Rasmussen: Strong disapproval outstrips overall approval for first time

posted at 10:55 am on December 22, 2009 by Ed Morrissey

Normally, Rasmussen uses its Presidential Approval Index, or what I call the “passion index,” to measure the prevailing winds of popularity for Barack Obama’s presidency.  It may need to change its metric to track when his overall approval manages to rise above the strong disapproval that has been growing in the second half of 2009.  Those streams crossed for the first time today in Rasmussen’s daily tracking poll, as Obama dropped to 44% approval while strong disapproval rose to 46%:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 25% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-six percent (46%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -21 That’s the lowest Approval Index rating yet recorded for this President (see trends).

Fifty-three percent (53%) of men Strongly Disapprove along with 39% of women. Most African-American voters (58%) Strongly Approve while most white voters (53%) Strongly Disapprove.

Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans Strongly Disapprove as do 52% of unaffiliated voters. Forty-seven percent (47%) of Democrats Strongly Approve.

For the second straight days, the update shows the highest level of Strong Disapproval yet recorded for this President. That negative rating had never topped 42% before yesterday. However, it has risen dramatically since the Senate found 60 votes to move forward with the proposed health care reform legislation. Most voters (55%) oppose the health care legislation and senior citizens are even more likely than younger voters to dislike the plan.

The most worrisome trend remains the disaffection of independents.  Independent voters not only put Obama into office, they gave the Democrats a majority in both chambers of Congress.  Sixty-two percent of independents disapprove of Obama’s performance, and all but ten percent strongly.  If they continue to register strong levels of disgust, Obama will still be President in 2011, but Nancy Pelosi won’t be Speaker of the House, and Obama will have to deal with a Republican Congress holding the pursestrings.

Rasmussen notes that the increase in disapproval came after the Senate hijinks this weekend, but that points up another interesting issue in this poll.  Normally, weekends tend to be more sympathetic to Democrats on polls.  Two of the three days of this survey were Saturday and Sunday, before Reid got his cloture vote.  The bump Monday perhaps shows some of the reaction to that, but more will be coming in the next couple of days.


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Change you can believe in. Change we need.

Red Cloud on December 22, 2009 at 10:57 AM

The racist trend continues.

Bishop on December 22, 2009 at 10:57 AM

Fail, we can believe in.

This must be those soaring souring polls, the tards were saying were about to happen.

MNHawk on December 22, 2009 at 10:58 AM

Unprecidented!

singlemalt_18 on December 22, 2009 at 10:58 AM

Just wait til those taxes go up. He’ll be in the low-to-mid 30′s.

Doughboy on December 22, 2009 at 10:58 AM

Yes…but that is only because that 46% is completely and utterly racist (and they probably teabag, too). Furthermore….hey look, Brittany Murphy died! *poof*

Huckabye-Romney on December 22, 2009 at 10:59 AM

I don’t think Zero really cares anymore.
It’s good for us if people vote the dems out in Nov. I’m hoping they do, but still am nervous that not enough will be voted out.

Brat4life on December 22, 2009 at 11:00 AM

The only good news I’ve heard in awhile….

PatriotRider on December 22, 2009 at 11:02 AM

Too late precious, most almighty “Independent voters”. You got duped. Thanks for, uh, nothing.

SouthernGent on December 22, 2009 at 11:02 AM

The polls outside are delightful.
And ObamaCare is frightful.
let him go
let him go
let him go

WashJeff on December 22, 2009 at 11:02 AM

Explosion of racism.

Ted Torgerson on December 22, 2009 at 11:03 AM

Time for the War on Rasmussen?

LibTired on December 22, 2009 at 11:03 AM

The Ego will not be liking these numbers.

Key West Reader on December 22, 2009 at 11:03 AM

That graph is sooo … Christmasy!

Tony737 on December 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM

I think this administration is determined to become the most hated administration in history. Their solution to being hated is to pass legislation and make decisions that people hate. It’s a good thing they are in the government because they wouldn’t make it in the private sector.

