PPP: Obama crashing in blue states

posted at 2:55 pm on October 7, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

Barack Obama isn’t just having problems in red or purple states in this midterm cycle, as it happens.  Public Policy Polling, usually seen as a Democratic-leaning pollster, says that even in states Obama won big in 2008, his numbers have sunk dramatically this year.  In a dozen blue states that Obama won by nine points or more in his presidential election, his approval numbers are underwater in nine:

One of the most amazing things in our polling over the last month has been how dreadfully bad Barack Obama’s approval numbers are with likely voters in a lot of states that he won by large margins in 2008. We’ve polled 12 states since the beginning of September that Obama won by at least 9 points and in all but 3 of those states- Hawaii, California, and New York- his numbers are under water.

The states where we do now find Obama with negative numbers that he won easily in 2008- Michigan, Wisconsin, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Delaware, Maine, Connecticut, Colorado, and Illinois.

In the places where the bulk of likely voters disapprove of Obama it’s not very hard to see the contribution that’s making to tough Democratic prospects this fall. Democrats at this point are favored to lose Governorships in Michigan, Wisconsin, New Mexico, and Maine. Illinois and even New Hampshire are possible losses as well. The party is also favored to lose its Senate in Wisconsin, could lose them in Illinois and Colorado, looks like it will miss out on a once bright pick up opportunity in New Hampshire, and had to be bailed out by the Tea Party in Delaware.

Of course, we’re seeing that in Nevada as well, a state not mentioned by PPP, although they perhaps have not done a state-wide poll there yet that shows Obama underwater.  Nevadans elected Barack Obama by almost 13 points but now have his approval rating at 48/51 in Rasmussen’s latest survey, a little better than his national average but still underwater.  Nevada has two statewide races apparently affected by Obama’s popularity, at least in part — the Senate race where Harry Reid has never gotten to the 50% number that usually indicates safety for an incumbent, and a gubernatorial race that Reid’s son Rory is losing so badly that Rory dropped the family name from his advertising.

None of these changes are exactly subtle, either.  New Hampshire has the smallest change in the gap, going from a +9 in the 2008 election to a -8 in PPP’s poll.  Kelly Ayotte has a good grasp on the Senate race there, and Carol Shea-Porter has a fight on her hands with Frank Guinta for her House seat.  In Wisconsin, Obama’s diving nunbers have all but driven a stake through the heart of Russ Feingold’s re-election bid and threatens a sweep of other statewide races, including the open governor’s seat.  Obama won Wisconsin by 14 points in 2008 but now has a 41/54 approval rating for a swing of 27 points in just two years.

The bigger implications from this analysis, though, is for 2012 rather than 2010.  If the economy does not improve over the next year, and hardly anyone predicts it will, then unemployment will go higher and dissatisfaction will rise even in these normally blue states.  The Democratic Party may have to ask itself whether they can afford to have Barack Obama lead the party in the 2012 elections, or whether they need a change to restore confidence in their ability to govern.  Otherwise, with the large number of incumbent Senators having to stand for re-election in that cycle, the tsunami that will engulf the House this cycle may return with greater force in 2012 and take almost everyone out of office.  Democrats cannot compete if Obama comes into that cycle with a -13 in Wisconsin, -5 in Illinois, and -12 in Michigan.


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All racists. Every last one of them.

bloghooligan on October 7, 2010 at 2:59 PM

B+!!!

csdeven on October 7, 2010 at 2:59 PM

Sorry, but I just don’t believe he’s underwater in Illinois. Voters here would still die before disowning him. They might complain about the economy, but they’ll blame Bush before they blame Obama.

jwolf on October 7, 2010 at 3:00 PM

Obama’s numbers can’t get worse. He’ll begin to play “defense” after Nov. If he was smart he’d tack right as well, but I doubt that’s going to happen.

Paul-Cincy on October 7, 2010 at 3:00 PM

The Midwest is doing a complete 180. I’m reaching some common ground with some of my friends from unions that I never had before. I’m anticipating that record numbers of these people will be voting independently from their union bosses wishes.

stldave on October 7, 2010 at 3:01 PM

Let me tell you something, Champ. We the People are not taking your bullshizzat any longer. This lil’ charade of “you know who I am” and finger pointing, strawmanning and demagoging left and right is worn out—straight up. So, go git you a plate of Wagyu beef and enjoy it, have some gravy and a biscuit right along with it and sop it up right because the day is rapidly coming when the high dollar food, plane ride and long black car are coming to a screeching halt jack. We don’t bow to you, you bow to us—and this gravy train is slamming on its brakes, jack–once it hits a dead stop, your carcass is going to be kicked off of it.

put that in your crackpipe.

ted c on October 7, 2010 at 3:01 PM

Yeah but did you see the sampling…..overwhelming racists.

tommer74 on October 7, 2010 at 3:01 PM

forgot the “ly”

tommer74 on October 7, 2010 at 3:02 PM

It’ll be interesting to see how Dems handle his coming Executive powers next year. Will they pander to him, and declare he should be a dictator, with absolute power, or fight back for their positions as law makers?

