huckabee if the caucus were today with Palin a strong third.

Gingrich and Paul have good favorables, but both have a fatigue level that’s stopping them from converting those favorables into votes.  On this measure, both men run behind Pawlenty and Pence, who have made apositive first impression on the state.  With Pence heavily rumored to be considering a run for Indiana Governor, Pawlenty is the man to watch here and could be a sleeper.

Of the other candidates, Thune seemed to have the most on the ball. Bachmann could be dangerous if she is serious about the campaign and is taken seriously as a candidate (her support seemed to come from Huckabee in particular and also Palin, but these are small numbers and it’s difficult to draw a conclusion).  Neither Cain, who has visited the state repeatedly, Barbour, who mailed Iowa last year nor Santorum, who has also visited Iowa often, is gaining much traction.  Johnson is a non-entity and got no first, second or third choice votes.

The first and second choice questions are important in the caucus procedure, especially for those whose first choice is a lower-ranking candidate.  The second-choice measure favors Romney.  Palin comes in third again in this measure, with Pawlenty moving up considerably:

When it comes to first and second choices, Romney converts 56 percent of his favorables followed by Huckabee at 51 percent, Palin at 46 percent, Pawlenty at 37 percent, Gingrich at 36 percent, Pence at 33 percent, Thune at 28 percent, Cain at 22 percent, Paul at 21 percent, Bachmann at 19 percent, Barbour at 16 percent and Santorum at 9 percent.

Gallup also shows Huckabee leading in favorability nationwide, with Palin having the most recognition:

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee has the highest net favorable score among Republicans nationwide in a field of potential GOP candidates for 2012, while former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is the most recognized. Former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney are also widely recognized by Republicans, and have favorability numbers similar to Palin’s. …

Overall, Huckabee (+30) has the highest net favorable score — strongly favorable responses minus strongly unfavorable responses among those who recognize him — of any of these 13 potential candidates. Palin has a relatively high percentage of strongly favorable opinions among those who recognize her, at 30%, but also the highest strongly unfavorable opinions of any candidates included in the research (8%), for a net favorable score of 22. Gingrich (24) and Romney (23) have net favorable scores similar to Palin’s. All but one of the remaining candidates have net favorable scores from 11 to 19, with Pence and Huntsman at the top end of that range, and Daniels at the lower end. Johnson, who has the lowest name identification score among Republicans, also has the lowest net favorable score, at 0.

In this instance, it would be better to be less known, which would give candidates a chance to increase favorability on first impressions.  Palin will need to change minds to get a boost above the other nationally-known candidates.   Mitch Daniels has the most upside in this poll among generally-considered major contenders for the nomination, with only a 26% recognition rate and an 11% net favorability, by that measure.

It is, of course, a long way off, and we’re still not sure whether Palin wants to run for office at all.  These numbers show that if she does, Huckabee and Romney will start off as her major competition in both Iowa and New Hampshire, and that the competition may be formidable.

However, I’m curious why no one is including Rick Perry in these polls yet, who is just as likely as John Thune to be running for the top spot.

Update: Fixed the Politico link.


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Just glad this post is any other subject…

That said, what a bunch of crap.

Kelligan on January 10, 2011 at 2:17 PM

We call this the “Who likes the Has-Beens” Poll.

search4truth on January 10, 2011 at 2:18 PM

Even seeing the idiot Huckabee is a nice change of pace.

Did he get his game show yet?

jake-the-goose on January 10, 2011 at 2:19 PM

The tragedies just piles on.

the_nile on January 10, 2011 at 2:20 PM

Huckabee and Romney are clearly the top two contenders

Who are these people answering these polls? If all we got is re-tread Huck and Jive and RomneyFailCare, we are doomed.

Brian on January 10, 2011 at 2:20 PM

Huckabee. Bee. Bees have stingers. Stingers can hurt you. Being hurt connotes a certain level of violence. Huckabee is inherently violent as proven by his name.

Give me some time to work on Romney, I’m sure he’s violent too somehow.

