Early voting: GOP turnout unusually high in key Nevada counties

posted at 6:33 pm on October 19, 2010 by Allahpundit

As a lefty blogger might say, soon it’ll be time to party like it’s 1732. I mean, er, 1754. 1768, maybe? Ah, whatever.

Early-voting numbers out of Nevada’s two biggest counties could spell trouble for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in his tough contest against Republican Sharron Angle.

In Reno’s Washoe County and Las Vegas’s Clark County, Republican turnout was disproportionately high over the first three voting days, according to local election officials. The two counties together make up 86 percent of the state’s voter population…

Some 47 percent of early voters in the bellwether Washoe County so far have been Republicans, while 40 percent have been Democrats, according to the Washoe County Registrar. Nearly 11,000 people had voted in Washoe over the first three days of early voting, which began Saturday.

“This makes for a pretty significant uphill battle for Democrats,” Las Vegas-based Republican consultant Ryan Erwin said. “It’s still early, but we’re seeing that the enthusiasm gap is certainly real in Washoe County, especially when you factor in that Clark County Republicans are overperforming as well.”

In Clark County, there were actually more Democrats at the polls than Republicans, but not as many as there usually are — 46/39 this year compared to a 46/33 split in the county’s registration rolls. And virtually all of the rural counties in the state outside Clark and Washoe are expected to go heavily for Angle, so these are the two where Dingy Harry needs to bank a big lead. The question now: Should she lie low until the end of the campaign and let the trends (hopefully) play out or keep on stumpin’ on the theory that nothing can be taken for granted? Normally I’d push for the latter but I think we’ve all spent enough time on this particular highwire. To wit: Telling a class of Hispanic kids, “Some of you look a little more Asian to me”? Dude? Time to run out the clock!


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This is happening in NC, too.

So far, 72,173 voters have cast early ballots, which more than doubles the number cast after the first three days of early voting in 2006. Two years ago, more than 266,000 voters crowded one-stop centers in the first three days of early voting.

White men registered as Republicans cast more than 14,700 of the votes so far, followed by 12,250 white Republican women

SouthernGent on October 19, 2010 at 6:36 PM

Just take it easy now. Do some meet n’ greets, hold some babies, wear a cowboy hat at a bbq, whatever.

Let the Corpse commit all the verbal screw-ups.

Bishop on October 19, 2010 at 6:38 PM

In her defense, I have seen Hispanic names for Facebook pictures where the person looked Asian, but I am not running for office and I did not say that to a room full of Hispanics that is now on YouTube.

WoosterOh on October 19, 2010 at 6:39 PM

Part. of. a. team…..

Great scene. Scary but great…

SteveMG on October 19, 2010 at 6:40 PM

Don’t start…just yet.

My guess is that the angry are much more likely to vote early than the non-angry, so this is a false indicator.

ParisParamus on October 19, 2010 at 6:41 PM

White men registered as Republicans cast more than 14,700 of the votes so far, followed by 12,250 white Republican women

SouthernGent on October 19, 2010 at 6:36 PM

Sorry, I dont believe it.

WoosterOh on October 19, 2010 at 6:41 PM

Wow, Sharron, kinda of a mistake there with the students. Dingy is gonna be running with that one. Hope the early voters really come out!

sandee on October 19, 2010 at 6:42 PM

Just remind voters of a couple of points.

-$3 Trillion added to deficit by Obama
-ObamaCare raises costs for Boeing workers
-There’s no such thing as a shovel ready project

El_Terrible on October 19, 2010 at 6:42 PM

I think a Dem needs a pretty substantial margin in Clark County to win Statewide (even moreso this year)

BuzzCrutcher on October 19, 2010 at 6:42 PM

Don’t stop stumpin, don’t give them any respite, turn up the heat, no retreat, no mercy and no pity when it’s over.

fourdeucer on October 19, 2010 at 6:42 PM

According to the LA Time and Senator Reid, they are just emotional.

http://www.bluecollarphilosophy.com/2010/10/la-times-says-harry-reid-is-in-trouble.html

Blue Collar Todd on October 19, 2010 at 6:43 PM

Enthusiasms… Enthusiasms… Enthusiasms…

(slight content warning)

Seven Percent Solution on October 19, 2010 at 6:44 PM

Angle needs to take a knee.

tru2tx on October 19, 2010 at 6:44 PM

Maybe some of those kids spoke with an Asian dialect, rather than a Hispanic dialect.

