The new housing bubble?
posted at 2:55 pm on December 29, 2009 by Ed Morrissey
Over the weekend, I noted the late-Christmas Eve announcement that the Obama administration had lifted the bailout caps on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, attempting to sneak it past Americans while they focused on family, friends, and religious observance. The obvious conclusion was that Barack Obama wants to use the collapsed GSAs for even more social engineering through the lending markets, and wants an unlimited supply of cash from Treasury to force taxpayers to subsidize the next failure. The Washington Examiner has reached the same conclusion:
Obama’s decision is particularly disturbing for two reasons. First, taxpayers have already sunk $111 billion into the Fannie-Freddie bailout in just the last few months. The removal of the $400 billion cap suggests that things are about to worsen considerably. Second, it was precisely such government guarantees that caused the housing bubble and economic collapse in the first place.
In 1999, when Fannie Mae initially began securitizing subprime mortgages in a pilot program, American Enterprise Institute’s Peter Wallison predicted in the pages of the New York Times that a massive bailout would eventually be necessary. Wallison’s warning was ignored by President Clinton and the Republican-controlled Congress, which together allowed the pilot program to expand year after year. The process continued under President George W. Bush, with loan standards being steadily lowered by Fannie and Freddie in their effort to give 55 percent of their mortgages to families at or below the median income level. The economic carnage of politically motivated mortgages surrounds us now.
Today, Wallison points out that nearly two-thirds of the nation’s subprime and otherwise bad loans were created, securitized, backed by, and/or required by various programs within the United States government, including Fannie and Freddie, the Federal Housing Administration, Ginnie Mae, and the Community Reinvestment Act. Ten million of these 17 million dicey mortgages — or about 40 percent of the nation’s subprime and otherwise low-grade mortgages — were either owned or securitized by Fannie and Freddie when they collapsed last year.
That Obama would now give these two companies a blank check is incomprehensible. Taxpayers got another thumb in the eye when Fannie and Freddie chose the same Christmas news dump to announce $42 million in bonuses for 12 top executives — obviously for their excellent work last year as they drove the ship into the iceberg. Keep that one in mind the next time you hear Obama feign outrage over Wall Street bonuses.
The question that everyone should be asking is why the untapped $289 billion in the credit line isn’t enough. That represents more than three times the amount spent already, when the crisis hit its peak. At this point, we should be seeing improvement rather than an escalation of crisis in the housing market, or at least some stabilization, if this strategy was correct in the first place.
Instead, Obama now wants no cap at all, which means that he has plans to spend a lot more money on inflating a housing bubble that still needs deflating. That will once again start the cycle of price escalation, speculation, and eventually another collapse of the bubble. The pattern is utterly predictable, as is the damage it will inflict on the economy.
We need to demand some answers from this administration from its attempt to aggrandize its power in the dark of night.









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Wash. Rinse. Repeat.
NickTx on December 29, 2009 at 2:57 PM
It’s every American’s right to own a home, whether they can afford it or not.
max1 on December 29, 2009 at 2:57 PM
Spending to get out of a recession!
Must have been nice to be born with a silver spoon in your mouth and no concept of money.
upinak on December 29, 2009 at 2:58 PM
‘I WON’…enough said
cmsinaz on December 29, 2009 at 2:58 PM
Yeah. Not to mention, “Shut up,” they explained.
RushBaby on December 29, 2009 at 3:00 PM
Game Over.
Break out the Confederate Flag!
This country’s goin’ broke and there isn’t a wrench big enough to fix it!
HondaV65 on December 29, 2009 at 3:00 PM
I doubt anyone remembers the good ‘ol days…
Seven Percent Solution on December 29, 2009 at 3:00 PM
Destroying the economy is much harder then he thought.
trs on December 29, 2009 at 3:00 PM
And to think, I’ve been working hard and paying my mortgage on time for 20-some years, like a fool. I should have just waited for 0bama to come along and pay my mortgage for me.
