Rubio up 32 points over Crist in new poll

posted at 11:36 am on March 9, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

No wonder Charlie Crist wants to talk about back waxing.  That may be his new profession after the Florida primaries, thanks to a massive outpouring of Republican support for his opponent, Marco Rubio.  Public Policy Polling warned of an explosive new survey yesterday, but a 32-point deficit isn’t just explosive — it’s probably fatal to Crist’s career:

Rubio now leads Crist 60-28, including a staggering 71-17 lead with conservatives. Crist has a 49-36 advantage with party moderates, but they account for just 31% of likely primary voters compared to 65% who describe themselves as conservative.

Rubio is benefiting from a widely held sentiment among Florida GOP voters that Congressional Republicans are too liberal and that Crist would add to the problem. 41% of them think that the party leadership in Washington is too liberal, and with those folks Rubio holds an 83-10 lead. 50% think that Crist himself is too liberal and with those voters Rubio’s advantage expands even wider to 90-5.

It also looks like it’s too late for Crist to audible and make another run for Governor. GOP voters say they’d prefer likely nominee Bill McCollum over Crist by a 49-35 margin. In fact Republicans generally just want Crist to go away- 56% say they’d like him out of office a year from now to 19% who’d like to see him continue as Governor and only 14% who want him in the Senate.

Crist’s biggest problem is that 56% of Republican primary voters disapprove of the job he’s doing as Governor to just 29% who approve. Any time that disapproval figure goes over 50% it means you have to actively change voters’ minds about you to have any success, and that’s a tall order.

Crist makes it even more tall by speculating on back waxes rather than repairing his own image.  He has no one to blame but himself for the collapse of his support among conservatives.  Crist actively undermined conservatives by campaigning for Barack Obama’s Porkulus package last year and attempting to argue that he was pushing for America’s success rather than ideological victories.  He got neither, and now wants to run away from his record and focus on hair salons instead.

That won’t convince the 56% of Republicans who want Crist out of office altogether.  Only 14% want him in the Senate, and despite his previous popularity as Governor, only 19% want to see him return to that spot, too.  As far as an independent run, that seems unlikely to work.  Fifteen percent would support him dumping his party affiliation, but more — 26% — think he should become a Democrat.

Tomorrow, PPP will release its numbers for the general election, which have been rather favorable until now for Rubio.  With Crist sinking fast, he can start concentrating on his Democratic opponent and ignore Crist — which is a strange position for a sitting governor to find himself.

Update: It’s worth remembering that PPP did a pretty poor job of predicting the NY-23 race last year, but special elections are hard to poll. This is a more straightforward survey to do.


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… a staggering 71-17 lead with conservatives.

You hear that, Rinos?

Tony737 on March 9, 2010 at 11:39 AM

Hoffman and KBH both agree. PPP is reliable.

lorien1973 on March 9, 2010 at 11:39 AM

It’s RINO season and the targets of opportunity are many.

Hening on March 9, 2010 at 11:39 AM

Is there such a thing as orange toast?

Cicero43 on March 9, 2010 at 11:39 AM

Jetboy- “Aren’t there any Palin threads today?”

portlandon on March 9, 2010 at 11:39 AM

Maybe Crist can apply for work at Rubio’s hair salon. He’s given them enough publicity that they owe him.

MarkTheGreat on March 9, 2010 at 11:40 AM

Poor JetBoy! Another Crist thread. Ouch!

SouthernGent on March 9, 2010 at 11:40 AM

“Crist makes it even more tall by speculating on back waxes rather than repairing his own image.”

Crist has lotion…

Seven Percent Solution on March 9, 2010 at 11:40 AM

Crist could always get a job selling Orange-Glo.

fourdeucer on March 9, 2010 at 11:41 AM

Take PPP numbers with a little salt. But Crist is TOAST.

Drop out Charlie.

PS: Since this is a Republican Primary the gym one-to-one is not an option.

antisocial on March 9, 2010 at 11:42 AM

Go Marco Rubio. Keep it clean, keep it on the issues, and go for the victory. I agree, focus now on your Democrat opponent. Steer away from Crist’s sinking ship. He is now pretty much marginalized.

ted c on March 9, 2010 at 11:44 AM

I shudder to think what they would have to find on Rubio for him to mess up this thing. Mrs. Rubio should make him watch John Edwards “I was (am) a narcisist and thought I was invinsible” tapes daily.

Marcus on March 9, 2010 at 11:44 AM

Breaking news from Charle Crist’s office….

