Too good to check: Internal poll shows Bielat within margin of error against Barney Frank

posted at 4:59 pm on October 27, 2010 by Allahpundit

The last two major polls of the race had him trailing by a dozen, but last night on Hannity’s show he teased the fact that his internal numbers are showing things to be much tighter. And now, lo and behold, a Bielat campaign memo claiming that he’s within the margin of error has been leaked to Fleming and Hayes. I don’t normally link internal polls — as Ace says, you’re never sure how representative the leaked data is — but apart from the Nevada Senate seat, there’s no race in the country that conservatives more urgently want to win than this one. An internal poll showing one of the architects of the subprime meltdown in mortal peril of losing is like hearing from a friend of a friend of a friend that the cutest girl in school digs you. Deep down you don’t really believe it, but you want to believe it so badly that you’re ready to tell everyone.

Just one catch. Unless I missed it, there’s no actual hard number on where things stand in the race in the Fleming and Hayes memo. In fact, nowhere does the document itself say that Bielat’s within the margin of error; that’s F&H’s header for their post, but the closest the doc gets is claiming that Bielat’s very close or even ahead among specific groups, e.g., certain counties, audiences who’ve seen his ads, etc. The key takeaway is that the more people see of Bielat and the more they’re reminded of Frank’s record, the tighter the race gets — which leads to a none-too-subtle pitch for more money so that Bielat can blanket the district with ads over the next week. Here’s his donation page. Don’t think of it as a contribution, think of it as buying a lottery ticket: If Bielat’s number comes up on election night, you’re going to feel like you just hit the pick six.

Exit question: Good point near the end here by Hannity. Why isn’t Scott Brown out on the trail?



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Can’t we use Ace’s Ewok pictures for the post’s front page image?

WashJeff on October 27, 2010 at 5:01 PM

Impothible! It’th not twue!

Ted Torgerson on October 27, 2010 at 5:01 PM

Exit question: Good point near the end here by Hannity. Why isn’t Scott Brown out on the trail?

No clue. Hasn’t he appears with Linda McMahon at some campaign stops? And she’s not even running in MassachusettEs.

Doughboy on October 27, 2010 at 5:01 PM

Seeing Barney lose would be one of the most awesome sights ever.

Second only to seeing him indicted.

Vashta.Nerada on October 27, 2010 at 5:02 PM

I would love to see Barney lose – just to have his boy friend interviewed about it…

Hissy fit anyone?

jake-the-goose on October 27, 2010 at 5:02 PM

It’s so hilarious watching Bawney attempting to defend his record.

Kini on October 27, 2010 at 5:02 PM

YES!!

portlandon on October 27, 2010 at 5:03 PM

Like Fox Mulder, I WANT TO BELIEVE.

Like Dana Scully, I have trouble actually doing so.

Abby Adams on October 27, 2010 at 5:03 PM

Settle down, internal polls!!

JohnGalt23 on October 27, 2010 at 5:04 PM

Too good to check: Internal poll shows Bielat within margin of error against Barney Frank

Oh crap! I think I just felt a tingle go up my leg.

Oldnuke on October 27, 2010 at 5:04 PM

seriously…what would we do if we got rid of Harry Reid, Nazi Pelosi as Speaker, lost Alan Grayson and BWARNEY FWRANK too in one night?????

SDarchitect on October 27, 2010 at 5:04 PM

An internal poll showing one of the architects of the subprime meltdown in mortal peril of losing is like hearing from a friend of a friend of a friend that the cutest girl in school digs you.

dude. I married her. Get over it will you.

ted c on October 27, 2010 at 5:05 PM

I love how in the home stretch people are doing anything they can to change people’s perceptions to build up excitement for their candidate. That said, go Bielat! :)

Paul-Cincy on October 27, 2010 at 5:05 PM

Because Scott Brown-Graham-McCain isn’t going to burn any bridges on his way to Maverickville.

