Gulp: Multiple polls show support for ObamaCare climbing

posted at 8:19 pm on June 30, 2010 by Allahpundit

Maybe I should have saved that Darth Vader clip for this post. Dude:

The Kaiser Family Foundation poll found that 48 percent of the public had a favorable view of the law in June while 41 percent had an unfavorable opinion. A month earlier, the split was 41 percent favorable to 44 percent unfavorable.

The latest survey results were not much different from those in March, shortly before the law was enacted. Then, at the end of a bitter year-long battle, 46 percent said they supported the proposed legislation while 42 percent opposed it…

“Overall, roughly a third of voters say that a candidate who voted for the health reform law will be more likely to get their vote, a third say less likely, and a third say it doesn’t really matter,” said the foundation, which studies and distributes information about health-care policy.

Only 12 percent say health care is their top issue in the fall, as compared to 29 percent who say it’s the economy. Any significance in the fact that a single poll’s swung from 41/44 to 48/41 in a month? Not really — except for the fact that other polls are showing an uptick in support too. Gallup went from 45/49 in April, shortly after Obama signed the bill, to 49/46 in mid-June. Around the same respective periods, the AP moved from 39/50 to 45/42. That’s the first time since October 2009 that three different polls sampled by have shown net support for O-Care in the same month. An important caveat: Rasmussen is no longer included in the Pollster average or else the overall trendline would be much worse. According to Ras’s latest, 52 percent support repealing the law — although even that number is down 11 points since last month. Double gulp. In any case, this is why I think the hand-wringing about Boehner and Cantor trying to bring two separate repeal measures to the floor this month is ultimately over nothing. Like Ramesh says, there are tactical benefits to revisiting the repeal issue now — if the vote is close, that’s a talking point for the GOP in close races in the fall — but with O-Care’s polling on the rebound, why would the vote be any closer now than it was in March?

Exit question: Why are the numbers coming back? The news about cost projections, etc., has been steadily bad. It can’t be because … The One has finally shut his big yapper about it, can it?

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My guess: disinformation on the supporter’s side. I want to see the sampling in those polls and their origin (what part of the country they were taken at). Considering that companies like have been inundated with calls from people asking how they can get free health care, those supporting O-Care are simply aware of the so called “benefits” of the plan but none of the responsibilities. And, let’s be honest, not everyone stays on top of the news like those of us here. I live in CA and I have personally heard people saying they will just stop paying for whatever health insurance they have so they can get the free one.

Like somebody earlier, nobody has felt the pinch of paying for O-Care. Just wait till 2011 rolls on. Once we all pay more taxes to pay for something that won’t be around for another 3 years people will finally realize what they signed for.

ptcamn on July 1, 2010 at 2:04 AM


One reason numbers are coming back is because people like me, just got notices from companies that their plans will now cover more, BUT we are not YET being charged more. My notice said that they haven’t worked out the rate changes yet. When the rates go up, expect those numbers to go back down.

But I fear the biggest reason is because the entire left wing from mainstream media, to politicians, to special interests have been waging a full frontal propaganda assault, trying to sell people on Obamacare by hook or by crook WHILE Republicans and the right have STOPPED campaigning against it.

Another reason? The economy is getting worse and people are getting scared, and free healthcare is starting to sound good to people who wonder how they are going to pay for it…..

…which is the real reason Democrats have been purposefully maintaining so much uncertainty in the market. They know that the more people suffer economically, the more they will accept the idea of new handouts from the government.

American Elephant on July 1, 2010 at 2:15 AM

And we DESPERATELY need people like you and Ed, not to mention our elected Republican “leaders” to keep pointing out how awful Obamacare will be for people, for the nation, for costs, and for liberty.

American Elephant on July 1, 2010 at 2:18 AM

Issue polls, especially on issues not viewed by voters as THE one which “most concerns” them, are notoriously unreliable. Pull up your big girl panties and deal with it.
When health care was on the front burner, its numbers kept sinking. All that must be done is link the impending fiscal bomb Obamacare represents to the future economy and deficits, and the tide will shift back.

Adjoran on July 1, 2010 at 3:23 AM

Exit question: Why are the numbers coming back? The news about cost projections, etc., has been steadily bad. It can’t be because … The One has finally shut his big yapper about it, can it?

The tacit silence of Republicans could also be a factor.

