Meek’s attack ad hits … Charlie Crist?

posted at 3:17 pm on September 1, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

How sweet is this for Marco Rubio?  He can run his positive campaign ads and play statesman while Kendrick Meek and Charlie Crist fight over who’s the best Democrat … in an election cycle that looks to be the worst for Democrats in decades.  National Journal reports on the week-long radio ad buy in which Meek has to stake out his claim to his own party’s support in a three-way race:

In a sign that he needs to shore up his base, Dem Rep. Kendrick Meek launched a radio ad on Wednesday that attacks independent Gov. Charlie Crist. …

“Home is where the heart is,” the ads narrator says. “And for Charlie Crist, home is with the GOP.”

It then features Crist: “I’m a Jeb Bush Republican…I was impressed at Gov. Palin being picked…I watched her speech today. I was very impressed…John McCain was a great candidate, a dear friend…President Bush is a leader of courage and conviction.”

“Don’t be fooled,” the narrator concludes. “If Charlie Crist gets to Washington, his heart will lead him right back where he belongs.”

To see why this is such great news for Rubio, just read former Obama campaigner Steve Schale’s analysis of Crist’s path to victory, courtesy of John McCormack.  Titled “Charlie Crist Can’t Win,” Schale looks at the numbers Crist needs to get in a 3-way race, and sees almost no possibility for him:

For Crist to win the United States Senate race, he would need a formula that looked something like this:

33% of the Democratic vote
33% of the Republican vote
50% of the NPA vote.

This formula would get him a vote total of 36-37%, a likely win scenario in a highly competitive three way race, where all three candidates are scoring in the thirties.

Here is one problem:  Rubio is limiting him to 20% of the Republican vote.  If Rubio keeps him at 20% of the GOP vote, Crist needs to get 45% of the Democratic vote in order to win, and according to the latest PPP poll, Crist is only at 38% today with Democrats.

With a traditional Democrat like Meek in the race, 38% looks like a high-water mark for Crist.  Rubio has already devalued Crist among Republican voters so well that Crist had to run away from the GOP primary, so attempting to make it up among Republican voters is impossible.  If Crist could get more than half of independents (Schale uses No Party Affiliation, which is more accurate), he might have a chance — but Rubio has a significant number of those voters, too.  And Crist is running in the wrong direction in this cycle anyway, towards Democrats and Democratic positions.  That’s why Meek has to attack Crist to have a shot at getting left-leaning NPA voters and keep his base intact.

Meanwhile, that’s not the only internecine warfare occurring on the Left.  Meek’s primary opponent plans to sue two newspapers for libel over its coverage of Jeff Greene’s past, especially rumors of wild parties aboard yachts and illegal drug use:

Jeff Greene, a Florida real estate developer who lost one of the year’s most bitter and closely watched primary elections, is preparing to sue The St. Petersburg Times and The Miami Herald for libel, claiming that articles they published cost him his bid for the United States Senate. …

Dogged by rumors about wild parties aboard his 145-foot yacht and about fraudulent real estate deals, Mr. Greene will seek at least $500 million in damages in part, he said, to teach the news media a lesson. “I want to send a message to every newspaper in the country: Do your homework,” he said Tuesday in a telephone interview. “I deserve to have the record corrected, and they deserve to be punished.”

He has hired L. Lin Wood, a prominent libel lawyer who has won settlements for other public figures who claimed they were defamed by the news media, including Richard A. Jewell, the security guard cleared as a suspect in the 1996 Olympics bombing in Atlanta. Mr. Wood said he expected to file a formal complaint in state court in Miami-Dade County on Wednesday.

At issue are two news articles written by St. Petersburg Times reporters that were printed in both The Times and The Herald, and a Times editorial urging a federal investigation into Mr. Greene’s business activities.

So let’s get this straight.  Rubio’s two opponents will spend at least the next week arguing which of them is farthest from the political mainstream, and another Democrat will start making headlines about how unfair and biased newspapers are towards anyone who challenges Democratic Party orthodoxy.  Next time I’m at a casino, I’m going to bring Marco Rubio along with me.


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Comments

That’s the trouble with riding the fence, Oompa Loompa… there’s a chance of getting kicked off by both sides.

teke184 on September 1, 2010 at 3:20 PM

heh

go marco!

cmsinaz on September 1, 2010 at 3:22 PM

Is Charlie really the grown up Rocky from the Rocky Horror Picture Show?

meci on September 1, 2010 at 3:23 PM

Dogged by rumors about wild parties aboard his 145-foot yacht and about fraudulent real estate deals, Mr. Greene will seek at least $500 million in damages

I don’t get it. These are résumé ENHANCEMENTS on the left.

RushBaby on September 1, 2010 at 3:25 PM

Is Charlie really the grown up Rocky from the Rocky Horror Picture Show?

meci on September 1, 2010 at 3:23 PM

Hell no. That Rocky was cute as a bug.

RushBaby on September 1, 2010 at 3:26 PM

Rubio’s learned the hard way that the best thing to say right now is NOTHING. Let them tear each other apart, and he can just keep running his positive ads outlining simply what he stands for and he should walk right into that seat.

DrAllecon on September 1, 2010 at 3:26 PM

Sweet!

ornery_independent on September 1, 2010 at 3:28 PM

Ummm… those ads seem to be targeting conservatives to support Crist. Sure, it plays well to Democrats as well.

