Video: Gates says no intel for “years” on bin Laden’s location

posted at 3:00 pm on December 7, 2009 by Ed Morrissey

George Stephanopoulos got an interesting, but ultimately unsurprising, admission from Defense Secretary Robert Gates yesterday on This Week. Using John Kerry’s Tora Bora report as a springboard, Stephanopoulos asked Gates whether the Pakistanis have done enough to find Osama bin Laden, and whether we know where he is. Gates made the rather obvious point that we’d have gotten bin Laden ourselves if we knew where he was, but also that we haven’t had decent intel on his location for “years”:

Defense Secretary Robert Gates conceded Sunday that it’s been “years” since the U.S. government has known where Al Qaeda mastermind Osama Bin Laden is hiding.

“Well, we don’t know for a fact where Osama Bin Laden is,” Gates said flatly on ABC’s “This Week.”

“If we did, we’d go get him.”

Asked when the last time was that the U.S. had any good intelligence on the whereabouts of the terrorist thug behind the 9/11 attacks, Gates said: “I think it’s been years.”

The stark admission came after reports last week of a Taliban detainee in Pakistan who claimed Bin Laden had been in Afghanistan earlier this year.

Again, this hardly comes as a shock. We’ve certainly shown no hesitance in dropping missiles on known Taliban and al-Qaeda leadership in Pakistan, which outrages the Pakistanis but which have increased on Barack Obama’s watch — and rightfully so. Clearly we have assets in Pakistan for this kind of work, and just as clearly, those assets would get sent in a heartbeat to Casa Osama as soon as we find it. Our intel on other aspects of AQ and the Taliban have been improving, but not on the one man Americans want captured.

Capturing or killing bin Laden would be a big victory for the US, but it wouldn’t end the war, nor should it. The problem goes far beyond Osama as a leader; even taking out his partner Ayman al-Zawahiri would only dent the problem, not end it. We need to not just kill or capture those leaders, but discredit extremism enough so that new leaders don’t appear. That’s what McChrystal’s COIN strategy hopes to accomplish — if given enough time and resources to succeed.

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Interesting…….weekend story.

Anyway.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:04 PM

No intel for “years” in the Democrat party also.

WashJeff on December 7, 2009 at 3:05 PM

if given enough infinite time and resources to succeed.

FIFY

The Calibur on December 7, 2009 at 3:06 PM

It’d be great if OBL was 6 feet under. However, if he is ever spotted, with the current administration, I hope he’s never taken alive.

txag92 on December 7, 2009 at 3:08 PM

“If we did, we’d go get him.”

bullsh-t! they are just waiting for another massive attack to happen so they can really turn the screws into the american public. they don’t give a damn about this country. that is beyond painfully obvious!

Ghoul aid on December 7, 2009 at 3:08 PM

Hmmmmmm. I wonder. If we got the intel as to where BO is hiding his BC would we go after it?

jbh45 on December 7, 2009 at 3:09 PM

I’m still surprised that people think he wasn’t killed or mortally wounded at Tora Bora.
He has never shown up on camera posing with any visual evidence he would be alive.The one video 5 years ago was a dubbed old speech according to some experts with no visual evidence like a newspaper etc.
This lunatic was a camera whore right up until Tora Bora- then nothing?
Deader than Hell.

jjshaka on December 7, 2009 at 3:12 PM

We need to not just kill or capture those leaders, but discredit extremism enough so that new leaders don’t appear. That’s what McChrystal’s COIN strategy hopes to accomplish — if given enough time and resources to succeed.

Not to mention of more terrorists in the US Army inspired by these people to commit Jihad in cammies.

highhopes on December 7, 2009 at 3:13 PM

I’m still surprised that people think he wasn’t killed or mortally wounded at Tora Bora.

He has never shown up on camera posing with any visual evidence he would be alive.The one video 5 years ago was a dubbed old speech according to some experts with no visual evidence like a newspaper etc.
This lunatic was a camera whore right up until Tora Bora- then nothing?
Deader than Hell.

jjshaka on December 7, 2009 at 3:12 PM

This is one “conspiracy” thinking meme that always made sense to me.

It does seem plausible as heck.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:13 PM

He’s an ex-terrorist.

Attila (Pillage Idiot) on December 7, 2009 at 3:16 PM

This lunatic was a camera whore right up until Tora Bora- then nothing?
Deader than Hell.

jjshaka on December 7, 2009 at 3:12 PM

Dead or just in a zone with poor cell phone coverage? :0

Seriously, it really doesn’t matter though I think the utter silence in the past few years tends to support dead.

