Gallup shows healthcare slump, not bump, for Obama

posted at 10:55 am on April 13, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

Democrats seem to be avoiding their earlier argument that passage of ObamaCare would create a bump upward in their polling — and avoiding talk of ObamaCare altogether, when they can manage it.  Two polls by Gallup this week show why.  Barack Obama’s weekly approval rating continued its drop to its lowest point ever at 47%, and Republicans once again took the lead on the generic Congressional ballot:

President Obama’s job approval rating fell to 47% for the week ending April 11, the lowest of his administration so far by one percentage point.

Obama’s weekly job approval average has fluctuated within the narrow four-point range of 47% to 51% since January of this year. The current weekly average more than anything else represents a continuation of the president’s generally lower approval ratings this year compared to the higher ratings he enjoyed in his first year in office.

On a short-term basis, Obama’s latest three-day average (Friday through Sunday) is at 45%, with disapproval at 48% — both of which are the worst three-day averages since Obama took office.

In the immediate days after the bill’s passage, Gallup showed a slight bump upward in Obama’s approval ratings, which Democrats hailed as the big comeback they’d predicted. But the overall direction of Obama’s approval numbers during the health-care debate has been plain to see. He started off with a 66% approval rating in May, as Nancy Pelosi readied the bill for consideration, and 59% in June when it was unveiled. He has lost a third of his support since its introduction, and Gallup reports that even among their sampling of the general adult population rather than registered or likely voters (a sample type that is traditionally more sympathetic to Democrats), ObamaCare remains unpopular.

For that matter, so do the Democrats. In the presidential poll report, Gallup notes that the approval level for Democrats has also dropped to a new low of 41%. After pulling back into a tie with Republicans on the generic Congressional ballot last week, the GOP surged ahead by four this week:

Gallup Daily tracking for the week ending April 11 puts Republicans slightly ahead of Democrats, 48% to 44%, in the congressional voting preferences of registered voters nationally. This marks the third week since the U.S. House passed healthcare reform on March 21 that the Republicans have tied or led the Democrats.

Gallup’s measure of voter support for the two parties’ congressional candidates asks respondents whether they would back the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in their own district if the election were held today. The results — when based on likely voters shortly before Election Day — have proved, historically, to be a highly accurate predictor of the national two-party vote. This, in turn, bears a close relationship to the post-election party division of House seats.

The trend based on registered voters shows how rare it is for the Republicans to lead on this “generic ballot” measure among all registered voters, as they do today. Other recent exceptions were recorded in 1994 — when Republicans wrested majority control from the Democrats for the first time in 40 years — and 2002, when the GOP achieved seat gains, a rarity for the president’s party in midterm elections. In midterm years when Democrats prevailed at the polls (such as 2006, 1990, and 1986), their net support among registered voters typically extended into double digits at several points during the year — something that has yet to happen in 2010.

The GOP maintained an 18-point lead on enthusiasm, although that measure tapered off somewhat for both parties after the passage of ObamaCare. Only 30% of Democrats are very enthusiastic about voting in the upcoming election, while 48% of Republican voters are champing at the bit.

Democrats and Obama didn’t get a bump. They got a slump.


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Party of No…Vember.

This is gunna be FUN!

JamesLee on April 13, 2010 at 10:56 AM

Big F-ing Deal.

Good Lt on April 13, 2010 at 10:59 AM

Let me be clear, as I have always said…there are some that say there will be no national elections come November…

Inanemergencydial on April 13, 2010 at 10:59 AM

We can’t trust the polls yet. As Pelosi said, they had to pass it for us to find out what’s in it. I’m sure once we all know, they’ll get that bump. A bump right out of office.

Wineaholic on April 13, 2010 at 11:00 AM

He doesn’t care. He’s going to ram as much through as he can before November, trying to push it all to the point of no return.

Daggett on April 13, 2010 at 11:01 AM

This is odd.

The bill was bipartisanly unpopular. The voters were rabidly against it. The politicians didn’t know what was in it. The big gavel was brought forth to usher it in. Since passage it turns out that things that were supposed to be in the bill are not. And things that weren’t supposed to be in the bill are.

But no bump?

myrenovations on April 13, 2010 at 11:01 AM

A lot can and will happen between now and November, but I’m liking it!

Scott P on April 13, 2010 at 11:02 AM

Wait until the real taxes hit for this mess, combined with an ever growing number of jobless Americans.

Not that I’m advocating or relishing the idea (take note, admin) but there is civil strife coming and it won’t be pretty. Too many desperate people is a firebrand waiting to be lit.

