Gallup: Obama 52, Hillary 37
posted at 9:45 pm on September 30, 2010 by Allahpundit
Two thoughts on this very dumb but eternally amusing hypothetical. One: Seriously? Hillary only polls 37 percent against a guy who’s united America in its shared disappointment in him? How high does unemployment have to get before she’s within single digits? Fifteen percent?
Obama by 10 among Democratic women? Good lord. Two: Given the buzz surrounding Bill Clinton’s eyepopping favorable rating in this week’s Journal poll, wouldn’t a far more interesting poll have been a Democratic primary between The One and Billy Jeff? One of the reasons Hillary’s numbers are lagging here, I think, is because Obama enjoys the status of the presidency and she doesn’t. That wouldn’t be the case against Bill. Also, the ideological battle lines between him and Hillary at this point aren’t as clear as they would be in a Hopenchange vs. Man From Hope race. Hillary is, after all, part of Obama’s cabinet, so while she’s thought of as being more centrist than him generally, she’s also tied to his agenda in the public’s mind. Bill isn’t. He’s remembered as a centrist Democrat who presided during an era of prosperity, which, needless to say, sets him up as a stark contrast to Obama. And Bill, of course, is famously personally charming, capable of ye olde feeling o’ the pain in a way that President Spock palpably isn’t. Hillary suffered from not being able to match Obama’s charisma in 2008 but Bill would have no similar problem, yet another reason to view him as a superior opponent for The One. So how about it, Gallup? Poll that sucker. Just imagine Bill reading the numbers and getting wistful about what might have been…
Speaking of hypotheticals, note that the only demographic where Hillary beats Obama is among conservative Democrats. Our own GOP primary is looking early to be wide open, stocked with candidates whose favorable ratings are dramatically lower than Bob Dole’s and John McCain’s were at this point in previous cycles. You don’t suppose HRC would consider a late-in-life political conversion — do you?
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