Senate polls: KY, WI, FL finishing strong; WA, PA still close

posted at 2:03 pm on October 29, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

A flurry of new polls have hit today in key Senate races, mainly confirming what we have already seen in five key contests.  Rather than rehash the entire analyses, let’s just look at the highlights in each:

KENTUCKY: Rand Paul extended his lead over Jack Conway after the Aqua Buddha flop in Survey USA and Rasmussen polls released today.  Survey USA puts Paul up nine points, 52/43, while Rasmussen makes it 12, 53/41.  Both surveys were conducted during the controversy over the melee involving a protester and Paul supporters, which indicates that the new ad by Conway blaming it on Paul — which even President Obama rejected — hasn’t done Conway any good, either.

WISCONSINPPP more or less corroborates what the White House already knows — the state is lost, and not just the Senate seat held by Feingold.  The pollster gives Ron Johnson a nine-point lead in the final stretch for the Senate and the Republican gubernatorial candidate, Scott Walker,  a similar edge over Tom Barrett.  PPP’s analysis should have the White House deeply concerned about its prospects for re-election in 2012 (via No Runny Eggs):

1) Wisconsin has one of the largest enthusiasm gaps of any state in the country. Although it appears Democrats will have turnout issues pretty much everywhere the problem is unusually severe in Wisconsin. Those saying they’re likely to vote this fall report having voted for Barack Obama by only 3 points in 2008. He actually won the state by 14 points. This year’s electorate in the state appears as though it will be very Republican friendly compared to the last few election cycles.

2) Barack Obama’s popularity in Wisconsin has declined at a rate much faster than the rest of the country and the state’s Democratic Governor is one of the most unpopular people holding his position anywhere in the country as well. Obama’s approval with likely voters is only 37%, with 54% of voters disapproving of him. Those bad numbers are partly a function of the state’s more conservative electorate this year but worrisome for the President is that only 70% of voters in the state who supported him in 2008 still approve of the job that he’s doing. Meanwhile 93% of McCain voters disapprove of his performance.

When was the last time a Democrat won the presidency while losing Wisconsin?  For that matter, when was the last time a Democrat lost Wisconsin at all?  I’d say it’s at least 20 years ago, perhaps all the way to the Reagan wipeout in 1984.

WASHINGTON: Survey USA still shows this a dead heat at 47% between Republican Dino Rossi and incumbent Democrat Patty Murray:

5 days until voters must return a ballot, much polling and little consensus on whether incumbent Democrat Patty Murray will keep her US Senate seat, or Dino Rossi will snatch it for Republicans as part of a Red Tide, according to SurveyUSA’s 4th and final pre-election tracking poll for KING-TV in Seattle. Murray 47%, Rossi 47%, at the wire, and offered with circumspection given the disparate findings of 9 different pollsters attempting to characterize the race.

Republican Rossi has a nominal 2-point advantage among voters who tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot. Democrat Murray has a nominal 2-point advantage among voters who tell SurveyUSA they promise to mail back the ballot but have not yet done so. When the 2 groups are combined: tie game. Metro Seattle (which, as always, includes Pierce, Snohomish and King counties) breaks 6:5 Democrat. Eastern WA breaks 4:3 Republican. Western WA breaks 8:7 Republican. Women appear to give Rossi another look at the finish line. Murray’s advantage among female voters had been as high as 17 points, now 6. Lower-income voters are 5:4 for Murray. Middle-income voters split. Upper-income voters are 8:7 for Rossi.

This will come down to enthusiasm and GOTV, but in Washington, that’s almost over anyway.  Most counties now vote by mail.  The late momentum towards Rossi may or may not have come in time.

PENNSYLVANIA: Barack Obama and Joe Biden have spent plenty of time here, and it may have helped Joe Sestak somewhat — but he still trails Pat Toomey in Rasmussen’s final poll, 50/46.  The gap hasn’t changed in a week, but Toomey made it over the 50% mark for the first time.  The poll gives Democrats only a two-point edge in the turnout model, though Democrats have a +14 in registration advantage.  Republicans will need to turn out in force in order to make that a reality.