“Marco Rubio has bikini wax” ………News at 11:00.

Knucklehead on March 9, 2010 at 11:44 AM

Orange you glad I didn’t say “banana?”

The Race Card on March 9, 2010 at 11:44 AM

Yeah, Crist is officially done.

With Crist sinking fast, he can start concentrating on his Democratic opponent and ignore Crist — which is a strange position for a sitting governor to find himself.”

Good point, Ed.

nickj116 on March 9, 2010 at 11:45 AM

A natural tan beats a fake ‘n’ bake every time.

UltimateBob on March 9, 2010 at 11:45 AM

I shudder to think what they would have to find on Rubio for him to mess up this thing. Mrs. Rubio should make him watch John Edwards “I was (am) a narcisist and thought I was invinsible” tapes daily.

Marcus on March 9, 2010 at 11:44 AM

If there was any real dirt on the guy, Crist or the Dems would’ve found it by now. Expect the general election as well as Rubio’s eventual Senate career to be a lot like Palin. Manufactured controversies, but nothing that’ll stick.

Doughboy on March 9, 2010 at 11:45 AM

I’m thinking Crist hangs in till it hits 69.

Rocks on March 9, 2010 at 11:46 AM

Spray-on tanning outlets hardest hit.

Bishop on March 9, 2010 at 11:46 AM

Here in the St. Petersburg area, Suntan Charlie is not particularly well thought of in the political sense–even by “moderates.” We mostly like his family–his dad is a long-time local general practice doc and a really nice guy. But Charlie has the rep of being a nice guy, with too much left in his politics. It would be the wise RINO who notes the purvasive feeling in our country and realigns with a truly conservative position.

Crusader Rabbit on March 9, 2010 at 11:46 AM

I heard Rubio visited Canada once in the 60s. Shutter.

Spirit of 1776 on March 9, 2010 at 11:47 AM

Mr. Cornyn. He’s yours.

BowHuntingTexas on March 9, 2010 at 11:48 AM

Methinks we will be seeing a lot more of this in the coming months/years…

Bob's Kid on March 9, 2010 at 11:48 AM

What he needs is some Orange Miracle™.

hoosiermama on March 9, 2010 at 11:48 AM

How can this be, since the NRSC endorsed Crist?

Oh yeah.

Remind me why the NRSC even exists?

NoDonkey on March 9, 2010 at 11:50 AM

Oh, come on!

*wags finger at Ed*

You’re a very very bad man…

JetBoy on March 9, 2010 at 11:50 AM

Jetboy- “Aren’t there any Palin threads today?”

portlandon on March 9, 2010 at 11:39 AM

Oh snap !! Burn #2

Jerome Horwitz on March 9, 2010 at 11:51 AM

Methinks we will be seeing a lot more of this in the coming months/years…

Bob’s Kid on March 9, 2010 at 11:48 AM

oh? didn’t you get the memo? The Tea Party thingamajig has already peaked, dahling.

John the Libertarian on March 9, 2010 at 11:52 AM

After the primary, Crist will be eligible for some of that Stimulus money he embraced so much…

PatriotRider on March 9, 2010 at 11:52 AM

Christ needs to build a raft and float to Cuba. He may get a warmer welcome there

seven on March 9, 2010 at 11:53 AM

When Rubio wins the primary, will the nrsc change their endorsement? Why are they hanging onto Crist when I’m sure they read polls. They have nothing to gain by hanging with the guy. The people are speaking and they’re still not listening is the message.

Kissmygrits on March 9, 2010 at 11:55 AM

I heard Rubio visited Canada once in the 60s. Shutter.

Spirit of 1776 on March 9, 2010 at 11:47 AM

+1.

I don’t think he was alive in the 60′s, so they will have a good time with that one. Not that something so elemental would ever stop the RahmTards.

mwdiver on March 9, 2010 at 11:55 AM

Here in the St. Petersburg area, Suntan Charlie is not particularly well thought of in the political sense–even by “moderates.” We mostly like his family–his dad is a long-time local general practice doc and a really nice guy. But Charlie has the rep of being a nice guy, with too much left in his politics. It would be the wise RINO who notes the purvasive feeling in our country and realigns with a truly conservative position.

Crusader Rabbit on March 9, 2010 at 11:46 AM

This is really funny to me to read, because his only positive left, that he is seen as a “nice guy”, will be destroyed by going supernasty personal negative on Rubio.

Rubio is a nice guy too, so this a big time backfire about to happen.

Crist, seeya, wouldn’t wanna be ya.

Brian1972 on March 9, 2010 at 11:56 AM

Jetboy- “Aren’t there any Palin threads today?”

portlandon on March 9, 2010 at 11:39 AM

Hopefully Allah will be on that later…hehe

JetBoy on March 9, 2010 at 11:58 AM

C’ya RINO.

OmahaConservative on March 9, 2010 at 11:59 AM

When Rubio wins the primary, will the nrsc change their endorsement? Why are they hanging onto Crist when I’m sure they read polls. They have nothing to gain by hanging with the guy. The people are speaking and they’re still not listening is the message.

Kissmygrits on March 9, 2010 at 11:55 AM

Once Rubio gets the nomination, the NRSC will inevitably endorse him. But I guess they’re too proud right now to admit they screwed up bigtime by endorsing Crist.

Doughboy on March 9, 2010 at 11:59 AM

Oh, come on!

*wags finger at Ed*

You’re a very very bad man…

JetBoy on March 9, 2010 at 11:50 AM

LMFAOROTFWT!!

To save John Boehner’s career, you should stop endorsing him immediately. He could be our next Speaker of the House, so leave him alone! lol

Brian1972 on March 9, 2010 at 12:00 PM

Doughboy, it’s not the past, it’s being a good boy from here on out. Please no blonde “videographers” and I don’t care how gorgeous his wife is. So was Tiger’s.

Marcus on March 9, 2010 at 12:01 PM

Wow.

Midas on March 9, 2010 at 12:02 PM

Doughboy, it’s not the past, it’s being a good boy from here on out. Please no blonde “videographers” and I don’t care how gorgeous his wife is. So was Tiger’s.

Marcus on March 9, 2010 at 12:01 PM

Well obviously it’s incumbent upon Rubio to behave himself once he’s a Senator. But if there’s no history of infidelity or corruption in his past, that should bode well for the future. Clinton wasn’t exactly a faithful husband before becoming President. And John Edwards was a sleazy trial lawyer. Nuff said.

Doughboy on March 9, 2010 at 12:04 PM

This post should have had the photo of the 100 megaton nuclear test.

Brian1972 on March 9, 2010 at 12:05 PM

Live by the boma
Die by the boma

faol on March 9, 2010 at 12:05 PM

He’s getting waxed.

GnuBreed on March 9, 2010 at 12:05 PM

I’m sure the old boys in DC’s GOP club will greet Rubio warmly…

hawksruleva on March 9, 2010 at 12:06 PM

I may point out that this is entirely consistent with what I’ve seen in the Central Florida area.

“Crist who?”

Scott H on March 9, 2010 at 12:08 PM

Waxing nothing!

Choo Choo Charlie here is setting himself up for a royal shelaquing!

pilamaye on March 9, 2010 at 12:08 PM

I shudder to think what they would have to find on Rubio for him to mess up this thing. Mrs. Rubio should make him watch John Edwards “I was (am) a narcisist and thought I was invinsible” tapes daily.

Marcus on March 9, 2010 at 11:44 AM

About all he can do is shoot himself in the foot a la Clayton Williams, GOP candidate for Governor of Texas in 1990. But unlike Claytie, Rubio isn’t an Aggie, so he should be ok.

cartooner on March 9, 2010 at 12:09 PM

HAHAHAHAHA…. HAHAHAHAHA….

Ah, I’m going to pass out because I’m laughing so hard.

The fact that people like JetBoy and other RINOs are so upset just makes it so much funnier.

Get rid of Obama-ites. How anyone can support someone who clutches onto Obama and still claim to be on the right side is beyond me. It would be funny as well if it weren’t so stupid and moronic.

MobileVideoEngineer on March 9, 2010 at 12:09 PM

To save John Boehner’s career, you should stop endorsing him immediately. He could be our next Speaker of the House, so leave him alone! lol

Brian1972 on March 9, 2010 at 12:00 PM

Mike Pence will be Speaker… Boehner can be majority leader.

Enoxo on March 9, 2010 at 12:12 PM

Mike Pence will be Speaker… Boehner can be majority leader.

Enoxo on March 9, 2010 at 12:12 PM

^this

fiatboomer on March 9, 2010 at 12:21 PM

With a few changes to the lyrics, The Moody Blues song ‘Go Now’ sums up our feelings for our Governor Charley Crist. Somewhere along the way Charley forgot that there is no ‘h’ in his last name.

