Obama approval drops to 41% in Rasmussen tracking poll

posted at 10:55 am on June 18, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

On Wednesday, when Barack Obama hit a new low in his approval ratings in the Rasmussen daily tracking poll, I predicted a short-lived bump that would disappear by the weekend.  The initial response to his Tuesday-night Oval Office speech would be seen on Thursday and today, and I expected a small increase in approval despite the delivery of a widely-panned address that many are now comparing to Jimmy Carter’s “malaise” speech.  Yesterday, Obama’s job approval went from 42% to 43% — but today, it’s dropped even lower than on Wednesday:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 25% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-six percent (46%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -21 (see trends).

These results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, more than two-thirds of the interviews for today’s update were conducted after the president’s speech to the nation. Tomorrow’s update will be the first based entirely upon interviews conducted after the speech. …

Overall, 41% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president’s performance. That’s the lowest level of approval yet recorded for this president. Fifty-eight percent (58%) now disapprove.

In other words, the Wednesday survey did improve his standing enough to raise his rating by a single percentage point — hardly moving the needle, but in a three-day rolling poll, an indication of something moving in the right direction.  Yesterday’s survey, however, must have been bad enough to wipe out the gain from the previous day and be lower than the pre-speech polling.  That indicates that the extended reaction to the speech has been especially bad.

Rasmussen also released its weekly issue polling today, and it also looks bleak for the administration.  Almost two-thirds (65%) believe government spending will go up, while only 11% believe taxes will go down.  Obama only scores a 34% approval on the economy, with 68% of independents rating him only fair or poor, above the 59% of the general population giving Obama a thumbs-down.  He also only gets a 38% job-approval rating on energy, and only 33% among independents.  On national security, Obama gets a 38%, with 63% of independents disapproving.

Obama may not be in Bush-approval territory, but that’s the direction he’s heading.  One thing is certain: Obama can’t get a bounce any more just from giving a speech.


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Heading to 30%… at which point he could bounce the cat himself, kill it, and eat it on camera. All without losing any more support… The nature of the beast is… no shame if he’s their guy.
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RalphyBoy on June 18, 2010 at 12:21 PM

They require a few of theses in DC ,like yesterday!

http://www.parkson.com/files/Brochures/SuperSkimmer-Scum-Removal.pdf

Sandybourne on June 18, 2010 at 12:22 PM

Obama just needs to give MORE speeches!

GarandFan on June 18, 2010 at 12:32 PM

Chuck Schick on June 18, 2010 at 12:07 PM

Breath deeply 10 times, take your lithium and return to mom’s basement. There really is a difference between writing on a blog’s thread and doing something to someone. When you learn that you might be capable of joining adult society.

chemman on June 18, 2010 at 12:42 PM

0bama inherited these poll numbers from Bush, inherited them I say! /

Sekhmet on June 18, 2010 at 12:42 PM

So, the 11% that thought there would be a tax decrease are clearly a cynical bunch…

TomAnon on June 18, 2010 at 12:46 PM

Bad polls will make him double down on cramming his agenda down our throats. The more opposition he gets, the more defiant he becomes. He’s an egocentric brat. Unable to be informed by criticism, he responds to it by lashing out at his critics.\

This is very possible. As Rahm Emanuel said, don’t let a crisis go to waste. GM was taken over by his intimidation of the bondholders. He can’t get Cap and Trade through the Senate, so he imposes it through an EPA “rule”. The $20B fund from BP was probably obtained by intimidation, because the public justifiably hates BP right now.

In his speech, Obama actually admitted that he doesn’t know how to achieve energy independence, but because he wishes it, it must be done, if some “American ingenuity” magically finds a way. Remember, he was the One who would stop the seas from rising!

Obama sees these sinking poll numbers and knows that he will probably face a hostile House and a divided Senate next year, and his agenda will be stopped dead in its tracks. But, as an egomaniac who truly believes he knows better than the voters what is good for them, he WILL try to jam his agenda through THIS year while he still has big Democrat majorities in Congress. Even if Democrats lose the House, and possibly even the Senate over his obstinate agenda rejected by 72% of INDEPENDENT voters (per Rasmussen), Obama will still be President in 2011-12, so Obama will be VERY tempted to push his agenda through NOW, and then tell Republicans in Congress, “Bring it on, try to override my veto!”

Steve Z on June 18, 2010 at 12:53 PM

The S.S. Obama is taking on water and rats are jumping ship.When the Queen rat jumps you will know it over.

thmcbb on June 18, 2010 at 12:06 PM

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Awesome analysis…

RalphyBoy on June 18, 2010 at 12:56 PM

At this point, is it fair to say that Obama’s “approval” is pretty much limited to Democrats?

IIRC about 35% of the population is registered Democrat, about 33% is registered Republican, and the rest mostly independent or unaffiliated. Considering a few outliers on either side (Dems deserting O or GOPers insane enough to approve), that would mean virtually nobody else in the country approves of Obama.

Zumkopf on June 18, 2010 at 1:08 PM

After seeing Frank Lutz’s panel right after the speech — and hearing HuffPo go up in smoke — there was no way Obama was going to get a bump from that terrible speech. He’s starting to lose his base now.

John the Libertarian on June 18, 2010 at 1:13 PM

“you lie” has turned into “you suck”

ted c on June 18, 2010 at 1:13 PM

It worries me that 41% are still drinking the Kool-Aid. All he needs is a good campaign and a 10 point bounce & he’s in for another 4 years of misery.

Also, according to the Internet, the “malaise speech” was terrific!??

HellCat on June 18, 2010 at 11:53 AM

.so, Eeyore, what will you be doing to make sure this does not happen? Are you working for some candidate this Fall? Made any contributions? Gonna walk any precincts? Gonna help get the word out about what a lying sack these people are?

