Field poll shows Boxer in trouble in CA

posted at 12:15 pm on July 8, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

Has California’s Sweetheart, Senator Ma’am, suddenly fallen out of favor on the Left Coast?  A new Field Poll suggests that the upcoming Senate election has California voters reassessing their incumbent — and that doesn’t bode well at all for Barbara Boxer.  Even before the campaign gets into high gear, Boxer finds herself underwater in both job approval and favorability:

California voters are giving U.S. Sen. Barbara Boxer some of the lowest approval ratings of her career, as the three-term Democrat is in a statistical dead heat against first-time GOP office-seeker Carly Fiorina, according to a new Field Poll released today.

Boxer leads Fiorina, the former Hewlett-Packard CEO, 47 to 44 percent, according to Field’s survey of 1,390 registered voters, 1,005 of whom were considered likely to vote in November. The poll, conducted June 22-July 5, has a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points among likely voters. For Boxer’s job performance ratings among registered voters, the margin of error is 2.8 percentage points.

Boxer’s slight numerical lead masks potentially serious problems for the senator, starting with how 52 percent of the respondents hold an unfavorable view of her.

That will become a problem, as this chart shows that very few voters have no opinion of Boxer — and therefore she has little opportunity to make up that ground.  For Fiorina, she has plenty of room to make a case for herself as a better choice:

This also shows some risk for Fiorina, and a need to start flooding the zone immediately.  The Republican nominee needs to define herself before Boxer can do it for her.  Fiorina has already shown progress in converting the “no opinion” contingent, but having a majority of voters undecided leaves a big opening for one’s opponent.  Boxer can win if she can make Fiorina look like a worse choice than herself in what can be called the Reid strategy this year.

However, like Harry Reid, that appears to be the only path to victory for Boxer.  Her negatives have increased rapidly over the past year, in both how voters see her personally and how they view her performance.  This will also impact turnout, although having a gubernatorial race on the ticket could help Boxer in that regard — had Democrats nominated a compelling candidate for that office.  Instead, they’re offering a 1970s Leftist retread in Jerry Brown, which will turn out the vote in San Francisco and probably nowhere else in the state.

Fiorina still won’t have an easy time winning in a heavily Democratic state.  But her money and Meg Whitman’s will almost certainly help get a maximum turnout among Republicans while Democrats glumly watch a tsunami roll towards them from the Eastern seaboard on Election Day.


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YES YES YES YES YES YES YES!!!!!

I’m here in CA and I can’t wait for Babs to get the boot.

sdillard on July 8, 2010 at 12:17 PM

The Dems’ viscera will be on their loafers before they know what hit them election day. It’s going to be the best week of TV since 1994.

Akzed on July 8, 2010 at 12:19 PM

Fiorina needs to put the boot on Babs’ neck and so does Angle on Reid’s neck….

I fear Reid is going to pull it out at the end, unless the voters in NV wake up soon

cmsinaz on July 8, 2010 at 12:20 PM

Can’t wait for Boxer’s Ellsworth-like ad touting her fiscal stewardship and how she is fighting the awesome forces of “they”.

WashJeff on July 8, 2010 at 12:20 PM

Woot woot!

Can’t wait to say adios to the Ma’am.

LASue on July 8, 2010 at 12:20 PM

All that is needed here is for Boxer to pull one more gaffe, just one, to seal her political fate.

Maybe she should viciously insist on being called SENATOR again, this time when she is addressed as “Ma’am” by a grade schooler.

That’ll do it.

pilamaye on July 8, 2010 at 12:20 PM

If Fiorina won I would consider a move back- what the hell nothing can save that state, good luck Carly, you’re gonna need it!

abobo on July 8, 2010 at 12:20 PM

The Republican nominee needs to define herself before Boxer can do it for her.

are you seeing any TV ads in california?

cmsinaz on July 8, 2010 at 12:21 PM

Even Markos says it is a coin toss.

And we all know how Kos loves polls.

Mr. Joe on July 8, 2010 at 12:21 PM

Ma’am, your fired….slam, bam, thank you ma’am…

right2bright on July 8, 2010 at 12:21 PM

More good news: Ras this morning has Rubio ahead again in FL.

