Poll: Reid losing by 10 points to Lowden, 6 to Tarkanian

posted at 12:15 pm on December 4, 2009 by Ed Morrissey

Harry Reid has spent the last six weeks and a good chunk of money attempting to rebuild his image in Nevada.  The result?  According to a Mason-Dixon poll sponsored by the Las Vegas Review-Journal, Reid has managed to get only 38% of Nevadans to support him.  In head-to-head matchups, Reid loses against both of the major Republican challengers outside the margin of error:

Just 38 percent of respondents said they had a favorable opinion of the Democratic Senate majority leader, the same percentage as in October and 1 point higher than in August.

The survey of 625 registered Nevada voters by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research suggests the promotional bombardment that Reid launched more than six weeks ago has yet to hit its target.

“I’d be worried,” said Michael Franz, an assistant professor at Bowdoin College in Brunswick, Maine, who studies political advertising. “I’d stop if I had aired ads for two or three weeks and it wasn’t moving the needle.”

According to the poll commissioned by the Review-Journal, 49 percent of respondents had an unfavorable opinion of Reid, while 13 percent were neutral.

If nothing else, Reid may want to find another ad agency.  Six weeks of heavy ad rotation, and the best he can do is a 38/49 on job approval?  It’s as if they’re selling cod liver oil, which actually isn’t a bad way to think of Harry Reid: unpalatable and bad medicine to boot.

For some incumbents, bad job approval numbers can be tempered with a lack of credible opposition. Unfortunately for Reid, his opponents are outscoring him.  Sue Lowden beats Reid by ten points, while relative unknown Danny Tarkanian beats him by six.

Is this what Reid meant by “vaporizing” his opponents in 2010?  Right now, the only one getting “vaporized” by Reid is Reid himself.  And a massive ad campaign to remind Nevadans about who he is does not seem likely to change the fact that Nevadans just don’t like him.


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Lights out, bitch!

BPD on December 4, 2009 at 12:17 PM

Bye Bye Harry Red!

VegasRick on December 4, 2009 at 12:17 PM

I saw this. I don’t think Lincoln is going to survive, either, no matter what she does. At this point, momentum is simply too big.

Carly is really polling well against Boxer, which is another shocker.

It’s going to be quite brutal.

AnninCA on December 4, 2009 at 12:18 PM

Hey Dingy, time to join the 10%

rjoco1 on December 4, 2009 at 12:18 PM

This sounds like a job for Acorn!

thgrant on December 4, 2009 at 12:18 PM

The war is lost…

Fletch54 on December 4, 2009 at 12:18 PM

It’s unfortunate we most likely won’t be able to defeat Stretch Pelosi…. I would love a twofor in 2010

BPD on December 4, 2009 at 12:18 PM

Is this what Reid meant by “vaporizing” his opponents POLL NUMBERS in 2010?

Why, yes.

artist on December 4, 2009 at 12:19 PM

good thing there’s plenty of desert out there for him to wander in and mutter to himself about what hard work he did for the American people.

Banishment.

ted c on December 4, 2009 at 12:20 PM

Good riddance to bad rubbish

azkenreid on December 4, 2009 at 12:20 PM

I pray to God this guy gets Daschle’d.

BowHuntingTexas on December 4, 2009 at 12:20 PM

How long until he announces that he’ll opt for his own healthcare plan?

JammieWearingFool on December 4, 2009 at 12:21 PM

Don’t let the lid hit ya.

justltl on December 4, 2009 at 12:21 PM

The fact that so many long-term senators are in trouble this badly is indicative that a seismic change is happening.

That also affects the Palin story a lot. I don’t think she’s steering anything particularly.

The wave is grass-roots, and it’s quite real. And it’s going to hit the traditional GOP, too.

Nobody is safe.