ThackerAgency on December 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM

Hey, weren’t the Dems saying just yesterday that they were going to run in 2010 on the fact that they delivered on Obamacare?

Since Obama’s strong disapproval % spiked as soon as they found the 60th vote, I’d say that looks like a disaster in the making. I hope they try it.

JohnInCA on December 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM

Rasmussen acted stupidly.

BardMan on December 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM

Meanwhile, Rand Paul is up big on Trey Grayson in Kentucky…per PPP.

If there was any doubt Rand Paul is a serious candidate for the Republican Senate nomination in Kentucky it can be cast away. Our first poll of the race finds him leading Trey Grayson 44-25.

SouthernGent on December 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM

There is a house by me with 2 Obama posters in their windows. I just don’t get what they are so proud of.

sammypants on December 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM

Hold on, I carefully analyzed this poll and it seems to have been created by a five year old using crayons.

Ed, please remove this thread.

Bishop on December 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM

25% strongly favor dear leader…
their rose colored glasses are still on

cmsinaz on December 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM

This liar and his henchmen have seized 30% of the US economy in less than a year. If the “healthcare” bill passes and the new financial controls pass, it will be up to 71%. This guy is a DANGEROUS DANGEROUS individual.

marklmail on December 22, 2009 at 11:05 AM

Democratic numbers will continue to decline…right off the chart.

GarandFan on December 22, 2009 at 11:05 AM

That’s a nice polling company you have there…

Be a shame if something happened to it…

BardMan on December 22, 2009 at 11:06 AM

25% strongly favor dear leader…
their rose colored glasses are still on

cmsinaz on December 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM

That’s the AA voting bloc.

Key West Reader on December 22, 2009 at 11:06 AM

Bishop on December 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM

wonder what gibbsy gonna say now…

cmsinaz on December 22, 2009 at 11:06 AM

It will be a new day once 2010 comes along, in just a few days. The mood will be different, the Dems will be afraid, and we will start our countdown.

In the meantime, don’t let these fools ruin your holiday. 2010 Cometh!

EMD on December 22, 2009 at 11:06 AM

25% strongly favor dear leader…
their rose colored glasses are still on

cmsinaz on December 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM

You figure about 33% of the population is die-hard lefties. This number means he is losing his core. While this core would never vote for conservatives, they may stay home like conservatives unfortuantely did in 2006/08.

WashJeff on December 22, 2009 at 11:06 AM

I don’t think Zero really cares anymore.

One term Precedent? I think if he gets socialized medicine going, he will have succeeded in his goal and could care less if he is re-elected. Zero can’t even deal w/ a Dem congress, just think how’d he deal w/ a GOP congress.

davek70 on December 22, 2009 at 11:06 AM

That’s a nice polling company you have there…

Be a shame if something happened to it…

BardMan on December 22, 2009 at 11:06 AM

“Don’t think we’re not keeping score, brother…”

SouthernGent on December 22, 2009 at 11:07 AM

How low will it go?

diogenes on December 22, 2009 at 11:07 AM

Odumbo should thank Allah he has racism to blame. God knows he can not handle the fact that it is him.

ORconservative on December 22, 2009 at 11:07 AM

Key West Reader on December 22, 2009 at 11:06 AM

Ahh…hope they soon realize that dear leader will not be paying for their gas this christmas…

cmsinaz on December 22, 2009 at 11:08 AM

Just wait till those taxes go up. He’ll be in the low-to-mid 30’s.

Doughboy on December 22, 2009 at 10:58 AM

In the Healthcare legislation, the taxation starts several years before the program is implemented. What is the early tax money going to be used for? My guess; Obama is gonna need a hell of a lot of bribe money to get reelected.

Tommy_G on December 22, 2009 at 11:08 AM

WashJeff on December 22, 2009 at 11:06 AM

in this case, I hope they do stay home…

cmsinaz on December 22, 2009 at 11:09 AM

That graph is sooo … Christmasy!

