Angle jumps to 11-point lead in Nevada

posted at 1:36 pm on June 10, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

Harry Reid supposedly felt cheered by the nomination of Tea Party favorite Sharron Angle in Nevada’s Republican primary this week.  Democrats figured that Sue Lowden presented a much tougher opponent for Reid’s re-election effort and that his stockpiled millions could define Angle as a nutcase who represented the fringe of Nevada’s electorate.  Rasmussen’s latest poll shows that Reid has his work cut out for him:

Sharron Angle, following her come-from-behind Republican Primary win Tuesday, has bounced to an 11-point lead over Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in Nevada’s closely-watched U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Nevada, taken Wednesday night, shows Angle earning 50% support while Reid picks up 39% of the vote. Five percent (5%) like some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.

month ago, Angle led Reid 48% to 40% but ran poorest against the incumbent of the three GOP primary hopefuls as she has for months.

Reid will try to portray Angle, a Christian conservative who drew heavily on Tea Party support for her win, as unacceptable to the state. Still, the race for now continues to be about the incumbent, who earned 61% of the vote when he was reelected in 2004 but whose support in this election cycle against any Republican candidate has never risen above the low 40s.

In order for Reid’s strategy to work, he has to make the election about Angle. That’s not likely to happen this year.  Incumbents are usually thought to be in serious trouble when their numbers drop below 50%, but Reid has had trouble keeping his above 40% all year long.  Nevadans might not fall in love with Reid’s opponent, but they’re clearly tired of him.  Reid has already spent over $7 million this year, and it has resulted in him losing ground in polling support.  While Angle certainly gets a boost from her primary win, the problem for Reid is that his numbers haven’t moved at all regardless.

Casting Angle as a loon hasn’t yet paid any dividends.  Angle takes a 10-point lead among independents, 46/36, despite having been in a leading position for a relatively short period of time.  Angle’s favorables are slightly positive at 48/45, but Reid’s are upside down at 46/54.  Angle wins all but one age demo (50-64), and creams Reid among 40-49YOs, 74/21.  She wins every income demo except the lowest and highest brackets, all by majorities, and only gets edged in the latter 45/46.  Interestingly, she scores best among the working-class income demos of $20-40K (73/22) and $40-60K (61/31).

The issues don’t hold out much hope for a Reid recovery, either.  Nevadans strongly favor repealing the ObamaCare bill that Reid ended up writing and pushing into law, 58/41.  Among independents, that’s even more pronounced at 61/37, with 49% strongly favoring repeal.  That would indicate that Reid has attracted all of the independents he’s likely to get, and that Angle can scoop up the rest by focusing on Reid’s role in ObamaCare.  Also, almost two-thirds of Nevadans support Arizona’s immigration-enforcement law (64/25), a key indicator of voter comfort with Tea Party sentiment and direction.

Reid’s biggest problem isn’t Angle — it’s Harry Reid.  Angle proved herself to be adept enough to knock off an establishment candidate in the primary, which means that she’s not going to necessarily be prone to a gaffe big enough to turn the race into a referendum on herself.  As long as Reid stays in the 39-40% range in support among registered or likely voters, he’s going to be toast.


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Comments

Headline reads….wait for it……Right Angle!!!!

search4truth on June 10, 2010 at 1:38 PM

I hope this is not Ras’ Blumenthal poll which showed him almost losing, then 2 weeks later, voila! He’s back with a double-digit lead again.

Apologetic California on June 10, 2010 at 1:39 PM

Senator Angle has a nice ring to it…

PatriotRider on June 10, 2010 at 1:40 PM

Michel, Daschle, Reid. It’s like whack a mole.

Akzed on June 10, 2010 at 1:41 PM

So much for her kooky position on fluoride in the water supply. /

NoLeftTurn on June 10, 2010 at 1:42 PM

Reid’s numbers smell worse than the Capitol Visitors Center on a hot summer day.

Christien on June 10, 2010 at 1:42 PM

Ras’s poll is in line with where Reid has been forever and a day now, so I wouldn’t fret about this being an outlier. Angle beat Reid by 8% in the last round.

