Gallup: Democrats lose ground in state polls

posted at 10:12 am on July 26, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

Gallup’s latest analysis shows that Democrats have not just lost ground on the national level, but also within states as well.  Using a general-population sample (more on that in a moment), the survey shows that Democrats have gone from a twelve-point advantage on the eve of Barack Obama’s big win in 2008 to a mere four-point, within-the-MOE lead in party identification.  Fewer states are showing significant Democratic advantage as a result:

More states are politically competitive this year than was the case in 2009, as fewer Americans nationwide identify with the Democratic Party. Vermont — along with the District of Columbia — is the most Democratic state in the U.S. in 2010 so far, while Utah, Wyoming, and Idaho are the most Republican.

These results are based on interviews with more than 175,000 U.S. adults, conducted between January and June 2010 as part of Gallup Daily tracking. …

Nationwide, Democrats have a 4-point party identification advantage over Republicans in 2010 (44% to 40%), down from an 8-point advantage in 2009 and a 12-point advantage in 2008.

While Democrats’ party strength fell in each of the last two years, Republicans have not gained concomitantly. Instead, the percentage of Americans who do not identify with or lean toward either political party has increased.

The sample is the key.  Gallup did not ask for registered or likely voters, but instead opted for the wider but less accurate sampling technique.  We have a basis of comparison as well, the 2008 election.  Gallup showed Democrats with a 12-point advantage in the general population, but Obama only won the popular vote by seven points — and that was with the help of Republican crossovers.  The general-population sample overstates Democratic support in actual elections, even the one with massive turnout that propelled Obama into the White House.

The four-point advantage today, therefore, looks pretty thin.  Among registered voters, it’s probably dead even or perhaps a negative number.

The sample didn’t help Democrats with the states.  Two years ago, Democrats had significant advantage in 30 states.  In 2009, that number dropped to 24.  This year, it’s 14.  A few of those states went into the “leaner” category for Democrats, going from 6 to 10 and then to 9, respectively.  Overall. the number of states with Democratic advantage has dropped from 36 to 23 in just two years.  Republican states have grown from 5 to 12 in the same period, with the rest too close to call.

Gallup concludes that Republicans will have a good midterm in Congressional seats, but that’s more or less known already.  The bigger problem for Democrats will be in the state houses.  Redistricting starts next year, after the 2010 Census reports get published.  If Republicans take control of more state houses, they may drive more of the redistricting — and that has implications well beyond these midterm elections.


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How, how, how can it even be close?

We are truly in danger of losing this republic.

IronDioPriest on July 26, 2010 at 10:15 AM

Obama’s going on the View…

We’re out of money, out of power, out of jobs, Obama can’t speak about Sherrod, give press conferences or interviews with actual news organizations… but he’s goin’ on da View.

They’re running the 2008 playbook. The question is… will the people get fooled again?

Skywise on July 26, 2010 at 10:16 AM

I think the evidence is clear…and it’s scary has hell.

Racism has gone airborne.

Someone call the CDC :)

rvastar on July 26, 2010 at 10:16 AM

If Republicans take control of more state houses, they may drive more of the redistricting — and that has implications well beyond these midterm elections.

Start in John Murtha, PA and that Lee gals’ district in TX.

ted c on July 26, 2010 at 10:16 AM

Are you better off now than two years ago?

Inanemergencydial on July 26, 2010 at 10:17 AM

They’re running the 2008 playbook. The question is… will the people get fooled again?

Skywise on July 26, 2010 at 10:16 AM

No.

a capella on July 26, 2010 at 10:17 AM

Is it causation or correlation that the Solid Democratic states are also the same ones that dominate the Ten States in most Peril?

WashJeff on July 26, 2010 at 10:18 AM

Obama’s going on the View…

We’re out of money, out of power, out of jobs, Obama can’t speak about Sherrod, give press conferences or interviews with actual news organizations… but he’s goin’ on da View.

They’re running the 2008 playbook. The question is… will the people get fooled again?

Skywise on July 26, 2010 at 10:16 AM

Whoop tee doo. We are all living in a faux reality show. Nothing is real, it’s all manufactured. Go on the show, smile, dance, giggle, talk about the kids, about your accomplishments, sit on a comfy couch, get some high fives and let Joy work her magic in the green room. All in a days work

ted c on July 26, 2010 at 10:18 AM

How, how, how can it even be close?

We are truly in danger of losing this republic.

IronDioPriest on July 26, 2010 at 10:15 AM

Republicans not governing reliably with free market\limited government principles.

WashJeff on July 26, 2010 at 10:19 AM

I think the evidence is clear…and it’s scary has hell.

