Gallup: Six in ten Americans expect tax increases in the next year
posted at 12:55 pm on April 15, 2010 by Ed Morrissey
When Tea Party protests began erupting all over the country last year, Democrats and their partisan advocates in the media wondered aloud why they would get criticism over tax increases. After all, they promised middle class tax cuts. Just yesterday, Congressional Democrats claimed to have cut taxes more than any other administration in history, which left Rep. Mike Pence in a fit of laughter on the House floor. CBS has a story up this morning attempting to boost Democrats’ arguments that Porkulus reduced taxes in 2009 and that voter anger is somehow misplaced.
They miss the point that although Democrats and the media have treated American voters like idiots, most of us can connect big spending today with massive tax increases later — and Gallup’s latest survey shows that 63% of the public managed to outsmart the elites:
Sixty-three percent of Americans believe their taxes will increase in the next 12 months, while 4% expect a change that will reduce their taxes. Majorities of all income groups share this view, though it is more common among Americans in upper-income households.
Americans in most demographic groups widely expect their taxes to increase over the next year, but there is pronounced variation among income groups, as noted, and by political party affiliation.
Specifically, 74% of Republicans expect their taxes to go up, as do 64% of independents. A proportionately lower 49% of Democrats share that view, but it is still the most common response within the group. Forty-one percent of Democrats expect their taxes to remain unchanged, and 6% think theirs will go down.
Gallup sampled the general adult population, not registered or likely voters. This is as sympathetic as it gets for Democrats. And even Democrats can’t sell the “tax cutter” spin to any more than 6% of their own party.
Not only do a plurality of Democrats disbelieve their own party on tax increases, the same holds true among all income demographics. A majority of 53% of people earning less than $30,000 per year expect their taxes to increase. Only 4% believe their taxes will decrease.
Compare these numbers to the Gallup survey from yesterday, which showed that 97% of all Americans believe they pay either enough or too much in taxes, and one can see why the Tea Parties have caught fire across America. Voters believe they’re overtaxed as it is, and see Democratic policies pushing big tax hikes as early as next year. The only real wonder is that the Tea Parties have only attracted a 24% identification in the electorate, but it grew by half in the previous month. They’re coming around to the Tea Party position, driven there by Democrats.
Update: For an idea of just how the media has twisted the coverage of the Tea Party, the Media Research Center has a new report on the issue. Called “Tea Party Travesty,” it rips the media for its biased approach:
- Given its demonstrated influence, network coverage of the Tea Party has been minuscule. Across all of their major programs, ABC, CBS and NBC aired a mere 61 stories or segments over a twelve month period, while another 141 items included brief references to the movement. Most of that coverage is recent; the networks virtually refused to recognize the Tea Party in 2009 (just 19 stories), with the level of coverage increasing only after Scott Brown’s election in Massachusetts.
- Most of the networks’ 2009 coverage was limited to individual Tea Party rallies: six reports on the April 15, 2009 “tax day” protests, along with five other brief mentions; just one report on the July 4 rallies; and six full reports on the September 12 rally on Capitol Hill, plus eight brief mentions.
- Such coverage is piddling compared to that lavished on protests serving liberal objectives. The Nation of Islam’s “Million Man March” in 1995, for example, was featured in 21 evening news stories on just the night of that march — more than the Tea Party received in all of 2009. The anti-gun “Million Mom March” in 2000 was preceded by 41 broadcast network reports (morning, evening, and Sunday shows) heralding its message, including a dozen positive pre-march interviews with organizers and participants, a favor the networks never granted the Tea Party.
- Network reporters were dismissive of the first Tea Party events in 2009. “There’s been some grassroots conservatives who have organized so-called Tea Parties around the country,” NBC’s Chuck Todd noted on the April 15, 2009 Today, but “the idea hasn’t really caught on.” On ABC’s World News, reporter Dan Harris warned viewers that “critics on the Left say this is not a real grassroots phenomenon at all, that it’s actually largely orchestrated by people fronting for corporate interests.”
