Unemployment remains at 10.0%; Update: “Unexpectedly”

posted at 8:54 am on January 8, 2010 by Ed Morrissey

Last month’s surprisingly sunny report on losses did not hold, and the US remains in double-digit unemployment:

Nonfarm payroll employment edged down (-85,000) in December, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 10.0 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment fell in construction, manufacturing, and wholesale trade, while temporary help services and health care added jobs.

In December, both the number of unemployed persons, at 15.3 million, and the unemployment rate, at 10.0 percent, were unchanged. At the start of the recession in December 2007, the number of unemployed persons was 7.7 million, and the unemployment rate was 5.0 percent. …

Total nonfarm payroll employment edged down in December (-85,000). Job losses continued in construction, manufacturing, and wholesale trade, while temporary help services and health care continued to add jobs. During 2009, monthly job losses moderated substantially. Employment losses in the first quarter of 2009 averaged 691,000 per month, compared with an average loss of 69,000 per month in the fourth quarter.

The number of jobs lost rose significantly between November and December, although the unemployment rate held steady.  In fact, the last paragraph shows a potential problem rolling into 2010.  The average job losses in the fourth quarter were skewed by the unexpectedly small decline in November, leading people to think that the end was near for job loss and that net job growth may be close.  Instead, December outpaced the entire quarter — in a season where retail usually adds positions.

The losses in construction and manufacturing give the greatest worry.  Those industries have been in free fall for over a year, and the economic stimulus package supposedly addressed those specifically.  There has been no jobs “saved or created” in those industries in numbers large enough to matter.

Update: This was predictable, but I figured AP would use it before Reuters:

U.S. employers unexpectedly cut 85,000 jobs in December, cooling optimism on the labor market’s recovery and keeping pressure on President Barack Obama to find ways to spur job growth.

“Unexpectedly.”  It’s the word we’ve come to expect with every job report.

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Via Drudge: Where’s the Jobs

highhopes on January 8, 2010 at 1:37 PM

***
You ain’t seen nuttin yet. Wait until the cost of the wasteful spending, tax increases, energy policies, etc. really hit home.
***
Ten percent unemployment–and big reductions in standard of living–are “facts of life” in socialist economies. Mexico is a prime example–25 percent unemployed and 50 percent underemployed are normal–forever.
***
And Cuba and Zimbabwe are the communist “basket cases”–people live on a few percent of what they had before these evil governments took over.
***
Coming soon to the new United Socialist States of America. Brought to you by Comrade Obama (PBUH) and his ilk.
***
John Bibb
***

rocketman on January 8, 2010 at 1:40 PM

At least they get unemployment for two years to figure out a new plan. College Graduates of the last couple years are out of luck.

PrezHussein on January 8, 2010 at 1:35 PM

Not all of them get unemployment, they have families to support not families who can support them, and whenever the economy recovers the college grads will be fine. A now 49 year old bloke who’s been unemployed for over 2 years is in an entirely different situation. Of course a 2009 college grad unemployed in 2011 will be in the same boat.

jarodea on January 8, 2010 at 1:58 PM

At least they get unemployment for two years to figure out a new plan. College Graduates of the last couple years are out of luck.

PrezHussein on January 8, 2010 at 1:35 PM

Tell me about it.

Although people like me are not the worst off by far, as jarodea pointed out. I really pity the people with spouses and families to provide for in this economy, and watching their desperation is making me even more wary about following the Lifescript.

Dark-Star on January 8, 2010 at 2:03 PM

I am still stuck in the conejo valley with an upsidedown house. As soon as the market picks up, I’ll break even and run as far from this liberal cesspool as possible.

jbh45 on January 8, 2010 at 10:36 AM

You’ll be waiting forever.

My advice: buy homeowners insurance, make sure you’re completely covered to pay off your loans, and pray that a thunderbolt strikes your home.

Chaz706 on January 8, 2010 at 2:44 PM

When something is “unexpected” under a conservative’s watch its a major failure.

When something is “unexpected” under a liberal’s watch it’s an excuse.

Scrappy on January 8, 2010 at 3:10 PM

10% becomes 15%
28% becomes 33%
33% becomes 36%
36% becomes 39.6%

TheAdmiral on January 8, 2010 at 9:58 AM

The Bush tax cuts also doubled the dependant deduction, and converted it from a deduction to a tax credit. The loss of this is going to hit a lot of low income families hard.

