Politico: 99 Democrat seats on the wall, 99 Democrat seats …

posted at 1:36 pm on October 19, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

While Gallup reports that the pool of likely voters hasn’t changed much over the past month, Politico reports that another measure keeps increasing: the number of Democratic seats at risk in the election.   Suddenly, instead of just the Blue Dog seats that Rahm Emanuel worked hard to win in 2006, the midterms are putting a number of traditionally Democratic seats on the watch list, too.  The expansion of the field plays well for Republicans, who have more ammunition and more resources than Democrats playing defense:

Freshman Democrats make up a large share — more than a quarter — of those facing competitive races. Of the 38 Democrats serving their first full terms in the House, POLITICO rates 29 as at-risk. Some — such as Reps. Bobby Bright of Alabama, Betsy Markey of Colorado, Alan Grayson of Florida and Frank Kratovil Jr. of Maryland — hail from GOP-friendly districts, where they have been in the cross hairs almost since the moment they were elected.

But legislative vets are under fire too. Nine-term New York Rep. Maurice Hinchey and four-term Arizona Rep. Raul Grijalva until recently were considered near-locks to win, before their campaigns hit unexpected turbulence. Hinchey attracted unflattering attention this weekend after a videotaped confrontation with a reporter at the same time American Crossroads and other GOP groups are pouring hundreds of thousands of dollars into ads in his district.

Grijalva, who called for an economic boycott of his own state amid a housing crisis and record unemployment, has also been hit by outside spending right after an automated poll unexpectedly showed him in a dead heat with his GOP opponent.

The list also includes a handful of veteran Democrats who typically enjoy the benefits of seniority on Capitol Hill and cruise to reelection but this year find themselves locked in competitive races. Among those Democrats are Armed Services Committee Chairman Ike Skelton of Missouri and Budget Committee Chairman John Spratt of South Carolina.

Getting outhustled in fundraising is another way for candidates to find themselves on the bubble.

In a sign of GOP momentum — and of the breadth of the competitive landscape — at least 40 Democratic incumbents were outraised by their GOP challengers in the most recent quarter, according to FEC filings. Reps. Ron Klein of Florida and Stephanie Herseth Sandlin of South Dakota, both stellar fundraisers, were among those outraised in the latest reporting period.

Politico sees 99 Democratic seats in play, which would put Republicans in position for a win on a scale not seen in decades.  Charlie Cook says it looks like a 52-seat rout along the same lines as 1994, but that would be just barely over a half-and-half split of endangered seats.  Democrats may be hoping for 52 seats as a floor at this point in time.

Part of the problem is money.  While Democrats have raised more in their party organizations, money has poured into conservative political action committees around the country.  Unions usually fill the gap, but voter anger has outpaced union organization in this cycle.  That’s because the bigger problem isn’t money at all, but the sorry economic record of Democrats after four years in control of Congress, and of Obama himself after two years in the White House.  Instead of bolstering an environment of economic growth, Democrats have used the crisis as an excuse to fund hobby-horse social-engineering projects, expand government authority, and spend like drunken sailors.

Small wonder, then, that members of leadership like Skelton finds himself in deep trouble in a relatively balanced district.  James Oberstar couldn’t even get more than a single contribution to his campaign from inside his district in the entire third quarter.   John Spratt once claimed in 2006 that a failure to produce a complete budget was a disqualification for control of Congress, but four years later his party couldn’t even produce a budget resolution in a chamber they controlled by 77 seats.  Grijalva’s problems are more local; after calling for an economic boycott of his own state, his constituents want someone who isn’t actively trying to kneecap local businesses.

In this cycle, don’t be terribly surprised if 99 turns out to be a conservative number, in more ways than one.

Update: Jim Geraghty says all the cool kids are talking about 117.


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Pelosi looks like she’s about to zap someone with Force lightning in that screencap.

CurtZHP on October 19, 2010 at 1:38 PM

Buh Bye!

Tim Zank on October 19, 2010 at 1:39 PM

But Christine O’Donnell will probably lose!

/24-hour cable coverage

mankai on October 19, 2010 at 1:40 PM

I am not sure we get to 99, but we will get substantially there.

