Harry Reid’s new favorability at -19

posted at 11:45 am on January 9, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

When an incumbent drops below 50% job approval or favorability, his likelihood of re-election begins to dim.  Harry Reid intends on giving us a demonstration of how that works in 201o.  A new Mason-Dixon poll has a bare 33% of Nevada voters giving Reid a favorable rating, while 52% view him unfavorably.  He loses in head-to-head matchups against both major Republican candidates vying in the primary by comfortable margins, as well as a third candidate of whom almost half of Nevadans have never heard (via Instapundit):

According to the survey:

• 52 percent had an unfavorable opinion of Reid, 33 percent had a favorable view and another 15 percent said they’re neutral. In early December, a Mason-Dixon poll put his unfavorable-favorable rating at 49-38. The lowest Reid’s popularity had slipped before in the surveys was 50 percent — in October, August and May of 2009, when Mason-Dixon started tracking the senate race for the Review-Journal.

The poll also took a snapshot of how Reid would do against three potential GOP opponents. In each case — as in past Review-Journal surveys — it showed the senator would lose with only four in 10 voters supporting him. The potential match-ups would look like this:

• Sue Lowden, former Nevada Republican Party chairwoman, would get 50 percent of the vote to Reid’s 40 percent with 10 percent undecided.

• Danny Tarkanian, a businessman and former UNLV basketball star, would gain 49 percent of the vote to Reid’s 41 percent.

• And Sharron Angle, a former Reno assemblywoman, would get 45 percent of the vote to Reid’s 40 percent, a strong showing given her low name recognition statewide — 42 percent don’t know her.

Basically, one could run any Republican against Reid, and he couldn’t get more than 41% of the vote.    That’s a sign that someone has outlived his mandate.  And normally, a politician facing these kind of numbers would take the hint and find a lobbying job, but not Reid:

In response, Reid told the Review-Journal Friday he wouldn’t consider stepping aside as did Sen. Chris Dodd of Connecticut, whose announcement this week prompted rumors that the Senate majority leader might think about ending his political career now that he’s the most vulnerable incumbent.

“I am absolutely running for re-election,” said Reid, 70, in a statement. “These are difficult times for Nevada and as the majority leader of the Senate I have been able to take action to address those challenges. But I know there is more work to do to turn our state’s economy around and create jobs and I am committed to seeing it through.” …

The November election is 10 months out, which may give the senator’s expected $25 million-fueled campaign time to sell him to Nevadans again — and time to tear apart his GOP opponent once a contender emerges from the crowded field in the June primary.

”He’s never backed down from a fight,” Reid campaign manager Brandon Hall said in an interview when asked whether Reid would retire instead of seeking a fifth Senate term. He added, ”We’re not trying to win a beauty contest here.”

Obviously not.  Reid will use his huge war chest to attempt to distract Nevadans from the fact that he has become a shill for the radical agenda of Nancy Pelosi and Barack Obama, rather than represent the independent and fiscally conservative Nevada that sent him to the Senate.  He will conduct character assassinations on Republicans rather than have to defend his performance to his constituents, who have recoiled in disgust over Reid’s work since becoming Senate Majority Leader.  That’s not a beauty contest — it’s a mudslinging extravaganza, and it’s the only way Reid can possibly make people forget what he’s become.

As for never backing down from a fight, well …

Seems to me that at a -19 favorability, Reid’s war is all but lost. Shouldn’t he take his own advice and retreat ignominiously over an event horizon in Searchlight?


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It couldn’t happen to a nicer guy.

kingsjester on January 9, 2010 at 11:47 AM

Bye Bye you old fart.

ronnyraygun on January 9, 2010 at 11:48 AM

it looks like Harry the “snake” has had it.

rplat on January 9, 2010 at 11:49 AM

I will always despise Reid for his comments about the Iraq war.

mchristian on January 9, 2010 at 11:49 AM

Reid should forget politics, and instead use his money to buy his soul back from whoever he sold it to.

