Gulp: 51% now oppose new offshore drilling

posted at 8:21 pm on June 4, 2010 by Allahpundit

It’s a poll of adults, not registered or likely voters, but there’s no reason to doubt the trend. A Gallup poll taken last week showed a double-digit reversal in just two months between whether energy production or the environment should be a higher priority for America. A Quinnipiac poll from mid-May showed 53 percent support for continuing offshore drilling, but that was before “top kill” failed. Now, per CBS, the majority is pointing the other way.

With oil continuing to stream into the Gulf, a majority of Americans – 51 percent — say the costs and risks of increased offshore drilling are too great, according to a new CBS News poll.

That’s ten points higher than one month ago and an increase of 23 points from a poll taken in August 2008, when Republican rallies regularly broke out in chants of “drill, baby, drill.”

In the new poll, 40 percent said they favor increased offshore drilling. That’s a drop of five points from last week and 22 points from August 2008

Americans increasingly see the oil spill not as an isolated incident but rather part of a broader problem with offshore drilling. Last month, 51 percent saw the spill as an isolated incident. That figure has now dropped to 45 percent. The percentage that see the spill as part of a broader problem, meanwhile, has increased ten percent to match that 45 percent figure.

The One’s approval on handling the spill is 38/44. Question: Is it worth putting any stock in these polls? They seem to be the purest form of public-opinion snapshots. When there’s an environmental crisis, support for drilling collapses; when there’s an energy crisis, it skyrockets. If things come to a head with Iran and suddenly gasoline’s six dollars a gallon, “drill, baby, drill” will be back to 70 percent in no time — which, er, won’t be much of a consolation when we’re paying six dollars a gallon. I guess the real question is how stable these numbers will be if BP’s containment dome works and the oil starts to trickle instead of to gush. Rough equilibrium, maybe? Pretty much every other issue is 50/50 anymore, so why not energy?

The best barometer of our new political reality isn’t a poll, though. It’s the fact that the Great Libertarian Hope and heir to the Paulnut throne is now going around saying things like, “I think we do have to have [drilling] regulations, and we do have regulations in place but apparently wasn’t enough.” No wonder Kentucky libertarians are looking at a third-party run! For your viewing pleasure, here’s his old man yesterday on Imus expressing a little sympathy for The One, who, despite promising America during the campaign that he would slow the rise of the oceans and heal the planet, is now discovering that government can’t do everything after all. Click the image to watch.


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With oil continuing to stream into the Gulf, a majority of Americans – 51 percent — say the costs and risks of increased offshore drilling are too great, according to a new CBS News poll.

The danger seems most directly associated with deep-water drilling. And the only reason anyone is drilling in such deep water seems to be that the Americans’ rulers do not permit drilling in most of the coastal shallows or on the most promising land.

Kralizec on June 4, 2010 at 9:37 PM

Maybe we can get a little love for on-land drilling, say ANWR?

mbs on June 4, 2010 at 9:44 PM

Raise the price of gas to $7 a gallon. Then I’ll show you how much that poll is worth.

GarandFan on June 4, 2010 at 9:51 PM

The photo is literally heartbreaking. All of the folks in charge of clean up are refusing help. They are REFUSING help.

Well, we’s got news for them: We’re coming. If you go to any of the volunteer sites, they’re all saying “we’ll get back to ya”. “You need training”.

Imagine/.

Key West Reader on June 4, 2010 at 9:53 PM

My wife (from Houston) just reminded me that there was a worse spill in roughly 1980 in the Gulf of Mexico that spilled more oil per day, up to 30,000 gallons per day, for *a year* before they stopped it.

#2 on this list of worst oil spills in history…

http://envirowonk.com/content/view/68/1/

Now, this current ‘spill’ is far greater ‘per day’, but from the numbers, we’re not even half of that massive spill yet (100 million gallons, and we’re probably around 40 million or so?).

So yes, if this rolls another month and a half, it’ll surpass that one. And if the numbers are correct (check me, I’m open to correction – 42 gallons per barrel and what may be a high estimate of 20,000 barrels per day rate, etc), it’ll take 20 months or so for this to be equivalent to that Kuwait spill where Hussein intentionally loosed bunches of oil (500 million barrels +).

The Gulf was icky after that 1980 spill for a bit, but it survived just fine.

We need to fix this quickly and clean it up, but we need to also remain level-headed adults here and not freak out about, jumping into ‘solutions’ that help destroy our already fragile economy.

With that said, I came up with what I and several others believe to be an interesting thought about getting this thing shut off or at least pressure reduced to minimum levels to make it easier to cap. Who do I call? lol

Midas on June 4, 2010 at 9:59 PM

All of the folks in charge of clean up are refusing help. They are REFUSING help…they’re all saying “we’ll get back to ya”. “You need training”.
 
Key West Reader on June 4, 2010 at 9:53 PM

 
$100 says it has something to do with government regulations.

rogerb on June 4, 2010 at 10:03 PM

Nature spills more oil than man . Ban nature.