BuzzCrutcher on October 19, 2010 at 6:46 PM

Sorry, I dont believe it.

WoosterOh on October 19, 2010 at 6:41 PM

Okay? Because? Anyways…Brad Miller is going down.

SouthernGent on October 19, 2010 at 6:46 PM

If you put Sharron Angles name in google it comes up with the Hispanic student story. This is not good.

sandee on October 19, 2010 at 6:47 PM

SteveMG on October 19, 2010 at 6:40 PM

Great minds and all that…

:O)

Seven Percent Solution on October 19, 2010 at 6:48 PM

Read the whole statement she made about the Asian/Hispanic thing. She also said she was sometimes mistaken for Asian. This was not a slur in any way, shape or form.

Kissmygrits on October 19, 2010 at 6:49 PM

As a lefty blogger might say, soon it’ll be time to party like it’s 1732. I mean, er, 1754. 1768, maybe? Ah, whatever.


1215?

Rightwingguy on October 19, 2010 at 6:50 PM

The perfect way to lose a game is Preventive defense…..
Sharon needs to stay on the offensive and pound Dingy Harry into submission…..

hawkman on October 19, 2010 at 6:50 PM

Early voting – making campaigns start even earlier than before.

David Shane on October 19, 2010 at 6:52 PM

I hope we don’t fumble this on the 1 yard line. First Raese now Angle. Get it together people!

Tasha on October 19, 2010 at 6:54 PM

Party like it’s 1794

/whiskey rebellion

rayra on October 19, 2010 at 6:58 PM

If Harry Reid wins again I am swearing off Vegas. They deserve every bit of their problems if they can’t oust one old socialist.

HotAirExpert on October 19, 2010 at 7:03 PM

Great minds and all that

Part.of.a.team…

SteveMG on October 19, 2010 at 7:08 PM

Before everyone has a spasm about Sharron Angle and the unfortunate Asian remark, shall I remind you of Dingy Reid and his comments about Obama been clean and articulate without a Negro dialect? Hmmmmmmmmmm.

As far as voting early, I wouldn’t even consider it. Too much to go wrong. I’ll vote with the masses on 11.2.10.

Oink on October 19, 2010 at 7:14 PM

Telling a class of Hispanic kids, “Some of you look a little more Asian to me”? Dude? Time to run out the clock!

As I said last night, both me & one of my nephews got this most of our childhoods, we’re both 1/2 Mexican/Spanish. It’s really not that weird.

lizzie beth on October 19, 2010 at 7:19 PM

SouthernGent on October 19, 2010 at 6:46 PM

If you pull down the xls file it has all blacks in with Democrats.

It says that Republicans trail by 4,300, yes, if Dems get 100% of all black votes.

Plus, how are they getting the race of each voter?

They are pulling numbers out of their rear.

WoosterOh on October 19, 2010 at 7:22 PM

Oh, and I’ll also add, most Mexicans are Meso-American Indians, which like the American Indians came over the Bering Strait from Asia to get here. They’re of Asian extraction, and therefore do tend to look fairly Asian.

I don’t get the big deal, as one who should supposedly be insulted.

lizzie beth on October 19, 2010 at 7:25 PM

SouthernGent on October 19, 2010 at 6:46 PM

Also, I am decent at numbers, but my head is starting to spin. White male Republicans have so far cast 20% of the votes, which means they are turning out at a 56% pace for White Male Republicans.

WoosterOh on October 19, 2010 at 7:30 PM

Why is it so wrong to say someone looks Asian?

Bilby on October 19, 2010 at 7:31 PM

I’m more Metis than Mestizo, but I too have been mistaken for someone who is part Asian.

