Fox, PPP agree: Paul pulling away in Kentucky

posted at 1:57 pm on October 26, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

Ironically or not, Fox News shows the most conservative sense of movement in the Senate race in Kentucky.  Their latest poll shows Rand Paul pulling away from Jack Conway by seven points, with Paul hitting the magic 50% mark at 50/43.  Fox concludes that Aqua Buddha has spoken — just not the way Conway intended:

Kentucky Democrat Jack Conway’s ad questioning the Christian faith of Republican Senate rivalRand Paul seems to have backfired.

A new Fox News battleground state poll of likely voters shows Paul with a 7-point lead, 50 percent to 43 percent, but also shows voters personally displeased with Conway.

While Paul was viewed favorably by 48 percent of voters and unfavorably by 41 percent of voters, only 38 percent had a positive impression of Conway while 51 percent held an unfavorable view.

Meanwhile, PPP gives Paul a thirteen-point lead, and also assigns the big shift in support to the magic of Aqua Buddha:

Independents have moved toward Rand Paul in droves over the last month and a half and as a result he’s built his lead in the Kentucky Senate race up to 13 points at 53-40.

In a September PPP poll Paul led by 7 overall while also holding a 7 point lead with independents. Now that advantage with independents is a whooping 39 points at 66-27. There’s been virtually no movement among Democrats or Republicans over that period of time so most of the movement in the race can be attributed to that shift.

There’s been no change in Rand Paul’s favorability numbers in the wake of the controversial ‘Aqua Buddha’ ad. He’s at a net +6 (49/43), virtually identical to his +5 (45/40) a month ago. Jack Conway has seen his numbers plunge though. Where before voters split evenly in their assessments of him, giving him a favorability of 36/36, they now view him mostly in a negative light at -13 (39/52).

There’s little doubt the ad has backfired. 56% of voters say they think it was inappropriate to only 15% who think it was alright. Even Democrats feel by a 41/24 spread that it crossed the line and perhaps relating back to Conway’s huge new deficit with independents they think it was wrong by a 68/7 spread.

TPM says Aqua Buddha was an abject failure:

Here’s how the last couple weeks in the Kentucky Senate race were supposed to work for Democratic nominee Jack Conway: after pounding Republican nominee Rand Paul for his hybrid libertarian (read: strange) positions onMedicaretaxes and law enforcement, an adfocusing on Paul’s alleged college shenanigans would seal the deal for Kentucky voters. Paul would be cast as an extremist outsider, too dangerous to risk a Senate seat on.

Cue the Fail Whale. …

Further, the poll found that most voters are aware of Conway’s infamous “Aqua Buddha” ad(62% of those surveyed said they knew of it) and more than half — 56% — said it was “inappropriate.” Just 15% said it was “appropriate.”

In this election cycle, a Democrat was always going to have a Sisyphean task in Kentucky, especially with Democrats continuing to press for cap-and-trade and/or a carbon tax, either or both of which would be ruinous to Kentucky’s economy.  Conway got desperate and tried a shortcut to make his opponent look extreme and scary, and it blew up in his face.  I doubt that Conway had much of a chance in a state where Barack Obama has a 35% job approval rating anyway, but Conway drove the final coffin nail in place himself.


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Aqua Buddha was an abject failure

Anyone who tries to use Aqua Buddha without permission is doomed to failure.

Rocks on October 26, 2010 at 1:59 PM

Bow down to the Aqua Buddha.

Bishop on October 26, 2010 at 2:00 PM

I just keep thinking of Aqua Velva.

Badger40 on October 26, 2010 at 2:01 PM

I doubt that Conway had much of a chance in a state where Barack Obama has a 35% job approval rating anyway, but Conway drove the final coffin nail in place himself.

How does Aqua Buddha’s a$$ taste now, Conway?