Mr. Joe on October 19, 2010 at 1:40 PM

Tick tock….tick tock…

PatriotRider on October 19, 2010 at 1:40 PM

200 or bust…

PatriotRider on October 19, 2010 at 1:41 PM

That’s quite a few Diebold machines to hack, are we sure Cheney’s teams can get that many to work in the GOP’s favor before November?

Bishop on October 19, 2010 at 1:41 PM

Too bad this isn’t a presidential election year…

PatriotRider on October 19, 2010 at 1:42 PM

I would gladly trade Pelosi 10 or so Democrat “freshmen” from Republican districts soiling their diapers these last two weeks they’re so scared for the guarantee of one big fat Barney Frank’s head on a platter.

Marcus on October 19, 2010 at 1:44 PM

99…. you take one down – you kick it around
98 …….

jake-the-goose on October 19, 2010 at 1:44 PM

I disagree, this is propaganda so that when the Republicans only take 65 seats in the house it’ll be spun as a huge Republican loss and Obama saved the day.

I HIGHLY suspect they’ll start publishing stats and figures that say more house seats will be lost than are even up for election before this is all over.

Skywise on October 19, 2010 at 1:44 PM

Don’t look now but Kirstie baby is getting the Soft focus treatment (prepping her for OBAMA running mate material in 2012).

http://www.politico.com/click/stories/1010/sen_gillibrands_closeup.html

*****TEANAMI!!!!
201 Conservative Seat pickup or bust!!

PappyD61 on October 19, 2010 at 1:44 PM

Reap the whirlwind, chumps.

Hesiodos on October 19, 2010 at 1:44 PM

Raul Grijalva until recently were considered near-locks to win, before their campaigns hit unexpected turbulence

there’s your favorite adjective again, Ed.

just who would’ve thought that any of these guys would run into opposition??? *massive double eyeroll**

ted c on October 19, 2010 at 1:45 PM

they’re just another brick in the wall….

and this wall is coming down this year.

ted c on October 19, 2010 at 1:46 PM

Nov 2nd cannot arrive soon enough

tommer74 on October 19, 2010 at 1:46 PM

Gibbs says that anything short of 99 is a massive failure by the GOP.

BacaDog on October 19, 2010 at 1:47 PM

I’m sticking with my 70+ call; a pessimist is rarely disappointed.

Vashta.Nerada on October 19, 2010 at 1:47 PM

In this cycle, don’t be terribly surprised if 99 turns out to be a conservative number, in more ways than one.

In light of this, Rush has had one of his most profound shows today in regards to what, exactly, the GOP majority will do. I hope many within D.C. are paying close attention. This is not politics as usual. We want big government rejected in principle, and every decision to be based on that, with the moderation in pace and not direction. Turn this freaking ship around, heading back on course.

Weight of Glory on October 19, 2010 at 1:49 PM

Anyone want to take a crack at re-writing the lyrics to 99 by Toto?

cktheman on October 19, 2010 at 1:49 PM

“99 dead buffoons….”

sandee on October 19, 2010 at 1:50 PM

Democrats have used the crisis as an excuse to fund hobby-horse social-engineering projects, expand government authority, and spend like drunken sailors.

I’m not entirely convinced Democrats didn’t maneuver the crisis in the first place. The timing for it, is just a tad to convenient.

capejasmine on October 19, 2010 at 1:51 PM

“99 dead buffoons….”

sandee on October 19, 2010 at 1:50 PM

Maybe I was a little harsh. “99 red buffoons?”
Nah, I like the other one better.

sandee on October 19, 2010 at 1:52 PM

Democrats and the media have lied and insulted our intelligence so much, who gives a damn what they say?

They do not convince or persuade anyone.

Even their own base knows they are lying, they just have no problem with it.

NoDonkey on October 19, 2010 at 1:52 PM

I’m all about an upset. but lets not get ahead of ourselves. The media has already been talking up the “If the GOP doesn’t take all 55 it’a complete loss” line. Let’s leave the 200 talk to dreams. Last thing we need is the MSM saying; they thought they were getting 200 and they only got 60 what losers.
Expect less and be happy if you get more.