Tony737 on December 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM

+1

Yes indeed, beautiful shades of red and green!

singlemalt_18 on December 22, 2009 at 11:09 AM

They don’t care. They have they keys to the voting machines and that is the only poll that matters. It’s was harder for them to cheat in the off-year election last month, but they still pulled it off in NY-23.

Buddahpundit on December 22, 2009 at 11:10 AM

How low will it go?

diogenes on December 22, 2009 at 11:07 AM

40% overall approval by the SOTU speech.

SouthernGent on December 22, 2009 at 11:10 AM

Buddahpundit on December 22, 2009 at 11:10 AM

burris gave acorn more funding through the health care bill…

yea!/s

cmsinaz on December 22, 2009 at 11:11 AM

And yet, various internet companies want me to go to college because OBAMA WANTS YOU EDUCATED.

When will they stop beating us over the head with the “Obama is like teh totally most awesomest President EVAH!!1!!!!!!!!1111!!!!!1!” meme?

crazy_legs on December 22, 2009 at 11:11 AM

wonder what gibbsy gonna say now…
cmsinaz on December 22, 2009 at 11:06 AM

Hopefully something along the lines of “I can’t lie anymore, I’m resigning.”

Bishop on December 22, 2009 at 11:11 AM

Bishop on December 22, 2009 at 11:11 AM

now that would be a nice christmas present indeed!

cmsinaz on December 22, 2009 at 11:11 AM

in this case, I hope they do stay home…

cmsinaz on December 22, 2009 at 11:09 AM

Does this mean we need another homeowners bailout so these voters do not get tossed out of their homes via foreclosure so they can stay home?

WashJeff on December 22, 2009 at 11:12 AM

The most worrisome trend remains the disaffection of independents.

Worrisome to whom? I’m elated!

BPD on December 22, 2009 at 11:12 AM

It will be historic and unprecedented when these poll numbers soar after ObamaCare is passed.

Knucklehead on December 22, 2009 at 11:13 AM

OT

GOP picks up a House seat.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/30896.html

Mark1971 on December 22, 2009 at 11:13 AM

40% overall approval by the SOTU speech.

SouthernGent on December 22, 2009 at 11:10 AM

And you just know he’s gonna tout the Obamacare bill as a major accomplishment. That should take care of any remaining hopefuls.

a capella on December 22, 2009 at 11:13 AM

Ed, here is a nice switcheroo in the house

cmsinaz on December 22, 2009 at 11:14 AM

I don’t think Zero really cares anymore.

It’s good for us if people vote the dems out in Nov. I’m hoping they do, but still am nervous that not enough will be voted out.

Brat4life on December 22, 2009 at 11:00 AM

Teh Won stopped caring the moment he won.

Do be nervous. History agrees with your (and my) fears.

steveegg on December 22, 2009 at 11:14 AM

If they continue to register strong levels of disgust, Obama will still be President in 2011,

Not a foregone conclusion.

CDeb on December 22, 2009 at 11:14 AM

Mark1971 on December 22, 2009 at 11:13 AM

beat me to it Mark…apologies for the duplication…

cmsinaz on December 22, 2009 at 11:15 AM

Solid B+

WordsMatter on December 22, 2009 at 11:15 AM

GOP picks up a House seat.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/30896.html

Mark1971 on December 22, 2009 at 11:13 AM

That’s not right of him to do that switcheroo. AT least he is in the house and faces election in Nov. And, anyone who switches party with the gulf of principles between the two is immediately suspect in my mind.

WashJeff on December 22, 2009 at 11:16 AM

WashJeff on December 22, 2009 at 11:12 AM

of course!

cmsinaz on December 22, 2009 at 11:16 AM

I just don’t get what they are so proud of.

sammypants on December 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM

That they’re not RAAAAAAAACIST!!

CDeb on December 22, 2009 at 11:16 AM

I just read that congressman Parker Griffith of Alabama will announce this afternoon that he is changing parties and becoming a Republican. Even some of their own can’t stand the stench any longer.

rplat on December 22, 2009 at 11:17 AM

OT

GOP picks up a House seat.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/30896.html

Mark1971 on December 22, 2009 at 11:13 AM

First time that district has been held by a Republican according to Cook. Nice.