UltimateBob on December 29, 2009 at 3:00 PM
Let’s just pay off all the mortgages, and start all over…I have a feeling that would be cheaper.
right2bright on December 29, 2009 at 3:00 PM
B+ pivoting.
The January-February unemployment numbers are going to be brutal when temporary employment won’t be inflating them.
Enoxo on December 29, 2009 at 3:01 PM
SMART Power!!!!11111111!!!eleventy
Seriously, this is what you get with an affirmative action president.
That is all.
jukin on December 29, 2009 at 3:01 PM
Is there a spending project that BO has said no to?
Military excluded.
booter on December 29, 2009 at 3:02 PM
The oppression under this regime just keeps getting more and more repressive. People need to wake up and do something about it in 2010 culminating with Obama, Pelosi, and Reid all crying on the night of November 2nd. Followed swiftly in the new year by anti-socialist legislation and Congressionally issued indictments for top administration officials.
highhopes on December 29, 2009 at 3:02 PM
Obama and his gang are intentionally working to destroy our country. No way can you chalk up all the damage done to our nation to amateurism or politics.
He and his buddies want this great nation on par with other 3rd world dictatorships. It could not be more obvious.
Guardian on December 29, 2009 at 3:03 PM
Hyper-Inflation…
… here we come!
Seven Percent Solution on December 29, 2009 at 3:03 PM
It worked. Even my brother who is a Accounting Prof at a Major University did not know about it. No one I have talked to knows about this thievery.
WashJeff on December 29, 2009 at 3:04 PM
They fear reality–if the market were allowed to fall to its natural level, or marked to market for housing, it would drop to a point that jillions more people would be under water with their mortgages and many of them would just default.
Financial Armageddon.
They’re trying to keep their own bubble from bursting, on our backs.
PattyJ on December 29, 2009 at 3:05 PM
ya got that right
along with ‘inherited this mess’
cmsinaz on December 29, 2009 at 3:06 PM
I keep hearing that the second big real estate bubble to burst is going to be commercial real estate. Judging by all the empty office space and vacant storefronts all around my area, I’d say it could very well happen.
Maybe 0bama’s economic people see that coming, and are preparing to bail them out too.
UltimateBob on December 29, 2009 at 3:07 PM
To a community organizer, success is measured in the number of dollars you can pry out of a government agency. By the only standard Obozo knows, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are now both huge successes.
Cicero43 on December 29, 2009 at 3:07 PM
That extra money is for our cars and the gas to put in them. That is after they pay for our houses and educating our children.
d1carter on December 29, 2009 at 3:08 PM
It’s like being forced to watch Barney Frank raping your family while Obowma holds them down…
Seven Percent Solution on December 29, 2009 at 3:08 PM
The answer is property taxes and funding of state governments. See this Graph of the Day at American Thinker for basis of this theory. Since property taxes are a HUGE funding source for state governments, keeping home values up is easier than asking for higher tax rates. This is a way to indirectly bailing out the states.
WashJeff on December 29, 2009 at 3:09 PM
Cargo Cultist maybe? Or does he just feint it?
Goody2Shoes on December 29, 2009 at 3:09 PM
One theory is that the Fed is keeping short term rates low so the banks can make killer profits this year to weather the commerical bust. The banks are making great money making loans…to the government.
WashJeff on December 29, 2009 at 3:12 PM
You’re assuming there are enough consumers to fuel the bubble. The consumer simply can’t absorb any more debt, and the banks aren’t going to make the same mistake twice.
This tells me that the powers that be are desperately trying to find a way to bring back a consumer who’s already brain-dead and on a feeding tube. You need a new bubble to do that, and there simply isn’t anything left to inflate (Green Tech? Please…nowhere near the size of the real estate market and people are wising up to the scam). So, they’ll try and sucker people back into the housing market at a time where nearly a fifth of the working population is unemployed.
At the same time they’ll have to force the banks to start writing the same bad loans (option ARMs, NINJAs, HELOCs, etc) that contributed to a housing collapse that still isn’t anywhere near the bottom, thanks to the bailout culture and the refusal to allow the economy to bottom out.
