Polls, polls, polls: Whitman by eight, Toomey by nine, Rubio by 10; Update: GOP leads on all 10 key issues

posted at 12:28 pm on August 26, 2010 by Allahpundit

The trendlines are all favorable, too. Until recently Toomey’s leads had been in the neighborhood of six points, but he’s now had three straight polls where it’s eight or better. In California, meanwhile, Whitman’s turned a 43/41 deficit into a 48/40 lead — in just three weeks (51/43 if you include leaners).

As for Florida, well, alternate headline: “Kendrick Meek now officially blogger’s favorite Democrat ever.”

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Florida shows Marco Rubio attracting 40% of the vote, while Charlie Crist picks up 30% in the race to become the state’s next U.S. senator. The new Democratic nominee Kendrick Meek earns 21% support…

In the last survey before the primary, it was Rubio at 38%, Crist at 33% and Meek 21%…

Meek supporters who might switch their vote are overwhelmingly considering Crist as their option. Among Crist supporters, most would consider changing to Meek. However, more than a third say they might switch to Rubio. This is not surprising given that 37% of current Crist supporters disapprove of the way President Obama is doing his job.

Yeah, Sunshine Charlie’s problem is that even if things go relatively well for him and Meek starts to fade, the further left he tacks to pander to Meek’s voters, the greater the risk that his own Republican supporters will bail for Rubio. And no matter what happens, some Dem base voters will stay with Meek; unless he drops out entirely, which is unthinkable now that he’s won a contested primary, the Democratic vote’s going to end up split to some greater or lesser extent.

I don’t know if I can deal with this much optimism for another two months. I feel like a fish flopping around on the deck of a boat. Throw me back into the sea of despair so that I can breathe!

Update: Some comfort at last for lefties: Sure, they trail among likely voters on all 10 key issues — and on only three is it even close — but it’s a Rasmussen poll, so they’ll automatically discredit it.

Special thanks to Charlie Rangel and Maxine Waters for this one:

The GOP has consistently been trusted on most issues for months now, but in July they held the lead on only nine of the key issues.

Republicans lead Democrats 47% to 39% on the economy, which remains the most important issue to voters. Those numbers are nearly identical to those found in June. Republicans have held the advantage on the economy since May of last year.

But for the first time in months, Republicans now hold a slight edge on the issues of government ethics and corruption, 40% to 38%. Voters have been mostly undecided for the past several months on which party to trust more on this issue, but Democrats have held small leads since February. Still, more than one-in-five voters (22%) are still not sure which party to trust more on ethics issues.


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Very good news. What about Nevada? Reid must go!!!!

taney71 on August 26, 2010 at 12:32 PM

Don’t worry AP, we’ll get you through this patch of good news.

WisRich on August 26, 2010 at 12:32 PM

hurry up November… please hurry up

gatorboy on August 26, 2010 at 12:33 PM

Great news! I just pray these polls only gets better for our side. I can’t wait till Nov. to vote.
L

letget on August 26, 2010 at 12:34 PM

.
Snake Plissken: What’s that?
.
Pipeline: Tsu-nami, Snake! Tsunami!
.

Arbalest on August 26, 2010 at 12:34 PM

Toomey is simply running a fabulous campaign. The only ad I’ve seen yet for Sestak is a nasty DSCC ad that calls Toomey a “Wall Street millionaire” and basically tries to blame him for the entire financial meltdown. I don’t think peopel are buying that. Sestak is doing weird stuff like getting endorsements from Mike Bloomberg and Chuck Hagel – people who are completely unkown in Pennsylvania.

Meanwhile, the Democrat corruption and government-waste stories keep coming and coming all over the state. We’ve had a week’s worth of stories in Philly about massive corruption at the Philadelphia Housing Authority, led by a director who made more than $350,000 last year and paid $9 million in legal fees to Ed Rendell’s law firm. The school superintendent made $250,000 with a $60,000 bonus. More raids are happening in state legislator’s offices.

Democrats in Pennsylvania are becoming synonymous with corruption, waste, fat salaries, and an entitlement mentality.

rockmom on August 26, 2010 at 12:36 PM

Everybody take a broom to the victory party!

Aaaannnnnnddddd … SWEEEEEEEP!

Tony737 on August 26, 2010 at 12:37 PM

I love this… but I worry about the veracity of Rasmussen Reports… am I just buying into leftist propaganda?
Nate Silver (is a lefty) doesn’t think Rasmussen can be trusted until 2-3 weeks before the actual election.
He thinks they slant their numbers towards the Repubs?
Hard to know whether to be pumped or bummed…?

therambler on August 26, 2010 at 12:37 PM

Don’t get cocky.

tree hugging sister on August 26, 2010 at 12:38 PM

Now I need people to help me work a gunshow this weekend.

tree hugging sister on August 26, 2010 at 12:39 PM

Very good news. What about Nevada? Reid must go!!!!

taney71 on August 26, 2010 at 12:32 PM

Dead heat right now but Sharron is coming on!