Sekhmet on October 19, 2010 at 7:31 PM

If these candidates want to win they will shut up about the social issues, religion, and all the other extraneous crap…..focus on the economy…stay on POINT.

rickyricardo on October 19, 2010 at 7:34 PM

Why is it so wrong to say someone looks Asian?

Bilby on October 19, 2010 at 7:31 PM

That was my first thought. I guess it is a crime in Nevada to be Asian and they are a class of people that it is still OK to discriminate against, well, along with Christians and Jews.

WoosterOh on October 19, 2010 at 7:35 PM

Gee, all those #&$^ idiots who stayed home in the 2008 election have obviously learned that elections have consequences.

Welcome back dumb asses.

GarandFan on October 19, 2010 at 7:47 PM

1215?

Rightwingguy on October 19, 2010 at 6:50 PM

1217, after we sorted out the King’s forests.

OldEnglish on October 19, 2010 at 7:53 PM

Why is it so wrong to say someone looks Asian?

Bilby on October 19, 2010 at 7:31 PM

Seriously, you see nothing wrong with telling a group of Hispanic kids they look Hispanic?

terryannonline on October 19, 2010 at 8:03 PM

Seriously, you see nothing wrong with telling a group of Hispanic kids they look Hispanic?

terryannonline on October 19, 2010 at 8:03 PM

Sorry meant:

Seriously, you see nothing wrong with telling a group of Hispanic kids they look Asian?

terryannonline on October 19, 2010 at 8:06 PM

Seriously, you see nothing wrong with telling a group of Hispanic kids they look Asian?

terryannonline on October 19, 2010 at 8:06 PM

She said some of them look Asian to her. Again, what is wrong with that? Help me out here!

Bilby on October 19, 2010 at 8:11 PM

Most of the so called “natives” found in the Western Hemisphere prior to the Spanish coming over migrated from where. It slips my mind, oh, that’s right they came from Asia. Why wouldn’t they manifest Asian genetic traits? The people making an issue of this are the ones that are scientific illiterates.

chemman on October 19, 2010 at 8:15 PM

Some of you look a little more Asian to me”?

AYE CARUMBA

angryed on October 19, 2010 at 8:17 PM

She said some of them look Asian to her. Again, what is wrong with that? Help me out here!

Bilby on October 19, 2010 at 8:11 PM

I agree. I wouldn’t be offended if someone said I look Hispanic even though I’m Asian.

Callie C. on October 19, 2010 at 8:19 PM

All hispanics have asian blood courtesy of the land bridge from, well, Asia.

Mojave Mark on October 19, 2010 at 8:20 PM

I remember reading something like this in 2008 too. It was absentee ballots I think which were being handed out more to Reps than Dems. We all know how that turned out.

I’d say don’t count on anything. Fight until 8:00pm on Nov 2nd.

angryed on October 19, 2010 at 8:20 PM

This is happening in NC, too.

So far, 72,173 voters have cast early ballots, which more than doubles the number cast after the first three days of early voting in 2006. Two years ago, more than 266,000 voters crowded one-stop centers in the first three days of early voting.

White men registered as Republicans cast more than 14,700 of the votes so far, followed by 12,250 white Republican women
SouthernGent on October 19, 2010 at 6:36 PM

As a white male in NC i am waiting for NOv 2 to caste my vote. I think you are going to have two waves of voters show up a tthe polls. The first wave we are seeing now. those that want to make sure their vote gets cast and are going in early. the second wave INO will be people like myself that are treating NOV 2 like a national holiday.