TheMightyMonarch on December 29, 2009 at 3:12 PM
Holy crap.
Vashta.Nerada on December 29, 2009 at 3:12 PM
HahhahahaH! Good one, Ed.
Bugler on December 29, 2009 at 3:13 PM
No sense in bringing down America militarily if you can do it another way.
Thanks communist democrats!
darwin on December 29, 2009 at 3:14 PM
I wasn’t, and should be, pointed out that President Bush, and some in the Republican minority in Congress, did try to bring in the reigns on Fannie and Freddie a full two years before the housing collapse. One could argue that they didn’t make a big enough stink about it. McCain sure didn’t emphasize it nearly enough during the campaign. Instead, history has been allowed to be rewritten by the liberal media and ruling class that it was “Wall Street Fat Cats” that caused all this trouble. Since the truth about the matter is not widely known, it will be easy enough for President Obama to lead us down the same path.
Buy Gold. It has never been worth zero :-)
Ordinary1 on December 29, 2009 at 3:14 PM
He thinks he’s spending Obama money- you know, from his stash.
kelh on December 29, 2009 at 3:15 PM
Since the Obama administration has effectively taken over these two turkeys why not put 12 GS-5′s in charge? They would be paid a whole lot less and could hardly do a worse job. In fact, if they didn’t even show up for work they would almost have to do a much better job.
MB4 on December 29, 2009 at 3:15 PM
Only if you presume that Obama and his friends are honorable men and women, just naive. Once you begin to have some doubt about that conclusion, everything becomes understandable.
Skandia Recluse on December 29, 2009 at 3:16 PM
My state of IL has $24.2B in unfunded liabilities. Flipping sucks. We still have defined benefit pensions in IL. Next door in IN ($400M) they have moved to defined contribution plans for state workers and teachers.
Graph of the Day is a good stop for your daily news reading.
WashJeff on December 29, 2009 at 3:17 PM
MB4 on December 29, 2009 at 3:18 PM
what part of P R E S E N T don’t americans understand?
AMERICAN VETERAN on December 29, 2009 at 3:18 PM
It has been confiscated by the federal government in return for paper, however.
Chris_Balsz on December 29, 2009 at 3:18 PM
Except the Obamas. Well, to be fair, I guess it’s kindah hard for non-Christians to tolerate faking it a church.
SouthernGent on December 29, 2009 at 3:18 PM
You are correct about commercial real estate.
Watch and see: This is in anticipation of the collapse of Bank of America in the first quarter of 2010. My brother was an exec there for many years and he saw what was coming so he resigned. Trust me, BOA will fail and be taken over by you know who.
Key West Reader on December 29, 2009 at 3:18 PM
And he was one that did try to increase oversight of Fannie and Freddie. Poor self marketing skills.
WashJeff on December 29, 2009 at 3:19 PM
i wish some acornhole would OVERPAY for my house,, cha cha CHING!!!!
AMERICAN VETERAN on December 29, 2009 at 3:19 PM
McCain is a RINO
AMERICAN VETERAN on December 29, 2009 at 3:20 PM
It is absolutely coming, as early as next year or 2011, and may turn out to be worse than residential RE. Most commercial loans are interest-only balloon loans, the service of which is highly dependent on cash flow. Vacant storefronts mean interest payments don’t get made and owners will find it even more difficult to refinance when the balloon payment comes due.
Come to my neck of the woods (a medium-sized city just south of Oakland, CA) and you’ll be hard-pressed to find a commercial property without multiple vacant suites. That’s bad news for property owners as well as the banks who will eventually be forced to recognize the loss.
TheMightyMonarch on December 29, 2009 at 3:20 PM
No name change required.
