Hair-of-the-dog entitlement reform?
posted at 10:12 am on December 9, 2009 by Ed Morrissey
Astronomy teaches that a star will, in its death throes, greatly expand itself in a vain attempt at survival before finally collapsing of its own weight and destroying itself. For some reason, that process seems to be popular in Congress as entitlement reform. The latest trial balloon floated out of the Senate on a potential compromise for ObamaCare would vastly expand the entitlement program heading most quickly towards insolvency:
Senate negotiators moved decisively away from including a government-run health insurance plan that would start on Day One in any final compromise, a major disappointment for the Democratic base but one that is likely to prove necessary to win over fiscally moderate senators.
Instead, Democrats are considering including a “trigger” that would allow a public plan to kick in – but only in the event that private insurers didn’t step up and offer policies for the new national health insurance plan, which seemed unlikely.
To win over liberals disappointed at losing the public option, Democrats would allow older Americans starting at age 55 to buy into Medicare, the popular program for the aged. The Medicare expansion would be a significant victory for Democrats, who spent years pushing for it. The proposal would in effect create a public health insurance option for older Americans, since Medicare is government-funded and government-run.
If the Senate reaches a compromise based on these principles, it would set up a major clash with the House, which included a pure public option in a bill passed last month. Some House progressives, like Rep. Raul Grijalva (D-Ariz.), have been critical of the Senate’s national plan idea, calling it “a “whitewash” and “not even reminiscent” of the public option.
That isn’t close to the worst part of this idea. For years, we have been warned about the demographic bomb of Baby Boomers hitting retirement age in terms of Medicare and Social Security solvency, especially the former. We have over $40 trillion dollars in unfunded liabilities already in this program, which the government doesn’t count because the benefits aren’t all due this year. However, unless all Americans suddenly start dropping dead at 62 years of age, Medicare expenses will increase dramatically due to the aging population and its longer life spans.
A rational approach to this problem would have been to means-test some of its qualifications, or to raise the retirement age in order to keep enrollments down and costs at a manageable level. Such an approach would have created a vacuum that the private sector could have filled, creating jobs and a bigger tax base.
Instead, Harry Reid and the Senate plan a hair-of-the-dog approach to the entitlement hangover. Instead of finding a way to control enrollments, the Senate will propose a massive expansion of enrollment instead. That will mean more Americans will be in the Medicare system for even longer than previously considered. What does that do to the demographic bomb? It will accelerate its arrival and deepen its impact, leaving us with far greater liabilities in the future than anyone predicted.
Call it the Supernova Option. At the end, it will leave a black hole, sucking cash out of the nation with no way to stop it.









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We are approaching the Singularity….
pseudonominus on December 9, 2009 at 10:16 AM
Ok, now Obamacare was to be partly financed Medicare cuts. And Obamacare will now expand Medicare coverage.
If anyone can explain this “logic,” please do.
Wethal on December 9, 2009 at 10:17 AM
Good. If our nation is going to implode, I’d rather it occur sooner than later. I’d like to be alive and able-bodied to assist in the reconstruction.
BPD on December 9, 2009 at 10:17 AM
I just don’t know what to say anymore.
The best interest of the country is the furthest thing on the minds of these krazy kommunists known as democrats.
darwin on December 9, 2009 at 10:18 AM
Congress has long been populated by scoundrals and thieves, but, historically speaking, haven’t they been somewhat brighter than this gaggle? This seems to be an application of the theory that if we lose a little on each sale, we can make it up in volume–only on a larger scale.
Crusader Rabbit on December 9, 2009 at 10:18 AM
Ed, you left out the part about a unicorn in every yard.
kingsjester on December 9, 2009 at 10:18 AM
This government is composed of liars, thieves, and lunatics.
Time to throw them all out.
AZCoyote on December 9, 2009 at 10:19 AM
surely there must be a less complex way to insure 15 million illegal aliens.
vinman on December 9, 2009 at 10:19 AM
We can take care of that.
/death panels
LibTired on December 9, 2009 at 10:20 AM
It really is staggering…the outright contempt these a**holes have for our country. Anything for more power. What will it take for the sheeple to get their collective heads out of their butts????
search4truth on December 9, 2009 at 10:21 AM
An age war, won’t that be fun?