We can do this, but it ain’t gonna be cheap, and Angle is starting out with very little money and an organization made up largely of friends and family and assorted volunteers. If you can afford a few bucks that would be super, and if you’re a Nevadan like me, trying volunteering your time as well.

Clownballoon on June 10, 2010 at 1:42 PM

Could this be akin to a post primary bounce for Angle similar to that for Specter? Can we expect these numbers to settle here in a week or so? Reid still has a ton o’ cash ($15million IIRC) and blew the latest share on Lowden, and now has the rest aimed at Angle. I think we really need to make sure Angle has enough $$ to dump this guy and force Harry to spend his way into a shameful retirement.

ted c on June 10, 2010 at 1:42 PM

Senator Angle has a nice ring to it…

PatriotRider on June 10, 2010 at 1:40 PM

It’s true! It’s true!

Oh wait, wrong Angle.

Doughboy on June 10, 2010 at 1:44 PM

flouride!!!

blatantblue on June 10, 2010 at 1:45 PM

How much of Angle’s lead is due to the post-primary bounce though? I am not going to get excited until a see another poll in a few weeks.

taney71 on June 10, 2010 at 1:45 PM

Mark Belling interviewed her on Rush’s show today and who sounded rather impressive. And she has a solid political record in Nevada, something Ed failed to recognize.

DaydreamBeliever on June 10, 2010 at 1:46 PM

Lowden would have kicked Reid’s ass all over the place. This is pissing me off, cus they will trash this woman, and he will nick this seat. This is pissing me off.

Chudi on June 10, 2010 at 1:46 PM

I hope they make some of her principled stands an issue. Like the constitution. Or fluoride. You should all do some research on fluoride. My kids don’t get near fluoridated anything.

eaglesdontflock on June 10, 2010 at 1:47 PM

If the DNC hasn’t got anything on her yet, there most likely isn’t anything to get, cause you know they have been doing everything they can to find any dirt on her. She needs to keep the pressure on Harry, and she should coast in just fine.

Johnnyreb on June 10, 2010 at 1:48 PM

Sharron Angle was on Mark Levin’s program last night, and just last hour was on Rush Limbaugh with guest host Mark Belling from Wisconsin. He just said that after Mrs. Angle mentioned Harry’s $25 million war chest and she would like 1 million conservatives to go to her website and donate $25 to help her fight him off, the website donation page has crashed.

Boom!

Keep trying folks, she needs the help.

Brian1972 on June 10, 2010 at 1:48 PM

Harry Reid to aide:

Don’t these Christian conservatives have any fun? This Angle woman’s life is just as boring as Palin’s.

technopeasant on June 10, 2010 at 1:49 PM

She will need $, but I doubt it will truly be an issue raising enough to be competitive.

The nation sees Reid as vulnerable- I think the cash will start flowing her way quickly. Especially if she runs a competent campaign.

cs89 on June 10, 2010 at 1:50 PM

Could this be akin to a post primary bounce for Angle similar to that for Specter?

duh, i meant sestak…

ted c on June 10, 2010 at 1:52 PM

Lowden would have kicked Reid’s ass all over the place. This is pissing me off, cus they will trash this woman, and he will nick this seat. This is pissing me off.

Chudi on June 10, 2010 at 1:46 PM

Like Reid wouldn’t have tried to smear Lowden? The Dems don’t change their playbook just because they have a different opponent. We’ve seen with Palin that there are no depths to which they won’t sink to trash someone. Even the kids are now fair game. But I think we’ve reached a breaking point in this country(in most states at least) where the Alinsky crap won’t work anymore.

Doughboy on June 10, 2010 at 1:52 PM

Brian1972 on June 10, 2010 at 1:48
PM

cool. thanks. the woman has a plan.

ted c on June 10, 2010 at 1:52 PM

Chudi on June 10, 2010 at 1:46 PM

Direct that energy to helping her win. Don’t buy into the rhetoric that she is a nutcase. A lot of intelligent and informed people believe as she does.