Bishop on January 10, 2011 at 2:20 PM

Huckster again? Who exactly are these guys polling?

Doughboy on January 10, 2011 at 2:20 PM

At this point I really don’t care.

tommer74 on January 10, 2011 at 2:21 PM

ed,

what makes you think huck is running?

unseen on January 10, 2011 at 2:21 PM

Who are these people answering these polls? .

Brian on January 10, 2011 at 2:20 PM

Apacalyps, Crr6 etc…..

capejasmine on January 10, 2011 at 2:22 PM

This is absurd! The Tea party changed everything and this is like reading a headline from 2007.

There is no way in hell the American people are going to allow these old, lame, weak-willed, has-been, retreads to get any farther than filling their paperwork for the 2012!

ENOUGH ALREADY!!!

The Tea Party is going for an outsider. I guess November didn’t register yet with the elites.

katy on January 10, 2011 at 2:22 PM

The Huckabee Express reporting for duty!

El_Terrible on January 10, 2011 at 2:23 PM

Ed said:

However, I’m curious why no one is including Rick Perry in these polls yet, who is just as likely as John Thune to be running for the top spot.

”b

Why just as likely? Perry has said he’s not running, Thune has said he’s seriously considering it.

Jon0815 on January 10, 2011 at 2:23 PM

In the Libs dreams…

Hickabee: RENNINGER, OWENS, GRISWOLD, RICHARDS

Romney: ROMNEY-CARE

‘Nuff said.

stenwin77 on January 10, 2011 at 2:24 PM

I am a long time Huckabee supporter. However, while I really,really,really like Huckabee, I do not think he can win. I don’t think that Mike is intellectually curious. If Huckabee were to study up on Conservative principles, and speak out about policy issues I think he could be ready in 2016.

At this point, Huckabee is unelectable.

portlandon on January 10, 2011 at 2:25 PM

No,no,no and no!

sandee on January 10, 2011 at 2:25 PM

katy on January 10, 2011 at 2:22 PM

The TP is going away… Harry Reid told me… Lindsey Graham too.

El_Terrible on January 10, 2011 at 2:26 PM

Sorry Palinbots.

Sarah @ 11 per cent in Iowa.

lol.

rickyricardo on January 10, 2011 at 2:26 PM

I’ll say it again, if Huck is the nominee I will actively campaign for Obama

Sinner on January 10, 2011 at 2:26 PM

The candidate who bears some actual real life responsibility for a mass murder has the highest “favorability”. Somewhere there’s an irony meter that needs a new spring.

The Mega Independent on January 10, 2011 at 2:26 PM

Not only “NO”…

But “Huck NO“!

FloridaBill on January 10, 2011 at 2:27 PM

Oh goody. I cannot wait to hear more Mormon bashing.

Badger40 on January 10, 2011 at 2:28 PM

None of these people are as good at this kind of politics as Sarah Palin is. State Fairs, shaking hands, kissing babies, talking to regular folks is what she likes doing. Add to that her ability to pack out 5-10,000 seat arenas, and I am not convinced once she gets on the ground in Iowa that these rankings will hold.

Whatever article I read a while back, speculating whether Sarah Palin had the grit for campaigning in the dark and snowy Iowa Caucuses, I literally laughed. She is from ALASKA, for crying out loud! Iowa is flat, and not as big as the Mat-Su Valley area she calls home. Not a problem.

Brian1972 on January 10, 2011 at 2:28 PM

ed,

what makes you think huck is running?

unseen on January 10, 2011 at 2:21 PM

If Huckster believes these polls(I think they’re legit, but won’t hold up once the campaigning begins), then he might think he has a serious shot at the nomination. And you figure if he did get the nod, he’d clean up in the South and probably win Iowa which means he actually has a pretty decent chance at winning the general election.

My take remains that his poll numbers will sink once his record is examined by primary voters. Plus he’s gonna have a really hard time raising the same kind of money as Romney or Palin.

Doughboy on January 10, 2011 at 2:28 PM

T-Paw moving up fast.

