Four hours before polls close, Coakley advisor blames White House; Update: DNC official goes nuclear on Coakley camp

posted at 4:26 pm on January 19, 2010 by Allahpundit

I didn’t buy the whispers this morning about a 10-point lead, I didn’t buy the anecdotal reports of Dem GOTV workers being “stunned” by support for Brown within their own base, and I didn’t even really buy the significance of Scotty B trending above 80 on InTrade.

But as a strong signal that things are going badly for “Marcia,” I’ll buy this.

The [Coakley] adviser, who cited internal polling numbers to make the case, emails that, “There’s more to the story than [Coakley's poor campaign]. If Martha is guilty of taking the race for granted, so is the White House, and the DNC.”

The adviser pointed to internal polling to argue that Coakley held a wide — 20 point — lead on December 19, and that the damage she took between that survey and a January 5 Rasmussen poll putting the race at 9 points came from the national scene: The Senate vote on Health Care, with the controversy over Ben Nelson’s deal for Nebraska, and the Christmas Day bombing…

A White House official emails: “It’s a little mind-boggling to see political consultants spin the election before the election is even over. There’s only one reason to do that.”

Indeed, although between (a) Rahm whispering to people about how she and the DSCC ruined everything, (b) Gibbs whining at today’s presser that The One is “not pleased” with how she ran her campaign, and (c) Axelrod wondering aloud in front of reporters this morning why she didn’t ask for national help sooner, this ain’t exactly a preemptive strike from Team Coakley. There must be an awful lot of buzzards circling in those internal polls if they’re seeing them them all the way from the White House. AP pessimism meter check: Unplugged — with the obligatory caveat that if Coakley does somehow pull this out, the disappointment will now be so cataclysmic that we’re all going to need grief counseling.

Follow the Politico link up top for a list of ways that The One’s policies hurt her, starting with growing awareness that voters are going to get slammed in the pocketbook by ObamaCare and cap and trade. Under other circumstances, even as a lackluster candidate, she could have taken Brown apart. She could have been another Barbara Boxer instead of a bum, which is what she is, let’s face it. But in this climate, forced to defend Hopenchange, what happens? Brown gets a trip to D.C. and she gets a one-way ticket to palookaville. It wasn’t her, Barry. It was you.

Update: It’s going to be one awkward scene on the dais if she pulls this out. An anonymous Democratic Party official unloads:

The campaign failed to recognize this threat, failed to keep Coakley on the campaign trail, failed to create a negative narrative about Brown, failed to stay on the air in December while he was running a brilliant campaign. It’s wishful thinking from a pollster, candidate and campaign team that were caught napping and are going to allow one of the worst debacles in American political history to happen on their watch that they are at the 11th hour are going to blame others.

Before the DNC and DSCC got involved there was barely a single piece of paper on what the narrative is on Brown. The candidate in this race and the campaign have been involved in the worst case of political malpractice in memory and they aren’t going to be able to spin themselves out of this with a memo full of lies.


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the boston mayor is still staying coakley will win by 2…

drink some more beer there mayor
geesh!

cmsinaz on January 19, 2010 at 5:07 PM

AP pessimism meter check: Unplugged — with the obligatory caveat that if Coakley does somehow pull this out, the disappointment will now be so cataclysmic that we’re all going to need grief counseling.

If Coakley pulls this out, I honestly believe we’re looking at the end of the republic. This would be catastrophic, at this point. Not from a “the Dems continue with their supermajority” perspective, ‘though that would be bad enough. But given how strongly the polls favor Brown, it would take fraud, and willful ignorance/compliance by the government, on a massive scale to overcome his clear lead. And that, my friends, dooms our country. It means we simply can’t count on the electoral process to be fair and legitimate.

And the death spiral would only accelerate from there. For starters, I would expect the Tea Party protests to take on a rather more fevered pitch. And the goons on the Left (especially their spokespersons, like Olbermann, Maddow, Matthews, etc.) would feel much more emboldened to respond violently. It doesn’t take much of an imagination to figure where that takes us.

I think we’re on the cusp, gang. Maybe I’m being overly dramatic, but I don’t think so. The results from this will resonate for years to come. A Brown victory signals to Washington, and to the States, as well, that we’re watching. That we’re not going to put up with their crap anymore. It bells the cat in a profound way. A Coakley victory, given the current circumstances, means our worst fears of the government steamrolling the people will pale in comparison to what’s coming our way. It’s not going to be pretty, to say the least.

nukemhill on January 19, 2010 at 5:08 PM

PackerBronco on January 19, 2010 at 5:02 PM

Funny and SPOT ON!