The Expert Knows
http://theexpertsblog.blogspot.com

HotAirExpert on October 19, 2010 at 1:54 PM

In this cycle, don’t be terribly surprised if 99 turns out to be a conservative number, in more ways than one.

What an early Christmas present this would be, the remaining scum in the bottom of the swamp will be reduced to inconsequencial amoeba.

fourdeucer on October 19, 2010 at 1:56 PM

I don’t know why, but with Nancy and Steny standing in front of the eagle topped flags it reminds me of Hitler…

sandee on October 19, 2010 at 1:56 PM

For who the bell tolls?

It tolls for ALAN GRAYSON!!!!!!
dong dong! ding dong! ding dong!

pilamaye on October 19, 2010 at 1:57 PM

If we look back to 2006 we see the #1 & #2 reasons Republicans got knocked out were the spending like drunken sailors and ethics… so how can the Dems be surprised about this?

Queen0fCups on October 19, 2010 at 1:57 PM

I’m sure that no matter what happens it will somehow turn out to be bad news for the Tea Party and Sarah Palin.

Under/Over on time to the first news piece we see claiming that?

Restriction: Must be on or after November 2 to count.

Chris of Rights on October 19, 2010 at 1:59 PM

I have this dream that one day we’ll wake up to a new America where we have a Communist Party, a Neutral party, a Conservative party, and the remnants of the old GOP. Perhaps with half a dozen splinter parties, and we’ll struggle to form a coalition government every two years.

Skandia Recluse on October 19, 2010 at 1:59 PM

BREAKING NEWS………

The GOP won’t do crap over the next two years if they win back the House. And this time next year, HotAirians will be pitching a fit about how the GOP is sucking!!

I heard RICHARD LUGAR quoted as being a “CONSERVATIVE” in an article today talking about how Sharon Angle and her views are old and have been tried before and that these TeaParties don’t know what they’re talking about etc.

I think the GOP Leadership (PROGRESSIVE THAT IT IS) would rather have the DEMS in power playing the “BAD COP” role and letting the Dems grow the FEDGOV power while the BREADCRUMB REPUBLICANS get what the Dems throw from the table.

PROVE ME WRONG SUCKY GOP LEADERSHIP!!!

PappyD61 on October 19, 2010 at 2:00 PM

All I know is that my entire family, neighbors & friends will all be at the polling places when THEY OPEN!!!

PatriotRider on October 19, 2010 at 2:02 PM

A win of this magnitude would deserve a picture like the asteroid strike in “Deep Impact.”

It’s best to take numbers like these with a grain of salt and save the celebration for later, IMHO.

In related news, the DCCC has abandoned Carol Shea Porter in NH. Reported at Politico and on the air yesterday by local talk jock Howie Carr.

dogsoldier on October 19, 2010 at 2:02 PM

Gee Ed, were did you get your post title? Mine was posted around 10 AM eastern!

Cheers, AJStrata

AJStrata on October 19, 2010 at 2:02 PM

In light of this, Rush has had one of his most profound shows today in regards to what, exactly, the GOP majority will do. I hope many within D.C. are paying close attention. This is not politics as usual. We want big government rejected in principle, and every decision to be based on that, with the moderation in pace and not direction. Turn this freaking ship around, heading back on course.

Weight of Glory on October 19, 2010 at 1:49 PM

THEY DON’T HAVE THE STEEL SPINE TO DO IT.

PappyD61 on October 19, 2010 at 2:03 PM

Grijalva, who called for an economic boycott of his own state amid a housing crisis and record unemployment, has also been hit by outside spending right after an automated poll unexpectedly showed him in a dead heat with his GOP opponent.

Couldn’t happen to a dumber bloke.

That’s because the bigger problem isn’t money at all, but the sorry economic record of Democrats after four years in control of Congress, and of Obama himself after two years in the White House. Instead of bolstering an environment of economic growth, Democrats have used the crisis as an excuse to fund hobby-horse social-engineering projects, expand government authority, and spend like drunken sailors.

Add “with the utmost impertinence and disregard of voters” and it’s a perfect summation.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2010 at 2:04 PM

I HIGHLY suspect they’ll start publishing stats and figures that say more house seats will be lost than are even up for election before this is all over.