Don’t underestimate simple competence as a major attraction this go round.

rickyricardo on January 10, 2011 at 2:29 PM

El_Terrible on January 10, 2011 at 2:26 PM

LOL!
The same Harry Reid that said “This was is lost”?

katy on January 10, 2011 at 2:30 PM

Bishop on January 10, 2011 at 2:20 PM

Oh that was good.

Keyser-Soze on January 10, 2011 at 2:31 PM

katy on January 10, 2011 at 2:30 PM

I think he meant that his GPS wasn’t working. :p

El_Terrible on January 10, 2011 at 2:31 PM

Yet again, she could emerge as a political martyr.

Der Spiegel warns its leftie yahoos.

Schadenfreude on January 10, 2011 at 2:31 PM

Don’t underestimate simple competence as a major attraction this go round.

rickyricardo on January 10, 2011 at 2:29 PM

As long as we are telling each other what not to underestimate, don’t count out Sarah. If she jumps in, she will be formidable in Iowa.

Brian1972 on January 10, 2011 at 2:32 PM

Today was depressing enough. Now this. Shmuck and Romneycare in the lead. Oh, God. help me.

kevinkristy on January 10, 2011 at 2:32 PM

Sorry, wrong thread.

Schadenfreude on January 10, 2011 at 2:32 PM

rickyricardo on January 10, 2011 at 2:29 PM

The GOP should just elect the candidate with the biggest balls. That would be Palin by a factor of 3-4 at the moment.

gh on January 10, 2011 at 2:33 PM

elect nominate

gh on January 10, 2011 at 2:34 PM

My take remains that his poll numbers will sink once his record is examined by primary voters. Plus he’s gonna have a really hard time raising the same kind of money as Romney or Palin.

Doughboy on January 10, 2011 at 2:28 PM

i think its more about Huck being able to raise the money. He can’t and therefore he has no warchest and therefore he will most likely not run regardless of polls IMO

unseen on January 10, 2011 at 2:35 PM

El_Terrible on January 10, 2011 at 2:31 PM

Yah…

and my quote was suppose to say war not was..

katy on January 10, 2011 at 2:35 PM

Today was depressing enough. Now this. Shmuck and Romneycare in the lead. Oh, God. help me.

kevinkristy on January 10, 2011 at 2:32 PM

Relax. The only declared candidate at this point is Obama and Biden. Things will change, and change again while it is still too early, much less before it is time to cast votes.

Brian1972 on January 10, 2011 at 2:35 PM

Palin @ 11 per cent seems to be her ceiling.

Huck is a white Bill Clinton.

Romney is toast due to Romneyscare.

Watch out for T-Paw.

rickyricardo on January 10, 2011 at 2:42 PM

Kelligan on January 10, 2011 at 2:17 PM

Ditto

ORconservative on January 10, 2011 at 2:42 PM

How many skewed/bogus Gallup polls do we have to read about before Gallup starts to poll honestly? Nevermind. I know it will never end. Anyway, thanks for the opportunity to bash-tell the truth about- Huck, Ed. See the CATO Institute’s piece on Huck at http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=8838. Let’s not forget Huck’s dog murdering son and his other son the porn mag champ at college. Also recall Huck’s commutation record that totalled more than the 6 surrounding states combined and the murders his policy lead to. If you favor passing laws for the purpose of doing Huck’s denomination’s ideas of Christian duties and virtues, then vote for Huck’s Theocracy.

Wake up Iowa and Gallup respondents.

JimP on January 10, 2011 at 2:42 PM

rickyricardo on January 10, 2011 at 2:42 PM

11% is the florr. Palin hasn’t campaigned one day in IA unlike all the rest.

unseen on January 10, 2011 at 2:43 PM

floor

unseen on January 10, 2011 at 2:44 PM

I also second the biggest balls comment.
Until we find someone with bigger balls than Palin none of this matters.

ORconservative on January 10, 2011 at 2:44 PM

Big whoop, Huck won Iowa in 2008. So what.

fossten on January 10, 2011 at 2:47 PM

Remove Huck from these bloody polls

cmsinaz on January 10, 2011 at 2:47 PM

DOLE 2012!