I think it’s gonna get really ugly really soon.

capejasmine on October 7, 2010 at 3:02 PM

The states where we do now find Obama with negative numbers that he won easily in 2008- Michigan, Wisconsin, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Delaware, Maine, Connecticut, Colorado, and Illinois.

Berry interestink…

I thought we’d been told recently that Delaware, for example, had the 3rd-highest approval rating for Bambi in the country at about 53%.

The fact that he’s tanking there may account for why they put a lot of money into Coons’ advertising campaign there despite polls showing him up solidly.

teke184 on October 7, 2010 at 3:03 PM

gubernatorial race that Reid’s son Rory is losing so badly that Rory dropped the family name from his advertising

Neither his party or surname shall be revealed.

Rory is unmentionable.

NoDonkey on October 7, 2010 at 3:03 PM

Ed, this is sort of related, but why is Obama going into DE to campaign for Coons? I thought Coons was supposed to win in a landslide? Plus, this article claims Obama has good approval numbers there, which according to your post and PPP is incorrect. Is there something we don’t know?????

http://blogs.delawareonline.com/dialoguedelaware/

davek70 on October 7, 2010 at 3:03 PM

Obama’s numbers can’t get worse.

O, ye of little faith!

Just wait.

Bat Chain Puller on October 7, 2010 at 3:04 PM

To be fair NH used to be a red state until a couple years ago. Hopefully it will go red again. The governor is also in a tough fight and will probably lose. The Dems have really spent the daylights out of us.

For The Won I ask, Is that the band playing on deck?

dogsoldier on October 7, 2010 at 3:04 PM

Count it!

Emperor Norton on October 7, 2010 at 3:05 PM

Last time he came to L.A. the traffic mess was so bad no one appreciated him arrival. Least of all ME.

leftnomore on October 7, 2010 at 3:05 PM

HIS arrival- age is hell.

leftnomore on October 7, 2010 at 3:06 PM

I’m still scratching my head. This guy is popular in 12.5% unemployment California. The USA is going to work like California if Obama is successful. Crazy.

El_Terrible on October 7, 2010 at 3:06 PM

Neither his party or surname shall be revealed.

Rory is unmentionable.

NoDonkey on October 7, 2010 at 3:03 PM

is that Rory “Don’t call me Reid” Reid? from the Party that Shall Remain Nameless?…

ted c on October 7, 2010 at 3:07 PM

Water.

Donk blood.

Shark voters.

It’s JAWS time, baby!

dum-dum, dum-dum, dum-dum…

Bruno Strozek on October 7, 2010 at 3:08 PM

Sorry, but I just don’t believe he’s underwater in Illinois. Voters here would still die before disowning him. They might complain about the economy, but they’ll blame Bush before they blame Obama.

jwolf on October 7, 2010 at 3:00 PM

Overall, this is probably true, but look at what Halvorson is facing in the 11th vs. Adam Kinzinger. She won in 08′ by a wide margin – though there were extenuating circumstances on the R side. She voted for cap n’ trade and health care after staging a faux hem and haw session in both cases. Both votes against her constituents wishes. And now she is 18 down in the latest poll.

stldave on October 7, 2010 at 3:08 PM

And how is he doing in Red States?

mwbri on October 7, 2010 at 3:09 PM

If the economy does not improve over the next year, and hardly anyone predicts it will, then unemployment will go higher and dissatisfaction will rise even in these normally blue states. The Democratic Party may have to ask itself whether they can afford to have Barack Obama lead the party in the 2012 elections,

The country will decide whether or not they can afford to have aging hippies and Marxist wannabees in control. They won’t.

And all those people in Detroit and other liberal hell holes will discover that Barry ain’t got no “stash.” In fact, he hasn’t got anything other than Totus and a wife with thighs that could choke a horse to death.