AnninCA on December 4, 2009 at 12:22 PM

I wonder what Reid thinks of Obamas economy?I remember back in 05(im pretty sure) he said “this is the worst economy since the great depression” err,unemployment was under 5% at that time.Of course he also said”this war is lost” about Iraq a couple years ago.How can one man be sooo wrong all the time??

theTarCzar on December 4, 2009 at 12:25 PM

Time to clean the scum in the pool.

royzer on December 4, 2009 at 12:25 PM

It’s hard to come up with an effective advertising campaign if your product is a stupid, nasty, wheezing old cadaver. Just sayin’.

Cicero43 on December 4, 2009 at 12:25 PM

As long as he keeps working weekends, he won’t be able to campaign in his state. The down side to that would be that he’s working hard to pass healthcare takeover.

Kissmygrits on December 4, 2009 at 12:25 PM

Poll: Reid losing by 10 points to Lowden, 6 to Tarkanian

And by 42 points to a Schnauzer named “Lou”.

Doorgunner on December 4, 2009 at 12:25 PM

Woohoo!!!!!!!!!

ohiobabe on December 4, 2009 at 12:25 PM

Speaking of polls Ed, you may want to take a looksy at the new CNN poll.

Muahhahaha.

artist on December 4, 2009 at 12:26 PM

More proof that the atheists are wrong.

Tommy_G on December 4, 2009 at 12:26 PM

Don’t get too excited. Actual votes aren’t going to mean a thing. He’ll go into election day behind by 14 points in every poll, and still come out winning by 500 votes in the end.

They’ll be more than enough dead people to push him over the top.

Gregor on December 4, 2009 at 12:26 PM

It’s unfortunate we most likely won’t be able to defeat Stretch Pelosi…. I would love a twofor in 2010

BPD on December 4, 2009 at 12:18 PM

It may be too much to ask the people in her district to boot her ass out of office. But I’ll settle for Pelosi returning to the House in 2011 and being forced to hand the gavel over to Boehner.

Doughboy on December 4, 2009 at 12:26 PM

I hope this scum bag reid spends every penny he has and still is kicked out.
L

letget on December 4, 2009 at 12:27 PM

That big sucking noise that you hear is a big sucking noise.

Akzed on December 4, 2009 at 12:27 PM

They’ll be more than enough dead people to push him over the top.

Gregor on December 4, 2009 at 12:26 PM

Dead people are Reid’s natural constituency.

Cicero43 on December 4, 2009 at 12:28 PM

Ehh,even if he loses,the Obama administration can “get him elected” in one of their made-up congressional districts(why isnt this more of story???Oh thats right, its democrats so its ok…never mind).Or maybe in one of Obamas 57 states.

theTarCzar on December 4, 2009 at 12:28 PM

The wave is grass-roots, and it’s quite real. And it’s going to hit the traditional GOP, too.

Really? Names and poll numbers, please.

Bat Chain Puller on December 4, 2009 at 12:28 PM

It’s unfortunate we most likely won’t be able to defeat Stretch Pelosi…. I would love a twofor in 2010

BPD on December 4, 2009 at 12:18 PM

She actually considered quite conservative by the voters in her district. Go figure! On a Positive note, if there is a republican takeover of the House in 2010 she could be voted out of the Speaker position.

Tommy_G on December 4, 2009 at 12:30 PM

And by 42 points to a Schnauzer named “Lou”.

Doorgunner on December 4, 2009 at 12:25 PM

I can see the crotch-sniffing vote is big in NV. :P

lorien1973 on December 4, 2009 at 12:30 PM

OT…
Obama is having another town hall on the boob tube.

Does this man ever shut up or work? You should hear the BS he’s shoveling this morning.

Knucklehead on December 4, 2009 at 12:31 PM

Nevadans just don’t like him.

Nobody likes him. Even his dog is voting republican next year.

trigon on December 4, 2009 at 12:31 PM

Really? Names and poll numbers, please.

