Q-poll: Rubio up 13, almost at 50%

posted at 10:12 am on September 30, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

For those disinclined to trust Rasmussen’s polling, the latest from Quinnipiac might change minds.  Their survey of likely voters essentially corroborates yesterday’s Rasmussen poll in Florida that shows Marco Rubio with a double-digit lead.  In fact, the Q-poll puts Rubio at 46%, which Jim Geraghty points out that Rubio is coming close to winning a majority in a three-way race:

Republican Marco Rubio holds a solid 46 – 33 percent likely voter lead over Gov. Charlie Crist, running as an independent in the race for Florida’s U.S. Senate seat, with Democrat U.S. Rep. Kendrick Meek at 18 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

That’s an even wider lead than Rasmussen found (41/30/21), but there’s more to cheer as well:

Rubio’s double-digit lead in the horse race is confirmed by a 53 – 41 percent margin for a senator who will oppose President Barack Obama’s policies and a 47 – 38 percent preference that the Republicans rather than the Democrats control the U.S. Senate.

“Not only does Marco Rubio have a double-digit lead in the U.S. Senate race, but more of his supporters say their mind is made up than those backing Gov. Charlie Crist and Congressman Kendrick Meek,” said Brown.

“Almost half of Florida’s likely voters are angry at the federal government, and Rubio gets 68 percent of these angry voters. Moreover, with only 3 percent of voters undecided, Rubio just needs to hold onto what he’s got, while Crist and Meek, especially, have their work cut out for them if they want to pass the leader,” Brown added.

There is a lot of work left to be done over the next four-plus weeks, but that’s about as solid a race as we’ll see this year, outside of Jim DeMint’s attempt to fend off Alvin Greene and keep his Democratic challenger from coming within 40 points of him.

It’s also a coup for the Tea Party activists; it may be so long ago that some will forget that the GOP establishment lined up behind Charlie Crist, and Rubio was the “insurgent” candidate.  Crist’s attempt to paint himself as an outsider has flopped, and the only question will be whether Kendrick Meek can beat him for a second-place finish.  Crist leads Meek now by double digits, but only by splitting the Democratic vote.  On Election Day, with Crist unable to catch up to Rubio, many of those Democrats will be tempted to toss Crist overboard and back their party’s nominee.  Don’t be surprised to see Crist coming in last in this race on November 2nd.


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Toast.

The author makes no comparison between the appearance of toast and Charlie Crist’s skin color – though there are obvious similarities.

Buh-bye, Charlie!

VibrioCocci on September 30, 2010 at 10:15 AM

Don’t be surprised to see Crist coming in last in this race on November 2nd.

Karma, Chuck. Enjoy retirement.

Doughboy on September 30, 2010 at 10:15 AM

Y’all just tryin’ to keep the orange man down.

NoDonkey on September 30, 2010 at 10:15 AM

One last step that hasn’t been taken by Chuck: Declaring himself a demorat and trying to lure disaffected Meek voters, maybe with official DNC support.

Bishop on September 30, 2010 at 10:17 AM

Let’s hope for the same thing happening in Alaska. Murkowski is just the “Northern Crist”.

stefano1 on September 30, 2010 at 10:18 AM

Na na na na
Na na na na
Hey hey hey
Good bye!

Laura in Maryland on September 30, 2010 at 10:18 AM

Maybe burning all of those bridges wasn’t such a good idea, huh Charlie?

halfastro on September 30, 2010 at 10:18 AM

One last step that hasn’t been taken by Chuck: Declaring himself a demorat and trying to lure disaffected Meek voters, maybe with official DNC support.

Bishop on September 30, 2010 at 10:17 AM

Even if Meek dropped out of the race, Crist couldn’t win. And since Meek ain’t going anywhere, a Crist victory is virtually impossible.

Doughboy on September 30, 2010 at 10:19 AM

Crist: in your heart you know he’s orange toast pre-cancerous

ya2daup on September 30, 2010 at 10:19 AM

Don’t let the orange branch hitcha
Where the orange tree splitcha

Laura in Maryland on September 30, 2010 at 10:20 AM

Na na na na
Na na na na
Hey hey hey
Good bye!

Laura in Maryland on September 30, 2010 at 10:18 AM

Bye bye Charlie, we hardly knew ya…..

Next up, Lisa Mer-cow-whiner-skee

Rovin on September 30, 2010 at 10:21 AM

PEACE

blatantblue on September 30, 2010 at 10:22 AM

Rovin on September 30, 2010 at 10:21 AM

Hee hee!

Laura in Maryland on September 30, 2010 at 10:24 AM

Jim Geraghty points out that Rubio is coming close to winning a majority in a three-way race:

that’s a Wonka sized a$$ kicking on you Charlie!!

ted c on September 30, 2010 at 10:24 AM

Doughboy on September 30, 2010 at 10:19 AM

I suppose, though would you be surprised if Crist tried the tactic anyway? Any port in a storm.

Bishop on September 30, 2010 at 10:24 AM

I wonder if Meek will be facing pressure to drop out and endorse Crist, in a last ditch attempt to thwart Rubio. Crist could vow to caucus with the Dems, and Obama could press Meek to drop out.

Not likely, but possible. This election cycle is nothing if not unusually intense in its stark naked establishment power politics.

IronDioPriest on September 30, 2010 at 10:26 AM

Peace on you too, Blatant Blue.

Lanceman on September 30, 2010 at 10:29 AM

I hope that Crist gets less than 10%, falling face down into a big steamer.

scrubjay on September 30, 2010 at 10:33 AM

Rubio!

cmsinaz on September 30, 2010 at 10:33 AM

I suppose, though would you be surprised if Crist tried the tactic anyway? Any port in a storm.