SouthernGent on December 22, 2009 at 11:17 AM

Obama’s most recent whoppers are almost beyond belief! The audacity of his lies is stunning. I mean, he is shameless. The media never contests a single one. He tells substantive whopper after whopper after whopper and never a peep from the complicit media. It’s criminal.

marklmail on December 22, 2009 at 11:18 AM

B+

CC

CapedConservative on December 22, 2009 at 11:18 AM

I’m sure Bush is responsible for this somehow.

rollthedice on December 22, 2009 at 11:20 AM

First time that district has been held by a Republican according to Cook. Nice.

SouthernGent on December 22, 2009 at 11:17 AM

That is good. If the district is a strong Dem district and this guy can hold the seat, I will take the weak-kneed principle GOP guy anyday. That is another vote against Pelosi.

WashJeff on December 22, 2009 at 11:20 AM

GOP picks up a house seat…I cannot believ I have not heard a PEEP from the msm regarding this. Time for another Arlen Specter story!

Huckabye-Romney on December 22, 2009 at 11:20 AM

You figure about 33% of the population is die-hard lefties. This number means he is losing his core. While this core would never vote for conservatives, they may stay home like conservatives unfortuantely did in 2006/08.

WashJeff on December 22, 2009 at 11:06 AM

I would love to see the RACIAL breakdown of this poll…if he still holds 95% of the 12.8% of Americans who are Black?

Thats a built in 10% RACIAL Bias to this stat as well…

Romeo13 on December 22, 2009 at 11:20 AM

Mark1971 on December 22, 2009 at 11:13 AM

Too bad we can’t get one in the Senate. Now THAT would be an awesome Christmas present!

tims472 on December 22, 2009 at 11:22 AM

I would love to see the RACIAL breakdown of this poll

Most African-American voters (58%) Strongly Approve

CDeb on December 22, 2009 at 11:22 AM

25% strongly approve?! Well, 13% of the U.S. is black so subtract them and you have the 12% who are the extreme lunatic fringe like my sister-in-law, who actually compared the public’s persecution of Obama to the persecution of Jesus in her Christmas letter.

ExcessivelyDiverted on December 22, 2009 at 11:22 AM

but just you wait till obamacare actually passes. that approval rating is going to SKYROCKET just like everyone’s taxes.

/sarc

MFn G I M P on December 22, 2009 at 11:22 AM

Huckabye-Romney on December 22, 2009 at 11:20 AM

Incoming meme: Specter was a patriot. He adhered to his core principles. The radical nature of the GOP gave him no other alternative. Griffith is merely an opportunistic traitor. And obviously a racist.

BardMan on December 22, 2009 at 11:24 AM

DOESN’T MATTER…THEY DON’T CARE!!!!

ObamaCare WILL pass!

Cap & Trade WILL pass!

Amnesty WILL pass!

All before November 2010. That has been the plan from the beginning. Most of our guys in Congress are worthless which helps the Dems.

LordMaximus on December 22, 2009 at 11:25 AM

Sixty-two percent of independents disapprove of Obama’s performance, and all but ten percent strongly.

Independents, as a class, apparently don’t pay attention before they vote.

burt on December 22, 2009 at 11:25 AM

A bit off topic. Saw a brief piece of Obama presser or something yesterday. To frame, the HDTV is the most crisp tv viewing expereince for the consumer and the most unkind to those on the camera end. I have a new latest and greatest and this thing is amazing.

Anyway, BO is aging pretty fast. I was so stunned that i paid no attention to what he was saying (not the first time either) but was solely focused on how BO looked. Clearly, he did this without makeup and it showed. He looked horrible.

All caused by kids with crayons.

booter on December 22, 2009 at 11:25 AM

That Rasmussen graph is making a Joker clown face. Why so serious?