Skywise on October 19, 2010 at 1:44 PM

That might explain the CNN report that in this midterm election of the 625 seats up for election the Republicans are favored to win 730 of them. Anything less is a crushing, total failure of the Republican party and proof-positive that conservatism is dead and that people want more progressive, America-changing policies from Obama for the next 6 years.

DrAllecon on October 19, 2010 at 2:06 PM

AJStrata on October 19, 2010 at 2:02 PM

Humble, aren’t you? Mine was posted at 7:30 a.m. Central. However, neither one of us has the readership of Ed and AP And I, for one, don’t consider myself in their league.

kingsjester on October 19, 2010 at 2:07 PM

Anyone want to take a crack at re-writing the lyrics to 99 by Toto?

cktheman on October 19, 2010 at 1:49 PM

I’ll give it a shot at my parody blog. Check back later today.

either orr on October 19, 2010 at 2:07 PM

not only would it be sweet revenge if the Dims/Left/Media lose about 70 seats, and 10 Senate seeats…teh reverberations in both parties would be felt for years.

New Slogan, don’t p.o. the customers, don’t kick them in the teeth and stand with your foot on their neck

r keller on October 19, 2010 at 2:08 PM

Reap the whirlwind, chumps.

Hesiodos on October 19, 2010 at 1:44 PM

A well deserved meeting out of punishment.

Heh.

Bruno Strozek on October 19, 2010 at 2:08 PM

If it is only 99, Gibbs claims an huge victory for the dems and for the country.
“The people have spoken, it is clear that they want to continue this administration agenda, not every democrat lost and Obama is still president. Obama is looking forward to the Republicans working with the agenda that Obama has prepared.”

right2bright on October 19, 2010 at 2:08 PM

From the article:

Getting outhustled in fundraising is another way for candidates to find themselves on the bubble.

BS. They are not in trouble because they’re getting outraised, they’re getting outraised because they’re in trouble. The Republicans are able to expand the target becuase voters are mad as hell at Dems, not because Repubs have access to more capital.

While money is a factor, you can’t buy 100 seats in the House. If you could, Soros wouldn’t be sitting this election out.

Missy on October 19, 2010 at 2:09 PM

kongjester,

It was just a friendly poke – Ed knows me well enough. And if you check the update on my post it would be clear it was a friendly poke.

AJStrata on October 19, 2010 at 2:10 PM

Might be my favorite title post yet! Smell that? It’s the red tidal wave coming closer….

Cookies Mom on October 19, 2010 at 2:10 PM

In light of this, Rush has had one of his most profound shows today in regards to what, exactly, the GOP majority will do.
Weight of Glory on October 19, 2010 at 1:49 PM

In the first hour Rush was talking about a WSJ article quoting Darrell Issa about after agreeing to disagree with the dems we have to compromise with them. No way should we consider such madness. If we win big there should be no compromise, no crossing the aisle and no turning back.

fourdeucer on October 19, 2010 at 2:11 PM

AJStrata on October 19, 2010 at 2:10 PM

Oh. My apologies. That’s not how it came off.

kingsjester on October 19, 2010 at 2:11 PM

Reid, Frank, Hinchey, Chet Edwards, Oberstar, Murray, and Boxer could all lose? Pinch me – I must be dreaming!

Oops, wrong – Obama is President; it’s a nightmare.

At least sending Pelosi back to commercial flying (the poor dear) and a converted broom closet for an office will be sweet.

Adjoran on October 19, 2010 at 2:12 PM

I HIGHLY suspect they’ll start publishing stats and figures that say more house seats will be lost than are even up for election before this is all over.

Skywise on October 19, 2010 at 1:44 PM

Er… Skywise, they are all up for election or re-election this year. It is the House of Representatives, after all!

Old Country Boy on October 19, 2010 at 2:14 PM

fourdeucer on October 19, 2010 at 2:11 PM

I’m with you.

Weight of Glory on October 19, 2010 at 2:14 PM

Is Jan neoCOM Schakowsky a canary in the coal mine?