That being said, our filthy lying coward in the White House would have an interesting predicament should we capture OBL alive. How would he be able to deny OBL a civil trial with all the rights he’s afforded to KSM?

highhopes on December 7, 2009 at 3:18 PM

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:13 PM

Yep- the one thing anyone knows is that if you want to prove you’re alive, it’s real simple- you pull out a newspaper or magazine dated after your supposed “death” and go ” how you like me now, suckers”!
Occam’s Razor.

jjshaka on December 7, 2009 at 3:19 PM

I think the guy was martyred at Tora Bora early on, it’s just that nobody ever found out for sure. No word from DOJ that OBL will be mirandized when captured.

Kissmygrits on December 7, 2009 at 3:19 PM

He assumed room temp Oct 2001. But it was never announced for fear public would assume War on terror was over.

bill30097 on December 7, 2009 at 3:20 PM

Using John Kerry’s Tora Bora report as a springboard,

Nice to see Steffi is such an obedient Obamabot. Kerri’s probably giving him a gift of the wifey’s gin-soaked raisins for the holidays.

Del Dolemonte on December 7, 2009 at 3:21 PM

Please. Bin laden’s pushing up daisies. The idea that this camera ham with bad kidneys has been laying low is ridiculous. Unfortunately, I wouldn’t be surprised if this question is asked for the next 50 years; he joins Elvis among the ranks of the immortals.

Erich66 on December 7, 2009 at 3:21 PM

“We need to not just kill or capture those leaders, but discredit extremism enough so that new leaders don’t appear.”

Holder’s got that covered. Not.

fogw on December 7, 2009 at 3:22 PM

It isn’t Osama so much causing turmoil for John Kerry but the fact that the war on terror isn’t contingent on his advice or leadership. The poor man never got to put his excellent military experience on display.

fourdeucer on December 7, 2009 at 3:22 PM

Yep- the one thing anyone knows is that if you want to prove you’re alive, it’s real simple- you pull out a newspaper or magazine dated after your supposed “death” and go ” how you like me now, suckers”!
Occam’s Razor.

jjshaka on December 7, 2009 at 3:19 PM

5 years ago I was hoping that he had held up the front page of the Boston Globe with “Red Sox Win First World Series in 86 Years” when he made his famous campaign video for Jeanne-Claude Kerri (D-MA, also D-Cambodia). But he didn’t.

“He’s Dead, Jim.”

Del Dolemonte on December 7, 2009 at 3:24 PM

He assumed room temp Oct 2001. But it was never announced for fear public would assume War on terror was over.

bill30097 on December 7, 2009 at 3:20 PM

For that to be true, you are suggesting that there was a conspiracy bordering on treason to keep information quiet for the last eight years. I sure hope you have something more than quotes from Michael Moore and Ron Paul to back up your assertion.

highhopes on December 7, 2009 at 3:25 PM

The most likely way to find Bin Laden would be to dig up most of Tora Bora looking for his body. But is it worth it? Al Queda used to use the tapes from one of his sons posing as his father to taunt us, but they don’t even seem to be bothering with that fiction, nowadays. You couldn’t get between him and a camera before. He was filming monthly tapes before, if not weekly.

I think most people understood him to be dead. For some reason the CIA never admits it.

theCork on December 7, 2009 at 3:26 PM

It isn’t Osama so much causing turmoil for John Kerry but the fact that the war on terror isn’t contingent on his advice or leadership. The poor man never got to put his excellent military experience on display.

fourdeucer on December 7, 2009 at 3:22 PM

“The poor man” has a “resume” as empty as the suit his rich wifey bought him. In over 20 years in the US Senate, he’s managed to pass less than 20 pieces of legislation with his name on them.

Basically his lifetime “achievements” are suckering 2 rich ladies into marrying him.

“Can I get me a huntin’ license here?” Absolutely pathetic. And yet the corrupt national media very nearly got this Boston Turd Pie into the White House.

Del Dolemonte on December 7, 2009 at 3:27 PM

Osama is a bigger camera whore than Obama.

He couldn’t stay away from the camera’s if he tried.

Dead as dirt.

omnipotent on December 7, 2009 at 3:27 PM

The problem goes far beyond Osama as a leader

yes

John the Libertarian on December 7, 2009 at 3:28 PM

I personally support Obama at this point with his Afghanistan decision.

