Surrender: New Rasmussen poll shows Russ Feingold down … 12 points

posted at 4:12 pm on September 30, 2010 by Allahpundit

Do I need to say anything or is this trendline from HuffPo’s poll of polls sufficient?

Follow the HuffPo link and scroll down to the see the hard numbers. The race was tight all through “Recovery Summer,” then summer ended and, alas, there was no recovery, and so to Senator Russ we bid a fond adieu. This actually isn’t the first poll to show him trailing by double digits — Kos’s pollster had it 52/41 ten days ago compared to 54/42 in Rasmussen today — but it confirms that the momentum’s all in Johnson’s direction. Two weeks ago, when Rasmussen last surveyed this race, he led by seven; that was the very first poll showing the Republican ahead by more than a point or two, but several others followed showing similar numbers. Now it’s opening wider, raising a possibility that never, ever would have occurred to me even in the rosiest campaign scenarios a few months ago: Is the DSCC going to have to pull the plug on more ad money for Wisconsin and leave Feingold for dead? Sestak is now within three of Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania, so there’s a winnable race they could spend on instead. And thanks to Linda McMahon and John Raese, they’re being forced to sink big dollars into states they never expected would be contested. Resources are limited, so it’s triage time. Time to leave Russ on the battlefield?

Via Ben Smith, here’s Feingold’s new ad touting his support for … ObamaCare. What could go wrong?


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In immediate need of money Pat Toomey and John Raese.

amerpundit on September 30, 2010 at 4:15 PM

Well it’s a good thing Russ decided at the last minute to appear at Barry’s youth rally the other day. Looks like it’s already paying off.

/sarc

Doughboy on September 30, 2010 at 4:15 PM

Circling down, down, down.

portlandon on September 30, 2010 at 4:16 PM

That is despite Feingold going personally negative for the first time in his Senatorial career. In prior races, he had his “outside” buddies do all the mudslinging.

steveegg on September 30, 2010 at 4:16 PM

Feingold has turned into quicksilver or quicksand.

William Amos on September 30, 2010 at 4:16 PM

What we need is MORE Obama. If the republicans think this is a vote of confidence, then their leadership is a ship of fools. This is a page turned back from the liberal transformation of our country from elitists who the RINOs are a part of. Conservatives are awake and if the GOP stabs them in the back then they are next.

volsense on September 30, 2010 at 4:16 PM

Well, you know what they say. Might as well go down in flames.

Ian on September 30, 2010 at 4:17 PM

Fool’sgold. Heh.

Brian1972 on September 30, 2010 at 4:17 PM

What! Sestak has a chance. Does the CNN poll use the 2008 party split?

taney71 on September 30, 2010 at 4:17 PM

Could it actually happen? Getting rid of Feingold would be huge! Okay, I am not going to get excited. Not going to do …. it.

upinak on September 30, 2010 at 4:17 PM

I love the smell of liberal fear in the morning.

Chris of Rights on September 30, 2010 at 4:17 PM

“The difference is….you’ve got me.”

Spider79 on September 30, 2010 at 4:19 PM

That X and Y axis up there is pure art.

Buh-bye, Wuss Blindfold. You can still get yourself appointed ambassador to Joe Sestakville.

Western_Civ on September 30, 2010 at 4:19 PM

In immediate need of money Pat Toomey and John Raese.

Angle needs money much more than Toomey.

Jon0815 on September 30, 2010 at 4:20 PM

“Because you deserve a senator that’s on your side.”

Translation: I’ll reach so deep into your neighbor’s pocket, that in most states I could be convicted of sexual assault.

av8tr on September 30, 2010 at 4:22 PM

Angle needs money much more than Toomey.

Jon0815 on September 30, 2010 at 4:20 PM

They both need money, actually, but I don’t like how Sestak is closing-in on Toomey suddenly.

amerpundit on September 30, 2010 at 4:22 PM

Circling down, down, down.

portlandon on September 30, 2010 at 4:16 PM

How ’bout you guys get rid of Wyden?

Lanceman on September 30, 2010 at 4:22 PM

They both need money, actually, but I don’t like how Sestak is closing-in on Toomey suddenly.

amerpundit on September 30, 2010 at 4:22 PM

could be just a burp.

upinak on September 30, 2010 at 4:23 PM

I don’t buy the Stesak poll results putting him 3 behind Toomey.

I can’t find the raw numbers to get the weighting, but having 41% of the state approving of Obama’s job performance yet having Toomey only up by 3 on Stesak, 45-42, seems VERY suspect.

teke184 on September 30, 2010 at 4:24 PM

Why would anyone want to even go over to HuffPost? To even suggest going over there is stupid.

