12 a.m.: Alaska and Hawaii; Winners: Mark Kirk, Kristi Noem; Update: Rossi trails by one; Breaking: Fox calls Nevada for Reid; Update: Write-in still leading in Alaska with more than 50% in; Update: Hand count coming in Alaska?

posted at 12:00 am on November 3, 2010 by Allahpundit

Nice and simple for our last hourly update of the night. Republican Charles Djou’s going to try to hold onto the House seat in Hawaii that he won in a special election earlier this year. As for Alaska, you know all about it: Daddy’s little senator isn’t going to let go of her throne until voters pry it out of her hands. Put on some coffee and watch the returns; if Miller pulls it out, the schadenfreude will keep you wired tomorrow all day.

I don’t mean to start Wednesday morning off on a bad note, but as of right now, Ken Buck’s three points down in Colorado with 50 percent reporting. And in the big one in Nevada, with 57 percent in: Reid 52, Angle 44. The melting bunny is on standby.

Update: Here’s the county map in Nevada. The rural counties are Angle strongholds and they have yet to report, so the race will tighten. Will it tighten enough to erase an eight-point lead is another question.

Update: Another downer: Alas, poor potheads, Prop 19 is going up in smoke. Truly a banner night for Californians.

Update: Hallelujah — at last, Illinois is called for Mark Kirk over mob banker Whatsisname. The One’s Senate seat is back in Republican hands.

Update: The other Reid on the ballot this year in Nevada is officially toast.

Update: I’ve got a special sugary treat for everyone who’s stayed up late with us tonight. Read this. Note the bit about indies especially.

Update: The polls in Washington state were dead-on thus far. With 60 percent reporting, Dino Rossi is within 1.2 points of Patty Murray. The difference at the moment is 16,000 votes.

Update: Another nailbiter in Colorado: After trailing by three, Buck is now within one with 67 percent reporting. Even better, 71 percent of Denver’s Democratic county has reported while plenty of rural red ones are just coming in.

Update: It was the best of times, it was the worst of times: Fox News says Dingy Harry has pulled it out. Between this and the landslide in Delaware, one of the subplots to the GOP victory narrative tomorrow will be the need for greater quality control among Republican candidates, whether tea-party or establishment. Anyone not think Marco Rubio, say, would have utterly destroyed this tool? Six more years of this crap now.

The silver lining? He’s a terrible majority leader, and we are after all stuck with a Democratic majority for another two years. He’ll probably do less damage than Schumer or Durbin would. But that’s the best spin I can put on it. It’s bitterly disappointing.


Chocolate Bunny Kill

Tiffany | Myspace Video

Update: As expected, Buck is surging as rural Colorado reports. He’s now up two points on Bennet with 48 percent in. Something to ease the pain of Reid’s win — a little.

Update: A big upset in NY-13 as Michael Grimm bumps off Mike McMahon. That almost makes up for the 28-point losses in both Senate races and the gubernatorial race.

Update: As if Reid’s win wasn’t sour enough, John Kerry’s just chimed in.

Update: The red wave in the House carries “the next Sarah Palin,” a.k.a. Kristi Noem, to victory over Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin in South Dakota.

Update: By the way, we haven’t had a snapshot of total House gains in hours. In case you’re wondering, according to the NYT, the GOP now stands at +56 — a few seats more than in 1994.

Update: Alaska results are finally coming in at the Anchorage Daily News. With roughly one-quarter of precincts reporting, the write-in candidate is ahead by a few thousand votes.

Update: The One has begun his nightly round of concession calls. Fantastically entertaining press conference at 1 p.m. tomorrow!

Update: Some people on Twitter are clinging to the desperate hope that “write-in votes” includes Murkowski plus a whole bunch of those people who signed up at the eleventh hour to make things harder for her by putting themselves on the write-in list. Really? Who’s voting for those people, exactly? Anyone who goes in there hating Murkowski is apt to vote for Miller, not another write-in. You might get a few gag votes for the other candidates, but I’m sure 99.9 percent of the write-ins are for princess.

Update: Loretta Sanchez was a heavy favorite over Van Tran, but early on she’s up by just a point. I’m hearing on Twitter too that Oberstar might be ready to tumble, but the race hasn’t been officially called yet.

Update: Geraghty looks for lessons:

I ended up loving the tenaciousness of Linda McMahon’s campaign, but her WWE past was less than ideal for a run against a state attorney general. Sharron Angle’s flaws? We can discuss them more later, but we all know they’re there. Ditto Christine O’Donnell. Dan Maes. Carl Paladino. A lot of key races ended up with candidates who were… let’s just say easily painted as out of the mainstream. The margin for error, even in a big GOP year, may have been smaller than primary voters expected.

It is a great night for Republicans. But it was an enormous opportunity; many candidates took advantage of it, but a few saw it slip through their fingers.

Update: With 224 of 438 precincts reporting, the ADN still has “write-in votes” by almost five points. I assume that the cities are reporting first and that rural areas will come later, which means things should tighten. I hope.

Update: The ADN is now reporting that Miller’s lawyer, Thomas Van Flein (who’s also Palin’s lawyer), is saying, “There will be no clear winner (tonight) and it looks like there will have to be a handcount.” Which is another way of saying that he expects the write-in votes either to win outright or to be close enough that a Miller win tonight will be challenged. (In fact, another ADN report notes that Miller, while not conceding anything, has sent his supporters home.) How long is a handcount going to take? This long:

The Division of Elections has sent out more than 42,000 absentee ballots. The first batch of those, as well as questioned ballots, will be counted Nov. 9. Some absentee ballots mailed back from overseas won’t be counted until Nov. 17.