Bishop on September 30, 2010 at 10:24 AM

I wouldn’t be surprised, but it would still be meaningless. All but a handful of Republicans would then be firmly in Rubio’s camp. Most independents would vote for Rubio as well since Obama is underwater in Florida. And the Dem vote at best would go mostly for Crist, but he’d still be losing too many of them to Meek.

There’s a reason independent bids almost always fail. And it doesn’t help matters when the candidate is an opportunistic, backstabbing scumbag like Chuck.

Doughboy on September 30, 2010 at 10:34 AM

I wonder if Meek will be facing pressure to drop out and endorse Crist, in a last ditch attempt to thwart Rubio. Crist could vow to caucus with the Dems, and Obama could press Meek to drop out.

IronDioPriest on September 30, 2010 at 10:26 AM

No way a brother could afford to do that to another brother. It would be a black on black betrayal even worse than JJJ leaving his black wife to screw a hot blond chick. I could see the analogous thing happening in Alaska, but not in Florida because of the racial angle.

jwolf on September 30, 2010 at 10:37 AM

Speaking of Sen DeMint…what does it say about those who will still go to the polls and vote for the indicted pervert Mr Green?

Larr on September 30, 2010 at 10:42 AM

Former governor Jeb Bush just did and interview with MSNBC where he praised Marco Rubio as “Reagan-esque”

It really hits the nail on the head. Most of us are voting on principle and conviction.

Nelsa on September 30, 2010 at 10:43 AM

I was going to say “Orange Crush” but that would be mean spirited. So I’ll just say FOAD crist, you piece of $hit!

VegasRick on September 30, 2010 at 10:46 AM

Moreover, with only 3 percent of voters undecided, Rubio just needs to hold onto what he’s got, while Crist and Meek, especially, have their work cut out for them if they want to pass the leader,” Brown added.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2010/09/30/rubio_cruising_crist_fading_in_florida_107378.html

Another sign of Rubio’s strength, according to the Quinnipiac poll, is that nearly all of his supporters (90%) say their minds are made up.

So that Rubio should have no trouble holding on to 42% of the vote, while Crist and Meek struggle over 58%.

After Rubio passed him in the primary, Crist could have dropped out of the race, finished his term as Governor, then challenged Bill Nelson in 2012, but Crist took GOP money and abandoned his party.

Time for the SpecCristSki Party, named after those famous ex-Republican ship-jumpers Specter, Crist, and Murkowski. Shall we join them for a pity party on November 3?

Steve Z on September 30, 2010 at 10:49 AM

Too sweet. Rubio’s going to be a star.

Tres Angelas on September 30, 2010 at 10:52 AM

Time for the SpecCristSki Party, named after those famous ex-Republican ship-jumpers Specter, Crist, and Murkowski. Shall we join them for a pity party on November 3?

Steve Z on September 30, 2010 at 10:49 AM

A spity party is more deserved for them.

VegasRick on September 30, 2010 at 10:55 AM

Morning Joe Jealous just scowled and reported the poll this morning and had the panel discuss scenerios where Rubio would lose. They didn’t come up with much.

Marcus on September 30, 2010 at 10:55 AM

Listening to your sycophants can lead to self humiliation.

esnap on September 30, 2010 at 11:03 AM

Hmm. Good for Rubio. And DeMint. I think that Utah’s Senate race between Mike Lee and some Democrat won’t be very close either–I don’t even know who Lee is running against, except the Constitution Party candidate. That’s how bad the Dem is running in my neighborhood–Scott Bradley, the Constitution Candidate, has more signs out than Mike Lee, and I’ve never even seen a sign for the Democrat.

I’d be surprised if Lee doesn’t win by 50 percent. Something absurd like 75-25-5 for Lee, Democrat, Bradley.

Vanceone on September 30, 2010 at 11:07 AM

Crist and his fellow traitor Murkowski are a cancer on the heart of both the Republican Party and the conservative movement.

rplat on September 30, 2010 at 11:08 AM

Toast.

Aw, c’mon Ed. Leave the groin kicks to Agent Orange the independent super hero fox squirrel to the commentariat!

forest on September 30, 2010 at 11:37 AM

For this election cycle, Rubio pretty well has it done and dusted. Good on him. He’s been a breath of fresh air in a largely stagnant political world.

My bet is that Christ returns at some later date as a full-fledged Demican, this time with the tidings and blessings oft bestowed upon Republicrat traitors by the Demican powers, er, posere-that-be.

Massive egos don’t just fold up shop with a single defeat. Al Gore is a prime example – even after becoming a standing joke because of his boasts about his achievements, because of his sing-songy “Mr. Rogers” style of self-expression, and suffering one of the most humiliating defeats in American political history, his prodigious ego still fought back. Make no mistake about it – Charlie Crist is cut from the same bolt of cloth.

martin.hale on September 30, 2010 at 12:16 PM

Sorry, Charlie.

Not really. DIAF, you piece of crap.

holygoat on September 30, 2010 at 2:14 PM

Sorry Charlie. :)

ThePrez on September 30, 2010 at 2:50 PM

holygoat on September 30, 2010 at 2:14 PM

This is what happens when I don`t browse the comments more closely. :)

ThePrez on September 30, 2010 at 2:51 PM

Here’s where losers like Crist end up: Arlen Specter: I’m Holding Out For Position in Obama Administration, Maybe I’ll Negotiate Peace in Middle East…

In your dreams Gollum. If you flipped once for your own glory even the democratics can figure out that you can do it again.

slickwillie2001 on September 30, 2010 at 2:53 PM

Too bad the election isn’t a week earlier, like on Oct 26. That way when Cha-Cha-Charlie loses, he could drown his sorrows at Fantasy Fest in Key West and express his true self, disguised in a wig and a dress, a la Bird Cage.

ornery_independent on September 30, 2010 at 3:56 PM