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/10/17/canaries-in-the-coal-mine-or-cuckoo-polls/

Her challenger, Joel Pollak outraised her 2 to 1 in the 3rd quarter.

http://www.pollakforcongress.com/2010/10/18/a-smashing-success-2-to-1-fundraising-edge-in-q3/

Yes, Joel Pollak is another one of Barney Frank’s worst nightmares.

http://www.riehlworldview.com/carnivorous_conservative/2010/10/another-one-of-barney-franks-worst-nightmares-joel-pollak-for-congress.html

Etc. etc.

redneck hippie on October 19, 2010 at 2:15 PM

Three things that will turn a young Obama supporter into a Republican:

1) Moving out of your parents house
2) Getting a job (ot getting laid off from one)
3) Getting smacked with $1900 fine for not
purchasing health insurance

I am beginning to think think that Obama really was a Manchurian Candidate… not for the Communists, but for the GOP. There won’t be another Democratic Trifecta (WH, Senate, HoR) in our lifetimes, thanks to him.

VastRightWingConspirator on October 19, 2010 at 2:16 PM

Along those lines, let me share what happened at my house EARLY this morning

tree hugging sister on October 19, 2010 at 2:16 PM

I’m lovin’ it :)

cmsinaz on October 19, 2010 at 2:21 PM

Good point skywise ….the msm will call it a failure whereever we end up

cmsinaz on October 19, 2010 at 2:24 PM

tree hugging sister on October 19, 2010 at 2:16 PM

I LOVE it!!! LOL

capejasmine on October 19, 2010 at 2:25 PM

All I know is that my entire family, neighbors & friends will all be at the polling places when THEY OPEN!!!

PatriotRider on October 19, 2010 at 2:02 PM

Amen to that. I’m taking two teenagers as a lesson in Civic Duty.

Key West Reader on October 19, 2010 at 2:26 PM

Key West Reader on October 19, 2010 at 2:26 PM

Good for you! This election is the most importat we’ve had, possibly in our lifetimes. Rush is reading Darrel Issa the riot act about it now. He told Issa that the American people want Obama stopped. Period.

kingsjester on October 19, 2010 at 2:30 PM

Let’s not get overconfident with dreams of taking 99 House seats, but if the Dems have to spend money DEFENDING that many, there will be less money for EACH at-risk seat. Anything over 40 is a success (majority), anything under 40 is failure. Since no one knows WHICH will be the 40th seat, let’s go after as many as possible, but not be disappointed with a 50-seat win.

If Republicans do win 60 or 70 seats, the next question will be to get them all on the same page. Some of the new freshmen might not know how Congress works, and will have to be assigned to committees, and this is where the LEADERSHIP comes in–organizing a governing majority, to pass bills that can be negotiated with a divided Senate.

Steve Z on October 19, 2010 at 2:33 PM

Nena-99 Luftballons new version (2009) with lyrics

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TZwhzf8NC4o

canopfor on October 19, 2010 at 2:36 PM

Nate Silver’s head just exploded.

WordsMatter on October 19, 2010 at 2:36 PM

The present GOP leadership wants to maintain control of the party and convince incoming Republicans to toe the mark. The question to be answered is: Who will the incoming Republicans dance with…the party leadership or the ones who brought them to the ball. The party leadership can tempt them with campaign money and plum committee assignments, but the voters can toss their turncoat a$$es back out in the street in two years. In the final analysis it comes down to character; who has it and who doesn’t.

Extrafishy on October 19, 2010 at 2:37 PM

Don’t know if my representative Brad Miller from NC-13 (D+5) is on that list, but he should be. He is running scared. I received campaign literature from him where he had the audacity to cast the GOP candidate, a complete outsider, as a typical Washington politician.