If there are enough write-in ballots the issue will come up of how many wrote in Murkowski’s name, and did so properly enough to count. Alaska’s computerized voting system shows how many voters filled in the oval for a write-in candidate but not the actual name the voter wrote in. The write-in ballots are only opened to look at the name if there are more of them than votes for the leading candidate, or if the number of write-in ballots is within .5 percent of the frontrunner.

That count would begin Nov. 18 and be expected to last three days. The campaigns have been getting ready for the court challenges over “voter intent” that would be expected to follow. Minor misspellings are probably OK but simply writing “Lisa M,” for example, could be a problem.

Update: A slight narrowing now in Alaska as more precincts come in. Write-in leads by three and a half points with 256 of 438 precincts reporting. Get ready for “Hanging Chads II: Handwriting Edition” coming soon to Anchorage as every last write-in ballot is scrutinized for clear voter intent.

Update: A good point from a reader via e-mail: Miller can probably expect military ballots from overseas to break heavily in his favor given his West Point/Bronze Star pedigree. Even if he ends the night a bit behind, he’s in good shape to make up votes two weeks from now.

Update: New numbers from Alaska as we roll on towards 3 a.m.: With almost 70 percent reporting, “write-in votes” is still hanging onto a four-point lead.

Update: A simply brutal data point from Byron York. Here’s how weak a candidate Sharron Angle was:

The stat of the night, from exit polls: Of those who voted in NV, 55% disapproved of Reid’s job performance, 44% approved. And Reid won.

Update: Joe Miller tells NRO that he’s not waiting up for the results in Alaska and is going to hit the sack. I’ll take that as my cue to follow suit. The newest numbers: With almost 75 percent in, “write-in votes” is still up by four. Whatever happens in the next few hours, the result will obviously be close enough to warrant a replay of Florida 2000 or Minnesota 2008, so nothing’s getting decided tonight up there. For that matter, it looks like nothing’s getting decided in Washington and Colorado either: Rossi is still trailing Murray by a point with 62 percent reporting and Ken Buck leads Michael Bennet by less than half a point with 73 percent in. Absentees may well end up deciding those too.

As of 3:20 ET, the NYT’s House tracker has the GOP at +59 with more than 20 House races still to be called. Odds are fair that they’ll break 70 or get awfully close; if you’re pulling the all-nighter, keep watching that page.


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COD on Fox News, very classy. Castle didn’t show this kind of class when he lost, the prick.

fossten on November 3, 2010 at 8:57 AM

Here in Canada, they’re still pushing the meme that it would have been bigger if not for the Tea Party. I don’t think they understand that before the Tea Party, people would have said you were nuts if you told them Republicans would pick up 60+ house seats and 6 Senate seats.

However, it’s going on all over the US too. No one on any of the panels I’ve seen understands what just happened.

MrX on November 3, 2010 at 8:58 AM

Educate. Make people aware of what the democrats have done over the years. Fight.
darwin on November 3, 2010 at 8:45 AM

People must feel the need to get educated. Nevada has the highest unemployment and foreclosure rate in the country and they elected Reid by over 40,000 votes.

These people are more interested in “getting theirs” from the government than they are accepting responsibility for their own lives. And they don’t care that it will lead to the same exact conditions that led the exodus from Europe to America.

csdeven on November 3, 2010 at 8:59 AM

These people are more interested in “getting theirs” from the government than they are accepting responsibility for their own lives. And they don’t care that it will lead to the same exact conditions that led the exodus from Europe to America.

csdeven on November 3, 2010 at 8:59 AM

Look for the union label..:)

Dire Straits on November 3, 2010 at 9:02 AM

Great day to be a Texan.

James on November 3, 2010 at 9:02 AM

Who gives a crap about talking back to MSNBC. Only 8 people watch that network anyway.
fossten on November 3, 2010 at 8:42 AM

Missing the point. The MSNBC mindset is shot through the entire media. You better give a crap. And it’s not so much “talking back” to them as challenging this mindset and their assumptions about how media and conservatives interact. Because they have established the assumptions and we still obey them. This has to stop. We have no reason to play by their rules — not any more. Do you think Bachman wins support among anybody for letting Matthews mock her? If Bachman had turned this interview around on Matthews instead of smiling and trying to be innocuously over-subtle, that interview might have reverberated across the media landscape and meant something. We need to understand that most in the media are not good-faith interlocutors but bad-faith ideologues, and treat them accordingly. This has nothing to do with being mean or angry (quite the contrary) but simply being aware and responsive.

What we really need is some kind of boot camp for conservatives in which they can learn about the Left and how to talk to the media.

rrpjr on November 3, 2010 at 9:03 AM

Sorry, I’m a pretty darn happy Illinoisan today! Kirk got it, Brady is still in it, my House district looks like it jolly well might flip from blue to red, and for the first time in seven years, the House delegation we’re sending to DC outnumbers Dems 8 to 11! Wheeeeee! I truly hope Walsh can hang onto his 800 vote lead at the moment, it’s another House pick-up and I’m soooooo sick of Beano!

My state reps are tied at the moment, too, hopefully they can pull this off.

