Oh my: Coons camp reporting lower than expected Dem turnout in Delaware

posted at 3:11 pm on November 2, 2010 by Allahpundit

Two possibilities here, obviously. One: Democratic turnout is actually okay but Team Coons is so worried about GOP enthusiasm that they’ve resorted to scaring the hell out of their supporters to make sure they vote. It’s a head fake, in other words, aimed at goosing their base. Two: They’re on the level and Democrats really aren’t turning out. If it’s the latter, don’t get your hopes up too high for this particular race: A double-digit lead means this guy still has a very wide margin of error. But what it portends for the rest of the country is enormous. If Coons is suddenly looking at a nailbiter in a state as blue as this, despite endless negative coverage of O’Donnell and campaign stops by Obama and Biden, then the mythic GOP super-wave really might be on its way tonight.

And if she actually pulls the upset? It’ll be the Democratic apocalypse.

Democrats in Delaware remain skittish.

In a noon email alert to supporters, Coons campaign manager Christy Gleason said close monitoring of voter turnout in the state’s 41 representative districts showed “lower turnout in New Castle and Kent counties than we’re comfortable with.”

To win, Mr. Coons will have to get heavy support from Democrats and independents in New Castle, the state’s most populous county.

Here she is last night on Greta insisting that the race is tight and could have been tighter if the NRSC had chipped in with a bit more support. The NRSC’s response: “While many of our Republican candidates in very close races have been outspent by the Democrats, Christine is the only Senate candidate who has had the resources to run 30-minute ads, rather than 30-second ads.” Yeah, she’s flush with cash and there were plenty of other states — Nevada, Alaska, and Pennsylvania, for starters — that were tighter where help was needed. But if she ends up losing this in a squeaker, good luck convincing anyone tomorrow that they allocated their resources appropriately. Exit question: If O’Donnell is closer than we think in Delaware, what’s the margin going to be between Angle and Reid tonight?



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I forbid this. No humbot after midnight (on the east coast). I have a job, sleep is a requirement.

If there is humpbotting, lets get it done early.

BobMbx on November 2, 2010 at 3:29 PM

Ditto

wi farmgirl on November 2, 2010 at 5:52 PM

Release the KRAKEN!!

Brian1972 on November 2, 2010 at 5:54 PM

Uh, or Thomas Jefferson. You’d have to be willfully ignorant to think that the founding fathers loved organized religion or state religion. America was the first country without an official religion. You might say it was a revolutionary idea.

Thomas Jefferson wrote that in a letter to a church…while at the same time paying for church construction through public funds…and sending missionaries to the indians with public funds….

It is not. Evolution says nothing about the ultimate existence or non-existence of gods. It merely the acknowledgement that life can gradually change through the non-random pressures of natural selection. And if atheism is a religion, not-collecting-stamps is a hobby. C’mon. Atheism is lack of religion, completely void of faith positions. I’m as much “religious” about my lack of belief in God as you are “religious” about your lack of belief in the two-headed pink unicorn I keep in my garage. It’s also rather telling that your response is along the lines of “atheism is a religion too.” It’s almost as if you’re trying to disguise your faith by claiming the non-faith of others to be a certain type of faith, no less unreasonable than your actual faith.

uh yeah sure…..

Naturalistic evolution has clear consequences that Charles Darwin understood perfectly. 1) No gods worth having exist; 2) no life after death exists; 3) no ultimate foundation for ethics exists; 4) no ultimate meaning in life exists; and 5) human free will is nonexistent.”

Provine, William B. [Professor of Biological Sciences, Cornell University], “, “Evolution: Free will and punishment and meaning in life”, Abstract of Will Provine’s 1998 Darwin Day Keynote Address.

right4life on November 2, 2010 at 5:54 PM

Disinformation being spread about the location of COD’s “victory” party if it becomes that. I heard her interview on WGMD this afternoon. She said it would be held in Dover vis RSVP because of security reasons.

technopeasant on November 2, 2010 at 5:54 PM

MJBrutus on November 2, 2010 at 4:11 PM

So you support the bearded Marxist? That’s the only other choice.

kingsjester on November 2, 2010 at 4:14 PM

You mean Harry Reid’s pet?

wi farmgirl on November 2, 2010 at 5:54 PM

JonPrichard on November 2, 2010 at 5:52 PM

While I disagree with Mark, he has to stay here and keep the HA servers up and online.

F15Mech on November 2, 2010 at 5:55 PM

Lower than expected turnout? So does that mean O’Donnell will lose by 10 instead of 15?

Enrique on November 2, 2010 at 5:56 PM

Dear God-evolution on this thread? For crack’s sake give up the pipe.

Onto more interesting things:
I personally doubt O’Donnel will win, but that’s me just being pessimistic bcs many of the voters of Delaware are well known for their ‘wisdom’ & smarts.
They gave us Joe Biden, after all.

Badger40 on November 2, 2010 at 5:57 PM

While I disagree with Mark, he has to stay here and keep the HA servers up and online.

F15Mech on November 2, 2010

He’s the IT guy?

JonPrichard on November 2, 2010 at 6:00 PM

They gave us Joe Biden, after all.

Badger40 on November 2, 2010

That DOES give one pause.

JonPrichard on November 2, 2010 at 6:01 PM

It’s happening.

eyesky on November 2, 2010 at 6:02 PM

At noon, Coons’ campaign manager, Christy Gleason, sent an email alert to supporters, saying turnout was sluggish in New Castle and Kent counties.