I can think of nothing better than to see Barney Frank leaving the building with a cardboard box full of the lingerie and gimp suits that he kept in his congressional office, crazy “boyfriend” trailing tearfully behind.

Make it so, Bielat.

Bishop on October 27, 2010 at 5:05 PM

If it wasn’t so close, Frank wouldn’t have spent his own money.

Be the wave!

Rebar on October 27, 2010 at 5:05 PM

When voters are told Barney’s record, the head-to-head is a statistical tie, 48% Frank to 45% Bielat.

So even after saying all the worst things Barney’s done… he’s still ahead.

theperfecteconomist on October 27, 2010 at 5:05 PM

I’d like to see Barney lose, his boy toy dump him and maybe he could get some ass cancer or something….
/sean penn

ted c on October 27, 2010 at 5:05 PM

Exit question: Good point near the end here by Hannity. Why isn’t Scott Brown out on the trail?

Afraid of being in truck and getting rear ended by Barney.

Wade on October 27, 2010 at 5:06 PM

Good point near the end here by Hannity. Why isn’t Scott Brown out on the trail?

I heard a radio ad by Brown today, but it wasn’t for Bielat. He’s campaigning for someone in another MA race.

Del Dolemonte on October 27, 2010 at 5:07 PM

SOmebody keep the cookie dough ice cream away from BF. Polls like this one have GOT to be depressing enough, BF doesn’t need to ADD to his already swollen “pork chop” girlish figure.

/considerations

44Magnum on October 27, 2010 at 5:08 PM

IT’S OBVIOUS.

SCOTT BROWN DOESN’T WANT COMPETITION.

Bielat will challenge his position as the “Handsomest Republican in MA”.

But I go with Bielat. Just donated.

This guy is more honest and kewl than Scott.

TheAlamos on October 27, 2010 at 5:08 PM

In one of the cut-away shots of footage of Bawney, he was walking like he had a broom handle up his—Oh, wait, never mind!

Chewy the Lab on October 27, 2010 at 5:09 PM

Must be odd for Barney, hating the prospect of someone coming from behind.

Politically speaking, of course.

fogw on October 27, 2010 at 5:09 PM

Hmm…good question. Why isn’t Scott Brown out there? I’m sure he’d help Bielat, considering Brown carried that distict (I think). Maybe he thinks that by staying out of it Dems will play nice with him when he’s up for re-elect.

changer1701 on October 27, 2010 at 5:09 PM

CAN I GIT AN AMEEEEEN?

blatantblue on October 27, 2010 at 5:09 PM

seriously…what would we do if we got rid of Harry Reid, Nazi Pelosi as Speaker, lost Alan Grayson and BWARNEY FWRANK too in one night?????

SDarchitect on October 27, 2010 at 5:04 PM

November 2, 2010 would have to be declared a national holiday with a spectacular name.

sherry on October 27, 2010 at 5:09 PM

Please, oh, please fire Barney. I won’t ask for anything else this Christmas–I promise!

ElectricPhase on October 27, 2010 at 5:10 PM

Why isn’t Scott Brown out on the trail?

I’ve been wondering that for weeks, and not at all pleased with Brown’s absence.

DrStock on October 27, 2010 at 5:13 PM

Afraid of being in truck and getting rear ended by Barney.

Wade on October 27, 2010 at 5:06 PM

Be nice…that’s a low blow…

right2bright on October 27, 2010 at 5:14 PM

Exit question: Good point near the end here by Hannity. Why isn’t Scott Brown out on the trail?

Don’t know, but maybe some bridges were burned cause Brown voted for the Financial “Reform” Bill, Sean Bielat was against it?

Buy Danish on October 27, 2010 at 5:14 PM

Because Bielat said very unkind things about Brown and his vote on financial reform.

Ricki on October 27, 2010 at 5:15 PM

Why isn’t Scott Brown out on the trail?

he’s afraid of the people that gave it up for his moneybomb. That was a great day….but, alas, now just a fizzle.

ted c on October 27, 2010 at 5:16 PM

Get over it Scott.

