Big GOP victories plant the seeds of broad, deep and enduring majority

posted at 8:30 pm on October 30, 2010 by Patrick Ishmael

I’ve been writing a lot lately about the Republicans’ odds of taking back Congress, but one thing I haven’t really talked about is how a decisive vote this year could affect the long-term political environment, the effects of which will be clearly seen in the House.

Obviously one great way of affecting long-term political change is by controlling post-Census reapportionment through the election of governors and state legislatures, as dozens of House seats could come the GOP’s way simply through the creation of new seats in growing, Republican-controlled states and by Republican-controlled legislatures and governorships redrawing of the lines of Congressional districts. Indeed, Republicans may be leading many more states after Tuesday; after averaging the responses of the nearly 1200 participants to the Midterm Election Challenge, readers have predicted that Republicans will control 32+ governorships after this election. (Full results at the link.) Paired with similar gains among the state legislatures, that’s a lot of redistricting power.

But assume for a moment that there was no Census: no structural advantage to be had in the coming years. Where are the ideas of the Republican Party resonating? Perhaps a picture will help tell the tale.

The following map takes the House delegations of each state in 2004 — the last term Republicans held the majority — and compares them to the hypothetical delegations that’d result from a 63 seat GOP pickup in 2010 (that is, the 67 best pickup opportunities for the GOP, minus the four best Dem pickup opportunities.) Gray states indicate that the 2010 Republican delegation would return to its 2004 levels, neither losing nor gaining seats. Red states signal net Republican pickups above 2004. Blue states signal similar pickups by Democrats.

If this sort of an election comes pass — and that’s a big IF until people get out there and vote — it suggests that there is a regional party in America. And it’s the Democrats. (Also worth noting: the Midterm Election Challenge predicts a House take in the high 60s/low 70s, so imagine the map accordingly if you like. If Republicans can win a single race in Rhode Island, Maine and Massachusetts and hold the seat in Hawaii, what a picture that will paint, too.)

Republicans are set to command a coalition that’s not just growing in the South, but in the West and Midwest while largely regaining its pre-2006 footing everyplace else. From gains in liberal leaning states in the Northwest to the old Democrat stomping grounds in the Steel Belt and around the Great Lakes, Republicans are positioned not only to “hit the reset button” in 25 states and return to their previous delegation levels, but expand their delegations in an additional 17 states. Meanwhile, Democrats are left after four years in power making gains, and oftentimes very modest gains, in only eight states.

A strong showing in the House will be a symptom of larger political strides being taken by the Right that will shape our country for years to come. Presented with a fertile political landscape, it’s now up to us to keep the movement growing.

This post was promoted from GreenRoom to HotAir.com.
To see the comments on the original post, look here.


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Wasn’t something similar said about the demorat gains in 2006 and 2008?

Maybe this is structural, but politicians of both parties seem to be more similar to one another than is comfortable when it comes to protecting themselves from “outsiders”.

I’ll reserve judgment until the GOP proves itself more than just another good ol’ boy network and purges itself of the Leselle Meerkatskin fuds which invest its ranks.

Bishop on October 30, 2010 at 8:34 PM

May God shine His Grace

EliTheBean on October 30, 2010 at 8:35 PM

I would say, be careful. The Dems thought they had the country with them 2 years ago too. They didn’t. Instead, they’d been swept to power because of Bush-hatred and the enticing thrill of having a black president.

The Republicans stand a better chance of carrying the country with them because the country leans to the right more than the left, and when people are polled on specific policy positions without a party affiliation attached, they agree with the Republicans on a lot of issues.

But, just as 2 years ago, this is another protest election. People are not voting for the Republicans as much as they are lashing out against the Democrats.

It will take a great deal of work–in the face of what is still largely a liberal media culture–to pull the country from loathing what the Dems have done to wanting what the Reps are offering.

HakerA on October 30, 2010 at 8:36 PM

I hope you are right, but I think this kind of talk is premature. Remember the “New Progressive Majority” of less than 2 years ago?

RINO in Name Only on October 30, 2010 at 8:37 PM

GOP won nothing. It’s the tea party people that made this.

In short, I want A HUMBLE, CONSERVATIVE, BUT STRONG HOUSE SPEAKER IN THE HOUSE!

I want GOP to claim the Gun “Anti-Corruption” and the Rule of Law!

THEN THE NEXT TWO YEARS MUST BE ON THE “JOB CREATION”!

TheAlamos on October 30, 2010 at 8:39 PM

In a just world, Wednesday’s headlines would read:

Center-right nation turns Right-right. Republic saved.