And to think Billy Jeff is so close to Obama with the Haitian disaster. Interesting times.

jukin on January 19, 2010 at 5:08 PM

So, do we see an announcement from Hillary during the next few months saying that she’s going to leave the State Department? Interesting times …

PackerBronco on January 19, 2010 at 5:02 PM

She might as well – it’s over for Barry. HC and cap and trade down the tubes. Likely amnesty as well.

Vashta.Nerada on January 19, 2010 at 5:08 PM

I am not cracking open an Amber Bock until it is announced. My liver has a couple of more hours.

Holger on January 19, 2010 at 5:03 PM

The sheer will power of your liver is most impressive.

Geochelone on January 19, 2010 at 5:08 PM

Calling all Trolls, calling all Trolls!

We miss you, come out to play!

javamartini on January 19, 2010 at 5:09 PM

Follow the money:
■ Intrade 86/18.1 Brown
■ Healthcare stocks +6%

Dale on January 19, 2010 at 5:09 PM

The mayor of Boston is saying Coakley will win?!?!?

Wonder if he’s got some friends of his helping with the ballot box stuffing…

newton on January 19, 2010 at 5:10 PM

Can you say willful suspension of disbelieve Hillary?

Geochelone on January 19, 2010 at 5:10 PM

newton on January 19, 2010 at 5:10 PM

wouldn’t put it pass him…

cmsinaz on January 19, 2010 at 5:12 PM

A 41st Republican Senate vote would also be important when Supreme Court Justice Stevens retires.

Emperor Norton on January 19, 2010 at 5:12 PM

I tell ya: Democrats will CHEAT, STEAL and SLANDER to keep power.

We’re on to your game, Dems! Consider yourselves warned.

newton on January 19, 2010 at 5:13 PM

Hey maybe shaking some hands out in the cold wasn’t such a bad idea was it Martha?

vcferlita on January 19, 2010 at 5:14 PM

Kennedy is spinning so hard in his grave that I’m afraid the cavitation is going to knock our planetary axis out of kilter!

2nd Ammendment Mother on January 19, 2010 at 5:14 PM

Emperor Norton on January 19, 2010 at 5:12 PM

don’t hold your breath…orrin hatch will vote for any of dear leader’s choices….

cmsinaz on January 19, 2010 at 5:16 PM

ogabe’s one year presidency…how come the Brits know more about what is going on than the media here?

BELIEVE! BELIEVE!

Scott.Can.Win

lukespapa on January 19, 2010 at 5:16 PM

Damn I’m going to have to tape the Biggest Loser and watch Olby and Matthews aren’t I?

gophergirl on January 19, 2010 at 4:32 PM

Watch the Biggest Loser live and tape the show about people trying to lose weight to watch later.

Kensington on January 19, 2010 at 5:20 PM

Where is Deval Patrick?

SouthernGent on January 19, 2010 at 5:20 PM

Where is Deval Patrick?

SouthernGent on January 19, 2010 at 5:20 PM

Packing his things.

Huckabye-Romney on January 19, 2010 at 5:23 PM

one thing to keep in mind. The large metro areas in Mass are very blue. many have no car. walking to vote in the snow? i think not. too bad they’re not pickup-truck driving rednecks like us Conservatives!

viviliberoomuori on January 19, 2010 at 5:24 PM

nukemhill on January 19, 2010 at 5:08 PM

nukem, I have to disagree, sort of.

First, though, let me say that if I were ready to pull the sheet over America’s face due to Senate seats being stolen, this country would have ceased to be LONG ago. Most likely Franken stole his. Kennedy’s Dad stole his in the day. LBJ’s congressional seat was stolen. I’m not minimizing the act — it is treason as far as I’m concerned, and those found guilty of it can hang from the tree in my backyard as far as I’m concerned.

With all of that said, we have to remember that EVERYONE, of all political stripes, agrees that this kind of race has too many variables to poll very accurately. They have to assume a certain level of turnout, and that they’ve accurately weighted opinions of Dems, Reps and Indies. They have to do the best they can to eliminate the usual skewing factors — cell phones, IVRs, wording of questions, that sort of thing.