Buy Danish on October 27, 2010 at 5:17 PM

Exit question: Good point near the end here by Hannity. Why isn’t Scott Brown out on the trail?

Because he’s diode, check valvin’ RINO scumbag – that’s why.

He only cares for himself. CharlieCristArlenSpecterLisaMurkagwa wannabee.

HondaV65 on October 27, 2010 at 5:20 PM

Just dreaming . . . but what if . . . Bielat wins . . . O’Donnell wins (I know, I know, just indulge me . . .) Angle wins and Fiorina wins . . . ahh . . .

Okay back to reality.

rebuzz on October 27, 2010 at 5:20 PM

Not much would be sweeter next Tuesday than seeing Barney lose. Especially to an upstanding guy like Bielat.

Missy on October 27, 2010 at 5:21 PM

I’d rather not think about Barney Frank and “internal poles.”

Oh.

Polls.

Never mind.

notropis on October 27, 2010 at 5:21 PM

Sent my only (maybe first?) campaign donation of the year to Sean this morning. I love him!!!

tikvah on October 27, 2010 at 5:21 PM

Sean Bielat has a great new ad posted on his campaign website:

http://www.seanbielat.org/

Come on Massachusetts we are counting on you to liberate the country from Bawney Fwank!

wren on October 27, 2010 at 5:22 PM

I put Frank as the #2 Top dem who might lose on Tuesday.

Alan Grayson is #1 and Harry Reid #3.

William Amos on October 27, 2010 at 5:25 PM

The nice thing about this race is that Barney had to put $200k of HIS money into it.

GarandFan on October 27, 2010 at 5:26 PM

seriously…

what would we do if we got rid of Harry Reid, Nazi Pelosi as Speaker, lost Alan Grayson and BWARNEY FWRANK too in one night?????
SDarchitect on October 27, 2010 at 5:04 PM

Party like it’s 1773!

AZCoyote on October 27, 2010 at 5:29 PM

Go Bielat GO!!

Khun Joe on October 27, 2010 at 5:29 PM

Scott Brown will be in Chicago on Halloween for the Chicago Young Republicans event.

Lothar on October 27, 2010 at 5:30 PM

We may be saved in some of these Dem-since-LBJ districts because the democratics that run those voting precincts are not practiced in the art of stealing elections. It does take a certain amount of skill and stealth.

A sudden wave against the democratics means that they won’t have time to react.

slickwillie2001 on October 27, 2010 at 5:30 PM

If Bielat wins he should send flowers to Barney Frank.

darwin on October 27, 2010 at 5:33 PM

Scott Brown? who is that?

Viper1 on October 27, 2010 at 5:36 PM

Exit question: Good point near the end here by Hannity. Why isn’t Scott Brown out on the trail?

..GOOD exit question! Bielat was very gracious in stepping over that when asked by Hannity, “..we have everything we need for our campaign.”

Good man!

The War Planner on October 27, 2010 at 5:36 PM

Exit question: Good point near the end here by Hannity. Why isn’t Scott Brown out on the trail?

Scott Brown continues to disappoint. Sad.

Norwegian on October 27, 2010 at 5:37 PM

If Bielat wins he should send flowers to Barney Frank.

darwin on October 27, 2010 at 5:33 PM

..or Bawney’s boy friend. Make Bawney jealous.

The War Planner on October 27, 2010 at 5:37 PM

Speaking of Barney Frank…

Midas on October 27, 2010 at 5:37 PM

According to the FEC.gov website http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/HSRefreshCandList.do?category=disH&stateName=MA&congressId=04&election_yr=2010 as of 10/13 Barney Frank is ahead of Sean Bielat in fundraising but not by nearly as you would think for an incumbent who is supposed to be a leader in the Democrat party.

Republican Sean Bielat had Cash on Hand = $462,914

Democrat Barney Frank had Cash on Hand = $$649,561

No wonder Rep. Frank got scared enough to loan his campaign $200,000!