-Aslan’s Girl

Aslans Girl on November 3, 2010 at 8:45 AM

My ex0husband and 16 year old son live in what was-until last night Phil Hare’s district. He’s gone.
I live within walking distance(‘walking’ distance for me is anything under 13 miles)of Debbie Halvorson’s district. She’s gone. Since she used to be my state senator I’m delighted over that.
Unfortunately I live in Chicago Heights and 3 J. is still my congress-creature, my state senator and state Rep are still ‘D’s.
Locally nothing has changed.
If Quinn wins it will get worse.

annoyinglittletwerp on November 3, 2010 at 9:05 AM

What we really need is some kind of boot camp for conservatives in which they can learn about the Left and how to talk to the media.

rrpjr on November 3, 2010 at 9:03 AM

me likey…need to give them a dose of their own medicine

cmsinaz on November 3, 2010 at 9:06 AM

People must feel the need to get educated.

csdeven on November 3, 2010 at 8:59 AM

Not necessarily. Just like people absorb the media propaganda, people can also absorb other info too. Just start running simple ads. Make people curious.

You know, stuff like “Calvin Coolidge faced a worse economic depression than FDR. What he did worked tremendously well … and it was the opposite of what we’re doing now. Why don’t we ever hear about it”?

darwin on November 3, 2010 at 9:08 AM

Texas no longer has any non-urban democrats in congress, nor does Louisiana.

Vashta.Nerada on November 3, 2010 at 9:09 AM

Gird your loins for today’s presser and the Lame Duck Session.

kingsjester on November 3, 2010 at 9:16 AM

It is also a measure of the level of corruption in Nevada, and Alaska.

We have a real mess..Obama has not been stopped. We still have Obamacare, taxes are going up, Congress has been neutered, the Senate paralyzed. Obama doesn’t need congress any longer. Who’s gonna stop him now?

The leftist propaganda will get worse. Obama will continue to stir up chaos.

California? Well, when you turn off the water to your farmers in favor of a minnow, for political reasons, you’re in Zimbabwe/Uganda territory.

Skandia Recluse on November 3, 2010 at 7:50 AM

This pretty much sums up my feelings.

KinleyArdal on November 3, 2010 at 9:18 AM

What time is the press conf? Gonna DVR it.

B Man on November 3, 2010 at 9:20 AM

16 state legislatures flipped to the GOP. That means that reapportionment, and the election of 2012, belong to them.

Vashta.Nerada on November 3, 2010 at 9:22 AM

It is also a measure of the level of corruption in Nevada, and Alaska.

We have a real mess..Obama has not been stopped. We still have Obamacare, taxes are going up, Congress has been neutered, the Senate paralyzed. Obama doesn’t need congress any longer. Who’s gonna stop him now?

The leftist propaganda will get worse. Obama will continue to stir up chaos.

California? Well, when you turn off the water to your farmers in favor of a minnow, for political reasons, you’re in Zimbabwe/Uganda territory.

Skandia Recluse on November 3, 2010 at 7:50 AM

After reading that pep talk, why shouldn’t I just commit suicide?

fossten on November 3, 2010 at 9:22 AM

It’s 1 p.m. But I don’t know if that’s Eastern or Central Time.

kingsjester on November 3, 2010 at 9:22 AM

Get ready for “Hanging Chads II: Handwriting Edition” coming soon to Anchorage a

The Great Alaskan Spelling Test….

ted c on November 3, 2010 at 9:22 AM

Sigh.

Sucks that we got destroyed in Hawaii. Would have been nice to stick that in Obama’s pipe.

KingGold on November 3, 2010 at 9:26 AM

Ok, thanks, 1pm almost certainly eastern time.

I gotta hear this.

I’ve been thinking this morning before I leave what would the republicans have done, or how would they have reacted if Bush had been in this position after the ’02 midterms.

He actaully gained seats that year. If THIS had happened to him, and the democrats saw it as somewhat of a disappointment because they wanted everything and everybody, the republicans would have shat bricks.
“Oh my God, what has happened??”
Along those lines.

B Man on November 3, 2010 at 9:27 AM

In most ways this election has been very hopeful, but what is going on in California and Alaska is very troubling. What is going on there? In California either massive voter fraud, or a death wish, I wonder about the same in Alaska.

Wasn’t it 20,000 fraudalent voters registered in that one county in Texas? Look at how many of these races where 20,000 is a winning margin.

Of course the other question is how many people select Democrat with no thought at all, it is just what they do. How do you get them to stop and think, to realize this isn’t your grandparents or even your parents Democratic party. It is a People’s Socialist party.

We always worry about fraud before, then forget about it afterward, how do we make sure 2012 is honest, if we don’t start working on it now, they will make a comeback, they will cheat their way back in.

And the other message has to be “This is not the Democratic party you thought you knew”. Stop and think before you vote!

odannyboy on November 3, 2010 at 9:29 AM

Congratulations, from San Diego, to all those states that have more sane voters than brain-dead voters. Great job!

Gang-of-One on November 3, 2010 at 9:30 AM

First off…Way to go Ohio and Pennsylvania, my two states!!
That said, I wish people would quit referring to the Tea Party as though it is some huge monolithic entity…it’s not. Angle and O’Donnell were endorsed and pushed by the Tea Party Express. That doesn’t mean every tea partier thought they were the best candidates. I think the Express needs to look at what it’s done and evaluate its performance. Did they simply grab hold of a candidate at hand and run with them? Should they have started earlier and tried to find candidates that were better equipped to handle the race and the job and were Conservative? And they didn’t get into the state races at all, such as governor. As a Tea Partier from the beginning we can’t allow some organization to choose our candidates for us, that’s really no better than the Repub committees we complain about.
I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again…we have to work from the ground up and from within. Someone has mentioned the Precinct Project, and then there are the Party district and state committee members which are also elected. Support people you see in your state before the primaries, help them organize, work for them.
Sorry just a rant this morning, but I honestly believe there is no reason to give money and support to some middleman like the Express or Freedom Works. Why do they get to tell us whom to vote for any more than the political party big wigs do?