MarkTheGreat on January 8, 2010 at 3:12 PM

“Unexpectedly.” It’s the word we’ve come to expect with every job report.

It’s like playing peek-a-boo with a baby. They never expect to see you when you move your hands from your face.

malclave on January 8, 2010 at 3:14 PM

(I don’t think Tennessee has any hurricane risk).

jwolf on January 8, 2010 at 11:03 AM

The eastern end can get soaked pretty badly when one comes through the Carolinas.

MarkTheGreat on January 8, 2010 at 3:19 PM

A great way to improve unemployment is to encourage pregnancy and women staying at home after pregnancy. Women take up more than their fair share of jobs. They actually might outnumber men in the workforce for a short period. That is crazy when a significant percentage of them choose not to be in the workforce.

PrezHussein on January 8, 2010 at 3:27 PM

Saw one report that said these numbers would bring it back up to 10.1%?

At any rate, these tampered-with numbers are pretty meaningless. Folks are hurting.

Dr. ZhivBlago on January 8, 2010 at 3:37 PM

I wasn’t so sure and am still not so sure McCain’s ideas that opening up intrastate competition would lower prices.

AnninCA on January 8, 2010 at 11:18 AM

Competition always lowers prices.
Additionally, many states, at the behest of interest groups, have mandated that certain types of coverage is mandatory in all insurance that is issued. Things like accupuncture, therapuetic massages, certain experimental drugs, etc. Interstate competition allows buyers to get around these state mandates.

MarkTheGreat on January 8, 2010 at 3:45 PM

jarodea on January 8, 2010 at 12:54 PM

Thankyou.

royzer on January 8, 2010 at 3:45 PM

No, I’m not that conservative. I like the medicare program, for example.

AnninCA on January 8, 2010 at 11:19 AM

Despite the fact that it is bankrupt?

MarkTheGreat on January 8, 2010 at 3:46 PM

A lot of people confuse, “don’t offer the services that I want”, with “incompetant”.

MarkTheGreat on January 8, 2010 at 3:49 PM

I know. I paid forward. And I trust that the system will be funded.

My entire career was based upon retirement benefits coordinated with those benefits.

I do not think we’ll let that fail.

AnninCA on January 8, 2010 at 11:53 AM

There aren’t enough workers left to fund it.
If you based your retirement benefits on a lie, that’s tough.
It doesn’t matter what we want, it’s going to fail.

MarkTheGreat on January 8, 2010 at 3:54 PM

But I think medicare will face cutbacks, not elimination.

AnninCA on January 8, 2010 at 12:05 PM

Many doctors are already refusing medicare patients because it doesn’t pay enough.

More cutbacks will only increase that number.

MarkTheGreat on January 8, 2010 at 3:56 PM

Lets see;

- Tax cuts expiring,
- Health care,
- Cap and Trade,
- New regulations,
- EPA,
- Financial regulations,
- Over reaching government,
- Bankrupt states needing to raise taxes

Hmmm, I have no idea why employers aren’t hiring.

LifeTrek on January 8, 2010 at 4:21 PM

What’s that recent, and instantly famous quote?

Oh yeah: “Way to go, Barry!”

November 2, 2010

Sweet_Thang on January 8, 2010 at 4:26 PM

Obama just has to wait until the long term unemployed drop out of the measurement. The press will then eagerly trumpet the declining unemployment rate for their god-king Obama. Problem solved!

Django on January 8, 2010 at 4:33 PM

I was going to leave a comment, but, I thought this thread was about U.S. unemployment, not AnninCa.
Is AnninCa coming to CBS?

Cybergeezer on January 8, 2010 at 4:46 PM

That ten percent number is pure fudge people. Another article reports a much higher than expected (again) number of people dropping off the roles completely

The U-6 number is up to 17.3% and even that doesn’t include everyone.

Rush reported today that 20% of work age men are unemployed.

As I stated before when the number of unemployed reaches what is called “the tipping point” (which occurred last September IMHO) the effect of it pushes the economy into a nasty downward spiral.

The unemployed and homeless don’t buy much.

dogsoldier on January 8, 2010 at 4:50 PM

I know. I paid forward. And I trust that the system will be funded.

My entire career was based upon retirement benefits coordinated with those benefits.

I do not think we’ll let that fail.