WashJeff on December 29, 2009 at 3:20 PM
I’ll soon take all my troubles over to Obama Rue
You know The One with the never ending Hope and Change shtick
He’s got a pad down on Pennsylvania avenue
He’ll be passin’ out little bottles of Obama Potion Number Nine
I’ll tell him that I’m having trouble with my mortgage payments
It’s gotten even worse in these last few weeks
He’ll kiss me on the cheek and he’ll made a magic sign
He’ll say “What you need is Obama Potion Number Nine”
He’ll turn around and gave me a wink
He’ll say “I’m gonna have my Michelle make it up right here in the White House sink”
It’ll smell like Chicago, it’ll look like socialist ink
I’ll hold my nose, I’ll close my eyes, I’ll take a drink
I won’t know if it is day or night
I’ll start grabbin’ everyone else’s money that is in sight
But when there’s nothin’ left to grab
It’ll break my little bottle of Obama Potion Number Nine
Break my little bottle of Obama Potion Number Nine!
MB4 on December 29, 2009 at 3:20 PM
Yup…..NASA.
GnuBreed on December 29, 2009 at 3:21 PM
B+
SDarchitect on December 29, 2009 at 3:21 PM
IN IL, my lawyer told me about a business whose baloon loan expired and she wanted to refinance. Even though here business has positive cash flow, the bank turned her application for a new loan down and foreclosed on her. Now why the bank would foreclose rather than refinance, I do not know (they could always foreclose later if she truly could not make payments).
The banks are making loans to one entity right now…the federal government.
WashJeff on December 29, 2009 at 3:23 PM
Obama… is there anything at which he can’t fail?
Mojave Mark on December 29, 2009 at 3:24 PM
The FHA is also well on the way to financial ruin (for us).
GnuBreed on December 29, 2009 at 3:25 PM
Maybe we should get Speaker Pelosi’s opinion about this.
Did she leave the phone number and her room number for the Four Seasons Hualalai?
Mark Boabaca on December 29, 2009 at 3:25 PM
In the alternative universe that is Obamaworld, the system worked.
TXUS on December 29, 2009 at 3:26 PM
Some people think that the plan is to change the HAMP program to include principal reductions for Fannie/Freddie homeowners.
GCM on December 29, 2009 at 3:26 PM
Only this time investors won’t be able to defend themselves with hedges like CDOs. Because hedging against bad debt is EVIL! and need to be regulated by the government. Instead they’ll need to do their patriotic duty and want to own bad debt–and if it devalues itself, well … “TAKE IT LIKE A MAN!”
CDOs caused this because investors didn’t want to be stuck reporting a loss because of foreclosures in a layered MBS would be instantly realized by Mark-to-market reporting and needed something that could be counted against that.
Axeman on December 29, 2009 at 3:27 PM
How much will add to the deficit? How many more trillions until the Dollar collapses?
Oil Can on December 29, 2009 at 3:27 PM
I see him standing in the rain
Raindrops falling on him
He doesn’t even seem to care
He stands there and smiles as if just at me
And I know
(I know, I know, I know, I know)
He will make me rich and happy
(rich, rich, happy, happy).
Money in his hair
Money everywhere
I love the Money Man
Oh, I don´t know just why
His Hope and Change simply catches my eye
I love the Money Man
He seems so generous and kind
He sweeps thoughts of $$$$$$$$$$$$ into my mind
I know I have to say bravo
(bravo, bravo)
He smiles over at me
It’s as if he takes me by the hand
And we walk
To the bank alone
And I know
(I know, I know, I know, I know)
He will make me rich and happy
(rich, rich, happy, happy).
Money in his hair
Money everywhere
MB4 on December 29, 2009 at 3:27 PM
Some banks got their losses fully protected by the government , they rather foreclose then.
the_nile on December 29, 2009 at 3:28 PM
The bubble hasn’t bubbled out yet. This is likely part of it. There are countless homes in limbo, vacant not foreclosed on…….in limbo. Property taxes are not being paid and banks are not doing the final foreclose because they don’t want the red on their books.
It is an unreported disaster from the ground up. Obama can spend his presidency playing golf and Freddie/Fannie can do whatever they want but until the limbo houses are off limbo the sleeping giant is still sleeping and the local municipalities are out an awful lot of tax money.
ORconservative on December 29, 2009 at 3:28 PM
We need to demand some answers from this administration from its attempt to aggrandize its power in the dark of night.
Its Bush’s fault. Hows that for an answer.