Cylor on July 1, 2010 at 3:43 AM

Wow, that Prager Zeitung editorial really gets the point.

It passed. The world didn’t blow up the next day.

Taxes haven’t kicked in for it. The mandate doesn’t kick in for another 3.5 years. Health insurance plan rates won’t rise until later this year or early next year. For 99% of people, their health care today is no different than it was 3 months ago.

People who don’t pay much attention figure, oh I guess those Republicans were full of shit with their Armageddon projections. The bill must be OK after all.

angryed on June 30, 2010 at 8:34 PM

The regulations are just starting to hit, like the edge of a tsunami.

Repeal or die!

AshleyTKing on July 1, 2010 at 4:42 AM

With virtually no due respect whatsoever, who the hell is the Kaiser Family Foundation and who gives a damn about their poll?

pilamaye on July 1, 2010 at 5:52 AM

You serious? The American sheeple have forgotten? Well cut my arms off and call me clothespin.

Squiggy on July 1, 2010 at 6:48 AM

Another reason? The economy is getting worse and people are getting scared, and free healthcare is starting to sound good to people who wonder how they are going to pay for it…

American Elephant on July 1, 2010 at 2:15 AM

Yes! This has been the plan from day one. Create a “crisis” mentality until it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.

labrat on July 1, 2010 at 8:21 AM

Don’t worry, my little Eeyore. There’s plenty of time yet. My plan election is in October and I expect lots of eye-popping among employees when the mandates get figured in to the new premia.

But yes, I think Teh Won shutting up about it and the fact that the procedural circus packed up and left for Finregsville and Capandtradeburg are major factors in these poll numbers. Doesn’t mean people can’t be reminded easily enough.

DrSteve on July 1, 2010 at 8:24 AM

Wait until open enrollment in the fall. When people get their price for 2011 the sh*t will hit the fan.

Jaynie59 on July 1, 2010 at 8:26 AM

Polls are for suckers.
Heathcare is simmering on a back burner right now, and will come to a boil again when heat is applied. Then, imo, we will see that what we’ve learned will lead to repeal, or a reformation. But some of the harm already done will remain until the boy-king is evicted.


williars on July 1, 2010 at 8:45 AM

Considering that Republicans aren’t debating HealthCare this isn’t suprising. I remember there was to be a big push by the WH for HC cheerleading coming out. Consider this AllahPundit… How much MORE damage are the democrats and Obama going to do themselves talking about this during the oil spill and Recession? Blathering about HealthCare is what got them into this mess and whatever TEMPORARY lift in numbers they can get will be dwarfed by the amount of ill-will they will receieve for CONTINUING to ignore Americans main concerns. Playing with the HC obsession will be ultimately a political loser for Obama and the democrats.

PS Please remind what tweaking these numbers does for either HC repeal which can’t happen till Obama is out of office or his popularity which will be somehow enhanced by a bill already months old especially with people who are not sympathetic to him anymore (Independents).

Conan on July 1, 2010 at 8:50 AM

Yeah. But when in 2012 people realize that starting with the 2011 tax year they pay income tax on the portion of their health benefits that were company contributions — hey, won’t it be fun when the typical worker suddenly gets to pay taxes for an extra $4000 – $8000 that they never saw in their paychecks!

Yeah, I think that will be major 2012 campaign issue.

SunSword on July 1, 2010 at 9:00 AM

There’s simply not as much publicity about it now. All of it’s nasty projections have been way sided by the oil spill et al.

jeanie on July 1, 2010 at 9:18 AM

Wait until open enrollment in the fall. When people get their price for 2011 the sh*t will hit the fan.

Jaynie59 on July 1, 2010 at 8:26 AM

I already know, I’m going to be paying A LOT more next year, for insurance. And so will millions of others. I can’t believe the polls are showing a growing support. The only other conclusion I can fathom is….the growing number of unemployed now support it, as they have no other alternatives, and see this as a good thing for themselves, and their families, as they see no future in a job right now.

The plan is working. Make people so destitute, they will rely on government, and vote in favor of anyone willing to keep them above water. No matter how small the rewards will be.

capejasmine on July 1, 2010 at 10:55 AM

I never answer polls.

Part of this is the result of the “scandal a day” policy of the Democrats – each new outrage pushes yesterday’s outrage out of the limelight.

Merovign on July 1, 2010 at 3:30 PM

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