WoosterOh on September 30, 2010 at 4:24 PM

“The difference is….you’ve got me.”

Spider79 on September 30, 2010 at 4:19 PM

Classic!

kscheuller on September 30, 2010 at 4:25 PM

Man, this is like the Wizard of OZ or something.

Who threw the water on the Dems?

“We’re melting….melting….ahhhhhhhhhh……”

BobMbx on September 30, 2010 at 4:26 PM

The Dems should just put out one ad to serve every purpose. “We hate every industry, we hate every producer, and we hate every consumer.

fourdeucer on September 30, 2010 at 4:27 PM

..firewalls have consequences..

The War Planner on September 30, 2010 at 4:27 PM

Does the liberal downward spiral change directions if they go south of the equator?

AubieJon on September 30, 2010 at 4:27 PM

“Because you deserve a senator that’s on your side.”

Translation: I’ll reach so deep into your neighbor’s pocket, that in most states I could be convicted of sexual assault.

av8tr on September 30, 2010 at 4:22 PM

Ha!

aquaviva on September 30, 2010 at 4:27 PM

It’s hard to believe that a wave of red is washing over this state…but with Obey stepping down, and possibly Walker positioned to take over Doyle’s seat…*sigh*.

Trying not to get my hopes up. Apart from Paul Ryan, the Republicans in this state seem to turn purple real damned quick.

MadisonConservative on September 30, 2010 at 4:27 PM

They both need money, actually, but I don’t like how Sestak is closing-in on Toomey suddenly.

amerpundit on September 30, 2010 at 4:22 PM

PA has Philadelphia its a Liberal hole. And has the Black Panthers and Acorn like groups. On the other end is Pittsburgh. The dems carry those two big cities and Scranton and make it hard for a GOP candidate.

William Amos on September 30, 2010 at 4:28 PM

I’m not counting a single chicken until it’s out of the egg, walking around and pooping at my feet.

TheBigOldDog on September 30, 2010 at 4:28 PM

Trying not to get my hopes up. Apart from Paul Ryan, the Republicans in this state seem to turn purple real damned quick.

MadisonConservative on September 30, 2010 at 4:27 PM

Yeah, but will your “purple” spread to other states around you? Like Michigan?

upinak on September 30, 2010 at 4:29 PM

New poll graph shows Feingold going limp.

paulsur on September 30, 2010 at 4:29 PM

This looks like a job for….TA DA!…..voter fraud!

Dr. Carlo Lombardi on September 30, 2010 at 4:30 PM

McCain/Feingold – half the free speech battle is almost won!

cartooner on September 30, 2010 at 4:30 PM

Happy days are here again!
The skies above
are blue again….

Hum along with me!…

ornery_independent on September 30, 2010 at 4:30 PM

Is the DSCC going to have to pull the plug on more ad money for … Feingold?

Russ likes it that way. He’s a indepedent kinda guy. At least that’s what his ads say …

PackerBronco on September 30, 2010 at 4:31 PM

This is why the polls mean nothing right now. Its November when it all counts.

http://www.blrag.com/blog/2010/9/28/push-to-the-polls-who-will-win-the-race.html

William Amos on September 30, 2010 at 4:31 PM

McCain/Feingold – half the free speech battle is almost won!

cartooner on September 30, 2010 at 4:30 PM

A slightly better candidate might have taken care of the McCain problem in the primary.

TheBigOldDog on September 30, 2010 at 4:32 PM

It’s hard to believe that a wave of red is washing over this state…but with Obey stepping down, and possibly Walker positioned to take over Doyle’s seat…*sigh*.

Trying not to get my hopes up. Apart from Paul Ryan, the Republicans in this state seem to turn purple real damned quick.

MadisonConservative on September 30, 2010 at 4:27 PM

Like Dale “Sgt.” Schultz (from “No Talk Radio Here”) and Mike “Cave on the budget” Huebsch?

steveegg on September 30, 2010 at 4:32 PM

Varsity varsity
Oh rah rah Wisconsin!
Praise to thee we sing! (We sing!)

Ted Torgerson on September 30, 2010 at 4:33 PM

“…and so to Senator Russ we bid a fond adieu.”

I hope he takes Barney Frank with him…

Seven Percent Solution on September 30, 2010 at 4:33 PM

They both need money, actually, but I don’t like how Sestak is closing-in on Toomey suddenly.

The RCP average has Toomey up 6.5 points. The most recent poll has him up 5, and another of the 3 most recent polls has him up 9. I’m not worried.

Jon0815 on September 30, 2010 at 4:34 PM

It’s hard to believe that a wave of red is washing over this state.

MadisonConservative on September 30, 2010 at 4:27 PM

My Republicans make your Republicans look like New Dealers!
Just kidding, MadCon. Don’t go Wellstone on me:D
Floriduh!

Lanceman on September 30, 2010 at 4:34 PM

Drain the swamp and take all the sludge with you.

rjoco1 on September 30, 2010 at 4:35 PM

The three races where donations can do the most good are NV, WA, and WV.

Jon0815 on September 30, 2010 at 4:39 PM

I’m a student at Madison, heart of the liberal base in Wisconsin, and the discussion in my political science classes was mostly negative toward Russ Feingold. The liberals I talked to were saying that while they were encouraged to vote for Tom Barrett (Democratic gubernatorial candidate), Russ Feingold seemed tired and worn, and his speech didn’t connect with his audience well.

vaerris on September 30, 2010 at 4:39 PM

The RCP average has Toomey up 6.5 points. The most recent poll has him up 5, and another of the 3 most recent polls has him up 9. I’m not worried.

Jon0815 on September 30, 2010 at 4:34 PM

I’m pretty confident about that one too, but we are talking Pennsylvania here. How many times has that state let us down? If Toomey can’t win this race, then I officially give up on those folks.

Doughboy on September 30, 2010 at 4:40 PM

Like Dale “Sgt.” Schultz (from “No Talk Radio Here”) and Mike “Cave on the budget” Huebsch?

steveegg on September 30, 2010 at 4:32 PM

Like Scott “I can spend more than Thompson” McCallum.

MadisonConservative on September 30, 2010 at 4:41 PM

so to Senator Russ we bid a fond adieu.

Easy there, Allah. Remember Han Solo. Don’t get cocky.

Badger in KC on September 30, 2010 at 4:42 PM

How ’bout you guys get rid of Wyden?

Lanceman on September 30, 2010 at 4:22 PM

Been Trying to. This might be the closest year to knocking him out of his seat, but I don’t think it will happen.

The Governors office however…..

portlandon on September 30, 2010 at 4:43 PM

Like Scott “I can spend more than Thompson” McCallum.

MadisonConservative on September 30, 2010 at 4:41 PM

Who also got sabotaged by local “Republicans” when he proposed limiting their spending.

steveegg on September 30, 2010 at 4:43 PM

The GOP should take nothing for granted. One of the oldest gimmicks in the DNC playbook is to use obedient push-pollsters eg. Gallup to show sudden gains for the Dem just before election day in the attempt inspire Dem voters to show up to vote and to discourage non-Dems from voting whenever possible.

Gallup is already push-polling Romney for 2012. A fairly clear indicator that Gallup’s handlers in the Democrat Party have hinted they believe Romney is their best bet to be a McCain pushover.

viking01 on September 30, 2010 at 4:44 PM

There’s nothing they can do now to stop this GOP wave.

Oink on September 30, 2010 at 4:44 PM

America vs the Obama-Democrat-socialists … going to be bloody.

tarpon on September 30, 2010 at 4:44 PM

I hope he takes Barney Frank with him…

Seven Percent Solution on September 30, 2010 at 4:33 PM

It’s actually possible. He just had Clinton here campaigning for him.

TheBigOldDog on September 30, 2010 at 4:45 PM

52.0-44.2=12, really?

burt on September 30, 2010 at 4:45 PM

I still shake my head on this one. I seeing the evidence but just find it incredible that Russ Feingold is going down. In Wisconsin. This GOP wave is massive.

DrStock on September 30, 2010 at 4:45 PM

Sort of OT: Ras also has Rand Paul up 11 over “Tough Jack” Conway.

Now, if BHO would just do a rally in Lexington KY like he just did in Madison WI.

JohnGalt23 on September 30, 2010 at 4:46 PM

Russ Feingold: “Don’t let Ron Johnson take my hands off your health care.”

theperfecteconomist on September 30, 2010 at 4:46 PM

Who also got sabotaged by local “Republicans” when he proposed limiting their spending.

steveegg on September 30, 2010 at 4:43 PM

Is it the cold that drives away conservatives, or what? Florida seems to be brimming…

MadisonConservative on September 30, 2010 at 4:46 PM

Is it the cold that drives away conservatives, or what? Florida seems to be brimming…

MadisonConservative on September 30, 2010 at 4:46 PM

*scratches head*

Do you really think it’s the cold? Or the out-of-staters?

upinak on September 30, 2010 at 4:49 PM

The interesting stat out of that poll is Feingold only picks up 80% of self-identified Democrats, while Johnson holds 96% of self-identified Republicans and a 24-point lead among independents.

steveegg on September 30, 2010 at 4:49 PM

The three races where donations can do the most good are NV, WA, and WV.