If you would be so kind and generous to help him out these last two weeks with a small donation, we in the 13th district of NC would greatly appreciate it.

ncconservative on October 19, 2010 at 2:39 PM

Darrel Issa the riot act about it now. He told Issa that the American people want Obama stopped. Period.

kingsjester on October 19, 2010 at 2:30 PM

kingsjester” Yup,he’s been hammering the “Compromise”!!

canopfor on October 19, 2010 at 2:45 PM

In the first hour Rush was talking about a WSJ article quoting Darrell Issa about after agreeing to disagree with the dems we have to compromise with them. No way should we consider such madness. If we win big there should be no compromise, no crossing the aisle and no turning back.

fourdeucer on October 19, 2010 at 2:11 PM

Whether Republicans should compromise depends on what issue is being discussed. Since all revenue-raising bills must originate in the House, a GOP House majority can de-fund ObamaCare, and possibly force tax cuts.

But Issa might have a point on other issues. Although Republicans will probably gain seats in the Senate this year, there is no way they will get a filibuster-proof majority, and they may still be in the minority, although in a stronger position to sustain filibusters.

Any legislation that needs Senate approval will need votes from some Democrats, so that Republican Senators will need to negotiate with “centrist” Democrats (and those up for re-election in 2012) to get 60 votes for cloture. A House-passed bill will most likely get “watered down” in the Senate, and will have to be “reconciled” with the House version in conference committee, so that some negotiation and compromise will be required to get ANYTHING done.

A GOP House majority can successfully put the brakes on the Obama agenda, which Republicans would never pass, but any positive legislation will need some Democrat votes in the Senate, so this is where negotiating skill and healthy cojones will be needed by Republican leaders in Congress.

Steve Z on October 19, 2010 at 2:45 PM

Oh lordy I hope so, but until then I shall endeavor not to count the chickens before they hatch. It’s still a (ever shrinking) while to election day, and we can’t take anything for granted. Now it’s all about turnout and we need to do our very best to get like minded individuals to the polls!

schmitty on October 19, 2010 at 2:47 PM

White GOP Men Stand Out in Early Voting”

maverick muse on October 19, 2010 at 2:39 PM

maverick muse: Yup,I caught that off Drudge,in my mind,
its the ol’racist angle crap,and probably
try’n to paint the Tea Party Perception/
Deception!!:)

Speaking of white men,Rush jusy said it,
a minute ago!:)

canopfor on October 19, 2010 at 2:52 PM

FireFifty has been working since last summer on firing 50 Democrats from the House. We have 125 vulnerable Dem incumbents on our target list and are currently projecting a gross pickup of 82 seats.

motionview on October 19, 2010 at 2:54 PM

Here is the link to 70 Democrats in Congress who have accepted thousands of dollars of campaign contributions from Nancy Pelosi’s “PAC to the Future.”

Check the list to find out if your Congressperson is on it. If yes, be sure to tell all of your neighbors!

http://www.opensecrets.org/pacs/pacgot.php?cmte=C00344234&cycle=2010

Let’s start by making sure this list of Pelosi Puppets is defeated. Then work on getting a Republican majority in the Senate.

We are also going to need lots of Republican Governors, Attorney Generals, and State Legislators to fix our country.

Fight for every single seat at the Federal, State and Local level! The more seats we win in 2010, the more momentum we will have for the 2012 election season.

We don’t know when we will have the wind from a perfect storm at out back like this again!

wren on October 19, 2010 at 2:54 PM

Democrats have used the crisis as an excuse to fund hobby-horse social-engineering projects, expand government authority, and spend like drunken sailors.

Now Ed, remember Reagan’s words: that’s an insult to drunken sailors, who at least are only spending their own money.

Rosmerta on October 19, 2010 at 2:59 PM

I’ve got 109 Dem seats that are vulnerable (although some are only marginally so) on my scorecard. Only 12 GOP seats are vulnerable, in my view, and 4 of those are really very marginally vulnerable.

Red Cloud on October 19, 2010 at 2:59 PM

Nov 2nd cannot arrive soon enough

tommer74 on October 19, 2010 at 1:46 PM

Not to jinx things, but I am taking Nov. 3 off just to gloat.

Noble? No. Gracious? No. Satisfying? Ooooooooh yes.

Allah, Ed, we need an open thread about people’s plans for Nov. 2 & 3. How is everyone spending the day? I’m thinking of getting a case of Sam Adams Dunkelweizen and making a trash bag’s worth of popcorn, preparatory to a night and day spent watching Fox News through an online feed (haven’t had TV for years).