CWforFreedom on June 4, 2010 at 10:08 PM

Raise the price of gas to $7 a gallon. Then I’ll show you how much that poll is worth.

GarandFan on June 4, 2010 at 9:51 PM

Ain’t that the truth.

Terrye on June 4, 2010 at 10:19 PM

And we see the left’s plan for not wasting this crisis. I wouldn’t expect too too much effort from the administration to clean any of this up or help stop the leak until the poll numbers are where they want them.

I still ask. . . where’s the Navy. They have tens of thousands of personnel who are trained and many of whom have experience controlling and cleaning spills. The Navy has submersibles that make the ones we’re renting from Sweden right now look like bathtub toys. The Navy has the specialized craft that would be ideal for protecting the marshes and coastline quickly.

Instead of bringing in the Navy, who are already trained and have the equipment. We’re training “paid volunteers” a few hours on the beach and drafting in the slowest vessels we can find (shrimp boats) to run booms around.

Jason Coleman on June 4, 2010 at 10:20 PM

Let me harp a minute or two more on submersibles.

We have a submersible that can fit inside of a cargo aircraft. One of the missions this submersible is designed for is to salvage the reactor and warheads in the event a boomer is lost.

Think about that. This sub can be deployed anywhere in the world at very short notice, launch and travel to the bottom of the ocean, cut holes in a submarine, extract the reactor core if need be and remove the warheads from the missiles in their silos.

This is a very capable sub that can do FAR FAR more in terms of actual physical work than anything BP is putting down there. AND. . . it can do that with actual humans on site eyeballing the problem.

That sub is sitting in a hanger.

Jason Coleman on June 4, 2010 at 10:26 PM

Here’s a poll question .Would you turn your thermostat down to 55 degrees in the winter and turn it up to 85 degrees in the summer?Would you get rid of your car and only ride bikes and mopeds? would you pay 2 times as much for half the power your using now?Would you agree to cut your grass with a old time push mower?would you use only 15 inch and smaller T.V.?Would you limit your computer use to 4hr. per week?Would you agree to eat only veggies and fruit organically grown no fertilizers it comes from petrochemicals?Would you do all these thing to stop drilling off shore oil?

thmcbb on June 4, 2010 at 10:29 PM

thmcbb on June 4, 2010 at 10:29 PM


We won’t have a choice.

Inanemergencydial on June 4, 2010 at 10:31 PM

Ask those same 51% what they think when gas is over $5.00/gal.

Socmodfiscon on June 4, 2010 at 11:01 PM

So when China and Cuba drill in the Gulf everything will be fine? If the pictures of China’s waterways are to be believed I don’t think they are will be overly worried about the impact of any spills and they sure as heck won’t accept liability.

Cindy Munford on June 4, 2010 at 11:30 PM

Ever been even 30 feet under water? For those not used to it it gets really uncomfortable fast. Now try 5,000 feet. Drilling that deep is just a dumb thing to do.

If the Republicans (Chris Christie aside) had any sales ability at all by now they would have 70 plus percent of America believing that we should be drilling in ANWR (which is exactly 0 feet below water).

But alas, Republicans couldn’t sell free sh!% to a fertilizer company.

watson007 on June 4, 2010 at 11:32 PM

Nice going allahpundit. The very definition of a muckraking media metrosexual. Replete with deliberate pathos-evoking pic of a muck-covered beast.
Disgusting.
Way to carry oil-covered water for the marxists.

rayra on June 5, 2010 at 12:40 AM

This is to be expected. People react emotionally to images of oil-soaked birds (thanks a lot, AP). It will blow over once gas is back up to $4/gallon. That said, there’s really no reason we need to be drilling in such deep waters when there is plenty of resources on land and closer to shore. Also, perhaps if the government actually did its job of actual oversight, things like this would be even more rare than they already are? Just a thought.

NoLeftTurn on June 5, 2010 at 2:20 AM

Hm, now might be the time to invest in a company which is working on coal gasification…

On the other hand, if the world economy does tip back over into recession, as seems likely, it’ll be a while before energy prices really start getting out of control once more.

Inkblots on June 5, 2010 at 3:16 AM

Keep It Simple Stupid. We either become energy independent (offshore drilling, ANWR, shale oil, nuclear, coal, etc.) or we sink into third world status. we should take every precaution available and study the “whys” and “hows” of the BP explosion but concurrently keep on drilling. Everything worthwhile in life involves risks.

MaiDee on June 5, 2010 at 9:27 AM

lol. quoting a gallup “poll”. thats funny

gee, im SO sure they didnt way oversample libs to get a result they would want. no, that would never happen.

so anyone who has changed there mind since the spill must support ON-shore drilling now, right? GOOD

sidewinder22 on June 5, 2010 at 9:57 AM

I feel terrible for the birds and for the people who earn their living on the Gulf. But shipping oil in tankers is more dangerous than drilling!