Grace_is_sufficient on October 30, 2010 at 8:39 PM

The same things were being said four and two years ago with the big Dem wins, so I wouldn’t get too excited there. And if the Republicans subsume the Tea Party coalition, then all bets are off. That’ll signal the death of the ‘Pubs for sure, as there’ll be a legitimate third party by 2012. Bank on it.

nukemhill on October 30, 2010 at 8:40 PM

I would add that not only were pundits talking about a permanent Democratic majority after 2008, they were also talking about permanent Republican majority after 2004.

Let the historians decide when something actually heralded the dawn of a long-term period of dominance. Anything we say now is essentially reading tea-leaves. It can only make us complacent.

RINO in Name Only on October 30, 2010 at 8:41 PM

RINO in Name Only on October 30, 2010 at 8:37 PM

I was about to say the same thing. I have yet to see compelling evidence of a significant ideological or political realignment.

Free Constitution on October 30, 2010 at 8:41 PM

I’ve just been seeing more awareness, not necessarily evidence of lasting shifts in electoral behavior.

Free Constitution on October 30, 2010 at 8:43 PM

REPEAL OBAMACARE

If this is just one of the many repudiations

Kini on October 30, 2010 at 8:45 PM

It’s all about the gerrymandering – which will set us up for even more gains in 2012.

Rebar on October 30, 2010 at 8:48 PM

I hope you are right, but I think this kind of talk is premature. Remember the “New Progressive Majority” of less than 2 years ago?

RINO in Name Only on October 30, 2010 at 8:37 PM

100% agree with your point. Not arguing any of that 40 or 20 or whatever year nonsense. Just arguing that the GOP message is gaining traction widely, and that the environment’s right for them to keep it going for a longer period and unlike the Dems’ likely four-and-done experience. Just like with any investment, diversification is often the key to surviving bad markets. The wider the Republicans’ appeal, the longer they’ll keep a majority or, if they lose it, the more rapidly they can reclaim it.

Patrick Ishmael on October 30, 2010 at 8:49 PM

It’s a difficult country to run. After a certain number of years, the country becomes dissatisfied and wants change of any kind. However, conservatives always have the better ideas and should stay in power longer and always come back.

Blake on October 30, 2010 at 8:52 PM

It’s all about the gerrymandering – which will set us up for even more gains in 2012.

Rebar on October 30, 2010 at 8:48 PM

This is what this story is about. Shame Rebar seems to be the only one who gets it.

Dominion on October 30, 2010 at 8:59 PM

n a just world, Wednesday’s headlines would read:
Center-right nation turns Right-right. Republic saved.
Grace_is_sufficient on October 30, 2010 at 8:39 PM

Won’t happen. This has to be one of the dumbest posts in a long time.

“Look we are going to win, so that means we win forever, no one will ever get sick of our crap…!!!!!!

Dunb post is dumb.

harry on October 30, 2010 at 9:04 PM

Oh, I get the ramifications of this story all too well. By gaining control of the House (the stadium, if you will), we’ve managed to be in position to re-stripe the playing field to our advantage. Now, if we can get fair referees, all will be right in the world.

itzWicks on October 30, 2010 at 9:05 PM

We’ve heard this deep and enduring majority bullshit before. They need to shut up about how enduring the majority will be and due the work to earn it. That means reducing the size of government, and bring real limited government change.

brandozilla on October 30, 2010 at 9:06 PM

GOP won nothing. It’s the tea party people that made this.

In short, I want A HUMBLE, CONSERVATIVE, BUT STRONG HOUSE SPEAKER IN THE HOUSE!

I want GOP to claim the Gun “Anti-Corruption” and the Rule of Law!

THEN THE NEXT TWO YEARS MUST BE ON THE “JOB CREATION”!

TheAlamos on October 30, 2010 at 8:39 PM

Agreed and, how does the gubment create jobs?

[]lowering taxes
[]eliminate red tape
[]over turn BS regulation.
[]eliminate the minimum wage.

esnap on October 30, 2010 at 9:07 PM

A lot of this assumes that the Tea Party Republicans and the Establishment RINO’s can get along. I’m betting on more dirty tricks from the establishment – which will infuriate the grassroots and fuel wide calls for a third party – which could be conceived in the South.

I’m telling you – we’re walking on egg shells folks. The victory Tuesday is only half the fight. I sense that the GOP establishment is going to be completely stupid and attempt to cut Sarah Palin and maybe a few other Tea Party folks off at the knees – and when that happens – they will lose well over half the party.

The TP is STRONG in the South – and if we split from the GOP we’ll grab a lot of indies too – who are fed up with both parties – at that point, the Southern GOP lawmakers start to defect rather than risk losing their seats. Hell – many would gladly defect.

In any case – this is a caution to the elites – you’ve lost this election and there are new drivers for this vehicle. Give up the keys and you can ride shotgun if you want – but you’re not driving for awhile.

Attempt to fight that – and, well – you will find yourself alone in a Republican party that’s a shell of it’s former self.