RBMN on January 9, 2010 at 11:49 AM

war is lost, now that is funny.

rob verdi on January 9, 2010 at 11:50 AM

Reid’s campaign manager Hall said internal polls show the senator winning the general election against any potential opponent, but he refused to share any details.

….

LOLZ

artist on January 9, 2010 at 11:50 AM

Reid should forget politics, and instead use his money to buy his soul back from whoever he sold it to.

RBMN on January 9, 2010 at 11:49 AM

That would be Satan and Satan’s mistress Nancy Pelosi.

NathanG on January 9, 2010 at 11:50 AM

I look forward to dancing on his political grave.

Monica on January 9, 2010 at 11:51 AM

..how does one think favorably of a man who looks as though he is in dire need of a good enema?

VoyskaPVO on January 9, 2010 at 11:51 AM

“These are difficult times for Nevada and I know I’m responsible for the current devastating crises we face but unfortunately even as the majority leader of the Senate I have been unable to take action to address those challenges. But I know there is more work to do to crater our state’s economy and destroy more jobs and I am committed to seeing it through.” …

DerKrieger on January 9, 2010 at 11:52 AM

The election is lost.

BPD on January 9, 2010 at 11:52 AM

He doesn’t care at this point if he gets defeated or elected,he will push this as a monument to himself as his little boss is doing and besides,he will get taken care of the rest of his short life anyway.Oh,and he can always get another job in this crooked admin.

ohiobabe on January 9, 2010 at 11:52 AM

I still think he and Pelosi resemble the farm couple in the painting American Gothic.

kingsjester on January 9, 2010 at 11:52 AM

..how does one think favorably of a man who looks as though he is in dire need of a good enema fisting?

VoyskaPVO on January 9, 2010 at 11:51 AM

We might as well give him what the Dems are obsessed with.

Monica on January 9, 2010 at 11:52 AM

Shouldn’t he take his own advice and retreat ignominiously over an event horizon in Searchlight?

Heck No! I want to watch him crying like a little girl next November when he get’s his butt handed to him.

Let the games begin!

Knucklehead on January 9, 2010 at 11:52 AM

This is the kind of news I like!

4shoes on January 9, 2010 at 11:53 AM

artist, I think that “internal poll” just involved Reid’s immediate family…and he barely squeaked by.

Hey Harry, remember how Bugsy Seigal wound up? Yup, and your very own Party will be the ones who drive you out into the desert to “commune” with Bugsy! Enjoy!

Justrand on January 9, 2010 at 11:53 AM

As for never backing down from a fight, well …

Ed, obviously Brandon Hall meant a fight with a real enemy.

notropis on January 9, 2010 at 11:54 AM

All the GOP has to do is replay that “the war is lost” clip four or five times a day between now and November. Nothing Dingy can do will overcome that.

Mallard T. Drake on January 9, 2010 at 11:54 AM

..how does one think favorably of a man who looks as though he is in dire need of a good enema?

I’m tellin’ ya, the guys been dead for years….nobody’s told him to get in the coffin yet.

Jerome Horwitz on January 9, 2010 at 11:55 AM

If Reid goes, this could be one of the greatest accomplishments of the Obama administration.

albill on January 9, 2010 at 11:55 AM

I’m surprised his favorability isn’t at -50 or lower. He’s like a reverse Midas: everything he touches turns to feces, and he has all the charisma of a wooden post.

Rebar on January 9, 2010 at 11:56 AM

I wish to God that they could have a special election to oust this a$$hole now. I’m so sick of his arrogant, nasty personality. I love his “compromise” crap when the only “compromise” was between left-wing hack and Dems and conservative Dems like Ben Nelson and Mary Landrieu. And those conservative Dems sold their souls to Satan too.

NathanG on January 9, 2010 at 11:56 AM

Don’t worry about Dingy. After he is defeated, he’ll always have his real estate “investments” to fall back on.

Mallard T. Drake on January 9, 2010 at 11:56 AM

Hey Dingy, beware the hate-mongers! They’re coming for you……

Mallard T. Drake on January 9, 2010 at 11:57 AM

The only thing sad about ol’ Harry goin’ down the toilet is that he can’t some how drag the “wicked witch of the west” down the crapper with him.

