WSJ/NBC poll has GOP riding the wave of Wreckovery Summer

posted at 9:30 am on September 7, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

As if the Post/ABC poll didn’t deliver enough bad news to Democrats this morning, the usually sympathetic WSJ/NBC poll hits them again, and hard.  Barack Obama’s approval level has fallen to its lowest level in the survey series, 45/49, and confidence in his economic leadership has cratered.  But it’s the generic ballot question that will have Democrats feeling like they’ve wiped out on Recovery Summer, with an eighteen-point gap among the most interested voters in the midterms:

When voters overall are asked whether they prefer that November’s vote produce a Congress controlled by Democrats or by Republicans, they split evenly, 43% favoring Democrats and 43% Republicans.

But among those who appear most likely to vote, based on their level of interest in the campaign and their history of voting, the Republicans own a dramatic 49% to 40% advantage. If that kind of lead holds, Republicans would almost certainly take back control of the House. …

One hope for Democrats is this: There are enough pro-Democrat, pro-Obama voters available to help the party head off disaster—if they can be persuaded to show up and vote. In the survey, those who expressed the very highest levels of interest in this year’s election preferred a Republican Congress by a margin of 53% to 35%. Among all other, less interested voters, Democrats are preferred by a 20-point margin.

The Journal suggests that Democrats could limit their losses by getting those voters more engaged.  That’s easier said than done, as the Democratic response shows:

“We have had a voter contact program that has been going strong for more than a year,” said Jennifer Crider, deputy executive director of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

So the DCCC has had its voter engagement effort “going strong” for more than a year … and this is the result?  Just imagine what it might be like if the DCCC hadn’t been engaging their base.

Of course, it can’t be very good when the underlying impression of the economy and direction of the country show numbers this bad after two years of full Democratic control in Washington and four years of Democratic control of Congress.  The right/wrong direction gets a 30/61 response, not quite the worst this year, but close to June’s 29/62.  On the other hand, Obama does get the worst numbers of his term on the economy, and easily so at 39/56, down from 44/52 earlier in August and 46/50 in June, at the beginning of “Recovery Summer.”

Even worse for Obama, his personal numbers are sliding as well.  When asked to describe their feelings towards Obama (not job approval), he only gets 46% positive and 41% negative ratings.  In June, those numbers were 47/40; in March, 50/38.  That well of goodwill appears to be slowly running dry.

And one last piece of bad news for Democrats hoping to run against George W. Bush rather than defend their own performances.  When asked whether the GOP would reinstate the economic policies of Bush, 58% said the GOP has “different ideas” this time around, while only 35% bought the Bush boogeyman.  That’s only 4 points above the Democratic representation in the sample, which has a 31/27/42 D/R/I split, which is a big improvement over their nine point gap just three weeks ago.  When asked whether the Democrats had any new ideas, only 32% figured they did — while 62% believe they would just continue with the Obamanomics that voters appear to be abandoning.  They certainly don’t have any new confidence in the economy, with 26% believing the economy will get worse and 26% saying it will get better — which is down from 34/26 earlier in August, and 40/20 in May before “Recovery Summer.”

As the old surfing Motown song says, Democrats have no place to run to, and nowhere to hide.

Update: Martha Reeves and the Vandellas performed that song; it’s not a surf song, but it’s from that era.


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8 weeks until NO-vember 2nd…

Kind of like “The Pit and the Pendulum”…

Khun Joe on September 7, 2010 at 9:32 AM

Barry don’t surf!

NoDonkey on September 7, 2010 at 9:34 AM

Ed, that wasn’t surf music, that was Martha Reeves and the Vandellas – “Nowhere to run to, baby, nowhere to hide.”

either orr on September 7, 2010 at 9:35 AM

Karma’s a b!tch.

milwife88 on September 7, 2010 at 9:37 AM

But it’s the generic ballot question that will have Democrats feeling like they’ve wiped out on Recovery Summer, with an eighteen-point gap among the most interested voters in the midterms:

I’ll revise my last from the other WaPo/ABC thread….”if percentage points were inches then someone is going to get 13 18 inches of something big and swollen this fall…”

ted c on September 7, 2010 at 9:37 AM

As the old surfing song says, Democrats have no place to run to, and nowhere to hide.