Here’s why.

I think there are people who understand this situation. They think this is on a breaking point.

He listened. I think that the GOP should bash him on the 18 month deal. And I think we in the public recognize that was a bone to his base and don’t need to worry too much.

Bush won this debate. His surge, in the face of tremendous public opposition, won.

And we’re glad he won. Except for the most wackadoodle liberals from the anti-war, no matter what, the public acknowledges that Bush was right.

The surge worked. Obama acknowledges it, too, through this decision.

The rhetoric is confusing for good reason. He can’t admit publicly that Bush was right.

But his actions today, as a real president, admit it totally.

And I give him credit, too, for knowing which voices to hear and listen to.

He did NOT go with Biden and his nutty “drones can do it all” plan.

He is following good military and state dept. advice.

In the end, we won’t care that he confused the heck out of everyone.

There are true standards. Do we or do we not break the back of jihadists?

In my mind, that is all that matters. They will never be totally gone.

But let’s make sure we don’t ignore this threat, either.

He isn’t.

And all conservatives should follow Palin on this one.

You need to give him credit for doing the right thing.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:29 PM

Maybe Gates should check with J Rockefeller since he told the world we was tracking OBL on his satellite phone chances are Rockefeller has Osama’s new # or maybe access to Osama’s e-mail or twitter account.

Bicyea on December 7, 2009 at 3:29 PM

He assumed room temp Oct 2001. But it was never announced for fear public would assume War on terror was over.

bill30097 on December 7, 2009 at 3:20 PM

I think he is dead…but your second sentence is just so strange and weird, you think the public would assume it is over while people are being killed and terrorists are bombing?

right2bright on December 7, 2009 at 3:30 PM

He assumed room temp Oct 2001. But it was never announced for fear public would assume War on terror was over.

bill30097 on December 7, 2009 at 3:20 PM

Yeah, we all know his corpse is frozen in Cheney’s basement under heavy guard from Halliburton Security. They’ll trot him out just before the 2004 and 2008 elections so the Dems will lose.

Oops, that never happened, did it?

Del Dolemonte on December 7, 2009 at 3:30 PM

Hey, maybe the administration is getting ready to acknowledge the obvious…

‘E’s not pinin’! ‘E’s passed on! This terrorist is no more! He has ceased to be! ‘E’s expired and gone to meet ‘is maker! ‘E’s a stiff! Bereft of life, ‘e rests in peace! If the firebombs hadn’t nailed ‘im ‘e’d be pushing up the daisies! ‘Is metabolic processes are now ‘istory! ‘E’s off the twig! ‘E’s kicked the bucket, ‘e’s shuffled off ‘is mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin’ choir invisibile!! THIS IS AN EX-TERRORIST!!

theCork on December 7, 2009 at 3:31 PM

The most likely way to find Bin Laden would be to dig up most of Tora Bora looking for his body. But is it worth it?

theCork on December 7, 2009 at 3:26 PM

They did the best they could after the 2001 attacks. But that would be like searching for a needle in a haystack made out of solid rock-at an altitude of 2 miles above sea level. During the coldest time of the year.

Del Dolemonte on December 7, 2009 at 3:32 PM

Ann Coulter had stated quite a number of years ago that Barack Bin Laden had gone to his 72 virgins(all guys with hairy backs and sebaceous cysts). I totally agreed with her then. I used to get mad at the Socialist Statists(the new SS)when they would continually hammer the drum that Bush was so stupid, Barack Bin Laden got away. I knew our Boys and Girls blew his beard up, and his 15 minutes were up. No one ever said anything as the left would have called an end to pursuing Al-Queda which was pretty decimated after a REAL president did the job, but had to go after way more Islamic scum……I believe the Empty Suit knew this when he was campaigning, as he read skillfully from the teleprompter that he would “hunt Bin Laden down and finish the job the moron Bush failed to accomplish”. Man, politics is so much BS, and the experts are in the Oval Office now…

adamsmith on December 7, 2009 at 3:34 PM

You need to give him credit for doing the right thing.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:29 PM

I will as soon as he resigns.

fogw on December 7, 2009 at 3:34 PM

And I’ll bet the CIA is just raring to go get him.

Speakup on December 7, 2009 at 3:34 PM

Location? With the ants, not with the virgins.