SHARPTOOTH on December 29, 2009 at 3:28 PM
i think this is the first step in opening the spiggots on the loan mods. fannie and freddie are turning most applicants for mods away. if obama widens the guidelines to make more folks eligible, it’ll mean more losses for the two GSA’s. this is not, imho, the inflation of the next bubble, but rather the continuing deflation of the last bubble. plent of blame to go around folks.
DrW on December 29, 2009 at 3:28 PM
And right on que the serious people that run the economy by investing in viable well-researched businesses while taking all factors into account have…
started investing more heavily in Freddie & Fannie.
What, me worry?
Dorvillian on December 29, 2009 at 3:28 PM
If that happens, it will be devastating to my state (Delaware). BOA is a major employer here, since they bought out Maryland Bank North America (MBNA) a couple of years back. MBNA was the state’s largest private employer. For decades (possibly a couple of centuries) prior to that, it was the DuPont company.
Since the bank has shrunk considerably in recent years, DuPont is probably number one again.
We also recently closed a Chrysler plant and a GM plant here. Losing BOA will really hurt an already stressed job market here.
UltimateBob on December 29, 2009 at 3:28 PM
Think of putting a
strawhippopotamus on a camel’s back.MB4 on December 29, 2009 at 3:30 PM
American? You don’t need to be no stinkin’ American to qualify for a U.S. taxpayer-subsidized mortgage loan. According to HUD, 5 million of their defaulted sub-prime loans were made to illegal aliens. Here in AZ during boom times, every bank had signs (in English and Spanish, of course) offering “no money down, no Social Security number required” mortgage loans — some are still offering them.
You didn’t seriously think the U.S. government was going to exclude lawbreaking foreigners from taking unfair advantage of U.S. taxpayers, did you? That would be raaaaacist.
AZCoyote on December 29, 2009 at 3:30 PM
Look at this lease in San Jose, CA
It’s been a fairly busy December relative to the rest of the year. A couple big deals have been signed, including the Facebook and Rambus deals.
Harmonic (HLIT: 6.29 -0.47%) has also made a big move by signing a lease about a week ago for 188,332 SF at Carlyle Realty’s North First Street project (4300-4400 North First Street) in San Jose.
The terms of the lease were as follows:
10-Year Term
September 1, 2010 commencement
2-Years Free Rent
$1.90 NNN start (year 3), with $.10 annual bumps
$100 PSF Tenant Improvement dollars (over shell)
Right to cancel after 7 years
Right of first offer to purchase
Right of first offer to expand (subordinate to IBM)
Oil Can on December 29, 2009 at 3:31 PM
Sorry to hear that.
I think that if BOA “collapses” it’s the perfect time for you know who to swoop in and Nationalize it during a time of.. “crisis”!
Key West Reader on December 29, 2009 at 3:31 PM
Interesting if correct. Foreclose while the government is covering the banks losses. A good as theory that I have heard.
WashJeff on December 29, 2009 at 3:32 PM
Thanks for destroying a perfectly good Cowsills song by associating it with 0bama. ;-)
UltimateBob on December 29, 2009 at 3:33 PM
might be trying to re-inflate housing to get the 1 in 4 people who are upside down out of their pickle?
jp on December 29, 2009 at 3:33 PM
If you had purchased $1000 of Delta Airlines stock one year ago, you would have $49 today. If you had purchased $1000 of AIG stock one year ago, you would have $33 today. If you had purchased $1000 of Lehman Brothers stock one year ago, you will have $0 today. However, if you had purchased $1000 worth of beer one year ago, drank all the beer, then turned in the aluminum cans for recycling, you would have received $214 today at redemption. Based on the above, the best current investment plan is to drink heavily & recycle. It is called the 401-KEG Plan.
- Source
MB4 on December 29, 2009 at 3:35 PM
Obama’s off-balance hard pivot of the economy Mae land him on his Fannie.
The banks don’t need bailout money, and most of the banks who took TARP money paid it back to get the Government out of their boardroom.
