Rasmussen: Three different Republicans within six points of Boxer in California
posted at 5:24 pm on January 15, 2010 by Allahpundit
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Deep blue state, profoundly unlikeable Democrat, heavy baggage from Hopenchange, Republican upstart uncomfortably close: This sounds familiar. Like Castellanos said — no one is safe.
America looks forward to addressing her as “ma’am” again.
In California, 49% favor the health care plan, while 48% oppose it. But as in other states, the emotion is on the side of the opponents: Just 25% of California voters Strongly Favor the plan while 39% Strongly Oppose it.
Perhaps even more significantly, 55% of California voters rate the U.S. economy as poor, while just seven percent (7%) think it’s good or excellent. Golden State voters are evenly divided over whether the economy is improving: 36% say it’s getter better, while 35% say it’s getting worse. Twenty-five percent (25%) believe it’s staying about the same.
“Any incumbent who polls below 50% at this point in the season is considered potentially vulnerable,” noted Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports. “However, vulnerable incumbents still have the power of their office and still have a decent chance of winning. The Democratic leaning political gravity of California will certainly give Senator Boxer a boost in that effort.”…
The fact that Boxer’s support is frozen at 46% against all GOP challengers suggest that the race for now is about her rather than those running against her.
Fiorina pulls 43 percent, DeVore 40, and Tom Campbell, whom I’ve never heard of, nets a cool 42, putting all three well within the margin of error against … a three-term incumbent. Taking her down would be as sweet as taking down Reid, frankly: She’s further left than he is, just as personally nasty, and would be as glorious a trophy coming from big blue as Dingy is as majority leader. It’ll be much harder to beat her, sure, but given the fine job Democrats have done with California’s economy, voters there should be even more primed than Massachusetts for a Senate shocker. Remember, the big storyline in the midterms may well end up having less to do with the GOP than with visceral anti-incumbent sentiment. We’ll take it. AP pessimism meter check: 8.0, indicating near-certain soul-crushing defeat, down from 10.0 yesterday, indicating “abandon all hope, ye who enter here.”
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Tom Campbell is a fiscal Conservative and good guy. Needs money. Totally understands and teaches economics. Not exciting, thank God, just smart and committed – would be a fresh breeze after the dumbest box of rocks in the Senate.
Ruby Simpson on January 15, 2010 at 6:09 PM
I prefer DeVore but neither he nor Fiorina stand a chance at winning the general election.
Californians traditionally vote moderate at best.
Even in this new climate of anti-hope n’ change, CA Conservative Republicans are a liability.
The Ugly American on January 15, 2010 at 6:10 PM
I can feel it. Four more wake ups until HUMPBOT’s RETURN!!!
PappaMac on January 15, 2010 at 6:12 PM
atheling on January 15, 2010 at 5:59 PM
Clint Didier is a family friend. He was my nephew’s offensive coordinator for the HS football team. Undefeated this year and won state. Clint comes from a great family. And he is pretty smart. Pretty successful businessman. It doesn’t hurt that he has 2 Super Bowl rings. He probably could get Largent to campaign for him. That would help him in Seattle.
Voter from WA State on January 15, 2010 at 6:13 PM
You can also throw into the political mix the state of California’s government. It’s also run by the Democrats and it’s going into the GROUND.
GUILT BY ASSOCIATION.
GarandFan on January 15, 2010 at 6:13 PM
Devore of Florina for me, and I am not a Californian.
Holger on January 15, 2010 at 6:14 PM
TGIF!
cmsinaz on January 15, 2010 at 6:14 PM
Love it. I will so be standing at the BART entrance with opponent campaign material.
(guess I should make up my mind who I support)
EZnSF on January 15, 2010 at 6:15 PM
One thing is for sure. Since this is California they will probably elect somebody bad. The only hope is that Babs loses because they can’t hardly do worse.
duff65 on January 15, 2010 at 6:18 PM
Planned Parenthood gave Chuck Devore a 18 percent rating. The NRA gave him an A. 100 percent rating from CA Chamber of Commerce, California Tax Payer’s Association, California Farm Bureau Federation and an F from a Animal-Rights Advocacy Group.