“The data we’re seeing is showing lower turnout in New Castle and Kent counties than we’re comfortable with,” Gleason wrote.

At about 5:30 p.m., Gleason sent another email to supporters, saying “we’ve seen a surge of voter turnout in some of our strongest Democratic representative districts.”

http://www.delawareonline.com/article/20101102/NEWS/101102031/Down-to-the-wire-Coons-campaigns-across-state

davidk on November 2, 2010 at 6:06 PM

Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions.

Mark Jaquith on November 2, 2010 at 5:35 PM

Thanks Mark. I’ll keep that TJ quote in mind the next time those pesky physicists start pestering me with all that unfashionably passe 1920′s style quantum mechanics.

My collie says:

String theory? Dark matter? Dark Energy? Hah! If only Thomas Jefferson were here to ridicule them. Or better yet, maybe James Callender could print some articles about the threat posed by those reprehensible physicists and their unintelligible propositions.

CyberCipher on November 2, 2010 at 6:12 PM

He’s the IT guy?

JonPrichard on November 2, 2010 at 6:00 PM

He is the wordpress admin for HA.

F15Mech on November 2, 2010 at 6:14 PM

Enrique who are you really? We know you are a troll but you are someone who was banned in the past or you are Ernie’s lover.

CWforFreedom on November 2, 2010 at 6:19 PM

All I know is that she’s a Young Earther (which means that she doubts the utility of chemistry),

Right. Because everyone knows that the age of the earth is one of the burning issues to be decided by Congress.

In fact, I believe her answer was always that her opinion of evolution was irrelevant. Which is a better answer than yours.

and as much as she claims to champion the Constitution, she showed remarkable surprise that the concept (yes, the concept, not the phrase) of separation of church and state was enshrined in the First Amendment.

Separation of church and state is an interpretation of what the Constitution actually says. It is not factual to say that the “concept” is in the First Amendment. At the very least, the interpretation is open to argument. In fact, I’d
d argue that it’s a tremendously misleading phrase that implies a near-hostility to religion by the government, and recent history seems to bear me out. Once again, O’Donnell is more correct than you are.

She supports the government teaching religious dogma in government schools. That doesn’t sound like smaller government, or freedom from state religion.

First, false. Second, what she actually supports is less federal control of schools, and more local control. That sounds suspiciously like smaller government to me.

She also has really backwards and unrealistic views on sexuality. Views that, frankly, an adult should be embarrassed to profess with a straight face.

No worse than typical Catholic doctrine, and even that is from something she said over a decade ago when she was newly converted to Christianity.

The witch thing was beyond stupid — instead of saying that she’s not a witch, how about saying that the entire idea of witchcraft is as “real” as tarot cards, astrology, and palm reading. She might as well have said “I don’t have magical powers.” Well no kidding you don’t. No one does.

Attacks about the so-called witch thing are beyond stupid. She never said she was a witch. She said she had a friend in high school who was. And while I don’t believe in witchcraft per se, there’s no denying there are people who do, and who practice it. So witches are certainly real, if deluded.

Finally, she’s not the only non-Democratic option. Jim Rash seems pretty good.

Mark Jaquith on November 2, 2010 at 4:35 PM

Yeah, he’ll do well.

tom on November 2, 2010 at 6:20 PM

If we end up ONE SENATOR SHORT of losing the Senate…

VastRightWingConspirator on November 2, 2010 at 5:37 PM

Doesn’t make a lot of difference with other squishes to help the Dems out. You’d need a fairly solid 60 votes.

ddrintn on November 2, 2010 at 6:33 PM

Nope. Rove was on some radio program, still trashing COD THIS morning. I’ll try to find the source.

Sir Napsalot on November 2, 2010 at 5:31 PM

Incredible. I still have to think there’s something shady going on there. When the topic is COD, Rove goes irrational. Hope it comes out eventually.

slickwillie2001 on November 2, 2010 at 6:43 PM

slickwillie2001 on November 2, 2010 at 6:43 PM

Employment.

hawkdriver on November 2, 2010 at 6:48 PM

I think you left out Berkeley. Only city in America whose inhabitants are all stupidly insane.

PrettyD_Vicious on November 2, 2010 at 4:17 PM

Berkeley is an immediate suburb of SF. I’m sort of including the immediate suburbs for each city, but if the three I listed were to vanish from the PRK, there would be a huge shift in our politics.

I would not say stupidly insane…I’d say dangerously insane.

Fighton03 on November 2, 2010 at 7:16 PM

I deliberately misspell Berkeley.

I was there once. Massachusetts on Meth and Merlot.

IlikedAUH2O on November 2, 2010 at 7:56 PM

come on Christine, it’s not too late to cast a spell or something…

greataunty on November 2, 2010 at 9:57 PM

How stupid must one be to believe there is “no difference” between possibly controlling the Senate with Castle, and Democratic control with Coons? Not only does the Majority Leader control the agenda, but the Committee Chairmen have a strong influence on policy, and especially the Judiciary Chairman matters in whether and when judicial nominees get hearings.

“No difference?” Fools!

Adjoran on November 2, 2010 at 10:02 PM

Yeah, that was a real friggin’ nailbiter there.

Tres Angelas on November 3, 2010 at 9:02 AM

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