Everyone should do their own personal research and not depend on campaign talking points and hearsay. I support her wholeheartedly.

eaglesdontflock on June 10, 2010 at 1:53 PM

Reid’s biggest problem isn’t Angle — it’s Harry Reid.

Exactly. Which the beltway political & media types — both mainstream & conservative — fail to realize. He’s got a list a mile long of things he’s shepherded through that are just so beyond unpopular in the country writ large. They really have no clue how they are all viewed by the citizenry of the country. It’s not pretty.

Yeah, the Scientology massages are a bit odd, but the chicken bartering would have been lampooned just as much. I heard her yesterday on Hugh Hewitt, and she defends & explains her positions on things like the DoE and Social Security quite well. She seems to be articulate enough to be able to stand up for herself and throw a punch, which is what is really required of her.

She’ll be 1 of 100, she’s not going to get rid of the DoE on her own, though it’s a perfectly reasonable position, didn’t the CwA include that & getting rid of Commerce as part of 10 items? Joe Scarborough seems to have forgotten those things. But she can still get rid of the loathsome Harry Reid, and that is priceless.

lizzie beth on June 10, 2010 at 1:56 PM

It’s also funny how, in my 47-year lifetime, Mormonism has only ever come up as a political issue when Mitt Romney was running for president.

DaydreamBeliever on June 10, 2010 at 2:01 PM

The entire country needs to support this woman’s campaign against Reid. Donations, donations, donations…

Keemo on June 10, 2010 at 2:04 PM

Sharron Angle was on Mark Levin’s program last night, and just last hour was on Rush Limbaugh with guest host Mark Belling from Wisconsin. He just said that after Mrs. Angle mentioned Harry’s $25 million war chest and she would like 1 million conservatives to go to her website and donate $25 to help her fight him off, the website donation page has crashed.

Boom!

Keep trying folks, she needs the help.

Brian1972 on June 10, 2010 at 1:48 PM

I thought republicans were supposed to start their media tour on MSNBC…

the_nile on June 10, 2010 at 2:04 PM

I thought republicans were supposed to start their media tour on MSNBC…

the_nile on June 10, 2010 at 2:04 PM

is that station carried by anyone anymore? ….

ted c on June 10, 2010 at 2:06 PM

I’ll play Allah’s alter ego and say that there’s plenty of time for the GOP to fubar this – and many other- races this fall, including some that shouldn’t be losable.

Physics Geek on June 10, 2010 at 2:11 PM

Feel the burn, Harry, feel the burn!

ya2daup on June 10, 2010 at 2:12 PM

If the Dimmocrats had a scintilla of sense, they’d simply adjourn Congress for the remainder of this term. I mean, they have no intention of passing a budget, so anything else they’d do would be purely to the detriment of the country.

ya2daup on June 10, 2010 at 2:13 PM

this is good if the GOp men won’t lead we can turn to the strong women in the GOP.

unseen on June 10, 2010 at 2:14 PM

Oh, and also, I saw earlier that DeMint has now backed her, I don’t remember her on his list a couple of weeks ago. The big grizzly herself needs to get fully behind Sharron Angle, Nevada would be a state where she can really help out a lot.

Plus, Nevada has a very strong Libertarian streak, so some of her views that might seem odd to East Coasters, really aren’t outside the mainstream of Libertarian thought.

lizzie beth on June 10, 2010 at 2:17 PM

Is Angle a “mama grizzly” ?

Dire Straits on June 10, 2010 at 2:18 PM

It’s also funny how, in my 47-year lifetime, Mormonism has only ever come up as a political issue when Mitt Romney was running for president.

DaydreamBeliever on June 10, 2010 at 2:01 PM

To be fair, the MSM did the Catholic thing to JFK, so there was a precedence.

Johnnyreb on June 10, 2010 at 2:18 PM

Lowden would have kicked Reid’s ass all over the place. This is pissing me off, cus they will trash this woman, and he will nick this seat. This is pissing me off.

Chudi on June 10, 2010 at 1:46 PM

Oh please. Lowden ran a terribly campaign. Absolutely horrid. Tarkanian wasn’t much better. No thanks.

