Rasmussen: Vitter still blowing out Melancon in LA Senate race

posted at 2:10 pm on June 29, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

While most of the Democratic effort in the midterms this year will be in limiting their losses, they did have hopes of a couple of pickups from the Republicans in the House and Senate.  The Louisiana Senate seat currently held by David Vitter must have looked rather tempting, considering Vitter’s past peccadilloes and a recent scandal involving his aide.  However, Louisiana voters don’t seem particularly perturbed by either, as Rasmussen discovers in its latest survey of likely voters:

Louisiana’s race for the U.S. Senate looks largely the same way it has since the beginning of the year, with incumbent Republican David Vitter continuing to earn over 50% of the vote in a state with unusually high Tea Party membership.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Louisiana finds Vitter, who is seeking a second six-year term, with 53% support. His Democratic challenger, Congressman Charlie Melancon, picks up 35% of the vote. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided.

In April, Vitter posted a similar lead over Melancon. …

The survey was taken after news broke that a longtime Vitter aide had pled guilty to attacking an ex-girlfriend with a knife, a revelation some speculated might hurt the Republican’s campaign.

Louisiana voters apparently have more pressing issues on their minds, such as the unfolding disaster in the Gulf — and the economic disaster Barack Obama has planned for Gulf states in its wake.  Vitter has thus far successfully painted Melancon with Obama’s oil-drilling moratorium, which Melancon insists he doesn’t support.  The failure of the Gulf response to stem the disaster will weigh heavily on the midterms in all Gulf states, but perhaps especially in Louisiana.

The internals show how hard it will be for Melancon to get any closer to Vitter.  Despite the Deepwater Horizon disaster, 79% support continued offshore drilling, and 72% support deep-water drilling.  Almost the same percentage believe the Gulf situation to have either a major or devastating impact on the Gulf, so it’s not as though they don’t understand the stakes involved.  They just don’t want the federal government to destroy what’s left of their economy after the one accident.

In case anyone thinks that this support for drilling is a strictly Republican affair, think again.  Eighty-three percent of independents support offshore drilling, and 74% support deepwater drilling.  In fact, Louisiana Democrats support offshore drilling by more than two to one (65%/25%) and deepwater drilling almost two to one (58/30).  It’s not surprising that Vitter wins independents by a 55/18 margin, or that he gains 21% of the Democratic vote.

If Vitter’s lead remains this stable even in the wake of a scandal, it probably has less to do with Vitter himself and more likely hinges on the national politics and local economy involved.


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Odd how demorat plans to crush a major state industry would lead people to vote GOP.

Bishop on June 29, 2010 at 2:14 PM

…but the “Chocolate City” re-elected that corrupt incompetent creep Ray Nagin.

Fortunately, LA’s politics differs greatly from New Orleans’ politics.

ornery_independent on June 29, 2010 at 2:16 PM

Was this the dude who pulled a Spitzer? Man, if Melancholy can’t make a dent in his lead with that sort of scandal, then it really is a bad year to be a Dem.

Doughboy on June 29, 2010 at 2:16 PM

Wendy Cortez called. She wants John back.

The Race Card on June 29, 2010 at 2:16 PM

This isn’t a surprise to me at all.

From what I’ve seen around here, the average person thinks Vitter represents their interests while I personally know members of the local media who have despised Vitter for years, going back to his time in the House, who have been praying for a long time that he’d get tossed out on his @ss.

Melancon didn’t have a prayer here barring another election season like 2006 and 2008, but was forced into running by the Dem leadership who desperately wanted to take out Vitter.

teke184 on June 29, 2010 at 2:16 PM

I imagine laid off oil drillers vote.

tarpon on June 29, 2010 at 2:17 PM

*her

The Race Card on June 29, 2010 at 2:17 PM

Melancon isn’t even running for reelection in his district. Probably because they’d boot him out anyways. I’ve yet to see any ads for Melancon online or on TV around here. Vitter has some online ads, even a few show up on here.

Lay-Z on June 29, 2010 at 2:18 PM

What will be interesting, along these lines, will be W.Va. A truly democrat state, and a state supporting a president who has promised to bankrupt the state…now that Byrd is gone, what next.
This next couple of years, unless the GOP decides to go back to their old ways, should just about wipe out the dems in every race.
Or will the “Snatch defeat from the jaws of victory”…as they seem to be so capable of.

right2bright on June 29, 2010 at 2:18 PM

Why are Republicans running an adulterer and a law-breaker for re-election? Not resigning to be replaced by the Democrat (now ex-)governor is one thing, but running for re-election years later is something else.

raybury on June 29, 2010 at 2:18 PM

I imagine laid off oil drillers vote.

tarpon on June 29, 2010 at 2:17 PM

“Those evil laid off oil drillers/workers should be forced to clean up the oil 24/7 without breaks!!! No water!!!” -Lib enviro fascists.