Deanna on November 3, 2010 at 9:35 AM

Gird your loins for today’s presser and the Lame Duck Session.

kingsjester on November 3, 2010 at 9:16 AM

Girding!

capejasmine on November 3, 2010 at 9:44 AM

I’m happy today in FL. Looks like Rick Scott will win by a close margin although Sink seems to be digging in.

Rubio won big sending Crist packing. Haven’t heard anything from that guy and hopefully will never see him again.

Would have loved to see Corrine Brown lose but that lady has the district drawn to her advantage giving Mike Yost no chance.

Last night was truly a monumental night. I think it’s only the beginning. I would say for this term, the American people should be proud being able to stop the bleeding from Obama.

The lame duck session will be interesting. Now Obama is off on his $200,000,000 per day trip to India.

gatorfanatic on November 3, 2010 at 9:46 AM

You know, stuff like “Calvin Coolidge faced a worse economic depression than FDR. What he did worked tremendously well … and it was the opposite of what we’re doing now. Why don’t we ever hear about it”?

darwin on November 3, 2010 at 9:08 AM

That will work on everyone until they realize it means be responsible for ones own life and the government will not provide a safety net for you. I’m with you on the concept. I just believe we have a segment of the population that will never want to be responsible for their entire life.

csdeven on November 3, 2010 at 9:58 AM

“The stat of the night, from exit polls: Of those who voted in NV, 55% disapproved of Reid’s job performance, 44% approved. And Reid won.”

Erm, anyone else smell shenanegans?

Ms. Right on November 3, 2010 at 10:00 AM

Erm, anyone else smell shenanegans?

Ms. Right on November 3, 2010 at 10:00 AM

Yeah, like the fact that Angle was an awful candidate who was all-too-easily smeared by Harry Reid.

Not that hard to divine, people.

KingGold on November 3, 2010 at 10:03 AM

“The stat of the night, from exit polls: Of those who voted in NV, 55% disapproved of Reid’s job performance, 44% approved. And Reid won.”

Erm, anyone else smell shenanegans?

Ms. Right on November 3, 2010 at 10:00 A

First thing I thought last night when he won. You know how many union people were out there to make sure he won. You know there were shenanegans.

silvernana on November 3, 2010 at 10:03 AM

Damn Buck is down by 7K votes with 88% in.

angryed on November 3, 2010 at 10:03 AM

Well, crap. Buck lost.

Thanks for nothing, Scott McInnis and Dan Maes?

KingGold on November 3, 2010 at 10:09 AM

I just believe we have a segment of the population that will never want to be responsible for their entire life.

csdeven on November 3, 2010 at 9:58 AM

That segment grows larger with each passing day.

Oldnuke on November 3, 2010 at 10:11 AM

Now that the Republicans have control of the House, they should immediately look into voter fraud…with hearings.
Now..before the even go into office…:lol

dec5 on November 3, 2010 at 10:13 AM

Write In: Lizard people

belad on November 3, 2010 at 10:23 AM

I just believe we have a segment of the population that will never want to be responsible for their entire life.

csdeven on November 3, 2010 at 9:58 AM

Right, and why I feel a bit depressed this morning. That “segment” is larger and more immovable than I thought. I thought the tea party spirit was stronger and would have greater reach. Maybe I was naive. It is still formidable, and may grow, but I realize more clearly now how much damage liberalism has done, how entrenched it is, how thoroughly it has corrupted our education system and our American life. The obstacles are enormous.

rrpjr on November 3, 2010 at 10:24 AM

rrpjr on November 3, 2010 at 10:24 AM

We can roll it back. The 2012 election starts today. We cannot be satisfied with the massive gains we made. We must keep the spirit of the Tea Party movement alive.

Take some solace in this….the message was made loud and clear and even though that despicable Marxist traitor Obama and his minions will never give up, there are MANY elected officials that will be way less inclined to follow his agenda. What we cannot do is follow the advice of the RINO pukes around here who insist we compromise with the progressives. There are certain issues we can compromise on. What we cannot compromise on is the limits on the federal government by the constitution. Gun control must be gone. Obamacare must be gone. The Dept of Education must be gone.

We can compromise on the powers SPECIFICALLY enumerated to the federal government. We can compromise on the size of our military because that is a specific power given to the feds. I for one think we should have a very well funded powerful military, but because I am interested in compromise, I can have a discussion about it.

csdeven on November 3, 2010 at 10:33 AM

“The stat of the night, from exit polls: Of those who voted in NV, 55% disapproved of Reid’s job performance, 44% approved. And Reid won.”

Erm, anyone else smell shenanegans?

Ms. Right on November 3, 2010 at 10:00 AM

Yup…I do!!! I have no doubts tampering went on, and officials looked the other way.

That being said though…the fact that we knew it was a longshot of taking the senate, as well as the house….I’d take Reid over Schumer, or Durbin…any day.

capejasmine on November 3, 2010 at 10:33 AM

RICK SCOTT WINS!!
WOOOOOOOOT!

Handel on November 3, 2010 at 10:39 AM

After reading that pep talk, why shouldn’t I just commit suicide?

fossten on November 3, 2010 at 9:22 AM

It took 9 years for the colonials to defeat the British army. Another few years under the Articles of Confederation before we settled on our Constitution.

What happened last night was about the same as Washington taking his army across the Delaware and staging a minor raid on Trenton.

Skandia Recluse on November 3, 2010 at 10:40 AM

Sigh. Gain Florida, lose Vermont.

Illinois and Minnesota will most likely be stolen, and Connecticut’s not looking good. We lost Rhode Island to Chafee by two points after “Shove it” Caprio imploded.

