Angle ties Reid in Rasmussen poll

posted at 12:15 pm on August 18, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

Old and busted: Tea Party candidates ruining GOP chances in midterms.  New hotness: Republicans about to do the wave.  The only race that offered any evidence at all of a Tea Party handicap just evened up, according to Rasmussen:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state shows Democratic Senator Harry Reid and his Republican challenger Sharron Angle tied with 47% of the vote each. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided.

Two weeks ago, Reid held a two-point advantage over Angle.

Earlier this year, Reid was considered to be one of the Senate’s most vulnerable incumbents. He picked up just 39% of the vote following Angle’s primary victory but has seen his own numbers improve to 41% in late June, 43% in early July, 45% in late July and 47% today. …

When leaners are included in the new totals, Angle attracts 50% of the vote, while Reid picks up 48%. This is the first Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 survey in Nevada to include leaners. Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate.

Why the increase in Angle’s support over the last few weeks?  As I wrote earlier this summer, Harry Reid used a good chunk of his campaign warchest immediately after the primaries to make Angle look extreme and unqualified.  Jim Geraghty points out that Angle has spent the last few weeks making up the difference:

It’s as if Angle had launched a big television advertising offensive that was going toe-to-toe with Reid and freezing the race where it is, instead of holding her resources until the fall. Something like $575,000 in a week. Somebody ought to write about that.

The internals show why Reid remains vulnerable no matter how much money he spends.  Nevada’s unemployment is now the highest in the country, and voters have noticed it.  Eighty percent believe the country is still in recession, no matter how much Joe Biden talks about “Recovery Summer.”  A majority think the economy is getting worse (53%), while only 26% think it’s improving — hardly an endorsement of Reid’s “stay the course” campaign.  Meanwhile, Barack Obama gets only a 45/55 approval rating in Nevada.

For that matter, Reid’s on the wrong side of policy, too.  While his party dithers on the expiring 2001-3 tax cuts, Nevadans worry about the impact.  Forty-eight percent think their expiration will hurt the economy, and only 27% think it will help.  Nevadans are evenly divided on whether to extend all of them (46%) or all but those for the wealthiest Americans (47%), but since the Democrats aren’t doing anything about it at all, the issue is ripe for highlighting by the GOP.  Fifty-five percent oppose the ObamaCare mandate written by Reid himself in the final version of the bill, so the one “victory” from this Congress won’t convince anyone to swing back to the Democrats.

Angle has to keep focused on the economy, ObamaCare, and the radical agenda that Reid enabled as Senate Majority Leader.  The momentum we’re seeing now after Reid’s early offensive can continue to grow, assuming Angle doesn’t get derailed by distractions.


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Sue Lowden should’ve won. Thanks tea party.

Narutoboy on August 18, 2010 at 12:17 PM

Angle is in the position Regan was in 1980, people despise the incumbent, just show Reid’s and the media’s lies to be nonsense and then put on a competent campaign, and she will win.

rob verdi on August 18, 2010 at 12:18 PM

Good for Angle. Keep it up!

Vanceone on August 18, 2010 at 12:19 PM

Two points, Ed.

1. You didn’t mention the most intriguing stat. Angle +17 with indies.

2. Ras must be using the 08 turnout model. Which is laughable.

artist on August 18, 2010 at 12:19 PM

“Angle leads among voters not affiliated with either major party by a 52% to 35% margin.”

Angle leads this race outside the MOE. Ras must adjust his party sample.

artist on August 18, 2010 at 12:20 PM

Angle has to keep focused on the economy, ObamaCare, and the radical agenda that Reid enabled as Senate Majority Leader. The momentum we’re seeing now after Reid’s early offensive can continue to grow, assuming Angle doesn’t get derailed by distractions.

Just focus on Reid’s horrendous record as Senate Majority Leader. Run endless ads of his verbal gaffes. And bring in Palin for a rally or two to bait the Dems and Reid into saying even more stupid stuff.

Doughboy on August 18, 2010 at 12:21 PM

Angle by at least 6. It’s not going to be close.

The Mega Independent on August 18, 2010 at 12:22 PM

Go Sharron. Sprint to the finish line and leave Harry choking on the gravel from your Nike’s.

Extrafishy on August 18, 2010 at 12:22 PM

Makes me wish I could move to Nevada just to vote for her.

Sarjex on August 18, 2010 at 12:23 PM

Makes me wish I could move to Nevada just to vote for her.

Sarjex on August 18, 2010 at 12:23 PM

You could hitch a ride on an ACORN bus.

faraway on August 18, 2010 at 12:25 PM

New hotness: Conservatives Republicans about to do the wave.

FIFY.

Rebar on August 18, 2010 at 12:26 PM

Angle by at least 6. It’s not going to be close.