Racism has gone airborne.

Someone call the CDC :)

rvastar on July 26, 2010 at 10:16 AM

Heh. Aerosol is the worst kind.

a capella on July 26, 2010 at 10:19 AM

They’ll drop even more when banking fees going into effect. Just was told by Wells Fargo – they start August 1.

Grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr!

gophergirl on July 26, 2010 at 10:20 AM

Why have Repubs not gained more… 2 words — Tea Party. It’s just as easy to support candidates as it is to support the party. The poll only tells half the story.

lm10001 on July 26, 2010 at 10:20 AM

Ha, in the past 5 minutes of surfing I’ve seen it reported President Awesome is doing “The View” this week and the Financial Times says he is “going to try to improve his ratings with a tour.” Because we just never see him, you know, talking….

Marcus on July 26, 2010 at 10:21 AM

Is it causation or correlation that the Solid Democratic states are also the same ones that dominate the Ten States in most Peril?

WashJeff on July 26, 2010 at 10:18 AM

its correlated. the nature of the relationship is that since they are “solid” democratic states, then they should stay that way—hence –put them on the imperiled list–

there’s going to be some big time fireworks and popcorn popping over the next hunnert days friends…seriously

ted c on July 26, 2010 at 10:21 AM

BTW, I don’t buy Texas as a gray state, and neither do I Louisiana.

Marcus on July 26, 2010 at 10:23 AM

Not Fired Up…….

Not Ready to go………………

canopfor on July 26, 2010 at 10:24 AM

GA is competitive? We have a Republican Governor, Republican majorities in State House and State Senate, two Republican Senators, and Republican majority of representatives in the House. GA also went for Mcain by 65%. What are these people smoking?

Phil-351 on July 26, 2010 at 10:25 AM

If Republicans take control of more state houses, they may drive more of the redistricting — and that has implications well beyond these midterm elections.

…this is a big F#@king deal.

Baxter Greene on July 26, 2010 at 10:25 AM

Looking at party registration from state to state is a load of crap if they’re looking for national trends.

Louisiana, for example, has a very high Dem registration total but those Dems tend to vote “Blue Dog”, such as for Rep. Charlie Melancon, and voted for McCain over Obama.

The same can likely be said about Texas, which is also listed as “competitive” according to Gallup. I don’t think Texas has been particularly competitive in a Presidential election in probably 30 years.

teke184 on July 26, 2010 at 10:26 AM

What are these people smoking?

Phil-351 on July 26, 2010 at 10:25 AM

Oklahoma!!?? Whatever they’re smoking, it’s a bowl full.

Marcus on July 26, 2010 at 10:26 AM

What Bill Clinton failed to do…..(destroy his party)

Obama is moving right along,to finish the job!!!!!!!

canopfor on July 26, 2010 at 10:27 AM

and the Financial Times says he is “going to try to improve his ratings with a tour.” Because we just never see him, you know, talking….
Marcus on July 26, 2010 at 10:21 AM

A tour. We never see him…but we feel him. I guess he wants us to see the face of the guy doing the rammin’.

Electrongod on July 26, 2010 at 10:27 AM

If Republicans take control of more state houses, they may drive more of the redistricting — and that has implications well beyond these midterm elections.

WOO HOO!!

angryed on July 26, 2010 at 10:27 AM

How, how, how can it even be close?

The idea that you can contract the government to take money from other people and give it to you is very powerful. Many people go for that.

Bat Chain Puller on July 26, 2010 at 10:28 AM

I’m still astounded that *any* survey can yield figures that close, with Dem support indicated as high as it is.

My estimation of the intellect and critical thinking capacity of my fellow citizens diminishes by the day.

Midas on July 26, 2010 at 10:28 AM

They’re running the 2008 playbook. The question is… will the people get fooled again?

Skywise on July 26, 2010 at 10:16 AM

Idiots in 2008 are still idiots in 2010. Hopefully they won’t all vote like they did in 2008.

angryed on July 26, 2010 at 10:28 AM

I think the evidence is clear…and it’s scary has hell.

Racism has gone airborne.

Someone call the CDC :)

rvastar on July 26, 2010 at 10:16 AM

Yea…that issue just got a shot in the arm today…..

“Sherrod:”We must stop the white man and his Uncle Toms from stealing our elections.”

(Via Instapundit/Riehl World)
http://www.riehlworldview.com/carnivorous_conservative/2010/07/sherrod-we-must-stop-the-white-man-and-his-uncle-toms-.html

…I think we knew that the more the Sherrod’s talked and were exposed….the less the “victim” tag was going to be relevant.