FLORIDA: Two media polls in the state show Marco Rubio cruising to victory.  The Orlando Sentinel uses a Mason-Dixon survey to show a Rubio lead over Charlie Crist and Kendrick Meek at 45/28/21 respectively, leading M-D’s pollster to proclaim, “Stick a fork in it, because it’s done.”   In the Sunshine State News poll, Crist is in danger of dropping into third, with a 47/27/23 result.

Wouldn’t a third-place finish for Crist be a delightful bonus?


Related Posts:

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Boy,, I hope John Kerry see this thread.

jake-the-goose on October 29, 2010 at 2:05 PM

I know California is gonna be close as well, though a little jump in Meg Whitman’s numbers are giving me a little more hope!

The Expert Knows

HAExpert on October 29, 2010 at 2:06 PM

i wanna bathe in oceans of liberal tears.

moonbatkiller on October 29, 2010 at 2:06 PM

If we lost every single Senate race, but defeated Harry Reid I would pop a cold one.

rickyricardo on October 29, 2010 at 2:07 PM

Barbour, Pawlenty and Christie all in Lancaster PA today. I hope they are just campaign multi-tasking for themselves and doing a little work on turnout in a conservative county, but I’m still getting wee-wee’d up about that one.

forest on October 29, 2010 at 2:08 PM

Here’s the question — what does this enthusiasm gap in WI mean in WI-08 and (big wish here) WI-03? I suspect the odious Steve Kagen in WI-08 is done, but could Kapanke pull the upset of Kind in WI-03?

Mr. D on October 29, 2010 at 2:09 PM

Let’s not get cocky, kids.

rbj on October 29, 2010 at 2:09 PM

In the Sunshine State News poll, Crist is in danger of dropping into third, with a 47/27/23 result.

Maybe the Democrats should have gotten behind their guy early to drive Crist into polling oblivion instead of trying to force their own African American candidate out of the race.

forest on October 29, 2010 at 2:10 PM

I would love to see Crist to get ZERO, NONE, NADA, NIL, WADA WADA…. vote.

Sorry, Mr. Meek. Next time, never trust the DNC especially Slick Willy!

TheAlamos on October 29, 2010 at 2:10 PM

o/t- that wave in the picture is GORGEOUS.

MayBee on October 29, 2010 at 2:13 PM

Seek higher ground now.

The TEAnami approaches.

BobMbx on October 29, 2010 at 2:14 PM

rickyricardo on October 29, 2010 at 2:07 PM

Amen.

itzWicks on October 29, 2010 at 2:14 PM

Here’s the question — what does this enthusiasm gap in WI mean in WI-08 and (big wish here) WI-03? I suspect the odious Steve Kagen in WI-08 is done, but could Kapanke pull the upset of Kind in WI-03?

Mr. D on October 29, 2010 at 2:09 PM

I’m curious about this all across the country in states where there may be coattails from big Senate and gubernatorial races favoring the Republicans. Some districts that nobody thought were even close could turn into some shockers. It’s going to be an interesting night.

forest on October 29, 2010 at 2:16 PM

Really need that GOTV in Pennsylvania- nice to see the GOP bringing out the heavy hitters.
Pennsylvania would be huge- it’s always been the GOP’s “nearly” state.

jjshaka on October 29, 2010 at 2:17 PM

I’m hoping Senator Marco Rubio(!) and the R enthusiasm that brings will help pull Rick Scott over the finish line. I can’t imagine FL electing a ‘rat governor in this environment.

ornery_independent on October 29, 2010 at 2:17 PM

Is anyone keeping track of these “polls” to compare with the reality of November 3rd…?

Seven Percent Solution on October 29, 2010 at 2:17 PM

Wouldn’t a third-place finish for Crist be a delightful bonus?

Isn’t that fun?

SlaveDog on October 29, 2010 at 2:18 PM

Rand Paul up 12? Looks like that little MoveOn.org stunt backfired.