Bat Chain Puller on December 4, 2009 at 12:28 PM

Here’s one.

http://www.deseretnews.com/article/705348498/Utahns-growing-tired-of-Bennett.html?pg=2

artist on December 4, 2009 at 12:32 PM

“Hi, I’m Harry Reid and I am wondering, WTF, is your problem, people?!?! I mean I pushed for that high speed rail from LA to Vegas, that will still take longer than a commercial flight. Who doesn’t like really fast choo-choo’s? I am also working on bringing you government run health care that is sooo good I won’t even be a part so as to make sure every dime is spent on you. I brought you the porkulus….er stimulus bill. I even said that we have lost the war, isn’t that anti-Bush enough?? Come on, PLEASE show you care about the environment and vote for me. If you do I promise a Prius in every garage. Really I do. We have the presses running full steam so I have plenty of cash on hand, in fact, I have truckloads of it.

TQM38a on December 4, 2009 at 12:32 PM

Really? Names and poll numbers, please.

Bat Chain Puller on December 4, 2009 at 12:28 PM

Watch the FL race.

AnninCA on December 4, 2009 at 12:32 PM

Please make this happen.

WisCon on December 4, 2009 at 12:32 PM

It’s unfortunate we most likely won’t be able to defeat Stretch Pelosi…. I would love a twofor in 2010

BPD on December 4, 2009 at 12:18 PM

Nancy won her reelection in a cakewalk.

AnninCA on December 4, 2009 at 12:34 PM

Bat Chain Puller on December 4, 2009 at 12:28 PM

Apparently, you haven’t heard of the poll Rasmussen did that had JD Hayworth within 2 points of John McCain in AZ, have you?

BradSchwartze on December 4, 2009 at 12:34 PM

Problem:

If Reid loses, we probably get Durbin as Senate Majority Leader.

I.e., we lose a dried-up ineffectual buffoon. We get somebody who could be an effective leader.
__________

RJGatorEsq. on December 4, 2009 at 12:34 PM

toast!

cmsinaz on December 4, 2009 at 12:34 PM

Looks like there are a bunch of “evil mongers” living in Nevada these days.

Hog Wild on December 4, 2009 at 12:34 PM

Reid has done this to himself by supporting Teh One’s radical agenda. The Democrat’s upcoming wipeout could have been avoided. How much is Soros paying all these suicidal Democrats?

DerKrieger on December 4, 2009 at 12:34 PM

It’s unfortunate we most likely won’t be able to defeat Stretch Pelosi…. I would love a twofor in 2010

BPD on December 4, 2009 at 12:18 PM

She actually considered quite conservative by the voters in her district. Go figure! On a Positive note, if there is a republican takeover of the House in 2010 she could be voted out of the Speaker position.

Tommy_G on December 4, 2009 at 12:30 PM

Probably because she claims to be Catholic.

TQM38a on December 4, 2009 at 12:35 PM

Yep, time to send Scary Harry back to his doublewide in Searchlight.

Wind Rider on December 4, 2009 at 12:36 PM

The re-election is lost!

faol on December 4, 2009 at 12:37 PM

Another race of a traditionalist to watch is McCain. He’s not doing well in the polls.

AnninCA on December 4, 2009 at 12:37 PM

Bwaaaaahaaaahaaaa!
Now if we can only get Nancy P., Barbara B, Bawney Fwank, and the other liberal democraps in like manner, we would be getting somewhere!

DuctTapeMyBrain on December 4, 2009 at 12:38 PM

Ed,
Quit insulting cod liver oil by comparing it to pinky. It has been found that kids that get a teaspoon of cod liver oil a day have something like 80% less ear infections plus it’s loaded with EFAs and vitamin D. Carlson’s sells code liver oil with a very nice lemon flavor. My kids love it.

RobD on December 4, 2009 at 12:39 PM

hahahahahahahahaha.

Seriously….hahahahahahah. This makes my day.

scalleywag on December 4, 2009 at 12:39 PM

I guess Dingy Harry wishes he were from California about now.

AUINSC on December 4, 2009 at 12:39 PM

Heh. Buh bye. No. Buh bye. No….buh bye (David Spade). :)

NathanG on December 4, 2009 at 12:39 PM

She actually considered quite conservative by the voters in her district. