Has the CT Senate race become competitive?

posted at 3:35 pm on August 4, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

After Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal survived the exposure of his false claims of service in Vietnam, conventional wisdom had the popular Democrat making the race to replace Chris Dodd a slam dunk.  At one point, Blumenthal led by more than 20 points over his likely Republican rival, Linda McMahon — among likely voters.  Today, though, Quinnipiac’s poll of registered voters drops a bomb on the race and may move it back into the competitive column:

Republican former wrestling executive Linda McMahon trails Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, the Democrat, 50 – 40 percent in the U.S. Senate race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll of registered voters released today. That’s down from a 54 – 37 percent Blumenthal lead July 16. …

“The McMahon-Blumenthal Senate race in Connecticut could be a real smackdown, as the Republican has the money and momentum, cutting into Blumenthal’s lead month to month,” said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD.

“Independent voters, the largest bloc of voters in Connecticut, are for the first time evenly divided between Linda McMahon, who gets 46 percent, and Richard Blumenthal, who gets 44 percent. Blumenthal led 54 – 35 percent among independent voters just three weeks ago,” Dr. Schwartz added.

What happened? As Jim Geraghty also suspects, Blumenthal’s problems with honesty didn’t end with his fables about combat service:

Blumenthal’s response was a flat-out lie on its face. Lynn Sweet and the NRSC got one of the invitations (which I received separately from another source)that made clear that the trip was a fundraiser. Blumenthal’s name appears on the list of candidates to receive funds from the event and the percentage breakdown of the distribution. Blumenthal got 7% of the money, while Reid got 20%.

Looks like Connecticut voters may be tired of Blumenthal’s evasions and looking for a change. That would be a seat Democrats can’t afford to lose in this election.


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The McMahon-Blumenthal Senate race in Connecticut could be a real smackdown,

I see what they did there.

Farmer_Joe on August 4, 2010 at 3:37 PM

Molasses!

Schadenfreude on August 4, 2010 at 3:38 PM

Actually, with the enthusiasm gap at at least 10 percent, the race is a dead heat … or in McMahon’s favor. Yesterday’s Missouri rejection of ObamaCare was a 15 point hidden swing (Rasmussen had it being rejected 58%; final tally was 73%).
.
Even polls based on likely voter models are not registering the enthusiasm gap.
.
Dems are in BIG trouble.

MaxMBJ on August 4, 2010 at 3:44 PM

LLLLLLLLLLET’S GET READY TO RUMBLLLLLLLLLE!!!!!

Dominion on August 4, 2010 at 3:45 PM

“Whoohooo, dont play the race card rethuligans!!” Weigel.

the_nile on August 4, 2010 at 3:45 PM

If democrats lose a senate seat in Connecticut election night is going to be a Cold night for them.

WashingtonsWake on August 4, 2010 at 3:45 PM

heh. When the wife of the WWF dude is said to be doing a “smackdown” in a political race….we certainly do live in a bizarro world. In a sane world, Blumenthal would be sucking single digits for being a dishonest POS lying scumbag weak sauce never served a day in his life guy. I’m sure, outside of that, that he’s a great attorney though…/

ted c on August 4, 2010 at 3:46 PM

If Blumenthal loses, can McMahon hit him with a chair or something?

ted c on August 4, 2010 at 3:46 PM

At the least, this helps highlight why I think Linda isn’t a bad thing as candidate… she can be competitive while putting her OWN money into the race, freeing up funds to take out Feingold, Boxer, Patty Murray, and others.

She may not win, but she shouldn’t cost the GOP an opportunity to take out a bunch of other Dems.

teke184 on August 4, 2010 at 3:50 PM

If Blumenthal loses, can McMahon hit him with a chair or something?
ted c on August 4, 2010 at 3:46 PM

.
.
Put it on PPV call it “Sissy Boy Smackdown” or “Lying Sack Smackdown” and watch the US debt disappear.

LincolntheHun on August 4, 2010 at 3:52 PM

If Blumenthal loses, can McMahon hit him with a chair or something?

ted c on August 4, 2010 at 3:46 PM

She’ll send hubby out to go “Dick Blumenthal…. YOOOOU’RE FIIIIIIIIIRED!” I don’t think he’ll be able to force him to join the Vince McMahon “Kiss My *ss club”, though.

teke184 on August 4, 2010 at 3:52 PM

Vince McMahon to Dick Blumin Idiot: “YOOOOOOOOOOU’RE FIIIIIIIIIIIIRED!!!”

Doughboy on August 4, 2010 at 3:52 PM

Damn it, teke184! Beat me by one second!

Doughboy on August 4, 2010 at 3:53 PM

Her signature move in the upcoming debate? The people’s elbow.

NickelAndDime on August 4, 2010 at 3:53 PM

Getting the Senate in GOP control will help block Obama even more effectively, as all the Senate Committees will have Republican Chairmen and majorities, meaning his future appointments can’t be as blatantly leftist as they have been so far and get confirmed, and whatever cockamamie treaties he may bring to the Senate for ratification will have more conservatives voting on it.

Brian1972 on August 4, 2010 at 3:59 PM

It is bad enough lying after your elected but to lie constantly before your elected is a bit much even for a Democrat who wants to follow Chris Dodd. Linda is the right candidate, in the right place at the right time.
Connecticut readers please vote for her!

RobCon on August 4, 2010 at 4:01 PM

I am completely dismayed that Linda McMahon was nominated in the first place.

Historically, the Senate has been the place leading statesmen have gone to provide the country with their expertise and leadership.

Now it’s a place where worthless, B list celebrities like the appalling Al Franken go when they’re too old to pursue their childlike “careers” any longer.

Or dopey flavor of the months like our useless jackass of a President.

What does this woman have to offer besides being the wife of a modern day PT Barnum?

Good lord, with “leaders” like this, it’s no wonder we are where we are.

People who have no idea what it is they are doing, are “running” this country – straight into the ground.

NoDonkey on August 4, 2010 at 4:12 PM

Is Peter Schiff just totally off the list? Maybe it’s being in California, but this guy seems way more appealing and I don’t see how Linda has the edge on him when it comes to issues. Maybe she’s more likely to win, but that doesn’t make her the “right” candidate, just the one we’ll settle for to get an R in office…

…says the guy on the other side of the country.

StoutRepublican on August 4, 2010 at 4:13 PM

The Primary election in Connecticut is on Tuesday, August 10.

Make sure all of your friends and relatives in Connecticut are registered to vote in the Primary.

According to this link, only registered Republicans or Democrats can vote in the Primary on August 10. Unaffiliated voters need to register as either a Republican or a Democrat by August 9 at 12:00 pm in order to vote in the Primary. The deadline for switching parties has already passed.

http://www.ct.gov/sots/lib/sots/releases/2008/7.20.10_absentee_ballots_available.pdf

We need to make sure the strongest candidates are selected in the Primary Elections!

And getting your friends to register to vote for the Primary now, will make it easier to get them to vote in November.

wren on August 4, 2010 at 4:13 PM

Ann Coulter used her column several weeks ago to beg Sarah Palin to endorse a different GOP candidate in the primary. Ann is a CT resident and believes that voters could go for a Republican in November, but if their only choice is a self-described pro-wrestling “impresario”, they’ll hold their noses and vote for Blumenthal. I would take a hard look at whether any of the other choices are viable.

joe_doufu on August 4, 2010 at 4:17 PM

Heis a perfect fit for the ring.He is already wearing one of those masks the old wrestlers used.

docflash on August 4, 2010 at 4:17 PM

What does this woman have to offer besides being the wife of a modern day PT Barnum?

Um… she took his Barnum-ness and turned it into a multi-billion dollar empire? She’s not just his wife. She’s the president of the dang company!

Farmer_Joe on August 4, 2010 at 4:18 PM

Here’s the Ann Coulter column: http://www.anncoulter.com/cgi-local/article.cgi?article=372

joe_doufu on August 4, 2010 at 4:19 PM

It would be nice to have a northeastern Republican Senator who are not the wonder twins from Maine, who rolled over today on the FMAP boondogle.

johnboy on August 4, 2010 at 4:25 PM

O/T Can she spend some of that money on clothing? Good greif!!

But why would you expect a liar to start telling the truth? Especially if he wasn’t harmed by the other lie?

barnone on August 4, 2010 at 4:26 PM

Connecticut voters may be tired of Blumenthal’s evasions and looking for a change. That would be a seat Democrats can’t afford to lose in this election.