Angle’s campaign was extremely impressive given her funding disadvantage. And she is not afraid to hammer Reid non-stop.

And the simple truth is; if you don’t have Tea Party support, you’re not gonna win this year. Period.

Norwegian on June 10, 2010 at 2:19 PM

Republicans in Nevada must have more sense than the ones in Florida, no offense, Lanceman.

MeatHeadinCA on June 10, 2010 at 2:20 PM

I love toast, don’t you? BTW, how’s the Son of Mortician doing in the gov race?

Kissmygrits on June 10, 2010 at 2:21 PM

Lowden would have kicked Reid’s ass all over the place. This is pissing me off, cus they will trash this woman, and he will nick this seat. This is pissing me off.

Chudi on June 10, 2010 at 1:46 PM

Stop complaining and start helping the resistance kick Dirty Harry to the curb.

MeatHeadinCA on June 10, 2010 at 2:22 PM

Methinks Chudi is a concern troll of some flavor. Lowden ran a terrible campaign and couldn’t keep her foot out of her mouth.

Clownballoon on June 10, 2010 at 2:22 PM

Kissmygrits on June 10, 2010 at 2:21 PM

More pathetically than his father, thank goodness. Either Sandoval and Angle both win or neither will.

The Dingy family will hang together or hang separately.

KingGold on June 10, 2010 at 2:23 PM

But Allahpundit has a “bad vibes” about her, and Scott Brown, and Marco Rubio and Sarah Palin and Glenn Beck etc., etc.! The bad thing about it is that he can’t be wrong all the time.

Cindy Munford on June 10, 2010 at 2:23 PM

Reid’s numbers smell worse than the Capitol Visitors Center on a hot summer day.

Christien on June 10, 2010 at 1:42 PM

ZING!

Kafir on June 10, 2010 at 2:23 PM

Damn, sure am glad dingy got just the candidate he wanted …

tarpon on June 10, 2010 at 2:24 PM

Methinks Chudi is a concern troll of some flavor. Lowden ran a terrible campaign and couldn’t keep her foot out of her mouth.

Clownballoon on June 10, 2010 at 2:22 PM

Whether or not she ran a terrible campaign, Angle won and she’s someone A LOT better than Reid. Time to put the primaries behind us and work to win. Sometimes I feel like some here (not most, but not just Chudi) are more interested in ringing their hands instead of defeating the leftists…

MeatHeadinCA on June 10, 2010 at 2:28 PM

Reid is everyone’s problem.

tommer74 on June 10, 2010 at 2:32 PM

heard her on rush’s show…sounded real good…

we can’t count our chickens on any of these races yet…but it’s looking hopeful…

:)

cmsinaz on June 10, 2010 at 2:41 PM

heard her on rush’s show…sounded real good…

we can’t count our chickens on any of these races yet…but it’s looking hopeful…

:)

cmsinaz on June 10, 2010 at 2:41 PM

Yup. Just sent her 25 bucks.

Behold the power of the fully operational Ditto Star.

Heh.

Bruno Strozek on June 10, 2010 at 2:50 PM

Heh

Bruno Strozek on June 10, 2010 at 2:50 PM

:)

cmsinaz on June 10, 2010 at 2:52 PM

I’m not sure I’m all that crazy about Angle until I read more about her views, but I am crazy about the fact that she could possibly topple Mr. Stinky himself.

scalleywag on June 10, 2010 at 3:01 PM

Yes indeed.I remember Bob Beckell who at the time worked for Carter just rubbing his fat hands saying we want to run against that B movie over the hill actor Reagan we will beat him like a drum .Yes indeed be very careful what you wish for.

thmcbb on June 10, 2010 at 3:05 PM

We can do this, but it ain’t gonna be cheap, and Angle is starting out with very little money and an organization made up largely of friends and family and assorted volunteers. If you can afford a few bucks that would be super, and if you’re a Nevadan like me, trying volunteering your time as well.

Clownballoon on June 10, 2010 at 1:42 PM

Anything worth fighting for will take a lot of fighting for.

Hit the pavement folks.