HondaV65 on October 30, 2010 at 9:11 PM

It took six years to Eight years for Republicans to lose their majorities. They had 9-11, Hurricane Katrina, two wars and a press that was openly hostile before they lost power. Their out of control spending is one of the reasons they lost power and that is why Democrats will be wiped out in a few days.
As long as the Republicans have learned their lesson they will be fine.
The Tea Party will keep them honest.

NeoKong on October 30, 2010 at 9:13 PM

Dunb post is dumb.

harry on October 30, 2010 at 9:04 PM

Check you work before calling someone dunb./

darwin-t on October 30, 2010 at 9:14 PM

If the “conservatives” elected Tuesday actually act like conservatives and work to repeal the destructive laws passed by Osama Obama’s henchmen, maybe there’s a chance that a Republican-led majority can last longer than one cycle.

If they get squishy, hung up on “process” and “cooperation,” or succumb to the fog of corruption and “entitlement” that permeates D.C., they’ll be broomed as failures, too.

MrScribbler on October 30, 2010 at 9:14 PM

In any case – this is a caution to the elites – you’ve lost this election and there are new drivers for this vehicle. Give up the keys and you can ride shotgun if you want – but you’re not driving for awhile.

Attempt to fight that – and, well – you will find yourself alone in a Republican party that’s a shell of it’s former self.

HondaV65 on October 30, 2010 at 9:11 PM

Yeah, let McConnell and his country clubbers sit and watch with slurpees and let us do the lifting for a while.

fossten on October 30, 2010 at 9:17 PM

There is some truth in what Mr. Ishmael states but it glosses over a lot. Till the GOP figures out how to gain serious control of the urban cores of places like LA, SF, Chi, Atl, Houston, Miami they will not be successful in terminating the Democrats.

Dr. Dog on October 30, 2010 at 9:18 PM

fossten on October 30, 2010 at 9:17 PM

Just no purity tests..The GOP is the big tent..let’s keep it that way..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 9:22 PM

Obviously one great way of affecting long-term political change is by controlling post-Census reapportionment through the election of governors and state legislatures, as dozens of House seats could come the GOP’s way simply through the creation of new seats in growing, Republican-controlled states and by Republican-controlled legislatures and governorships redrawing of the lines of Congressional districts.

With one glaring mistake…..The idiots in California who appear to enjoy being shackled by the public employees—and the unions as they eat them right out of their pocketbooks. Meanwhile, the whole frikkin state is going broke subsidising the union’s pension plans. This looks like it will last one more term with Jerry—”I never had a plan in my life” Brown and his “it’s all a lie” career.

Unless there’s a torrid turnout by conservatives, moderates, and disenfranchised Democrats, California is destined to drag the rest of this nation down. Where’s a Chris Christie when you need one?

Rovin on October 30, 2010 at 9:23 PM

Till the GOP figures out how to gain serious control of the urban cores of places like LA, SF, Chi, Atl, Houston, Miami they will not be successful in terminating the Democrats.

Dr. Dog on October 30, 2010 at 9:18 PM

That’s precisely the reason I started this urban Republican club.

Patrick Ishmael on October 30, 2010 at 9:25 PM

Whether these optimistic trends continue will hinge on whether the Pubs stick to the plot. There is plenty of evidence that self-serving careerists still run the shop, and that the catering that we’ve seen to the will of the people is only opportunism keeping up with the times.

There is also some genuine renewal going on. The question is how much of each is there, and which will carry the Party going into the century’s second decade. The future of the nation depends on the answer, unless things get so critical – and well they may – that a viable third party is birthed.

We need to keep in mind that this critical election, should we win it decisively, is only a beginning. It keeps us alive to fight the next battle.

paul1149 on October 30, 2010 at 9:26 PM

Just no purity tests..The GOP is the big tent..let’s keep it that way..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 9:22 PM

What use is a party that includes socialists and other big government advocates?

sharrukin on October 30, 2010 at 9:26 PM

Attempt to fight that – and, well – you will find yourself alone in a Republican party that’s a shell of it’s former self.

HondaV65 on October 30, 2010 at 9:11 PM

I agree with the sentiment.

But changing out the leadership of the GOP is going to be a project that lasts longer then two years, it’ll take at least eight, and maybe 12 or more.

This is a process that is just starting, it is no time to sit back and make ultimatums – it’s time to dig in and work even harder.