VegasRick on August 26, 2010 at 12:39 PM

Don’t worry about Charlie Orange. He’ll land at MSNBC.

Akzed on August 26, 2010 at 12:39 PM

therambler on August 26, 2010 at 12:37 PM

Check RCP; Rasmussen’s numbers are very similar to PPP, SUSA and MD.

The Rubio race will become a snoozer soon; better to throw all our money at Dirty Harry. The real races in FL are now the atty gen race and the governor’s race–which is a must, must win.

TimTebowSavesAmerica on August 26, 2010 at 12:40 PM

“Yeah baby! …

try again later on August 26, 2010 at 12:40 PM

Catch a wave and you’re sitting on top of the world

phreshone on August 26, 2010 at 12:41 PM

But … but … but there’s a Republican civil war raging!

A Republican civil war is raging, with righter-than-thou conservatives dominating more and more primaries in a fight for the party’s soul. And the Democrats hope to benefit.

JammieWearingFool on August 26, 2010 at 12:41 PM

Kendrick Meek now officially blogger’s favorite Democrat ever.

Somewhere Alvin Greene is crying to read this. Then muttering something incomprehensible.

LastRick on August 26, 2010 at 12:42 PM

I don’t know if I can deal with this much optimism for another two months. I feel like a fish flopping around on the deck of a boat. Throw me back into the sea of despair so that I can breathe!

Don’t worry. Reid Wilson has an article in Headlines about why the Democrats will hold the House. His thoughts, plus some of the reader comments, are pure candy. There’s your sea of despair. Enjoy!!

joejm65 on August 26, 2010 at 12:43 PM

Headline coming to a blog near you:

Noted blogger, atheist and beta-male died of too much optimism.

This election cycle is going to turn me bipolar.

Holger on August 26, 2010 at 12:49 PM

I predict a humpbot video coming on in November…

Conservative Samizdat on August 26, 2010 at 12:49 PM

I’m lovin’ it!

cmsinaz on August 26, 2010 at 12:49 PM

tree hugging sister on August 26, 2010 at 12:38 PM

Good advice.

milwife88 on August 26, 2010 at 12:50 PM

I don’t know if I can deal with this much optimism for another two months. I feel like a fish flopping around on the deck of a boat. Throw me back into the sea of despair so that I can breathe!

AP, go to a bar, find the most beautiful single woman there and make a pass at her. You should get shot down, maybe a drink splashed in your face and you will be back to your happy eeyore self.

Holger on August 26, 2010 at 12:57 PM

But … but … but there’s a Republican civil war raging!

JammieWearingFool on August 26, 2010 at 12:41 PM

Democrats are running from Obama, Reid and Pelosi, calling themselves “independent” not mentioning ‘Democrat’ at all and the Republicans are having the civil war!

cartooner on August 26, 2010 at 12:57 PM

time to go on another vacation……get some golfing in….

SDarchitect on August 26, 2010 at 12:57 PM

The AP spins Toomey’s 9 point lead in the Franklin and Marshall poll as ‘slightly’ ahead.

http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/10238/1082895-100.stm

reddevil on August 26, 2010 at 12:59 PM

Jeez, someone get AllahP a binkie. This has to be tough on him.

Actually, I’m thinking you should get on the ‘pound them in the a$$ until they ask for an isolation cell’ bus. If that doesn’t work out well, you can pretend you were on the fence all the way.

I understand, I don’t want to be in the camps either.

GnuBreed on August 26, 2010 at 1:03 PM

Has the Palinista stampede made it to this thread yet?..:)

Dire Straits on August 26, 2010 at 1:07 PM

Too early.

In September, the media will begin its 2-month long, pre-election, non-stop, full press about how wonderful things are under the Democrats and Obama rule.

I imagine several lengthy, graphic, imaginative articles from the liberal press coming out about:
“Imagine How Bad it Would Have Been if George Bush was Still President.”

“10 Really Bad things Republicans are planning if they take over the House.”

albill on August 26, 2010 at 1:09 PM

The wave is going rogue.

CyberCipher on August 26, 2010 at 1:09 PM

Count it!

lorien1973 on August 26, 2010 at 1:10 PM

The very delicate E.J. Dionne is always good for a laugh.

Already, Republicans who won primaries with Tea Party backing — notably Senate candidates Sharron Angle in Nevada and Rand Paul in Kentucky — are facing withering Democratic attacks. The question is whether such critiques work only against marquee right-wing candidates or whether the entire Republican Party comes to be seen as moving too far away from the views of what is still a moderate country.

The paradox is that a Republican Party in the grips of ideology needs to shift the campaign in a less ideological direction, hoping that voters simply cast protest ballots against hard economic times. Democrats, who are more doctrinally diverse, have every interest in turning the election into a philosophical contest, arguing that even unhappy voters cannot trust their fate to a party in the grips of a right-wing revolt. Once again on Tuesday, Republican primary participants seemed determined to give Democrats that opportunity.

