More bogus AGW information in IPCC report?

posted at 12:55 pm on January 26, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

The UN’s team on climate change, the IPCC, has had a rather bad few months.  First came the uncovered e-mails from the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit, a key research organization for the IPCC,  that showed deception and professional character assassination by so-called scientists attempting to block data and analyses that contradicted the CRU conclusions on anthropogenic global warming (AGW).  Next, a scandal hit closer to home when the IPCC’s reliance on a theory of dissipating Himalyan glaciers turned out to be unscientific speculation — that the IPCC badly misquoted anyway.  Now the Telegraph’s James Delingpole reports that another key claim by the IPCC also comes from non-peer-reviewed work by scientists operating out of their field of work:

Here’s the latest development, courtesy of Dr Richard North – and it’s a cracker. It seems that, not content with having lied to us about shrinking glaciers, increasing hurricanes, and rising sea levels, the IPCC’s latest assessment report also told us a complete load of porkies about the danger posed by climate change to the Amazon rainforest.

This is to be found in Chapter 13 of the Working Group II report, the same part of the IPCC fourth assessment report in which the “Glaciergate” claims are made. There, is the startling claim that:

“Up to 40%of theAmazonian forests could react drastically to even a slight reduction in precipitation; this means that the tropical vegetation, hydrology and climate system in South America could change very rapidly to another steady state, not necessarily producing gradual changes between the current and the future situation (Rowell and Moore, 2000). It is more probable that forests will be replaced by ecosystems that have more resistance to multiple stresses caused by temperature increase, droughts and fires, such as tropical savannas.”

At first sight, the reference looks kosher enough but, following it through, one sees:

Rowell, A. and P.F. Moore, 2000: Global Review of Forest Fires. WWF/IUCN,
Gland, Switzerland, 66 pp. http://www.iucn.org/themes/fcp/publications
/files/global_review_forest_fires.pdf.

This, then appears to be another WWF report, carried out in conjunction with the IUCN – The International Union for Conservation of Nature.

The WWF is not a university or research center.  It is the World Wildlife Fund, an environmentalist advocacy group, one best known here for having an agency that produced and distributed (without the WWF’s permission) an ad that used 9/11 as a way to accuse people of committing terrorism against the planet.  Dr. Rowell works on policy analysis, not research.   PF Moore isn’t a scientist at all; he’s a “green activist” and a reporter for the Guardian newspaper.  And not only is this work not peer-reviewed and not conducted by environmental scientists in a normal research model, Dr. North can’t even find the claim that 40% of the rainforest is at risk over slightly reduced precipitation in any of WWF’s own research.

How did the IPCC come to include this claim in its report to the UN?  Supposedly, all of the underlying data is supposed to be peer-reviewed, legitimate research by professional scientists and not advocates.  Yet within nine days we have seen two of its major claims turn out to be anecdotal speculation based on nothing at all.  It goes right along with those Himalayan glaciers that were supposedly going to disappear within 25 years — at best, speculation that the IPCC falsely presented as scientific research, and likely a large load of carbon-rich effluvium.

Speaking of the glaciers, I Hate The Media has twelve glaciers that haven’t gotten the IPCC’s marching orders yet.  Most interesting: the new glacier forming in the concave top of Mount St. Helens in Washington.


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Hide the decline.

wildcat84 on January 26, 2010 at 12:59 PM

Now the Telegraph’s James Delingpole reports that another key claim by the IPCC also comes from non-peer-reviewed work by scientists operating out of their field of work:

These are the same guys who keep telling us that peer review is the single most important factor in deciding whether or not to trust a source of information.

BadgerHawk on January 26, 2010 at 12:59 PM

It certainly is getting hot for the IPCC people.

rbj on January 26, 2010 at 1:00 PM

Will AGW affect Obama’s proposed spending freeze?

WashJeff on January 26, 2010 at 1:00 PM

The whole AGW scenario is a scam. Always has been. It was a power grab by a bunch of loony leftists.Someone should be prosecuted for it.