……..Obama and the democrats want this to go away real quickly.

Baxter Greene on July 26, 2010 at 10:30 AM

Once again, I don’t know anybody that will ever take a Gallup poll seriously again after their blatant lies of a few weeks ago. Gallup lost all credibility, and rightfully so..

Internal polling here in Montana favors Republicans in a huge way. We have some counties that are going to be a hard fight for Republicans, as they lean Blue pretty heavily. Despite some hard seats to win, the mere fact that the Republican is within striking distance is these areas is very telling indeed. The media here in Montana has tried their best to kill the major stories, but independent thinkers have created alternate methods for getting the truth spread around this state. The real unemployment here is a real factor. Construction unemployment in Montana is some 25%; ouch!!!!!

Keemo on July 26, 2010 at 10:31 AM

GA is competitive? We have a Republican Governor, Republican majorities in State House and State Senate, two Republican Senators, and Republican majority of representatives in the House. GA also went for Mcain by 65%. What are these people smoking?

Phil-351 on July 26, 2010 at 10:25 AM

McCain got 52% in Georgia. It’s a lot more Dem than you think. Try finding a Republican in the city of Atlanta. They’re about as common as statues honoring General Sherman.

angryed on July 26, 2010 at 10:32 AM

I am more excited about the state houses. We have never seen a redistricting influenced by the Republicans in a majority of state houses.

Larry Sabato is on foxnews right now, only claiming 32 seats for the House and 5 to 6 Senate races. He is so out of touch.

Dick Morris is predicitong a Senate race sweep and both houses will flip.

karenhasfreedom on July 26, 2010 at 10:32 AM

What happend to TEXAS??? Is it catching Californiaitis??

OKLAHOMA was the only state in 2008 with EVERY COUNTY in the state went Republican!!?!?!

I’ve been away from Texas for four years and it goes that far left?

This bodes very badly if it’s true.

tru2tx on July 26, 2010 at 10:33 AM

BTW, I don’t buy Texas as a gray state, and neither do I Louisiana.

Marcus on July 26, 2010 at 10:23 AM

I’m with you there, and with the Oklahoma comment. No way these states are “competitive”

Maybe Gallup hired Fezzik: “That word competitive.. I don’t think it means what you think it means…”

BobOfTexas on July 26, 2010 at 10:33 AM

Idiots in 2008 are still idiots in 2010. Hopefully they won’t all vote like they did in 2008.

angryed on July 26, 2010 at 10:28 AM

Agreed with one comment… Idiots such as two of my brothers in Ca. are now pissed off idiots because their financial worlds are upside down with no Republican to blame.

Keemo on July 26, 2010 at 10:35 AM

BTW, I don’t buy Texas as a gray state, and neither do I Louisiana.

Marcus on July 26, 2010 at 10:23 AM

I’m with you there, and with the Oklahoma comment. No way these states are “competitive”

Maybe Gallup hired Fezzik: “That word competitive.. I don’t think it means what you think it means…”

BobOfTexas on July 26, 2010 at 10:33 AM

You guys realize that Texas is about 40% Hispanic right? And Hispanics vote about 65/70 Dem. Do the math.

angryed on July 26, 2010 at 10:35 AM

My estimation of the intellect and critical thinking capacity of my fellow citizens diminishes by the day.

Midas on July 26, 2010 at 10:28 AM

“No one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American public.” — Henry Mencken

MassVictim on July 26, 2010 at 10:35 AM

Red states and blue states (Map)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_states_and_blue_states

I lookled on Gallop,for the Map of 2008,me can’t find,
I have no doubt,that its on their site!!

canopfor on July 26, 2010 at 10:38 AM

Redistricting starts next year, after the 2010 Census reports get published. If Republicans take control of more state houses, they may drive more of the redistricting — and that has implications well beyond these midterm elections.

If asked where the Tea Party can make a difference, it is in the State Houses with redistricting.

Get involved with your LOCAL GOP.

barnone on July 26, 2010 at 10:39 AM

Mark Wagoner, a Republican state senator whose district covers half of Lucas County, says that Obama has been too aggressive for many voters in northwest Ohio. “It wasn’t that the voters bought into Obama’s vision,” he explains over chili dogs at Tony Packo’s in Toledo. “They were just sick of Republicans. I went door-to-door [in 2008] and had a number of people tell me they would not vote for a single Republican.” Now, he says, many of the same voters have “buyer’s remorse.” “They tell me: ‘This isn’t the change I voted for.’ ”

It’s not just Lucas County. In Cuyahoga County, which surrounds Cleveland, 12,756 voters switched from Democrat to Republican and just 1,796 went from Republican to Democrat. In Franklin County (Columbus), Republicans added 7,622 from Democrats and lost just 917. In Hamilton County (Cincinnati), 5,713 switched from Democrat to Republican and just 411 from Republican to Democrat.