Bishop on April 13, 2010 at 11:04 AM

Democrats and Obama didn’t get a bump. They got a slump.

Dead cats. Still not bouncing.

ted c on April 13, 2010 at 11:04 AM

myrenovations on April 13, 2010 at 11:01 AM

Good one.

Dee2008 on April 13, 2010 at 11:06 AM

I thought forced purchases were wildly popular in the United States?

Inanemergencydial on April 13, 2010 at 11:07 AM

Democrats pass ‘death-panel’ legislation—full implementation to take effect on November 3rd.

Rovin on April 13, 2010 at 11:07 AM

Pelosi claimed 400,000 jobs almost immediately. Where are they?

seven on April 13, 2010 at 11:07 AM

I don’t at all think the elections will be suspended.

But it wouldn’t shock me to see the Demorats have a lame duck session after the election.

WannabeAnglican on April 13, 2010 at 11:08 AM

I wonder if when the democrats find out what is in the bill, if they will still support it? Maybe they should have figured out what was in the bill before voting for it?

Monkeytoe on April 13, 2010 at 11:09 AM

Shocking!

cibolo on April 13, 2010 at 11:10 AM

If we had any honesty left in the press, they would be shouting from the rooftops of how out-of-touch this Congress and Administration are.

Instead, all we hear is how unfair it is that Obama is being wrongly criticized because people are just not happy because the economy is in the dumps.

cntrlfrk on April 13, 2010 at 11:12 AM

Instead, all we hear is how unfair it is that Obama is being wrongly criticized because people are just not happy because the economy is in the dumps.

cntrlfrk on April 13, 2010 at 11:12 AM

Or, that we are RACIST!!!!

ladyingray on April 13, 2010 at 11:13 AM

If we had any honesty left in the press, they would be shouting from the rooftops of how out-of-touch this Congress and Administration are.

Instead, all we hear is how unfair it is that Obama is being wrongly criticized because people are just not happy because the economy is in the dumps.

cntrlfrk on April 13, 2010 at 11:12 AM

I eagerly await their commentary on the midterm election results. I’m certain they’ll repeat ad nauseum that the American people are “angry”. I’m just curious how they’ll try to explain away that anger.

Doughboy on April 13, 2010 at 11:18 AM

It’s time to call for Obama’s impeachment.

csdeven on April 13, 2010 at 11:18 AM

I still can hardly believe the number that actually approve of this historic clown.

jbh45 on April 13, 2010 at 11:19 AM

ObamaCoup = FAIL

Akzed on April 13, 2010 at 11:20 AM

It’s time to call for Obama’s impeachment.
csdeven on April 13, 2010 at 11:18 AM

“Impeach Obama!” he called.

Akzed on April 13, 2010 at 11:21 AM

Pelosi claimed 400,000 jobs almost immediately. Where are they?

seven on April 13, 2010 at 11:07 AM

India?

jbh45 on April 13, 2010 at 11:22 AM

Doctor owned hospitals not allowed in the Obozo healthcare for zombies bill, WHY?

tarpon on April 13, 2010 at 11:25 AM

Here in blue Wilmington, Delaware — Joe’s Biden’s hometown — none of our congressional members were even remotely visible over the Easter break. It’s very close here; you usually see these guys in the grocery store, jogging, whatever.

Nowhere. Invisible. Tom Carper had a dial-in townhall, that was it.

DaydreamBeliever on April 13, 2010 at 11:25 AM

Expect another round of Democrat resignations.

Now the only thing left they have to tell their constituents is: “But, Harry Reid said you guys would all shut up and love the heck out of me once we passed it!”

…And that campaign slogan is not testing well.

