Open thread: The turnout

posted at 12:45 pm on November 2, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

We’re already getting some data from regular readers about the turnout in their local precincts.  The general impression so far: heavier than usual, but not as heavy as 2008, which would be good news for Republicans in this cycle.  Turnout in 2008 was around 63%, but for most midterms, it’s around 40-45%.  Here are some of the comments received this morning:

  • “I showed up when the polls opened this morning at 7am in the Michigan 1st district in Chippewa County’s 1st precinct.  No violence, intimidation, or other shenanigans going on at this time.  Turnout was really heavy though.  The pollworkers commented on it.  It’s my first time voting in this precinct, so I am not sure what it was like last year.  However, my last election (before I lost my job to the economy) was in Louisiana, and there were twenty times as many people at the poll opening here in this election than there were in Louisiana in my last.”What does a large turnout mean in this district?  I guess we will find out tonight.  My prediction is that the Republican will take this congressional seat by a very large margin.”
  • “Fairly respectable turnout at my precinct at 7:00 am (northern Virginia) and 30 degree weather. No one gets up early to go out into the cold and vote for the status quo.”
  • “Just got back from the heart of liberal voting land [Minnesota]. Turnout is not at all what it was two years ago. Most of the people in line were business people. Two years ago there were a lot more young people. Line last year was around two corners. This morning it was 20 people max.”
  • “Voted at 6:15am here in CT. I live in a small town and the parking lot was getting pretty full. Heard election officials inside saying they were already seeing higher turnouts than expected. Stopped for coffee in the next town over and heard the same thing.”
  • “Voted at 7:10 in Short Pump, Va. I was number 61 in my mostly red district. Looks like it’ll be a fairly heavy turnout here – nothing like 08′ though.”

We’ll set this up as an open thread for turnout reports.  I’ll update them as we get e-mails.  Bear in mind that these are anecdotal reports, but Hot Air has a pretty wide reach, so we should get a good mix of data from it.

Update: A good reminder from the comments: “My dad voted out in Sylvania and said there was a big Kaptur/Democrat flyer/vote list right on the sign up table! He pointed it out, and it was destroyed. Be vigilant and be on the lookout.”  Voter integrity is everyone’s job.

FYI, I voted early, so I have no personal observations on turnout at my precinct from today.

Update: “I voted at 7:00 am in Indianapolis IN.  Very Democrat district.  There were 4 “booths” and I was the only one there.  Walked in, voted, walked out inside 3 minutes.  Very cold out there, a few folks standing there with voting guides which I declined.  As I was leaving I saw a car pulling up, but honestly, I was the only one there besides the poll workers.”

Update: “I voted this morning on my college campus in Philadelphia.  The place was deserted, and the poll workers seemed ready to fall asleep.  The College Dems are elsewhere on campus trying to get people to vote, but nobody seems interested.  Turnout looks like it will be very light.”  That may be very good news for Pat Toomey, as Joe Sestak needs a huge Philly turnout to remain competitive.

Update: “I’m an election judge in North Minneapolis. This is a majority minority precinct. Turnout at 10 am is 60 voters. In 2008 this
precinct had 850 voters. At this pace we won’t top 400 today.”

Update: “Personal experience, in Perriello’s District, VA-5. Went to the UVA polling center to vote in Charlottesville. The place was empty. Maybe 3 or 4 people voted in the 3 minute span I was in the building. That means maybe 500 voters total by the end of the day if the pattern holds. According to Virginia State Department data, there were 1500 votes cast in this precinct in 2008. 1200 of them were for Obama.

“If republican turnout holds or improves any in these voting precincts, a possibility because of greater enthusiasm numbers in 2010 vs. 2008, a total wipeout is possible.”

Update: From a Republican district in Orange County, California: “I just got back from voting and here is my report; there were 8 voting booths and all was being used when I arrived. Normally when I vote around 9:00am there is only one or two booths being used. I had to wait a few minutes to do my voting and by the time I was leaving there was a line forming. Traffic much more for that time of day.”