Tell me again how the Republican Governor’s Association is an unstoppable poltical juggernaut?

KingGold on November 3, 2010 at 10:48 AM

H

ere’s how weak a candidate Sharron Angle was:

The stat of the night, from exit polls: Of those who voted in NV, 55% disapproved of Reid’s job performance, 44% approved. And Reid won.

This smell like corruption, not weakness.

INC on November 3, 2010 at 10:51 AM

Here in Canada, they’re still pushing the meme that it would have been bigger if not for the Tea Party. I don’t think they understand that before the Tea Party, people would have said you were nuts if you told them Republicans would pick up 60+ house seats and 6 Senate seats.

MrX on November 3, 2010 at 8:58 AM

There’s no media in the world more clueless about the US than the Canadian media. Add to that their incredible leftward bias, and it becomes worthless. The UK media is better on the US than Canadian. They desperately need a Canadian version of Fox News.

slickwillie2001 on November 3, 2010 at 10:55 AM

California and Nevada are lost causes, they are liberal bastions and will never revert to conservatives…better to just leave those states and move elsewhere.

royzer on November 3, 2010 at 10:57 AM

Sharron Angle can kiss my ass. You know the amount of money people around this country sent to her incompetent campaign? And she couldn’t beat someone as unpopular as Harry Reid is in his own freakin’ state? Sure, there were “shenanigans,” but they don’t account for the margin of loss–Harry just controls the “machine” in Nevada (such as it is–didn’t help his idiot son). Angle needs to go on a nice long vacation now and stay there–and she should take O’Donnell, Fiorina and Whitman with her. Pitiful.

SukieTawdry on November 3, 2010 at 11:05 AM

rrpjr on November 3, 2010 at 10:24 AM

I feel the same way. I thought after the disaster of the past 2 years people would wake up. But I guess not. It’s really disheartening to see Nevada especially. Highest unemployment rate in the country and they re-elect the incumbent? Unreal.

angryed on November 3, 2010 at 11:05 AM

Here’s how weak a candidate Sharron Angle was:
The stat of the night, from exit polls: Of those who voted in NV, 55% disapproved of Reid’s job performance, 44% approved. And Reid won.

This smell like corruption, not weakness.

INC on November 3, 2010 at 10:51 AM

Sharron Angle can kiss my ass.
SukieTawdry on November 3, 2010 at 11:05 AM

I would be very skeptical Sukie. The polls and the final result make no sense. Can you say SEIU?

CWforFreedom on November 3, 2010 at 11:11 AM

Highest unemployment rate in the country and they re-elect the incumbent? Unreal.

angryed on November 3, 2010 at 11:05 AM

Lots of Californians who moved their in recent years? We know many of them are pretty stupid.

CWforFreedom on November 3, 2010 at 11:12 AM

SukieTawdry on November 3, 2010 at 11:05 AM

Riiiiiight. A virtual unknown comes within 40,000 votes of defeating the second most powerful person in Washington and you blame her. The choices were clear for Nevadans and they chose to stay on the same unsustainable path that got them where they are at today.

csdeven on November 3, 2010 at 11:13 AM

First off…Way to go Ohio and Pennsylvania, my two states!!
That said, I wish people would quit referring to the Tea Party as though it is some huge monolithic entity…it’s not. Angle and O’Donnell were endorsed and pushed by the Tea Party Express. That doesn’t mean every tea partier thought they were the best candidates. I think the Express needs to look at what it’s done and evaluate its performance. Did they simply grab hold of a candidate at hand and run with them? Should they have started earlier and tried to find candidates that were better equipped to handle the race and the job and were Conservative? And they didn’t get into the state races at all, such as governor. As a Tea Partier from the beginning we can’t allow some organization to choose our candidates for us, that’s really no better than the Repub committees we complain about.
I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again…we have to work from the ground up and from within. Someone has mentioned the Precinct Project, and then there are the Party district and state committee members which are also elected. Support people you see in your state before the primaries, help them organize, work for them.
Sorry just a rant this morning, but I honestly believe there is no reason to give money and support to some middleman like the Express or Freedom Works. Why do they get to tell us whom to vote for any more than the political party big wigs do?

Deanna on November 3, 2010 at 9:35 AM

A great post. So-called Tea Party candidates who won Republican primaries have a mixed record in Senate races. Rand Paul won by 11 points in KY, but it’s a conservative state where “establishment” Republicans can also win. Ken Buck is in a dead heat in CO. Sharron Angle lost a winnable race by 5 points in NV, while the Republican won the Governor’s race against Reid’s son. Christine O’Donnell lost the DE Senate race by a wide margin. Joe Miller narrowly won the GOP primary in Alaska, but is losing against a write-in campaign. On the bright side, Marco Rubio won Florida by 20 points, or about a million votes.

Overall Tea Party record in Senate races: 2 wins (FL, KY), 3 losses (AK, DE, NV), and 1 too close to call (CO).

Senate elections are statewide, and in some states registered Republicans only represent about 30% of the electorate, with large numbers of voters concentrated in big cities who tend to vote Democrat. A Tea Party candidate can narrowly win a Republican primary with 16 or 17% of the total electorate, but primary voters need to think about how to “parlay” that into 50%+ of a statewide vote which could include cities full of knee-jerk Democrats, whose votes need to be overcome by suburban voters who can vote either way. Does the candidate not only espouse conservative principles, but can he/she express them well to “squishy” but persuadable people? Marco Rubio won in “purple” Florida not only because he is a solid conservative, but because he is an excellent speaker, very calm under pressure, and very friendly and likeable. He also has EXPERIENCE as Speaker of the State House, so he knows how to get things done in a legislature.