Terrorists at Gitmo get more empathy than an oil worker would from the liberal environmental left.

portlandon on June 29, 2010 at 2:19 PM

I guess the water works didn’t work for Melancon. I have no doubt that they were genuine, his district is being destroyed by this disaster, but I thought his breakdown might help him. Guess not.

lizzie beth on June 29, 2010 at 2:21 PM

Why are Republicans running an adulterer and a law-breaker for re-election?

Apparently, adultery isn’t a big deal if you contribute to the economy by paying a hooker.

The Race Card on June 29, 2010 at 2:21 PM

Why are Republicans running an adulterer and a law-breaker for re-election? Not resigning to be replaced by the Democrat (now ex-)governor is one thing, but running for re-election years later is something else.

raybury on June 29, 2010 at 2:18 PM

Have you looked at Louisiana politicians lately outside of Bobby Jindal?

Vitter being tied to an escort ring probably makes him one of the *cleaner* politicians in the state, as compared to the incarcerated “Cold Cash” Jefferson or perpetually-running Cleo Fields, who was Edwin Edwards’ bag man in his federal corruption trial but escaped prosecution because they forgot to turn the camera on to catch him dumpster-diving for Fast Eddie’s payoff.

teke184 on June 29, 2010 at 2:21 PM

Not sure why the thing with Vitter’s aide would hurt Vitter. Maybe in another year the Dem would have a shot, but this isn’t it.

changer1701 on June 29, 2010 at 2:24 PM

What will be interesting, along these lines, will be W.Va. A truly democrat state, and a state supporting a president who has promised to bankrupt the state…now that Byrd is gone, what next.

right2bright on June 29, 2010 at 2:18 PM

West Virginia has been a red state for presidential elections since 2000.

myrenovations on June 29, 2010 at 2:27 PM

perpetually-running Cleo Fields

Speaking of which, I wonder what he’s up to? Last I heard, he called Mary Landrieu a racist prior during the 1995 gubernatorial election.

Lay-Z on June 29, 2010 at 2:29 PM

West Virginia has been a red state for presidential elections since 2000.

myrenovations on June 29, 2010 at 2:27 PM

West Virginia is like Arkansas today or like Louisiana circa 1994… Republican for President and Democrat for everything else.

That’s definitely changing in Arkansas this year with Boozeman set to blow Lincoln out of the water and Republicans set to pick up a number of House seats.

WV may flip on the House side if the mining industry and their jobs outweigh the amount of pork brought home by senior politicians such as the Byrds and Rockefellers of the world.

teke184 on June 29, 2010 at 2:30 PM

perpetually-running Cleo Fields

Speaking of which, I wonder what he’s up to? Last I heard, he called Mary Landrieu a racist prior during the 1995 gubernatorial election.

Lay-Z on June 29, 2010 at 2:29 PM

The last time I saw him run for something was Public Safety Commissioner in 2005. His opponent ran an ad showing someone rummaging through a dumpster looking for a bag of cash, which was enough to defeat Fields.

Most of his runs, post-Foster, are cash grabs aimed at Dems wanting heavy black turnout to help candidates for various other offices on the ballot, as Cleo’s always had a big turnout machine in Baton Rouge and New Orleans and giving him some money ensures a higher turnout than they’d get otherwise.

teke184 on June 29, 2010 at 2:33 PM

Why are Republicans running an adulterer and a law-breaker for re-election?

Apparently, adultery isn’t a big deal if you contribute to the economy by paying a hooker.

The Race Card on June 29, 2010 at 2:21 PM

Eric Spitzer.. is that YOU?

upinak on June 29, 2010 at 2:41 PM

Terrorists at Gitmo get more empathy than an oil worker would from the liberal environmental left.

portlandon on June 29, 2010 at 2:19 PM

Somebody needs to start a list of things an oil-hating Liberal should not use or own. The list needs to be updated and published in an easy-to-find place on the Internet. Readers should then contribute photos of loud-mouth oil-hating Liberals using these products to include in a “Gallery of Hippocrites” posted on the web site.

I’d bet that none of the annoying Liberals would escape the Gallery.

landlines on June 29, 2010 at 2:51 PM

Vitter has thus far successfully painted Melancon with Obama’s oil-drilling moratorium, which Melancon insists he doesn’t support.

Yeah, Bart Stupak didn’t support federal funding of abortions, either, but he voted for it anyway. Nobody’s buying it anymore, Democrats.

Kafir on June 29, 2010 at 3:40 PM

I imagine laid off oil drillers vote.

tarpon on June 29, 2010 at 2:17 PM

..as do out-of-work shrimpers and those whose businesses have been run into the ground by massive federal golf-playing indifference.

The War Planner on June 29, 2010 at 4:18 PM

Vitter is the best Senator America has.

- Louisianan

Kevin M on June 29, 2010 at 6:10 PM

Apparently, adultery isn’t a big deal if you contribute to the economy by paying a hooker.

The Race Card on June 29, 2010 at 2:21 PM

If he keeps voting the way he votes, I’ll foot the bill for the next hooker.

mabryb1 on June 30, 2010 at 8:34 AM