That could be a seat that Democrats can’t afford to maintain.

maverick muse on August 4, 2010 at 4:30 PM

Is Peter Schiff just totally off the list? Maybe it’s being in California, but this guy seems way more appealing and I don’t see how Linda has the edge on him when it comes to issues. Maybe she’s more likely to win, but that doesn’t make her the “right” candidate, just the one we’ll settle for to get an R in office…

…says the guy on the other side of the country.

StoutRepublican on August 4, 2010 at 4:13 PM

We’re talking about a state that probably has more dogs registered than republicans. CT republicans are aware of this and realize Schiff would probably get rolled in the general. It’s the first time in about 25 years the “R”‘s have a chance at a senate seat so McMahon is somewhat better choice under these pretexts. Schiff is definately the better choice for conservatives but remember we’re talking deep blue state here. Schiff has just gone up with ads in the last few days while McMahon has been carpet bombing the state for the last several months. The one thing appealing about McMahon she’ll give Blumin Idiot a fight for his money. If nothing else, her victory is another caucus vote with the republicans.

veni vidi vici on August 4, 2010 at 4:32 PM

joe-dufue

No offense, but Ann Coulter can kiss McMahon’s @ss.

It isn’t as if Coulter ever took the record to heart in her smear job against a constitutional conservative candidate.

maverick muse on August 4, 2010 at 4:35 PM

If Blumenthal loses, can McMahon hit him with a chair or something?

ted c on August 4, 2010 at 3:46 PM

I think a piledriver would be sweeeeeeeet. Especially if she does it while wearing a ski mask.

Ward Cleaver on August 4, 2010 at 4:36 PM

It would be nice to have a northeastern Republican Senator who are not the wonder twins from Maine, who rolled over today on the FMAP boondogle.

johnboy on August 4, 2010 at 4:25 PM

The Dingbat Sisters? God help Maine.

Ward Cleaver on August 4, 2010 at 4:42 PM

The fact that the polls still show this as a close race, doesn’t say much about CT voters. They obviously have no problem with liars, deceptions, and corruption.

Fine example you set for your children!

capejasmine on August 4, 2010 at 4:47 PM

Farmer_Joe on August 4, 2010 at 4:18 PM

Yeah, well so what?

Wrestling is crap marketed to morons.

We need people who know how to build an actual economy, not people who know how to fleece the stupid, we have a glut of that sort of talent in Washington.

NoDonkey on August 4, 2010 at 4:50 PM

Historically, the Senate has been the place leading statesmen have gone to provide the country with their expertise and leadership.

Now it’s a place where worthless, B list celebrities like the appalling Al Franken go when they’re too old to pursue their childlike “careers” any longer.

NoDonkey on August 4, 2010 at 4:12 PM

I don’t have the stats but it feels like the governing class is consisted of more lawyers than ever. It’s supposed to be one of the respectful professions, but they’re like parasites that suck the vitality out of the country. It’s time for some “diversity,” baby.

year_of_the_dingo on August 4, 2010 at 4:54 PM

year_of_the_dingo on August 4, 2010 at 4:54 PM

Agree and wrestling executive rates higher than attorney on my scale, but just a little.

I really hope CT nominates someone other than LM for the Senate, she’s an embarrassing candidate, Coulter is absolutely correct.

NoDonkey on August 4, 2010 at 4:58 PM

Yeah, well so what?

For better or worse, she’s the nominee. A Republican majority in congress means Republican control of committees and the legislative agenda. McMahon may not be your ideal candidate, but she’s no idiot, and if she’s what it takes to get a Republican butt in a Connecticut seat, I’m in. I suppose you’d rather have the seat stay Dem?

Farmer_Joe on August 4, 2010 at 4:58 PM

Hard to believe CT voters prefer a proven liar to a successful businesswoman whose business happens to be a bit flamboyant.

Wrestling is crap marketed to morons.

We need people who know how to build an actual economy, not people who know how to fleece the stupid, we have a glut of that sort of talent in Washington.

NoDonkey on August 4, 2010 at 4:50 PM

How elitist of you. And like most elitist viewpoints, it’s pretty myopic.