Bishop on December 9, 2009 at 10:21 AM
“unless all Americans suddenly start dropping dead at 62 years of age…”
This is where the ‘regulating CO2 emissions’ part of the plan comes in…
percysunshine on December 9, 2009 at 10:21 AM
Uh, how many people in the US are between 55 and 65?
forest on December 9, 2009 at 10:22 AM
And, of course, rationing.
TXUS on December 9, 2009 at 10:22 AM
This is absolutely insane! What in h*ll is wrong with these people????
ProfessorMiao on December 9, 2009 at 10:23 AM
Luuuucy, ju got sum splain’in to do……
SHARPTOOTH on December 9, 2009 at 10:23 AM
Dang, beat me to it. Stupid work interfering with my web time.
rbj on December 9, 2009 at 10:27 AM
How does this reduce health care costs? How do we pay for this? Can’t wait to see the CBO numbers on this one.
LASue on December 9, 2009 at 10:28 AM
I await the Republican commitment to reverse this when they have a majority.
Chris_Balsz on December 9, 2009 at 10:28 AM
That’s pretty much what’ll happen. Once the government is in control of health care, they’ll determine who gets treatment and who doesn’t.
The only way this can end is massive taxation and crappy, limited health coverage. In other words, the exact opposite of what they’re promising.
Doughboy on December 9, 2009 at 10:29 AM
So are we still MANDATED to buy health insurance and punished with either monetary fines or jail time if we don’t submit?
Skywise on December 9, 2009 at 10:29 AM
Nothing is government-funded. Make that taxpayer-funded.
Patrick S on December 9, 2009 at 10:30 AM
Insanity.
ladyingray on December 9, 2009 at 10:31 AM
Congress is like a guy in an out of control car, banging into a parked car on a busy street. Everyone standing around in the street yells at the guy to stop, but the guy just laughs maniacally and bangs into two dozen more cars, car after car after car after car. Laughing and laughing and laughing.
Day after day after day after day, this is what it feels like to live through nowadays.
Edouard on December 9, 2009 at 10:32 AM
Could it be that our government, and especially congress, has gotten so corrupt that the United States is going to fail, flounder, and fall?
Dhuka on December 9, 2009 at 10:32 AM
I’ve pretty much had it with the term “funded” altogether. I’ve been hearing it way too much over the last year.
forest on December 9, 2009 at 10:32 AM
e.g., funemployment.
WashJeff on December 9, 2009 at 10:34 AM
I hope you’re not holding your breath.
ProfessorMiao on December 9, 2009 at 10:35 AM
Cloward–Piven.
Rebar on December 9, 2009 at 10:36 AM
Exactly. We can use their wording-thing against them. Stop saying, “Government funded” and start saying “Taxpayer funded.” Just like it went from “Global Warming” to “Climate Change” when the snow and ice started being impossible not to notice.
UnderstandingisPower on December 9, 2009 at 10:38 AM
That is an odd personification of a purely physical process, but accurate enough, I suppose.
By the way, Sun-massed stars expand into giants and then eject their outer layers slowly has their core contracts into a degenerate white dwarf. In larger stars, the core eventually collapses rapidly into a neutron star, with gravity forcing electrons into protons to make neutrons and eject neutrinos, and it is the pressure of sheer quantity of those very weakly interacting neutrinos that blows the outer layer off in a shock wave (which is an actual core-collapse Super-Nova). Presumably, even heavier stars collapse immediately into black wholes after emitting those neutrinos, which may look different.
Count to 10 on December 9, 2009 at 10:38 AM
Maybe Utopia is on the other side of the
blacknot-White hole?SouthernGent on December 9, 2009 at 10:38 AM
They have to figure out some way to get Medicare into the red sooner. SS has been operating in the red for the last 6 months straight and Medicare is jealous.
GnuBreed on December 9, 2009 at 10:39 AM
Reducing the age for medicare to 55 most likely puts another 10-20 million people on the dole. I know for a fact that people that age that who are working will get dropped like hot potatoes from any employer paid health insurance plans. There is no way the government can even hope to pay for that without a massive tax increase, which they won’t do up front. That will come later most likely some form of VAT that consumers won’t actually see on a store receipt.