So although it certainly looks like there’s a consensus among pollsters that Brown will win (and boy oh BOY do I want him to win); and while it would be heinous if it was stolen (by Brown OR Coakley); and while I don’t rule out the possibility that Coakley or her surrogates might do just that; we must actually see EVIDENCE of a stolen election before we make that charge. Polling is not the basis in our Republic for determining election winners, and it can’t be used as a gauge of the fairness of an election. And, if it IS stolen for Coakley, and she DOES get away with it, that act in itself won’t bury this country. A lot of us have a lot of fight left in us.

RegularJoe on January 19, 2010 at 5:24 PM

RINO ALERT!

It’s only a matter of months, of not weeks, until conservatives start whining that Coakley isn’t a REAL Republican. This guy is a clone of William Weld.

bayam on January 19, 2010 at 4:32 PM

What a beautiful example of how uninformed and dare I say, stupid, libs are!

Hobbes on January 19, 2010 at 5:25 PM

The Democrats will cheat. And win.

spmat on January 19, 2010 at 5:26 PM

You can’t fix stupid.

thgrant on January 19, 2010 at 4:41 PM

No, but you can VOTE IT OUT!!!

Go Scott!!!!

DanaSmiles on January 19, 2010 at 5:30 PM

The candidate in this race and the campaign have been involved in the worst case of political malpractice in memory and they aren’t going to be able to spin themselves out of this with a memo full of lies.

Short memory, Think Truman vs. Dewey. But then dims are good at not knowing history.

chemman on January 19, 2010 at 5:31 PM

The Democrats will cheat. And win.

Yes. No.

RachDubya on January 19, 2010 at 5:32 PM

I am SOOO watching MSNBC tonight.

EZnSF on January 19, 2010 at 5:32 PM

Kennedy is spinning so hard in his grave that I’m afraid the cavitation is going to knock our planetary axis out of kilter!

2nd Ammendment Mother on January 19, 2010 at 5:14 PM

Actually, the gyroscopic energy will throw the Earth into reverse– which is politically what we’re gunning for here :)

leftnomore on January 19, 2010 at 5:33 PM

Update: It’s going to be one awkward scene on the dais if she pulls this out. An anonymous Democratic Party official unloads:

I love it when they fornicate and then eat their own like they never knew them! awe inspiring!

upinak on January 19, 2010 at 5:33 PM

bayam on January 19, 2010 at 4:32 PM

Warning ID-10-T error on display in the above Post. Your correct Coakley isn’t a Republican she is the democrat running for office. Try proof reading your statement before posting.

chemman on January 19, 2010 at 5:34 PM

I love it when we get blue on blue…

liquidflorian on January 19, 2010 at 5:36 PM

Oh, somewhere in this favored land the sun is shining bright;
The band is playing somewhere, and somewhere hearts are light,
And somewhere men are laughing, and somewhere children shout;
But there is no joy in Mudville – mighty Obama has struck out.

MayorDaley on January 19, 2010 at 5:37 PM

I’m still gonna wait until that last hail mary is thrown and the clock is .00 Then, (if Brown wins), I’ll send a note to Babs Boxer reminding her no district is safe any longer.

Rovin on January 19, 2010 at 5:37 PM

“Marcia” Coakley is morphing into “Macaca” Coakley.

ya2daup on January 19, 2010 at 5:37 PM

The fister party is coming unglued.

farright on January 19, 2010 at 5:41 PM

AP pessimism meter check: Unplugged — with the obligatory caveat that if Coakley does somehow pull this out, the disappointment will now be so cataclysmic that we’re all going to need grief counseling.

Dr. Bombay is on standby…… Doom on you, Marcia Coakley.

Rightwingguy on January 19, 2010 at 5:42 PM

nukemhill on January 19, 2010 at 5:08 PM

And, if it IS stolen for Coakley, and she DOES get away with it, that act in itself won’t bury this country. A lot of us have a lot of fight left in us.

RegularJoe on January 19, 2010 at 5:24 PM

IF it is stolen, and there is evidence, although not enough to win a criminal conviction (and there has been tons of evidence of Dhimmicrat malfeasance in this are over the past several years), and the Justice Dept says there isn’t enough evidence to prosecute (even though the New Black Panthers didn’t defende themselves, were found guilty of voter intimidation, and had the conviction thrown out by their overseers in the New Justice Dept), just what will get Americans PO’d enough to actually act on these thieves? When are we going to actually stand up and fight them, the way they fight us.