Jon0815 on July 8, 2010 at 12:23 PM

Boxer can win if she can make Fiorina look like a worse choice than herself in what can be called the Reid strategy this year.

Not sucking as much as the other guy is no way to be a good leader. Doesn’t Babs have anything constructive to offer?

rbj on July 8, 2010 at 12:24 PM

I fear Reid is going to pull it out at the end, unless the voters in NV wake up soon

cmsinaz on July 8, 2010 at 12:20 PM

We are awake. Don’t worry, harry red will be done in 2010.

VegasRick on July 8, 2010 at 12:24 PM

Unemployed Ma’am.

Denverslim on July 8, 2010 at 12:25 PM

After the election, we can call Boxer “Ma’am” instead of “Senator”.

:)

poxoma on July 8, 2010 at 12:25 PM

Lt’s not starting sucking each other’s dicks quite yet.

Boxer is mean bitch that will use nay tactic to keep her power and screwing the American people.

jukin on July 8, 2010 at 12:25 PM

I hope Senator Helmet has lots of free time to write her crappy books very soon.

Monica on July 8, 2010 at 12:26 PM

Question to Californians: is Fiorini incorporating into an ad the exchange that Boxer had with the head of the Black Chamber of Commerce? Maybe it may not play well in La-La Land, but the guy was a vet and a small businessman and he fricking tore her a new a**hole for being so stupidly condescending to him.

I’d be running an ad with that clip from now until election day.

BuckeyeSam on July 8, 2010 at 12:26 PM

Senator ma’am, it’s time for you to go the way of the other political Dodo’s.

Guardian on July 8, 2010 at 12:27 PM

Yeah, Democrats who say “Meh, I don’t really like her, but I guess I’ll vote for her” aren’t actually going to go vote.

forest on July 8, 2010 at 12:27 PM

The fact that she isn’t 20 points behind speaks volumes about that poor, sick pathetic state.

rplat on July 8, 2010 at 12:27 PM

I’m not excited about Carly, but I’ll vote for her over Babs any day of the week.

Bob's Kid on July 8, 2010 at 12:28 PM

We are awake. Don’t worry, harry red will be done in 2010.

VegasRick on July 8, 2010 at 12:24 PM

good to know!

cmsinaz on July 8, 2010 at 12:28 PM

Interesting that the most precipitous declines for Ma’am come on the heels of Obama’s attendance at her fundraisers. One was in April and the other was last month when he rudely skipped the memorial service for the casualties of the BP explosion to raise cash for her in SF at the lavish Getty bash.

I don’t know who the anti-Obama is yet, but at least in terms of endorsements, POTUS seems to be the anti-Palin. His is the Kiss of Death for candidates.

leilani on July 8, 2010 at 12:29 PM

There was VE and VJ Day…..but I wonder what it will be when all these loons are voted out of office? FUADLTDHYONWO Day?

Hening on July 8, 2010 at 12:34 PM

Her hair. Her creases. Her ma’am-ness. Fap fap fap. – David Brooks.

lorien1973 on July 8, 2010 at 12:34 PM

“I don’t know who the anti-Obama is yet, but at least in terms of endorsements, POTUS seems to be the anti-Palin. His is the Kiss of Death for candidates.

leilani on July 8, 2010 at 12:29 PM”

———–

Guess the Dems haven’t quite figured it out yet. Obama destroys everything he comes near. Just ask the first TOTUS.

He’s like anti-matter or something.

cane_loader on July 8, 2010 at 12:34 PM

Not sucking as much as the other guy is no way to be a good leader. Doesn’t Babs have anything constructive to offer?

rbj on July 8, 2010 at 12:24 PM

No.

cthulhu on July 8, 2010 at 12:34 PM

After the election, we can call Boxer “Ma’am” instead of “Senator”.

:)

poxoma on July 8, 2010 at 12:25 PM

I like Ed’s take on her best…Asshat

SHARPTOOTH on July 8, 2010 at 12:34 PM

I’m not excited about Carly, but I’ll vote for her over Babs any day of the week.

Bob’s Kid on July 8, 2010 at 12:28 PM

…and crawl over broken glass to do it.

cthulhu on July 8, 2010 at 12:36 PM

good to know!

cmsinaz on July 8, 2010 at 12:28 PM

And obambi’s here this week to endorse red, that will seal his fate.

VegasRick on July 8, 2010 at 12:36 PM

“oh I’d vote for Carly I guess over her….”

Are you people crazy!? Do you remember how absolutely toxic this woman is? Good Lord. She is to the left of the Idiot in Chief.

Marcus on July 8, 2010 at 12:36 PM

VegasRick on July 8, 2010 at 12:36 PM

ahhhhh yes…the vegas basher…

cmsinaz on July 8, 2010 at 12:38 PM

Has anyone ever stopped to think about why no one – I mean NO ONE from 0bama’s past has come forward? Not one girlfriend, not one drinking buddy?

Anti-matter.

They’ve all been rendered null and sucked into some parallel universe where they’re all hollering at us “beware,” but we can’t hear them.

cane_loader on July 8, 2010 at 12:39 PM

This race is winnable, but by no means won, for Fiorina. Voter registration in CA is 45% Democrat and 31% Republican, so that Fiorina will need to highlight Boxer’s negatives to depress Democrat turnout and win Indies to her side, while turning out the Republican base. Fiorina needs to portray Boxer as too-far left, out of touch with the mainstream–those 52% who now rate Boxer unfavorably.

Most Californians know that the state has spent too much and is going broke, so that Fiorina will have to push fiscal responsibility, but avoid getting caught in debates about Federal stimulus money bailing out the State–she can say that if Californians want to save the State budget, they should vote for Meg Whitman.

Energy and agriculture could be big issues in CA. So-called “green” environmental policies, supported by Boxer, led to cutting off the water supply to the fertile central valley, and Fiorina can oppose such policies. Also, California cities depend heavily on electric power generated in other states, and Fiorina should come out in favor of streamlined permitting for gas-fired power plants, and relaxation of permit restriction on nuclear power plants, so that California can generate its own electricity.

Steve Z on July 8, 2010 at 12:42 PM

Great news,go ahead boxer,keep focusing on job creation:):)

ohiobabe on July 8, 2010 at 12:44 PM

It would be painful to express my utter disgust for Bonehead Boxer in print, so let me just leave it like this. Filthy cow.

Jaibones on July 8, 2010 at 12:45 PM

mmmm…mmmm…mmmm!!!
Scooter needs to make more frequent visits and more speeches in support of Babs – that should help sway those undecided voters…..meanwhile Carly should be running those clips of Babs demanding to be referred to as Maam nonstop until November 2!

huskerdiva on July 8, 2010 at 12:45 PM

YES YES YES YES YES YES YES!!!!!

I’m here in CA and I can’t wait for Babs to get the boot.

sdillard on July 8, 2010 at 12:17 PM

..then don’t wait; volunteer to work for Fiorina and contribute to her campaign; I will be doing so.

The War Planner on July 8, 2010 at 12:46 PM

This ideologue from the culture of “Self Destruction” needs to go the same way as the dinosaur, along with the rest of her progressive-elitist friends….

DL13 on July 8, 2010 at 12:47 PM

And obambi’s here this week to endorse Reid, that will seal his fate.

VegasRick on July 8, 2010 at 12:36 PM

Or is he there to golf?

WashJeff on July 8, 2010 at 12:48 PM

Isn’t Pinnochio goin to Vegas for like four days? Maybe to spread some Obama cash from the Obama stash around to his UFCW and SEIU buddies? God I HATE Unions! I’ll buy Chinese, Japanese, Korean or most anything else but UNION if I can help it!

Those countries own us anyway they might as well pay the Union pension funds for us.

dhunter on July 8, 2010 at 12:50 PM

Maybe the President can come and campaign for her? He needs to remember to call her Senator Boxer, she hates it if you call her Ma’am :)

I would play that clip in an endless cycle – When did the Democrats stop pretending to represent the common man?

Dr Evil on July 8, 2010 at 12:53 PM

Or is he there to golf?

WashJeff on July 8, 2010 at 12:48 PM

Of course!

*rimshot

VegasRick on July 8, 2010 at 12:54 PM

You know what creates lots of jobs?

A huge energy tax.

jukin on July 8, 2010 at 12:55 PM

I hope Senator Helmet has lots of free time to write her crappy books very soon.

That’s incorrect. When she says,”I’m working on a book,” she means she’s trying to read one.