JammieWearingFool on October 29, 2010 at 2:19 PM

According to Hillbuzz

GREAT MERCIFUL ZEUS: Christine O’Donnell is going to win in Delaware.

I know Ann Coulter said on Hannity the other night this is the race she wants to see an Upset in Delaware.

Dr Evil on October 29, 2010 at 2:20 PM

Kawabunga.
From Mr. Krauthammer:

My prediction: The Dems lose 60 House seats, eight in the Senate. Rangers in seven.

Swoon.

LASue on October 29, 2010 at 2:20 PM

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Attention!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
================================================

TeaQuake detected in Hopeys Abyss,in Pelosi’s Challenger
Deep,near GaffeBiden’s Mariannas Trench.

Be advised at 2:17PM that a possible underwater slide
possible……….

PappyD61′s TeaNami a 80 per-cent a possibility………

TeaNami Warnings to be issued,November 1 to the 3…….

Updates as they come……………..(snark).

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 2:21 PM

Hillary supporters do not like the way Women candidates are treated by the Democrats. I doubt that Gwaker post helped sway PUMAS to Coons.

Dr Evil on October 29, 2010 at 2:21 PM

Fingers still crossed. Is it Tuesday yet?

Chris of Rights on October 29, 2010 at 2:21 PM

The only thread you’re gonna need November 2 is HUMPBOT!!!

huskerdiva on October 29, 2010 at 2:21 PM

Barbour, Pawlenty and Christie all in Lancaster PA today.

West Virginia’s getting a visit from Giulliani and Ted Nugent!

humdinger on October 29, 2010 at 2:23 PM

Is anyone keeping track of these “polls” to compare with the reality of November 3rd…?

Seven Percent Solution on October 29, 2010 at 2:17 PM

Seven Percent Solution:With or without Liberal KOOL-AID,or
Consevative Capt’n MORGANS,please
clarify!!:)

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 2:24 PM

Toomey’s going to win. Take it to the bank! GOP picks up 6 House seats and the Governorship in PA too.

Bobby Casey, you are NEXT!

rockmom on October 29, 2010 at 2:24 PM

And Carly Fiorina just exceeded her Money Bomb goal of $280,000 (Boxer’s been a senator for 28 years)despite Boxer trying to derail it!

NTWR on October 29, 2010 at 2:26 PM

When was the last time a Democrat won the presidency while losing Wisconsin?

That would be John F. Kennedy in 1960.

For that matter, when was the last time a Democrat lost Wisconsin at all?

Ronald Reagan in 1984.

steveegg on October 29, 2010 at 2:28 PM

Barbour, Pawlenty and Christie all in Lancaster PA today.

West Virginia’s getting a visit from Giulliani and Ted Nugent!

humdinger on October 29, 2010 at 2:23 PM

Awesome. An odd pairing, but still awesome. I really hope Raese pulls it out. I’m even more sick of phony weasels like Manchin than I am the real out-and-proud progressives.

forest on October 29, 2010 at 2:30 PM

moonbatkiller on October 29, 2010 at 2:06 PM

And I wanna bathe in them with you too. no homo.

Ryan Anthony on October 29, 2010 at 2:30 PM

In Colorado the wave that’s going to sweep in Ken Buck, Ryan Frazier and Cory Gardner might just sweep in a new Governor, Tom Tancredo.

As a resident of the reliably moonbat District 2, which includes Boulder, I can only dream that Stephen Bailey might knock off Jared Polis. I’ll be working on election day to get out the vote in District 2.

Then it’s home to a sumptuous feast, champagne, some sipping bourbon and celebration. I can’t wait for Tuesday!

bonnie_ on October 29, 2010 at 2:32 PM

The best thing that could happen for Floridians is that a stake is driven through Crist’s heart, and he’s gone for good. Metaphorically, of course.

mydogspot on October 29, 2010 at 2:32 PM

Dems in NH, Maine and Mass are desperate too. All they have left are ineffective adhominum attacks.

They will not discuss the issues or identify their party.