Guardian on January 26, 2010 at 1:01 PM

at this point, I will shocked if there is any LEGITIMATE data. Of course, I already know the answer to that one….

search4truth on January 26, 2010 at 1:02 PM

Is anyone planning on suing the UN for the damages it has caused to the Western world? It seems to me that the UN is responsible for trillions of lost productivity and has only been stopped thanks to the mind-blowing stupidity of the left and their inability to cheat and lie correctly. Also, those in the UN who have been part of this IPCC process are among the greatest criminals this world has ever seen and should all be sitting in jail.

neurosculptor on January 26, 2010 at 1:04 PM

This winter’s glaciers in Nebraska still holding together nicely with a decided uptick in propane bills and a cold blast forecast for later in the week. This is a non peer reviewed statement.

a capella on January 26, 2010 at 1:06 PM

Inconceivable!

strictnein on January 26, 2010 at 1:06 PM

AGW = AlGorbal Warming. He may not have created the internet[s], but he certainly took the lead of this man-made disaster.

We’re still waiting for summer to hit Michigan. Perhaps a lawsuit targeting AlGore would correct that as he claims that ‘Carbon Credits’ is the cure for AlGorbal Warming.

DannoJyd on January 26, 2010 at 1:08 PM

WWF? Everyone knows that stuff’s fake.

Uh, this is the World Wildlife Fund, not the World Wrestling Federation.

And?

The Monster on January 26, 2010 at 1:10 PM

I love it when a glacier makes an impact.

upinak on January 26, 2010 at 1:12 PM

The fact that people seldom check sources–and frankly there is little disincentive to simply make things up about whatever *is* cited–has been a boon to the eco-crusaders, alt-medicine quacks, new-agers, etc. for decades.

VerbumSap on January 26, 2010 at 1:12 PM

The WWF is not a university or research center.

But they’re effective.

In past years WWF argued against the use of the pesticide DDT in poorer countries, but because of the devastation of malaria, it now supports the pesticide’s limited use.

Whoops! Hey, what’s 50 million dead third world nobodies when you have the best of intentions? But this time they’re right even though it’s full of more bullcrap than the last time.

RadClown on January 26, 2010 at 1:13 PM

I think SEN Inhofe is considering hauling Dr. Michael Mann up before the Senate for a little QnA on this crapola.

I’d support that.

ted c on January 26, 2010 at 1:13 PM

“We have to lie so people will believe us,” -Liberal Tenet #2.

Akzed on January 26, 2010 at 1:15 PM

A little fraud leads to a whole lot of fraud.

tarpon on January 26, 2010 at 1:15 PM

I’m looking at a mini-glacier outside my window right now–wondering if it will ever melt–it is up to my window sill at the moment…

lovingmyUSA on January 26, 2010 at 1:17 PM

We have to lie so people will believe us,” -Liberal Tenet #2.

Akzed on January 26, 2010 at 1:15 PM

Damn, that was good!

lovingmyUSA on January 26, 2010 at 1:18 PM

I recommend the UN to go back to what its good at: Raping women, child sex rings, and taking kickbacks from sanctioned totalitarian regimes.

Bread and butter.

BobMbx on January 26, 2010 at 1:19 PM

I wonder what the next scam will be? I mean these are pretty much the same goobers that started the next ice age junk in the 1970s, peak oil, acid rain, killer bees, Y2K and most every other attempt to scare people into letting the government take even more control of their lives.

Johnnyreb on January 26, 2010 at 1:19 PM

Is anyone planning on suing the UN for the damages it has caused to the Western world?

The UN gets $1.5 billion annually from American taxpayers. If they were sued, they’d only ask for more.

Cicero43 on January 26, 2010 at 1:19 PM

Just because the data is fake and the planet is cooling does not mean agw is not a reality, deniers!

/s

Joe Caps on January 26, 2010 at 1:20 PM

On Friday I read a report that the IPCC section on species extinctions was of the same level of quality as the Himilayan glacier section.

It appears that large sections of the IPPC4 were little more than extracts from WWF press releases.

MarkTheGreat on January 26, 2010 at 1:20 PM

There was a countdown clock at the Bronx Zoo some years ago, ticking off the acres of rain forest lost every second. I didn’t do the math but I imagine the rain forest should have been gone some time around 1990, going by that counter.

But the world still has one. How did that happen? /sarc

Liam on January 26, 2010 at 1:20 PM

the best punishment for the UN would be a sentence of irrelevance.

j_galt on January 26, 2010 at 1:21 PM

Whoops! Sorry, link issues. I clicked ‘submit’ too soon.

Phil-351 on January 26, 2010 at 1:22 PM

Chicken Little is looking more and more like Big Chicken.

Running from its own colossal hysterical frauds.

The SIF (Sky Is Falling) Syndrome usually precedes an exposure of some type of delusional, crooked scheme to panic suckers into spilling cash~ fast.

profitsbeard on January 26, 2010 at 1:22 PM

“Say Thag, wall of ice closer today?”