logis on April 13, 2010 at 11:26 AM

Sen. Lindsey Graham agreed to show CBS News first hand, flashing his Blue Cross Blue Shield insurance card. Blue Cross Blue Shield is one of five plans offered to members of Congress. Most Americans, 74 percent are offered only one plan – if their employer offers insurance at all. And members of Congress earn $174,000 a year – triple the income of the average working-age household. Yet their premiums are about the same. Special Report: Health Care Reform For them, there’s no coverage limit – a major factor for the American families bankrupted or thrown into poverty by health care costs. Pre-existing conditions? No problem for congressmen and women. The rest of us are out of luck. And the elected officials get still more perks most Americans can only dream of. Got a cold? You probably have to take time off work and wait to see a doctor. Not Congress. “We’re able to access that health care 24 hours a day when we’re in Washington,” Graham said, leading us to the Attending Physician’s Office, a clinic inside the U.S. Capitol. They dont even have to leave the office. About half of the members of Congress, including House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, use the Attending Physician benefit. For $42 a month, they can get all the primary care they need – physical therapy, X-rays, minor surgery, specialists and a pharmacy for emergencies – no appointment needed. They also get VIP hospital treatment from the best doctors at Bethesda Naval Hospital. And they have a reserved spot at the elite Ward 72 at Walter Reed Army Medical Center, where the late Sen. Strom Thurmond spent a lot of time. Outpatient care is free. Well, free for them. Your tax dollars pick up the cost. Graham says in the current climate, it’s just not fair. “If we pass a law that says a public option will be made available, I think people like myself should get out of this plan and go into the public option,” he said. That’s unlikely. Congress has voted down all proposals that would switch them to a public option

Senator Graham is doing something right for once–he’s a powerful voice on health care stuff. Call his office and let them know you like something he’s doing. Really.

funky chicken on April 13, 2010 at 11:26 AM

Silver Reyes (congressman, El Paso area) wasn’t around much, either. But he did right a column for the local Hispanic Chamber of Commerce saying that everyone should be so darn thankful that the bill passed and how much money everyone will save. Blech.

cibolo on April 13, 2010 at 11:29 AM

funky chicken on April 13, 2010 at 11:26 AM

If someone shoots one of your feet, do you thank him for not shooting both of your feet?

I’ll pass on calling Senator GrAmnesty to thank him for DOING HIS JOB!!!

PappaMac on April 13, 2010 at 11:31 AM

Senator Graham is doing something right for once–he’s a powerful voice on health care stuff. Call his office and let them know you like something he’s doing. Really.

funky chicken on April 13, 2010 at 11:26 AM

He’s signing on to Cap and Trade, fu@k Nancy Graham and the Centaur he rode in on.

thomasaur on April 13, 2010 at 11:31 AM

WannabeAnglican:
But it wouldn’t shock me to see the Demorats have a lame duck session after the election.

I’ve been thinking about that nightmare for a few days now. Suppose the dems suffer a massive blowout in November? Lose both the house and the senate.

Reid and Pelosi call in a lame duck session to “Clean up a few matters.”

First a rule change ending the filibuster in the senate. Then they proceed to ram through every single piece of manure they can before they’re out in January.

Amnesty, Cap & Trade, Card Check and possibly a nationalization of the 401K and IRA accounts out there.

The new congress comes in and proceeds to undo all the damage, but Obama veto’s everything.

Sleep well!

evilned on April 13, 2010 at 11:32 AM


very enthusiastic about voting in the upcoming election … 48% of Republican voters are champing at the bit.

Only 48%? I betcha the real number is a lot higher than that!

Party of No…Vember. – James

Hahaha best comment EVAH!

Tony737 on April 13, 2010 at 11:32 AM

Gallup shows healthcare slump, not bump, for Obama

In the immediate days after the bill’s passage, Gallup showed a slight bump upward…

Democrats and Obama didn’t get a bump.

Dude. I know it went away (no surprise), but he/they *did* get a bump. You keep alternately saying they didn’t and then that they did. Taking notes from Robert Gibbs?

Midas on April 13, 2010 at 11:33 AM

I still can hardly believe the number that actually approve of this historic clown.

jbh45 on April 13, 2010 at 11:19 AM

83% approval with Democrats. That’s how.

Race also plays a part of it. A lot of Democrats are going to be leery of doing anything they perceive as criticism for fear they may be viewed as racist, since that’s the charge they throw at anyone else.

And let’s face it, with the Obama gets from the Black community he could get on national television kicking puppies and his numbers wouldn’t dip within the Democratic Party.

It’s the obvious racism nobody talks about.

ButterflyDragon on April 13, 2010 at 11:34 AM

Party of No…Vember. – James

Damn – that’s priceless right there. Someone share that ‘up the food chain’; that’s solid gold.

Midas on April 13, 2010 at 11:34 AM

Just wait till all those ex-doctors start their census jobs……..STIMULUS!!!

cjtony97 on April 13, 2010 at 11:36 AM

He’s going to ram as much through as he can before November, trying to push it all to the point of no return.

There is no such thing as the “point of no return.” There is no law that can’t be erased. No government that can’t be changed… one way or the other.

Bat Chain Puller on April 13, 2010 at 11:36 AM

What more evidence is needed?