All it takes is a couple of folks willing to go the distance and demand accountability and throw punches (real punches) back when our volunteers are getting beaten by SEIU thugs. When are Real Men going to say enough is enough.

If you won’t do it for voter fraud, then you won’t do it for the establishment of a NAtional Police Force, won’t do it for the passage of usurous credit laws, gag laws on Free Speech, laws restricting Freedom of Association and Religion, Laws to take away our Arms.

Just which Constitutional Right will you stand up and take aggressive action for?

……….. By then, no one will be left to stand with you against tyranny and oppression. So you better make up your mind how far you will go and what will it require for you to take up arms to defend the Constitution. Against all enemies. Foreign AND Domestic, so the oath goes…………

Subsunk

Subsunk on January 19, 2010 at 5:43 PM

I don’t think a good Coakley campaign would have made much difference. Brown’s message reached the voters of MA. He said what they wanted to hear(what I wanted to hear too) and he said it like he meant it–and he does. If the victory is really his, time to start praying that he can deliver some or all of it and if he can’t, he has very good reasons. I think he’s tough enough for anything DC can throw at him but he’ll have a steep learning curve none the less.

jeanie on January 19, 2010 at 5:45 PM

Of course, if she win’s, she’ll be seated tomorrow. No need to worry about Biden being out of town, or the state certifying the election.

Brown hasn’t even won yet, and look at all the problems he’s causing.

GarandFan on January 19, 2010 at 5:45 PM

Marcia got Tea Bagged! LOL!

Roy Rogers on January 19, 2010 at 5:47 PM

RINO ALERT!

It’s only a matter of months, of not weeks, until conservatives start whining that Coakley isn’t a REAL Republican. This guy is a clone of William Weld.

bayam on January 19, 2010 at 4:32 PM

Funniest and strangest post of the day. Geez, libs are stupid.

jbh45 on January 19, 2010 at 5:49 PM

Makes me nervous hearing Patrick say Coakley by two. When people say that MA machine could give lessons to ACORN they are not kidding. Wondering if they’d dare this time though. A lot of traditionally Dem strongholds have come out for Brown and they are not going to like being messed with.

jeanie on January 19, 2010 at 5:50 PM

Gee, those Democrats sound unhappy. Awwwww.

WannabeAnglican on January 19, 2010 at 5:53 PM

Marcia (or whatever her name is) and BO are both incompetent, self-serving ideologueiots.

FIXED!

cableguy615 on January 19, 2010 at 5:53 PM

If you won’t do it for voter fraud, (etc)

Subsunk on January 19, 2010 at 5:43 PM

I didn’t say I’m not ready to fight; I said I AM ready. I’m saying I WON’T let my liberty and the integrity of our Republic go down the tubes without a fight.

But at the same time, we mustn’t go rushing into war with our own countrymen. The time may come, but it will be a devastating thing when it does. The Civil War was a cakewalk compared to the carnage we’re capable of inflicting today. But we’re nearing that threshold in my mind; I don’t know whether one more stolen Senate seat could push me past that threshold. It will depend upon how sure I am it was stolen, how brazen the disregard for the law in the Justice Department, whether the Dems parlay the stolen seat into enacting legislation that will destroy us. And even then, I prefer severing the union amicably over war. But yes, I’ll fight before I live under the boots of tyrants.

RegularJoe on January 19, 2010 at 5:53 PM

Yup, it was Obomber. This guy has the Midas Touch In Reverse.

james23 on January 19, 2010 at 4:32 PM

He has the s**t touch – everything he touches turns to . . .

Mommynator on January 19, 2010 at 5:58 PM

Last year the FBI did background checks for 14 million gun purchases. Just last year. If the dems want to steal elections, they should remember that most of those purchases were by Republicans. Just say’n.

Dale on January 19, 2010 at 5:58 PM

Yup, it was Obomber. This guy has the Midas Touch In Reverse.

james23 on January 19, 2010 at 4:32 PM

He has the s**t touch – everything he touches turns to . . .

Mommynator on January 19, 2010 at 5:58 PM

He is the Medusa. The Greeks knew what was going to happen. They tried to warn us by putting the “USA” in Medusa.

neurosculptor on January 19, 2010 at 6:14 PM

American Power tracked-back with, ‘Down to the Wire in Massachusetts’.