Kevin DeWine, chairman of the Ohio Republican party, believes that Republicans have picked up 100,000 crossover voters statewide this year, with 1.8 million primary votes cast. Contrast that to 2008, when Democrats picked up 96,000 crossovers with 3.6 million votes cast. (Some of those crossovers can be explained by Rush Limbaugh’s encouraging Republicans to switch parties in 2008 to vote for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic presidential primary and so prolong her battle with Obama. They likely would’ve switched back this year. But as was the case in Lucas County, unaffiliated and issue-only voters are also trending strongly Republican.)

Geraghty link at NRO.

Buyer’s remorse setting in.

Wethal on July 26, 2010 at 10:39 AM

We’re out of money, out of power, out of jobs, Obama can’t speak about Sherrod, give press conferences or interviews with actual news organizations… but he’s goin’ on da View.

They’re running the 2008 playbook. The question is… will the people get fooled again?

Skywise on July 26, 2010 at 10:16 AM

Giving press conferences would fall under the premise of transparency Skywise, that little pesky promise Obama made, but now knows he can’t face a hostile media—even his left-wing facilitators in the liberal media.

Until technology catches up and Obama can attend a press conference where his teleprompter answers the questions, Obama’s handlers won’t let him stammer thru a press conference where he would be further exposed in this leaderless administration.

Rovin on July 26, 2010 at 10:41 AM

Count it!

/crr6

Good Lt on July 26, 2010 at 10:41 AM

You guys realize that Texas is about 40% Hispanic right? And Hispanics vote about 65/70 Dem. Do the math.

angryed on July 26, 2010 at 10:35 AM

Oklahoma dang sure isn’t highly Hispanic, and from what I’ve seen of the Hispanic population here, they lean pretty conservative.

Something is off on this poll.

tru2tx on July 26, 2010 at 10:41 AM

Oopsaroo,thats looked,not lookled,and gallup,not gallop!

canopfor on July 26, 2010 at 10:42 AM

They’ll drop even more when banking fees going into effect. Just was told by Wells Fargo – they start August 1.

Grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr!

gophergirl on July 26, 2010 at 10:20 AM

Join a credit union and move your checking there.

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 10:43 AM

How do the Democrats get their base excited to vote on an off Presidential election year with unemployment hovering at 10%?

Obama was a Cult of Personality so someone in say California is going to vote during a mid term because they voted for Obama in 2008- for who Barbara Boxer? These people were polled after they voted for Obama some of htem didn’t know who Joe Biden was and he was on the ticket with Obama. 2008 was the American Idol Presidential election….someone show me Obama’s coat tails, who has he campaigned for that won? New Jersey Corzine? Mass, Coakley? Virginia – McDonnell (R) won Virginia.

The Democrats are going to try and scare the base to the polls – Good luck with that Democrats.

Two More years of the Reid and Pelosi leadership is plenty scary enough -informed voters know who they are voting for and against, they turn out in mid terms.

Dr Evil on July 26, 2010 at 10:43 AM

It’s not enough to gain back the House and Senate – the democrat party must be destroyed, from 0bama on down to the local dog catcher.

Every single democrat office holder, no matter how modest, must be thrown out on their ear, to pay for what their party has done to America.

That’s our responsibility.

Rebar on July 26, 2010 at 10:43 AM

Oklahoma dang sure isn’t highly Hispanic, and from what I’ve seen of the Hispanic population here, they lean pretty conservative.

Something is off on this poll.

tru2tx on July 26, 2010 at 10:41 AM

Places like TX, OK, CO, NM get becoming more liberal. It’s not that the people from there are suddenly converting. It’s because people from the northeast and California are moving there and voting for the same liberal policies that they moved away from. They truly are insane.

angryed on July 26, 2010 at 10:46 AM

Dick Morris is predicitong a Senate race sweep and both houses will flip.

karenhasfreedom on July 26, 2010 at 10:32 AM

That actually scares me a bit, as Dick’s not the most accurate predictor out there.

I think the Republicans will get close to taking back the Senate but pulling it off means a total sweep of every open or Dem seat seen as majorly vulnerable, such as Harry Reid’s seat in Nevada and the open Republican seats in Ohio et all, in addition to probably grabbing seats from Boxer, Feingold, and/or Patty Murray.

It can be done, but the margin of error is not large. One or two missteps ensure a very large minority instead of a small majority.

teke184 on July 26, 2010 at 10:47 AM

BTW, I don’t buy Texas as a gray state, and neither do I Louisiana.

