Bachmann up nine in targeted House seat

posted at 2:53 pm on September 17, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

In each of the last three election cycles, Democrats have made the Minnesota 6th Congressional District a targeted race — especially so after Rep. Michele Bachmann became a nationally-known conservative activist.  Elwyn Tinklenberg made it close in the big Democratic wave of 2008, coming within four points of Bachmann in the R+7 district.  This year, though, a new Survey USA poll shows that Democrats have failed to mount a serious challenge:

In an election for United States Representative from Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District today, 09/16/10, incumbent Republican Michele Bachman is elected to a 3rd term, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis-St. Paul.

Today, it’s Bachman 49%, DFL State Senator Tarryl Clark 40%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 2 months ago, little has changed: each candidate is up 1 point. Under the surface, there is offsetting movement: Clark has reduced slightly Bachman’s advantage among men and among Independents, and has gained ground among voters over age 50; Bachman, meantime, is now even with Clark among women and has increased her advantage among middle-aged voters.

In part, this is due once again to the lack of a compelling challenger.  In 2008, Tinklenberg represented the old-guard DFL, and his rush to blame the St. Anthony Bridge collapse on tax cuts (it was a design flaw and renovations that caused it) added nothing to his credibility.  This year, the DFL got behind a state legislator who demanded tax hikes to close a state budget gap in a cycle where tax hikes are unpopular almost everywhere.

Bachmann still has a handy lead among independents in this survey, leading 49/35.  She wins handily in the income demos, leading by nine among those who make less than $50K and seven by those who make more.  Bachmann is weaker among older voters than younger voters, a bit of a surprise considering the strong presence of St. Cloud State University in her district.  Splitting the women’s vote at 45 and leading among men by 52/36 are probably the key takeaways.  Bachmann hasn’t crested the 50% mark, but that’s due to the third-party Independence bid of Bob Anderson, who gets a minimal six percent of the overall vote, and who appears to be pulling his votes from Clark.  He only gets 3% of the self-identified conservatives, for instance, but 10% of the moderates, which break for Clark.

Democrats want to take Bachmann out of the national mix and curtail her activism by nationalizing her elections.  Instead, she’s cruising to a convincing victory while helping other Republicans win in tough districts.


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Her speech at Heritage this morning was very moving.

Schadenfreude on September 17, 2010 at 2:55 PM

I believe I have heard Michele say that she was the number one target for that ding bat dear nan! This is great news for Michele. Our lovely conservative ladies are doing good! I hope it continues.
L

letget on September 17, 2010 at 2:56 PM

Another lying, nutty, crazy, conservative woman…
That will save a few posts from our liberal friends…

right2bright on September 17, 2010 at 2:57 PM

Bachmann almost makes up for the national joke that is Franken.

Almost.

Hollowpoint on September 17, 2010 at 2:59 PM

Elwyn Tinklenberg made it close in the big Democratic wave of 2008, coming within four points of Bachmann in the R+7 district.

No name recognition. That was his problem.

Wethal on September 17, 2010 at 2:59 PM

The breakdown looks good, but overall she’s only up by 9%? That seems like a narrow margin for her. Am I wrong?

conservative pilgrim on September 17, 2010 at 3:02 PM

Don’t mess with the Mama Grizzlies!

UltimateBob on September 17, 2010 at 3:02 PM

Keep the RINOs and the Marxists on their heels Michele!

Ogabe on September 17, 2010 at 3:02 PM

conservative? Woman?!? UNELECTABLE!!!

cjtony97 on September 17, 2010 at 3:02 PM

Bachmann
Waters

right2bright on September 17, 2010 at 3:02 PM

BTW, if you go on MM site, guest blogger Doug has a post of the conservative and d ladies on a calendar. The last one on the bottom right of the d calendar is a hoot.
L

letget on September 17, 2010 at 3:03 PM

Check out the new Great American Conservative Women Calendar posted on MM’s site! AWESOME!
http://michellemalkin.com/2010/09/17/coming-soon-great-american-conservative-women-calendar/

sicoit on September 17, 2010 at 3:04 PM

durn letget, beat me by a few seconds. Great minds read alike!

sicoit on September 17, 2010 at 3:05 PM

..suppose this race will be firewalled?