Sure they do, the old standby that rhymes with: “Our opponents are drooling, crazed, Nazi, fascist, baby-killing cavemen who wear white sheets, thump Bibles, and want to enslave brown people.”

They are already running to that shelter, with President Fido crying crocodile tears while his media lickspittles prepare their nightly attacks on conservatives and the GOP.

Bishop on September 7, 2010 at 9:39 AM

The msm hates writing/reporting the ugly truth…..
Heh..how is that hopey changey working out for you now?

cmsinaz on September 7, 2010 at 9:39 AM

When asked whether the GOP would reinstate the economic policies of Bush, 58% said the GOP has “different ideas” this time around, while only 35% bought the Bush boogeyman.

That’s huge. Obama and his cronies have been desperately peddling the notion that the GOP would take us backwards and reinstate the same failed policies of the last 8 years(conveniently ignoring the events of 2009 and 2010). But if a huge majority of the electorate doesn’t believe that, then the Dems literally have nothing to run on or against.

Doughboy on September 7, 2010 at 9:39 AM

Symbolic video comment

Shy Guy on September 7, 2010 at 9:40 AM

ted c on September 7, 2010 at 9:37 AM

Picture an elephant having conjugal relations with a donkey.

That’s what our Democrat friends are going to get this fall.

NoDonkey on September 7, 2010 at 9:40 AM

This can only mean one thing, baby—as long as we are talking about California music……

Sing it, gals!!

ted c on September 7, 2010 at 9:40 AM

Ed, that wasn’t surf music, that was Martha Reeves and the Vandellas – “Nowhere to run to, baby, nowhere to hide.”

either orr on September 7, 2010 at 9:35 AM

The boxer Joe Louis said it first…

“He can run, but he can’t hide.” (regarding Billy Conn, who planned to “hit and run” in their upcoming match)

Khun Joe on September 7, 2010 at 9:41 AM

Barack Hussein’s trump cards …………

ACORN, union thugs, Black Panthers, voter tampering, lost military absentee ballots, looney circuit court judges and Holder’s blindfolded Justice Department.

fogw on September 7, 2010 at 9:41 AM

guess who the Democrat is in this video?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N01zQSh_WHQ

ted c on September 7, 2010 at 9:42 AM

Barry don’t surf!

NoDonkey on September 7, 2010 at 9:34 AM

An Instant Classic. Best Post!!

diogee on September 7, 2010 at 9:42 AM

The boxer Joe Louis said it first…

“He can run, but he can’t hide.” (regarding Billy Conn, who planned to “hit and run” in their upcoming match)

Khun Joe on September 7, 2010 at 9:41 AM

What about Rocky Marciano? He beat Joe Louis’ ass.

Doughboy on September 7, 2010 at 9:42 AM

Doughboy on September 7, 2010 at 9:42 AM

I thought he beat Apollo Creed . . .

NoDonkey on September 7, 2010 at 9:45 AM

I thought he beat Apollo Creed . . .

NoDonkey on September 7, 2010 at 9:45 AM

Nah, that’s Balboa. We’re getting Coming To America and Rocky mixed up here.

Doughboy on September 7, 2010 at 9:48 AM

Barack Hussein’s trump cards …………

ACORN, union thugs, Black Panthers, voter tampering, lost military absentee ballots, looney circuit court judges and Holder’s blindfolded Justice Department.

fogw on September 7, 2010 at 9:41 AM

Oh, right, how could I have forgotten? That’ll totally flip things.

Dems +50, baby!

/s

Bat Chain Puller on September 7, 2010 at 9:49 AM

Barry don’t surf!