Marcus on July 26, 2010 at 10:23 AM
I’m with you there, and with the Oklahoma comment. No way these states are “competitive”

Maybe Gallup hired Fezzik: “That word competitive.. I don’t think it means what you think it means…”

BobOfTexas on July 26, 2010 at 10:33 AM
You guys realize that Texas is about 40% Hispanic right? And Hispanics vote about 65/70 Dem. Do the math.

angryed on July 26, 2010 at 10:35 AM

The Democrat running against Perry for governor in Texas is running within 8 percent of Perry in the latest polls. The largest cities all went Democrat in 2008 (Dallas, Houston, El Paso, San Antonio, Austin). And there are more and more legal immigrants moving to Texas from Blue states, like me. A Democrat advantage of -3 probably overstates the Democrat’s case at bit, but something around a -5 or -6 makes sense to me, if you’re talking about the general population and not registered or likely voters.

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 10:49 AM

……..Obama and the democrats want this to go away real quickly.

Baxter Greene on July 26, 2010 at 10:30 AM

Baxter Greene: On video!!!

WOW:)

canopfor on July 26, 2010 at 10:50 AM

How can Montana be at -12 when both its senators are Dems? And 1 of the senators, Baucus, is the author of ObamaCare.

Either people are lying to Gallup, Gallup is lying about the answers, or people in the state don’t understand how to vote and are pulling the D lever when they mean to pull the R lever.

angryed on July 26, 2010 at 10:50 AM

Is Ohio really that stupid that it still leans Democrat? Come on Ohio, while I may live in Missouri now Ohio will always be my home state and I’m very disappointed in the people of Ohio right now if this is true.

MobileVideoEngineer on July 26, 2010 at 10:50 AM

“No one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American public.”

Why is it stupid to vote for “free” money, “free” healthcare, “free” housing, “free” food, etc.?

I don’t think stupidity is the reason for support of the Left.

Bat Chain Puller on July 26, 2010 at 10:52 AM

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 10:49 AM

Yep.

Except I want to know why you and your fellow liberal transplants are voting for the same people that destroyed your home state. You move from NY or MA or IL because of the high taxes and poor business climate high crime, etc to Texas where there is low tax, low crime etc. And yet the second you get there you vote for people who want to tax you more, impede businesses from growing, take away your right to own a gun and create an environment where crime is rampant.

Don’t you get why you moved to TX in the first place?

angryed on July 26, 2010 at 10:53 AM

And there are more and more legal immigrants moving to Texas from Blue states, like me.

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 10:49 AM

The red state republican organizations really need to make an effort to contact these people, and convince them not to ruin their states, like they ruined where they came from.

Rebar on July 26, 2010 at 10:54 AM

California Governor’s race:

Whitman 43.8 Brown 43.5 (RCP)
This is in a state that has a 20% advantage of registered Democrats over Republicans. It is also a state where unemployment is running around 12%, quite telling that even Democrats are disgusted with the current liberal policies, AND GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES that are breaking the backs of the middle class taxpayer.

Rovin on July 26, 2010 at 10:55 AM

Something is off on this poll.

tru2tx on July 26, 2010 at 10:41 AM

A lot is off with this poll!!
Don’t worry about TX too much.
Only the big cities (Dallas, Austin and Houston) and the Valley have lots of Democrats while the rest of the state is solid Republican.
TX did go for McCain/Palin after all.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 10:55 AM

Except I want to know why you and your fellow liberal transplants are voting for the same people that destroyed your home state. You move from NY or MA or IL because of the high taxes and poor business climate high crime, etc to Texas where there is low tax, low crime etc. And yet the second you get there you vote for people who want to tax you more, impede businesses from growing, take away your right to own a gun and create an environment where crime is rampant.

Don’t you get why you moved to TX in the first place?

angryed on July 26, 2010 at 10:53 AM

I’m not big on tax increases, so I’m not voting for people that want to increase taxes or screw up the business climate. And I don’t think the Democrat running for governor will do that. But I do want someone who is more moderate on social issues.

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 10:57 AM

Join a credit union and move your checking there.
Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 10:43 AM

Yes, because the looters will never target the credit unions as they have the banks.

Gopher Girl, bury your money in the basement.

Bishop on July 26, 2010 at 10:57 AM

How, how, how can it even be close?

Thank you RINOs

skanter on July 26, 2010 at 10:58 AM

Why is it stupid to vote for “free” money, “free” healthcare, “free” housing, “free” food, etc.?

I don’t think stupidity is the reason for support of the Left.