The War Planner on September 17, 2010 at 3:07 PM

The politics of personal destruction backfire…

do you think the Dems are trying to destroy the Palin narrative by targeting her picks?

Scott H on September 17, 2010 at 3:07 PM

She has been targeted very heavily by the left. Impeached Clinton, biden and Odumbo himself will campaign against her. She is solid and needs to be reelected.

rjoco1 on September 17, 2010 at 3:07 PM

Hey, is the b/w photo in the calendar of Ms. Schlafly? I certainly hope so. I really don’t think you can underestimate her impact on the conservative movement.

Scott H on September 17, 2010 at 3:09 PM

durn letget, beat me by a few seconds. Great minds read alike!

sicoit on September 17, 2010 at 3:05 PM

Ah, but you gave the link. Point sicoit.

cjtony97 on September 17, 2010 at 3:11 PM

Awesome. Next to Palin, she’s the best!

davek70 on September 17, 2010 at 3:15 PM

Speaking of Michele Bachmann, she received her own copy of an extremely important report just a couple of days ago at a little reported on news conference in Washington D.C.

I strongly urge everyone else to read the just released Shariah – The Threat To America – an exercise in competitive analysis – Report of Team ‘B’ II

Luka on September 17, 2010 at 3:16 PM

OT (sorry)

NRO says Murkowski may try for the write in. Wonders if she’ll lose GOP seniority and get booted off appropriations committee.

Wethal on September 17, 2010 at 3:20 PM

Another lying, nutty, crazy, conservative woman…
That will save a few posts from our liberal friends…

right2bright on September 17, 2010 at 2:57 PM

THREAD WINNER!!!!!

Talon on September 17, 2010 at 3:20 PM

cjtony97 on September 17, 2010 at 3:11 PM

;-)

sicoit on September 17, 2010 at 3:22 PM

Talking about conservative women…

It’s awesome….

http://www.firefromtheheartland.com/

tencole on September 17, 2010 at 3:25 PM

Bachmann up nine in targeted House seat

But, but how? She is a teabagging, attractive, mamma grizzly.

sheikh of thornton on September 17, 2010 at 3:25 PM

Luka on September 17, 2010 at 3:16 PM

Is this the “extremely important report” you refer to that Michele B. received?

Since it’s 177 pages, I have it bookmarked to print out and read….

sicoit on September 17, 2010 at 3:26 PM

Her ads with Jim the Election Guy are the best. Some of the best I’ve seen in a long time.

gophergirl on September 17, 2010 at 3:27 PM

Here’s another $50 Michele!

IronDioPriest on September 17, 2010 at 3:27 PM

A woman! Lets all tear our hair out!

tetriskid on September 17, 2010 at 3:31 PM

Talking about conservative women…

It’s awesome….

http://www.firefromtheheartland.com/

tencole on September 17, 2010 at 3:25 PM

WOW…..On my Christmas list to buy!! That was awesome! Must share with my conservative friends…thanks tencole.

sicoit on September 17, 2010 at 3:31 PM

cjtony97@3:11,
Sorry, I didn’t realize I had to put a link on. This old gal has almost zero internet knowledge and I don’t know how to do that. I won’t make that mistake again!
L

letget on September 17, 2010 at 3:34 PM

Luka on September 17, 2010 at 3:16 PM

Saved it to file, among the associates, Frank Gaffney Jr.,Andrew McCarthy and Diana West. All familiar names and that is enough to not dismiss their report.

fourdeucer on September 17, 2010 at 3:35 PM

letget on September 17, 2010 at 3:34 PM

No sweat letget, I got your back! ;-)

sicoit on September 17, 2010 at 3:37 PM

letget on September 17, 2010 at 3:34 PM

The game is still early. ; )

cjtony97 on September 17, 2010 at 3:43 PM

Since it’s 177 pages, I have it bookmarked to print out and read….

sicoit on September 17, 2010 at 3:26 PM

I think that pages 119-144 are the most important.

Luka on September 17, 2010 at 3:44 PM

Saved it to file, among the associates, Frank Gaffney Jr.,Andrew McCarthy and Diana West. All familiar names and that is enough to not dismiss their report.

fourdeucer on September 17, 2010 at 3:35 PM

As well a a couple of 3 star retired Generals.