Vote for Sean Bielat on November 2!

wren on October 27, 2010 at 5:37 PM

I put Frank as the #2 Top dem who might lose on Tuesday.

Alan Grayson is #1 and Harry Reid #3.

William Amos on October 27, 2010 at 5:25 PM

..more like 1A, 1B, and 1C..

The War Planner on October 27, 2010 at 5:38 PM

We may be saved in some of these Dem-since-LBJ districts because the democratics that run those voting precincts are not practiced in the art of stealing elections. It does take a certain amount of skill and stealth.

A sudden wave against the democratics means that they won’t have time to react.

slickwillie2001 on October 27, 2010 at 5:30 PM

Great point, and may I add too, that with SO MANY races where entrenched Dems now looking extremely vulnerable, the Democrat Elections Stealing Swat Teams will be stretched so thin as to be ineffective. Or, hopefully, very sloppy, and get easily caught. SO, along with the Dem losing, maybe some frog marching as a capper to the humpbot/popcorn/slurpee party like its 1773.

44Magnum on October 27, 2010 at 5:41 PM

I put Frank as the #2 Top dem who might lose on Tuesday.

Alan Grayson is #1 and Harry Reid #3.

William Amos on October 27, 2010 at 5:25 PM

Who could forget Grayson.

My little Top Ten House wishlist (probably):
1. Grayson (no explanation needed)
2. Barney Frank (n e n)
3. Pelosi (n e n)
4. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (smug little bar steward)
5. Bob Filner (smug little bar steward)
6. Anthony Weiner (reaction would be epic)
7. Tom Perriello (Golden-Boy progressive Obama’s going down to campign for in VA)
8. Charlie Rangel (n e n)
9. Loretta Sanchez (worst race baiter of the season)
10. Jesse Jackson Jr. (entitlement, corruption)

I suppose I could be swayed to alter my list some. Who am I forgetting? Maybe Henry Waxman? Steny Hoyer? Maurice Hinchey?

Abby Adams on October 27, 2010 at 5:41 PM

TWO BIG SNAPS UP…

dangitt on October 27, 2010 at 5:44 PM

Exit question: Good point near the end here by Hannity. Why isn’t Scott Brown out on the trail?

http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/125291-scott-brown-not-stumping-for-house-gop-candidates-in-mass-

From what I hear in the Mass GOP circles. Brown is all about Brown.

What can Brown do for you? Nada.

kevinkristy on October 27, 2010 at 5:44 PM

Abby Adams on October 27, 2010 at 5:41 PM

Boxer
Shiela Jackson Leigh

44Magnum on October 27, 2010 at 5:45 PM

God do I wanna see Fwank go!

esnap on October 27, 2010 at 5:47 PM

I believe in Miracles.

Zorro on October 27, 2010 at 5:51 PM

I’m almost tempted to watch MessNBC on Tsunami Tuesday just to see them freaking out all night.

JammieWearingFool on October 27, 2010 at 5:51 PM

My Boy Lollipop

slickwillie2001 on October 27, 2010 at 5:56 PM

44Magnum on October 27, 2010 at 5:45 PM

Well, I was doing House, so Boxer wouldn’t count. Shiela Jackson Lee doesn’t bug me nearly as much as she does some people. Granted, I’d want her gone, but there are others I’d be happier to see go.

Abby Adams on October 27, 2010 at 5:56 PM

Exit question: Good point near the end here by Hannity. Why isn’t Scott Brown out on the trail?

My guess is, he’s doing what’s asked. There is no real Party infrastructure here so everybody is on their own, just like he was.

Brown has done some radio spots including a hard hitting one for Jeff Perry. Perry is essentially being accused by Keating of allowing a child to be raped and the now adult woman is even in on the act. If Brown is willing to stand beside Perry who is basically radio active, he’d stand beside virtually anybody he knows and supports.

TheBigOldDog on October 27, 2010 at 5:56 PM

but apart from the Nevada Senate seat, there’s no race in the country that conservatives more urgently want to win than this one.