Rebar on October 30, 2010 at 9:28 PM

nukemhill on October 30, 2010 at 8:40 PM

You’re right about that. I say the Republicans have two years to show which side they are on…theirs or America’s. If they are only in it for themselves, as the establishment seems to be, then all bets are off. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a third party on ’12. I wouldn’t want it, but I would be a part of it.

kakypat on October 30, 2010 at 9:32 PM

What use is a party that includes socialists and other big government advocates?

sharrukin on October 30, 2010 at 9:26 PM

I gree with you there.. The Republican party has their set of principles stick to them..But this beating up on folks just because they question some things is not the way to grow..Educate do not belittle folks..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 9:33 PM

The Fickle Middle(TM) makes a long term political realignment in either direction unlikely.

jnelchef on October 30, 2010 at 9:44 PM

The Republican party has their set of principles stick to them..But this beating up on folks just because they question some things is not the way to grow..Educate do not belittle folks..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 9:33 PM

What set of principles?

There have to be ‘purity tests’ or we can just invite in the socialists. You can’t try to be everything to everyone, or you just end up being nothing to no one. The GOP did that and it was a disaster.

You have enemies? Good. That means you’ve stood up for something, sometime in your life.

Winston Churchill

sharrukin on October 30, 2010 at 9:45 PM

I’d like to add one more thing about turnout this Tuesday. You will not see a larger contingency of Christians coming out to vote in this cycle—including your’s truly. We’ve also had enough of the spending and the deterioration of respect of our Creator. Liberalism is a disease that is eating at our core social values along with the fiscal madness. Enough is enough.

God bless, and good night.

Rovin on October 30, 2010 at 9:47 PM

The Fickle Middle(TM) makes a long term political realignment in either direction unlikely.

jnelchef on October 30, 2010 at 9:44 PM

I most cases I would say you are right..BUT after Pelosi/Reid/Obie let the far left control the table and think the Reagan democarts have come to Republican party looking to stay..IMHO..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 9:47 PM

No political is more adept at screwing up than the GOP……

……ANYONE…..ANYONE…..want to take odds on how long it will take the GOP leadership to cave to the DOTUS?

PappyD61 on October 30, 2010 at 9:48 PM

No political “PARTY” is more adept at screwing up than the GOP…. (type too fast in traffic, messim up post).

UGH.

PappyD61 on October 30, 2010 at 9:50 PM

sharrukin on October 30, 2010 at 9:45 PM

I believe that the proper function of government is to do for the people those things that have to be done but cannot be done, or cannot be done as well by individuals, and that the most effective government is government closest to the people.

I believe that good government is based on the individual and that each person’s ability, dignity, freedom and responsibility must be honoured and recognised.

I believe that free enterprise and encouragement of individual initiative and incentive have given this nation an economic system second to none.

I believe that sound money policy should be our goal.

I believe in equal rights and equal opportunity for all, regardless of race, creed, age, sex or national origin. I believe that persons with disabilities should be afforded equal rights, equal justice and equal opportunities as well.

I believe we must retain those principles worth retaining, yet always be receptive to new ideas with an outlook broad enough to accommodate thoughtful change and varying points of view.

I believe that Americans value and should preserve their feeling of national strength and pride, and at the same time share with people everywhere a desire for peace and freedom and the extension of human rights throughout the world.

Finally, I believe that the Republican Party is the best vehicle for translating these ideals into positive and successful principles of government

This is Republican Oath for the Republican Party..:)

PS..That is what I mean to say by Principles..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 9:53 PM

In most cases I would say you are right..BUT after Pelosi/Reid/Obie let the far left control the table and think the Reagan democartsDemocrats have come to Republican party looking to stay..IMHO..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 9:47 PM

Sorry for typos..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 9:54 PM

We went to the farm today to get the old truck and enjoy the color in the leaves. Had not been on the road twenty minutes and were both bitchin’ about the gummit,the won,congress.
Voices were getting testy, then the Chief Domestic Scientist said she was gonna put all the stuff she felt needed fixin’ in a list.
BARB gets 100% credit for putting this to do list together and me hushed up.
This woman is a retired corporate comptroller,managed lots of cash flow,fixed HR weird stuff so she knows both money,and insurance. This is what needs to be done.
Barbara’s list.
Republican agenda 11-3-2010
1. Repeal ObamaCare. Allow insurance to be sold across state lines. Void the pork for Louisanna and Nebraska.
2. Unfund the 15 member committee formed after page 600 in the Stimulus bill that is to review medical treatments of patients, and which will impose a $100,000 fine for the first offense, and prison time for a second offense on the part of the doctor who chooses to ignore the committee’s orders.
3. Unfund all the Czars pending Senate review and approval of the czar.
4. Defund and limit the EPA’s authority to control carbon emissions.
5. Close down the Dept. of Education. Fire everyone and return oversight and authority to the individual states.
6. Close down the Energy Dept.
7. Resume oil drilling in the Gulf of Mexico and in Alaska.
8. Authorize the construction of small nuclear plants for new energy sources. (Like in France.)
9. Resume the bids for NASA and reinstate the program for space exploration. Cancel the directive to enhance the Muslims’ self-esteem.
10. Cancel the No Child Left Behind directive. Let the states take back control.
11. Review the RoadMap for America plan for Social Security and implement the gradual changes per se.
12. Secure our borders.
13. Cancel all illegal immigrant’s access to our welfare systems.
14. Cancel the citizenship for anchor babies. No welfare for the mothers of anchor babies unless they agree to be sterilized. They can go back to Mexico for additional kids.
15. Stop additional welfare funding for women that have more than 2 kids if they are already on welfare. Offer free sterilization for both males and females once they have had 4 kids.
16. No welfare for Muslims who have more than 2 kids.
17. Implement Tort Reform; Loser Pays policy.
18. Repeal the Financial Reform bill.
19. Cancel any remaining funding still left in the Stimulus bills and TARP. Return the funds to the treasury and reduce the deficit. Cancel any payments to Unions’ pension funds. Let the Unions figure out how to pay for it.
20. De-unionize all civil servants, teachers, firemen and police.
21. Term limits for all congress people, and senators. They are supposed to go back home and get a real job after their terms are up. This includes no pensions and no free health care for life.