NoDonkey on September 7, 2010 at 9:34 AM

Across the USA, wearin’ their baggies inside outside!

maverick muse on September 7, 2010 at 9:53 AM

As the old surfing Motown song says, Democrats have no place to run to, and nowhere to hide.

Update: Martha Reeves and the Vandellas performed that song; it’s not a surf song, but it’s from that era.

Believe it or not, in the 1980s a Motown artist wrote a song for The Beach Boys. Stevie Wonder, to be exact. he played on it too.

Speaking of the Beach Boys, be sure to pick up a copy of Brian Wilson’s great new album of Gershwin songs. He does a great job interpreting them. The Gershwin Estate sought him out and even gave him some unfinished songs to complete.

Del Dolemonte on September 7, 2010 at 9:55 AM

As the old surfing Motown song says, Democrats have no place to run to, and nowhere to hide.

And come November Barry will be singing “It’s My Party.”

Patrick S on September 7, 2010 at 10:00 AM

But you tell me
Over and over and over again, my friend
Ah, you don’t believe
We’re on the eve
of destruction.

Jocundus on September 7, 2010 at 10:01 AM

Among all other, less interested voters, Democrats are preferred by a 20-point margin.

The Democrat party, the party for people are not interested in goverence and do not reason.

WashJeff on September 7, 2010 at 10:04 AM

Oh, right, how could I have forgotten? That’ll totally flip things.

Dems +50, baby!

/s

Bat Chain Puller on September 7, 2010 at 9:49 AM

I didn’t say he would win. I said he would cheat.

fogw on September 7, 2010 at 10:04 AM

Putting aside the terrible mess the county is in. Without Barack Obama as President would all the wonderful things I see happening have happened? Things like a Republican in Ted Kennedy’s seat, or the Tea Party itself and taking of the both the House and Senate in November.

Tommy_G on September 7, 2010 at 10:07 AM

If you check the poll averages at realclearpolitics.com, you’ll notice that the MSM-spoonsored polls (NBC, CBS, CNN, Time, Newsweek, etc.) are almost always much more favorable to Obama and the Democrats than the legitimate polls (Rasmussen and Gallup are the only ones that can be trusted). Oversampling Democrats and minorities will do that.

bw222 on September 7, 2010 at 10:08 AM

Woff, Woof, Woof

J_Crater on September 7, 2010 at 10:10 AM

fogw on September 7, 2010 at 10:04 AM

Just like a good football coach says:

Beat them so bad the referees can’t take it away from you with a bad call.

NoDonkey on September 7, 2010 at 10:12 AM

Every time that Barry “Fido” Obama says: “We’re heading in the right direction” he dooms another Democrat. Because ANYONE even halfway awake can see unemployment RISING, our deficit SKYROCKETING, and our future prospects DIMMING.

Barry…THOSE are the “right directions”??

Geez…see the stick? FETCH!!

Justrand on September 7, 2010 at 10:13 AM

So Obams is the last popular Dem. He has sacrificed each congressman to his agenda. I am sure they hate him now with a white hot heat.

PattyJ on September 7, 2010 at 10:16 AM

What about Rocky Marciano? He beat Joe Louis’ ass.

Doughboy on September 7, 2010 at 9:42 AM

OT: Why denigrate Joe Louis in this manner? He fought Marciano at age 37, well past his prime, two and a half years out of retirement, and only for a payday. You could have beaten Louis at that point.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joe_Louis

BuckeyeSam on September 7, 2010 at 10:17 AM

I didn’t say he would win. I said he would cheat.

fogw on September 7, 2010 at 10:04 AM

The definition of “trump card” is the card that wins the hand.