Johnnyreb on December 9, 2009 at 10:39 AM
OK Anyone who doubted the Cloward-Piven strategy can stop doubting now.
marklmail on December 9, 2009 at 10:41 AM
“Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy, its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery.”
Winston said it best, as usual.
Track-A-'Crat on December 9, 2009 at 10:43 AM
I didn’t realize that the vast number of the uninsured were all between the ages of 55 to 62. That is how this whole healthcare ball got rolling, right, by the desire to cover the uninsured?
myrenovations on December 9, 2009 at 10:43 AM
Who here hates old people? Let’s see some hands.
Death panels for the lot of ‘em!
Abby Adams on December 9, 2009 at 10:45 AM
Agreed! They just don’t get it! These idiots (like Grijalva) just can’t live without the public option. Well then move to Canada jerkwad! These people aren’t going to remake this country into a socialist one without a fight. Hell, even the moderate/conservative Senators won’t have it.
I am so disgusted with the Democratic Party because of the direction they’ve taken. As a centrist, I can’t bring myself to vote for a Democrat anymore because of what they stand for. Here in a Northeast Texas county, five Democrats switched to the Republican Party because the national party no longer represented what they believe in. That’s telling, in my opinion. Of course there are some power issues that go with it, but it is still telling.
I’m for closing the donut holes that people encounter in Medicare. Why the hell can’t Congress just do that, and also expand Medicaid to people who might not have qualified before? I don’t know much about healthcare reform, but it would seem that expanding Medicare to people who don’t qualify because of income would be the way to go. In other words, expanding to the middle class. Why create yet another government program that will bankrupt us? What’s the angle with Reid, Boxer, etc.? Are they really that power hungry, or just stupid as a rock?
NathanG on December 9, 2009 at 10:45 AM
They were never brighter but they stuck to pulling backroom deals to enrich themselves and friends. They were never interested in rebuilding or recreating the country. They just wanted to take their side benefits and retire away from the public eye. These turds not only want the money but they want the historical legacy of having created a country. They do not want to be in the dust bin of history like so many other politicians but rather honored along side the founding fathers. They in fact see themselves as the neo founding fathers of the new great society.
RagTag on December 9, 2009 at 10:46 AM
Doesn’t Congress know you should never go full retard?
pseudonominus on December 9, 2009 at 10:47 AM
Also, if we’re just going to expand Medicare, can we cut out the abortion funding part, since the women that we’ll be covering with the newly defined public option are going to be mostly post-menopausal?
myrenovations on December 9, 2009 at 10:48 AM
How do you turn around an operation that loses money on every unit it sells?
Simple – increase sales!!!
DamnCat on December 9, 2009 at 10:48 AM
The word you are looking for is evil.
LibTired on December 9, 2009 at 10:49 AM
C’ya, Grandma.
OmahaConservative on December 9, 2009 at 10:51 AM
I believe in death panels, for members of congress and the executive branch only!
djtnt on December 9, 2009 at 10:59 AM
This whole thing is just getting silly now. Except that it’s for real, or surreal. I cannot believe that these people are actually trying to run the government of the most powerful nation that has ever existed on the face of this planet. These people could not effectively manage the day to day operations of a mulch pile much less our government.
Oldnuke on December 9, 2009 at 11:00 AM
We’re already embroiled in one. The younger couple generations are seething at the older ones, boomers especially, who’ve left them with the nation in such a state collapse is inevitable and a recovery is unlikely.
The older ones are tired of funding ill behaviour with their tax dollars and the shenanigans their younger counterparts pull that is straining the judicial system to the breaking point.
Dark-Star on December 9, 2009 at 11:00 AM
Not only will it break the bank, but adding boomers aged 55+ (which I don’t think of as being “aged” or “elderly” but I digress) will make health care worse for all “Seniors”. There are simply not enough doctors and hospitals who take Medicare to go around.
Moreover, the same problem exists as with the full “public option”: What’s to stop employers from ceasing to provide coverage to employees who reach 55?
Buy Danish on December 9, 2009 at 11:11 AM
Ed, you just don’t understand Obamanomics. “We’re going to spend our way out of deficits.”