The Mega Independent on August 18, 2010 at 12:22 PM

My family and I met her Monday night. She spoke to us for about 10 minutes and I spoke to her husband (Ted) for over a half hour. GREAT folks.

VegasRick on August 18, 2010 at 12:29 PM

Worse unemployment than Michigan? Yowch.

Bishop on August 18, 2010 at 12:30 PM

Harry Reid’s going to join Tom Daschel on the ash heap of history – another Democrat Senate Majority Leader thrown out on his wortheless ass by enraged voters.

NoDonkey on August 18, 2010 at 12:30 PM

I wonder if it has anything to do with that tape of Reid from 1993 and his flip-flop on the birthright question?

Johnnyreb on August 18, 2010 at 12:31 PM

Go Sharron!

skree on August 18, 2010 at 12:32 PM

Worse unemployment than Michigan? Yowch.

Bishop on August 18, 2010 at 12:30 PM

Yep. Which is why Harry Reid is desperate to talk about anything other than the economy. Even immigration is more enticing.

Doughboy on August 18, 2010 at 12:32 PM

Turnout, turnout, turnout.
Dems (those that are legal) are not going to turn out in AZ or anywhere else election day.

Going to be a good day.

barnone on August 18, 2010 at 12:33 PM

She’s not as good as Lowden was pre-chickens for docs, but in the end, she’ll win. NV is GOP enough and the year is GOP enough that she’ll sqeak in, like that tawdry b**ch McCaskill did in MO. Angle just needs to be disciplined and not make any more crazy or bad statements.

TimTebowSavesAmerica on August 18, 2010 at 12:33 PM

Makes me wish I could move to Nevada just to vote for her.

Sarjex on August 18, 2010 at 12:23 PM

You could hitch a ride on an ACORN bus.

faraway on August 18, 2010 at 12:25 PM

That’s for sure. If it’s like 2008, there will be several busses leaving downtown LA (maybe somewhere near 9th and Figueroa?) shortly before the election, with lots of ‘voters’ on board.

LASue on August 18, 2010 at 12:34 PM

Angle needs to stay focused on the economy, on unemployment, on lower taxes, cutting spending, on energy (open up Yucca Mountain for nuclear wastes) and on criticizing Reid’s record as Majority Leader and his endless gaffes, and avoid taking fringe positions that don’t play in Vegas, whose population dominates the state.

This is an “it’s the economy, stupid” election. Angle needs to run as a mainstream fiscal conservative and make the election about Reid, who carries the baggage of the entire Senate over the last four years.

Steve Z on August 18, 2010 at 12:34 PM

And with her big ad buy, it looks like she’s gearing up to take a strong and sustainable lead!

dczombie on August 18, 2010 at 12:36 PM

She’s not as good as Lowden was pre-chickens for docs, but in the end, she’ll win. NV is GOP enough and the year is GOP enough that she’ll sqeak in, like that tawdry b**ch McCaskill did in MO. Angle just needs to be disciplined and not make any more crazy or bad statements.

TimTebowSavesAmerica on August 18, 2010 at 12:33 PM

She is way more conservative than Sue. And she will beat harry red.

VegasRick on August 18, 2010 at 12:37 PM

Narutoboy on August 18, 2010 at 12:17 PM

And a born in Virginia, raised in Colorado currently living in Georgia knows what about politics in Nevada? Was the primary not valid?

Cindy Munford on August 18, 2010 at 12:39 PM

How the F are we tied with Reid?

How would Angle in the Senate be any differant then Lowden in the Senate?

Ugh!!!

LurkerDood on August 18, 2010 at 12:39 PM

We do not need close elections. We need to win by large margins or else the recount fiascos will kill us. Remember, Soros and group targeted the States Secretaries across the country. Even the MA/Scott Brown race was attempted until all of a sudden he started getting a high percentage,”they” just threw in the towel and let it go. We need to watch the vote counters.

retiredeagle on August 18, 2010 at 12:39 PM

Any Ham Sandwich would win in November so long as it doesn’t have a (D) after it.

Look out from your front porches, Dems. You can now see Armageddon approaching.

Dusty on August 18, 2010 at 12:39 PM

Harry Reid and his cronies have been working against America for years, and now his chickens are starting to come home to roost.

jdawg on August 18, 2010 at 12:41 PM

How would Angle in the Senate be any differant then Lowden in the Senate?

Ugh!!!

LurkerDood on August 18, 2010 at 12:39 PM

Dood, do you even know anything about her?

VegasRick on August 18, 2010 at 12:43 PM

sheer poetic irony for Reid to be hoisted on his own legislative petard. Angle only needs to run a solid campaign.

paul1149 on August 18, 2010 at 12:44 PM

While his party dithers on the expiring 2001-3 tax cuts, Nevadans worry about the impact. Forty-eight percent think their expiration will hurt the economy, and only 27% think it will help.