Cicero43 on July 8, 2010 at 12:57 PM

Fiorina’s crap, too, from what I’ve heard. A win by her would most probably not be doing the GOP any favors, big or small. She was a failure in business, and sounds like a big RINO. She just might be no better than Schwarzenegger. Boxer’s a worthless, sweaty turd and a big POS, too, but with a Fiorina win, once she starts messing up, then we get dragged back to that liberal manufactured “culture of corruption”, which even has it’s own Wikipedia entry, and, of course, completely ignores all the widespread wrongdoing by the democrats. The failure to support Fiorina’s opponent in the primaries was a big mistake, just like when Newt Gingrich made an ass out of himself supporting the RINO Dede Scozzafava, proud recipient of the White Supremacist of the Year award (the Margaret Sanger award), along with other liberal luminaries, like that great egalitarian Hillary Clinton. Fiorina looks like trouble, and like yet another person that’s out to hurt the GOP. Liberals are claiming Alvin Greene is a GOP plant; I’m thinking Fiorina could be shaking hands with the democrats, behind closed doors.

Virus-X on July 8, 2010 at 12:57 PM

Instead, they’re offering a 1970s Leftist retread in Jerry Brown, which will turn out the vote in San Francisco and probably nowhere else in the state.

Except for West LA, Beverly Hills, South LA, Santa Monica, the uber-Liberal parts of the Valley. Meg will have to make significant inroads here to counter the lock Moonbeam will have on the Bay Area, and it won’t be easy.

irishspy on July 8, 2010 at 12:58 PM

Just don’t call her ma’am!!!!!!!!

carbon_footprint on July 8, 2010 at 1:01 PM

Too early.

albill on July 8, 2010 at 1:09 PM

Virus-X on July 8, 2010 at 12:57 PM

The time for all that was before the primary. The choices are now Fiorina or Boxer — not any theoretical better candidate — and I, for one, would vote for a mange-covered distempered cur before I’d pull the lever for Boxer.

cthulhu on July 8, 2010 at 1:18 PM

Good… she’s horrible.

lexhamfox on July 8, 2010 at 1:31 PM

Oops… Fiorina is also horrible.

lexhamfox on July 8, 2010 at 1:31 PM

Field Poll has a history of being inaccurate, so my guess is Boxer is behind right now and not ahead slightly as they state.

JeffinSac on July 8, 2010 at 1:37 PM

Virus-X on July 8, 2010 at 12:57 PM

In Kalifornia you’re not going to go from Stalin to Reagan in one election cycle.

Caper29 on July 8, 2010 at 1:43 PM

Well gosh! To all you people who say Fiorina is as bad or worse than Boxer, you’ve convinced me!!!!!! I’m going to stay home and pout on election day.

/do I need this?

speed911 on July 8, 2010 at 1:51 PM

Virus-X on July 8, 2010 at 12:57 PM

Sadly, there are states where conservatism just doesn’t get a lot of support, and California is one of them. I get hacked off by representatives like Snowe and Collins too, but I look at where they come from and am grateful that their seat isn’t occupied by a Democrat who would vote with the Democrats EVERY time. So maybe Fiorino will vote with the Dems now and then, like any other representative from a solidly blue state, but she will still be a better friend to conservatism than any democrat you can name.

Dee2008 on July 8, 2010 at 1:54 PM

I am very, very worried seeing more and more people on the right celebrating a victory that is anything but assured. Such an attitude is an indicator of overconfidence and a sign of decreasing pressure being applied to the opponents.

I strongly recommend not counting election chickens before they’ve hatched. The Democrats know they are in trouble, and like any other cowardly creature, they can be dangerous when cornered. The Democrats want us to gloat early and often; they want us to exhibit overconfidence. Don’t fall for it.

The Democrats have something, maybe several things, up their sleeve – you can count on it.

Adding to this, we all know that Republican politicians can be utterly clueless, stupid and amazingly capable of shooting themselves in the foot (even both feet and the knees sometimes) and blowing a huge lead.

The next few elections are perhaps the most important in our nation’s history and I believe will make or break America.

Don’t let up for a second. Don’t assume victory until it happens. Stay lean, mean and hungry. There will be some time after the election for celebrating – but not before.

