PPP poll tomorrow: Reid’s all but finished
posted at 4:45 pm on January 13, 2010 by Allahpundit
Mind you, this is a guy who pulled 61 percent of the vote six years ago. Now, with the anchor of ObamaCare tied around both ankles, PPP’s giving him the last rites fully nine months out from election day.
Don’t say The One never did anything for you.
Reid gets only 52% of the black vote against Sue Lowden and Danny Tarkanian in the poll, a weak standing for a Democrat to be sure, and worse than the 61% Las Vegas Mayor Oscar Goodman gets in the survey. With Republicans and independents in the state pretty universally lined up against him Reid’s margin for error with his base voters is very low and that 52% figure is not going to get the job done. Whether that standing is a short term reaction to the ‘negro’ revelation that will subside or a long term problem that will plague Reid remains to be seen.
This much seems clear: Reid’s standing for reelection was perilous a week ago and now it looks even worse. Even an error free 2010 might not be enough for him to keep his seat, and any further mistakes will reduce his chances of winning to about nil. Look for the numbers tomorrow on whether Dems would be better off with someone else.
What are the odds that a guy given to rambling about “negro dialects” in front of reporters will make any more mistakes before November? Incidentally, Rasmussen also shows him sinking further below the waves today thanks to the revelations in “Game Change,” which leaves the Dems with a nasty dilemma: How much worse do things have to get before the party establishment starts leaning on him to retire? That’s an easy call in the case of someone like Dodd but the moral dimension is tougher with Reid. He is, to some extent, a martyr to their dream of universal health care. They told him something simply had to pass, so he begged, bullied, and bought his way to 60 votes — and is staring at early retirement for his trouble. No matter how obvious it is that he should go, I can’t believe The One will throw him under the bus after all the abuse he’s taken from the left and right to make their signature domestic policy boondoggle happen. Prediction: He’s in it to the bitter end and will get Obama’s full support, unless his son hits him with the ultimate guilt trip.