Holger on January 15, 2010 at 6:18 PM
To quote Dick Enberg: “Oh my!!”
thomasaur on January 15, 2010 at 6:18 PM
Between Tom Campbell and Boxer, well obviously Campbell.
But Campbell is the Less Ambitious Republican Version of John Garamendi, The Running Man.
Garamendi: 3 elections in a single cycle
Campbell: 2 elections in a single cycle.
Other than Maxine Waters, whom only a few Californians elect, Barbara Boxer is the single most embarrassing thing California has ever done.
And we’ve done plenty….
juanito on January 15, 2010 at 6:19 PM
Problem is, so many of my fellow conservatives have left California that I don’t know if we can turn it around. If we keep going the way that we are going, then most of our larger cities and towns will begin to look like Detroit. Some already do.
gstrickler on January 15, 2010 at 6:21 PM
No Campbell
No way
http://sperryfiles.com/characters.shtml
macncheez on January 15, 2010 at 6:23 PM
Oh, please please please.
Bob's Kid on January 15, 2010 at 6:23 PM
Sea change baby, sea change!!!!
Chewy the Lab on January 15, 2010 at 6:24 PM
This is good but try and find a nice candidate in Connectitut. Don’t give it up.
promachus on January 15, 2010 at 6:28 PM
From your blog, AP, to God’s ears!
My preference, just from “first impressions”: Devore, Fiorino, Campbell.
March Hare on January 15, 2010 at 6:31 PM
I think he looks like a good candidate. I think I’m going to volunteer for his campaign.
atheling on January 15, 2010 at 6:34 PM
Just dress in black and stand with your sign next to this guy @ 24th st station
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aw4HYiqzoFg
macncheez on January 15, 2010 at 6:35 PM
You’d like him; he’s a lot like you, in a way: fiscally conservative, social not-so-much. Won a long-Dem (and now-Dem) Congressional seat in Silicon Valley, mounted a quixotic run for Senate as the Republican sacrificial lamb. And HotAir readers might like him for being a fiscal conservative (although his support for some of Arnold’s tax initiatives and defense of some rule-of-law criminal rights issues have made some die-hards turn against him). I hope he wins the primary, although there’s talk of him dropping out due to his, well, lack of name-recognition (and, subsequently, dollars).
calbear on January 15, 2010 at 6:38 PM
(7%) think it’s good or excellent
Can’t we isolate these people and smack them round the face with a huge fish?
mudskipper on January 15, 2010 at 5:36 PM
I would’nt want the fish getting in the way of my feeling’s!
heshtesh on January 15, 2010 at 6:41 PM
Tom Campbell is listed here as a member of the Muslim caucus, the same as Cynthia McKinney and Jim Moran.
Tom Campbell is not acceptable.
Emperor Norton on January 15, 2010 at 6:44 PM
Tom Campbell is a liberal in an elephant suit.
crosspatch on January 15, 2010 at 6:45 PM
Um, no not by any stretch of the imagination is Babs the most embarrassing thing that “state” has ever done.
You’ve forgotten about Feinstein, Brown, Newsome, Munoz, Martin, Gates, OJ, Timothy Leery, Berkeley, LSD, Moonies, the Bay to Breakers, and don’t forget steroid wonder boy AhNull’d. My pick for the win would be Hollyweird every day of the week.
Blacksmith8 on January 15, 2010 at 6:51 PM
I think “girl power” has a chance to work in California for the Republicans this year. Meg for Governor and Carly for Senate.
crosspatch on January 15, 2010 at 6:57 PM
Love that guy. Will have to throw him a fiver next time I see him.
EZnSF on January 15, 2010 at 6:58 PM
I never stopped.
What? What’s she gonna do, make me retire?
JeffWeimer on January 15, 2010 at 6:59 PM
Tom Campbell’s a good guy. Very smart. He is pro choice, but very fiscally conservative. Speaks like a professor, which is kind of a negative in this era of slick actors. Substance over style. Isn’t that what we always say we want?
Economist, Stanford Law professor, Dean of the Haas Business School (at Berkeley), US Congressman. Lost to Feinstein, not surprising in this state. Boxer is vulnerable.
Those choosing to call him a liberal aren’t worth listening to. It’s California – you don’t get everything you want out htere.