Schadenfreude on December 7, 2009 at 3:35 PM

I will as soon as he resigns.

fogw on December 7, 2009 at 3:34 PM

Well, that’s not going to happen.

So what’s plan B in your world?

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:37 PM

You need to give him credit for doing the right thing.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:29 PM

Really, so you are the type of person who would support Castro because he give free health care to his people…while starving them to death.
I give credit for the millions of people who have pressured him into making this decision…for the statement that this is the most important war we have ever fought, and now wishes he never said.
And no, he never acknowledged the surge worked, he isn’t man enough.
He had no way out, cries of impeachment would have been echoed if he would not have supported the military. This is a guy who just a few months ago learned how to salute…let alone lead a military campaign.
No, this is the only way he has out…he already has announced a time table, foolishly…
This is a man raised to despise the military, he accused our military of killing innocent people…he had to do this, because strong conservative voices forced him to.

right2bright on December 7, 2009 at 3:38 PM

Here’s my own take. He was actually “broken” as a real force under Bush.

He can’t really get out much. He’s now nothing but a figurehead.

And I don’t think Al Quaida has the bone structure for much more.

However, I do think think the Taliban could and will morph right into the same jihadist attitude and actions.

We’re simply talking Al Quaida.

Really, now, it’s morphed. It’s the Taliban.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:40 PM

John Kerry lost Osama”s trail some where in Cambodia.

fourdeucer on December 7, 2009 at 3:41 PM

Well, that’s not going to happen.

So what’s plan B in your world?

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:37 PM

Oh, I don’t know, maybe just living my life the same way I do every day.

My world doesn’t begin and end with whatever our incompetent president decides to do on any one day.

fogw on December 7, 2009 at 3:42 PM

John Kerry lost Osama”s trail some where in Cambodia.

fourdeucer on December 7, 2009 at 3:41 PM

But he has the hat!

theCork on December 7, 2009 at 3:43 PM

The rhetoric is confusing for good reason. He can’t admit publicly that Bush was right.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:29 PM

Why not? Not even Petraeus could admit yesterday on Fox that Bush’s decision was a success. Why?

Schadenfreude on December 7, 2009 at 3:44 PM

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:29 PM
Really, so you are the type of person who would support Castro because he give free health care to his people…while starving them to death.

Hardly. But that’s OK.

Be against the decision to support McCrystal.

I was a Democrat when Democrats took your position. Boy, they opposed the war, big-time.

Not me.

And I won’t oppose Obama now. You so are free to do so.

Not me.

I support McCrystal. I know what I know about in life, but mostly I know what I don’t know. I don’t understand military anything.

I listen to people like McCrystal. He definitely gets my “benefit of the doubt” factor.

I do not and don’t even wish to try to be any kind of military expert or direct generals from my armchair.

He says he can win. I trust him. I figure we’ll have to negotiate a bit what “win” means.

But I do think that means he can break the spine of the Taliban and the terror they wish to unleash on the world.

That is what I personally want to see, anyway.

Keep them out of Europe, America, and the global story.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:45 PM

I really don’t care if everyone here “hates” Obama.

But I’ll tell you guys just like I did Democrats under Bush.

You better knock it off.

This decision is supporting our troops.

Knock off the criticism on this one.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:46 PM

Why not? Not even Petraeus could admit yesterday on Fox that Bush’s decision was a success. Why?

Schadenfreude on December 7, 2009 at 3:44 PM

Oh come on. You can’t be that politically naive.

Nobody can.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:47 PM

Oh, I don’t know, maybe just living my life the same way I do every day.

My world doesn’t begin and end with whatever our incompetent president decides to do on any one day.

fogw on December 7, 2009 at 3:42 PM

Well, that made me chuckle. I think we found a point of agreement. :)

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:49 PM

I think Gates makes it too easy for our enemies to find out what we know and don’t know.

Why not taunt the suckers out there? Just say, “Bin Ladin is dead” like most of the posts above. Then let the jihadist’s prove it otherwise that their beloved leader is alive.

I’ve seen more aggressive, winning strategy watching my kids play checkers than what I’ve seen from our leaders.

Pazman on December 7, 2009 at 3:49 PM

Oh come on. You can’t be that politically naive.

Nobody can.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:47 PM

It’s not a matter of naivete, it’s a matter of shaming those who put politics above their country’s security. GWB didn’t criticise Clinton when he retired, and he doesn’t shame Obama either, no matter how much this one harps on him. It’s a difference of men versus boys, of character versus kindergarten.