Col.John Wm. Reed on October 30, 2010 at 9:54 PM

This is Republican Oath for the Republican Party..:)

PS..That is what I mean to say by Principles..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 9:53 PM

I might add that different parts of the Republican Party have variations or different creeds..This one i posted was pretty broad..But most are similiar to the one I posted..IMHO..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 10:02 PM

O’Donnell Is Going To Win

Nearly Nobody on October 30, 2010 at 10:06 PM

Tuesd is NOT a vote of confidence for the GOP: it is a full-bore rejection the the Democrats. The GOP has to improve a LOT for this to be anything but a blip for 2 elections.

michaelo on October 30, 2010 at 10:09 PM

Republicans get to shape the future only if they are serious about limiting the size and scope of government, via low taxes and a balanced budget.

exdeadhead on October 30, 2010 at 10:19 PM

This is Republican Oath for the Republican Party..:)

PS..That is what I mean to say by Principles..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 9:53 PM

Most of those don’t really mean anything. They strike me as bioler-plate platitudes. They have certainly been taken to mean little by the GOP for far too long.

sharrukin on October 30, 2010 at 10:24 PM

Let us restore limited government lest it corrupt us anew.

AshleyTKing on October 30, 2010 at 10:26 PM

I believe that the proper function of government is to do for the people those things that have to be done but cannot be done, or cannot be done as well by individuals

too vague

[]lowering taxes
[]eliminate red tape
[]over turn BS regulation.
[]eliminate the minimum wage.

esnap on October 30, 2010 at 9:07 PM

better

“If Congress can employ money indefinitely to the general welfare, and are the sole and supreme judges of the general welfare, they may take the care of religion into their own hands; they may appoint teachers in every State, county and parish and pay them out of their public treasury;
they may take into their own hands the education of children, establishing in like manner schools throughout the Union; they may assume the provision of the poor;
they may undertake the regulation of all roads other than post-roads; in short, every thing, from the highest object of state legislation down to the most minute object of police, would be thrown under the power of Congress…. Were the power of Congress to be established in the latitude contended for, it would subvert the very foundations, and transmute the very natureof the limited Government established by the people of America.”

best

AshleyTKing on October 30, 2010 at 10:34 PM

Most of those don’t really mean anything. They strike me as bioler-plate platitudes. They have certainly been taken to mean little by the GOP for far too long.

sharrukin on October 30, 2010 at 10:24 PM

:)..They should mean something..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 10:34 PM

And 2 years ago, they were predicting the end of the GOP for decades. The Democrats would rein.

Lets not get too cocky.

barnone on October 30, 2010 at 10:43 PM

Patrick Ishmael on October 30, 2010 at 9:25 PM

Nice Blog pst..Congrats on the promotion from Green Room to Main stage..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 10:48 PM

Nice Blog post..Congrats on the promotion from Green Room to Main stage..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 10:48 PM

Sorry for typo..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 10:49 PM

We’ve been there before: The Vanishing Liberal: A Beast That Once Thundered Across…

The day after the election we have to start planning for 2012, and keeping the Republicans in Congress honest.

slickwillie2001 on October 30, 2010 at 10:49 PM

15. Stop additional welfare funding for women that have more than 2 kids if they are already on welfare. Offer free sterilization for both males and females once they have had 4 kids.

16. No welfare for Muslims who have more than 2 kids.

Wow….have Col.John Wm. Reed on October 30, 2010 at 9:54 PM
been banned yet? That’s the most screwed up nazi hate speech I’ve seen for a while

awesome! I’m posting to other sites and attributing to Hotair!

Well I’m not but it’s hard to resist.

Remove that crap.

Or maybe defend it!

harry on October 30, 2010 at 10:50 PM

A red tide starting in the east could lift GOP votes in the west.