An “outsider” Tea Party candidate like Sharron Angle or Christine O’Donnell has a better chance of winning a House race in a swing district, where registered Republicans make up a larger portion of the electorate, and there may not be a bastion of liberal voters in a big city, and most House races can be won by getting 120,000 votes or so, meaning that the candidate doesn’t have to persuade as many “new” voters in the general election to win.

Primary voters need to “vet” the candidates, and try to ask them tough questions BEFORE the primary–the kind of questions they will be asked by the media or Democrats (sorry for the redundancy), so that solid conservatives can go on to win election and truly represent us.

Steve Z on November 3, 2010 at 11:22 AM

Sigh. Gain Florida, lose Vermont.

Illinois and Minnesota will most likely be stolen, and Connecticut’s not looking good. We lost Rhode Island to Chafee by two points after “Shove it” Caprio imploded.

Tell me again how the Republican Governor’s Association is an unstoppable poltical juggernaut?

KingGold on November 3, 2010 at 10:48 AM

I don’t understand why Fox News called the CT Governor’s race for Malloy (D), when Foley (R) leads by over 10,000 votes with 90% of precincts reporting. Foley should NOT concede this race until ALL the votes are counted, until Malloy can PROVE he has more votes than Foley.

Of course, it wasn’t surprising that there were shenanigans going on in Bridgeport (a liberal bastion) where several polling places reportedly ran out of ballots, and a judge ordered the polls to stay open an extra two hours there, at the behest of the Malloy and Blumenthal (D) campaigns.

Still, nobody should declare Malloy the winner of this race until he can PROVE that he has more votes than Foley.

Steve Z on November 3, 2010 at 11:34 AM

What is the lesson for the Teaparty here? Miller had a good resume, but boy..this is a humiliating loss.

AnninCA on November 3, 2010 at 11:35 AM

Like most of you guys, I watched the election returns. Here is my own “take.”

I think middle-America will feel better, having made their voice heard, clearly.

I think that was the real goal of the Teaparty movement.

I think it succeeded.

I think a lot of really good people tossed their hats in the ring, won primaries, and then came up a bit short. Reid rewon his seat. OK. I personally think that Angel’s ad showing Latinos as gang-bangers was the tipping point, but that’s just my 2 cents. Or maybe it’s not just my 2 cents.

Apparently the turning point for Reid was a good turnout by Latinos in Nevada. That could be in rejection of that attitude. I’d personally suggest that the Western states learn from this.

It’s fine to support Federal border laws. It’s not OK to engage in pseudo-racist attitudes.

But I trust that Angle is not representative of the Teaparty. I think loads of people would like to make her that, but that’s simply not the case. A lot of people like me abhored her AD, spoke out against it, and we matter, too.

AnninCA on November 3, 2010 at 11:50 AM

California and Nevada are lost causes, they are liberal bastions and will never revert to conservatives…better to just leave those states and move elsewhere.

royzer on November 3, 2010 at 10:57 AM

The best thing to do to help Californica and Nevada is to quit spend money there and buying their exported products. The rest of us should vote with our wallets and help them OVER THE CLIFF they are trying to get over.

belad on November 3, 2010 at 11:51 AM

The best thing to do to help Californica and Nevada is to quit spend money there and buying their exported products. The rest of us should vote with our wallets and help them OVER THE CLIFF they are trying to get over.

belad on November 3, 2010 at 11:51 AM

No, I disagree. The Left constantly boycotts. I think personally that harms Americans, and if you’re honestly for this country, then that idea is appalling.

Now, I loathe “Buy American” movements. It’s usually pushing a bad product.

AnninCA on November 3, 2010 at 11:55 AM

I think that the Teaparty movement has no reason to apologise regarding the Senate. It was always a HUGE long-shot to retake.

The Teaparty delivered. The message to DC is beyond refudiation.

And, I always said, the bigger issue was a shift in state legislatures down the line.

CA didn’t change. But CA is so far lost, I honestly think that state couldn’t even really mount a good try.

It just is a huge state, in huge trouble, and will really give the GOP a big headache. They don’t bail this state out, it’s got huge national implications. They do bail it out, it will be about like bailing out Citibank.

Upcoming drama.

AnninCA on November 3, 2010 at 11:59 AM

Oh lordy, even Fox is acting like the teaparty has taken over. LOL*

Gimme a break, people.

AnninCA on November 3, 2010 at 12:00 PM

Palin sure won. LOL*

I bet you we’ll see a lot more respect and a lot less derision for her in the future.

What tickles me?

I bet that Alaska show will be the blockbuster.

AnninCA on November 3, 2010 at 12:03 PM

After reading that pep talk, why shouldn’t I just commit suicide?

fossten on November 3, 2010 at 9:22 AM

Because last night showed there’s still some good left in this world.

:)

pannw on November 3, 2010 at 12:12 PM

Can you say SEIU?

CWforFreedom on November 3, 2010 at 11:11 AM

I believe SEIU stole this with massive fraud. We saw that with ballots already marked for Dingy Harry in early voting.

II’m more angry about establishment RINOs (McConnell, Cornyn, Grahamnesty, et al.)running a stealth ccampaign to get Lisa Mooooooooooocowski re-elected.

pdigaudio on November 3, 2010 at 12:33 PM

The best thing to do to help Californica and Nevada is to quit spend money there and buying their exported products. The rest of us should vote with our wallets and help them OVER THE CLIFF they are trying to get over.

belad on November 3, 2010 at 11:51 AM

No, I disagree. The Left constantly boycotts. I think personally that harms Americans, and if you’re honestly for this country, then that idea is appalling.