Donald Douglas on January 19, 2010 at 6:19 PM

too bad they’re not pickup-truck driving rednecks like us Conservatives!

viviliberoomuori on January 19, 2010 at 5:24 PM

I’ll drink to that.

Blacksmith8 on January 19, 2010 at 6:24 PM

So although it certainly looks like there’s a consensus among pollsters that Brown will win (and boy oh BOY do I want him to win); and while it would be heinous if it was stolen (by Brown OR Coakley); and while I don’t rule out the possibility that Coakley or her surrogates might do just that; we must actually see EVIDENCE of a stolen election before we make that charge. Polling is not the basis in our Republic for determining election winners, and it can’t be used as a gauge of the fairness of an election. And, if it IS stolen for Coakley, and she DOES get away with it, that act in itself won’t bury this country. A lot of us have a lot of fight left in us.

RegularJoe on January 19, 2010 at 5:24 PM

So you’d count somebody named Mendez handing out absentee ballots on the street that are written in spanish with Coakley’s name already marked as “EVIDENCE” right?

Blacksmith8 on January 19, 2010 at 6:27 PM

Brown will win with double digits. Intrade has 81/19 Brown. Healthcare stocks are up 6% today. The dems are whinning and talking voter fraud on the Republicans (so they can delay his seating in the Senate). Obama blaming Coakley. Coakley blaming Obama. NYT still saying it’s “close”. Gun sales up. Ammunition sold out. Yepper, change you can believe in. BTW I want to see his birth certificate. Don’t you?

Dale on January 19, 2010 at 6:30 PM

@AllahPundit

Terrific usage of “On the Waterfront” dialogue, AP, and I’m surprised no one complimented you on it…..

*raises glass*

dmh0667 on January 19, 2010 at 6:32 PM

Everybody google “The Battle of Athens.”

fossten on January 19, 2010 at 6:33 PM

I agree with an earlier post who stated that if Coakley wins the results will be ugly. The mistrust of the electoral system will balloon and the mood of the people will sour. I truly believe trouble will start to spiral out of control over the next decade. This vote could turn out to be the first shot of the next American revolution, peaceful or otherwise. God help us.

TNHunter on January 19, 2010 at 6:34 PM

Yup, love the movie reference.

I love the whining from both the WH and Coakley camps! Waaaaa!!

PattyJ on January 19, 2010 at 6:37 PM

look at all these domocrats running incompetent campaigns lately….nothing to do with obama or anything….

runner on January 19, 2010 at 6:39 PM

Beck had a great show today. His point being that if Brown wins, a moment of truth will have arrived for the Democraps. As individuals and as a party the burden on them will now be to show us all whether they are socialist/commie rat bastards like the ONE, Pelousy and Dingy or if they’re true (but misguided) Americans who just think they have a better way. We could very well see open warfare within their ranks for control.

MJBrutus on January 19, 2010 at 6:43 PM

You want your daughter to marry one?

Democrats have been selling our kids into Palookaville for decades.

It starts with public schools, rewarding failure at all levels, macroeconomic solutions to microeconomic problems, affirmative action for Asians and a black prez who profited from it and whose ancestors were never subject to any of the ‘historic’ problems that it was supposed to address. If anyone asked me about wanting my daughter to marry one, I figure (today) they would be talking about a white male.

IlikedAUH2O on January 19, 2010 at 6:50 PM

Lot’s of people are talking about taking strong action if the election is stolen. I agree, but the question is what to do? Can you seriously consider violence in this situation? I don’t see how voter fraud can merit that. But what then is the remedy? Wait till the next election? Seems just as invalid a response. Lawsuits? With the Obama justice dept.? I know I’m getting silly. But what would be an effective response, people? Let’s gear up and be ready to roll when it happens, and we know it will happen.

sleepyhead on January 19, 2010 at 7:00 PM

sleepyhead on January 19, 2010 at 7:00 PM

Violence is an option. The last option I agree. But how far can one be pushed?

Dale on January 19, 2010 at 7:13 PM

Life is Good!

PatMac on January 19, 2010 at 7:44 PM

Let the cannibalism begin!

flameofjudah on January 19, 2010 at 8:18 PM

Hot Air is experiencing extremely high load. There will be a delay before your comment appears on the site. Please do not resubmit it!

Better get a few hundred more servers Michelle for NOVEMBER!

Rovin on January 19, 2010 at 10:08 PM

More undeniable truth that Dem eat their own.

MSGTAS on January 20, 2010 at 9:44 AM

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