They are all done, I think. If they won’t even tell people proudly what party they are in the democrat party is in very serious trouble.

dogsoldier on October 29, 2010 at 2:32 PM

Don’t forget.

Voting down the ticket is critical too!

And Ohio can’t be the only state with an issue like this!

CPT. Charles on October 29, 2010 at 2:33 PM

There was a Canadian political party, now extinct, which lost 149 seats in Parliament in the 1993 elections:

“. . .the Progressive Conservatives suffered the most lopsided defeat for a governing party at the federal level, losing more than half their vote from 1988 and all but two of their 151 seats.”

As they say in Quebec, deja vu.

Emperor Norton on October 29, 2010 at 2:35 PM

Pollsters should have a rough time in Alaska now too since there are about 147 write-in candidates! Especially one named Lisa M. Lackey!! I’m not kidding.

tims472 on October 29, 2010 at 2:36 PM

Metro Seattle (which, as always, includes Pierce, Snohomish and King counties) breaks 6:5 Democrat. Eastern WA breaks 4:3 Republican. Western WA breaks 8:7 Republican.

I don’t get this break down. There is Western WA and Eastern WA, those three counties are part of Western WA.

I’ll take the already voted being 2 points up! Saying you will mail it back is pretty much the standard likely voter isn’t it?

I hope Rossi didn’t peak too late. And I hope many of those who say they will mail it in just don’t get it done on time.

This gives me hope.

And oh yeah that ballot is as tricky as I have ever seen! They are a devious bunch in Olympia!

The voters here passed a law that you need something like 3/4 of the legislature to raise taxes or a vote of the people. So they try to slide in an income tax on the “wealthy”… but it can overcome the 3/4 requirement in two years… and can then be on anyone Olympia wants!

That is dang sneaky! And class warfare that exposes itself as warfare against everyone in the end!

petunia on October 29, 2010 at 2:36 PM

Wouldn’t a third-place finish for Crist be a delightful bonus?

It would be nice for sure!

I get the feeling a lot of us are gonna stay up late Tuesday night.

JetBoy on October 29, 2010 at 2:37 PM

FOUR……

txmomof6 on October 29, 2010 at 2:37 PM

Pollsters should have a rough time in Alaska now too since there are about 147 write-in candidates! Especially one named Lisa M. Lackey!! I’m not kidding.

tims472 on October 29, 2010 at 2:36 PM

I was hoping someone with a name so close that if it was a couple of letters off you couldn’t say for sure who it was for! Lisa M. Lackey is pretty good but isn’t there a Lisa with a M….ski? That would be perfect!

petunia on October 29, 2010 at 2:38 PM

Barbour, Pawlenty and Christie all in Lancaster PA today. I hope they are just campaign multi-tasking for themselves and doing a little work on turnout in a conservative county, but I’m still getting wee-wee’d up about that one.

forest on October 29, 2010 at 2:08 PM

Apologies if it’s already been linked, but this post from AJ Strata may cheer you up (analysis of the early vote totals in PA). The accompanying graph is very very pretty.

Missy on October 29, 2010 at 2:39 PM

Aqua Buddha–look’n good.

WISCONSIN-its a shame that liberals will lose that State
however,Obama still has 7 more states tho.

WASHINGTON-Dead heat,means its lost for da Libs.

PENNSYLVANIA-its close to the coast,i see it being swamped
by a big wave.

FLORIDA:The outcome,will be a statement against Crists
idiotic,your not Hispanic enough crap.

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 2:39 PM

Canopfor, the ‘jim cantore’ for HA. :)

cmsinaz on October 29, 2010 at 2:40 PM

Remember, folks. Run THROUGH THE TAPE at the closing time of your local polls.

steveegg on October 29, 2010 at 2:41 PM

WISCONSIN – PPP more or less corroborates

And we care what PPP says because…….

Don’t fall for this. This is how lib pollsters work. All election long they pimp for Dems showing numbers that are nothing close to reality to sway opinions and drive news cycles.

Then a few days before the election they release a legit poll so in 2012 they can say “hey look how accurate we were in 2010″.

Ignore them at all times.

angryed on October 29, 2010 at 2:42 PM

Tims472….too funny…

cmsinaz on October 29, 2010 at 2:42 PM

bonnie_ on October 29, 2010 at 2:32 PM

Isn’t Polis somewhat conservative for Boulder? He’s a tech guy, so he’s maybe not totally socialist. I heard he’s for extending the tax cuts. He certainly seems better than Udall.

rockmom on October 29, 2010 at 2:24 PM

Sadly I think the Casey name is still sancrosant, even though Jr is not prolife.

Love Rossi but I’m worried that there’ll be too much fraud with mail in ballots and the fact it’ll take days to count the WA results. Personally, I will die and go to heaven if Fiorina wins. The GOP women running this cycle, Ayotte, Fiorina, Haley, Falin, Martinez are amazing.

TimTebowSavesAmerica on October 29, 2010 at 2:43 PM

This will come down to enthusiasm and GOTV, but in Washington, that’s almost over anyway. Most counties now vote by mail. The late momentum towards Rossi may or may not have come in time.

And I’m sure that a state with almost 100% mail in ballots will have absolutely no “glitches” favoring Murray. How do I know? The Democrat governor that twice beat Rosi in a recount using “found votes” to make up the election night results is in charge of counting the votes this time around.

I don’t care what polls say, Murray will win this by 5% due solely to fraud. You cannot have a clean election when the USPS (union run) controls the ballots and the people counting the ballots are overwhelmingly Democrat.

angryed on October 29, 2010 at 2:46 PM

Canopfor,
========
the ‘jim cantore’ for HA. :)
cmsinaz on October 29, 2010 at 2:40 PM

cmsinaz: Four more days,its been a loooooooooooooong 2
years————————:)

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 2:47 PM

Apologies if it’s already been linked, but this post from AJ Strata may cheer you up (analysis of the early vote totals in PA). The accompanying graph is very very pretty.

Missy on October 29, 2010 at 2:39 PM

Wow, I hadn’t heard about the PA early vote numbers.

forest on October 29, 2010 at 2:50 PM

It would be nice for sure!

I get the feeling a lot of us are gonna stay up late Tuesday night.

JetBoy on October 29, 2010 at 2:37 PM

JetBoy:True Dat,many political camp fires are gonna be
burning on zee beach till the wee hours!!:)

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 2:51 PM

From AZ McClung v. Grijalva close congressional race

ROCKET SCIENCE!

maverick muse on October 29, 2010 at 2:52 PM

Canopfor, you are not kidding….glad to have HA buddies

cmsinaz on October 29, 2010 at 2:52 PM

Apologies if it’s already been linked, but this post from AJ Strata may cheer you up (analysis of the early vote totals in PA). The accompanying graph is very very pretty.

Missy on October 29, 2010 at 2:39 PM

Missy: Excellent Re-con Intel gathering,me like the
chart!:)

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 2:54 PM

Canopfor, you are not kidding….glad to have HA buddies

cmsinaz on October 29, 2010 at 2:52 PM

cmsinaz: Amen on that.Prediction,Hot Air will have an
influx of H/A commenters that haven’t been on
for awhile:)

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 2:57 PM

CALIFORNIANS! A source I know in the business says the state polls over-sample Latinos!

Please do not give up. Phone bank. Donate. Vote.

HOLD THE LINE!

Mutnodjmet on October 29, 2010 at 2:59 PM

Canopfor, indeed….

cmsinaz on October 29, 2010 at 3:02 PM

H

illary supporters do not like the way Women candidates are treated by the Democrats. I doubt that Gwaker post helped sway PUMAS to Coons.

Dr Evil

To that end, you all might enjoy a great Hitler Parody Video:

Hitler Finds Out about Rush Limbaugh’s Reverse Operation Chaos

Mutnodjmet on October 29, 2010 at 3:02 PM

Please do not give up. Phone bank. Donate. Vote.

HOLD THE LINE!

