Rasmussen: McCain 47%, Hayworth 36%

posted at 3:19 pm on June 22, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

The good news for J. D. Hayworth?  He has two months to make up an 11-point deficit in the polling for Arizona’s US Senate primary.  The bad news?  At the rate he’s gaining on John McCain, he’ll catch up by May of next year:

Longtime Senator John McCain continues to lead Arizona’s Republican Primary by double digits but remains in the same narrow range of support he’s drawn since January.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely GOP Primary Voters in the state Voters shows McCain picking up 47% support, while challenger J.D.Hayworth earns the vote from 36%. Navy veteran and Tea Party activist Jim Deakin picks up seven percent (7%) support. One percent (1%) like another candidate in the race, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.

Actually, Hayworth gets a little more good news from Rasmussen in this latest survey.  McCain has dropped below 50%, losing five points of support from Republicans.  Any time an incumbent falls below 50%, he or she is vulnerable.  McCain gets a boost, though, from a third-party challenge from Deakin, who may get most of his support at the expense of Hayworth.  Hayworth himself lost four points from the previous Rasmussen poll, which shows that he’s unable to take advantage of the loss of support McCain has experienced.

Hayworth has other disadvantages in this race.  While his favorability remains in positive territory at a +6 (51/45), McCain far outstrips him on that score with a +39, 69/30.  Hayworth barely edges McCain among men, 45/43, but McCain nearly doubles up among women, 52/28.  McCain also wins every age demographic, although very narrowly with voters under the age of 50.  He also wins all of the income demographics, again narrowly among most of them, and manages to split conservatives 42/43 with Hayworth while winning handily among self-described Republican moderates (71/11) and liberals (50/19).  That indicates that McCain may have successfully defined Hayworth as an extremist among the Republican base in Arizona.

In other news, McCain criticized General Stanley McChrystal’s comments in Rolling Stone as “inappropriate,” but declined to take a position on whether Barack Obama should fire McChrystal:

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), along with 2 colleagues, says comments attributed to Gen. Stanley McChrystal in a new story in Rolling Stone are “inappropriate” and cross a line in the traditional relationship between a president and the military.

“We have the highest respect for General McChrystal and honor his brave service and sacrifice to our nation. General McChrystal’s comments, as reported in Rolling Stone, are inappropriate and inconsistent with the traditional relationship between Commander-in-Chief and the military,” McCain said in a joint statement with Sens. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) and Lindsey Graham (R-SC). …

But while some have likened McChrystal’s comments to Gen. Douglas MacArthur, the Korean War general fired by Pres. Harry Truman, McCain, Lieberman and Graham stopped short of calling on McChrystal to step down or be fired.

“The decision concerning General McChrystal’s future is a decision to be made by the President of the United States,” the 3 said in the joint statement.

Of the three, only McCain’s name came up in the article, in which McChrystal criticized McCain for his comments about Hamid Karzai.


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McCain said in a joint statement with Sens. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) and Lindsey Graham (R-SC). …

The Three Stooges…

Caper29 on June 22, 2010 at 3:22 PM

Crist = McCain = Crist

angryed on June 22, 2010 at 3:23 PM

Oh Good Lord…Miss Lindsay is chiming in. She’s got the vapors. Pull out the fainting couch.

NJ Red on June 22, 2010 at 3:28 PM

Navy veteran and Tea Party activist Jim Deakin picks up seven percent (7%) support.

What a huge tea party fail. It’s almost as bad as “Scotty” Brown, brother of the Maine sisters.

Why they decided to back the other establishment candidate rather than Deakin is beyond me.

Rae on June 22, 2010 at 3:28 PM

None of the above

Oil Can on June 22, 2010 at 3:30 PM

J.D. Hayworth: Principled conservatism, free money from the Government!

Mr. Joe on June 22, 2010 at 3:30 PM

There are many JD supporters who are on the outside-laying low, but will come out in primary time.

hawkman on June 22, 2010 at 3:31 PM

47%? That means at least a majority of AZ GOP voters are declaring that they do NOT want to vote for Juan Shamnesty McVain.