Pablo Snooze on January 15, 2010 at 7:00 PM
Bloody hell, “he is not acceptable” is right. He needs to go down like a lead balloon.
atheling on January 15, 2010 at 7:01 PM
The Senate in my worthless state still hold the potential for GOP wins.
It will be tough but everyone here is pissed off over the very real sweetheart deals union and state government employees get while the private sector is being destroyed with regulations and taxes/fees.
There is 15 % of the vote that has in the past given up – it may be energized enough this time, especially at the odious Boxer.
Also- Campbell is a worthless DIABLO, who would make David Gergen look like George Patton.
jjshaka on January 15, 2010 at 7:06 PM
DeVore is by far the best candidate. He’s been working to lower taxes longer than Fiorina has been voting, and Campbell believes Tom Campbell backs National Popular Vote, an end-run around Constitution that only 1 Rep. supported in CA legislature. DeVore supports the Constitution and the concept of federalism.
NTWR on January 15, 2010 at 7:09 PM
The CW is that California is going to be as blue in 2010 as it was in 2008. I think the race for CA-10 last November should have awoken everyone that times are changing.
True the old warrior Dem, Lt. Governor Garamendi won but he won with the smallest margin in about 30 years. That district usually goes Dem by 20-30 pts. He won 53-43 in a high turnout special election. He beat a guy, David Harmer, an unknown with no state office experience, no elective office at all other than middle school PTA. Lt. Governor for petes sake. Against a true nobody.
I live out in CA-10, its been ultra liberal but the anger and bitterness out here is thick. Boxer could easily lose.
CA is in a angry mood and Democrats are up for re-election. Boxer is a clodding campaigner and never been popular. She could easily lose.
richardb on January 15, 2010 at 7:09 PM
Let’s not lose track of the moonbat ACORN worker in San Diego(?) — the one who said she had her husband bumped off — who claimed to have a more than casual political relationship with Da Babs, so it may well be that Madam of ACORN’s “Hos Across The Border” would be the perfect career move for her.
ya2daup on January 15, 2010 at 7:11 PM
DeVore’s Work history (from Facebook)
The guy was a Reagan appointee, he’s solid on the water issue, he’s the best candidate. Period.
NTWR on January 15, 2010 at 7:14 PM
The Central valley water / smelt issue will be huge.
If only the political donations of the Central valley farmers could be made public and the country will see how the libs/ dems went after them with a vengeance.
We don’t need to know about the Marin countey farmers, we know who they give money to.
macncheez on January 15, 2010 at 7:19 PM
ReasonTV did an interview with both DeVore and Tom Campbell (back when he was running for Governor).
Reason Interviews DeVore
Reason Interviews Campbell
yojimbo30 on January 15, 2010 at 7:22 PM
I actually was polled by telephone last night for this poll.
Campbell is a multi-term former Congressman from the Bay Area, was a law professor at Stanford for a time, and ran the Bureau of Competition at the FTC under the Reagan administration. By all measures he is a moderate and I suspect he may have the best overall shot at this Senate seat.
VG
Voiceguy on January 15, 2010 at 7:23 PM
Not so fast. As a lifetime Californian I would say that in normal times your observation would be accurate – but these are far from normal times. People here as a whole are more PO’d than I’ve ever seen them and the anger is the least partisan I’ve seen as well.
The state is FUBAR and try as they might to blame it on prop 13, or 2/3’s vote for budget approval, or Arnold or whatever, everyone knows that the state is 90% run (state & local) by Democrats. And boy have they blown it.
I think that if Fiorina or DeVore run a good campaign and the Democrats are unable to stem the building anti-Democrat momentum (it is not just anti-Hope-n-Change…). they will have a chance at beating Boxer.
DrDeano on January 15, 2010 at 7:24 PM
Better than replacing Reid! This pipsqueak Brooklyn leftist transplant has participated in the ruination of my state’s reputation and economy. She is no leader.
I think Fiorina has the best chance to take her down. Campbell is a long time Bay Area politician, he taught law at Stanford and was elected to Congress representing the south bay.
He ran for the Senate before and lost to Feinstein.
Frankly Boxer will be hard to beat because she mobilizes her SF base well. Who knows maybe my state can do something right for once but I am not holding my breath.
I do plan to give to the primary winner to the extent I can.