Mutnodjmet on October 29, 2010 at 2:59 PM

Mutnodjmet::)
============================================

Toto -Hold the Line

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9f-cEM1l7Ks

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 3:02 PM

It is wise not to numerically calculate your juvenile poultry until the process of incubation has thoroughly matured.

80 House seats…..

Lew_Lew on October 29, 2010 at 3:02 PM

Then it’s home to a sumptuous feast, champagne, some sipping bourbon and celebration. I can’t wait for Tuesday!

bonnie_ on October 29, 2010 at 2:32 PM

Don’t forget to top it off with a Slurpee!

fossten on October 29, 2010 at 3:03 PM

Pollsters should have a rough time in Alaska now too since there are about 147 write-in candidates! Especially one named Lisa M. Lackey!! I’m not kidding.

tims472 on October 29, 2010 at 2:36 PM

THAT is soooooo freakin’ awesommmmeeeee!!!!

Sooo many names on that write-in list…a sample:

Lyn Marcum
Laura L. “Lisabeth” Raschal
Linda Vrem
Lynette A. Largent
Lisa M. Lackey
Lee Hamerski(!)
Linda Eason
Lisa L. Crusberg
Elizabeth A. Cherry
Linda Bullard
LaVonne Boyd

Huge THANKS! to you all!

ornery_independent on October 29, 2010 at 3:04 PM

To that end, you all might enjoy a great Hitler Parody Video:

Hitler Finds Out about Rush Limbaugh’s Reverse Operation Chaos

Mutnodjmet on October 29, 2010 at 3:02 PM

Mutnodjmet:That was a hoot,thanks for the laughs!:)

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 3:08 PM

Toto -Hold the Line

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9f-cEM1l7Ks

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 3:02 PM

You sir are the YouTube king…ya always know exactly what song to link to ;)

JetBoy on October 29, 2010 at 3:08 PM

Toto -Hold the Line

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9f-cEM1l7Ks

canopfor

Canopfer: I was thinking of the battle scene from Gladiator.

Here is a quote from that movie Sharon Angle could use: “At my signal, unleash hell.”

Mutnodjmet on October 29, 2010 at 3:14 PM

Huge THANKS! to you all!

ornery_independent on October 29, 2010 at 3:04 PM

ornery_independent:Here is that list!!
===========================================================

Alaskan Candidate List.

November 2, 2010 General Election Candidate List
As of 10/28/2010

http://www.elections.alaska.gov/ci_pg_cl_2010_genr.php

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 3:15 PM

According to Hillbuzz

GREAT MERCIFUL ZEUS: Christine O’Donnell is going to win in Delaware.

Dr Evil on October 29, 2010 at 2:20 PM

They also said McCain would win Pennsylvania (and the WH, for that matter). I like their spirit but I don’t give any credibility to their predictions.

jwolf on October 29, 2010 at 3:15 PM

Democrats have a +14 in registration advantage.

Quite a bit of that is left over from “Operation Chaos,” which was bigger in Pennsylvania than any other state, meaning that many of these “Democrats” are probably Republicans who didn’t bother to vote in the 2010 Primary, so didn’t need to change their registration back.

notropis on October 29, 2010 at 3:18 PM

canopfor
————-
Canopfer: I was thinking of the battle scene from Gladiator.

Here is a quote from that movie Sharon Angle could use: “At my signal, unleash hell.”

Mutnodjmet on October 29, 2010 at 3:14 PM

Mutnodjmet:I have seen that movie,great scene.Heres the
scene from LOTR!:)
=============================

So It Begins

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3_gst-Ryh3g

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 3:19 PM

To that end, you all might enjoy a great Hitler Parody Video:

Hitler Finds Out about Rush Limbaugh’s Reverse Operation Chaos

Mutnodjmet on October 29, 2010 at 3:02 PM

Thanks

Dr Evil on October 29, 2010 at 3:21 PM

BTW,just heard on AM Talk Radio,on the Top of the News hour,
that DC Washington was pouring in a Million Dollars/per/day
into,

PENNSYLVANIA!!!

http://player.streamtheworld.com/_players/entercom/player/?id=WILK

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 3:22 PM

Canopfor, indeed….

cmsinaz on October 29, 2010 at 3:02 PM

cmsinaz:)

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 3:23 PM

bonnie_ on October 29, 2010 at 2:32 PM

I too live in CO-2, and while hopeful, I know there is no possible way Polis loses. If Polis loses, it means Republicans are going to pick up 130 seats.