Rosmerta on October 19, 2010 at 3:04 PM

PROVE ME WRONG SUCKY GOP LEADERSHIP!!!

PappyD61 on October 19, 2010

Its a great sentiment. And we see Rush, Sarah Palin and even Michael Steel sounding clear warnings to the GOP establishment about this. We need to recognize that the GOP is undergoing a reformation of sorts while simultaneously gaining electoral traction.

But Pappy, the real point here is this: It is past time to EXPECT GOP leadership to institute Conservative principles – it is high time to DEMAND they do so.

JonPrichard on October 19, 2010 at 3:04 PM

AJStrata on October 19, 2010 at 2:02 PM

Applying 99 bottles of beer on the wall to ANY reference to the number 99 is no great accomplishment. I’d be disappointed if one didn’t come to that idea.

csdeven on October 19, 2010 at 3:04 PM

In Orange County California:

Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez has a glaring advantage in cash over her Republican challenger, Van Tran

BUT! -

Sanchez and Tran have been locked in a tight race, although national pundits have given the edge to Sanchez. Over the weekend, though, Tran’s campaign released the results of a survey by Republican pollsters Public Opinion Strategies that suggest Tran has pulled even with Sanchez.
The survey of 300 likely voters found 39 percent support Tran, 39 percent support Sanchez, 5 percent support Iglesias and the rest remain undecided. But the survey had a margin of error of nearly 6 percent, and the polling company did not return a phone call seeking more details about its methodology, its questions or whom it surveyed.

peski on October 19, 2010 at 3:07 PM

99 Democrat seats on the wall
99 Democrat seats
Take one down
Replace the clown
98 Democrat seats on the wall

Kafir on October 19, 2010 at 3:08 PM

That large snap you just heard was Pelosi`s face cracking….. Or mental state.

ThePrez on October 19, 2010 at 3:11 PM

Here is a list of 80 Socialists who are in our Congress.

Check the list to see if you have a Socialist representing you.

http://newzeal.blogspot.com/2010/08/socialists-in-us-congress.html#links

Clean the House and the Senate! Let’s make sure these Socialists are defeated.

We can start with their leadership team.

Co-Chairs
- Raul Grijalva (AZ-07)
- Lynn Woolsey (CA-06)

Vice-Chairs
- Diane Watson (CA-33)
- Keith Ellison (MN-05)
- Sheila Jackson-Lee (TX-18)
- Mazie Hirono (HI-02)
- Dennis Kucinich (OH-10)
- Donna Edwards (MD-04)
- Alan Grayson (FL-08)

wren on October 19, 2010 at 3:19 PM

Bammie’s about to be inundated with resumes from democratics. Maybe he should do his staff changeout by letting them go now and backfilling in December, after the tears have dried.

slickwillie2001 on October 19, 2010 at 3:27 PM

That’s because the bigger problem isn’t money at all, but the sorry economic record of Democrats after four years in control of Congress, and of Obama himself after two years in the White House.

But… but … but .. they had Good Intentions, right?

So did Stalin I guess.

Chip on October 19, 2010 at 3:28 PM

99 Democrat seats on the wall
99 Democrat seats
Take one down
Replace the clown
98 Democrat seats on the wall
Kafir on October 19, 2010 at 3:08 PM

What if it’s more than 99?

I guess we’ll just have to modify the song a bit – no biggie.

But who is the Clown?

Chip on October 19, 2010 at 3:32 PM

Gonna party like it’s December 16, 1773

J_Crater on October 19, 2010 at 3:34 PM

In Orange County California:

Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez has a glaring advantage in cash over her Republican challenger, Van Tran

peski on October 19, 2010 at 3:07 PM

Here is the video which shows why we should ALL want to see Rep. Loretta Sanchez defeated.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EcyHgwEexX0

Rep. Sanchez is the Chairwoman of the Border Security Committee in the U.S. Congress, yet in this video of a speech she gave to the Hispanic Caucus she boasts that she has the “power to stop a fence that looks just like the fence put up in Germany.”

Which side of the fence does Rep. Sanchez think she is defending?