C’MON FEEL THE NOIZE!!!

saint kansas on January 10, 2011 at 2:47 PM

How is IOWA still relevant? This is the land that gave us…

Bush in 1980
Dole in 1988 (Pat Robertson second)
Huckabee/Romney/Thompson in 2008 (in that order)

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 2:49 PM

Huck or Mitt…wow, what a choice.

right2bright on January 10, 2011 at 2:49 PM

Palin @ 11 per cent seems to be her ceiling.

rickyricardo on January 10, 2011 at 2:42 PM

It seems to me, when the real contest begins on the ground, she will run circles around all of them.

She likes breaking through ceilings, glass or otherwise.

You are underestimating her, against my advice.

So I will feel free to disregard Tim ” The Big Nap” Pawlenty’s chances, and we will see who has it right in a few months.

Brian1972 on January 10, 2011 at 2:50 PM

If Palin says “Lame Stream media” or “mama grizzly” one more time, I don’t think I can ever vote for her (in a primary).

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 2:50 PM

2008 Iowa Republican caucus results:

Mike Huckabee (34%)
Mitt Romney (25%)
Fred Thompson (13%)
John McCain (13%)
Ron Paul (10%)
Rudy Giuliani (4%)
Duncan Hunter (1%)

So, both Huckabee and Romney are running behind where they were last time.

Emperor Norton on January 10, 2011 at 2:51 PM

Somehow this is all irrelevant to me today.

Still Huck continues to lead in these polls as Rudy did back in early 2007… so doesn’t really matter. Plus, why do these pollsters continue to think he’s running? Out of the top 4 (Huck, Mitt, Newt, Palin) Huck is the LEAST likely to run. Even if he polls well, he can’t raise money and his crapola record will be exposed once the campaign starts. People will see a different person than the good ol boy playin bass on FOX.

davek70 on January 10, 2011 at 2:52 PM

Remove Huck from these bloody polls
cmsinaz on January 10, 2011 at 2:47 PM

Scary language. Ban this person.

Bishop on January 10, 2011 at 2:53 PM

Duncan Hunter (1%)

That was me…

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 2:56 PM

If Palin says “Lame Stream media” or “mama grizzly” one more time, I don’t think I can ever vote for her (in a primary).

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 2:50 PM

Plan on voting for someone else then, she will say it more.
What shallow criteria you have.

Brian1972 on January 10, 2011 at 2:57 PM

Bishop, I’m just tired of these polls who we should nominate..will switch to decaf :)

cmsinaz on January 10, 2011 at 2:58 PM

That was me…

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 2:56 PM

Hunter was my favorite as well.

DFCtomm on January 10, 2011 at 2:58 PM

Well good. I’m glad this settles the question of who will be the next GOP candidate. The science is undeniable.

So did you get your new Burpee catalog yet? What are you going to put in your garden this year? Ja, I know it’s still January and there is a foot of snow in the drive but I don’t hafta go any where. Look at those tomatoes!

Skandia Recluse on January 10, 2011 at 2:58 PM

Either of those two will encourage the conservatives to stay home or STAY HOME!.

belad on January 10, 2011 at 3:00 PM

Huck and Mitt – enough already, just go away. They really don’t do anything for me, never did, never will.

ncsully on January 10, 2011 at 3:02 PM

Scary language. Ban this person.

Bishop on January 10, 2011 at 2:53 PM

LMAO!

Badger40 on January 10, 2011 at 3:06 PM

That was me…

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 2:56 PM

Hunter was my favorite as well.

DFCtomm on January 10, 2011 at 2:58 PM

I liked Hunter, a lot, too. Who did he endorse after he dropped out?

cschande on January 10, 2011 at 3:10 PM

Both show former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee in good position in the early going to lay claim to frontrunner status as the nomination cycle begins

Please, just….no. No.

Vyce on January 10, 2011 at 3:12 PM

A positivelt RINO-licious result…

Color me unencouraged by either Mittenz or the incredible Huck being ascendant.