If Obummer really wants to jump-start the housing market, he should limit Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to making FIXED-RATE loans only to qualified borrowers to buy foreclosed houses (they’re cheaper than they used to be). Once the inventory of foreclosures is off the market, prices of other houses will rise naturally from market forces.
Steve Z on December 29, 2009 at 3:38 PM
Is there a spending project that BO has said no to?
Military excluded.
booter on December 29, 2009 at 3:02 PM
It really does beg the question that all this unrestrained spending isn’t meant to justify radical reductions in defense spending. It has been pert of his plan since the beginning.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kRGru2CPC4E&NR=1
So what, perversely he’ll say for the 1st time there something we cannot afford? In the middle of two wars, in the face of an increasinly assertive Russia & China and the prospect of a nuclear Iran destabilizing the entire Mid-East!
The extent the calamitiy of Obama’s election represents, just cannot possibly be overstated!
Archimedes on December 29, 2009 at 3:39 PM
There is a plan for people to “own” one without buying it.
Buying it includes making down payment and monthly payments. Everyone has a right to buy a home. Rush Limbaugh can’t buy 2% of a football team but homes are open to all for now. I interviewed a bank fraud investigator. she told me how many homes were foreclosed with fraud in the borrowing process at some point and how many were foreclosed that had never made a single monthly paymwent.
seven on December 29, 2009 at 3:43 PM
Bank of America had better not collapse. They hold the mortgage on my house. Back in 2002, they offered to re-finance at 5.75% fixed for 20 years, with no closing costs. It would be hard to find a better deal. Hang in there, BOA!
Steve Z on December 29, 2009 at 3:44 PM
CLOWARD-PIVEN
THERE IS NO OTHER EXPLANATION!
marklmail on December 29, 2009 at 3:48 PM
Obama. Determined to spend every dollar of every currency in the world. And then spend more.
hawksruleva on December 29, 2009 at 3:48 PM
There’s always the ego/stupidity combo. It’s a special educational deal they have at liberal arts colleges.
hawksruleva on December 29, 2009 at 3:50 PM
Could this be in anticipation of the Commercial real-estate bubble busting?
uknowmorethanme on December 29, 2009 at 3:54 PM
Spending to get out of a recession!
Must have been nice to be born with a silver spoon in your mouth and no concept of money.
upinak on December 29, 2009
He’s breaking the bank so he can take total control
Are there any potentials that were born with a plastic spork in their mouths?
Hiya BTW
Kevin43 on December 29, 2009 at 3:56 PM
Give ‘em a break Ed! They’re making shit up as they go. I’m sure Barney Frank is ready to ‘roll the dice one more time’. After all, it isn’t his money.
GarandFan on December 29, 2009 at 4:02 PM
They just shuttle people into the “they don’t count” category to make the numbers look better. They even started fudging the U-6 number which used to show everyone out of work. Now all the numbers show what is politically good for Bozo.
But one number his regime cannot fake: The population of Obamaville’s sprouting up all over.
dogsoldier on December 29, 2009 at 4:18 PM
Let’s not forget Bawney’s assertion that housing prices need to remain propped up so that property tax revenues do not drop. Don’t starve the gubmint, any gubmint, in other words. Need we look further?
ya2daup on December 29, 2009 at 4:27 PM
I remember the rumble when Bush Sr. was accused of bailing out savings and loan because one of his son’s was involved. Compared to what has been going on since the Dems took over congress, that was chump change. Our grandkids will be paying this off if the US is still around by 2012.
Hening on December 29, 2009 at 4:34 PM
I said it before:
The stimulus was enough to pay every mortgage in America. So pay them. With the proviso that the debt is owed if the house is sold or remortgaged before the initial duration of the loan is up (15/20/30 years).
Everyone who owned a home is now major debt free. Housing prices increase. Capital is freed up for new loans. People are free to use their income to actually stimulate the economy.
Granted, it’s a socialist solution, but it is better than the lousy tshirt we got for that 787 billion.