So what’s going to happen? The sensible, middle class that is being driven into the ground will prevail. With all the screaming liberals concerned about being burned at the stake, we will save their sorry asses. That’s what always happens.

In the meantime if California, NYC and a few other liberal conclaves drop off into the ocean that’s fine. I frankly could care less. Detroit is another problem as is Chicago. Maybe all the libs in Canada would like to take on Detroit?

Cody1991 on October 7, 2010 at 3:10 PM

ted c on October 7, 2010 at 3:07 PM

Next thing you know Democrats will be campaigning in wigs, fake beards and Groucho glasses.

NoDonkey on October 7, 2010 at 3:10 PM

His negative approval rating in Maine is probably a combination of buyers remorse by independents and liberals who are disappointed that he hasn’t gone far enough. There are still quite a few true believers up here.

Slublog on October 7, 2010 at 3:10 PM

Voters are fickle…all it will take is the unemployment to start going down and these same people will be marveling at the genius of Obama.

++++++++++

but why is Obama going into DE to campaign for Coons?
davek70 on October 7, 2010 at 3:03 PM

Because it is easy for Obama to look good when the Democrat is so far ahead in the polls. Then after the Democrat wins, the Democrat candidate can then pay back the favor in the 2012 Presidential campaign saying that Obama was the one that got him elected…

albill on October 7, 2010 at 3:11 PM

What will happen is this:

Income taxes people pay on their 1040 in 2012 will go through the roof because of the expiration of the Bush tax cuts (the tax cuts will impact 2011 income but you won’t see it until you file in 2012)

The Democrats will attempt to blame the Republican Congress elected in 2010 for the increase in people’s taxes.

crosspatch on October 7, 2010 at 3:11 PM

why is Obama going into DE to campaign for Coons?

Perhaps because he wants one candidate that he campaigned for as president, to win an election.

NoDonkey on October 7, 2010 at 3:11 PM

here trolly trolly trolly….here trolly….

where they be?

where’s commerce clause crr6?

ted c on October 7, 2010 at 3:12 PM

Ed, this is sort of related, but why is Obama going into DE to campaign for Coons? I thought Coons was supposed to win in a landslide? Plus, this article claims Obama has good approval numbers there, which according to your post and PPP is incorrect. Is there something we don’t know?????

http://blogs.delawareonline.com/dialoguedelaware/

davek70 on October 7, 2010

Obama is probably going there to be able to take credit for the inevitable Coons win. BUT, it might be a rude awakening when COD pulls it out on election day.

JonPrichard on October 7, 2010 at 3:13 PM

Another day, another poll, another reason for James Clyburn to feel like he’s been lynched 1000 times (since breakfast).

ardenenoch on October 7, 2010 at 3:14 PM

The One is apparently considering dumping Joe Biden as his running mate in 2012. He seems to think Joe is dragging his approval ratings down.

Instead, we could be looking at a 1968-style situation. Albeit in this case, caused by the Democrat party leadership telling the President “fuggedaboutit” instead of the other way around.

If so, look for the 2012 Dem National Convention to be an even bigger free-for-all than Chicago in ’68 was. There’s no enthusiasm for Biden now as there was for Humphrey back then. Hillary has support, but it’s tempered by the DNC’s knowledge that most Republicans, the majority of independents, and a plurality of Dems loathe her. She could turn out to be the Ed Muskie of the 21st Century.

Even though the Dems’ nominating process normally makes the Convention little more than a dog-and-pony sh… err, formality, I expect a lot of backroom wheeling and dealing before balloting even starts. And even with that, there is enough animosity and private empire-building within the Party that they could very easily not have a clear winner on the first ballot. If that happens, all bets are off.

As for a possible repeat of 1968 Chicago’s “Days of Rage” outside, between the anti-globalists, the Green fanatics, SEIU, etc., whatever city is picked for the convention site better start putting out a call for backup units… about next Tuesday.

As for me, I’m stocking up on popcorn and Mountain Dew.

clear ether

eon

eon on October 7, 2010 at 3:14 PM

Obama is probably going there to be able to take credit for the inevitable Coons win. BUT, it might be a rude awakening when COD pulls it out on election day.

JonPrichard on October 7, 2010 at 3:13 PM

Given the recent trend of Dem numbers cratering wherever Obama shows up to campaign, I think Coons may end up begging him to stay away.

Feingold and Stesak went from being down slightly to pretty much written off completely after visits by Obama, IIRC.

teke184 on October 7, 2010 at 3:15 PM

here trolly trolly trolly….here trolly….
where they be?
where’s commerce clause crr6?
ted c on October 7, 2010 at 3:12 PM

Strangely silent, the trolls are.