Look…up in the sky, Nancy, is that a “house” coming down?

Rovin on January 9, 2010 at 11:58 AM

Doesn’t Jimmy Carter have a relative living in Nevada who could pose a primary challenge to Reid? Not that the Dems would allow it but it would be fun to see.

Just A Grunt on January 9, 2010 at 11:59 AM

Maybe Dingy will drag “Timmy” out to use him for his campaign commercials. Who can resist the story of “Timmy”

Mallard T. Drake on January 9, 2010 at 12:00 PM

..how does one think favorably of a man who looks as though he is in dire need of a good enema enbalming fluid?

VoyskaPVO on January 9, 2010 at 11:51 AM

Ted Torgerson on January 9, 2010 at 12:00 PM

Are any of the sports books in Vegas laying odds on the election? I’d like a piece of that action.

Mallard T. Drake on January 9, 2010 at 12:01 PM

Maybe Dingy will drag “Timmy” out to use him for his campaign commercials. Who can resist the story of “Timmy”

Mallard T. Drake on January 9, 2010 at 12:00 PM

You mean Timmy Geithner? :)

NathanG on January 9, 2010 at 12:01 PM

Good riddance to despicable hack.

Bruno Strozek on January 9, 2010 at 12:01 PM

Great, now if we can just figure out a way to have the ‘savy’ voters in Pelosi’s district to show her dumb ass the door…

BigWyo on January 9, 2010 at 12:03 PM

Ahhhh. Harry Reid. The bitter old partisan hack with the Wally Cox voice. I guess come November, Soros will have to find another little soldier to replace him.

“The war is lost.” Let this be your legacy old and bitter man as your record is cast into the dustbin of liberalsm.

BigAlSouth on January 9, 2010 at 12:03 PM

All the GOP has to do is replay that “the war is lost” clip four or five times a day between now and November. Nothing Dingy can do will overcome that.

Mallard T. Drake on January 9, 2010 at 11:54 AM

When he first uttered those incredibly STUPID words, I was so angry I could have choked the spineless wimp. Now, as MTD suggests, I want to hear those words over and over and over until Harry Reid is erased from politics in a landslide. I WILL be contributing to his opponent – whomever it might be.

GoldenEagle4444 on January 9, 2010 at 12:05 PM

At least he won’t have to suffer through the stinch of tourists once he’s booted out of DC.

txag92 on January 9, 2010 at 12:05 PM

Can’t wait to donate to the effort to send this undertaker back to the funeral home where he belongs.

Furthermore, with these kind of numbers, the really big Dem money will dry up faster than you know. The big boys aren’t stupid.

TXUS on January 9, 2010 at 12:07 PM

The embalming industry will lose its inside man if Reid is kicked from office.

Bishop on January 9, 2010 at 12:08 PM


52 percent had an unfavorable opinion of Reid, 33 percent had a favorable view and another 15 percent said they’re neutral.

That’s 48% who view him as favorable or are neutral. 48%!!
Come on Nevada, this is Harry F..kn Reid! The results should be 100% unfavorable, unless Harry has a really big family.

donh525 on January 9, 2010 at 12:10 PM

O/T Did Politico spend as much time investigating Pinky’s shady real estate deals as they did Beck’s tax woes?

thomasaur on January 9, 2010 at 12:11 PM

“Shouldn’t he take his own advice and retreat ignominiously over an event horizon in Searchlight?”

Absolutely not! Conservatives need Harry the Reidster…if only as a point of reference.

Run baby, run!!!!

percysunshine on January 9, 2010 at 12:12 PM

I can only hope that Reid siphons tons of money away from the DNC in a futile attempt to break 40% in the November election.

PackerBronco on January 9, 2010 at 12:13 PM

People of Nevada: I’m starting to like you more and more every day…

Revenge is a dish that’s best served cold…

I look forward to dancing on his political grave.

Monica on January 9, 2010 at 11:51 AM

What I’ll do on his tombstone won’t pass for flowers!