TinMan13 on December 29, 2009 at 4:36 PM
Not surprising. That area took a huge hit from the tech bust and never quite recovered. It’s mostly Cisco territory now and even they’re not using as much square footage as they used to (they got out of a lease of several large buildings on McCarthy Ave. that are only sparsely populated by a few smaller businesses now.)
I suppose some cash flow is better than none at all, but you gotta wonder how long the owner will be able to hold that property if they’re letting tenants stay there two years for free.
What baffles me is that there’s still new construction going on around there along the 237 corridor, right at the end of a stretch of a crapton of vacant office buildings. Good opportunities for relocation but it still isn’t going to attract business from out-of-state, or keep current ones from escaping the hostile business environment Sacramento has created.
TheMightyMonarch on December 29, 2009 at 4:40 PM
I purchased a foreclosed home from a German Bank last month.
They were eager to get it off their books. They purchased a bundle of mortgages early in the decade as they had been told that these were guaranteed investments and the US government would take care of the risk. They learned the hard way that such was not the case at all.
Got it for about one/third of what they had been asking for it.
I put down about 20%, and have a pretty small monthly mortgage payment now, a lot less than my former rent. I had been renting for nearly a decade. Put cash aside and started paying cash along the way for about everything…and accumulated a small bundle in savings.
The local banks are still tight with their loans. But, if you have skin in the game (like a large down payment) they are more than willing to work with you.
But, now, this uncapping of Freddie and Fanny…we are going to see a lot of folks who can barely afford to rent back in the housing market, with very predictable results.
Too many people buying homes they shouldn’t, cannot afford if you look at the real numbers, and too many people buying too large of homes than they can afford, and hope is all they have in the game, really.
This “hope” (and a lot of playing fast and loose with the rules) is what got us in the first housing meltdown in the first place. Hoping that if you can get your hands on a large home today in order to sell it off in a few years and make a profit is a high risk business. For the buyer, for the banks, for the rest of the neighborhood, for the economy.
That old common sense thing…well, this new effort to uncap Freddie and Fanny is showing a complete lack of common sense.
For most of our history we’ve had renters and owners. Many renters worked their way up to home ownership, and had skin in the game. But, when government encourages people to take out risky loans, and encourages banks to offer those loans, and then tells us that Freddie and Fanny will assume the real risk…we are back to the same old same old.
If you want a home bad enough, you’ll do the work to get there. If you want to skip the work part and get a free loan from government, well, odds are that you’ll most likely lose the home long before the end of the mortgage is up. We’ve walked this walk before, quite recently, as a matter of fact.
Common sense. Seems to have become a very uncommon virtue of late.
coldwarrior on December 29, 2009 at 4:49 PM
“The question that everyone should be asking is why the untapped $289 billion in the credit line isn’t enough”
uuuh.
because the middle class hasn’t been 100% wiped out yet?
notagool on December 29, 2009 at 4:52 PM
many of us have been watching and waiting and wondering what Treasury was going to do to address the coming second collapse of housing
this is the same bubble in the same damn places!
here in AZ ‘investors’ are swooping into short sales and paying cash. Driving up the prices
the banks are holding the REO off the markets and not taking the final foreclosure steps toa void write downs…
there are approx 4 mill foreclosures waiting to happen plus the 3 million who were the first ‘targets’ for Obamas epic fail, the HAMP program..