Stupid democrat election desperation will heretofore be called “Going Aqua Buddha” for the next 40 years.

ted c on October 26, 2010 at 2:02 PM

“Aqua Buddha didn’t work! Somebody better hurry up and stage some kind of distraction!”

forest on October 26, 2010 at 2:02 PM

Thou shalt not take the name of Aqua Buddha in vain….

ted c on October 26, 2010 at 2:02 PM

Well, at least Conway can go back to cursing at church crowds, right? LOL!

Dude’s not very adroit at this whole “Christianity” thing, is he?

crushliberalism on October 26, 2010 at 2:03 PM

Aqua Buddah 3:16 says “You just got your @ss whipped by Ron Paul’s kid.”

teke184 on October 26, 2010 at 2:04 PM

Anyone seen my blonde wig…?

/

Seven Percent Solution on October 26, 2010 at 2:05 PM

I just keep thinking of Aqua Velva.

Badger40 on October 26, 2010 at 2:01 PM

You too, huh?

ThePrez on October 26, 2010 at 2:06 PM

We need this win so that RP has a shot at the Presidency. Luckily Rand Paul’s opponent was incompetent here.

The Dean on October 26, 2010 at 2:06 PM

Breaking Sports News…

Michael Phelps legally changing his name to Aqua Buddha.

Mr. Wednesday Night on October 26, 2010 at 2:06 PM

Anyone seen my blonde wig…?

/

Seven Percent Solution on October 26, 2010 at 2:05 PM

Allahpundit has been dressing up the blowup again….

ted c on October 26, 2010 at 2:07 PM

…Rand Paul for his hybrid libertarian (read: strange) positions onMedicare, taxes and law enforcement…

Strange to Toilet Paper Memo, perhaps, maybe even unpopular overall, but not to people who value their freedom more than government “protection”.

cartooner on October 26, 2010 at 2:07 PM

Thou shalt not take the name of Aqua Buddha in vain….

ted c on October 26, 2010 at 2:02 PM

he he he he!

TheAlamos on October 26, 2010 at 2:08 PM

tried a shortcut to make his opponent look extreme and scary, and it blew up in his face.

Wait, I thought republicans were the party of fear.

scalleywag on October 26, 2010 at 2:08 PM

……..And thats why Move On .Orgs Sh*t-Distruber
Lauren Valle was called in for some Liberal Cluster
F*rck action!!!!!!!!!!!!

canopfor on October 26, 2010 at 2:08 PM

Whaa?! But… but! Assault and stuff!

Bat Chain Puller on October 26, 2010 at 2:08 PM

You dug your own grave, Conway. That ad was about as popular as a hippie at a VFW grillout.

Dark-Star on October 26, 2010 at 2:09 PM

You dug your own grave, Conway. That ad was about as popular as a hippie at a VFW grillout.

Dark-Star on October 26, 2010 at 2:09 PM

Or Jane Fonda at a POW-MIA Day celebraiton.

teke184 on October 26, 2010 at 2:13 PM

Anyone seen my blonde wig…?

/

Seven Percent Solution on October 26, 2010 at 2:05 PM

Seven Percent Solution:If I remember right,I seen NarautoBoy
wearing it,as he left the First Annua
l Hot Air Commentor Convention!hehe:)

canopfor on October 26, 2010 at 2:17 PM

Jack Conway is just John Edwards, II. You know he was groomed for office by the trial lawyers to advance one and only one agenda.

Marcus on October 26, 2010 at 2:18 PM

Dedicated to Lauren The Sh*tDistruber!!
(I’m Kidding)
=======================================

Ted Nugent – Stranglehold

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0c3d7QgZr7g

canopfor on October 26, 2010 at 2:20 PM

canopfor on October 26, 2010 at 2:17 PM

:O)

Seven Percent Solution on October 26, 2010 at 2:21 PM

It is like Mark Levin said “We Are Not Here To Engage You, We Are Here To Crush You!”

Nearly Nobody on October 26, 2010 at 2:24 PM

for his hybrid libertarian (read: strange) positions onMedicare, taxes and law enforcement

Only in the mind of a liberal could the common sense views of a vast majority of Americans – including the founding fathers – be considered “strange”.