Khun Joe on January 9, 2010 at 12:14 PM

33% like him?

rrpjr on January 9, 2010 at 12:17 PM

Well Lord love a duck…….was this what calypso louie was referring to when he kept repeating “the number 19″!!

justonevictory on January 9, 2010 at 12:17 PM

Should it really be called “favorability”?

LibTired on January 9, 2010 at 12:19 PM

There will be another job loss due to Harry’s leaving Congress; The undertaker that has been doing his makeup.

Cybergeezer on January 9, 2010 at 12:19 PM

..how does one think favorably of a man who looks as though he is in dire need of a good enema fisting?

VoyskaPVO on January 9, 2010 at 11:51 AM
We might as well give him what the Dems are obsessed with.

Monica on January 9, 2010 at 11:52 AM

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAaaaahh…(whew)…

royzer on January 9, 2010 at 12:24 PM

I bet he can just smell the voters who are out to get him.

EMD on January 9, 2010 at 12:25 PM

He needs a good ass-kickin’

TinMan13 on January 9, 2010 at 12:25 PM

A big flushing sound…..

Hening on January 9, 2010 at 12:25 PM

I look forward to dancing on his political grave.

Monica on January 9, 2010 at 11:51 AM

And, one day God willing. His real one.

rollthedice on January 9, 2010 at 12:26 PM

I will always despise Reid for his comments about the Iraq war.
mchristian on January 9, 2010 at 11:49 AM

FTFY

VegasRick on January 9, 2010 at 12:28 PM

While it is always dangerous to assume anything when a Repub is involved because of their general incompetence in things political, I think Harry is toast. His base is Vegas. Vegas is still toast.

But that said on the national level Senator Lugar just today proved how stupid the Repub leadership is. He lambasted Cheney’s terror comments about Obama. If that were not enough he said Obama has been very strong instead.

With Repubs like Lugar, Boehner, Steele, McConnell, etc standing in the way of younger, stronger, brighter, better spoken fresher juniors the Repubs have no real chance in November. Oh sure they will pick up some seats but they will have no idea what to do with them.

patrick neid on January 9, 2010 at 12:29 PM

He may loose but can you say federal judge Harry Reid or ambassador Reid or maybe Supreme Court Justis this would be pay back for health care from Obama.Scares me big time.

thmcbb on January 9, 2010 at 12:30 PM

“You voters stink!” Harry Reid

rmgraha on January 9, 2010 at 12:30 PM

I don’t know, the zombie voters of Nevada may be primed for a big turnout this year; they won’t let their man go down without a fight.

Bishop on January 9, 2010 at 12:30 PM

So he is more popular than a turd floating in the swimming pool…..so far.

GnuBreed on January 9, 2010 at 12:31 PM

Maybe Harry will resign and George Clooney could take his spot.

JellyToast on January 9, 2010 at 12:32 PM

Harry has about $11 million in his warchest (and expects to raise a total of $25 million)… as there are only two media markets in NV, Harry will have to work to ‘spend’ it all… such as with firms controlled by his sons to provide large amounts of ‘consulting’ services to the campaign; or maybe large ‘media buys’ with commission rates well above industry practices.

phreshone on January 9, 2010 at 12:33 PM

When an incumbent drops below 50% job approval or favorability, his likelihood of re-election begins to dim. Harry Reid intends on giving us a demonstration of how that works in 201o.

True. Platitudinous. Formulaic. My head hurts.

Kralizec on January 9, 2010 at 12:35 PM

Obama needs to get to Nevada

Norman the Fool on January 9, 2010 at 12:23 PM

LMAO

CWforFreedom on January 9, 2010 at 12:35 PM

There is a grass roots effort being started here in Louisiana to recall one of dingy’s flacks, our own Mary ‘baby cakes’ Landrieu

Don’t know how far this will get, but we hope to get some of ‘dingy harrys’ love stuck to this pig

lukespapa on January 9, 2010 at 12:36 PM

A new Mason-Dixon poll has a bare 33% of Nevada voters giving Reid a favorable rating,

In an unrelated poll…33% of Nevadans are either on welfare, illegal aliens, union thugs or all of the above.

angryed on January 9, 2010 at 12:40 PM

I hope he stays in the race. Republicans will win the seat regardless, but it will be so much more fun if it is at his expense.

rockmom on January 9, 2010 at 12:43 PM

rather than represent the independent and fiscally conservative Nevada that sent him to the Senate

Maybe 15-20 years ago. Nevada might as well be renamed East California given how many residents moved there from Clownifornia in the 90s and 00s.