Chip on October 7, 2010 at 3:15 PM

Let’s not get to cocky. We all still have to show up and vote on Nov 3.

And the more committed we are the more of a tsunami it will be.

Hawaii 5-0: Da Ta Da Da Da Dahhh!

SayNo2-O on October 7, 2010 at 3:15 PM

Yeah but did you see the sampling…..overwhelming racists.
tommer74 on October 7, 2010 at 3:01 PM

Ah hahaha

Marcus on October 7, 2010 at 3:16 PM

And come 2012, due to reapportionment, those blue states will have even fewer electoral votes, so he not only needs to hold them, he needs to hold his purple and red states as well, and maybe even pick up an additional red state to get to 270.

Wethal on October 7, 2010 at 3:17 PM

Ed, good points. There’s another factor that makes 2012 even more problematic for Democrats in the Senate.

Democrats big gains in the Senate came in 2006 and 2008. Those are the people up for re-election in 2012 and 2014. A lot to defend.

By all odds, Republicans should have an extremely uphill battle in 2010, because 2004 was a very good year for them in the Senate (pickup of 5 unless I’m mistaken). And yet the GOP is winning, and winning very big, by all appearances.

If the GOP picks up the White House in 2012 and the President-elect (whoever it is) has any coat tails at all, 2012 could be a bloodbath.

Chris of Rights on October 7, 2010 at 3:18 PM

…why is Obama going into DE to campaign for Coons? I thought Coons was supposed to win in a landslide? Plus, this article claims Obama has good approval numbers there, which according to your post and PPP is incorrect. Is there something we don’t know?????

http://blogs.delawareonline.com/dialoguedelaware/

davek70 on October 7, 2010 at 3:03 PM

Oh, PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE, let Obama come campaign for Coons.
He can swing by and campaign for Sestak too, if he has some spare time between his golfing.

In the meantime, I double wish Saracuda to come here for O’Donnell.

Dear Santa, I promise to be extra good till end of this year.

Sir Napsalot on October 7, 2010 at 3:18 PM

Rory should change his name to a number… but that will never make him a secret agent man.

ajacksonian on October 7, 2010 at 3:18 PM

Let’s not get to cocky. We all still have to show up and vote on Nov 3.

And the more committed we are the more of a tsunami it will be.

Hawaii 5-0: Da Ta Da Da Da Dahhh!

SayNo2-O on October 7, 2010 at 3:15 PM

I’m gonna vote on November 2.

Chris of Rights on October 7, 2010 at 3:19 PM

“The bigger implications from this analysis, though, is for 2012 rather than 2010.”

Amen, this is a 2 election cylce purge.

And I don’t think that Obama will be the Democrats’ nominee in 2012.

The party elders will meet with him when it becomes apparent that he has no chance for re-election (like they did with Bob Toricelli in NJ a few years ago by inserting Frank Lautenberg in his place).

My bet is that Hillary is the Democrats’ nominee in 2016.

molonlabe28 on October 7, 2010 at 3:20 PM

Given the recent trend of Dem numbers cratering wherever Obama shows up to campaign, I think Coons may end up begging him to stay away.

Feingold and Stesak went from being down slightly to pretty much written off completely after visits by Obama, IIRC.

teke184 on October 7, 2010 at 3:15 PM

By far, the best ad Roy Blunt has run here in Missouri is tape of Obama at a Carnahan rally saying he needed her vote.

stldave on October 7, 2010 at 3:20 PM

The other day I saw a man in a Lowe’s parking lot, sporting a “VOTE HARRY REID” t-shirt. For a brief moment, my Walter Mitty self wanted to approach him and ask him exactly what, he thought, were the good points of Harry Reid. My other fantasy was to walk up to him, grab him by the shoulders, shake the living daylights out of him and scream “What the ef is wrong with you”?

I just stared, instead.

betsyz on October 7, 2010 at 3:20 PM

She could turn out to be the Ed Muskie of the 21st Century.

I could see her getting buried by the media as Muskie did over his supposed crying breakdown in New Hampshire over the “Canuck letter”.

The story of that incident has been told two ways- One was that melting snowflakes put moisture on Muskie’s face and the other being that he went into a crying fit, destroying his image of being calm and stoic.

Not so coincidentally, Muskie was considered an establishment favorite for the Dem nomination that year after being Humphrey’s running mate in ’68. The media twisted that story to the point that it killed his campaign, allowing George McGovern to win the nomination instead.