Bat Chain Puller on September 7, 2010 at 10:26 AM

45/49? Where did they take this poll, Harlem? Watts? New Orleans? South Chicago? Those are the only populations that could support that being true. I know LOTS of people who voted for this disaster, who are voting Republican just to drive Obamalinsky out. These numbers are like the ones for unemployment. It’s constantly 9. something. Real estimates are over 20% unemployed. You never see double digit unemployment numbers. Why is that? We’re being lied to by everyone that can…..

adamsmith on September 7, 2010 at 10:27 AM

The voters are becoming engaged.

That is what is worrying the Democrats. And the more they do, the more engaged the voters and the electorate become.

ajacksonian on September 7, 2010 at 10:38 AM

Barack Hussein’s trump cards …………

ACORN, union thugs, Black Panthers, voter tampering, lost military absentee ballots, looney circuit court judges and Holder’s blindfolded Justice Department.

fogw on September 7, 2010 at 9:41 AM

Yep, we will see the democratic party vote-stealing machine revved up as high as ever this fall. The cheating machine is generally carefully controlled so the cheating doesn’t become obvious. They will use it primarily for the Senate, as the House is lost. Each Senate seat that is up has a cheat-central in the big city cores, like St. Louis, Philadelphia, LA & SF, etc. It might become obvious this time around, but the idiot Eric Holder will ignore it.

Those ‘disaffected’ democratic voters that might not make it to the polls in November, -will have their votes cast by a poll worker. Military ballots might all be lost, c/o your friendly post office union workers. Watch for the usual shenanigans, like friendly judges keeping inner-city poll locations open for the usual reasons, while the fraud artists calculate how many votes they need to create.

The idiot Holder has also given a green light to polling location intimidation tactics. November could get ugly. Let’s hope the states vigorously enforce their own laws over the voting process, much as Arizona has over illegal aliens.

slickwillie2001 on September 7, 2010 at 10:51 AM

The definition of “trump card” is the card that wins the hand.

Bat Chain Puller on September 7, 2010 at 10:26 AM

The ace of trump is the only card assured of winning a hand.

Obama’s sitting on a deuce.

fogw on September 7, 2010 at 10:55 AM

Who likes the Clash???
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bossv8SKXv4

birdhurd on September 7, 2010 at 11:00 AM

“We have had a voter contact program that has been going strong for more than a year,” said Jennifer Crider

Has anyone informed Jennifer that ACORN has problems of it’s own right now and won’t be any help in November?

GarandFan on September 7, 2010 at 11:07 AM

To paraphrase Ann Coulter: never underestimate the ability of the Republicans to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

I’ll believe these polls on Wednesday, November 3rd.

Jaynie59 on September 7, 2010 at 12:03 PM

After Endless Bummer comes Big Wednesday, 11/3/10.

Class dismissed.

Christien on September 7, 2010 at 12:09 PM

Aw, come on guys! This is the tune of the thread.

John the Libertarian on September 7, 2010 at 12:21 PM

The good news is, Democratic voters ARE engaged and enthusiastic. The bad news is, we can’t wait to vote straight Republican. The meme doesn’t mention that but everyone, including the village idiot is aware of it.

As a former life long Dem, I can not wait for the epic a$$ whipping Democrats in washington are going to get :)

Niteowl45 on September 7, 2010 at 12:32 PM

John,

Not Catch A Wave? For the Dems, it’s definitely Wipe Out.

Christien on September 7, 2010 at 12:42 PM

Gnarly Dude! ha ha good one Ed! ha ha ha

sonnyspats1 on September 7, 2010 at 5:24 PM

Imagine if the Republicans actually had a shared message to unite them on other than “I’m not a Demcorat”. Republicans had the small government Contract with America in 1994, Dems used the “Culture of Corruption” theme in 2006 and “Hope and Change” in 2008, what are the Republicans using?

All we have are the outside efforts of the Tea Party but when the Republicans take control, does anyone have any idea what they will actually do? What happened to the new “Contract From America”? What about Paul Ryans budget plans? Have they even committed to securing the border and repealing Obamacare? I just hope this isn’t a wasted opportunity.

Daemonocracy on September 7, 2010 at 6:16 PM