That’s just the beginning. There is plenty more about the most recent coverage as well.









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Conclusion: six in ten Americans are paying attention
BPD on April 15, 2010 at 12:59 PM
Who are these “four”?
How many years, in the past 30 years, have not had a tax increase of some kind…of course you could take Mitts tact, not increase taxes, just increase “fees”, that way you don’t need to vote.
right2bright on April 15, 2010 at 1:00 PM
You’d be surprised :/
blatantblue on April 15, 2010 at 1:00 PM
It doesn’t just stop at Taxes. If anyone still has a student loan they pay… have you noticed your interest has gone up? I know mine already has. And I pay it 2 weeks before due. So I paid little if none… and I noticed it went up 15%. Interesting.
upinak on April 15, 2010 at 1:00 PM
Count me among the 60%
UltimateBob on April 15, 2010 at 1:00 PM
The other 4 either pay nothing or get a $2500 refund for the $168 they paid.
Beaglemom on April 15, 2010 at 1:02 PM
Only 6? Are the other 4 living in caves somewhere?
jeanie on April 15, 2010 at 1:02 PM
The other 40% are expecting to gain from the robbery of their fellow citizens so they are perfectly OK with it.
Chip on April 15, 2010 at 1:03 PM
In other news: the sky is blue
metric on April 15, 2010 at 1:05 PM
I would add that the other 40% don’t realize that such a system is unsustainable and will inevitably crash – but for now, they don’t care.
Chip on April 15, 2010 at 1:05 PM
What people need to remember is, in the end, everyone pays the tax. The money that your employer coughs up in tax, or your trash hauler coughs up, you’ll be paying too, indirectly. The difference between your employer having that money to spend, or the federal government having that money, is that if your employer shares it with you in the form of a raise, he’s not going to attach strings to it. If the federal government ever gives you some tiny little piece of that revenue, they’ll attach so many strings that it’s almost not worth getting.
RBMN on April 15, 2010 at 1:12 PM
Nazi Pelosi just announced that the donks had cut taxes by $800 billion.
I put that through the donk to reality translator and it came out: Due to our policies the tax income has gone down by $800 billion because of unemployment.
jukin on April 15, 2010 at 1:14 PM
The same 6 in 10 probably had a tax increase in the previous year and can continue to expect tax increases in next couple of years.
fourdeucer on April 15, 2010 at 1:14 PM
Conclusion: 40% are clueless
PatriotRider on April 15, 2010 at 1:16 PM
I loved that. They do speak in toungues, don’t they.
BetseyRoss on April 15, 2010 at 1:16 PM
There was no tax cut.
lorien1973 on April 15, 2010 at 1:17 PM
I don’t know if the media are ignorant or they’re just playing dumb. Last year during the Tax Day Tea Parties, we had Susan Roesgen berating a guy for protesting Porkulus and arguing that he should be grateful that his state was getting $50 billion from the bill. As if all of the taxpayers wouldn’t be stuck with the tab down the road.
Doughboy on April 15, 2010 at 1:18 PM
Congrats. You are now part of the 60%.
upinak on April 15, 2010 at 1:21 PM
Where can you get one of those?
Whenever I try to decipher the malarkey from the Democratic National Socialist Party all I get is a headache.
Chip on April 15, 2010 at 1:24 PM
Sorry for being so OT but for all the Hot Air folks who have sent me e-mails asking what‘s up with our progress getting home, I’ve put together this message hoping a few of you might see it on the threads.
I am now in Camp Virginia, Kuwait and have a hot spot here in my tent area but it’s pretty slow. So, rather than answer a bunch of individual notes I’ll just hope you catch this if I can get Hot Air to load and drop it on there.