(Obscure FarSide reference)

WitchDoctor on January 26, 2010 at 1:22 PM

MSNBC and GE have been selling the concern of a quick spike coming in the warming problem. Not to fear monger, of course.

The consistent feature is disasters and mass destruction. The idea of the oceans turning into hot tubs doesn’t spike the rubes. So I have been looking at the recent disasters to save humanity. Hundreds of millions of dollars in my pocket and loose lefty women had nothing to do with it.

Anyway, I have a theory after Katrina and Haiti. Could Mother Earth just have a bad mojo on former French areas? Sounds crazy but i wouldn’t want to be hanging out in Algeria or the Congo till this is cleared up.

IlikedAUH2O on January 26, 2010 at 1:22 PM

the best punishment for the UN would be a sentence of irrelevance.

j_galt on January 26, 2010 at 1:21 PM

Too late, already there.

iurockhead on January 26, 2010 at 1:22 PM

Based on the recent mounting evidence of AGW fraud, I’m betting that there’s some hookers in Hopenchangen who are pissed off that they were duped into handing out free happy shakes to “Save the Planet”.

ornery_independent on January 26, 2010 at 1:24 PM

The UN gets $1.5 billion annually from American taxpayers. If they were sued, they’d only ask for more.

Cicero43 on January 26, 2010 at 1:19 PM

Good point. I’ll settle for just jailing the members of the IPCC and UN establishment. Then we can work on getting the GOP to align behind the notion that the UN is an insane utopian idea that needs to be killed before it does any more damage.

The Utopian Nightmare must die, or it will kill all that is good and civilized.

neurosculptor on January 26, 2010 at 1:24 PM

Glaciergate–A relatively tame Hitler parody video

Glaciergate: Hitler’s Last Straw

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1b-6U5MwyDM

PatientObserver on January 26, 2010 at 1:27 PM

But the world still has one. How did that happen? /sarc

Liam on January 26, 2010 at 1:20 PM

Like most liberals, they only count the data that favors their side.
They counted the acres that were lost to farmers or loggers, but they didn’t count the acres that were recovering as the farmers and loggers moved on.

MarkTheGreat on January 26, 2010 at 1:27 PM

Don’t forget, it was also the UN that brought us the Monteal Protocal, which banned CFC’s. That resulted in refrigeration costs going up substantially, as more expensive and less effective substitutes replaced the old stand-bys.

What got precious little press is that NASA (some renegade scientist, no doubt) finally did some actual tests on how quickly CFC’s degrade in upper atmospheric conditions, and found that the reaction rate was less than 1/10th the rate required to actually deplete ozone. CFC’s were not the culprit. They never were, and the issue was blown out of proportion and fabricated just like AGW. But, mission accomplished, a cheap, safe, effective product that made life better for the world was eliminated.

iurockhead on January 26, 2010 at 1:30 PM

Ozone and CFC’s: Forgot the link.

http://reason.com/blog/2007/09/27/ozone-hole-science-revisited

iurockhead on January 26, 2010 at 1:34 PM

Hide the decline.

wildcat84 on January 26, 2010 at 12:59 PM

Every story concerning the bogus AGW scam has the same points:

1. Data used by scientist was not verified but used anyway.

2. Data was cherry picked and some of it just plain made up.

3.Scientist and liberal activists purposely and knowingly
used fraudulent data to have conclusions match up to their agenda.

…You can add this bogus claim touted strongly by Al Gore to the list of fraud by the AGW scientist activists:

UN wrongly linked global warming to natural disasters
Jonathan Leake, Science and Environment Editor
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article7000063.ece?print=yes&randnum=1264401274913

THE United Nations climate science panel faces new controversy for wrongly linking global warming to an increase in the number and severity of natural disasters such as hurricanes and floods.


It based the claims on an unpublished report that had not been subjected to routine scientific scrutiny — and ignored warnings from scientific advisers that the evidence supporting the link too weak. The report’s own authors later withdrew the claim because they felt the evidence was not strong enough.

….Of course the fact that they “knowingly” pushed false data and fraudulent conclusions makes these scientist and their liberal supporters nothing but common criminals:

Glacier scientist: I knew data hadn’t been verified

By David Rose
Last updated at 12:54 AM on 24th January 2010
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1245636/Glacier-scientists-says-knew-data-verified.html

The scientist behind the bogus claim in a Nobel Prize-winning UN report that Himalayan glaciers will have melted by 2035 last night admitted it was included purely to put political pressure on world leaders.