Update: “Showed up to vote at 9:00 in very conservative district in Winston-Salem, NC.  The line was huge.   Eight privacy booths were in use and they had to bring in two additional tables to allow people fill out their ballots using hymn books to block people from seeing their ballots.  It took me 15 minutes in 2008.   It took me 45 minutes to vote today.”

Update:  Two more:

  • “I live in Georgia’s 12th Congressional District, a seat currently held by John Barrow, which is pretty reliably blue.  My wife and I just went to vote at our precinct, which is a church in the most heavily democratic area of Savannah, Georgia, and besides 8 poll workers, we were the only people there!  This polling location had lines around the corner all day in 2008.  The 12th district race hasn’t had any national attention or blogosphere attention, and there hasn’t been any independent polling , but I wonder if Ray McKinney isn’t going to pull off a surprise win, or at least make it really close.  Hotair has been great with its coverage and analysis this year – keep up the good work!”
  • “I’m a Republican pollwatcher in Reno.  I’m at a heavily Dem polling place in downtown.  Turnout is very heavy–lines are ~25 deep.  Voter report at 10:00 said 58 Rs 48 Ds 18 non-’partisan 5 IA.  I’ve walked these precincts before and they are blue blue blue.”

Update: “I voted this morning around 8 am in my precinct on the near west side of Madison, WI. Remembering the long lines of 2008, I took a travel mug full of hot coffee, a book and my iPod. I didn’t need them. I walked directly in, and went straight to a booth.

“One funny thing I did notice yesterday was the sudden appearance of Ron Johnson signs in Madison itself. Until Monday, you only saw Johnson signs in the suburbs but not in “The People’s Republic of Madison” proper. After Halloween, the Johnson signs came out! Probably due people remembering the vandalism and sign-stealing that took place during the 04 and 08 presidential races.”


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go get’em…

cmsinaz on May 23, 2013 at 8:05 PM

Among those officials: Jacob Sullivan, then deputy chief of staff and director of policy planning (and currently national security adviser to Vice President Joe Biden); Victoria Nuland, then State Department spokesman; Raymond Maxwell, deputy assistant secretary of state for near east affairs; Patrick Kennedy, undersecretary of state for management; and Eric Boswell, former assistant secretary of state for diplomatic security.

Boom.

peski on May 23, 2013 at 8:05 PM

hillary needs to come back as well….

cmsinaz on May 23, 2013 at 8:06 PM

I wonder if these whistleblowers are included.

PJM EXCLUSIVE: Ex-Diplomats Report New Benghazi Whistleblowers with Info Devastating to Clinton and Obama

…These whistleblowers, colleagues of the former diplomats, are currently securing legal counsel because they work in areas not fully protected by the Whistleblower law.

…The former diplomats inform PJM the new revelations concentrate in two areas — what Ambassador Chris Stevens was actually doing in Benghazi and the pressure put on General Carter Ham, then in command of U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) and therefore responsible for Libya, not to act to protect jeopardized U.S. personnel.

Stevens’ mission in Benghazi, they will say, was to buy back Stinger missiles from al-Qaeda groups issued to them by the State Department, not by the CIA. Such a mission would usually be a CIA effort, but the intelligence agency had opposed the idea because of the high risk involved in arming “insurgents” with powerful weapons that endanger civilian aircraft.

…Regarding General Ham, military contacts of the diplomats tell them that AFRICOM had Special Ops “assets in place that could have come to the aid of the Benghazi consulate immediately (not in six hours).”

Ham was told by the White House not to send the aid to the trapped men, but Ham decided to disobey and did so anyway, whereupon the White House “called his deputy and had the deputy threaten to relieve Ham of his command.”

INC on May 23, 2013 at 8:08 PM

President Obama on Thursday nominated Victoria Nuland, a State Department official involved in the editing of the administration’s talking points on Benghazi, to be the next assistant secretary of state for European and Eurasian affairs.

via politico

is he really that clueless????

cmsinaz on May 23, 2013 at 8:10 PM

As the investigation into the Obama administration’s handling of the attacks on U.S. facilities in Benghazi intensifies, lawmakers on Capitol Hill are seeking to conduct transcribed interviews with thirteen top State Department officials in the coming weeks in order to learn more.