Schadenfreude on December 7, 2009 at 3:50 PM

Ann, your psycho-antics are smirk-inducing. Most here support the troops, and their generals. They disagree with Obama’s contortions. The guy is so twisted that he could sleep in a trombone.

You, in a puerile/simplistic, and what you consider subte-elitist way, lecturing at highly intelligent HA commenters, some former/current military, others former CIA, historians, professionals of all kinds, is demeaning at worst, and entertaining at best. Quit your charade. You and terryannonline, based on different drivers, incredibly make most threads about yourselves.

Schadenfreude on December 7, 2009 at 3:54 PM

Our intel on other aspects of AQ and the Taliban have been improving, but not on the one man Americans want captured.–Ed

On what basis do you qualify that statement? Exactly which “other aspects of AQ and the Taliban” are you referencing with such positive coverage?

Clinton cut back our military and our intelligence. George W. Bush made it a point to attempt to re-establish our intelligence in the MidEast to the consternation of Congressional Democrats who have refused to fund and support American Intelligence except for the easy pickings of attacking American conservatives and abusing government powers via DHS to be fascist. And Pelosi’s rant against the CIA hampered our intelligence community even while Democrats like Obama continue to wrongfully blame intelligence officers and his secret service agents.

Our intelligence in Afghanistan is very limited, and compromised given the Tribal allegiances to themselves, their own tribal allegiances with the Taliban already made, not to the US, COIN or not. McChrystal’s address made the point that regardless of what good work for the betterment of the Afghan people that our military accomplishes in Afghanistan (building roads, wells, schools), every task shifts the balance of powers which produces new enmity from the powers that be.

The experts below do not share your opinion, Ed. Friedman specifically made the point that the US troops in Afghanistan do not have intelligence on the ground, and that it is the height of irresponsibility to bring more troops in without more intelligence first.

George Friedman is the founder and CEO of STRATFOR, a global intelligence company and online publisher of geopolitical intelligence that pioneered the field of private intelligence. As chief intelligence officer, he guides the strategic vision of the Stratfor intelligence group. Stratfor produces the well-respected Strategic Forecasting analyses delivered on a daily basis to more than 150,000 paid subscribers. Friedman has published numerous articles and several books on national security, information warfare, and intelligence including The Future of War (Crown, 1997) and The Intelligence Edge (Crown, 1997).

Retired Maj. Gen. Paul Vallely – Fox News Military Analyst & Chairman of the Stand Up America Project

Lawrence Eagleburger – Former Secretary of State

We need to not just kill or capture those leaders, but discredit extremism enough so that new leaders don’t appear.

Even if that were the purpose of our diplomatic-military COIN engagement in Afghanistan, the US does not have Afghani standing to discredit extremism, “enough” or not. New leaders will appear whether we engage in Afghanistan or not. No American has standing to “convert” Afghani Tribes to our concept of fair play.

The experts mentioned above agreed that Afghani Taliban and/or al Qaeda (will) infiltrate our intelligence network there and the Afghan Army as well.

“We need to not just kill or capture those leaders…”

Ed, what do you know regarding France/Algiers for instance? And Algiers was Westernized. There is no way to simply kill and capture the Afghan Tribal Chiefs, because the next men standing become the Tribal Chiefs. The experts made it clear that for any military “victory” the attack would need to annihilate all the people of Afghanistan AND of Pakistan as well, killing hundreds of millions of people. And the US has neither the rational desire, the WILL, the manpower, nor the means at hand and the wealth required to obliterate all of those people.

maverick muse on December 7, 2009 at 3:56 PM

… he can break the spine of the Taliban and the terror they wish to unleash on the world.
That is what I personally want to see, anyway.
AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:45 PM

You might want to read the article I’m linking below just to balance out your perhaps overly optimistic view of Obama’s plans for Afghanistan. It’s an eye-opener:

http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=MzRhOGIzZWNiN2FkZDIwNDEwOTcyYWY4OWJlYmNkNTg=

marybel on December 7, 2009 at 3:57 PM

He assumed room temp Oct Dec 2001 (battle of Tora Bora). But it was never announced for fear public would assume War on terror was over give GWB credit.

FIFY

kooly on December 7, 2009 at 4:00 PM

Schadenfreude on December 7, 2009 at 3:54 PM

No problem. I don’t care what you think.

It’s the same thing I saw on the other side about Bush.

Let me only say this.

Neither side impressed me in the slightest.