AnninCA on January 8, 2010 at 11:53 AM
There aren’t enough workers left to fund it.
If you based your retirement benefits on a lie, that’s tough.
It doesn’t matter what we want, it’s going to fail.

MarkTheGreat on January 8, 2010 at 3:54 PM

–There is an automatic mechanism in the Social Security legislation which reduces benefits when the trust fund runs dry. The latest governmental report about the Social Security fund says this: For OASDI (“social security”), interest income will first be needed to pay a portion of benefits in 2016, although the trust funds will continue to accumulate assets. In 2024, trust fund assets will begin to be depleted and are projected to be exhausted in 2037, after which continuing tax income would be sufficient to cover 76 percent of scheduled benefits.

–But whether or not Congress and the President at that time allow this to happen is another story.

Jimbo3 on January 8, 2010 at 5:05 PM

From the above report, it becomes very clear the urgency for governmental healthcare: it is the one area where jobs are being created. The other sectors have been decimated with government mandates and union thuggery. Boy, are we in for a very rude awakening and yet, some of us support the Big O and think that he is just what the doctor ordered; have we been brainwashed or what?

mistert1950 on January 8, 2010 at 5:13 PM

fund assets will begin to be depleted and are projected to be exhausted in 2037, after which continuing tax income would be sufficient to cover 76 percent of scheduled benefits.

Jimbo3 on January 8, 2010 at 5:05 PM

Just two years ago, they were telling us the fund was fully funded out to 2049. Now it’s 2037.

Somehow I doubt it will actually last that long. Especially with this recession getting deeper and longer.

MarkTheGreat on January 8, 2010 at 5:22 PM

mistert1950 on January 8, 2010 at 5:13 PM

Trained, and depending on suckling at the Gov. teat forever.

Cybergeezer on January 8, 2010 at 5:29 PM

“Unexpectedly”. There’s that word again! It ought to be a requirement henceforth that if you use “unexpectedly” in an unemployment report you are required to state, explicitly, what you, with your superior intelligence and wisdom, “expected” the number to be and why. It’s long past time to strip these “experts” of their self-generated veneer of prescience and authority.

ya2daup on January 8, 2010 at 5:53 PM

Should there be an open thread during The Unprecedented’s State of the Union address, it will be chock-full of ridicule and derision as Mr. B-plus (PB+UH) relates to us his “achievements” during the past year.

(I hope the masterfully killed fly gets a shout-out — for its children’s sake).

ya2daup on January 8, 2010 at 5:59 PM

fund assets will begin to be depleted and are projected to be exhausted in 2037, after which continuing tax income would be sufficient to cover 76 percent of scheduled benefits.

Jimbo3 on January 8, 2010 at 5:05 PM

DREAM. ON!

ya2daup on January 8, 2010 at 6:14 PM

Update . . . er . . . not so updaty, really . . . . Obama is bullshit incarnate. Actual living, breathing, uh . . . ta . . . mmmm . . . . bullshit.

Sherman1864 on January 9, 2010 at 6:04 AM

But I think medicare will face cutbacks, not elimination.

AnninCA on January 8, 2010 at 12:05 PM
Many doctors are already refusing medicare patients because it doesn’t pay enough.

More cutbacks will only increase that number.

MarkTheGreat on January 8, 2010 at 3:56 PM

The Mayo Clinic in Arizona just announced that it no longer accepts Medicare patients… THAT should be sending a BIG WAVE through the system… Think tsunami…

Khun Joe on January 9, 2010 at 9:35 AM

A lot of older people live in AZ because it’s cheaper and the climate is not as harsh as up north. Many of them live on fixed incomes. Now they are getting the rug pulled out from underneath them while at the same time their government is pushing to legalize the neverending flow of people from south of the border and they will have benefits that older citizens will be denied because they are too old. This is what you get when you have an open border country with excessive welfare benefits.

Bikerken on January 9, 2010 at 10:33 AM

How do these “economists” keep their jobs???

For some odd reason they think that what the government has done will actually turn the economy around.

They act like bewildered medieval physicians who can’t understand why blood-letting and massacring Jews have little effect on the progress of the Plague.

Yeah, I know…almost all of them were educated by and are themselves Socialists.

Dr. ZhivBlago on January 10, 2010 at 9:32 AM

Remember, those that have use up their benefits and still have not found a job are no longer counted, so the percentage is much larger. Really.

MSGTAS on January 11, 2010 at 10:14 AM

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