TimTebowSavesAmerica on October 29, 2010 at 2:43 PM

Polis is not “somewhat conservative” for Boulder. Thats what I thought when he first ran for the seat, since he was a business owner. He is still ultra liberal, and all of his money was made before the tech boom when he sold his family’s card company. He is a solid socialist.

Go Tancredo, Buck, and Frazier.

torerodrizzle on October 29, 2010 at 3:28 PM

My collie says:

Lowest low tide I’ve ever seen.

Hmmm. Why is all that water being drawn away from the beach?

CyberCipher on October 29, 2010 at 3:42 PM

They also said McCain would win Pennsylvania (and the WH, for that matter). I like their spirit but I don’t give any credibility to their predictions.

jwolf on October 29, 2010 at 3:15 PM

Was there a wave of voter enthusiasm for McCain like this in 2008?

fossten on October 29, 2010 at 3:45 PM

I’ve been spending part of the last couple of days distributing Right to Life flyers about candidates. Any of you who are pro-life might want to contact your nearest Right to Life chapter to see if they have any that still need to be distributed — we’re putting them in houses’ newspaper boxes (not mailboxes), among other places. We’ve been given flyers that evaluate the top races in our area on “life issues.”

A few more drops added to that tsunami.

KyMouse on October 29, 2010 at 3:49 PM

Rasmussen called me a few nights ago for the NH race. I’m interested to see how that poll shapes up. I decided at the beginning that if I picked up the phone and it was Rasmussen, that’d be the only poll I’d take.

crazy_legs on October 29, 2010 at 4:03 PM

angryed on October 29, 2010 at 2:42 PM

While that is normally the case, at least in Wisconsin, PPP has been tracking quite closely to Rasmussen throughout the cycle (at least outside a March gubernatorial poll where they were 3 points off of Rasmussen). I can’t vouch for their performance in any other state.

steveegg on October 29, 2010 at 4:07 PM

I would like to see that old Socialist ‘Comrade Murray’ kicked to the curb of history in Washington State. Its closer than it’s been for a long, long time.

Maybe she can then get a job in one of those fancy schools her hero Osama bin Laden built…..

CrazyFool on October 29, 2010 at 4:21 PM

cmsinaz: Amen on that.Prediction,Hot Air will have an
influx of H/A commenters that haven’t been on
for awhile:)

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 2:57 PM

hahaha… one of those is me- I went out & got a job last winter as soon as the docs cleared me so I could support individual candidates for THIS election- so haven’t had much time to be on HA (also I spend all day on the computer @ work tryin to stay a step ahead of the mandate for all EMR’s – our hospital is ALL EMR) – so I don’t much feel like getting back on a night until now, just “got the fevah” again & have cut back a bit on my hours. All I need now is a little more cowbell!!!

huskerdiva on October 29, 2010 at 5:28 PM

huskerdiva on October 29, 2010 at 5:28 PM

welcome back…some serious posting come tuesday night :)

cmsinaz on October 29, 2010 at 5:35 PM

All I need now is a little more cowbell!!!

huskerdiva on October 29, 2010 at 5:28 PM

huskerdiva:Glad to have you back as well,you go girl!:)

canopfor on October 29, 2010 at 7:55 PM

King County will go Dem because of fraud…and fraud only. This lady is as qualified as Giannoulias is in Illinois. The Treasurer has run Illinois into the ground financially while ruining his family run bank. But, Murray will win for almost the same reason… cheating. There are two lefties running in Illinois. Kirk is the less crappy candidate. But, King County is as corrupt as Illinois. Sorry Dino and Washington, you deserve better.

eif727 on October 29, 2010 at 8:03 PM