Chaz706 on June 10, 2010 at 3:45 PM

But Allahpundit has a “bad vibes” about her, and Scott Brown, and Marco Rubio and Sarah Palin and Glenn Beck etc., etc.! The bad thing about it is that he can’t be wrong all the time.

Cindy Munford on June 10, 2010 at 2:23 PM

If the democrats can get as close to being wrong all the time as they are, I’m comfortable with Allahpundit’s odds.

No offense Allah.

Chaz706 on June 10, 2010 at 3:46 PM

If the DNC hasn’t got anything on her yet, there most likely isn’t anything to get, cause you know they have been doing everything they can to find any dirt on her.

Makes sense, but they may be saving whatever they find for an October surprise.

Missy on June 10, 2010 at 4:12 PM

Makes sense, but they may be saving whatever they find for an October surprise.

Missy on June 10, 2010

Any Republican candidate who isn’t working to counter that line of attack is a fool and shouldn’t be in politics. Always assume the Democrats will sink to any depth and prepare to meet them head-on.

SKYFOX on June 10, 2010 at 4:24 PM

Hey!! Sharron shares a birthday with Sir Michael Jagger (albeit 6 years later).

I guess that qualifies her for rock star status.

JohnGalt23 on June 10, 2010 at 4:28 PM

Ah, the Palinization of Sharron Angle has begun!

I hope they make some of her principled stands an issue. Like the constitution. Or fluoride. You should all do some research on fluoride. My kids don’t get near fluoridated anything.

eaglesdontflock on June 10, 2010 at 1:47 PM

We don’t have fluoride in the water supply here. People don’t want it. I’ll admit I thought it was peculiar when I first moved here, having been born and raised in the Northeast where this sort of government meddling is accepted as a matter of course, but I get that some folks have legitimate concerns about it. I’m not sure I subscribe to them, but the jury is still out. In the meantime, I buy fluoridated toothpaste and mouth rinse. Seems to work just fine and if my dentist is OK with it, then I’m OK with it.

Some people want just want to be left alone to decide things like this for themselves. This is a good example of how statism creeps into your life bit by bit.

NoLeftTurn on June 10, 2010 at 4:36 PM

Headline reads….wait for it……Right Angle!!!!

search4truth on June 10, 2010 at 1:38 PM

She’s not real acute, but at least she’s not obtuse.

RadClown on June 10, 2010 at 4:53 PM

I had a conversation with a couple of guys in the locker room (no naked Rahms) and I was trying to encourage them that Angle is going to kick Harry’s political ass. This poll is good news and confirms what I was telling the guys.

Mojave Mark on June 10, 2010 at 5:02 PM

Angle proved herself to be adept enough to knock off an establishment candidate in the primary, which means that she’s not going to necessarily be prone to a gaffe big enough to turn the race into a referendum on herself.

Note to Angle: Do not quote Rand Paul or Sue Lowden !!!

Angle needs to campaign on repealing ObamaCare and cutting taxes and spending, and avoid fringe issues, and give Reid enough rope to (politically) hang himself.

Steve Z on June 10, 2010 at 5:04 PM

we can’t count our chickens on any of these races yet…but it’s looking hopeful…

:)

cmsinaz on June 10, 2010 at 2:41 PM

That was Sue Lowden’s problem–she traded her chickens for health care. Angle basically needs to ask Nevada the Reagan question–are you better off now than 6 years ago?

Steve Z on June 10, 2010 at 5:08 PM

A few facts from an Angle volunteer since 2006:

Sharron is now lives in Reno, but has lived all over the state since age 5. Both Tark and Sue are based in Las Vegas – 450 miles from Reno. It’s a big state.

Sharron won all but one of the county GOP straw polls here in NV – Bill Parson won the only other one. Neither Tark nor Sue won a single county straw poll of active Republicans. Their early poll numbers were largely because of self-funded TV ads.

There were two major televised debates – one in Reno and one in Las Vegas. The post-debate polls of each audience (about 600 people) were both won by — can you guess?? — Sharron.

Sharron set 3 NV state weightlifting records when she was in her early 40’s.