Now, I loathe “Buy American” movements. It’s usually pushing a bad product.

AnninCA on November 3, 2010 at 11:55 AM

Makes more sense to attack one of the roots of the problem, the greedy fatcat unions. Don’t buy UAW products, don’t shop in unionized stores, don’t use union shippers, etc. We need to crush the union movement, eliminate government employee unions, and enact 50-state Right to Work.

slickwillie2001 on November 3, 2010 at 12:34 PM

The Murkowskis are like the Kennedys of Alaska. I can’t blame Miller too much for losing. Nevada is a different story. The fringe just had to pick some loony woman instead of someone sane and that cost us.

Speedwagon82 on November 3, 2010 at 12:36 PM

The Murkowskis are like the Kennedys of Alaska. I can’t blame Miller too much for losing. Nevada is a different story. The fringe just had to pick some loony woman instead of someone sane and that cost us.

Speedwagon82 on November 3, 2010 at 12:36 PM

Did ‘the fringe’ elect those candidates in the primaries?

slickwillie2001 on November 3, 2010 at 12:41 PM

OK Peeps, this is the deal. MI was a solid, pro union, pro dem state almost forever. They would sometimes vote an R governor, but pretty much the legislature was either split or D in control. The detroit area dominated the state.

Now, after being completely, economically obliterated, beginning back in the 70′s when the Big 3 were way too slow to recognize the coming globalization of business and how their business cost model was way out of whack to be competitive, it took Michigan FOUR DECADES to hit bottom. Detroit used to have 2 million people inside the city limits. It dropped below 1 million about a decade ago. Michigan has lost an entire college educated generation to other states during the past 2 decades.

Michigan voters finally woke up and looked around and said, this isn’t working anymore. With the exception of the 2 Dem dinosaurs (dingall and conyers) in the SE portion of the state, we did well this election cycle. We have to deal with our 2 senators, but one is really old and the other will be in the fight of her life in 2012. The 2 Ds left in the House, they are really old. If they even live to see the 2012 election, this could be the one that finally sends them packing.

California has to hit bottom first. They haven’t figured it out yet. However, it won’t take them 40 years to do so. One thing they have to deal with, that Michigan didn’t have during its 40 year decline, is the absolute INVASION of illegal aliens and the drain on the state budget. With this election in CA, more of the taxpayers will leave the state, and there won’t be enough left to confiscate money from to save this state’s budget problems. They will have to spiral down and collapse before the morons who vote there fully comprehend just how badly run this state is.

Michigan is finally getting it right. There is hope. Now, I have Snyder (our new gov) on double secret probation. I hope he is not a closet arnold. We will have to see. At least he will have an R legislature to work with.

karenhasfreedom on November 3, 2010 at 12:58 PM

By the way, I grew up in MI but lived in CA for most of the years of 83 to 2003, so I have seen CA decline over those 20 years. I moved back to MI in 2006 and have watched this state finally bottom out and figure out that they have to try something different to turn things around, which they did last night in this election cycle. CA was a nice place to live in 1983, but now, not so much. Which is regrettable. It is a great place to live, weather wise, but just too screwed up now to live there and have any quality of life. Sad, really.

karenhasfreedom on November 3, 2010 at 1:05 PM

karenhasfreedom on November 3, 2010 at 12:58 PM

Interesting analysis on California. On the map, you can see our problem is the cities and the coastal strip. The unions and rich liberal phonies aren’t hurting enough, yet. It’s the tyranny of the urban — greed and a synthetic religion they won’t give up on, until the whole state is destroyed.

Feedie on November 3, 2010 at 2:01 PM

The only lesson for the tea party is that certain bastions of the left are too much for them to overcome. Joe Miller could have ran in Nevada instead of Angle, and he still probably would have lost.

Their only real miscalculation was O’donnell. Otherwise, they (and their sympathziers) contributed to the winning margin in nearly all of the GOP victories. Of course, that won’t stop the emerging narrative that the tea party failed because a few high profile “tea party” candidates lost.

Mad Kimchi on November 3, 2010 at 2:47 PM

Is it worth living here in CA any more? Does the weather and the beauty of the state and the cool Pacific justify living in this 3d world village run by politicians that are corrupt and extreme Marxists? Yes, 3d world – residents are either illegal, members of the unions, teachers or state or city employees OR the Hollywood elite. The immigrants from wherever are so accustomed to entitlements that it is a way of life and they will NEVER vote for GOP. Never has the bumper sticker been so valid as this morning: I’m Surrounded by Idiots….. time to move I suppose but where to and still have the moderate temp and no humidity??? California, you did it to yourself. You deserve what you get…. desertion by your few remaining real earnest hard working citizens. Buh Bye Moonbeam you idiot.

highninside on November 3, 2010 at 4:17 PM

highninside on November 3, 2010 at 4:17 PM

The northern third is beautiful, with forests, mountains, and lakes. The valley is hot and dry in the summer, though not so much this year (la nina). There is quite a bit of agriculture, but the logging industry was devastated by greenie fascists (spotted owl hoax, lawsuits, etc.). Severity of winter weather depends on altitude.

Sometimes there is talk of splitting off the northern third and combining with southern Oregon (State of Jefferson). That never goes anywhere, but these are strange times. Any new state would need protections built into its constitution to prevent the urban liberal tyranny that will develop.

Feedie on November 3, 2010 at 4:56 PM

I haven’t read the prior 1500 + comments, but I’d like to hear from those who believed the Tea Party’s victory in the Nevada primary was the right thing to do, versus the nomination of an establishment candidate instead.
Do you believe either of the other two Republicans would have defeated Reid last night?
Do you believe that a large share of the blame for the loss rests on Sharron Angle, for her comments that allowed reid’s camp to paint her as ‘too extreme’?
If not, what do you believe are the 2 or 3 biggest reasons for her loss?