Jon0815 on September 30, 2010 at 4:39 PM

I (like to) think we can include CA on that list. Rumor has it Whitman is putting together a multi-million dollar GOTV operation that can only help GOP candidates at all levels of the ticket.

JohnGalt23 on September 30, 2010 at 4:49 PM

52.0-44.2=12, really?

burt on September 30, 2010 at 4:45 PM

Rasmussen’s single latest poll had it at 54/42. Pollster’s spread is a time-based weighted average of multiple polls.

theperfecteconomist on September 30, 2010 at 4:49 PM

Russ Feingold: “Don’t let Ron Johnson take my hands off your health care.”

theperfecteconomist on September 30, 2010 at 4:46 PM

Comment of the Day™

steveegg on September 30, 2010 at 4:49 PM

The Governors office however…..

portlandon on September 30, 2010 at 4:43 PM

The sad part is the complete mail-in election. Every fool and his brother has unlimited time to screw up the state.
Voting ‘rights’ need to be severely curtailed or we are doomed.

Lanceman on September 30, 2010 at 4:50 PM

Is it the cold that drives away conservatives, or what? Florida seems to be brimming…

MadisonConservative on September 30, 2010 at 4:46 PM

Could be.

steveegg on September 30, 2010 at 4:50 PM

His ideas have reached their logical conclusion. It should be a life lesson for all of us.

flataffect on September 30, 2010 at 4:52 PM

When Victory Disease gets this bad teams lose 48-3.

Limerick on September 30, 2010 at 4:53 PM

Is it the cold that drives away conservatives, or what? Florida seems to be brimming…

MadisonConservative on September 30, 2010 at 4:46 PM

Cold seems to promote socialists for some reason. Minnesota, Wisconsin, Vermont, Sweden, the former USSR…

teke184 on September 30, 2010 at 4:53 PM

The sad part is the complete mail-in election. Every fool and his brother has unlimited time to screw up the state.
Voting ‘rights’ need to be severely curtailed or we are doomed.

Lanceman on September 30, 2010 at 4:50 PM

You said it.

Oregon’s Mail in Ballot is so full of fraud its ridiculous. People getting multiple ballots, Republicans who send in their ballots getting a note AFTER the election that their “Signature didn’t match the one on file, so your vote didn’t count” bullsh*t.

You should see the lines of hundreds of people flowing down the street on SE 8th & Morrison in Portland with Bums and Libs who already mailed in their ballots lining up to fill out more ballots. (They brag about it in line).

The Oregon Mail in Ballot system is a Farce.

portlandon on September 30, 2010 at 4:54 PM

The Oregon Mail in Ballot system is a Farce.

portlandon on September 30, 2010 at 4:54 PM

and started by a California raised idiot.

Port I am sorry… I don’t understand why people would ask to vote like that.

upinak on September 30, 2010 at 4:56 PM

See-ya spaz!

ThePrez on September 30, 2010 at 4:58 PM

Baracky the Dempire slayer.

Kafir on September 30, 2010 at 4:59 PM

portlandon on September 30, 2010 at 4:54 PM

I lived on Morrison near 60th. I know where you’re talking about.

Lanceman on September 30, 2010 at 4:59 PM

Famous last words:
“Pass Obamacare and the people will learn to love it and support you for it.”

right2bright on September 30, 2010 at 5:04 PM

PA has Philadelphia its a Liberal hole. And has the Black Panthers and Acorn like groups. On the other end is Pittsburgh. The dems carry those two big cities and Scranton and make it hard for a GOP candidate.

William Amos on September 30, 2010 at 4:28 PM

I think the PA script may be changing some. I think Toomey may actually squeak a win or come close in Allegheny County (Pitt – only 57-42 Obama ’08) and of course all the adjacent W-PA counties will go for Toomey big, but the former Republican stronghold of the Montgomery County (and the neighboring Philly burbs of Bucks and Chester) have turned Democrat recently, and it’s Sestak’s home turf. If Sestak doesn’t absolutely kick butt there, he’s done.

forest on September 30, 2010 at 5:05 PM

I don’t think Sestak is as close to Toomey as this last poll suggests. PA is a state with a lot of pro-2nd amendment people, Obama is down there (there’s a reason Hillary squashed him in the PA primary), and there’s a lot of coal miners that could be hurt by cap & tax.