GarandFan on December 9, 2009 at 11:13 AM
Eh, not a problem. Just pass it so The One can claim victory, then raise the age to qualify for Medicare to 70. Problem solved.
mwdiver on December 9, 2009 at 11:19 AM
If this does not scare you, look where we are BEFORE Cap and Tax and BEFORE Obamacare.
usdebtclock.org
barnone on December 9, 2009 at 11:23 AM
Like that story about the guy selling widgets. Losing money on each unit, he was asked how he was going to solve the problem.
“Don’t worry. I’ll make it up in volume.”
Graybark on December 9, 2009 at 11:23 AM
It is more than age. When the federal government creates laws that do not apply to the “general welfare” (i.e., the happiness of all legal residents), it pits one group against another. Statists laws create battles between races, income groups, age groups, states, etc.
WashJeff on December 9, 2009 at 11:24 AM
Seriously, isn’t this an even worse idea than the public option?
Thune on December 9, 2009 at 11:29 AM
How many billions will the CBO include for expanded “fraud and abuse” that we all know will occur in a greatly expanded program that already suffers from huge “fraud and abuse”? My guess is Zero.
GaltBlvnAtty on December 9, 2009 at 11:30 AM
How do the Democrats want to “pay for” ObamaHarryCare by cutting Medicare benefits if they’re putting an extra half generation on Medicare?
Can someone PLEASE show us the money? Hello, CBO?
Steve Z on December 9, 2009 at 11:38 AM
What other idea could these people propose, really? This is their endgame of their age of madness, and how does madness resolve itself but by the multiplication of that madness. It is like watching a morality play, something out of a post-modernized Aesops fable. Both obvious and yet incredible to watch as it happens, and it is “happening” to all of us.
rrpjr on December 9, 2009 at 11:43 AM
The corrupt dems are just doing openly what they’ve always done privately now that they have all the power. To the naysayers and disbelievers, Glenn Beck must be looking like a genius right now.
silvernana on December 9, 2009 at 11:59 AM
Medicare won’t go insolvent if more people are paying in (55+ now forced into it) and they don’t pay any claims.
hogfat on December 9, 2009 at 12:06 PM
From the LA Times:
Well, either it’s a brand new nonprofit insurer quasi-governmental corporation (a ‘la FREDDIE and FANNIE), or an existing organization (ACORN, KAISER).
If it’s an existing insurer, I sure won’t want to be in one of their plans to experience firsthand the “growing pains” of people taking advantage of their new “no-cost” insurance…
unclesmrgol on December 9, 2009 at 12:07 PM
You all just don’t get it. Beck had a funny segment this morning. They are simply going to use the cuts to Medicare they’ve been proposing to expand Medicare, and root out 47 million in Medicare fraud to enable more fraud. Really, it makes perfect sense.
Firefly_76 on December 9, 2009 at 12:33 PM
Neo
Besides tort reform, the one subject that seems to have fallen through the cracks is capacity of the system.
There is nothing here to add doctors at a rate that will cover demand .. and this is before many of the current doctors retire early when they are given the option of “slave labor” or retirement. Officially adding 20 to 30 million Americans, who previously only went to an emergency room in dire conditions, to the normal doctors’ roles is going to make it bad for everyone.
Also missing is anything to cover the “displaced” workers. Insurance and other medical workers will have to be displaced when the feds effectively cap the amount of money going into the system. Call them “waste, fraud and abuse” if it makes you feel better, but these folks are still displaced.
J_Crater on December 9, 2009 at 12:46 PM
Damn, man! That is just downright ugly!
Bruno Strozek on December 9, 2009 at 1:15 PM
Dang, I’m starting to like Michael Steele more after this.
cynccook on December 9, 2009 at 1:27 PM
I await the Republican commitment to reverse this when they have a majority.
Chris_Balsz on December 9, 2009 at 10:28 AM
I sure hope you’re not serious. Name one other entitlement program they’ve cut (not TRIED to cut, but actually cut). Republicans may WANT to cut such programs, or they may just want to SOUND like it. Either way, the result is the same. The press will crucify anyone (democrats excepted) who even suggests such a thing, and republicans simply aren’t up to the task.
Final score? Democrat-enacted entitlement: 1 (again) Republican efforts to “cut” them: 0
runawayyyy on December 9, 2009 at 1:51 PM
The plan is that as soon as they have total power, all the social programs go away. The Masters will decree work, and the slaves will answer to the lash.
Slowburn on December 9, 2009 at 2:25 PM