It ain’t over ’til its over…

DrDeano on July 8, 2010 at 1:58 PM

In Kalifornia you’re not going to go from Stalin to Reagan in one election cycle.

Caper29 on July 8, 2010 at 1:43 PM

Absolutely, it’s impossible to understand any true conservative, even a hard core right-of-right rightist, who’d not savor the genuine possibility of a center right candidate defeating a woman to the left of Mao in a state with a map so blue you could practically be arrested for trafficking in obscenity anywhere else just by passing it around.

leilani on July 8, 2010 at 1:59 PM

The Dems’ viscera will be on their loafers before they know what hit them election day. It’s going to be the best week of TV since 1994.

Akzed on July 8, 2010

Wish I had your optimism. Never underestimate the Democrat’s ability to lie, cheat and steal.

Extrafishy on July 8, 2010 at 2:02 PM

“statistical dead heat” eh. No worries-ACORN aka whatever can surely handle that many “votes”.

Dr. ZhivBlago on July 8, 2010 at 2:07 PM

I, for one, would vote for a mange-covered distempered cur before I’d pull the lever for Boxer.

Ah, but you repeat yourself.

SD on July 8, 2010 at 2:12 PM

Boxer ads are now attacking Fiorina on her years as HP CEO and her “anti-American worker actions” (closing US plants and contracting overseas). That may resonate, but Boxer can’t run from the horrible affects of the Obama administration’s economic screw-ups. Carly will just need to keep shifting the focus back to Boxer’s hyper-liberalism, her deafness to the pleas of taxpayers, and her support of profligate spending.

in_awe on July 8, 2010 at 2:23 PM

Absolutely, it’s impossible to understand any true conservative, even a hard core right-of-right rightist, who’d not savor the genuine possibility of a center right candidate defeating a woman to the left of Mao in a state with a map so blue you could practically be arrested for trafficking in obscenity anywhere else just by passing it around.
`
leilani on July 8, 2010 at 1:59 PM

`
`
`
Oh, imagine it, because they are all over the place. Too many of our conservative colleagues have let their frustrations get the better of them. They believe the Tea Party movement is taking the country back and are ready to punish the “RINOs” – which they define as anyone who ever cast a vote they disagreed with.
`
It’s stupid and self destructive, but there are a lot of people who think this way. Heck, even Stalin knew you had to take power before starting the purge.

Adjoran on July 8, 2010 at 2:53 PM

YOU SUCK MA’AM!
hahahahahahahahahahahahahaha Go home you ugly witch! Get out of government and let the sane people have at it!

sonnyspats1 on July 8, 2010 at 3:28 PM

Good. However, California is still a fiscal mess with no end in sight.

SC.Charlie on July 8, 2010 at 3:58 PM

All you in California need to do your part. I’ll make sure Wisconsin does ours.

Nelsen on July 8, 2010 at 4:02 PM

Oops… Fiorina is also horrible.

lexhamfox on July 8, 2010 at 1:31 PM

Moral equivalence and the inability to make simple judgments are indicators of mental illness, lex.

Jaibones on July 8, 2010 at 4:03 PM

while Democrats glumly watch a tsunami roll towards them from the Eastern seaboard on Election Day.

What’s that? From the Eastern seaboard? Exactly how does the conservative movement rule from the Eastern coastline? As if the West hasn’t plenty of conservative spunk. You have noticed that Arizona and Utah share California’s border. As if California didn’t elect a professed Republican. And as if Californians don’t rue for the good ol’ days of Gov. Reagan, as if Democrats would admit that aloud. When taxes consume or exceed the cost of living, even Democrats get mad at incumbents.

maverick muse on July 8, 2010 at 4:21 PM

in_awe on July 8, 2010 at 2:23 PM

Fiorina could present her own “enlightened” epiphany that eschews citizens’ tax funds OUTSOURCED from America by Congress or even by state legislatures, pledging to present a bill that encourages industry to reinvest inside America via tax breaks.

maverick muse on July 8, 2010 at 4:27 PM

yessss! now that’s some good news for us here!

jimver on July 8, 2010 at 6:14 PM

I’m no fan of Carly, but Boxer definitely needs to go.

JackOfClubs on July 8, 2010 at 7:21 PM