Bat Chain Puller on July 26, 2010 at 10:52 AM

It’s stupid unless you mean to be on the receiving end of the gub’mint goodies forever….in which case you are stupid, greedy and lazy.
If you plan to work hard, make money and have a nice life, you should eventually realize that a good deal of the money you work so hard to make is being taken from you to support folks who do nothing.
Nor are the freebies provided for in the Constitution as part of the social contract we, the people have with our government.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:00 AM

Baxter Greene: On video!!!

WOW:)

canopfor on July 26, 2010 at 10:50 AM

ROTFLMAO … that’s really cruel.

gh on July 26, 2010 at 11:00 AM

This is in a state that has a 20% advantage of registered Democrats over Republicans. It is also a state where unemployment is running around 12%, quite telling that even Democrats are disgusted with the current liberal policies, AND GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES that are breaking the backs of the middle class taxpayer.

Rovin on July 26, 2010 at 10:55 AM

If I were a state-level politician in Cali, I’d be getting ready to take cover after what happened in Bell, CA, over the past week.

The people of Bell are impoverished and overly Hispanic, which means they aren’t likely to be fiscal conservatives like Orange County. Them getting pissed off enough to chase out the city planner, assistant city planner, and chief of police with plans to do the same to the mayor and numerous city council members who voted in such high salaries for everyone should scare the living $hit out of politicians there.

teke184 on July 26, 2010 at 11:00 AM

But I do want someone who is more moderate on social issues.

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 10:57 AM

What are you babbling about now?!?

Neither Rick Perry or Bill White is running on “social issues.”
Bill White has, however, made Houston into a sanctuary city and he invited all of New Orleans’ murderers, criminals and welfare recipients to come live in Houston after Katrina.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:02 AM

Neither Rick Perry or Bill White is running on “social issues.”
Bill White has, however, made Houston into a sanctuary city and he invited all of New Orleans’ murderers, criminals and welfare recipients to come live in Houston after Katrina.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:02 AM

Doesn’t matter that they’re not

running

on ‘social issues’. What matters is what they’ll do when they get them as governor.

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 11:04 AM

What happend to TEXAS??? Is it catching Californiaitis??

OKLAHOMA was the only state in 2008 with EVERY COUNTY in the state went Republican!!?!?!

I’ve been away from Texas for four years and it goes that far left?

This bodes very badly if it’s true.

tru2tx on July 26, 2010 at 10:33 AM

It’s completely not true, lol. This poll doesn’t call into question the reality in Texas/Okla/etc – it calls into question the reality of the poll itself. ;)

Midas on July 26, 2010 at 11:06 AM

Baxter Greene: On video!!!

WOW:)

canopfor on July 26, 2010 at 10:50 AM
=================
ROTFLMAO … that’s really cruel.

gh on July 26, 2010 at 11:00 AM

gh: Ahem,tee-hee!:)

canopfor on July 26, 2010 at 11:07 AM

I’m not big on tax increases, so I’m not voting for people that want to increase taxes or screw up the business climate. And I don’t think the Democrat running for governor will do that. But I do want someone who is more moderate on social issues.

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 10:57 AM

Democrats are “moderate” on social issues.
This translates into “increased taxes and a screwed up business climate” to pay for their many “compassionate” programs.
See NY, MI and CA for further proof.
BTW, how much did the city of Dallas pay for that new homeless shelter?
And how much did the Dallas Independent School District “lose track of?”
I believe it was $60 MILLION of our property tax dollars.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:07 AM

GA is competitive? We have a Republican Governor, Republican majorities in State House and State Senate, two Republican Senators, and Republican majority of representatives in the House. GA also went for Mcain by 65%. What are these people smoking?

Phil-351 on July 26, 2010 at 10:25 AM

SC, OK, TX…. yeah, kinda tells you how much BS Gallup is trying to shovel. The only “grey” on that map should be the light blue.

CC

CapedConservative on July 26, 2010 at 11:08 AM

Nice reference to Harrison Ford’s first movie appearance.

oddjob1138 on July 26, 2010 at 11:09 AM

Doesn’t matter that they’re not running
on ’social issues’. What matters is what they’ll do when they get them as governor.

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 11:04 AM

In the case of Bill White, the DemocRat running for Governor, it’s pretty obvious what he’ll do as Governor.
You have only to look at what happened to Houston after Katrina…I’ve heard plenty of stories and none of them are very nice.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:09 AM

But I do want someone who is more moderate on social issues.

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 10:57 AM

I am just looking for a Governor that does not end up being indicted for conduct while in office. That would be a milestone in IL.