If the media sees Hillary as being unelectable, as they know Republicans and independents hate her, I wouldn’t put it past them to spin an incident in a way to kill her with the Dems in favor of any other candidate that the Dems could find.

teke184 on October 7, 2010 at 3:21 PM

It’s so bad that I bet he leaves the country right after the election…

right2bright on October 7, 2010 at 3:22 PM

“The Democrats will attempt to blame the Republican Congress elected in 2010 for the increase in people’s taxes.”

Further, I predict the House will attempt to reinstate the tax cuts but the Democrats will block it in the Senate and the bill will never come up for a vote in the Senate (will never get cloture).

The Dem plan was (I believe) if they maintain control of the house, reinstate the Bush tax cuts in the lame duck session. If they lose the House, they do nothing on the Bush tax cuts and attempt to cast blame for tax increases seen in 2012 on the current Congress.

It can be avoided by pointing that out RIGHT NOW and making sure everyone realizes that their taxes are going up because of the Democrat Congress.

Also, begin telling people NOW that 2010 is only the first of a “one-two” punch and we need the second “punch” in 2012 to knock them out when a huge number of Dem seats in the Senate come up for election

2010 is the House, 2012 is the Senate and White House.

crosspatch on October 7, 2010 at 3:23 PM

Next thing you know Democrats will be campaigning in wigs, fake beards and Groucho glasses.

NoDonkey on October 7, 2010 at 3:10 PM

LMAO!!!!

PatriotRider on October 7, 2010 at 3:23 PM

Let’s not get to cocky. We all still have to show up and vote on Nov 3.

SayNo2-O on October 7, 2010 at 3:15 PM

Let’s hope all of the democrats show up and vote on Nov 3rd. and the Republicans on Nov. 2nd.

right2bright on October 7, 2010 at 3:23 PM

It’s Obamacare. The way it was pushed through over the loud objections of a huge majority, and the whole time they called us racists.There has never been any proof offered that people yelled the N-word at the CBC while they strolled through an angry crowd on their way to screw over the whole country. Yet it is now a “known fact” that it happened. One man’s word against millions of people nationwide.

If a guy came up to you on the street and robbed you, then called you a racist because you didn’t thank him for letting you help him out, would you have a good opinion of him?

Mord on October 7, 2010 at 3:24 PM

Purple states turning red
+
Blue states turning purple
+
DCCC giving up on Blue Dogs and beginning to defend “safe” blue seats
+
Obama’s numbers tanking even further

=It’s gonna be a bloodbath, folks.

Missy on October 7, 2010 at 3:24 PM

Wait, wasn’t the meme this morning that Obama is a lock for the 2012 election?

Aitch748 on October 7, 2010 at 3:25 PM

And I forgot to add that the Democrats have 19 or 20 Senators up for re-election in 2012, including Claire McCaskill and Ben Nelson.

molonlabe28 on October 7, 2010 at 3:25 PM

People just don’t appreciate a Harvard law degree anymore.

Cicero43 on October 7, 2010 at 3:26 PM

It’s so bad that I bet he leaves the country right after the election…

right2bright on October 7, 2010 at 3:22 PM

No points for that prediction… he’s already announced he’s leaving for an overseas tour lasting about two weeks after the elections.

teke184 on October 7, 2010 at 3:26 PM

In the meantime, I double wish Saracuda to come here for O’Donnell.

Sir Napsalot on October 7, 2010 at 3:18 PM

You’re getting your wish:
http://blogs.abcnews.com/thenote/2010/10/sarah-palin-christine-odonnell-delaware-campaign-visit.html?cid=ESPNheadline

Chris of Rights on October 7, 2010 at 3:26 PM

Let’s not get to cocky. We all still have to show up and vote on Nov 3.

SayNo2-O on October 7, 2010 at 3:15 PM

Let’s hope all of the democrats show up and vote on Nov 3rd. and the Republicans on Nov. 2nd.

right2bright on October 7, 2010 at 3:23 PM

Here’s to hoping Conservatives show up at their local voting booths Nov 2 and Lefties show up in Canadian voting stations come Nov 3…

MeatHeadinCA on October 7, 2010 at 3:27 PM

Missy on October 7, 2010 at 3:24 PM

that’s some good math you got there Missy….

ted c on October 7, 2010 at 3:27 PM

That’s ok Hussein, you’ll be jetting off to friendlier climes right after the election, at govt expense.