Luka on September 17, 2010 at 3:46 PM

Luka, is this the report that was given to Michele B?

sicoit on September 17, 2010 at 3:50 PM

Her speech at Heritage this morning was very moving.

Schadenfreude on September 17, 2010 at 2:55 PM

Indeed it was.

munchnstuf on September 17, 2010 at 3:56 PM

This is wonderful news to end the week!. Way to go Michele-

hawkman on September 17, 2010 at 4:02 PM

Just sent her another check. She is DYN-O-MITE! We love Michele in this house. She signed our protest signs at the last healthcare rally. I am thrilled that she is up 9 points. It will surely be more the closer to Nov. 2 it gets.

BetseyRoss on September 17, 2010 at 4:14 PM

Maybe she can give some of her campaign cash to Angle to help her defeat Reid in the Senate.

matthew26 on September 17, 2010 at 4:28 PM

Minnesota’s CD6 is about the only conservative district in the twin cities….it encompasses the very conservative Washington county.

jbh45 on September 17, 2010 at 4:43 PM

BACHMANN

Metro on September 17, 2010 at 4:59 PM

My Arizona money, earned in California, donated to a congresswoman from my home state of Minnesoooooooota!!!

ohhhhhh, yaaawww. Go get em’.

dthorny on September 17, 2010 at 5:34 PM

right2bright on September 17, 2010 at 3:02 PM

I guess you must think you’re really cool posting a link to a picture of Rep. Bachmann with Nazi Waffen SS & Nazi Eagle & Swastika insignia ‘shopped onto it. Huh?

Shitweasel.

PakviRoti on September 17, 2010 at 6:34 PM

Michele Bachmann is fantastic and I’d support her for President of the United States.

sinsing on September 17, 2010 at 6:50 PM

Michele Bachmann is fantastic and I’d support her for President of the United States.

sinsing on September 17, 2010 at 6:50 PM

In a heartbeat.

petefrt on September 17, 2010 at 8:02 PM

Luka, is this the report that was given to Michele B?

sicoit on September 17, 2010 at 3:50 PM

Yes. At least as far as congress people go to – Trent Franks (R., AZ), Pete Hoekstra (R., MI) and Michele Bachmann (R., MN) all of whom are considered to be among those who understand what Islam really is.

Luka on September 17, 2010 at 8:41 PM

The breakdown looks good, but overall she’s only up by 9%? That seems like a narrow margin for her. Am I wrong?

conservative pilgrim on September 17, 2010 at 3:02 PM

Dude. This is Minnesota. We voted in Franken for goodness sakes! I’d say 9 is pretty good in this political wasteland. Thank God she is my rep here in MN.

Major Nuisance on September 17, 2010 at 9:28 PM

Bachman just makes the liberals here squirm. I love it.

Alfresco on September 17, 2010 at 9:51 PM

I love Michele. I just wish I still lived in Minnesota to vote for her.
I had to get out of “the land of 10K liberials”
It’s really scary up there, if they can illegally vote in Stewart Smalley anythin can happen.

mmcnamer1 on September 18, 2010 at 11:30 PM

B-b-b-b- bu-bu-bu …. but she can’t win …

She’s a woman, er, she’s a Conservative, er, she’s a Republican, er, she’s not a feminist, er, she’s not the right kind of feminist … er, she respects the rights of living human beings inside the womb to be alive and not be butchered via abortion, etc.

If are a woman, and if you don’t support aborting/slaughtering human beings via abortion, and if you are conservative, and if you are a Christian, and if you are a Republican, and if you are not a “I hate men, kill all babies ‘cuz abortion is great and you have “Reproductive Rights” and “freedom of choice,” and if you don’t think Government should be huge and have a protologist’s view of your digestive tract 24/7, and if you don’t think that government should have their hand in your pocket, stealing your money 365 days per year (allowing for changes during leap year), then you aren’t a real woman, you can’t be intelligent, you must be a dummy, and a nut, and you can’t be qualified to serve, and you must not be taken seriously.

So there!

Got that?

William2006 on September 19, 2010 at 12:50 AM