Boxer losing, would make a nice gift as well. ;)

capejasmine on October 27, 2010 at 6:01 PM

How come voters don’t favor this, compared to that? It’s like picking zenith versus the abyss.

Schadenfreude on October 27, 2010 at 6:02 PM

This is the guy Brown is standing up for as we speak, so spare me the Brown isn’t a stand up guy BS:

Wasserman-Schultz then went on to describe West as one of a group of “Tea Party extremists” that includes Kentucky Senate candidate Rand Paul and Massachusetts congressional candidate Jeff Perry who “have some real issues when it comes to women.”

Paul has been accused of kidnapping a woman and making her worship an “Aqua Buddha.” The woman at the center of the claim said it was a college prank and she freely participated.

Perry was accused by a woman of standing nearby and ignoring her screams when at age 14 she was strip-searched by a police officer under Perry’s command. During an investigation of the event, Perry reportedly alternatively said that he was nearby during the 1991 episode and heard nothing, and later, that if something happened, he wasn’t around to witness it. The officer involved was later convicted of indecent assault

TheBigOldDog on October 27, 2010 at 6:03 PM

My guess is, he’s doing what’s asked. There is no real Party infrastructure here so everybody is on their own, just like he was.

Brown is pissed at Bielat for criticizing his Yeah vote on the Frank/Dodd FinReg bill.

As a candidate for U.S. Congress opposing Barney Frank, and as a constituent, I am greatly disappointed in Senator Brown’s expressed support of the Dodd-Frank Bill.

This bill has Barney Frank’s DNA — it sounds smart but doesn’t make much sense, it spends more than it saves, and it’s afraid to talk about Fannie and Freddie.

I believe the prerequisite for financial regulation legislation is discussion of Fannie and Freddie, otherwise we’re raising the dike without plugging the hole. This bill doesn’t touch on those entities, which are the heart of our financial collapse and are expected to cost taxpayers upwards of $400 billion.

The bill remains full of excessive regulations that fatten government and don’t protect consumers, including a provision to force race and gender quotas on financial firms that would create a new taxpayer-funded bureaucracy and introduce social legislation into a financial “reform” bill.

Our Senators and Representatives need to listen to their constituents and do the right thing, not just pass a bill laden with special interest provisions and new bureaucracies. We cannot afford the increased costs to borrowers and to consumers that this legislation will mandate.

kevinkristy on October 27, 2010 at 6:03 PM

I believe !

J_Crater on October 27, 2010 at 6:09 PM

I was hoping to live long enough to see humans on Mars, but I’ll take Frank getting defeated as a consolation prize.

Kafir on October 27, 2010 at 6:10 PM

seriously…what would we do if we got rid of Harry Reid, Nazi Pelosi as Speaker, lost Alan Grayson and BWARNEY FWRANK too in one night?????

SDarchitect on October 27, 2010 at 5:04 PM

Smoke the nice cigar I been saving

Kevin43 on October 27, 2010 at 6:22 PM

Another easy Republican pickup is in play; ID-1. The incumbent is a freshman D who rode the Obama wave in 2008. The challenger is a state representative who has already bucked his party when it conflicted with his conservative principles. Small TV market and strong conservative district means a small investment makes a big impact. click here to donate

spudmom on October 27, 2010 at 6:22 PM

Internal poll? About as reliable as a PPP poll.

A few truths in the world…

Sun rises in the east.
Sun sets in the west.
Barney Frank does not lose elections.

Wish it weren’t so but come on, let’s be realistic here.

angryed on October 27, 2010 at 6:25 PM

there’s no race in the country that conservatives more urgently want to win than this one

Except Carly over Babs. And Joe over Lisa. And Christine over Kooks.

John the Libertarian on October 27, 2010 at 6:33 PM

Except Carly over Babs. And Joe over Lisa. And Christine over Kooks.