Terrie on October 30, 2010 at 11:19 PM

Offer free sterilization for both males and females once they have had 4 kids.

The State should offer free sterilization to everyone. Period.

Mojave Mark on October 30, 2010 at 11:19 PM

esnap on October 30, 2010 at 9:07 PM

AGREED TOO!

AND I DEMAND A TEA PARTY CAUCUS TO CHECK OUT ON THE DIRTY BIG OLD BOYS OF GOP (‘though we cut them by half this time) AND THE DEMS!

TheAlamos on October 30, 2010 at 11:30 PM

Big GOP Democrat victories plant the seeds of broad, deep and enduring majority

Remember 2008. Only way the 2010 prediction will come true is if they don’t start acting like Democrat lite in D.C.

Herb on October 30, 2010 at 11:30 PM

Bishop on October 30, 2010 at 8:34 PM

What he said. I’d love to believe that this cycle will be the beginning of a long, meaningful (read: conservative) GOP majority, but I will believe it when I see it. At this point, skepticism is more than warranted, because you can never underestimate the ability of the GOP to f things up.

thirteen28 on October 30, 2010 at 11:32 PM

The first legislation that the new Congress should pass:

“TOWN HALL MEETING PRIOR TO ANY LEGISLATIVE BILL AND PRIOR TO AND AFTER PASSAGE!”

as the official procedure!

TheAlamos on October 30, 2010 at 11:34 PM

Enduring majority is a myth. If the republicans stop listening to voters, a return of 2006/2008 is a definite possibility.

antisocial on October 30, 2010 at 11:39 PM

A lot of the problem was the lack of leadership from George Bush. Had he been strong instead of making deals with teddy and his like, the republican party in control would have been much different.

BruceB on October 31, 2010 at 12:00 AM

This worked perfectly for that permanent GOP majority after the victroies in 2000!

/s

mankai on October 31, 2010 at 12:10 AM

What’s with Iowa being blue? We are electing a Republican governor, and Grassley is a shoe-in.

lovingmyUSA on October 31, 2010 at 12:11 AM

14. Cancel the citizenship for anchor babies. No welfare for the mothers of anchor babies unless they agree to be sterilized. They can go back to Mexico for additional kids

So far we got sterilize the mexicans and muslims. Restrict those of the muslims faiths rights…blatant white supremist stuff and no deletion.

Really hotair come on….

harry on October 31, 2010 at 12:23 AM

This worked perfectly for that permanent GOP majority after the victroies in 2000!

/s

mankai on October 31, 2010 at 12:10 AM

I didn’t say it’d be permanent, or forever, or anything like that.

What’s with Iowa being blue? We are electing a Republican governor, and Grassley is a shoe-in.

lovingmyUSA on October 31, 2010 at 12:11 AM

The map focuses on House races only. So, after the 2004 election Republicans controlled 4 of 5 House seats from Iowa. In 2010, if the election goes as the hypothetical imagines, Republicans will only control 2 of 5 House seats. Thus, the House GOP delegation from Iowa is worse off than it was in 2004, and thus is considered “blue” to illustrate its status relative to the other states’ delegations.

Now, if the wave is big enough, this may be a different story. Three Iowa districts are within striking distance, with IA-2, IA-3, and IA-1 coming in as the 84th, 85th, and 91st most likely seats to flip to the GOP. It all depends on how excited everyone is to make it happen.

Patrick Ishmael on October 31, 2010 at 12:39 AM

I’m against gerrymandering no matter which party does it. House districts shyould be drawn in such a way that their are no safe seats. That way we do not get a Pelosi or a Frank or a rangle that could care less about what the voters want. And in the same breath it would mean we do not get a Tom Deley, or a Dennis Hatcher that also could have cared less what the voters wanted. Safe GOP seats or safe Dem seats lead directly to a destruction of our republic. Every seat should be up for grabs every election cycle.

Gerrymandering is an sin upon our republic.

unseen on October 31, 2010 at 12:57 AM

harry on October 31, 2010 at 12:23 AM

Yes, it is over the top. Maybe not in the terms you describe it, but definitely wrong.

AshleyTKing on October 31, 2010 at 1:09 AM

As long as the Republicans have learned their lesson they will be fine.

NeoKong on October 30, 2010 at 9:13 PM

That is assuming a lot. I think two years from now, we’ll find ourselves in another battle for the soul of the Republican party, against another batch of “elites” we have to push out. Anyone know when Lindsey Graham is up for reelection?

Kevin71 on October 31, 2010 at 4:20 AM

Much respect, but Democrats were saying the same thing 2 years ago, and we all know how that turned out. I won’t count my chickens before they hatch.