As said above, there have been worst spills and the coast recovered. The coast has recovered from the Valdez spill. Nature is not “fragile”–it is resilient. It’s time for the fear mongering (by the media and government both) to end.

PattyJ on June 5, 2010 at 10:41 AM

six dollars a gallon.

That is going to hurt me with my 20 mile commute to work. I suppose ecotards will tell me to buy something more fuel efficient. Because money grows on trees?

aikidoka on June 5, 2010 at 11:15 AM

Chemicals? We don’t need no stinkin’ chemicals. Hell, we’ll just live off the land and revert to the ways of the mountain men in the 1830′s. No sweat. What are you going to do without your iPods and makeup? Kamikaze attacks didn’t get the job done,either. We’ll just completely destroy the economy over a situation that could have been averted but you know how these experts are, don’t try to tell them anything and that goes for all of the idiotic greenies, too. These is no reason to be drilling that deep and there are 36,000 offshore wells that have had no problems. If these wizards had got on to the problem immediately, we would not have had this mess but the college boys and money boys just knew better, didn’t they? The technology was there and they didn’t use it!! How hard is it to understand? Cessation of drilling isn’t the answer no matter where the drilling is unless you want, as I said earlier, to revert to the nineteenth century.
Have a look at this:
http://www.wimp.com/solutionoil/

LarryG on June 5, 2010 at 12:23 PM

I’d love to see a little experiment/reality show where someone surveys people on a busy street, about oil and oil production.

Once you’ve identified a eco-warrior who feels that big oil is the route of all evil, offer said warrior $50 bucks for a more in depth “interview”.

Sit our misguided gaia worshipper down and start with their shoes. Those gotta go, here’s a pair of woven mocs. Socks? Industrial machinery, gotta go, here’s some hand-knits, pants go the same way, here’s some heavy woolen trousers. Continue through their entire kit, glasses, gotta revert to wavy 1800′s lenses and fragile frames, etc, etc. Of course take away the iPods and everything else of technological worth. Basically provide him with only objects made without the influence of oil.

Our hippie friend will probably play along at this point and say how great all of this would be. At this point offer him $10000 to continue for 1 month.

Upon agreement. . . .drop him 50 miles from the nearest phone in rural Alaska.

That would make some great reality TV.

Jason Coleman on June 5, 2010 at 1:50 PM

My wife (from Houston) just reminded me that there was a worse spill in roughly 1980 in the Gulf of Mexico that spilled more oil per day, up to 30,000 gallons per day, for *a year* before they stopped it.

#2 on this list of worst oil spills in history…

http://envirowonk.com/content/view/68/1/

Midas on June 4, 2010 at 9:59 PM

I think envirowonk has Ixtoc wrong – initially the Ixtoc blowout was (est.) 30,000 barrels per day, not gallons. That works out to 1.26 million gallons per day. They (Pemex) were able to reduce this flow somewhat over time, but ultimately, they ended up dumping around 3.3 million barrels, about 138 million gallons, into the GoM.

http://news.discovery.com/earth/gulf-oil-spill-ixtoc.html

dissent555 on June 5, 2010 at 2:24 PM

A majority against drilling versus the inevitable rise of gas prices. Now THIS is unsustainable! Imagine two express trains barrelling towards each other on the same track…

Dark-Star on June 5, 2010 at 5:03 PM

And when the next plane crash occurs, 100% of those same people will want to eliminate air travel.

afotia on June 5, 2010 at 7:24 PM

Face it everyone…

Americans are sheep. The MSM says baaahhhh and the American sheep Baahhhh right back.

Oil spill bad. No drill. No SUV. Must take bike to work. Bahhhhhh.

angryed on June 5, 2010 at 7:39 PM

Hm, now might be the time to invest in a company which is working on coal gasification…

On the other hand, if the world economy does tip back over into recession, as seems likely, it’ll be a while before energy prices really start getting out of control once more.

Inkblots on June 5, 2010 at 3:16 AM

Completely ignoring that Obama promised on the campaign trail to destroy the coal industsry and ‘necessarily quadruple electriciy prices’.
And that his pet marxists at the EPA will execute his policy sans legislative oversight (such as THAT is with those non-bill-reading mofos).

“under my plan electricity rates would necessarily skyrocket”

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJHlcPTF6dM

The rest of the segment has him describing how his ‘plan’ would bankrupt anyone attempting to operate in the coal industry.
Fully HALF of the electricity used in this nation is generated by coal-fired power plants. The Marxist in Chief intends to eliminate that entire industry, by regulatory fiat if he cannot get congress to suicide on a Cap and Trade bill.
So, can you live on half the electricity you use today, and zero growth? Can this nation’s prosperity continue with HALF the electricity and the deliberate murder of an energy industry that feeds so many sectors of our economy? No we cannot. And this President KNOWS that and intends to do it anyway.
It isn’t a misunderstanding or accident. He and his handlers are doing this to us DELIBERATELY.
Now ask and asnwer to yourself ‘why?’

rayra on June 5, 2010 at 9:05 PM

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