The mention of Palin, McCain and Bush are all playing to undecided Republicans.

ButterflyDragon on September 1, 2010 at 3:29 PM

Rubio and Meek are going to pull apart Crist’s voting base like a hot roll.

Patrick Ishmael on September 1, 2010 at 3:30 PM

So, a pol who changes his stances more often than his clothes is going to get routed this fall. Who knew?

KingGold on September 1, 2010 at 3:31 PM

Rubio’s learned the hard way that the best thing to say right now is NOTHING. Let them tear each other apart, and he can just keep running his positive ads outlining simply what he stands for and he should walk right into that seat.

DrAllecon on September 1, 2010

If the voters of Florida trend more mature (God’s waiting room, after all) Rubio cannot hurt himself by standing apart from the bickering and being the adult.

Extrafishy on September 1, 2010 at 3:32 PM

Rubio and Meek are going to pull apart Crist’s voting base like a hot roll.

Patrick Ishmael on September 1, 2010 at 3:30 PM

..marvelous image!

The War Planner on September 1, 2010 at 3:33 PM

You all just love keepin’ the orange man down, dontcha?

NoDonkey on September 1, 2010 at 3:35 PM

I’m sorry. Which one has the better tan?

kens on September 1, 2010 at 3:35 PM

Crist’s only hope is to get disaffected with Obama Democrat votes. Even Democrats had more jobs and better incomes when Bush was Potus, so Crist’s “Bush is a great American” might not hurt him amongst Democrats angry with Obama. How are Obama’s ratings there?

maverick muse on September 1, 2010 at 3:36 PM

Patrick Ishmael

the name?

maverick muse on September 1, 2010 at 3:37 PM

When Crist loses, will he pull a McGreevey and come out … as an orange American?

Terrie on September 1, 2010 at 3:38 PM

When Crist loses, will he pull a McGreevey-Mehlman and come out … as an orange American?

maverick muse on September 1, 2010 at 3:40 PM

Maybe Charlie can get that key Anita Bryant endorsement.

NoDonkey on September 1, 2010 at 3:41 PM

You all just love keepin’ the orange man down, dontcha?

NoDonkey on September 1, 2010 at 3:35 PM

Damn orange-aphobics.

Tim Zank on September 1, 2010 at 3:42 PM

I love watching Orange on Blue carnage!!!! Down goes the Oompa Loompa.

search4truth on September 1, 2010 at 3:42 PM

Haha, Nice write up Ed.

CTSherman on September 1, 2010 at 3:46 PM

So let’s get this straight. Rubio’s two opponents will spend at least the next week arguing which of them is farthest from the political mainstream, and another Democrat will start making headlines about how unfair and biased newspapers are towards anyone who challenges Democratic Party orthodoxy. Next time I’m at a casino, I’m going to bring Marco Rubio along with me.

Excellent piece Ed…this is surely a laugher! Rubio has to be smiling because the two ankle biters also in the race are fighting amongst themselves for second place….

ted c on September 1, 2010 at 3:51 PM

Meanwhile, that’s not the only internecine warfare occurring on the Left.

Wow. I ran across an old 1993 dictionary in the university warehouse and while I was waiting I thumbed through it and discovered “internecine” and thought, “hey, I need to start using that word.”

Weird.

Oh, and Crist can jump in a lake (or in a river of chocolate) for all I care.

mankai on September 1, 2010 at 3:53 PM

Where’s eeyore predicting Crist will drop out and endorse Meeks, creating a strong center-left opposition?

David Mickelson on September 1, 2010 at 3:53 PM

Easy pickens-Like taking candy from a baby!

rjoco1 on September 1, 2010 at 3:57 PM

Crist devalued himself with GOP voters all by himself. Rubio did not have to lift a pinky.

holdfast on September 1, 2010 at 3:59 PM

Tim Zank on September 1, 2010 at 3:42 PM

It takes a nation of millions to hold us back – fear of an orange planet.

NoDonkey on September 1, 2010 at 4:11 PM

“Don’t be fooled,” the narrator concludes. “If Charlie Crist gets to Washington, his heart will lead him right back where he belongs.”

RINOland?

disa on September 1, 2010 at 4:29 PM

Cat fight in the Democrat party. Isn’t that what happened to Spector?

Extra point question, why do liars gravitate to the Democrat party.

tarpon on September 1, 2010 at 4:40 PM

When did Meek’s campaign get a bit of savvy and some strategy?

Targeting Oompa Crist is a good move for him, and some poll reaction in his favor can only increase the perception that he is ‘in it to win it’.

Not sayin’ that he’s a likely victor, but… Let’s face it.

Stranger things have happened!

heldmyw on September 1, 2010 at 4:44 PM

munch…munch…munch…

29Victor on September 1, 2010 at 4:50 PM

Is Charlie really the grown up Rocky from the Rocky Horror Picture Show?

meci on September 1, 2010 at 3:23 PM

I doubt it. Wasn’t that Tim Curry?? At least Tim was funny!

cableguy615 on September 1, 2010 at 5:04 PM

Actually, “No Party Affiliation” (NPA) is a choice one may make when applying for a voter registration card in Florida. You can’t vote in party primaries, but generally see that as a small loss.

I would have switched from NPA to R had Crist not run as an independent, however.

I R A Darth Aggie on September 2, 2010 at 12:15 PM