JammieWearingFool on August 26, 2010 at 1:13 PM

It was, is, and will be the economy, stupid.

National treasure!

Schadenfreude on August 26, 2010 at 1:13 PM

Ahh, the irony.

Terrye on August 26, 2010 at 1:16 PM

Don’t get cocky.

tree hugging sister on August 26, 2010 at 12:38 PM

Indeed, don’t celebrate, not even on the night of Nov. 02. It’s a long battle and much to be saved, and lots of manure to shovel oround and out of the stalls in Congress and everywhere in Wash. D.C. and locally.

Schadenfreude on August 26, 2010 at 1:25 PM

Throw me back into the sea of despair so that I can breathe!

Don’t worry AP, the election remains a screwable pooch.

Remember, this is the gang that couldn’t beat Al Franken.

Bruno Strozek on August 26, 2010 at 1:30 PM

Don’t worry AP, the election remains a screwable pooch.

It ain’t over til the fat lady sings, and hopefully she won’t be Nancy Pelosi.

Steve Z on August 26, 2010 at 1:39 PM

Count it!

lorien1973 on August 26, 2010 at 1:10 PM

Who was the HA commenter who kept saying “It’s gonna be epic” on multiple threads leading up to November 2008? Was that you, lorien?

Anyway. This November’s gonna be epic too.

:)

Missy on August 26, 2010 at 1:40 PM

Throw me back into the sea of despair so that I can breathe!

Hahahaha, he said with “baited” breath.

scalleywag on August 26, 2010 at 1:42 PM

Remember, this is the gang that couldn’t beat Al Franken.

Bruno Strozek on August 26, 2010 at 1:30 PM

Yes and no. The people who failed to beat Al Franken are not the engaged and enraged folks that are creating this wave, by and large. This wave is happening DESPITE GOP party leadership, not because of it.

In contrast, Rahm Emanuel was one of the architects of 2006 (and 2008). We’ll see which midterms turn out to be truly grassroots.

Missy on August 26, 2010 at 1:43 PM

Don’t get cocky.

tree hugging sister on August 26, 2010 at 12:38 PM

No…we have the NRSC to keep us sober about our prospects.

Jaibones on August 26, 2010 at 1:43 PM

I fail to see any way the dems can keep from losing big BUT, it is far enough out to reduce that ‘big’ to numbers closer to the norm for a midterm.

JIMV on August 26, 2010 at 1:43 PM

76% of Rubio voters sure they will vote for him
45% of Crist voters sure they will vote for him.

I’m thinking of breaking out the butterscotch pudding in November in honor of Pine Marten getting more time to work on his tan.

forest on August 26, 2010 at 1:45 PM

Boxer must lose.

John the Libertarian on August 26, 2010 at 1:53 PM

JammieWearingFool on August 26, 2010 at 1:13 PM

And here I was thinking about having lunch….

lovingmyUSA on August 26, 2010 at 2:14 PM

forest on August 26, 2010 at 1:45 PM

You do that, and I’ll get the whipped cream…

lovingmyUSA on August 26, 2010 at 2:17 PM

Lets go surfin on that wave…

barnone on August 26, 2010 at 2:30 PM

A liberal friend of mine who lives in Pittsburgh was all giddy about a bumper sticker she saw on a car yesterday.
You guys are just going to all agog at this creativity.
It said(seriously this will BLOW YOU AWAY )…Tea parties are for little girls with imaginary friends.
Uh huh.
I informed her that this little girl(I am little) was going to a ‘tea party’ on 9/12 in DC; and that come November 2 her and her ilk were going to be learn a thing or two about my ‘imaginary friends’.

annoyinglittletwerp on August 26, 2010 at 2:36 PM

Its amazing that its appearing more and more that the Dem/Socialists election strategy, is to say “Yah its bad as ever now, but it would have been worse under Bush who DROVE US INTO A DITCH.
Thats so pathetic, they have no poll, chart, trend analysis, reputable economists, NOTHING, that will give them reasons to vote them in again. I like Bushs’ ditch better than Husseins golf cart in the Grand Canyon, with Bidens voice resonating faintly from the bottom…”helloooo,,,helllooo?”

malkinmania on August 26, 2010 at 2:50 PM

We only have 68 Days until the November election.

We all need to be working hard NOW to make sure we earn our victory parties.

Make sure everybody you know is informed and ready to vote properly in November!

The clock is ticking.

wren on August 26, 2010 at 4:16 PM

Sure I’m optemistic, but with two months+ to go there’s still time to BLOW IT!

I’m sorry, did that sound like a little frustration coming out?

listens2glenn on August 26, 2010 at 4:21 PM

From the headlines you’d think happy times will be here again as soon as the Republican candidates win these races. In fact, it will just be more of the same screw the citizens crap.

rjl1999 on August 26, 2010 at 5:50 PM

Keep the GOOD NEWS coming.

Can not wait till November.

OneConservative on August 26, 2010 at 8:50 PM