Nearly everyone i’ve talked – be they Liberal, Conservative, Independent, when you take away all of the wrapping and biases turns out to believe in the same things. People have to be responsible for the choices in life they make – good or bad. Corruption in any area of society should be crushed. An individual has the right to his property – be it inherited or earned through hard work – and how it shall be distributed.

I’ve only met a handful of true socialists in my lifetime, and they’ve all been – to put it mildly – idiots.

tflst5 on October 26, 2010 at 2:28 PM

How could the Dems have attacked Rand Paul without scoring own goal after own goal?

I figure the Ron Paul movement has 3 kinds of folks: The Nuts, the Plants, and the Long March Libertarians. Nuts want de-funding of the Trilateral Commission, and de-classifying the Stargate Program. Plants are really Democrats who are happy to attack the GOP from the right. Long March Libertarians are those with the awareness that the Left is wrong, but who nevertheless buy into the negative characterizations of conservatism that have been hammered into their heads from the day they first moved into the dorms.

When Palin endorsed Rand Paul, she appealed to the persuadable Long March Libertarians and got the nuts to start understanding the Plants weren’t their friends. Genius. All the Dems had as a line of attack on Rand Paul were things that would anger the persuadable portions of the Ron Paul movement.

Sekhmet on October 26, 2010 at 2:29 PM

How could the Dems have attacked Rand Paul without scoring own goal after own goal?

You answered your own question:

I figure the Ron Paul movement has 3 kinds of folks: The Nuts, the Plants, and the Long March Libertarians.

Sekhmet, you, like the Democrats, believed that building pigeonholes and trying to shove Libertarians in them will automatically bring victory.

As is being clearly shown, that strategy fell flat on its ugly face. The Libertarians shoved back and Conway is now left with nothing but his empty vitriol.

Dark-Star on October 26, 2010 at 2:33 PM

Dark-Star on October 26, 2010 at 2:33 PM

I am saying that the endorsement of Rand Paul is helping to kill the coalition between libertarian-minded folks and the Democrats. If this helps weed out the Democrat plants, it can only make the movement better and stronger.

Sekhmet on October 26, 2010 at 2:44 PM

Aqua Buddha kicks @ss…Thou shalt not covet thine opponents votes…

right2bright on October 26, 2010 at 2:44 PM

I am saying that the endorsement of Rand Paul is helping to kill the coalition between libertarian-minded folks and the Democrats. If this helps weed out the Democrat plants, it can only make the movement better and stronger.

Sekhmet on October 26, 2010 at 2:44 PM

Ah. Gotcha. You’re exactly right, and I hope that’s what happens too. Lord knows the movement could use some weeding out. |-]

Dark-Star on October 26, 2010 at 2:46 PM

KNEEL before Aqua Buddha!!

Kiss the Aqua Buddha’s ring!!

Senator Paul!!… yes… I like the sound of that…

JohnGalt23 on October 26, 2010 at 2:50 PM

State and Aqua Buddha will once again be merged.

the_nile on October 26, 2010 at 3:09 PM

Plus, Rand Paul immediately came out and chastised his overzealous supporters.

Smart move. He’s obviously made his closing arguments with the public.

Good job. I like the guy. I also really liked Linda M in CT, but no go there. Too bad.

AnninCA on October 26, 2010 at 4:22 PM

These numbers make more sense. Never thought the race was as close as some were saying. There was no way that Rand Paul was not going to win big in KY especially after Conway pulled that stunt on attacking Paul over something that happened in college.

PhiKapMom on October 26, 2010 at 4:50 PM

AquaBuddhaGate isn’t going like the nutroots said. I guess its time for some more Daily Kos phony polls.

Speedwagon82 on October 26, 2010 at 5:16 PM

RT @HeyTammyBruce: Sorry peeps technical issue slowing us down, Tammy Radio will be back momentarily #tbrs//I blame Aqua Buddha

Heheheheh….Ed tweeted this earlier today.LOLZ

ted c on October 26, 2010 at 11:03 PM