Fletch54 on December 22, 2009 at 11:27 AM

The answer is yes.

Rebar on December 22, 2009 at 11:27 AM

Most African-American voters (58%) Strongly Approve

CDeb on December 22, 2009 at 11:22 AM

That sounds a little low. I wexpected this to be higher. Is this good news?

Dire Straits on December 22, 2009 at 11:28 AM

Most African-American voters (58%) Strongly Approve

CDeb on December 22, 2009 at 11:22 AM
That sounds a little low. I expected this to be higher. Is this good news?

Dire Straits on December 22, 2009 at 11:28 AM

Sorry for typo.

Dire Straits on December 22, 2009 at 11:28 AM

Most African-American voters (58%) Strongly Approve

Although I don’t see the mere “Approve” figure, that percentage is interesting. I thought it was a given that it would be 95% Strongly Approve.

BuckeyeSam on December 22, 2009 at 11:30 AM

Most African-American voters (58%) Strongly Approve

CDeb on December 22, 2009 at 11:22 AM

Can’t get into the tabs…. whats the Strongly Approve PLUS Approve total vs. the Strongly Disapprove and Disapprove total for Blacks?

Just wondering how much of this “base” is also being eroded?

Romeo13 on December 22, 2009 at 11:33 AM

ACTUAL INTERVIEW IN DETROIT

“Why are you here standing in line?”

“We here to get some Obama Money.”

“Where does the Obama Money come from?”

“I don’t know where he get it – but he given it to us!”

58% STRONLY APPROVE

marklmail on December 22, 2009 at 11:35 AM

And, anyone who switches party with the gulf of principles between the two is immediately suspect in my mind.

WashJeff on December 22, 2009 at 11:16 AM

He is a medical doctor and is unhappy with the health care bill and the complete lack of bipartisanship in the house. Alabamans are not liberal Democrats so he had more in common with the GOP anyway.

ExcessivelyDiverted on December 22, 2009 at 11:36 AM

It will be interesting to see this poll Thursday when there is no weekend polling included.

farright on December 22, 2009 at 11:36 AM

Independents, as a class, apparently don’t pay attention before they vote.

burt on December 22, 2009 at 11:25 AM

You have to to remember…. obama ran as a Moderate. He was going to go through the budget line by line (but didn’t say he was going to INCREASE it all)…

Then the McCain Campaign, and the MSM, let him get away with telling those falsehoods… they allowed him to put out his messege with no real opposition.

So… those who are not political junkies were fooled…

Now… however, even they can see the results of putting this buffoon in Office…

Romeo13 on December 22, 2009 at 11:36 AM

Just another crayon drawing by a 2 year old…move right along please…and over here we have a Chicago thug with a deep voice…and who is that man standing next to him…Oh my…that’s his wife!

winston on December 22, 2009 at 11:42 AM

Most African-American voters (58%) Strongly Approve

CDeb on December 22, 2009 at 11:22 AM

And something like 95% voted for him, that is really a drop, almost 50% of his support, of his most ardent support, has left him?

right2bright on December 22, 2009 at 11:47 AM

I’m sure Bush is responsible for this somehow.

Of course. Obama simply inherited the bad poll numbers of the previous 8 years.

crazy_legs on December 22, 2009 at 11:47 AM

What are Americans so racist?
– Bleeds Blue

angryed on December 22, 2009 at 11:49 AM

Fifty-three percent (53%) of men Strongly Disapprove along with 39% of women.

Meaning, I suppose, that somewhere in the neighborhood of 60% of women approve of the job he is doing? Sometimes I am embarrassed by my own gender.

But what a joyous day it will be indeed when SanFranNan is stripped of her Speakership. I will be dancing in the streets for certain as there is no one in Washington I loathe more than her — not even Teh One himself.

NoLeftTurn on December 22, 2009 at 11:59 AM

Hey, Barry. Get a clue. People didn\’t vote for you because they wanted government health care. If they wanted government health care they would have voted for Hillary. When you actually sign the bill, and then brag about it in your SOTU speech, just imagine how low, low, low your approval will go.

texasentrepreneur on December 22, 2009 at 12:00 PM

It’s storybook, man!