Dr Murari Lal also said he was well aware the statement, in the 2007 report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), did not rest on peer-reviewed scientific research.

….and how about one of the leaders of Greenpeace:


Greenpeace: Yeah, we misled, but we needed the emotionalism!

posted at 8:47 am on August 20, 2009 by Ed Morrissey
http://hotair.com/archives/2009/08/20/greenpeace-yeah-we-lied-but-we-needed-the-emotionalism/

Although he admitted Greenpeace had released inaccurate but alarming information, Leipold defended the organization’s practice of “emotionalizing issues” in order to bring the public around to its way of thinking and alter public opinion.

….Fake but accurate…..
……..Dan Rather has taught them well…you know…to be liars and crooks.

This has got to be the biggest fraud ever perpetrated on mankind….
………..and it’s belongs to the liberals 100%….

How Progressive!!!!!!!!!


If you have to argue your science by using fraud, your science is not valid.

Professor Pilmer

Baxter Greene on January 26, 2010 at 1:39 PM

And the EPA ruling on CO2 is tied to this set of IPCC papers. Because of the “science”

THe paper is arm chair speculation from the WWF. I hope a company sues the EPA. In hearings, the EPA will have to furnish proof to support their claims. James Hansen can get deposed. Watch him twist and lie.

seven on January 26, 2010 at 1:42 PM

With the current evidence of growing glaciers and cooler temps, we’ll soon be bombarded with the other doom and gloom of “the population is to large to feed now that the growing season is reduced.” Proselytizing mandatory abortion to stem the growth of population will again be in vogue.

Let’s not forget the additional sins of converting our food stores into fuel should amplify the problem if we don’t reverse course amd remove the subsidies…..all once again to advocacy science by the dishonest and their ignorant followers.

larvcom on January 26, 2010 at 1:44 PM

Is it possible to have a class action lawsuit against Al Gore making him give back money to all people who paid to watch him or his movie, his book, plus give back the Nobel Prize?

Or maybe find some type of fraud crime he committed?

albill on January 26, 2010 at 1:45 PM

I forgot to mention the ensuing crisis of food shortages this AGW crap will create that will inevitably give rise to more attempts to grab yet more power.

larvcom on January 26, 2010 at 1:46 PM

albill on January 26, 2010 at 1:45 PM

Wondering that myself.

larvcom on January 26, 2010 at 1:46 PM

Ozone and CFC’s: Forgot the link.

http://reason.com/blog/2007/09/27/ozone-hole-science-revisited

iurockhead on January 26, 2010 at 1:34 PM

Interesting stuff iurockhead. This stuff pisses me off (makes me ornerier) though, having just replaced our home central air unit, and now I have TWO car air conditioners that need replacing.

ornery_independent on January 26, 2010 at 1:53 PM

Um, do they have any solid evidence that global warming will cause decreased precipitation?
Or is this just “it’s cold when it rains, so it should rain less if the world gets hotter”?

Count to 10 on January 26, 2010 at 1:57 PM

Rule #1: Don’t believe anything connected to the UN…

Rule #2: The EPA is connected to the UN…

d1carter on January 26, 2010 at 2:00 PM

According to the AGW thugs, glaciers should never melt or retreat, they should keep on growing and growing until they cover all of the earth, then all of the earth’s problems would be solved ’cause the human race would be no more.

ernie on January 26, 2010 at 2:03 PM

IPCC & AGW: punching the accelerator as they circle the bowl. That vortex looks mighty deep, boys and girls!

ya2daup on January 26, 2010 at 2:13 PM

Somewhere at this very moment, a clever plaintiff’s lawyer is figuring out a way for the taxpayers of the world to get redress & recompense for monetary damages incurred as a direct consequence of all the fraud committed by these UN ‘scientists’ and their partners in crime elsewhere in academia via a class-action lawsuit.

Then we’ll see whose science is “settled” & settled for just how much after the tort lawyers take their cut, won’t we, Mr. Gore?

leilani on January 26, 2010 at 2:15 PM

I think I have changed my opinion a bit. I used to wish (yes, lefties, wish) that greenies would kill themselves (to reduce the carbon footprint, you know). Now, I would prefer if the descendants of those who died because of that stupid c$nt Rachel Carson’s vendetta on DDT be allowed to kill verifiable eco-Fascists without fear of retribution.