the banks are now being told not to deny a permanent mod to anhyone for any reason other than ‘property disqualifiation’, which to me sounds like Treasury bit the bullet and told the banks to IGNORE the documentation requirements for making those 650,000 trial mods permanent
you know the pesky income documentation and the like, lol
in any event, FAN FRED FHA are now the ones holding the trillion + in loans. they are the only ones left standing, and the ones holding the bag, all thanks to TIM GEITHNER and OBAMA who was the Credit Suisse candidate
their plan now is apparently that FAN FRED will start BUYING OUT THE loans from the MBS bundles they are holding
to do this they will be required to pay PAR to the banks, yes PAR, 100%
So FAN FRED will reimburse the idiots who wrote the loans 100%, then FAN FRED will be holding the property directly,
now are they going to do principal writedowns to stop bleeding OR are they gonna turn all these millions of homes into low income rentals ? I mean it would fulfill HUDs dream of interspersed low income housing in middle/upper income areas in one fell swoop
then that woman who said she didnt have to pay her mortgage would be correct
and under it all this would sustain property prices at artificially high values, as appraisers will not consider mods or short sales, just regular resales in their comp values
so the banks can then unload the foreclosed props they are hplding out on sendinf a Sheriff too, into a market that will give them good returns on the private label MBS they still have (the crxp TARP never bought)
this way the banks dont have to up their cpital reserves to cover losses when they dumped these foreclosures on the market with the 4 million FAN FRED FHA are holding
millions lose homes, converts to low income rentals, and banks come out sweet, a win win win for them and the middle class is frakked
I hope not but it wouldnt surprise me
ginaswo on December 29, 2009 at 4:57 PM
“The removal of the $400 billion cap suggests that things are about to worsen considerably.”
This is a recognition that housing prices will likely never recover to pre-bubble values and that people are going to start walking out of upside-down mortgages in droves.
As people walk away from mortgages that are hundreds of thousands of dollars upside-down, the taxpayer is going to be on the hook as the guarantor. This is basically Obama telling the taxpayer that there is no limit to how much the taxpayer is going to be squeezed to bail out the Democrats’ failed housing policy and that people will be simply walking away from these mortgages in wholesale fashion.
Only an idiot would pay $50 for a $20 bill, that is why we have foreclosure and bankruptcy. If you make an investment and it loses its value, we have mechanisms to clear that burden and start over after a 10 year period if no credit.
If you have a mortgage that is over $100,000 upside-down, walking away from it is a legitimate financial option.
crosspatch on December 29, 2009 at 5:14 PM
I’ve been saying Obama was a P.O.S. for years, and he is not proving me wrong.
If Bush was in office, the hero from flight 253 would be summoned to the White House and given the heros accolades he deserves.
The Incompetent in Chief won’t even say thanks.
OBAMA IS A TRAITOR AND SHOULD BE IMPEACHED AND BROUGHT UP ON CHARGES OF TREASON.
Cybergeezer on December 29, 2009 at 5:15 PM
Our country and its pathetic Presidents (including Clinton, GWB and Obama) are always drawn to the most harmful courses of action like a moth to a flame.
The Party of “No” needs to hammer Barack, Harry and Nancy on this issue.
Somebody needs to be awake at the switch.
molonlabe28 on December 29, 2009 at 5:18 PM
I don’t think Bush was all that pathetic. He tried to increase regulation of Fannie and Freddie but was thwarted by not having 60 seats in the Senate. The Senate Democrats derailed every chance to fix this before it blew up and what ended up happening was EXACTLY what the Bush administration said could happen going all the way back to 2001. In fact, getting tighter regulation of the government mortgage guarantors was a primary priority that the administration started working on in only the first few months in office.
The Democrats torpedoed every attempt to fix this. They get to keep all the pieces.
crosspatch on December 29, 2009 at 5:36 PM
Market-ticker is hearing that Chase is back to stated income loans and taking 3-year-old appraisals. This should end well.
Chuck Schick on December 29, 2009 at 5:59 PM
There are also a slew of option ARM loans resetting in 2010 and 2011, and the bulk of them are in California and Florida. At least in CA, prices have dropped but still have not deflated to levels that are even close to pre-bubble prices. Most of the carnage thus far has been in less desirable areas, but once this latest round of loans comes home to roost, and it hits more middle and upper-middle class areas, then the bottom will really fall out.
Florida, I think, has already taken a much bigger hit than California has, and their bubble seemed to burst a bit sooner. California has a ways to go yet, I’m afraid.
NoLeftTurn on December 29, 2009 at 6:01 PM
It takes real dedication to be so irresponsible.
jeanie on December 29, 2009 at 6:09 PM
“Market-ticker is hearing that Chase is back to stated income loans”
Considering that Chase bought WaMu, that sounds like business as usual.
crosspatch on December 29, 2009 at 6:23 PM
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