She has tutored in state prisons – she knows inmates’ personal problems up close.

In 2003 she led a minority in the state assembly to fight a $800 million tax hike. At the time the NV state constitution required a 2/3 majority to raise taxes. The majority was missing one vote. Gov. Guinn had Brian Sandoval, AG at the time, sue the legislature to pass the tax anyway, they did, and Angle sued Guinn. The NV state Supreme Court ruled (6-1 I think) that it was OK to ignore the state constitution – for the school children, don’t ya know.

Angle hired, on her own dime, John Eastman (good friend of Mark Levin) and took Angle v Guinn to SCOTUS. By that time the majority had flipped one assemblyman, made the 2/3, so case was moot.

In 2006 all 6 NV SC judges who voted in the majority were either dead or voted out, next NV SC voted that the 2003 decision was unconstitutional.

ONE WOMAN sued all 3 branches of her own state government because they ignored their own constitution.

Article IV, Section 4 – “Republican form of government” means a constitutionally limited representative democracy.

That’s worth a $25 donation, isn’t it??

fred5678 on June 10, 2010 at 6:43 PM

Here is how Angle beats up on Reid – two major issues combined into one ad:

Reid is TOAST. With record unemployment of American citizens and hordes of illegal aliens invading our country, Reid has been on the wrong side every time.

The same weekend that 1200 Arizonans attended a funeral for a rancher murdered by illegal alien drug smugglers, good old Harry was leading a rally of illegal aliens and their supporters in Las Vegas, promising them swift action on “amnesty” (“Comprehensive Immigration Reform” for liberals and McCain). Wrong side, Harry.

And when it comes time to lead the Senate — remember these numbers: 407 to 2.

Why are they important? They demonstrate how out of touch Reid is with America, how he is courting votes of future “legalized” illegal aliens, and how he is punishing American citizen workers. 407 to 2. Remember these numbers: 407 to 2.

In February, 2009, the House passed an amendment that required all the billions or trillions (hard to keep the comma in the right place these days!) of federal stimulus money (i. e. American taxpayers’ hard-earned dollars) to be spent on contracts with companies that used E-verify, so as
to ensure that all those $$$$ would eventually go to American citizens, too many of whom are unemployed.

What did the majority leader of the Senate do? He ignored the wishes of the American people, as expressed through their elected representatives by an overwhelming 407 to 2 vote, and BLOCKED all attempts to have a vote on a similar amendment in the Senate.

Result: Billions of our taxes intentionally spent on jobs for ILLEGAL ALIENS.

You can thank Harry (TOAST) Reid in November by remembering these numbers: 407 to 2.

fred5678 on June 10, 2010 at 6:47 PM

I heard the Belling-on-Rush’s show interview with Angle today and was impressed. I hadn’t heard her before but heard of her and about Allah’s nerves, etc. I was really impressed with what I heard today.

Yesterday I listened to Hugh Hewitt who announced she was coming up then I had to miss the actual interview. Tuning in later I heard Hewitt–no kook by any stretch–referencing her with a thrilled tone. He said the ob, the Dems will try and paint her as fringe but she is emphatically not, said Hewitt.

Also Angle told Belling today all of her Republican opponents have contacted her and are on her team and they are united in their aim to defeat Harry Reid.

KittyLowrey on June 10, 2010 at 8:41 PM

In any other year I’d say Harry could Palinize her enough to eek out a victory. Not in 2010. I think the GOP could put up a plant and still get 53%.

A sitting senator with 40% approval rating is DOA come election day.

angryed on June 10, 2010 at 9:35 PM

Everybody has a few kooky things about them. They can be fun.

I like dijon mustard on my peanut butter sandwiches.

Sharron Angle felt that her constituents be allowed to vote before treating their public water supply with flouride.

So what?

The deadly serious issues are not so fun. Like having your Senate Majority Leader embolden the enemy, while our sons and daughters are in the field of battle, with four sinister words:

“This war is lost”

Get kooky. Fire Harry Reid.

Saltysam on June 11, 2010 at 2:51 AM