Whats the story on Lt. Governor Jeff Kottkamp? Is he any better?

meci on March 9, 2010 at 12:23 PM

I watched Crist on Greta’s show last night. He appeared to be a petty, immature, hollow shell. Did I miss anything?

TugboatPhil on March 9, 2010 at 12:32 PM

But Crist has ACORN on his side!

wildcat84 on March 9, 2010 at 12:34 PM

If Crist had stayed out of the primary, he’d likely have been a shoe-in for reelection, even if he hasn’t been a great Governor.

And if he had wanted to jump to the Senate, his name recognition and position in the state would have served him better against Nelson, who I would really like to unseat. I may not like Crist, but I would vote for him over Nelson any day.

Instead, Crist blew everything to get an open Senate seat. In the long-run, I don’t really care. He’s been a terrible governor. I just hope we can get someone like Rubio to take down Nelson as well in two years.

Jason Kallini on March 9, 2010 at 12:35 PM

Counting down the days to the

August 24 Primary…

Lockstein13 on March 9, 2010 at 12:39 PM

I think that Crist will drop out before May 1.

molonlabe28 on March 9, 2010 at 12:50 PM

Breaking News from the fly on the wall at the White House and Gov mansion in Tallahassee.

WHITE HOUSE:
“Charlie who?”

STATE HOUSE:
“Barack who?”

PappyD61 on March 9, 2010 at 12:50 PM

Mike Pence will be Speaker… Boehner can be majority leader.

Enoxo on March 9, 2010 at 12:12 PM

What makes you think that? That is what you would like, so it will be?

Actually I would prefer Pence as Speaker too, but the fact is that Boehner has the inside track, because he is already Minority Leader right now. He’s got seniority over Pence.
If the GOP gets the House Majority, there will be a caucus election for Speaker, Leader, Whip and so on.

Boehner has made it clear at CPAC that he is in the running for Speaker, should the Majority materialize.

Pence would have to decide to challenge him for it, and I’m not sure he will do that. It seems to me that Boehner has a lock on the Speaker’s Office, and Pence may very well end up as Majority Leader. That would be a promotion for him in the leadership, and challenging Boehner for Speaker could prove divisive for the caucus.

Those are the realities of how the House works.

Pence would make a terrific House Majority Leader, and he would be positioned to be Speaker if Boehner has a scandal or health issue and has to resign from Congress unexpectedly.

Brian1972 on March 9, 2010 at 12:51 PM

To save John Boehner’s career, you should stop endorsing him immediately. He could be our next Speaker of the House, so leave him alone! lol

Brian1972 on March 9, 2010 at 12:00 PM
Mike Pence will be Speaker… Boehner can be majority leader.

Enoxo on March 9, 2010 at 12:12 PM

CAN’T WE GET MICHELLE BACHMANN as Speaker?

or at LEAST someone that’s not scared of Obama or the Media?

PappyD61 on March 9, 2010 at 12:52 PM

I watched Crist on Greta’s show last night. He appeared to be a petty, immature, hollow shell. Did I miss anything?

TugboatPhil on March 9, 2010 at 12:32 PM

That creepy orange glow. :-0

Seriously, Crist would probably be in better shape were in not for that Judas man hug with the filthy lying coward in the White House and his subsequent denial about his level of support of the stimulus package. It’s a criticism that isn’t entirely fair but when you hug a monster, don’t expect the villagers to reward you!

highhopes on March 9, 2010 at 12:57 PM

CAN’T WE GET MICHELLE BACHMANN as Speaker?

or at LEAST someone that’s not scared of Obama or the Media?

PappyD61 on March 9, 2010 at 12:52 PM

I don’t see Boehner as being scared of Obama. He’s been pretty forceful in his criticizing all of the Democrat bills on the floor. He called the Health bill a “sh!t sandwich” in a press conference. That was pretty cool!

I think Pence will be the Majority Leader. They would be foolish to not get Michele Bachmann in the Leadership team somewhere. Marsha Blackburn has a spot in the leadership hierarchy somewhere now, so she will move up too. All to the good for conservatives.

Brian1972 on March 9, 2010 at 1:01 PM

Crist saw the big Obama train coming down the tracks last January, figured it was going to run over everything in its path, and jumped on board just before it plunged off the tracks.

When the dust settled it turned out to be a cardboard Thomas the Tank Engine pushed by two guys in a handcar.

JEM on March 9, 2010 at 1:09 PM

Headline on election day, “Rubio waxes Crist!”

Irritable Pundit on March 9, 2010 at 1:09 PM

Brian1972 – We need level heads in the GOP leadership.