I also don’t think we should totally count out Russ Feingold. Ron Johnson has run a superb campaign so far, his ads showcase him as a very likable, plain-spoken, sensible guy; and this is an anti-incumbent year – BUT there’s still 5 weeks to go. Feingold has won several times and has spent a long time cultivating his false image as a sensible moderate.

Jill1066 on September 30, 2010 at 5:10 PM

It’s a bitter shame that scum-sucking Illinois maggot Dick Durbin isn’t running this year.

Jaibones on September 30, 2010 at 5:12 PM

Couldn’t happen to a nicer guy.

GarandFan on September 30, 2010 at 5:26 PM

MadisonConservative on September 30, 2010 at 4:27 PM

Yeah, but will your “purple” spread to other states around you? Like Michigan?

upinak on September 30, 2010 at 4:29 PM

Maybe not Michigan, but Minnesota is a possibility.

WhoU4 on September 30, 2010 at 5:29 PM

Olbermann spent half of his show yesterday on Johnson, Wisconsin, the Catholic Church, and priest-abuse. Something about him having defended priests = he’s a pedophile.

Marcus on September 30, 2010 at 5:31 PM

but the former Republican stronghold of the Montgomery County (and the neighboring Philly burbs of Bucks and Chester) have turned Democrat recently, and it’s Sestak’s home turf. If Sestak doesn’t absolutely kick butt there, he’s done.

forest on September 30, 2010 at 5:05 PM

Bucks isn’t so Dem anymore Fitzpatrick has a 14 point lead among likely voters in PA08. I have been making calls in the district for the GOP Victory Center and Toomey has really strong support based on what I have heard. The last group of voters targeted were conservative Dems and Independents.

Also PA 7 & 8 are both rated lean GOP according to Real Clear Politics. I am not buying that voters in the 7th are leaning towards Meehan but will split their vote for Sestak in the Senate.

msmveritas on September 30, 2010 at 5:33 PM

It’s a bitter shame that scum-sucking Illinois maggot Dick Durbin isn’t running this year.

Jaibones on September 30, 2010 at 5:12 PM

I would love to see that pr*ck get umemployed.

annoyinglittletwerp on September 30, 2010 at 5:38 PM

Maybe not Michigan, but Minnesota is a possibility.

WhoU4 on September 30, 2010 at 5:29 PM

Brady is leading Quinny-kins in Illinois.
Alas-the IL gov. race just picked up a potential spoiler named Scott Lee Cohen.
Cohen won the DEM Lt. gov in the primary but then it was discovered that Cohen had a domestic abuse charged in his past so Madigan and Co. forced him to quit.
To get even with Madigan he’s running as an independent in the gov. race.

annoyinglittletwerp on September 30, 2010 at 5:42 PM

Looks like Feingold is FineGone. Since he’s a greenie, I’m sure he won’t mind his career becoming room temp. He can always be recycled on an ACLU board.

eaglewingz08 on September 30, 2010 at 5:42 PM

Real election reform

CWforFreedom on September 30, 2010 at 5:47 PM

and so to Senator Russ we bid a fond adieu

.

I’ll bid him something, and it rhymes with “adieu”

ted c on September 30, 2010 at 5:47 PM

There’s a reason for the ad.

Feingold is losing western Wisconsin badly due to the economy and many manufacturers are shutting down. Perversely, it’s an area where Ron Kind is finding that supporting Obamacare has actually helped him. So Feingold is making a Hail Mary to try and win back some of the state that’s rapidly sliding away from him.

nerdbert on September 30, 2010 at 5:49 PM

Bucks isn’t so Dem anymore Fitzpatrick has a 14 point lead among likely voters in PA08. I have been making calls in the district for the GOP Victory Center and Toomey has really strong support based on what I have heard.

msmveritas on September 30, 2010 at 5:33 PM

Awesome! That’s the way it should be. I still can’t believe Obama won there I think by about 8 points. I guess some of the people who chugged the Kool Aid in ’08 are definitely waking up to the fact that the Democrats ruling this country do not much care for them and their best interests.

forest on September 30, 2010 at 6:03 PM

Going down down down!!

sonnyspats1 on September 30, 2010 at 6:37 PM

AP, when you gonna post about the Gallup Presidential Poll?

There’s all kinds of bad news for the Mittster in the details in that poll, and all kinds of good news for the head Mama Grizzly herself. I want to see how in the world you manage to spin it the other way.

Chris of Rights on September 30, 2010 at 6:51 PM

So Feingold is running further to the left. Why doesn’t he just come out of the closet and admit he is a Marxist?

Kjeil on September 30, 2010 at 9:45 PM

I’m going to miss the most condescending and smartest guy in the room……
buh-bye.

JeffinOrlando on October 1, 2010 at 8:23 AM