I think both sides are terribly immature, don’t really have a perspective that can capture an overview of our huge and very interesting country, and I don’t listen to EITHER small-minded side.

In fact, I would say that the opinions on both sides convinces me regularly that you BOTH need to be ignored, politically.

I don’t care what you think personally, of course. That is your right.

But I cannot imagine any real conservative not applauding Obama’s decision to support McCrystal.

This IS the biggest admission from this president that Bush was right on course.

He is staying the course, too.

You who can’t give him that credit?

OK. So show up at Obama’s lawn like Cindy Sheehan did at Bushe’s ranch.

Throw tomatoes.

But Obama really did back Gates and Hillary and McCrytals. He did not back Biden, thank goodness.

And that is that.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 4:02 PM

Hillary Clinton assuming the authority to lecture the Pakistani government on capturing/killing bin Laden was the epitome of passing the buck, given Clinton’s MANY opportunities to take bin Laden out; and Bill would NEVER give the order to shoot every time bin Laden was in the sights of the barrel. “Look, a swing-set! Don’t shoot!”

maverick muse on December 7, 2009 at 4:04 PM

I have a question about Tora Bora. Did they search the area with search and rescue/cadaver dogs? How long after a person dies would the dogs be able to pick up the stench? Would they be able to pinpoint the cave opening?

journeyintothewhirlwind on December 7, 2009 at 4:05 PM

I bet Osama is dead.

Terrye on December 7, 2009 at 4:05 PM

Where’s BinLaden? Why not ask General Kerry?

GarandFan on December 7, 2009 at 4:07 PM

Hey, on a lighter note, since this blog, naturally, didn’t offer an opportunity to comment postively.

Did you guys catch how well Sarah did at the Gridiron Club?

I figured this thread is far enough down that we can get “off-topic” without too many problems.

She hit the ball out of the park, I thought.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 4:09 PM

Maybe OJ can find him!

Seriously, it is probable that OBL is long dead. He did pick a rather good area to hide in. Those mountains are not well known, and those who live there are his pals.

I say go after Zwahiri and the others with Predators and Special Ops if need be.

I’d love to see OBL fight Mayor Giuliani in a pay per view mixed martial arts fight. We could end our debt and deficit overnight with that one.

KillerKane on December 7, 2009 at 4:17 PM

marybel, good link.

If there is one word that captures President Obama’s much-anticipated Afghanistan speech, it is “cynical.” Yes, the speech was also internally contradictory, counter-historical, and premised on fatally flawed assumptions about Islam and the Afghan people. Cynicism, however, is the defining feature of Obama speeches.–Andrew McCarthy

The problem with Obama is his ever changing mind and position. And THAT is a problem for our troops, sent in handcuffed by the Karzai 12 Rules of Engagement, relying on intelligence that is sometimes compromised, leading/leaving our troops ambushed.

The foolishly overambitious lesson that no honorable leader forgets is to NEVER extend troops beyond supplied fortresses. The problem with Iraq’s “Shock and Awe” attacca subito was that we got where we were going without the backing required to keep the population from rioting. And then our fortified positions were so far apart, that the patrols and supplies were under sabotage. And we weren’t even dealing with mountainous terrain, let alone the Mother of all mountain chains, the Himalayas. And when did Obama reach his “decision”? WINTER!!!!!!!

McChrystal warned Obama that we had less than a year to turn things around. Obama sits on his thumb for months, waiting for WINTER WEATHER to complicate everything from the onset.

maverick muse on December 7, 2009 at 4:18 PM

Really, now, it’s morphed. It’s the Taliban.
at 3:40 PM

America trained the Taliban in their war for independence from the Soviets. And now we go looking for allies who know exactly our part in their revolution and civil war and how we abandon efforts and interest per potus. The more things change, the more they stay the same. Afghani tribes have no reason to trust the US government any more than the Native American Tribes could “trust” the US Government during our wars. It isn’t that Afghanis will never trust an American, but each American must prove himself to the Afghan tribe, One Tribe At A Time. And 18 months doesn’t establish trust; in fact, it establishes mistrust.

al Qaeda attacked the US, and George W. Bush attacked and forced al Qaeda out of Afghanistan. The question remains, is the US going to chase al Qaeda out of every country around the globe? At what point do we stop playing the world’s police, particularly where it becomes counterproductive? Are we going to invade Somalia and other African and Asian and S.American countries where al Qaeda has established itself?