We do not need another Clinton impeachment.

We do not need another Terri Schiavo circus.

If the GOP takes over the House and the new leadership plops the Social Con Shopping List on the lectern on day one the centrist voters will give the chamber right back to the Dems in 2012.

Shoot down the Obama/Pelosi statist agenda. Restore fiscal sanity. Use the budget hammer to get agencies like DOE and EPA under control.

JEM on March 9, 2010 at 1:13 PM

We do not need another Clinton impeachment.

We do not need another Terri Schiavo circus.

JEM on March 9, 2010 at 1:13 PM

You seem to have a skewed view of what these events were.

Clinton’s impeachement was about upholding the rule of law which includes the fact that the President cannot commit perjury and get away with it.

Terri Shiavo was a battle between culture of life and culture of death. While I think the debate got out of hand, I am certain to this day that the judge made the wrong decision to let the creepy husband kill off Ms. Shiavo. There would have been no harm in allowing her family to care for her.

So, in short, you are saying the GOP shouldn’t uphold the rule of law or the culture of life. Those are Democrat party values.

highhopes on March 9, 2010 at 1:39 PM

Its a shame. I still think Rubio is a weasel, but I have been steeling myself for months and buying clothespins to vote for him in November.

Squid Shark on March 9, 2010 at 1:56 PM

I hope that all of the head-swelling that the Rubes and the national intelligencia have given him over the last month will help get him on the ticket in 2012 so we can elect two better senators in 2012 instead of these yutzes.

Squid Shark on March 9, 2010 at 1:59 PM

Its a shame. I still think Rubio is a weasel, but I have been steeling myself for months and buying clothespins to vote for him in November.

Squid Shark on March 9, 2010 at 1:56 PM

From you, that is a glowing endorsement of Rubio.

Interesting though, what is it about Crist that makes you one of the few people in Florida that think he’s a great candidate? A 32 point deficit is a tad more than just outside the margin of error. If not Rubio, anybody but Crist also seems to be running ahead of the creepy orange troll. What are the rest of us missing about the dude who sold Florida to Obama for 30 pieces of silver? And then lied about it.

highhopes on March 9, 2010 at 2:14 PM

I guess this means the Tea Party has no influence in elections.

/sarc

Rode Werk on March 9, 2010 at 2:19 PM

Hopefully Allah will be on that later…hehe

JetBoy on March 9, 2010 at 11:58 AM

I’m sure he will so his fellow RINOss will have something to entertain themselves.

jwp1964 on March 9, 2010 at 2:22 PM

Its a shame. I still think Rubio is a weasel, but I have been steeling myself for months and buying clothespins to vote for him in November.

Squid Shark on March 9, 2010 at 1:56 PM

Good, enjoy the fun conservatives had to go through with McShamnesty in ’08!

jwp1964 on March 9, 2010 at 2:24 PM

What are the rest of us missing about the dude who sold Florida to Obama for 30 pieces of silver? And then lied about it.

highhopes on March 9, 2010 at 2:14 PM

How did he “sell Florida” to Obama, are you blaming the loss of the state in 2008 to him?

Squid Shark on March 9, 2010 at 2:25 PM

I guess Crist should be glad Rubio had the back wax. Since Crist is running behind Rubio he doesn’t have to look at a hairy back.

Aviator on March 9, 2010 at 2:59 PM

Hoffman and KBH both agree. PPP is reliable.

lorien1973 on March 9, 2010 at 11:39 AM

LOL! That’s why I go with Rasmussen. Gallup and Zogby not as much.

sarahpalinfan99 on March 9, 2010 at 11:56 PM

I wonder if Crist and Mark Foley ever had homosexual relations – presuming Crist is gay?

What?

Not a fair questions? Well they are both from Florida no?

Some in Tampa Bay may need to know this before voting.

father on March 10, 2010 at 12:01 AM

Shades of Orange Crist?

Bill White Under Fire Over Ad Putting Him Between King And Obama

At minimum, the ad is insultingly pandering, given that it was placed in an African American owned newspaper. At worst it is something else entirely, since White’s campaign put the words “the dream” over King, “the change” over Obama, and “the hope” over White’s image.

“Friends of Bill White” paid for the ad. That is White’s municipal campaign account. We’ve previously noted that White is using that account to fund his Senate bid–in spite of the fact that it does not appear to be a “permissible” source of federal campaign funds.

Blacksmith8 on March 10, 2010 at 8:38 AM