John the Libertarian on October 27, 2010 at 6:33 PM

I agree..Except I would replace COD with Angle over Reid..:)

Dire Straits on October 27, 2010 at 6:37 PM

Hannity was looking for controversy. Who cares what Scott Brown does. Bielat is doing pretty darn well on his own.

Urban Infidel on October 27, 2010 at 6:41 PM

Can you imagine Boxer, Reid, and Frank unemployed after Nov. 2?

I’d hate for anyone to be without a job — but these career pols are an exception.

Richard Romano on October 27, 2010 at 6:48 PM

Help Sean Bielat send Bawney’s sorry a$$ home…

http://www.byebyebarney.org

Sean’s MoneyBomb – Donate!!!

LoneStarGal on October 27, 2010 at 6:53 PM

Made both a donation and a prayer. Only hope I’m near a defibrillator if the old creep loses, ‘cuz I will be out of control for sure.

itsacookbook on October 27, 2010 at 6:58 PM

I’ve only donated twice to two people: George W. Bush and Scott Brown.

Today, I donated twice for Sean Bielat.

Go, Lady Luck, go!

bonnie_ on October 27, 2010 at 7:07 PM

Don’t know, but maybe some bridges were burned cause Brown voted for the Financial “Reform” Bill, Sean Bielat was against it?

My guess is Beilat knows that many people think Brown is a sellout, and doesn’t want him there to confuse the message. Hmmmmn. It’s interesting to think of Brown as toxic…..

YehuditTX on October 27, 2010 at 7:12 PM

A huge number of voters in Brookline, Newton and other large suburbs in Sean Bielat’s district work for large financial companies in Boston.

Scott Brown’s vote in favor of the Financial Reform Bill is probably not very popular with these voters.

I trust that Barney Frank is even less popular with these voters.

It is long past time to vote Barney Frank OUT OF OFFICE!

wren on October 27, 2010 at 7:33 PM

Hey folks in the Mass. 4th Congressional District, envision a representative who is articulate, energetic, smart , even tempered, looks good and actually represents you.

diogenes on October 27, 2010 at 8:12 PM

Internal poll shows Bielat within margin of error against Barney Frank

OH PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE!!!!!!!!!

Mr_Magoo on October 27, 2010 at 8:36 PM

Every American homeowner has been damaged by the reckless lending standards set by Fannie Mae which allowed an un-checked subprime market to take down our economy. Barney Frank had oversight responsibility of Fannie Mae…The man is poison…Good people of Mass, please get rid of this dangerous clown!!!

Nozzle on October 27, 2010 at 9:02 PM

3 things you won’t hear Barney say about his re-election campaign:

1) “The crisis is being overstated.”
2) “I see no reason to panic.”
3) “Our structure is basically sound.”

Let’s hope BBC next week reports that Frank’s campaign turned out to be a “House of cods.”

Just dessert [at the end of an awesome meal....]

rwenger43 on October 27, 2010 at 10:16 PM

seriously…what would we do if we got rid of Harry Reid, Nazi Pelosi as Speaker, lost Alan Grayson and BWARNEY FWRANK too in one night?????

SDarchitect on October 27, 2010 at 5:04 PM

Humpbot meltdown.

Animator Girl on October 27, 2010 at 10:48 PM

If Bowney woses, we get to have the melting bunny … don’t we? I mean … don’t we?

Jaibones on October 28, 2010 at 12:52 AM

Meh. Last ditch fundraising leak. Frank’s constituents would reelect him if he ate a baby on live television. The man’s a monster, but he brings home the bennies. Massachusetts is a state worthy of him, too.

spmat on October 28, 2010 at 1:58 AM

Bielat’s not a boy-chasing mo, doesn’t have the street cred the media gives him, and doesn’t have a capital D on his forehead. What makes you think Mass. will ever elect him? They (like CA) are a lost cause.

leftnomore on October 28, 2010 at 2:09 AM

I bet if Sean offered Barney a teabagging, he’d throw the race to him.

leftnomore on October 28, 2010 at 2:16 AM

I want to believe…

loudmouth883 on October 28, 2010 at 6:12 AM