I don’t know the details of a transcribed interview. Will they be under oath?

Curtiss on May 23, 2013 at 8:11 PM

is he really that clueless????

cmsinaz on May 23, 2013 at 8:10 PM

Arrogant and narcissistic. He may think he’s completely untouchable because for his entire political life, he’s pretty much done whatever he wanted to do and gotten away with it.

INC on May 23, 2013 at 8:12 PM

INC on May 23, 2013 at 8:12 PM

tru dat

cmsinaz on May 23, 2013 at 8:12 PM

So we’re coming up to hit about two full weeks of scandals?

Still more revelations every day as the stable doors burst open on this Augean Administration.

INC on May 23, 2013 at 8:14 PM

Nothing wrong with pandering to your ever decreasing base I guess.

HotAirLib on May 23, 2013 at 8:16 PM

i’m just gonna say it: Darell Issa is sexy!

GhoulAid on May 23, 2013 at 8:17 PM

Keeping up pressure is a fitting tribute for Memorial Day.

ajacksonian on May 23, 2013 at 8:17 PM

I have no confidence that Issa has what it takes to get to the truth of any of these scandals.

blue13326 on May 23, 2013 at 8:19 PM

President Obama on Thursday nominated Victoria Nuland, a State Department official involved in the editing of the administration’s talking points on Benghazi, to be the next assistant secretary of state for European and Eurasian affairs.
via politico

is he really that clueless????

cmsinaz on May 23, 2013 at 8:10 PM

Nothing wrong with pandering to your ever decreasing base I guess.

HotAirLib on May 23, 2013 at 8:16 PM

You are correct for once.

VegasRick on May 23, 2013 at 8:22 PM

Nothing wrong with pandering to your ever decreasing base I guess.

HotAirLib on May 23, 2013 at 8:16 PM

Fiat justitia et ruant coeli
Let justice be done, though the heavens fall.

INC on May 23, 2013 at 8:28 PM

Note to ERIKA JOHNSEN: the “womp” is missing.r Please pick up the blue courtesy phone in the lobby.

ExpressoBold on May 23, 2013 at 8:33 PM

HAL, Sing daisy for us.

Can’t handle your messiah failing huh?

The next few weeks should be fun, well for us not you. You’ll soon be curled up in the fetal potition sucking your thumb.

Tissue?

D-fusit on May 23, 2013 at 8:51 PM

hillary needs to come back as well….

cmsinaz on May 23, 2013 at 8:06 PM

Hillary will be back on her deathbed before she goes back to Congress. She wants to be President. She timed her last appearance (not under oath) so that it was just before her victory lap as the best SecState ever. She’s not going to willingly go back to Congress and have to answer the questions that the ARB should have asked if it were conducted by men of integrity instead of Mullen and Pickering.

Happy Nomad on May 23, 2013 at 8:52 PM

Nothing wrong with pandering to your ever decreasing base I guess.

HotAirLib on May 23, 2013 at 8:16 PM

Well, we’ll see how that works out for the rat-eared traitor. Fewer and fewer supporters everyday as the scandals take their toll. It is only a matter of time before Bo denies that he knows this filthy corrupt bastard (literally).

Happy Nomad on May 23, 2013 at 8:55 PM

Nothing wrong with pandering to your ever decreasing base I guess.

HotAirLib on May 23, 2013 at 8:16 PM

ZOMG!!11!! HAL has become a Republican! Thank goodness! I was in fear for your almost-immortal soul. (You still owe time to Satan, for your years of apostasy).

Um, what was that…? HAL attempted sarcasm? Well, butter my butt, and call me a biscuit! And they told me libbabies don’t have a sense of humor! Good, HAL, good. In a few years, you might be eligible to apply for human race membership.