So when you look back on it, it will not have happened.

Until you get back.

Akzed on October 7, 2010 at 3:27 PM

Wow, if he keeps this up, not only will he replace Jimmy Carter as worst President in recent history, he’ll replace Walter Mondale as the biggest electoral loser of all time…

Kevin71 on October 7, 2010 at 3:27 PM

It’s so bad that I bet he leaves the country right after the election…

right2bright on October 7, 2010 at 3:22 PM

Yes indeedy he is getting out of Dodge

The White House has advanced President Obama’s visit to India by two days, according to sources. He will now be landing in India on the night of November 5, flying most likely into Mumbai first.
The second leg of the trip will be the twice-postponed trip to Indonesia, the country where the young Barry Obama waas adopted by his Indonesian stepfather and acquired the name Soetoro and possibly Indonesian nationality and the religion of Islam (he was registered in school as a Muslim).

Brat on October 7, 2010 at 3:28 PM

I meant to say that I think Hillary will be the nominee in 2012 – not 2016.

molonlabe28 on October 7, 2010 at 3:29 PM

It’s so bad that I bet he leaves the country right after the election…

right2bright on October 7, 2010 at 3:22 PM

Who? Barfy? He is indeed leaving on 11/4 for a 12 day stint in India.

Cody1991 on October 7, 2010 at 3:30 PM

Let’s not get to cocky. We all still have to show up and vote on Nov 3.

SayNo2-O on October 7, 2010 at 3:15 PM
Let’s hope all of the democrats show up and vote on Nov 3rd. and the Republicans on Nov. 2nd.

right2bright on October 7, 2010 at 3:23 PM
Here’s to hoping Conservatives show up at their local voting booths Nov 2 and Lefties show up in Canadian voting stations come Nov 3…

I Stand Corrected!

SayNo2-O on October 7, 2010 at 3:32 PM

Wow, if he keeps this up, not only will he replace Jimmy Carter as worst President in recent history, he’ll replace Walter Mondale as the biggest electoral loser of all time…

Kevin71 on October 7, 2010 at 3:27 PM

heh! I wonder if his home state is going to carry him….Oh WAIT!!!!

ted c on October 7, 2010 at 3:32 PM

And I forgot to add that the Democrats have 19 or 20 Senators up for re-election in 2012, including Claire McCaskill and Ben Nelson.

molonlabe28 on October 7, 2010 at 3:25 PM

Dems up that year-

Feinstein (CA)
Carper (DE)
Nelson (FL)
Akaka (HI)
Cardin (MD)
Stabenow (MI)
Klobochar (MN)
McCaskill (MO)
Tester (MT)
Nelson (NE)
Menendez (NJ)
Bingaman (NM)
Conrad (ND)
Brown (OH)
Whitehouse (RI)
Webb (VA)
Cantwell (WA)
Kohl (WI)

Independents-

Sanders (VT)
Lieberman (CT)

Unknown-

Winner of Gillibrand vs. DioGuardi

Frankly, I see 8 seats that appear to be relatively easy flips (FL, MI, MO, MT, NE, ND, OH, VA) based on the quality of the incumbents and the way those states are trending this year.

That’s not even going into the inevitable surprises that may happen if a particular incumbent becomes vulnerable in a hurry like Murray and Feingold have this cycle.

teke184 on October 7, 2010 at 3:32 PM

Purple states turning red
+
Blue states turning purple
+
DCCC giving up on Blue Dogs and beginning to defend “safe” blue seats
+
Obama’s numbers tanking even further
=It’s gonna be a bloodbath, folks.
Missy on October 7, 2010 at 3:24 PM

Just remember that we shouldn’t get too complacent – the Leftist have been strangely unconcerned about their fate.

After all, we will all want to be part of the Tsunami that pounds the Socialists, don’t we?

Chip on October 7, 2010 at 3:33 PM

“Hi, I’m Chris Coons. I’m not a communist,” Chris Illych Coons.

Akzed on October 7, 2010 at 3:34 PM

Politico: Obama to Target Black Voters”

at a black college campus.

aquaviva on October 7, 2010 at 3:35 PM

Brat on October 7, 2010 at 3:28 PM

He’s going to where he will be more appreciated. Maybe we can convince him to just stay there.

tims472 on October 7, 2010 at 3:37 PM

If the economy does not improve over the next year, and hardly anyone predicts it will…

Obviously missed Peter Beinart’s brilliance this morning.