Who are these people, and can we send them back to wherever they came from?

AubieJon on August 18, 2010 at 12:46 PM

Cindy Munford on August 18, 2010 at 12:39 PM

Lowden was super friendly and I liked what she had to say. The fact that Angle isn’t already way ahead of Reid is troublesome. This is like the New York thing all over again. Tea parties are going to mess it up once again. And the sad thing is, this won should’ve been a piece of cake.

Notice a trend: The ones who WIN (i.e. Chris Christie, Scott Brown, Virginia’s governor (forgot his name), etc.) — they all won without being associated with the tea party.

Narutoboy on August 18, 2010 at 12:47 PM

Good for her. Here’s hoping that she retains her current focus and discipline, and rids me of that pathetic douche Reid.

Question: as the finish line comes into view and Angle leads Reid, what type of pressure will he try to apply to the NRA to make their (suicidal) endorsement of him?

For now the NRA is keeping (forced) silence.

Jaibones on August 18, 2010 at 12:48 PM

This is an “it’s the economy, stupid” election. Angle needs to run as a mainstream fiscal conservative and make the election about Reid, who carries the baggage of the entire Senate over the last four years.

Steve Z on August 18, 2010 at 12:34 PM

Well, yeah, but couldn’t she just mention Reid’s 1993 position on birthright citizenship in conjunction with his recent comments about how no Hispanics should be Republicans? Just mention it a little? Just for fun.

a capella on August 18, 2010 at 12:48 PM

Didn’t SP throw in for Angle just a week ago?

Certain deathblow I was told

Sonosam on August 18, 2010 at 12:49 PM

I put in to him, The Cresent Moon.. with a logo like this. heh

upinak on August 18, 2010 at 12:53 PM

Send Sharron any amount you can afford. I am in PA and my guy Toomey is looking good. I’m sending Sharron a few of the dollars I had planned for Pat.

MoodyBlu on August 18, 2010 at 12:54 PM

Send Sharron any amount you can afford. I am in PA and my guy Toomey is looking good. I’m sending Sharron a few of the dollars I had planned for Pat.

MoodyBlu on August 18, 2010 at 12:54 PM

Thank you!

VegasRick on August 18, 2010 at 12:56 PM

Rush is on a roll. Harry Reid has to be against the Victory Mosque because his constituents are bigots and he has to pander to them to get reelected. I guess like Sen. Byrd’s participation in the KKK was an election ploy according to Mr. Clinton.

Cindy Munford on August 18, 2010 at 12:58 PM

I’ve sent Sharron more $$$ than any other candidate eveh! I’ve been telling the HA crowd the we HATE Reid here in Nevada. These numbers will only increase for Angle.

To be clear I love Sharron, but for illustrative purposes Bozo the Clown would beat Harry this year.

Mojave Mark on August 18, 2010 at 1:01 PM

Yucca Mountain construction and operating jobs.
That’s what I want to hear.

tomg51 on August 18, 2010 at 1:10 PM

Bishop on August 18, 2010 at 12:30 PM

It’s what happens when a good chunk of Nevada’s economy is dependent upon construction. It’s been said that NV has lost about 55% of the construction jobs (about 110K) it had during the 2006 peak.

BradSchwartze on August 18, 2010 at 1:12 PM

Good News – hopefully some of that will rub off here and soon

gophergirl on August 18, 2010 at 1:15 PM

for what it is worth.

My younger brother lives in Reno, NV. At first he was saying Angie was to far right, had some strange right wing ideas, et cetera. I told him to take the time to really listen to what she is saying and to look up her past statements to see what she really stands for, not what Reid was saying in ads but her history.

He had done that and now tells me that though she is not his first choice but Reid appears to be too much of the Washington mess and needs to be replaced. Angie is not great but better than Reid.

Personally, I think as people really find more about her they will realize that their ideas and positions are closer to her than Reid. Again, maybe not the main stream candidate of choice for middle of the roader types but more middle of the road than Reid, thus hopefully there will continue to be a swing toward her if for no other reason than swinging away from Reid.

Rockman44 on August 18, 2010 at 1:15 PM

Sue Lowden should’ve won. Thanks tea party.

Narutoboy on August 18, 2010 at 12:17 PM

This confirms that Angle was the right choice.

When resident lefty RINO moron “Narutoboy” pumps Lowden, it should be clear to anyone that we made the right decision in nominating Angle.

Norwegian on August 18, 2010 at 1:23 PM

Palin just announced that she is supporting and will be campaigning for Angle. That should put her over the hump.

Lets do the WAve

iam7545 on August 18, 2010 at 1:27 PM

Look out from your front porches, Dems. You can now see Armageddon approaching.