He does not know how to govern.

In the future there should be a political hipocratic oath – Above all, First Do No Harm.

singlemalt_18 on April 13, 2010 at 11:36 AM

Party of No…Vember. – James

Damn – that’s priceless right there. Someone share that ‘up the food chain’; that’s solid gold.
Midas on April 13, 2010 at 11:34 AM

Yes – maybe worthy of a tea party sign.

Chip on April 13, 2010 at 11:38 AM

Amazing how the percentage that approves of Obama and the percentage of people who do not pay any federal taxes are almost identical. If he can get just get amnesty passed, he will have the votes for a single party government and make term limits for president go away. We haven’t elected a president, we have annointed a king. Combine the constant lies and deceptions with the ignorance of the American electorate and our country, as we know it, will cease to exist.

volsense on April 13, 2010 at 11:38 AM

Makes you wonder what the Democratic National Socialist Party has for their Plan B?

Chip on April 13, 2010 at 11:39 AM

Pelosi claimed 400,000 jobs almost immediately. Where are they?

seven on April 13, 2010 at 11:07 AM

And to my knowledge, has yet to be called out on that Big Effin LIE.

I know a lot can happen between now and November, but exactly what would it take for ANY bump to happen?

JusDreamin on April 13, 2010 at 11:39 AM

Party of No…Vember. – James
Damn – that’s priceless right there. Someone share that ‘up the food chain’; that’s solid gold.

Midas on April 13, 2010 at 11:34 AM

Unfortunately, I can’t claim credit for it. A local talk host in KC uses it, and she stole it from a caller.

Still, it’s pretty awesome :)

JamesLee on April 13, 2010 at 11:40 AM

I’m just curious how they’ll try to explain away that anger.

Doughboy on April 13, 2010 at 11:18 AM

Really? It wont’ be much of a surprise.

Voters will simply have proven that they are racist, uneducated anti-intellectual nazis who don’t know what’s good for them, and the Democrats just failed – not in their policies and actions, but in communicating to the voters how wonderful the skittle-pooping unicorns contained in the statist programs and policies really are. Silly whackjob tea party conservatives lied to everyone about how great this stuff is, you see.

Midas on April 13, 2010 at 11:41 AM

It’s like a refrigerator. A refrigerator that doesn’t keep anything cold but cost you $500/month in electricity.

jukin on April 13, 2010 at 11:43 AM

Pelosi claimed 400,000 jobs almost immediately. Where are they?

seven on April 13, 2010 at 11:07 AM

..she’s out buying her knee pads right now.

VoyskaPVO on April 13, 2010 at 11:49 AM

It’s like a refrigerator. A refrigerator that doesn’t keep anything cold but cost you $500/month in electricity.
jukin on April 13, 2010 at 11:43 AM

And you have to wait in line 4 years to buy it.

Chip on April 13, 2010 at 11:49 AM

It’s like a refrigerator. A refrigerator that doesn’t keep anything cold but cost you $500/month in electricity.

jukin on April 13, 2010 at 11:43 AM

Hey, as long as the light comes on when the door opens, no problem. Or so I’ve been told.

ButterflyDragon on April 13, 2010 at 11:53 AM

Nowhere. Invisible. Tom Carper had a dial-in townhall, that was it.

DaydreamBeliever on April 13, 2010 at 11:25 AM

heh. Yeah, I got the robo-call from Carper last night telling me about the tele-townhall meeting…. AS IT WAS HAPPENING!

Nothing like a little advance notice to drum up some attendance there, eh, Tom?

UltimateBob on April 13, 2010 at 11:56 AM

Repeal and replace.

John the Libertarian on April 13, 2010 at 11:58 AM

Nowhere. Invisible. Tom Carper had a dial-in townhall, that was it.

DaydreamBeliever on April 13, 2010 at 11:25 AM
heh. Yeah, I got the robo-call from Carper last night telling me about the tele-townhall meeting…. AS IT WAS HAPPENING!

Nothing like a little advance notice to drum up some attendance there, eh, Tom?

UltimateBob on April 13, 2010 at 11:56 AM

But if people actually attended, he wouldn’t be able to claim later that he heard no complaints!

Midas on April 13, 2010 at 11:58 AM

AS IT WAS HAPPENING!

Nothing like a little advance notice to drum up some attendance there, eh, Tom?

UltimateBob on April 13, 2010 at 11:56 AM

Me too. that’s the only reason I knew about it — the in-progress robocall. Pathetic.