Norwegian on June 22, 2010 at 3:33 PM

The Three Stooges…
Caper29 on June 22, 2010 at 3:22 PM

macncheez on June 22, 2010 at 3:33 PM

LOL… Looks like you will have someone to rant against for another 6 years.

Boxy_Brown on June 22, 2010 at 3:41 PM

Well at least this race keeps a muzzle on you know who and her columns and “tweets”. I just checked in to see what’s up: she’s cutting her hair
short, bought new shoes; gave the General a “omg!!!!” and calls BP “f–ks”. Mentions of Zero: zero.

Marcus on June 22, 2010 at 3:41 PM

“My friends…”

Seven Percent Solution on June 22, 2010 at 3:42 PM

His 11% lead from a couple months ago is holding. Looks like he won’t need to call in Palin for last minute desperation rallies. Which is good cuz Rubio may be needing her services in the near future.

Doughboy on June 22, 2010 at 3:42 PM

JD “Here’s how to get your free government dough” Hayworth. Clown.

I swear McCain-derangement makes people do some craaaaazy things sometimes.

JetBoy on June 22, 2010 at 3:42 PM

The infomercial has doomed Hayworth’s candidacy, I doubt this polling reflects that entirely. I think he is more Conservative than McCain, but he is not my cup of tea otherwise.

echosyst on June 22, 2010 at 3:45 PM

I swear McCain-derangement makes people do some craaaaazy things sometimes.

JetBoy on June 22, 2010 at 3:42 PM

And McCain worship makes people think some even crazier things like “amnesty isn’t amnesty if all you have to do is give the government a bribe to ignore border law”.

MadisonConservative on June 22, 2010 at 3:45 PM

And McCain worship makes people think some even crazier things like “amnesty isn’t amnesty if all you have to do is give the government a bribe to ignore border law”.

MadisonConservative on June 22, 2010 at 3:45 PM

If I didn’t have such a short haircut, I’d be pulling it out ’bout now.

JetBoy on June 22, 2010 at 3:47 PM

“Tea Party activist Jim Deakin picks up seven percent (7%) support.”

Who…?

Seven Percent Solution on June 22, 2010 at 3:47 PM

McStain is a RINO, period. He will tack left after the election. Always has, always will.

skanter on June 22, 2010 at 3:48 PM

Can’t wait for Hayworth / Deakins supporters to say “But it’s a Rasmussen poll, what do you expect?”

ExUrbanKevin on June 22, 2010 at 3:48 PM

McCain said in a joint statement with Sens. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) and Lindsey Graham (R-SC).

McCain should stop hanging around with Lieberman and Graham. Just build the dang fence, and he’ll win re-election easily. Jan Brewer, who signed the Arizona immigration law, is now up to 61% in the GOP primary for Governor.

On the other hand, McCain might have a point about McChrystal. As a military man, McCain had to answer to…Lyndon Johnson, so he knows how to “zip it” when he has to.

If McChrystal had a beef about how Obama was handling the war in Afghanistan, he should have talked to Obama directly, or possibly done an interview in a military journal, to open the debate an a smaller, military-friendly environment. Making such comments in a lefty-peacenik rag like Rolling Stone, whose readers already hate the military when they’re not stoned, will only inflame the swooning left to defend Obama against him.

Steve Z on June 22, 2010 at 3:50 PM

If I didn’t have such a short haircut, I’d be pulling it out ’bout now.

JetBoy on June 22, 2010 at 3:47 PM

I know. First Crist, then the truth begins to dawn on you on The Maverick Who Isn’t A Maverick? This has been a hard year for ya, bud. Eat that hat yet?

MadisonConservative on June 22, 2010 at 3:52 PM

TEA Party Activist…. what’s that? Someone that attended a gathering?

McCain gets 47%? Something is very wrong if 70% of the AZ folks support SB1070 and 47% support McAmnesty. That’s sort of like the poll that shows only 20-something percent would view Obama support as helpful to a candidate but he has a 40-something percent approval. There are a great many numbers that just don’t add up.