Dusty on August 18, 2010 at 12:39 PM

Heh-heh. I’ll bet a certain Alaskan’s reputed ability to see Russia from her house suddenly seems a whole heck of a lot less funny to all those schmucks in the US Capitol watching the fire & brimstone of the apocalypse moving toward them in theirs.

leilani on August 18, 2010 at 1:28 PM

Harry Reid’s going to join Tom Daschel on the ash heap of history – another Democrat Senate Majority Leader thrown out on his wortheless ass by enraged voters.

NoDonkey on August 18, 2010 at 12:30 PM

I believe that you will find that when Tom Daschle lost his Senate seat, he was in fact Minority Leader, not Majority Leader.

JohnGalt23 on August 18, 2010 at 1:31 PM

How would Angle in the Senate be any differant then Lowden in the Senate?

LurkerDood on August 18, 2010 at 12:39 PM

Uh, the time has come for you to SETTLE DOWN.

For all her faults, Sharron Angle is the real deal. Sue Lowden has nowhere near the conservative cred Angle does.

That being said, if Lowden was the candidate, I do think she’d be blowing Harry Reid out, and carrying people like Joe Heck and Mike Roberson along with her. Angle may win this (especially since she has reportedly brought in some top out-of-state talent). But she isn’t likely to win it big, and I fear that puts down-ticket races at risk.

JohnGalt23 on August 18, 2010 at 1:38 PM

What percentage for Reid are the ACORN votes being estimated at? The polls show what could happen in an honest race. However, if we had honest races, we would be seeing Senator Coleman of Minnesota speaking on T.V.

sabbahillel on August 18, 2010 at 1:46 PM

These polls are interesting, but I think you have take Rasmussen, which already skews right because it includes only likely voters and then add in an intensity factor for massive turnout from the right.

In all seriousness, will no ACORN help our side as well?

johnboy on August 18, 2010 at 2:02 PM

She is way more conservative than Sue. And she will beat harry red.

VegasRick on August 18, 2010 at 12:37 PM

Even if she squeak by this time, chances are, she’ll lose six years later. Nevada is a purplish state. A movement conservative can’t hold a state-wide seat for long.

year_of_the_dingo on August 18, 2010 at 2:34 PM

I’ll trade you a Carly for a Sharon…

sandee on August 18, 2010 at 2:40 PM

Harry Reid is OLD hat. At 70 Reid is a has-been and NV needs new blood, new ideas, honesty and integrity. The bankruptcy and foreclose rates are Harry Reid’s doing. Reid is a liar and manipulator that cares very little about NV residents. Give Harry Reid the boot; put Reid out to pasture.

Me thinks the pollsters, who, when it comes round to near the elections, all polls are “tied” or “too close to call”. EVERYONE knows you can skew poll results by cherry picking the persons polled or simply structuring the questions.

The DISLIKE of Reid is universal in NV. Angle will will by an overwhelming majority — and Palin, whom the liberal MSM hates, will make a big difference in Angle’s BIG win.

AdrianS on August 18, 2010 at 3:00 PM

Even if Angle is kooky she’s good-kooky, not liberal-kooky. She will be a force to cause the GOP to be less RINO, more conservative.

PattyJ on August 18, 2010 at 3:50 PM

Sharron wiped the floor with Lowden in the primary, 40% to 26% statewide, and in Lowden’s home town of Las Vegas (Clark county), Angle beat Lowden with 38%. She soundly thrashed Lowden all over the state. Lowden lost. Repeat. Lowden LOST. Now quit whining and contribute to Angle’s campaign.

Latest support for Angle comes from the iron workers union. In the Las Vegas local meeting of 41 members, 15 were wearing Angle shirts and 25 more members ordered them, so Harry gets one vote maybe.

Angle is kooky just like the konstitution is kooky. Read how she mortgaged her home for $50,000 to defend her own state’s constitution against ALL THREE BRANCHES of the Nevada state government: http://www.reviewjournal.com/lvrj_home/2006/Sep-12-Tue-2006/news/9595011.html

Reid has spent $11 MILLION to date, and has a tie, but is losing 52% to 35% with independents.

CONTRIBUTE

fred5678 on August 18, 2010 at 4:51 PM

I believe that you will find that when Tom Daschle lost his Senate seat, he was in fact Minority Leader, not Majority Leader.

JohnGalt23 on August 18, 2010 at 1:31 PM

Without actually googling it, I believe Daschle lost his 2002 reelection bid, and in 2002 the senate was held by democrats (barely, and only due to a republican, Jeffords, leaving the party and caucusing with the dems mid-2001). He was in fact majority leader.

runawayyyy on August 18, 2010 at 5:08 PM

Too bad he doesn’t have a son that can help him….

right2bright on August 18, 2010 at 5:12 PM

At least now we know for sure why Harry came out against the 9/11 Victory Mosque.

Gator Country on August 18, 2010 at 10:49 PM