Rollie on October 31, 2010 at 5:19 AM

In a just world, Wednesday’s headlines would read:
Center-right nation turns Right-right. Republic saved.
Grace_is_sufficient on October 30, 2010 at 8:39 PM

Won’t happen. This has to be one of the dumbest posts in a long time.

“Look we are going to win, so that means we win forever, no one will ever get sick of our crap…!!!!!!

Dunb post is dumb.

harry on October 30, 2010 at 9:04 PM

Duuude, you need to take a SERIOUS chillout pill. REPUBLICANS would like to save the REPUBLIC. Get it? We like small, limited, local government; this post was all about the endurance of small, limited, local government. I’m not saying this election will necessarily solve all of our problems. It MAY, however, preserve a republic for another generation, rather than turning our nation into a social democracy.

Sheesh. The “both parties suck! Throw the bums out!” crowd is wearing thin on me. They throw water on everything….zero sense of humor lately.

Grace_is_sufficient on October 31, 2010 at 7:10 AM

I’m a social conservative but I believe the key to the GOP holding long term power is for them to understand the message of the Tea Party and concentrate their efforts on fiscal and foreign policy issues and push social issues down to the states.

If the GOP starts pushing a SoCon agenda at the federal level, they’ll find themselves kicked to the curb just as quickly as the Democrats were.

Kafir on October 31, 2010 at 7:29 AM

We have to win first. I have had my hopes built up before. Just frigging vote and carry make sure those around you do as well. No excuses.

tomas on October 31, 2010 at 7:55 AM

harry on October 30, 2010 at 10:50 PM

That man has a right to his opinion and a right to voice them within the guidelines of policy here at HA. No one of us speaks for the whole you jerk-off. Furthermore, you made an a** of yourself with your attacks on Grace.

Keemo on October 31, 2010 at 8:47 AM

Keemo on October 31, 2010 at 8:47 AM
Thank You.
1 I am not a NAZI.We fought them with all we had.We took a lot of personal loss.
2 It is simply a list put in by someone who wanted to stop talking and start acting, writing rather than just talk.
3 The list may be imperfect but it does give some ideas.
4 We do not agree on all of then ourselves.
5 Personally I am not a big fan of abortion but maybe some folks are. Voluntary forms of birth control might be well worth looking into. Private money for this,not state funds.
We send millions overseas to look good and have huge neglect here at home. We do need to look at what is best for our Nation First.

Col.John Wm. Reed on October 31, 2010 at 9:53 AM

>5 Personally I am not a big fan of abortion but maybe some folks are. Voluntary forms of birth control might be well worth looking into. Private money for this,not state funds.
We send millions overseas to look good and have huge neglect here at home. We do need to look at what is best for our Nation First.
Col.John Wm. Reed on October 31, 2010 at 9:53 AM

So we start to abort those who diagree with you politically….how special.

harry on October 31, 2010 at 10:21 AM

>No one of us speaks for the whole you jerk-off. Furthermore, you made an a** of yourself with your attacks on Grace.
Keemo on October 31, 2010 at 8:47 AM

What attack? If you are refering to my use of the word dumb, it was refering to the orginal post about everlasting majorities…but you knew that right?

harry on October 31, 2010 at 10:23 AM

Sorry, Patrick, but your whole piece is built on wishful thinking. If the overwhelming election of Democrats in 2008 and the (likely) overwhelming swing back to the GOP in 2010 shows, NEITHER party has the lock on the voter nor the sway with any important block of swing voters that they need to become a long term majority party. The way things look to me… if the GOP doesn’t do what they’ve promised and don’t start undercutting Obamacare and getting the fiscal house in order, we will see yet another wild swing back to the Dems. in 2012.

Warner Todd Huston on October 31, 2010 at 10:30 AM

I hereby invoke Han Solo

“Don’t get Cocky”

JeffWeimer on October 31, 2010 at 10:31 AM

I find Patrick’s headline quite difficult to imagine. The clear majority of voters in this country are imbeciles … sorry to sound like a DKos commenter after another major a$$-kicking, but it’s true.

Liberals will never support anyone middle-right, and the swing voters are ignorant to the issues and just vote for the pretty one, or the one who promises to give them something shiny.

Democracy in a full-turnout vote might actually be a failure, due to the takeover of public discourse and education by the left.

Jaibones on October 31, 2010 at 11:12 AM

This is what a steady diet of Allahpundit, Mark Steyn, and John Derbyshire will do to you.