The WWE has the highest-rated, longest-running show on cable TV. They have been repeatedly praised by the military for their work supporting our armed forces. The WWE fills more Make-a-Wish requests than any other group. They’re live entertainers who can evoke emotional responses from 50,000 people without the use of special effects, or often, dialogue. They create and preserve jobs around the country and the world by selling tickets, merchandise, and concessions at stadiums large and small. Many wrestling plots are morality plays, one of the few forms of entertainment that portrays a clear right and wrong.

hawksruleva on August 4, 2010 at 4:59 PM

Wrestling is crap marketed to morons.
We need people who know how to build an actual economy,

What the hell are you babbling about?
All entertainment is “crap marketed to morons”.

..as the Chief Executive Officer of World Wrestling Entertainment, …. Linda helped grow the company from a modest 13-person operation to a global enterprise with over 500 employees and offices in New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Orlando, London, Ontario, Shanghai, and Tokyo. The company has been named one of Forbes 200 Best Small Companies.

At least as impressive as any other ex-CEO running for office.
Sounds like she may know something about growing an economy.

ChrisM on August 4, 2010 at 5:18 PM

It is bad enough lying after your elected but to lie constantly before your elected is a bit much even for a Democrat who wants to follow Chris Dodd.

Oh, I guess you’ve never heard of Al Franken have you? (Does Blum at least pay his taxes?)

Dave_d on August 4, 2010 at 5:26 PM

ChrisM on August 4, 2010 at 5:18 PM

I don’t see it. It’s like Hollywood.

I can’t believe the Republicans couldn’t find a better candidate.

It’s an honest living, but after all of the conservative raging against Hollywood {and pro wrestling is every bit as raunchy as anything Hollywood puts out), why nominate this woman?

I mean, Madonna has made a billion dollars marketing herself, would she make a good Senator?

She’s more qualified to be a Senator than Barack Obama was and still is, but after his disastrous performance, we need more than a woman who has been successful in a very niche, fringe industry.

NoDonkey on August 4, 2010 at 5:32 PM

Linda McMahon’s voting record will be identical to Snowe’s and Specter’s. Consider me unimpressed.

V-rod on August 4, 2010 at 5:32 PM

Though I’m voting for Peter Schiff in the primary, McMahon has impressed me with her relentless advertising. She refuses to allow anyone to define her negatively as the President of the WWE. Now nobody has quite gone after her for this, but she is taking any snickering on pre-emptively.

She means business and whether it is her or Schiff, I think the Republicans have two strong and feisty candidates to throw at Blumenthal.

Daemonocracy on August 4, 2010 at 5:33 PM

I don’t see it. It’s like Hollywood.

I can’t believe the Republicans couldn’t find a better candidate.

NoDonkey on August 4, 2010 at 5:32 PM

Peter Schiff stated before that the reason why we don’t have many good conservatives out there running is because true conservatives dislike having to spend years working in government and rather stay in the private sector.

Libs, on the other hand, think government is great, and they can’t wait to hold an office.

V-rod on August 4, 2010 at 5:37 PM

I like her and although I am sure there are major policy issues I believe she can win and do well in the Senate.

rob verdi on August 4, 2010 at 5:41 PM

I can’t believe the Republicans couldn’t find a better candidate.

Have you forgotten where the race is taking place?
Look, I’m not here to start a fight but McMahon’s record as a CEO and corporate manager at WWE is much better than Fiorina’s at HP.
Do you consider Carly a qualified Republican Senate candidate?

Linda McMahon’s voting record will be identical to Snowe’s and Specter’s.
V-rod on August 4, 2010 at 5:32 PM

Probably true, so it doesn’t matter anyway.

ChrisM on August 4, 2010 at 5:47 PM

I don’t think the people of Connecticut are smart enough to do the right thing… Just keep eating the crap sandwich the Democrats feed you…

Standing by to be proven wrong…

Khun Joe on August 4, 2010 at 5:57 PM

How elitist of you. And like most elitist viewpoints, it’s pretty myopic.

The WWE has the highest-rated, longest-running show on cable TV. They have been repeatedly praised by the military for their work supporting our armed forces. The WWE fills more Make-a-Wish requests than any other group. They’re live entertainers who can evoke emotional responses from 50,000 people without the use of special effects, or often, dialogue. They create and preserve jobs around the country and the world by selling tickets, merchandise, and concessions at stadiums large and small. Many wrestling plots are morality plays, one of the few forms of entertainment that portrays a clear right and wrong.