The War Planner on June 18, 2010 at 1:19 PM

0bama inherited these poll numbers from Bush, inherited them I say! /

Sekhmet on June 18, 2010 at 12:42 PM

It took Bush over 4 years to get to 41%. O’Kickass did it in only 18 months.

“Mission Accomplished”

Del Dolemonte on June 18, 2010 at 1:22 PM

I get that there’s 25% that would approve if Obugme destroyed the economy and declared war on AZ, but 41% that still kinda like this marxist turd?

The MFM has to be the reason that 16% (of the 41) are unaware of the danger that we are in with a weak, incompetent radical leftist as president. For this there needs to be some remedy, both legal and practical, and the sooner the better.

ontherocks on June 18, 2010 at 1:43 PM

Polls do not matter to the ONE. He is just one step closer to a dictatorship. Obviously, the Republican leadership could not utter a public peep about the shakedown, but by dern, let a fellow representative utter a few words of truth, and the leadership is promptly screaming mimi. With the tough oversight of the Republicans, why in the world would the polls matter to Barack.

mobydutch on June 18, 2010 at 1:50 PM

You’ve got to wonder just how low his numbers would be without the MSM in his corner. Can you imagine what this idiot’s numbers would be if the MSM was as hostile to him as they were to President Bush?

I never thought anyone would outdo Carter, but without a doubt:

W.P.E. !
(hopefully he will be in the running for worst “former” president ever in 1/13 – although Carter has set the bar for that distinction awfully high!)

Fatal on June 18, 2010 at 2:21 PM

Nope. It’s called “eloquence” and it relies upon the skill of the speaker alone, and not the power of his arguments, to persuade an audience. It’s the skill of the used car salesman, heretic, cult leader, dictator, Satan and President Obama. It relies entirely on knowing what to say and how to say it and is entirely separate from logic or even facts.

The problem is that once people know that they are being snowed by an eloquent speaker, his words tend to have the opposite of their intended effect (except for those who really, really want to believe him). That’s why you and I never liked to hear him speak and why so many are getting sick of hearing him now.

29Victor on June 18, 2010 at 12:08 PM

Yes, but even by that definition, it requires good lines – memorable lines. What memorable line has O! uttered?

In other words, MLK was a really good speaker, but he had memobrable lines. I can understand being mesmerized by someone for a few minutes if they just have a really good speaking voice, with a good cadence, etc. But after walking away, if you realize you can’t remember one thing the person said, or even the substance of what they said, you realize there was nothing there.

So – and I have repeatedly asked this of liberals, what great thing has O! ever said? what memorable line? What unique formation of words?

For instance, remember the “race speech” that everyone raved about? Aside from him calling his grandmother a racist, what does anyone remember from that speech? What was the point of the speech? What argument or theory was he advancing in the speech? Does anyone know?

Monkeytoe on June 18, 2010 at 2:28 PM

I get that there’s 25% that would approve if Obugme destroyed the economy and declared war on AZ, but 41% that still kinda like this marxist turd?
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ontherocks on June 18, 2010 at 1:43 PM

.
If one adjusts that 41% number for the African American voters who favor Obama at a rate of around 20 to 1 Pres. Obama is approaching the low popularity levels that it took 8 years of relentless distortion and demonization to took MSM to impose on Pres. Bush. That 10% of the electorate, which African American voters represent counts at election time but it one want to appreciate how non-racialist voters view Pres. Obama 41% – 10% = 31% gives you an idea. Adjust for the losers and morons and economic illiterates who are expect Obamacare to be the best thing to happen to them since receive their first welfare check and Obama’s popularity is probably in the high to mid 20s and falling.

Mike OMalley on June 18, 2010 at 2:29 PM

Chuck Schick on June 18, 2010 at 12:07 PM

Breath deeply 10 times, take your lithium and return to mom’s basement. There really is a difference between writing on a blog’s thread and doing something to someone. When you learn that you might be capable of joining adult society.

chemman on June 18, 2010 at 12:42 PM

Since we are unfamiliar with sarcasm, I will now close the cash drawer at this point…

Lanceman on June 18, 2010 at 3:05 PM

Even if Democrats lose the House, and possibly even the Senate over his obstinate agenda rejected by 72% of INDEPENDENT voters (per Rasmussen), Obama will still be President in 2011-12, so Obama will be VERY tempted to push his agenda through NOW, and then tell Republicans in Congress, “Bring it on, try to override my veto!”

If ObamaCare is enough of an economic train-wreak, let alone anything else in his agenda, well, it doesn’t take a two-thirds majority to impeach and convict a president. Drastic times, drastic measures.

LarryD on June 18, 2010 at 3:11 PM

Environmentalists Democrats Liberals are much more like battered spouses, returning again and again to their abuser based on another promise to do good. And nothing in President Obama’s June 15 oil spill and energy speech should offer environmentalists Democrats Liberals any hope that this is going to change.

J_Crater on June 18, 2010 at 3:49 PM

It took Bush years and a lot of bad luck to get where to where Obama has gotten in less than 2 years.

Terrye on June 18, 2010 at 4:05 PM

Chuck Schick on June 18, 2010 at 12:07 PM

LEAVE BRITNEY ALONE!!![/chriscrocker]

Thanks for the laugh. I needed it.

Ryan Anthony on June 18, 2010 at 4:18 PM

so, can captains of industry stop acting so scared of the guy and stand up for their rights now?

joeindc44 on June 18, 2010 at 4:39 PM

so, can captains of industry stop acting so scared of the guy and stand up for their rights now?

joeindc44 on June 18, 2010 at 4:39 PM

They are in cahoots with Obama. Small business is our only hope. Obama is promising Big business Monopolies, they are greedy not scared.

IowaWoman on June 18, 2010 at 6:43 PM

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