Jaibones on October 31, 2010 at 11:13 AM

I most cases I would say you are right..BUT after Pelosi/Reid/Obie let the far left control the table and think the Reagan democarts have come to Republican party looking to stay..IMHO..:)

Dire Straits on October 30, 2010 at 9:47 PM

While I’d like to believe this, this is the third conservative revolution in 30 years which means they didn’t last long. If we can keep this one going for 5-10 years and make some substantive roll backs of big government then that will be a huge victory. But it’s also a big “if”. The moral of the story is, the fight is continuous, we’ll never get to a point where we can declare the fight over and all is well. That’s the power of the liberals, they see it as an ongoing struggle and embrace the power of incrementalism. They never give an inch and they never stop pushing forward.

jnelchef on October 31, 2010 at 12:14 PM

>jnelchef on October 31, 2010 at 12:14 PM

The major issue is that in those 30 years the republicans have not shrunk government at all. In fact under republican control,government and spending has grown.

>In the twelve years that a Democrat has sat in the White House, spending has increased at an average rate of 1.29% per year; during the 22 years of Republican presidencies, government spending has risen at an average rate of 2.12%. In other words, spending has grown 64% faster when a Republican sits in the White House than when a Democrat does.
>During the 20 years Democrats have controlled both houses of Congress, spending has grown at an average rate of 1.84% per year, more than double the average rate of 0.89% per year during the six years the GOP ran Congress. (During the other eight years, when control of Congress was split between the two parties, spending grew at an average rate of 2.52%. The split-control years all occurred during Republican presidencies.)
>When Democrats controlled the White House plus both houses of Congress, spending grew at 1.70% per year, slightly below the average growth rate of 1.83% for the entire period.
>The slowest spending growth occurred when a Democrat sat in the White House and Republicans controlled both houses of Congress. Spending rose by an average of just 0.89% during the six years of this situation, which all occurred with Bill Clinton as president and Newt Gingrich as Speaker of the House.
During the 14 years Republicans controlled the White House and Democrats controlled both houses of Congress, spending grew at an average annual rate of 1.92%. During the eight years with a Republican president and a split Congress, spending grew at 2.54% per year.

http://www.libertyunbound.com/archive/2004_11/bradford-spending.html

So unless the old hacks getting voted back in have had a “come to jesus” moment. I fear we are in the the same old same old.

harry on October 31, 2010 at 12:48 PM

The only way conservatives will keep a majority for any length of time is if we take the education of our children out of the hands of leftists. Otherwise, we are doomed.

14. Cancel the citizenship for anchor babies. No welfare for the mothers of anchor babies unless they agree to be sterilized. They can go back to Mexico for additional kids.
15. Stop additional welfare funding for women that have more than 2 kids if they are already on welfare. Offer free sterilization for both males and females once they have had 4 kids.
16. No welfare for Muslims who have more than 2 kids.

Wow…you lost me here. I will not be party to any sort of forced/coerced sterilization/eugenics/whatever. What’s next, no welfare unless they abort the child when the sterilization proves to be faulty?

The State should offer free sterilization to everyone. Period.
Mojave Mark on October 30, 2010 at 11:19 PM

I think you know better than to believe the State offers anything for ‘free’. Someone pays, and it’s me and other working Americans. I don’t want to pay for sterilization, birth control, or abortion, because those things are not basic necessities of life and are immoral according to the Church. Also, nowhere in the Constitution does it say they must be provided at my expense, but it does say I have freedom of religion. You want to sterilize yourself, knock yourself out. I should not have to pay for it. Period.

pannw on October 31, 2010 at 3:12 PM

Big GOP victories plant the seeds of broad, deep and enduring majority

Uh huh. That’s what Dems said about Dems in 2008.

Amazing how the same stupid just repeats itself over and over.

Moesart on October 31, 2010 at 8:58 PM

Don’t care how it looks today. Oregon will not go red.

wkgdyw on October 31, 2010 at 11:46 PM

Since the sweeping GOP victories are an immediate response to Obamacare there’s no reason to think they’ll be “enduring” or permanent. Absent the particular forces driving this election cycle it’ll be business as usual 2 or 4 years from now.

aengus on November 1, 2010 at 9:58 AM

A strong showing in the House will be a symptom of larger political strides being taken by the Right that will shape our country for years to come.

All the symptoms show that the large political strides are going in the other direction. If the GOP don’t/cannot/will not repeal Obamacare then those larger patterns will be confirmed.

aengus on November 1, 2010 at 10:02 AM

harry on October 31, 2010 at 12:48 PM

I agree, hence my comments about the difference between the Dem SOP and the Repub SOP. They never stop defending their territory or attacking our territory. We (the grassroots) need to keep pushing, keep advancing the ball and never stop. It’s contrary to our mentality, we want to solve a problem and then move on but this is a battle in perpetuity, it will not end. We also don’t spend a lot of time on government because it only concerns our lives when it gets in our way. This tends to cede the field to the Dems for long portions of time. We need to get engaged and STAY engaged. Make progress when the pendulum swings our way and hold on by our teeth when it swings away. That requires grassroots staying power.

jnelchef on November 1, 2010 at 2:11 PM