We are at the point now where we could refrain from recreating horrible mistakes, by carefully devoting the time and security to cultivate real intelligence that we lost with our Carter retreat from Afghanistan alliances. Staying the course means no time limit. And if it’s an occupation of the stupid Karzai government that America is stuck with, then let’s bug everything in their government building and presidential palace, and stop with the paddy cake “it’s your job, not mine” inheritance mantra, and clean up the mess.

maverick muse on December 7, 2009 at 4:39 PM

I’m still surprised that people think he wasn’t killed or mortally wounded at Tora Bora.
He has never shown up on camera posing with any visual evidence he would be alive.The one video 5 years ago was a dubbed old speech according to some experts with no visual evidence like a newspaper etc.
This lunatic was a camera whore right up until Tora Bora- then nothing?
Deader than Hell.

jjshaka on December 7, 2009 at 3:12 PM

I agree with your assessment. I’d also like to know the source that our Predator and Raptor attacks have increased under Obama.

rlwo2008 on December 7, 2009 at 4:41 PM

Nobody is really sure that Usama bin Laden was a Tora Bora at the time John Kerry’s report claims he was at Tora Bora. There were radio intercepts that some in the intelligence community thought may have been sent to fool US military and intelligence, and a report of a “tall” leader.

J_Crater on December 7, 2009 at 4:53 PM

Dead

SouthernGent on December 7, 2009 at 5:11 PM

Bin Laden is most likely dead. Not a word from him in at least five years. I’m beginning to suspect that Zawahiri has joined the choir immortal too. Haven’t heard from him in quite a while either.

Mike Honcho on December 7, 2009 at 5:22 PM

The focus on Mr Bin Laden is a distraction from the real enemy, Islam. I suspect that Mr Bin Laden himself, assuming he isn’t already warming his toes in hell, would happily agree.

YiZhangZhe on December 7, 2009 at 5:38 PM

America trained the Taliban in their war for independence from the Soviets.

The Soviets withdrew from Afghanistan in 1989. The Taliban didn’t come into existence until 1994.

Mike Honcho on December 7, 2009 at 5:41 PM

Osama’s dead.. pass it on..

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zQ0G_K_tss

Benazir Bhutto’s claim that she knew who killed him. She was killed 2 mo. later.

gatorboy on December 7, 2009 at 6:09 PM

He assumed room temp Oct 2001. But it was never announced for fear public would assume War on terror was over.

bill30097 on December 7, 2009 at 3:20 PM

Exactly. A dead OBL does a lot to stifle the war effort. Better to keep a boogie man alive – especially after Saddam was captured – can’t have the US taking out two boogie men back go back.

gatorboy on December 7, 2009 at 6:11 PM

This is one “conspiracy” thinking meme that always made sense to me.

It does seem plausible as heck.

AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:13 PM

This has been a question for years.
If ya get him what do you do with him?

Any trial would be a zoo.
If killed in combat, he becomes a martyr
Worst possible outcome, capture, try and execute him.
He then becomes the Islamic “Jesus”

The best outcome for the USA and the West, is the “Hoffa effect”

he just ups and disappears,

kinds sorta what seems to have happened.

DSchoen on December 7, 2009 at 9:19 PM

The experts below do not share your opinion, Ed. Friedman specifically made the point that the US troops in Afghanistan do not have intelligence on the ground, and that it is the height of irresponsibility to bring more troops in without more intelligence first.

maverick muse on December 7, 2009 at 3:56 PM

Unless bringing more troops in is cover for intel gathering operations.

Lots of troops need lots of supplies.

Lots of supplies means lots of stuff to be lost or stolen.

Lots of stuff to being lost or stolen means lots of weapons cache being “discovered” imagine that!.

Just like Iraq!

DSchoen on December 7, 2009 at 10:03 PM

He can’t admit publicly that Bush was right.
But his actions today, as a real president, admit it totally.
AnninCA on December 7, 2009 at 3:29 PM

I agree with your observation here ,but for gods sake is he the POTUS or Fonzie ?

DSchoen on December 7, 2009 at 10:23 PM

It occurs to me that Bin Laden has become our White Whale. He’s ubiquitous and elusive.

Even if we did catch him, we wouldn’t win the war and he’s become an irrelevant figure in the Mujaheddin. Baitullah Mehsud was a more important figure and we knocked him off.

Cr4sh Dummy on December 8, 2009 at 11:20 AM