WashJeff on July 26, 2010 at 11:13 AM

And I don’t think the Democrat running for governor will do that.

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 10:57 AM

You “don’t think” a democrat will wreck one of the few economies left working in America?

Where have you been since January 20, 2009?

This is exactly why the republican party needs to educate these transplants, if you want your “social issues” addressed move the hell back where you came from.

Rebar on July 26, 2010 at 11:13 AM

Baxter Greene on July 26, 2010 at 10:30 AM

Hey BG, did you catch this one in Riehl’s article?

The Sherrods also have a daughter, one with a rather interesting name. Pretty cool naming your kid after the Berlin Wall coming down, right? Well, not quite, unfortunately.

Son Kenyatta and daughter Russia defended their mother from charges of racism which led to her resignation from the U.S. Department of Agriculture position as director of its Rural Development program in Georgia on Tuesday.

To which a commenter said:

“So, Unlike Sarah Palin, Shirley Sherrod really CAN see Russia from her Living Room!”

Rovin on July 26, 2010 at 11:13 AM

The largest cities all went Democrat in 2008 (Dallas, Houston, El Paso, San Antonio, Austin).

Himbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 10:49 AM

Wrong.
Only Dallas, Houston and Austin went Democrat in ’08.
You obviously have never even looked at the map or given your level of intelligence, can’t make out red from blue.
Poor Himbo–TX IQ levels went down 75 points when you moved to our state.
Thanks a lot.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:13 AM

Jay Cost did, as usual, an outstanding article last week on the state races.

That is the real shift happening. It’s down in the government bowels, so to speak.

AnninCA on July 26, 2010 at 11:13 AM

BTW, everyone seems to love the gov. of NJ.

Good role model, obviously. He does have a nice way of delivering obviously bad news.

AnninCA on July 26, 2010 at 11:14 AM

I am just looking for a Governor that does not end up being indicted for conduct while in office. That would be a milestone in IL.

WashJeff on July 26, 2010 at 11:13 AM

True, unfortunately.

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 11:16 AM

SC, OK, TX…. yeah, kinda tells you how much BS Gallup is trying to shovel. The only “grey” on that map should be the light blue.

CC

CapedConservative on July 26, 2010 at 11:08 AM

The DemocRats are playing poker with the electorate (because God knows they can’t run on their record!) at this point and using organs like Gallup to help them.
This “survey” is clearly a total bluff.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:16 AM

Democrats at -12 in Montana is close to our internal polling. We have Republicans at +13…

Keemo on July 26, 2010 at 11:17 AM

They’re running the 2008 playbook. The question is… will the people get fooled again?

Skywise on July 26, 2010 at 10:16 AM

Past performance is the best predictor of future behavior…

Bruno Strozek on July 26, 2010 at 11:18 AM

Poor Himbo–TX IQ levels went down 75 points when you moved to our state.
Thanks a lot.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:13 AM

I’m closing on a house in the mid-cities, I’ll do my best to bump up that IQ level a few points.

Rebar on July 26, 2010 at 11:19 AM

I’m closing on a house in the mid-cities, I’ll do my best to bump up that IQ level a few points.

Rebar on July 26, 2010 at 11:19 AM

Bless your heart and Welcome!
Hope it’s the house of your dreams.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:20 AM

Wrong.

Only Dallas, Houston and Austin went Democrat in ‘08.
You obviously have never even looked at the map or given your level of intelligence, can’t make out red from blue.
Poor Himbo–TX IQ levels went down 75 points when you moved to our state.
Thanks a lot.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:13 AM

El Paso County: Obama; 121,589; McCain: 61,598; Other: 1,149

Bexar County (where San Antonio is located): Obama: 275,023; McCain: 245,932 Other: 3,598

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 11:22 AM

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:20 AM

If we somehow elect Crist and Grayson wins re-election, I may come there. I have guns, so I’ll be admitted, right?

Lanceman on July 26, 2010 at 11:24 AM

It’s stupid unless you mean to be on the receiving end of the gub’mint goodies forever….in which case you are stupid, greedy and lazy.

It’s stupid unless… it’s stupid? Okay.

Government has for years promoted the idea that a need is a claim– that you have a right to things that you need, and Government is the provider. Ergo, you are not greedy or lazy to expect things you have a right to.

So these people are in good conscience voting for what they think is theirs. It’s venal, selfish and short-sighted, but does not indicate stupidity.