And like everywhere Californians go to escape high taxes, gridlock traffic, smog, they have brought to Las Vegas….high atxes, gridlock traffic and smog. Along with their voting patterns.

angryed on January 9, 2010 at 12:44 PM

Can you smell us voters now Harry?

screwauger on January 9, 2010 at 12:45 PM

tick tock tick tick tock……….times up YOU LOSE.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M5QGkOGZubQ&feature=related

jaboba on January 9, 2010 at 12:46 PM

In an unrelated poll…33% of Nevadans are either on welfare, illegal aliens, union thugs or all of the above.

angryed on January 9, 2010 at 12:40 PM

Have you been in Nevada recently? That’s just about right. The Vegas and Reno hotels and casinos are all unionized. The teachers’ union in Nevada is very strong.

But Ed is right – Reid has long campaigned as a conservative Democrat, but the jig is up this time and he can’t get away with it. And he can’t get elected as the tax-and-spend liberal that he actually is.

rockmom on January 9, 2010 at 12:46 PM

That’s a sign that someone has outlived his mandate.

Huh. I didn’t realize Reid was gay too.
/sarc

ReagansRight on January 9, 2010 at 12:48 PM

Reid is in trouble. Gotta love these lefties. Our trolls however are so invested that they sit on their hands.

Reid’s townhalls are a joke…see:

http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2010/01/09/obamacare-opponent-removed-harry-reid-town-hall-media-mum

CWforFreedom on January 9, 2010 at 12:51 PM

I look forward to dancing on his political grave.

Monica on January 9, 2010 at 11:51 AM

Dancing isnt exactly what I had in mind to do on his political grave…=)

canditaylor68 on January 9, 2010 at 12:51 PM

Harry’s war is lost.

khacha on January 9, 2010 at 12:52 PM

“Reid wins by 2 votes in a squeaker…declared a landslide and mandate by the Huffpo.”

Itchee Dryback on January 9, 2010 at 12:52 PM

• And Sharron Angle, a former Reno assemblywoman, would get 45 percent of the vote to Reid’s 40 percent, a strong showing given her low name recognition statewide — 42 percent don’t know her.

It’s good, better, best here in Nevada. Sharron Angle is the real deal and the best of a pretty good bunch. Let’s do this and rid the Senate of the curse of Harry.

Mojave Mark on January 9, 2010 at 12:53 PM

Maybe Tom Daschle can give him a job …

tarpon on January 9, 2010 at 12:56 PM

The Nevada desert is full of shovel ready politicians. Why should Harry Reid be any different?

portlandon on January 9, 2010 at 12:56 PM

Sue Lowden, putting aside the whiners who accuse her of silly crap, has no baggage that Reid can use that will significantly damage her.

Bye Reid! I don’t think you could even answer ten certain questions honestly.

csdeven on January 9, 2010 at 12:59 PM

I look forward to dancing on his political grave.

Monica on January 9, 2010 at 11:51 AM

I look forward to pissing on his grave

PatriotRider on January 9, 2010 at 1:03 PM

Do you people not remember that, after completing his Opposition Research on every possible Reid opponent, a Reid campaign spokesman declared that he was fully prepared to VAPORIZE any threat to Reid’s re-election?

Sure, Reid is very unpopular. But with all other possible candidates VAPORIZED, there will be nobody to lose to.

jay12 on January 9, 2010 at 1:06 PM

I look forward to pissing on his grave

PatriotRider on January 9, 2010 at 1:03 PM

That’s gonna be one helluva line.