Elect Van Tran to Congress!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EcyHgwEexX0

wren on October 19, 2010 at 3:43 PM

wren on October 19, 2010 at 3:43 PM

Ooops! I meant to include the link to Van Tran’s campaign website as the second link.

Here it is:

http://www.joinvantran.com/

wren on October 19, 2010 at 3:46 PM

Too bad this isn’t a presidential election year…

PatriotRider on October 19, 2010 at 1:42 PM

Oh, you betcha!

Oink on October 19, 2010 at 3:49 PM

Nov 2nd cannot arrive soon enough

tommer74 on October 19, 2010 at 1:46 PM
Not to jinx things, but I am taking Nov. 3 off just to gloat.

Noble? No. Gracious? No. Satisfying? Ooooooooh yes.

Allah, Ed, we need an open thread about people’s plans for Nov. 2 & 3. How is everyone spending the day? I’m thinking of getting a case of Sam Adams Dunkelweizen and making a trash bag’s worth of popcorn, preparatory to a night and day spent watching Fox News through an online feed (haven’t had TV for years).

Rosmerta on October 19, 2010 at 3:04 PM

True, Rosmerta! I am taking 11.3 as a vacation day so I can stay up all night long on election night (if necessary) watching the returns on Fox and then MSNBC so I can watch them cry. (Evil laugh).

I’ll probably spend part of the time watching with my parents and the other time at my house. Definitely eating popcorn!

Oink on October 19, 2010 at 3:55 PM

Even their own base knows they are lying, they just have no problem with it.

NoDonkey on October 19, 2010 at 1:52 PM

“Hey, it’s what we do best-lie!”

/Democrat of your choice

Del Dolemonte on October 19, 2010 at 4:22 PM

Not to jinx things, but I am taking Nov. 3 off just to gloat.

Noble? No. Gracious? No. Satisfying? Ooooooooh yes.

Allah, Ed, we need an open thread about people’s plans for Nov. 2 & 3. How is everyone spending the day? I’m thinking of getting a case of Sam Adams Dunkelweizen and making a trash bag’s worth of popcorn, preparatory to a night and day spent watching Fox News through an online feed (haven’t had TV for years).

Rosmerta on October 19, 2010 at 3:04 PM

I will be poll watching on the 2nd and Gloating, partying, hugging and dancing on the 3rd. On the 4th it’s back to work (getting Dems out of office). I took a week off from my real job.

IowaWoman on October 19, 2010 at 4:42 PM

Rosmerta on October 19, 2010 at 3:04 PM

You are not alone. I am going on 6 years without a TV. I stream all my news and some shows too!

jbh45 on October 19, 2010 at 5:40 PM

I am beginning to think think that Obama really was a Manchurian Candidate… not for the Communists, but for the GOP. There won’t be another Democratic Trifecta (WH, Senate, HoR) in our lifetimes, thanks to him.

I hope you’re right but Beck last night had a short segment where he talked about the Truman election. The Republicans had a wave election in Congress, but were blamed for being a “do nothing” Congress, and then two years later were voted out off office and didn’t control Congress again for decades. Less than two years ago we were supposed to have Democratic dominance for the next 40 years. We can’t ever let our guard down.

redeye on October 19, 2010 at 7:42 PM

On the evening of Nov. 2nd:

A Humpbot when we hit the majority.

Another Humpbot when we outpace Contract with America.

Another Humpbot when we hit 100 seats.

Another Humpbot when Nancy Pelosi melts into a pile of gooey Botox ala the Wicked Witch of the West.

Another Humpbot when Barney Frank slobbers on his BF’s shoulder.

Yep. I’m gonna be up all night on Nov. 2nd. Humpbot, baby.

Grace_is_sufficient on October 19, 2010 at 8:16 PM

117 seats would be a veto proof house majority. It would cause heads to explode on the left and in the media. I don’t recall when a party lost fifty percent of its congressional seats, though perhaps after Watergate, that might have occurred. Anyway, we can have a drinking game on November 3 for every liberal reporter who claims that the election was one of anger, temper tantrum, rather than of hope and change, you get to drink a shot of your fave beverage.

eaglewingz08 on October 20, 2010 at 1:25 AM