The dems will get out some voters between the wvaes thinking all the GOP voters are done voting early and then the second wave of us will storm the beaches and destroy the dem’s counterattack…

unseen on October 19, 2010 at 8:42 PM

Most of the so called “natives” found in the Western Hemisphere prior to the Spanish coming over migrated from where. It slips my mind, oh, that’s right they came from Asia. Why wouldn’t they manifest Asian genetic traits? The people making an issue of this are the ones that are scientific illiterates.

chemman on October 19, 2010 at 8:15 PM

so the native americians stoled the land from the animals. I think we need to give the land back to the bison that the native americans stoled if from.

unseen on October 19, 2010 at 8:44 PM

GarandFan on October 19, 2010 at 7:47 PM

100+

belad on October 19, 2010 at 8:47 PM

so the native americians stoled the land from the animals. I think we need to give the land back to the bison that the native americans stoled if from.

unseen on October 19, 2010 at 8:44 PM

Actually the native Americans may have stolen the land from a semi-European looking people related to the Ainu of northern Japan.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kennewick_Man

Who they stole it from isn’t known.

sharrukin on October 19, 2010 at 8:51 PM

Early voting: GOP turnout unusually unexpectedly high in key Nevada counties.

All MSM headlines will contain “unexpectedly” from here through the election and after.

Chris Matthews will be baffled, and probably finally get a doctor’s opinion on what is really up with his leg/SARC.

Dr Evil on October 19, 2010 at 9:32 PM

My spouse is Spanish and Korean…it happens folks, this is the U.S. it’s a melting pot, people mix.

Dr Evil on October 19, 2010 at 9:34 PM

AKA American.

Dr Evil on October 19, 2010 at 9:37 PM

Campaign hard to the last day and the last dollar.

If you can’t have a victory party because you are out of cash, folks will understand.

Fight.

Fight hard.

Pretend you are behind, and fight some more.

Because its not over until the cheaters are defeated.

ajacksonian on October 19, 2010 at 9:38 PM

I voted here in Nevada’s Clark County. Remember a good number of those voting democrats will NOT be voting for the hated Ried. Go Angle.

Mojave Mark on October 20, 2010 at 12:28 AM

If one includes Afghan, Pakistani, and Indian as Asian, yeah, it can sometimes be difficult to tell just by looking. People from South America that are mostly of native stock can look surprisingly like someone from Southwest Asia or Asia Minor.

crosspatch on October 20, 2010 at 3:45 AM

Enthusiasm, like good news, rides a fast horse!!

VOTE, VOTE, VOTE!!

Khun Joe on October 20, 2010 at 10:22 AM

Party like it’s 1794

/whiskey rebellion

rayra on October 19, 2010 at 6:58 PM

1794 was also the year Louis XVI of France lost his head (literally) as a huge mob of thugs created the Terror of 1794.

Let’s party like it’s 1994.

Steve Z on October 20, 2010 at 10:45 AM

So far, 72,173 voters have cast early ballots, which more than doubles the number cast after the first three days of early voting in 2006. Two years ago, more than 266,000 voters crowded one-stop centers in the first three days of early voting.

White men registered as Republicans cast more than 14,700 of the votes so far, followed by 12,250 white Republican women

So, out of 72,173 early voters in NC, 26,950 of them were white Republicans, or about 37.3% of them. What’s so wonderful about that in NC?

Not that it really matters in North Carolina–Sen. Burr is leading by double digits in every poll. But in Nevada, things could be close, so that Angle telling Hispanic kids that they look Asian could be a costly “macaca” moment. Would Angle say that to Michelle Malkin?

Steve Z on October 20, 2010 at 10:53 AM

Based on the split in those two counties, Reid is ahead by about 2,500 votes based on party affiliation. The last two polls to publish cross tabs (Mason-Dixon Angle +2, PPP Reid +2) both agreed on a 48-40 split of independants toward Angle. If you assume the 12% remainder of independants split evenly, that leaves ~1,800 votes Angle has to make up for in the rest of the state. Assume the rest of the state is voting in proportion for the two most populace counties and splits their votes the same as in 2008 presidential, then Angle assumes a very narrow ~400 vote lead. But that narrow lead is based on a lot of assumptions and could actually be Reid ahead. One graveyard going heavily for Reid and he wins the election. Don’t get cocky and get out the tea party vote so they can’t steal the election

yetanotherjohn on October 20, 2010 at 3:05 PM