Your Libbiebers are going down in flames, HAL. Enjoy the weenie roast.

creekspecter on May 23, 2013 at 9:36 PM

Nobody is in jail yet. One vacation, and one 3 week early retirement.

I like the line,, but results would be good.

IRS agents in a supermax general population.

wolly4321 on May 23, 2013 at 9:53 PM

There’s been some concern[-trolling] that Republicans might be pushing their luck with the extent to which they are focusing on Scandalmania and especially the ongoing Benghazi debacle, but a CNN poll earlier this week confirmed that a healthy majority of 59 percent of Americans approve of the way Republicans have been handling the investigation…

We’ve hit a point in this country where political gamesmanship should not be considered. Even if the poll were not favorable, this is the hill to die on–because if someone does not reign in this out-of-control administration, there will be no more hills. When one party ruthlessly and brazenly abuses the power of the public offices it controls to punish its political enemies, what follows–barring some sort of intervention and house cleaning–is tyranny.

It is truly terrifying how far along that path we have slipped. I shudder to think what will happen if the Republicans let these egregious wrongs–these assaults against everything America stands for–go. It’s heartening that 59% of Americans get that. (Of course, it would be great if the percentage were higher, but I’m willing, all things considered, to see that in a glass-a-bit-past-half-full kind of way.)

And when I consider how I would react if this were a Republican administration rather than a Democrat one, I feel exactly the same way. I would want the guilty parties identified, removed from office, and suitably punished. Either we are a people that believes in the rule of law, or we are a people willing to be subject to the capricious desires of whoever happens to hold the most power.

May God help us, and may justice be done–no matter what polls say.

butterflies and puppies on May 23, 2013 at 10:10 PM

are going to hold Secretary Kerry to his promise to run “an accountable and open State Department”:

Yeah? And what’s the ‘expiration date’ going to be on that “promise”?

GarandFan on May 23, 2013 at 10:24 PM

The backdrop for all this corruption is a media, an educational system, and an entertainment industry that all act as propagandists for one political party and one political ideology.

Imagine a theatre filled with an audience who have diverse political views. Yet the sound engineer, the lighting engineer, the actors, the musicians, the stage hands, the ushers, and the candy vendors all act in unison to promote one point of view.

This is the America that we live in today, and the GOP are to blame for sitting on their hands and allowing this situation to metastasize for the past 40 years, based on the idiot logic of “hey, we’re still winning our fair share of elections, so let’s stay above the fray”.

When the next Civil War begins, it can also be ended in one day. Just bomb the hell out of every college campus faculty lounge, every Hollywood studio, and the HQ of every MSM outlet, and then watch America slowly go back to normal.

Cut all three heads off of the snake.

ardenenoch on May 23, 2013 at 11:46 PM

Considering how dreadfully FEW were involved in last years elections I’m glad our remaining representatives are still taking their jobs seriously.

If more don’t start getting involved NOW I couldn’t blame them for letting these matters drop.

Let them eat cake, right?

DannoJyd on May 24, 2013 at 1:05 AM

…reign in…
butterflies and puppies on May 23, 2013 at 10:10 PM

Sorry–should be “rein in.” I’m going to blame it on a combination of tiredness, distraction, and the unsettling specter of a power-mad monarch looming over the future of this country. ;)

butterflies and puppies on May 24, 2013 at 1:37 AM

Nothing will happen for 11 days. Congress is adjourned for the Memorial DAY holiday. Only in govt will 1 holiday equal 11 days off.

Kissmygrits on May 24, 2013 at 8:49 AM

I would point out that by definition it extremely difficult to blackout the public and overwhelm them with information and talking about something at the same time.

I guess the Media’s take is that forcing the Media to say “move along nothing to see here”, enough times will irritate the public into voting against Republicans.

I think they also know the did the “move along nothing to see here thing” on Benghazi and they don’t wan’t other to understand how horribly wrong and biased they were to do that.

Personally I think that is really the media saying they don’t know if they can do those 2 things at the same time and so are hoping to steer everyone away from making them do this tightrope walk.

Conan on May 24, 2013 at 10:06 AM