Bat Chain Puller on July 26, 2010 at 11:26 AM

The only “social” issue I’m worried about is unemployment. Republicans need to get out there and remind the public that Congress (and the purse strings) have been Democrat since 2007. Our ruined economy came into play AFTER the Democratic Congress began its spending orgy. Bush signed off on it to get the wars funded. We keep letting the Democrats rewrite history and then wonder why the public is ignorant.

texabama on July 26, 2010 at 11:29 AM

Bottom line:

How many elections do you think you’ll win by saying out loud “Democrats are stupid?”

Bat Chain Puller on July 26, 2010 at 11:30 AM

How many elections do you think you’ll win by saying out loud “Democrats are stupid?”

Bat Chain Puller on July 26, 2010 at 11:30 AM

More than a few, but we’ll win more by pointing out that DemocRats are evil, greedy, power-mongers.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:33 AM

If Republicans take control of more state houses, they may drive more of the redistricting — and that has implications well beyond these midterm elections.

and thus the problem with our entire republic. there should be no safe seats. no gerrymandered seats. do you really thing Obamacare would have passed if Pelosi was not in a safe seat? Or finical regulation if Barney frank were not in a safe seat.

Do you think the Black cacus would be so racist if not for gerrymandering that allows them to kowtow to and only too the black population?

Gerrymandering and slicing up districts are anti-republic and anti-democratic.

unseen on July 26, 2010 at 11:34 AM

If Republicans take control of more state houses, they may drive more of the redistricting — and that has implications well beyond these midterm elections.

I hope California Republicans can capture the California legislature…

Conservative Samizdat on July 26, 2010 at 11:35 AM

Government has for years promoted the idea that a need is a claim– that you have a right to things that you need, and Government is the provider.

Not the American government!
And if anyone in it has, it needs to stop…like yesterday.

So these people are in good conscience voting for what they think is theirs. It’s venal, selfish and short-sighted, but does not indicate stupidity.

Bat Chain Puller on July 26, 2010 at 11:26 AM

They know it isn’t “theirs.”
Stupidity, particularly when one is capable of better, is as much a sin for a citizen to commit as greed and sloth.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:36 AM

If we somehow elect Crist and Grayson wins re-election, I may come there. I have guns, so I’ll be admitted, right?

Lanceman on July 26, 2010 at 11:24 AM

Oh, yeah!
Thanks to Governor GWB, we have Concealed Carry!

Come on over!

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:37 AM

Government has for years promoted the idea that a need is a claim– that you have a right to things that you need, and Government is the provider.
Not the American government!

Good grief, what planet have you been living on?

Bat Chain Puller on July 26, 2010 at 11:38 AM

Ergo, you are not greedy or lazy to expect things you have a right to.

Bat Chain Puller on July 26, 2010 at 11:26 AM

There is no right to government freebies in the Bill of Rights or the Constitution.

People that vote for those who promise them free stuff, paid for by the rest of us who are productive taxpayers, are nothing but LOOTERS.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:39 AM

Thanks to Governor GWB, we have Concealed Carry!

Come on over!

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:37 AM

Floriduh was the first to have ‘shall issue’.

Lanceman on July 26, 2010 at 11:40 AM

Good grief, what planet have you been living on?

Bat Chain Puller on July 26, 2010 at 11:38 AM

I was going to ask you the same question, but you clearly live on the Communist planet.

Jenfidel on July 26, 2010 at 11:40 AM

I’m not big on tax increases, so I’m not voting for people that want to increase taxes or screw up the business climate. And I don’t think the Democrat running for governor will do that. But I do want someone who is more moderate on social issues.

Jimbo3 on July 26, 2010 at 10:57 AM

Well you can’t really have one or the other. If you vote for a liberal that wants abortion on demand and no more guns (and good luck getting that in Texas BTW), you’re also going to get a tax/spend liberal on fiscal issues.

angryed on July 26, 2010 at 11:48 AM

Someone here seems to think that our government does not promote the idea that we have a right to things we need.

I say that it has, and does– especially on the D side but on our side as well.

I’ll leave the verdict up to the Hot Air community audience at large.

Bat Chain Puller on July 26, 2010 at 11:52 AM

McCain got 52% in Georgia. It’s a lot more Dem than you think. Try finding a Republican in the city of Atlanta. They’re about as common as statues honoring General Sherman.

angryed on July 26, 2010 at 10:32 AM

The State of Georgia is much more than an island of Atlanta. Much of the state has gone Republican, and even some of the Metro counties surrounding the ‘doughnut city’ has long since left the Democrat plantation. How else do you explain the overwhelming representation?

Phil-351 on July 26, 2010 at 11:52 AM

If the idiots in my state, Michigan, vote in the Democrats again, I’m seriously considering packing up and moving. What a bunch of morons.

SueM on July 26, 2010 at 11:53 AM

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