I’ve been done flying mission since the 26th of last month and pretty much trying to get home since then. It’s been a nightmare. In 34 years of the military, I have never had a more difficult time in trying to redeploy. We had several early units make it out early on and then the wheels started to come off the cart. We have a young warrant who is supposed to be in charge of coordinating flights with the Air Force who did not react to some key e-mail traffic. That caused my force package to end up at the back of the queue. When she finally got us moving, we had the revolt in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan that put all of our FPs in the dumpster. From then, I’m not sure what level of the Department of State was engaged with the issue, but they had just failed miserably. The entire air movement program of this theater just seemed to break completely down for more than a week and no one seemed to be in charge. It would have been a “Bush fails the military” story again if this had happened under his administration. The media just doesn’t seem to be interested in military hardship stories under the Obama Administration anymore (Unless they can directly attribute it to the Bush Administration). I digress…
At any rate, I am in Kuwait and whole, as is the rest of my command as we filter in and out of this place heading to Pope AFB near Ft. Bragg. Unless, God forbid, we were to lose a soldier in transit, we will be returning without having lost one Pegasus member to combat after more engagements than can really be counted and just a single officer to an accident. We lost a warrant to a Class A mishap near Tarin Kowt early in the deployment. God rest his soul and watch over his family.
We are tired and anxious to get home and proud of our accomplishments as we have time to reflect over the last year. For myself, I leave with mixed emotions. I really thought that we were “getting after it” for most of the deployment and making great progress in defeating the enemy where we found him. After the ROE started to change in favor of the Taliban, HIG and Al Queada; our casualties started predictably, to go up and our success against him went down. It has been a long time since we’ve been able to go after the EID emplacers and our soldiers do not feel safe anywhere on a road now. Since we have stopped the tactic of night attacks on suspected bomb makers, these devices are made without even a modest effort of intervention. When our soldiers feel safer moving from their FOBs on foot instead via their armored vehicles, as per a recent Stars and Stripes article, then we really have come to a strange point of this war. Just this morning as I waited to get a “Coming Home” haircut, I also saw in The Stripes that we are giving up the Korengal Valley in RC East. Whether it was militarily smart to try and hold that valley or not, it will be seem as a great victory for the forces who fought us there. But I said before that if we are not allowed to fight this war in a manner that gives us a reasonable expectation of success, we should maybe concede the situation and pull out. Perhaps the Korengal is just the beginning. For all of the casualties sustained in that bloody neck of Afghanistan, it’s sad to think their sacrifices no longer fit the COIN mission. It might be sadder still to realize we’re lead by men who even think COIN operations are an appropriate theater tactic for Afghanistan.
I hope you all continue to pray for those folks who replaced us and the leaders who are in charge of them. Pray for their hands to be untied again and to be able to return to a ROE that at least puts them on an equal footing with their enemies. As for my unit we are mission complete and headed home.
PS, there’s this freaking volcano we just heard about….
Hawk
hawkdriver on April 15, 2010 at 1:30 PM
OT: Crist vetoes GOP ed bill in FL. I think he is going indy
ConservativePartyNow on April 15, 2010 at 1:32 PM
What an idiot. Now he’ll get minimal GOP support, a handful of independents, and no Dems.
Doughboy on April 15, 2010 at 1:33 PM
Wonder what these low-income people think of the President who told them that no one earning less than $250K (over 8 times their own income) would see a tax increase? Maybe they might throw out the Congresscritters that voted for it?
So 63% of Americans think their taxes will go up, and 24% of them are part of the Taxed Enough Already party, and 39% agree with them but haven’t admitted it to a pollster yet.
See you in November!!!
Steve Z on April 15, 2010 at 1:36 PM
Income taxes are immoral and unAmerican.
petefrt on April 15, 2010 at 1:39 PM
Huh? What? Sixty percent of the country makes more than $200,000? Obama promised no one else would pay more taxes.
/s
byepartisan on April 15, 2010 at 1:51 PM
Nothing upsets me more than “civilian” control of the military that basically boils down to “We are going to tie their hands via ROE’s to the point that they are not able to succeed in their mission.” Instead, our military will simply be required to risk their lives and die so that the “civilian” politicians can score political points.