Extrafishy on January 9, 2010 at 1:07 PM

Sue Lowden, putting aside the whiners who accuse her of silly crap, has no baggage that Reid can use that will significantly damage her.

csdeven on January 9, 2010 at 12:59 PM

Reid’s campaign may have discovered that she said “macaca” once. And if she didn’t, they can make it up and the Nevada media will gladly run with it. Trust me.

jay12 on January 9, 2010 at 1:12 PM

Har. DLTDHYOTWO.

Philly on January 9, 2010 at 1:13 PM

I wonder how many trips Obama will make to Nevada in say September to stump for Harry. Everyone knows the won can do anything, even get people elected. I would say none.

tjexcite on January 9, 2010 at 1:21 PM

Harry Reid = The Biggest Loser.

BuckeyeSam on January 9, 2010 at 1:21 PM

As a Mormon, I am embarrassed of Harry Reid.

I hope he loses the election.

Conservative Samizdat on January 9, 2010 at 1:24 PM

One thing that scares me though… The democrats are acting brazen, they are IGNORING the polls, they are willing to go against a clear majority.

What do they know that we don’t? IS the fix in for 2010/2012? Do they think that between ACORN’s truckloads of fraudulent ballots and SEIU’s “purple people beaters” that the election is in the bag?

And how do WE react IF there is Iranian/Venezuelan style vote fraud?

Step 1: We take the streets.
Step 2: General strike, we shut down the economy
Step 3: ???

wildcat84 on January 9, 2010 at 1:26 PM

This is becoming bullsh!t.

There should be an age ceiling as well as an age floor. Why in the hell do we have a bunch of old farts running the country?

Hell, do Democrats have anyone prominent in their party who is not at least 60 years old other than Obama the Magnificent?

Maybe that was part of his appeal. He was the first Democrat with out withered wrinkled skin and white hair that they’d seen in 40 years.

uknowmorethanme on January 9, 2010 at 1:26 PM

Maybe Dingy will drag “Timmy” out to use him for his campaign commercials. Who can resist the story of “Timmy”

Mallard T. Drake on January 9, 2010 at 12:00 PM

You mean Timmy Geithner? :)

NathanG on January 9, 2010 at 12:01 PM

No. Harry’s friend, Little Timmy, who had a little immigrant friend whom Dingy spoke so eloquently about on the Senate floor.

Mallard T. Drake on January 9, 2010 at 1:27 PM

This is a lot like Santorum.

TimTebowSavesAmerica on January 9, 2010 at 1:27 PM

Arrogant Harry, YOU LOSE.

BAHAHAHAHAHA!

TN Mom on January 9, 2010 at 1:29 PM

jay12 on January 9, 2010 at 1:12 PM

The Sun will, but the RJ is more independent. Irrespective of that, Nevadans have long memories. They voted for Perot in 1992.

Reid is history!

csdeven on January 9, 2010 at 1:29 PM

Not that the Bamster is far behind him, at -17:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows that 26% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-three percent (43%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -17

.

petefrt on January 9, 2010 at 1:29 PM

I wonder if Lt. Jim Dangle will vote for him in Reno.
Hope not.

RobCon on January 9, 2010 at 1:30 PM

I wouldn’t vote for Harry if the alternative was a 100 pound sack full of week old horse crap.

At least the horse crap will eventually dry up and blow away and can even be used to fertilize crops.

Whereas there are no positive uses for Harry Reid, at least not for anyone outside the Gambino Crime Family.

NoDonkey on January 9, 2010 at 1:30 PM

I hope he loses the election.

Conservative Samizdat on January 9, 2010 at 1:24 PM

Do you wonder how the guy even holds a Temple recommend?

csdeven on January 9, 2010 at 1:32 PM

Good Riddance

jjrakman on January 9, 2010 at 1:33 PM

Nevada has the right to recall a senator. Wouldn’t it be delicious if Nevada did that – following in the steps of Louisiana? Talk about sending a message!

FedUp on January 9, 2010 at 1:34 PM

I think it’s his endearing smile.

LarryG on January 9, 2010 at 1:36 PM

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