CC

CapedConservative on June 22, 2010 at 3:55 PM

B-b-b-but McCain is a RINO, or something – Average Hot Air Poster

Narutoboy on June 22, 2010 at 4:17 PM

McLame is pushing the I’ve never been for amnesty boulder up the hill, too. You’d think that a state the size of AZ would be able to find at least one competent person to run against this incumbent.

Kissmygrits on June 22, 2010 at 4:19 PM

I think John McCain, is joining Imus for the opening of this hospital. Imus was involved in the last hospital that was built with private money, down in San Antonio. I believe that hospital was for the rehabilitation of troops who suffered amputations returning from both theaters Iraq and Afghanistan. This one is for head trauma, there is a big need for this hospital because of IED attacks.

National Intrepid Center of Excellence Opens in Bethesda on June 24.

Imus brought up the guest list this morning, he was having trouble getting through to Senator John Kerry his “staff” keeps telling, the Imus in the Morning producers, Senator John Kerry, is too busy to attend. Imus is broadcasting from The National Intrepid Center of Excellence, this Thursday Morning for the grand opening.

Dr Evil on June 22, 2010 at 4:22 PM

Jetboy, the outstanding judge of true conservatives, weighs in on Arizona’s race…please, just go off somewhere and eat you hat.

sloopy on June 22, 2010 at 4:22 PM

Jetboy, the outstanding judge of true conservatives, weighs in on Arizona’s race…please, just go off somewhere and eat you hat.

sloopy on June 22, 2010 at 4:22 PM

So…Hayworth is a “true conservative”? Only if “conservative” means pork-loving, birther nonsense, and ethical violations.

JetBoy on June 22, 2010 at 4:25 PM

The good thing about McCain is his strong support of the military and his hate of pork spending. He also has taken on Obama pretty hard. I’d vote for him b/c Hayworth is an idiot and better to have the horse you know than the one you don’t.

lavell12 on June 22, 2010 at 4:26 PM

McCain criticized Karzai, Karzai just came out with a strong statement of support for McChrystal.

I think I’ll take McCain’s side in this one.

I don’t think McCain would have championed this strategy either:

In his first two months on the job, McChrystal has moved with alacrity to shift the focus of U.S. and NATO troops from chasing the Taliban to protecting cities and towns, reasoning that expanding areas of population security would have greater impact on the insurgency than a series of raids. But there is also a recognition in McChrystal’s headquarters that McKiernan had made valuable contributions: The troops he asked for are now central to counterinsurgency operations in southern Afghanistan. McKiernan also set in motion changes in training Afghan security forces that McChrystal plans to continue.

Soon after arriving in Kabul, McChrystal issued a “tactical directive” to all forces under his command: The use of airstrikes on housing compounds, which have caused hundreds of civilian casualties since 2001 and stoked deep anger among Afghans, would be restricted to the most clear and critical cases.

McChrystal said bombs could be dropped only when solid intelligence showed that high-level militants were present or U.S. forces were in imminent danger. He made it clear he would rather allow a few rank-and-file Taliban fighters to get away than to flatten a house whose occupants might include women and children.

funky chicken on June 22, 2010 at 4:27 PM

McCain,Lieberman and Grahamnesty. The reasons we are where we are right now.

bloggless on June 22, 2010 at 4:29 PM

There are many JD supporters who are on the outside-laying low, but will come out in primary time.

hawkman on June 22, 2010 at 3:31 PM

Laying low? Why? Out of embarrassment? I don’t get it.

RBMN on June 22, 2010 at 4:51 PM

Laying low? Why? Out of embarrassment? I don’t get it.

RBMN on June 22, 2010 at 4:51 PM

That was funny.

Narutoboy on June 22, 2010 at 4:57 PM

“My friends…”
Seven Percent Solution on June 22, 2010 at 3:42 PM

Aaaaaack! Don’t do that. It’s like fingernails on a chalkboard.

bitsy on June 22, 2010 at 5:05 PM

Palin Power!

Mr Purple on June 22, 2010 at 5:06 PM

McCain has done NOTHING to remove or destroy the Mexican drug lord fortresses built on hilltops south southwest of Tucson from where our law enforcement officers are shot.