Abby Adams on October 7, 2010 at 3:39 PM

Income taxes people pay on their 1040 in 2012 will go through the roof because of the expiration of the Bush tax cuts (the tax cuts will impact 2011 income but you won’t see it until you file in 2012)

The Democrats will attempt to blame the Republican Congress elected in 2010 for the increase in people’s taxes.

crosspatch on October 7, 2010 at 3:11 PM

How will they explain 20+ million people getting an increased tax bill for 2010, due to inaction on the AMT?

Vashta.Nerada on October 7, 2010 at 3:42 PM

Who? Barfy? He is indeed leaving on 11/4 for a 12 day stint in India.

Cody1991 on October 7, 2010 at 3:30 PM

Let’s hope to God, it does not rain. Would hate to see anymore vexing and complicated umbrella struggles.

betsyz on October 7, 2010 at 3:44 PM

After all, we will all want to be part of the Tsunami that pounds the Socialists, don’t we?

Chip on October 7, 2010 at 3:33 PM

Heck yeah. It ain’t over till it’s over. But in the meantime, enjoy the ride!

Missy on October 7, 2010 at 3:44 PM

How will they explain 20+ million people getting an increased tax bill for 2010, due to inaction on the AMT?

Vashta.Nerada on October 7, 2010 at 3:42 PM

Throw blame at the Republicans for not rolling over on that extended tax cut for the top 2%, ignoring that they had the House support to get the whole thing through before Pelosi got a vote to end the session.

teke184 on October 7, 2010 at 3:45 PM

Politico: Obama to Target Black Voters”

at a black college campus.

aquaviva on October 7, 2010 at 3:35 PM

insert fish-in-a-barrel joke here…?…

ted c on October 7, 2010 at 3:45 PM

As Barack says, it’s all about the three letter word: Jobs, J-O-B-S, jobs.

Mr_Magoo on October 7, 2010 at 3:48 PM

Let’s hope to God, it does not rain. Would hate to see anymore vexing and complicated umbrella struggles.

betsyz on October 7, 2010 at 3:44 PM

Frankly, I’d like to see him turn into Mary Poppins. He’s not far from it now. He just needs a little more wind to blow him out of our way.

Cody1991 on October 7, 2010 at 3:49 PM

15 People FALL ILL at Obama Rally

first totus crashes, then the seal, now the peeps….

what’s going on folks?

ted c on October 7, 2010 at 3:54 PM

Frankly, I’d like to see him turn into Mary Poppins. He’s not far from it now. He just needs a little more wind to blow him out of our way.

Cody1991 on October 7, 2010 at 3:49 PM

Maybe a spoon full of medicine would do the trick! Then he could test his ObamaCare.

Oh I forgot… he has a special plan just for the upercrust of our society.

SayNo2-O on October 7, 2010 at 3:56 PM

You won’t get secular humanists, particularly Jews to EVER side up with Republicans who have the smell of Jesus on them. They hate Christians far more than they hate a bad Democrat. This is where the battle leads, right back to theology and God, as it’s in the DNA to wrestle over these issues.

leftnomore on October 7, 2010 at 3:58 PM

Cody1991 on October 7, 2010 at 3:49 PM

So few things to laugh about these days, but that imagery is funny.

betsyz on October 7, 2010 at 3:59 PM

15 People FALL ILL at Obama Rally
ted c on October 7, 2010 at 3:54 PM

Oh noes not the fake fainters again! Someone predicted this today on another post.

Brat on October 7, 2010 at 4:02 PM

ted c
In the MTV headlines comments, AZCoyote predicted it:

Are they going to be recruiting fainters, like the ones they had for Barry’s campaign rallies? Those were lots of fun, and the MSM fell for it every time — probably because they themselves had so much difficulty not swooning in his presence.

AZCoyote on October 7, 2010 at 3:13 PM

Brat on October 7, 2010 at 4:04 PM

To be fair NH used to be a red state until a couple years ago. Hopefully it will go red again. The governor is also in a tough fight and will probably lose. The Dems have really spent the daylights out of us.

For The Won I ask, Is that the band playing on deck?

dogsoldier on October 7, 2010 at 3:04 PM

Actually, NH has been a true-blue state since around 2004, when the state went for the idiot who served in Vietnam. And we had many Dems in state offices before that.