Red State State of Mind on November 3, 2010 at 5:33 PM

Actually I think Angle never recovered from the 6 weeks of one sided smears when Reid spent MILLIONS, just after the primary and before Angle got her funding in place. Dick Morris was on the tv during that time warning people this was happening. Between that and the SEIU army on the ground, and probably tens of thousands of illegal aliens voting, it was an uphill battle.

We need to establish voter ID laws nationwide, both for registration and voting.

karenhasfreedom on November 3, 2010 at 6:32 PM

I’d like to hear from those who believed the Tea Party’s victory in the Nevada primary was the right thing to do, versus the nomination of an establishment candidate instead.
Red State State of Mind on November 3, 2010 at 5:33 PM

I’ll paste my comment from another thread:

This is a tactical loss and strategic win.

The corruption of Coons and consequences of this election are owned by Democrats, not a RINO approved by deranged dynasts. Rove is exposed as an enemy of citizen representatives and friend of the ruling class. Delaware was given a genuine choice for a change. Money will continue to flow to individual candidates, and not centralized apparatchiks. Stay the course and the country will benefit in the long run. So will the Republican Party.
Feedie on November 3, 2010 at 5:44 PM

Yes, it was worthwhile to do this in Nevada. People had a real choice.

Feedie on November 3, 2010 at 7:15 PM

Yes, it was worthwhile to do this in Nevada. People had a real choice.

Feedie on November 3, 2010 at 7:15 PM

So, if Tarkanian had been the nominee instead, would that have been a real choice?
And do you think his chances of winning would have been better?

Red State State of Mind on November 3, 2010 at 10:06 PM

Actually I think Angle never recovered from the 6 weeks of one sided smears when Reid spent MILLIONS, just after the primary and before Angle got her funding in place. Dick Morris was on the tv during that time warning people this was happening.

Along the lines of what I’m asking, though, is if the R nominee was one of the other two that ran, would the 6 weeks of smears have been different? more or less effective?

Between that and the SEIU army on the ground, and probably tens of thousands of illegal aliens voting, it was an uphill battle.

Same question; would a more ‘establishment’ R candidate have fared better?

We need to establish voter ID laws nationwide, both for registration and voting.

karenhasfreedom on November 3, 2010 at 6:32 PM

I’m not looking to be argumentative; I disagree though. I’d like to see each State decide to toughen their standards and voting policies, but I would not want to see it come dwon from the Federal government unless that State was violating some federal statute.

Red State State of Mind on November 3, 2010 at 10:11 PM

Money will continue to flow to individual candidates, and not centralized apparatchiks. Stay the course and the country will benefit in the long run. So will the Republican Party.
Feedie on November 3, 2010 at 5:44 PM

That’s one thing I take out of this election cycle. It seems people are more inclined to give to individeual candidates rather than to the Party. And I agree that in the long run the country will benefit from the aggregate effect of the Tea Party. I just think a few of the Tea Party candidates weren’t effective in running their campaigns and controlling their image and let their opponents do that. I would have preferred a Candidate in Nevada who had the polish and stature (maybe the wrong word) to win. I think Reid was some of the low hanging fruit in this year’s cycle and Angle just didn’t have what it takes to put him away.

Red State State of Mind on November 3, 2010 at 10:16 PM

If districts are redrawn without regard to politics, it could be interesting.

crosspatch on November 3, 2010 at 3:24 AM

Yes, I voted against establishing that “panel” thing, too.

The measure was Measure 20 (vote, “Yes” or “No”) and it sought to establish a “commission” of 14-member “redistricting commissioners” that would decide what districts were.

I could just see what California would “arrange” as that “commission,” something like Pelosi/Stark/Brown/et al along the lines of the Communist Party Council deciding who was in who’s district.

I voted against it.

Lourdes on November 3, 2010 at 3:30 AM

Well, I realized today that that vote of mine was me being snookered by deceptive voter material mailed to me by Leftwingers posing as decent people.

I was wrong to vote against that Committee of 14 as to determing districts, now I see that but I do today also wonder if my ballot even mattered at all.

Next election — any election — I am paying closer attention to all that crud I get in the mail advising me as to Measures and candidates (though I did vote correctly for the right candidates, rejecting the Left overall). The Measures on the ballots really have to be researched very closely a while before voting because this isnt’ the first time I’ve been snookered into voting for or against something I shouldn’t have.

Lourdes on November 4, 2010 at 2:10 AM

I sense more californians will be migrating to the east…

cmsinaz on November 3, 2010 at 7:32 AM

The knuckleheads who want California to be the premier bastion of liberalism had better stay there and revel in their slop because I know the sane people of Texas, Oklahoma, basically the entire center/south of the country, do not want their lifestyle imposed on us.

When I lived in Seattle, there was a huge influx of CA libs (after the huge San Fran earthquake 1989) and Seattle/Western Washington turned into Los Angeles with bad weather.

tru2tx on November 3, 2010 at 7:43 AM

Look at the millions of voters IN California who continue to vote for Conservatives and who vote repeatedly against Leftwing measures. THOSE are the Californians who will likely be leaving the state.

What happened back at the Earthquake and also after Grey Davis was elected to Governor of CA, was that the property tax thing chased many a middle-class home owner away. So that flood was more “California Liberal” than what’s taking place today and it was those Liberals who ruined many areas of Washington, COLORADO, Arizona, Oregon…

Lourdes on November 4, 2010 at 2:26 AM

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