RocketmanBob on January 10, 2011 at 3:12 PM

Zombie Regan/Skeletal Goldwater 2012!

Hey, I am from Missouri. Even the dead can win elections here.

Wolftech on January 10, 2011 at 3:14 PM

If Palin says “Lame Stream media” or “mama grizzly” one more time, I don’t think I can ever vote for her (in a primary).

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 2:50 PM

Plan on voting for someone else then, she will say it more.
What shallow criteria you have.

Brian1972 on January 10, 2011 at 2:57 PM

So has the irony of thinking my statement is “shallow” hit you yet?

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 3:15 PM

Looks like Huckabee is off to a good start. Huckabee starts off New Year topping the polls.

Second choice options, Huckabee again leads with 36%, Romney follows with 28% and Palin with 22%.

Third choice options, Huckabee still leads with 41%, Romney follows with 32%, and Palin with 27%.

As to favorabilities: Huckabee leads with +53, Palin follows with +25, and Romney with +25.

texasconserv on January 10, 2011 at 3:16 PM

I liked Hunter, a lot, too. Who did he endorse after he dropped out?

cschande on January 10, 2011 at 3:10 PM

By the time the primary reached NC, all we had left were McCain and Huckabee on the ballot… so I (gulp) voted for Huck as a protest vote (after skewering him on my blog… I skewered Mit and McCain worse, however).

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 3:17 PM

Everytime I see Huck on top I have got to believe that it is Democrats putting him there. There is no way that guy could beat any Democrat, including Obama.
A Huck run only benefits the left.

ORconservative on January 10, 2011 at 3:22 PM

So has the irony of thinking my statement is “shallow” hit you yet?

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 3:15 PM

You missed the point. Of all the speeches, statements, essays, op-eds and interviews I have seen Sarah
Palin put out, those two phrases being the key turning point of a decision, rather than for example, her expression on QE2, the Health Care bill, our relationship with Israel, stopping Iran from dominating their neighbors through nuclear intimidation, ect. seems to me to be a bit shallow.

Brian1972 on January 10, 2011 at 3:23 PM

But would Huckabee really have the gall to primary Obama?

Abby Adams on January 10, 2011 at 3:25 PM

I liked Hunter, a lot, too. Who did he endorse after he dropped out?

cschande on January 10, 2011 at 3:10 PM

By the time the primary reached NC, all we had left were McCain and Huckabee on the ballot… so I (gulp) voted for Huck as a protest vote (after skewering him on my blog… I skewered Mit and McCain worse, however).

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 3:17 PM

“I got to know Governor Huckabee well on the campaign trail,” Hunter said in a statement. “Of the remaining candidates I feel that he is strongly committed to strengthening national defense, constructing the border fence and meeting the challenge of China’s emergence as a military superpower that is taking large portions of America’s industrial base.

“Along with these issues of national security, border enforcement and protecting the U.S. industrial base, I see another quality of Mike Huckabee’s candidacy that compels my endorsement,” he added. “Mike Huckabee is a man of outstanding character and integrity. I saw that character over the last year of campaigning and was greatly impressed. The other Republican candidates have many strengths and I wish them all well.”

Yours may have been a protest vote, but Hunter’s endorsement sure doesn’t sound like it was.

cschande on January 10, 2011 at 3:26 PM

China’s emergence as a military superpower that is taking large portions of America’s industrial base. Along with these issues of national security, border enforcement and protecting the U.S. industrial base,

Yours may have been a protest vote, but Hunter’s endorsement sure doesn’t sound like it was.

cschande on January 10, 2011 at 3:26 PM

Yeah, Hunter’s protectionist leaning was my only concern… which may explain his endorsement. Overall it was a weak (pathetic) field. I donated $25 to Hunter’s campaign (WAR imagery!), but only because he was the best player of a very bad team.