PimFortuynsGhost on January 26, 2010 at 2:16 PM

complete load of porkies

Say hello to the new official title of the IPCC and AGW.

batter on January 26, 2010 at 2:16 PM

With the current evidence of growing glaciers and cooler temps, we’ll soon be bombarded with the other doom and gloom of “the population is to large to feed now that the growing season is reduced.”

larvcom on January 26, 2010 at 1:44 PM

The upside is that there’ll be sufficiently large ice floes on which we can deposit the AGW true believers so they can commune with cuddly, loveable polar bears. One-way tickets only, of course.

ya2daup on January 26, 2010 at 2:16 PM

Rare birds of the Amazon.

The parrot named Ellie Light is NOT going extinct.

seven on January 26, 2010 at 2:21 PM

The dead fish littering the bays and beaches in Florida from last month’s record breaking cold snap are doing wonders for the fishing and tourism industries.

If this global warming isn’t stopped, we’re all going to freeze to death.

RadClown on January 26, 2010 at 2:27 PM

Hey! That fountain in my front yard has NO water in it! We’re all gonna die! (IPCC feel free to use this information).

Oh. Forgot to turn the water supply back on after a weeks worth of rain.

NEVER MIND!

GarandFan on January 26, 2010 at 2:29 PM

Wait a minute! Wasn’t “global warming” supposed to make the seas warmer and hurricanes stronger? If the seas got warmer, there would be MORE evaporation from the tropical Atlantic ocean. Prevailing winds in the tropics are from the east, and that more-humid air would be blown westward over the Amazon, resulting in MORE rain, not less!

Steve Z on January 26, 2010 at 2:31 PM

<blockquoteIf this global warming isn’t stopped, we’re all going to freeze to death.

RadClown
Very funny. Could have been right out of Will Rogers’ mouth.

ClanDerson on January 26, 2010 at 2:32 PM

All lies and fabrications make IPCC and Al Gore climate science something, something…

catmman on January 26, 2010 at 2:34 PM

World Wildlife Fund, who runs those commercials about how the polar bears are “endangered” and .. of course … send money.

J_Crater on January 26, 2010 at 2:41 PM

Since there is no course of study or degree in climatology ever awarded, why not have anyone who has ever read a weather report forward their opinion on agw to the ipcc. Even a blind squirrel finds an acorn now and then.

Kissmygrits on January 26, 2010 at 3:00 PM

Kissmygrits on January 26, 2010 at 3:00 PM

…..and of course squirrels are a tad smarter than those goons

larvcom on January 26, 2010 at 3:32 PM

the Amazon rainforest

How about a little truth in labeling? It’s a “jungle”!

oldleprechaun on January 26, 2010 at 3:32 PM

I really like Troll Free blogspaces.

Thank you all for your cogent well thought out comments.

barnone on January 26, 2010 at 3:33 PM

Anyone surprised? The science has been in for a while now, and it flushed this AGW turd down the toilet with authority.

BTW, why would we be shocked that they’re approaching non-scientists to get their information? That’s what the whole IPCC is all about. The “I” stands for “Intergovernmental”, not Scientific. No matter how many times they say “2,500 scientists” (or whatever number they’re using these days), these aren’t “scientists”, they aren’t even “experts”… They’re barely even diplomats, appointed by world governments.

RightWinged on January 26, 2010 at 4:00 PM

This 4th assessment earned these hacks the Nobel Peace Prize. Anyone want to argue how prestigious this award is?

djaymick on January 26, 2010 at 5:00 PM

I guess Vince McMahon had them pegged the whole time. Reference – Professional Wrestling (just in case you need a reference).

djaymick on January 26, 2010 at 5:14 PM

Hopefully the rest of the world is starting to join Americans in the skeptical camp. They used to say we were out of touch with reality.

I wonder what my very liberal brother thinks of this. I told him it was all religious hocus pocus (he’s agnostic) a couple of summers ago. He was greatly offended and then he bought a Prius.

Yes my brother drives a Prius. Yes it is embarrassing.

petunia on January 26, 2010 at 6:58 PM

For blow-by-blow, ringside accounts of Climategate, Glaciergate, Amazongate, and all the other -gates that the ‘global warming’ establishment is shedding, like scales off a sick fish, visit Anthony Watts’s great site, WattsUpWithThat,

http://wattsupwiththat.com

Beware though; it’s a huge time sink.

MrLynn on January 26, 2010 at 11:00 PM