Del Dolemonte on October 7, 2010 at 4:06 PM

How great would it be if Palin timed her DE visit to campaign for COD for when Obama is there for Coons!

bluemarlin on October 7, 2010 at 4:07 PM

OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOH, I bet he is reeeeeeeeeeeally all wee-wee’d up at this point!

pilamaye on October 7, 2010 at 4:16 PM

“America is just downright mean!”–FLOTUS

mrt721 on October 7, 2010 at 4:26 PM

Next thing you know Democrats will be campaigning in wigs, fake beards and Groucho glasses.
NoDonkey on October 7, 2010 at 3:10 PM

Wrong Marx. ;)

obladioblada on October 7, 2010 at 4:36 PM

The system worked.

wildweasel on October 7, 2010 at 4:42 PM

I’m curious….did they poll all 57 states?

wildweasel on October 7, 2010 at 4:44 PM

So all these people who are leaving him in droves will vote for him in 2012 if Hillary is the vice presidential candidate instead of Biden? Because Biden is the problem? Someone ‘splain that to me, please.

silvernana on October 7, 2010 at 4:45 PM

why is Obama going into DE to campaign for Coons?

davek70 on October 7, 2010 at 3:03 PM

I think new strategy is that he will campaign for sure winners unless absolutely necessary (like Giannoulias being from his home state) so that no one talks about how the people he campaigned for lost. I don’t think you’ll see him with Feingold again, for instance.

Greyledge Gal on October 7, 2010 at 4:48 PM

PPP: Obama crashing in blue states

Obamageddon!

Or is this the Barackalypse?

UltimateBob on October 7, 2010 at 4:50 PM

Let’s not get to cocky. We all still have to show up and vote on Nov 3.

Veeeerrrry clever. Trying to confuse the dumb trolls!!!

4Freedom on October 7, 2010 at 4:55 PM

Wrong Marx. ;)
obladioblada on October 7, 2010 at 4:36 PM

Thread winner. Pick up your prize at Allah’s office.

turfmann on October 7, 2010 at 4:56 PM

Income taxes people pay on their 1040 in 2012 will go through the roof because of the expiration of the Bush tax cuts (the tax cuts will impact 2011 income but you won’t see it until you file in 2012)

The Democrats will attempt to blame the Republican Congress elected in 2010 for the increase in people’s taxes.

crosspatch on October 7, 2010 at 3:11 PM

The Democrats may try to blame the Republicans for the January 1 tax increases if Congress doesn’t extend the Bush tax cuts, but it isn’t going to work with the people who have taxes withheld from their paychecks by their employers.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704689804575535861229293800.html?mod=WSJ_hp_mostpop_read

Treasury officials’ most obvious option is the least attractive. If they publish tables based on expiration of the Bush tax cuts, which occurs Jan. 1, millions of low- and middle-income taxpayers who have paid little or no income taxes for a decade would likely see increases in January. Prof. Graetz estimates that higher withholding could take up to $10 billion a month out workers’ pockets due to higher tax rates alone. Other benefits also are expiring.

Congress needs to act quickly if they are going to extend President Bush’s tax cuts so companies have time to make sure their payroll systems are using the correct rates for 2011.

But since Congress currently isn’t scheduled to be back in session until mid-November and it will take time for them to debate which tax rates they want to extend, employees are likely to get an unexpected lesson in economics (and liberalism) on their January pay stub. And the timing couldn’t be worse as the December credit card bills arrive after the holidy season.

People with smaller paychecks will get the biggest economic shock in January if Congress doesn’t extend the tax cuts.

wren on October 7, 2010 at 4:59 PM

Ed, this is sort of related, but why is Obama going into DE to campaign for Coons? I thought Coons was supposed to win in a landslide? Plus, this article claims Obama has good approval numbers there, which according to your post and PPP is incorrect. Is there something we don’t know?????

http://blogs.delawareonline.com/dialoguedelaware/

davek70 on October 7, 2010 at 3:03 PM

Sounds like good news for O’Donnell and extremely bad news for Obama if she pulls off an upset.

sharrukin on October 7, 2010 at 5:00 PM

Junior KNOWS his support is crumbling.

Like any other dictator when he senses public support is crumbling, he moves to continue his agenda by either taking more power by force or bypassing impediments…such as a Rep majority Congress.

Hence, the plan to rule by exec order instead of legislation in today’s LAT.

Junior is going to shove his agenda as far as he can by any means, and “the people” be damned.

It can happen here.

Harry Schell on October 7, 2010 at 5:14 PM

I got polled on the phone today. First time in my life but I let ‘em have it. NO NO NO TO OBAMA.

Key West Reader on October 7, 2010 at 5:34 PM

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