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 3:34 PM

Huck? OMG. This guy does not understand that government does not have to solve problems. Probably he never will. Government has no business getting into all our problems it can find and make them worse by stupid solutions. Where no solutions may be needed. Come on Guys. You can do better.

antisocial on January 10, 2011 at 3:43 PM

If Palin says “Lame Stream media” or “mama grizzly” one more time, I don’t think I can ever vote for her (in a primary).

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 2:50 PM

I’m telling you, she’s awful. She repeats buzz words and talking points with no substance behind it.

If she can only manage 11% with her name recognition as it is, to claim she’ll be more popular when she campaigns is delusional at best.

At this point, with the awful Huck and Romneyscare as the only other alternatives, Pawlenty is looking better and better.

rickyricardo on January 10, 2011 at 3:44 PM

The Huckster or Romney? What a horrible choice. Let’s see some polls that do not include retreads from the last Republican presidential primary.

slickwillie2001 on January 10, 2011 at 3:45 PM

Huckabee is the worst ever. Id rather vote for Harry Reid. At least he open about his idiocy and you know what you are getting. Huckabee is as slimy as they come and his evil is hidden away under a layer of phony “Praise Jesus” shtick.

He would not only mean a humiliating loss in 2012 but a 3rd party being formed…..SO, figure on him being very popular in the liberal media and a good performance in polls. If i was a Democrat i would want Huckabee as my opponent, come on, he is John McCain without the class or heroic past.

I feel dirty just talking this much about Huckaturd.

Does anyone really think Mike Huckabee could trick enough voters with his pathetic act? All i can picture is him in a shady van trying to give little kids candy, for some reason.

Too harsh?

Cant help it.

alecj on January 10, 2011 at 3:50 PM

The Huckabee Express reporting for duty!

El_Terrible on January 10, 2011 at 2:23 PM

Three of the four tires are out of air. Get off that bus fast :-)

antisocial on January 10, 2011 at 3:51 PM

If Palin says “Lame Stream media” or “mama grizzly” one more time, I don’t think I can ever vote for her (in a primary).

mankai on January 10, 2011 at 2:50 PM

Like you ever would anyway.

Take your “concern” down the road.

gary4205 on January 10, 2011 at 4:09 PM

Too harsh?

Cant help it.

alecj on January 10, 2011 at 3:50 PM

I don’t think so.
He leaves me feeling greasy dirty after I lsiten to him talk.
I almost feel violated. Like when I hear Al Gore or Clinton talk.
And when I heard his lovely commetns on Mormons, that pretty much summed him up.
I’m not as sensitive as many other LDS folks, & I can take a ribbing on my faith.
But it has no business in politics.
Course there are folks here on HA who say we LDS are not Christians & we’re like the devil or something.
I have to say that ND is the most religiously tolerant state I have ever lived in.
I have been treated with respect in regards to being LDS.

Badger40 on January 10, 2011 at 4:12 PM

But would Huckabee really have the gall to primary Obama?

Abby Adams on January 10, 2011 at 3:25 PM

That would at least put him in the right party!!

gary4205 on January 10, 2011 at 4:13 PM

cschande on January 10, 2011 at 3:26 PM

I always liked Hunter and thought him to be a smart guy. Now I have to reevaluate the whole damned thing!

gary4205 on January 10, 2011 at 4:15 PM

Too harsh?

Cant help it.

alecj on January 10, 2011 at 3:50 PM

Nope. Pitch perfect. Lonesome Rhodes Huckabee is a snake oil salesman and a scam artist. He’s a Big Government, Nanny State Progressive trying to call himself a Conservative. He’s as big of a threat to Liberty and Freedom as Barack Obama.

If he runs I will actively work to see him defeated.

gary4205 on January 10, 2011 at 4:18 PM

Can someone please remove the reality distortion glasses and explain to me how Palin will get nominated after taking 3rd in Iowa? Not to mention Romney polling 39% in NH.

ha ha Palin is a TV personality, not a leader.

hanzblinx on January 10, 2011 at 4:25 PM

If these poll numbers are an indication of who will be the nominee, we are guarenteed of 4 more years of the man/child.

lonestar1 on January 10, 2011 at 4:26 PM

cschande on January 10, 2011 at 3:26 PM

I always liked Hunter and thought him to be a smart guy. Now I have to reevaluate the whole *thing!

gary4205 on January 10, 2011 at 4:15 PM

Great! Remember, there’s always that outside chance that he still is a smart guy, and that smart guys can support Huckabee for President. I know, I know, that may be way too much for you to reevaluate all at once. Just thought I’d put it out there for you. Haha.

cschande on January 10, 2011 at 4:36 PM

ha ha Palin is a TV personality, not a leader.