Disgusting!!
Our “leadership” has learned absolutely NOTHING from history. I’m sorry, but I would rather civilians living in Afghanistan or Iraq be put at risk than for our soliders to die because of ROE’s designed to do nothing more than increase their likelihood of being killed to avoid a risk of “collateral” damage.
Let them fight and win (much preferred), or bring them all home. Quit playing games with their lives!
Fatal on April 15, 2010 at 1:53 PM
Stay safe, Hawkdriver, and thank you for your service.
Beaglemom on April 15, 2010 at 1:54 PM
WOW!
(paraphrasing) “the current trend on the govenrment’s expanding entitlements will ultimately lead to the bankruptcy of this nation very similar to the Soviet Union”….Ron Paul just moments ago with Megan Kelly on Fox
(I still don’t think Paul has much of a chance as a viable POTUS candidate, for obvious reasons, but he’s dead on right here)
Rovin on April 15, 2010 at 1:54 PM
thanks for the great news HD!
just a hop, skip, and jump away from bragg…
cmsinaz on April 15, 2010 at 1:54 PM
I suppose the Dems are right on their tax cut assertions.
Given the continued high unemployment rate, with so many people out of work not earning a paycheck, they would necessarily have their taxes reduced as a result, so…
catmman on April 15, 2010 at 2:00 PM
hawk-
will definitely keep praying for those still fighting the good fight…you’ve got a good support system right here at HA…
cmsinaz on April 15, 2010 at 2:03 PM
This shocked me until I remembered that 20% think that Aliens are already on earth in disguise mingling with humanity.
But to be fair that’s their global results, and I’m not paying to see the full details (they don’t give US in the breakdown).
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6374B220100408
Ok, so even if the US is also at the bottom, that’s 8% believing aliens walk amongst us in disguise. Twice the percentage that think this Government will lower their taxes.
I feel better about that.
And the bottom 30% paying nothing in income taxes? Their taxes probably won’t change; so they are correct in stating that as a response.
gekkobear on April 15, 2010 at 2:05 PM
Thanks for the notice hawldriver
Hot Air needs your attention more than ever Hawk. Great news on your impending arrival. Saluting your service with pride. Get home safely.
Rovin on April 15, 2010 at 2:06 PM
+1000
Chip on April 15, 2010 at 2:08 PM
Isn’t that about right….I mean, don’t roughly 40% of people think Obama is doing a great job?
search4truth on April 15, 2010 at 2:13 PM
Congressional Democrats have been in charge for five years and take zero responsibility for anything.
Present Obama has been in office for over a year and take zero responsibilities for the economic and foreign policy disasters that have occurred directly because of his criminal corruption and compete incompetence.
Democrat voters take zero responsiblility for their sorry lives, hoping to force actual taxpayers to fund their irresponsible and unproductive existence.
At some point, the Bill is going to come due and most American adults understand this, which is why Democrats are about as popular as dog crap on the bottom of your shoe.
NoDonkey on April 15, 2010 at 2:13 PM
and that line about most tax cuts in history is a real hoot! I about spit my drink out.
search4truth on April 15, 2010 at 2:17 PM
Just look at it this way Hawk; If you lived there you’d be hom by now. ; -)
Stay safe my friend and Godspeed.
thomasaur on April 15, 2010 at 2:38 PM
Four in ten Americans need to wear headphones playing a recording that says “Inhale…exhale…inhale…exhale…” on an infinite loop so as to stay alive.
Physics Geek on April 15, 2010 at 2:50 PM
Thanks, Hawk. Stay safe and hurry home.
petefrt on April 15, 2010 at 3:13 PM
The most egregious example is General Electric. Last year the conglomerate generated $10.3 billion in pretax income but ended up owing nothing to Uncle Sam. In fact, it recorded a tax benefit of $1.1 billion.
seven on April 15, 2010 at 3:30 PM