DaydreamBeliever on April 13, 2010 at 11:58 AM

Midas on April 13, 2010 at 11:58 AM

DaydreamBeliever on April 13, 2010 at 11:58 AM

Of course, that is his ploy…. if he doesn’t publicize the townhalls until the last minute (or after), he won’t have as many people the, and won’t have to face any tough questions.

Last night was about the third time that he has done this in the past year or so. I have to laugh every time I come home and hear one of his messages on my machine. It really is pathetic.

UltimateBob on April 13, 2010 at 12:04 PM

There, not The. Duh.

UltimateBob on April 13, 2010 at 12:04 PM

The democrats live in their own little world – ignoring what doesn’t benefit them. Unfortunately, they’ve dominated our politics since the days of FDR and have been making a mess of things since and getting away with it. Then they claim they’re the ones to fix the problems they themselves created. And that happens every election cycle and we still vote these putzes back into power this time total control. And we see how well that’s working out so far. They’ll start pulling their dirty tricks with the help of the media to get re-elected come next November.

mozalf on April 13, 2010 at 12:06 PM

You’ll be able to kayak down Constitution Ave in November, because there will be a rapid river of red capped donkey blood.

And it will be good.

NoDonkey on April 13, 2010 at 12:14 PM

And you have to wait in line 4 years to buy it.
Chip on April 13, 2010 at 11:49 AM

Well, no, you buy it right now – whether you want it or not. It doesn’t get delivered for four years.

The one thing they can truthfully guarantee is that it when it finally comes out, it will be the best brand on the market. Because it will be the ONLY brand on the market.

logis on April 13, 2010 at 12:18 PM

Let me be clear, as I have always said…there are some that say there will be no national elections come November…

Inanemergencydial on April 13, 2010 at 10:59 AM

I’ve been thinking the same thing for months. My concern is that Der Leader will look for any excuse (martial law?) to cancel the November elections. If…and that prayerfully is a big if…he does this, the country will explode.

GrannyDee on April 13, 2010 at 12:26 PM

“Impeach Obama!” he called.

Akzed on April 13, 2010 at 11:21 AM

Careful guys…recall who comes in behind him at #2 and #3. Obama/Biden/Pelosi, the win, place and show of the idiot race.

DanMan on April 13, 2010 at 12:27 PM

It’s been 3 weeks since the National Day of Tragedy, March 21, 2010 (the signing day of ObamaCare).

Guess what, Americans far and wide still detest this collectivist imposition with a passion that shows no signs of slackening. A good sign.

For the rest of my life, I will remember this particular brutal rebuke of the wishes of the majority of Americans by Democrats in passing this atrocity of a bill.

No matter care how long it takes, even if it takes years, I will implore ObamaCare’s opponents in Congress to do the hard work to repeal it, and will financially support those lawmakers who actually dare to do that work.

Edouard on April 13, 2010 at 12:48 PM

Alternate NY Post headline:

Gallup shows healthcare slump, not bump, for chump

Chuck Schick on April 13, 2010 at 1:07 PM

And you have to wait in line 4 years to buy it.
Chip on April 13, 2010 at 11:49 AM

Well, no, you buy it right now – whether you want it or not. It doesn’t get delivered for four years.
The one thing they can truthfully guarantee is that it when it finally comes out, it will be the best brand on the market. Because it will be the ONLY brand on the market.
logis on April 13, 2010 at 12:18 PM

Doh! My mistake!

I stand corrected.

Chip on April 13, 2010 at 1:20 PM

How much longer can the Gallups of polling and the dinosaur media suppress the real feelings of the electorate toward the Messiah and the “health care” abomination?

n0doz on April 13, 2010 at 1:21 PM

How much longer can the Gallups of polling and the dinosaur media suppress the real feelings of the electorate toward the Messiah and the “health care” abomination?
n0doz on April 13, 2010 at 1:21 PM

Five more months.

logis on April 13, 2010 at 1:33 PM

I joke about it… cancelling elections… but I’m not at the point where I think they would be so brazen… though I do think they are up to something.. They are just so close to their statist nirvana they can taste it!

CCRWM on April 13, 2010 at 1:34 PM

I don’t at all think the elections will be suspended.

But it wouldn’t shock me to see the Demorats have a lame duck session after the election.

WannabeAnglican on April 13, 2010 at 11:08 AM

If they do, after the Republicans win the House, the Republican Senators should filibuster everything, and let the new Congress deal with the issues in 2011.

Steve Z on April 14, 2010 at 9:19 AM