Bingo.

Here’s a woman with more press and name recognition than almost any other person in the country and she’s a poor 3rd in Iowa.

The idea of Sarah Palin is alot more attractive than the actual Sarah Palin.

Don’t tell the bots that however.

rickyricardo on January 10, 2011 at 4:36 PM

Palin would be a great President, bank on it. Huckabee would be a decent fry girl at Burger King.

alecj on January 10, 2011 at 4:38 PM

ha ha Palin is a TV personality, not a leader.

hanzblinx on January 10, 2011 at 4:25 PM

Romney is a good imitation of Ken and the Huckster is still a good liar!

belad on January 10, 2011 at 4:41 PM

Didnt they say….Reagan is an actor, not a President… — seems like a little on camera charisma aint a bad thing.

alecj on January 10, 2011 at 5:04 PM

Not only “NO”…

But “Huck NO“!

FloridaBill on January 10, 2011 at 2:27 PM

Right there with you, FloridaBill.

Fallon on January 10, 2011 at 5:24 PM

Didnt they say….Reagan is an actor, not a President… — seems like a little on camera charisma aint a bad thing.

alecj on January 10, 2011 at 5:04 PM

Though the “Governor” line on Reagan’s resume reads differently than Palin’s.

dedalus on January 10, 2011 at 5:34 PM

Given that the campaigning hasn’t actually started, these polls are less than worthless for predicting primary voter trends in 2012.

That said, they’re not uninformative.

Based on this kind of polling in the last year or so, it appears that Huckabee (whom no one is paying any political attention to; less than 3,700 Google hits in 2010, Romney had nearly double that, and Palin had over 13x) is being maneuvered by the left to play stalking horse to Palin among the single-issue social cons & uncritical evangelical Christians.

Candidate Huckabee scares the left far less than Romney or Palin. While he may be likable in a jovial, self-deprecating, goofy, lazy-eyed fat guy sort of way, that shtick isn’t going to sell in 2012. And he’d be standing opposite the stoic, serious, decidedly ungoofy President of the United States in an election to determine who will lead the country through difficult, serious, and unjovial times.

For goodness sake, the man couldn’t even beat John McCain, a candidate only slightly less charismatic than Bob Dole.

My guess, however, will be that the primary will most likely result in a lesser-known candidate rising rapidly to prominence.

Harpazo on January 10, 2011 at 5:39 PM

Though the “Governor” line on Reagan’s resume reads differently than Palin’s.

dedalus on January 10, 2011 at 5:34 PM

It also helps to have the electoral votes from the single largest state in your corner.

How many votes does Alaska have, 3?

Harpazo on January 10, 2011 at 5:42 PM

GOP nominee in 2012 is the Spawn of Satan.

The Obama Lapdancers in the Media haven’t even begun to destroy the other GOP candidates yet. They must destroy Palin first.

If any of these people really look like a threat to the DOTUS they will be destroyed and the independents and squishy Republicans will be embarrassed/shamed to even say they would vote for a Republican.

Is that not clear enough yet?

The Left hates US and any Conservative is a threat to their power.

PappyD61 on January 10, 2011 at 6:47 PM

You Hotair folks will just have to come to terms with the fact that most conservatives and most Americans just don’t hate Huckabee as much as you do, and they never will. C’mon, he was a good governor, and he’s a good guy. He does fight for conservative principles, even if you don’t agree with him on every issue. Just support him already. It’s only a matter of time. He’d support you if you ran for POTUS :)

ceruleanblue on January 10, 2011 at 7:06 PM