I am just wondering Have you ever watched the WWE?

kevmack on August 4, 2010 at 6:10 PM

This CT resident has little choice offered. Nonnee of the above baby killers wll do. However, the sleezy one will never get my vote. Dodd’s gone and now we’ll get someone worse.

Don L on August 4, 2010 at 6:11 PM

If that dope Al Franken was “experienced” enough to run for the Senate and even win, someone who has run a big business and dabbled in CT politics for decades is experienced too.

Speedwagon82 on August 4, 2010 at 6:33 PM

Far as I am concerned with both those scum, Blumenthal and McMahon…THEY WILL SMELL WHAT THE SCHIFF IS COOKING!

BobAnthony on August 4, 2010 at 6:47 PM

Say no to BlumenDodd. Vote for Linda in Connecticut.

RobCon on August 4, 2010 at 8:15 PM

Sen. Libermann should stay classy and endorse Linda.
On foreign policy they are twins.

RobCon on August 4, 2010 at 8:17 PM

Peter Effin Schiff you morons!!!! vote and contribute here!!!

moonbatkiller on August 4, 2010 at 8:46 PM

Could the blue state indies be getting tired of being lied to? Amazing.

Kissmygrits on August 4, 2010 at 10:15 PM

If Blumenthal loses, can McMahon hit him with a chair or something?
ted c on August 4, 2010 at 3:46 PM
.
.
Put it on PPV call it “Sissy Boy Smackdown” or “Lying Sack Smackdown” and watch the US debt disappear.

LincolntheHun on August 4, 2010 at 3:52 PM

He would just shake it off. He’s a Viet Nam vet you know.

hawkdriver on August 4, 2010 at 10:18 PM

New York and Connecticut, please die.

borntoraisehogs on August 4, 2010 at 11:22 PM

I would much, much rather have Peter Schiff. I mean he would be the biggest policy wonk in the Senate, he knows his stuff. Linda McMahon on the other hand, donated money to Rahm Emmanuel and attneded the Democratic National Convention. Is this really who we want?

Nelsen on August 4, 2010 at 11:46 PM

Peter Schiff is the guy. Look him up on YouTube. I don’t live in CT, but have worked the phonebank for his campaign as a volunteer. We are not out of this economic catastrophe by a long shot, and are going to need some strongly principled people in the Senate when the fecal matter hits the fan. Grownups, not RINO’s. Vote for Schiff Connecticut Repubs!

gajaw999 on August 5, 2010 at 4:44 AM

Borntoraisehogs, please die. What crap-arse state do YOU live in, genius?

CT is a blue state with lots of registered independents–those despicable “squishies” that the condescending know-it-alls at HA love to hate. The same know-it-alls who think Sarah Palin actually writes her own Facebook posts, will one day be POTUS, and will somehow miraculously cure everything that ails the country. What ails the entire WORLD!

Funny stuff.

Those unprincipled squishies, they don’t deserve the vote, right? Unless they vote YOUR way, of course.

I’d rather be a moderate than a narrowminded extremist who live and dies by purity tests.

In November I’ll vote for whomever the Republicans nominate in their primary. If it’s McMahon, that’s fine. The fact that she made her fortune by being an entertainer doesn’t bother me. So has the wonderful Sarah.

I couldn’t disagree more with NoDonkey’s slam of the “citizen legislature.” The reason legislatures meet sporadically is because they were originally populated by average folks who had to spend most of the year working for a living. I’d rather have “real” people like McMahon in Congress than professional politicians. They can’t possibly screw things up any more than the current batch of out-of-touch “statesmen” have.

Meredith on August 5, 2010 at 6:50 AM

I live in CT and I like Schiff as well. That said, McMahon has the deepest pockets of any candidate in a very long time; she can outspend anyone and it just keeps getting replaced by the WWE.

McMahon’s ads have been relentless in attacking Blumenthal’s honesty while showing her stand on the issues. They are very unique non-attack, attack ads.

I hope to vote in the primary next Tuesday. At this point I don’t know who I’ll be voting for…but whoever I cast my vote for it will be with great hope that this liberal wasteland may actually be able to vote in the right candidate and not the knee-jerk one.

KrisinNE on August 5, 2010 at 10:58 AM