FireBlogger on January 15, 2010 at 7:25 PM
I am a Democrat. I would be delighted to vote for Devore…or Fiorina…or Campbell. I prefer Devore, who shows a lot of new media savvy, is great on the important economic issues, and has a real future on a larger, national scale.
The best thing about being a California Democrat this year is that I get to vote against Boxer….twice.
Mutnodjmet on January 15, 2010 at 7:29 PM
GOOD BYE, SLEAZE!!!
jgdp on January 15, 2010 at 8:09 PM
It’s Carly’s to lose. DeVore is good man but this will be a woman-on-woman thing. Boxer won when times were relatively good and people were asleep. She’s a hack and will unravel under a discipled, well-funded, female opponent.
rrpjr on January 15, 2010 at 8:23 PM
Say “Good bye,” ma’am.
BottomLine5 on January 15, 2010 at 8:24 PM
I’d like to be optimistic but there’s no way to overstate the ignorance and stupidity of the California voters. Especially the illegal ones.
The media here is still unanimous in the opinion that whatever goes wrong is without question the fault of Republicans, even though Republicans have had no real power here for decades. The populace is deeply brainwashed and smug in their liberal viewpoints. It might take a state bankruptcy and several more years of insane politically correct bungling to change some minds.
Django on January 15, 2010 at 8:36 PM
DeVore is the true conservative in this race. Fiorina and Campbell are RINOs. As much as I would like to see the stupidest woman in the Senate to go, I do not want to replace her with a RINO. The Republicans tend to cede this seat every election but, as we are seeing in Massachusetts, there are no safe seats so we might as well go for the gusto. No compromises!
tballard on January 15, 2010 at 9:10 PM
He was actually running for Governor before and only just yesterday announced he was switching to the Senate race, so this was a shock for me.
http://www.sacbee.com/static/weblogs/capitolalertlatest/2010/01/tom-campbell-sw.html
JeffinSac on January 15, 2010 at 10:07 PM
Oh and Tom Campbell was my choice for governor before he switched because of his ideas and values that matched mine and I encourage everyone to check him out and donate to his new Senate campaign because if he is polling this high with just 1 day of running he will beat Boxer easily.
http://www.campbell.org/
JeffinSac on January 15, 2010 at 10:11 PM
If he got his Ph.D. in Econ with M. Friedman, he’s okay by me!
I question the Muslim Council thing.
PattyJ on January 15, 2010 at 10:31 PM
Something to think about: If we can get a lot of tight races the DNC will have to spend mucho bucks to try and keep their pinheads in power. There may not be enough money to go around to everybody. For example, look at the bucks their blowing on the Coakley-Brown battle. Millions this past week. If they’ve got to do that for every tight race across the country they’ll run out of money. I think this bodes well for newcomers who may not be able to raise a lot of capital because of name recognition but because public sentiment is so high for a new and a real hope and change they may be able to defeat an incumbent anyway. And they may have to because they’re not gonna get a whole lot of support from the RNC. Just ask Scott Brown and Hoffman from NY-23.
ranzofola on January 15, 2010 at 10:51 PM
I watched the 2 reason tv interviews and I’d have to say I like Devore for his personality and his seemingly unabashed conservative principles, but I thought the interview wih Campbell was great. He has very good insight on economics, free market principles and he’s someone I’d definitely want working on balancing a budget. Both guys rightly argued some of the things GW did that was wrong or at least silly. I think Devore is probably has a better chnce of winning.
ranzofola on January 15, 2010 at 11:16 PM
Imagine how mad Kelsey Grammer must be right now. He didn’t get into the race because he figured there’s no way even an incredibly well-known and wealthy guy like him could win that seat.
Dude.
ScottMcC on January 15, 2010 at 11:53 PM
I can’t wait to address her as Madam Bitch.
Cleveland Steamer on January 16, 2010 at 8:48 AM
I can’t wait to address he as Madam B**ch.
Cleveland Steamer on January 16, 2010 at 8:49 AM
Mame, you are a looser and you can take Sen. Fienstine with you.
The Demoncrates must be feeling the need to protect and insure they are vested in their Superior Health Care Program before they get the boot.
MSGTAS on January 17, 2010 at 9:57 AM
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