Sowell Disciple on December 22, 2009 at 12:02 PM

This is cold comfort, knowing that they have nearly a year left to finish ramming more socialist, country-destroying crap down our throats.

Midas on December 22, 2009 at 12:03 PM

Fifty-three percent (53%) of men Strongly Disapprove along with 39% of women.

Meaning, I suppose, that somewhere in the neighborhood of 60% of women approve of the job he is doing? Sometimes I am embarrassed by my own gender.

No, it means that 61% of women either disapprove (not strongly), approve, strongly approve, or have no opinion.

Sowell Disciple on December 22, 2009 at 12:05 PM

Sowell Disciple on December 22, 2009 at 12:05 PM

I understand that. That’s why I said “in the neighborhood of.” However it breaks down, he is obviously more popular among women than among men.

NoLeftTurn on December 22, 2009 at 12:09 PM

The most worrisome hopeful trend remains the disaffection of independents.

FTFY.

nukemhill on December 22, 2009 at 12:09 PM

BUT BUUUUUUUUUUUUUUSH!
BUUUUT BUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUSHH!
BUUUUUUUUUUUUUUTTT BUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUSSSSSHHHHHHHHH!!!

XD

Live by the poll, die by the poll, as I always say . . .

Ryan Anthony on December 22, 2009 at 12:11 PM

Have you seen obama in his recent interviews? He looked like he was ready to burst into tears during his Copenhagen statements. Yesterday’s clips were the worst though. He was whining about critics “carping” about his plans. He was ugly, the worst he’s appeared– sullen, thin-skinned– he was letting his true Barack out. It was unclear whether he was going to cry or collapse. He looks mean, nasty and like he’s overwhelmed with stress and anxiety. I was left wondering if he’d survive the next 3 years without a mental health hospitalization.

obladioblada on December 22, 2009 at 12:12 PM

Despite all the reports of plunging approval ratings, all the attention to conservative blogs, angry calls to conservative talk shows, the attendance at Tea Parties, and despite the increasing rage and frustration many of us feel with the Obamunists, NOTHING has prevented them from further socializing our once great country with ObowmaCare.

We’ve been completely marginalized by these freaks, and we have absolutely no say in any of it. Makes me want to throw in the towel and stop following any of this sh*t. What’s the point? Anybody?

Sweet_Thang on December 22, 2009 at 12:19 PM

My lovely Missus
Had never voted ‘Pubbie,
Before Chris Cristie.

Now she tells me that
She’ll never vote ‘Rat again,
Since Reid-care cloture.

Please mark her down for
Her new, improved poll response…
“Strongly Dissaproves”.

Haiku Guy on December 22, 2009 at 12:20 PM

This is cold comfort, knowing that they have nearly a year left to finish ramming more socialist, country-destroying crap down our throats.

Midas on December 22, 2009 at 12:03 PM

OMG they are going to be even MORE aggressive in 2010. We won’t know America in about 5 years when all of this “foudational” stuff starts kicking in.

marklmail on December 22, 2009 at 12:22 PM

obladioblada on December 22, 2009 at 12:12 PM

Yeah I saw that, he’s definitely coming unglued. And I also saw CNN’s complete and utter disconnect from reality come to a new level as they tried to spin this whole thing into a victory for him and treat him with all the compassion directed toward a five year old with an owie.

Ryan Anthony on December 22, 2009 at 12:23 PM

It won’t matter what his numbers look like, once he gets amnesty for illegals, he’ll get permanent majority status for the dims.

matthew26 on December 22, 2009 at 12:26 PM

“Most African-American voters (58%) Strongly Approve while most white voters (53%) Strongly Disapprove.”

Obviously, white voters are racists, but not the African-American voters. They get a perpetual pass.

Star20 on December 22, 2009 at 12:26 PM

Comment pages: 1 2