That Hayworth failed to make this an issue on his own platform makes him look ignorant and/or weak.

The media have succeeded for years in keeping this secret for the politicians.

THESE MEXICAN FORTS IN ARIZONA WERE BUILD DURING NAPOLITANO’S ADMINISTRATION AS GOVERNOR. And of course, as chief of DHS, her position is that only rabid conservatives care about rule of law or security for citizens.

“National security” has come to define politicians in CYA mode.

“Fighting over there so we don’t have to fight them here?” Rather, because we refuse to fight them here.

Mexican terrorists have forts in the hills surrounding Tucson where the Pima County Sheriff swore he’d not uphold the immigration law because he’d only keep doing what he’s been doing all along–turning a blind eye to Mexican drug terrorists’ destruction of his county and his nation. And the law enforcement knows all about the Mexican terrorists fortresses in Arizona AND HAVE FAILED TO REMOVE THEM FROM EXISTENCE, everyone holding their breath on patrol. All this while Tucson hosts an Air Force Base south southeast.

maverick muse on June 22, 2010 at 5:07 PM

Palin Power!

Mr Purple on June 22, 2010 at 5:06 PM

Believe it or not, Ripley Rasmussen poll shows Hillary Clinton favored for the next potus, above any Republican, Palin at the bottom.

UNBELIEVABLE that “reset” Hillary over-charged nincompoop “Ms. let’s sue Arizona” is favored by women, hands down, over any other politician.

maverick muse on June 22, 2010 at 5:11 PM

Have the poll monitors from the Mexican Embassy received their credentials and assignments yet? McCain, call your Agua Prieta office…press 1 for English.

opaobie on June 22, 2010 at 5:15 PM

funky chicken on June 22, 2010 at 4:27 PM

Shock and awe, good to see your post.

maverick muse on June 22, 2010 at 5:16 PM

Dear Mr. President … from Jon Voight

You have brought to Arizona a civil war, once again defending the criminals and illegals, creating a meltdown for good, loyal, law-abiding citizens. Your destruction of this country may never be remedied, and we may never recover. I pray to God you stop, and I hope the people in this great country realize your agenda is not for the betterment of mankind, but for the betterment of your politics.

With heartfelt and deep concern for America and Israel,

Jon Voight

maverick muse on June 22, 2010 at 5:18 PM

mockmook on June 22, 2010 at 5:43 PM

Actually, Hayworth gets a little more good news from Rasmussen in this latest survey. McCain has dropped below 50%, losing five points of support from Republicans. Any time an incumbent falls below 50%, he or she is vulnerable. McCain gets a boost, though, from a third-party challenge from Deakin,…

Third party candidate in a Repub primary…amazing!!!????

mockmook on June 22, 2010 at 5:45 PM

6 more years of the backstabbing, doublecrossing, RINO McCain in the Senate?

COME ON ARIZONA…..Imperfection is better than the RINO you’ve got now.

PappyD61 on June 22, 2010 at 6:40 PM

Any time an incumbent falls below 50%, he or she is vulnerable. McCain gets a boost, though, from a third-party challenge from Deakin,

Third party candidate in a Repub primary … amazing!!!????

mockmook on June 22, 2010 at 5:45 PM

Ain’t it though?!

I’ll let Jim know, since I’m sure he’s unaware!

Rae on June 22, 2010 at 7:07 PM

Actually, jetboy, I was talking about McCain being a true conservative. Just like Crist. Go eat your hat now.

sloopy on June 22, 2010 at 7:32 PM

McCain has the money (I thought for some reason he was against that, guess he was against other people having money to run against him)

Here in Tucson, he has a bunch of [very expensive] billboards up, saying, “McCain — For a strong border”. I nearly lost control of my pickup laughing so hard when I first saw one of those. I thought it was a parody at first. Unfortunately, they really are billboards for McCain.

The real problem is that McCain has stated this is his last term. In the past, he’s campaigned conservative and then gone to D.C. and played almost-liberal. With no re-election to restrain him, I’m afraid he’s going to go hard left if re-elected.

AZfederalist on June 22, 2010 at 10:38 PM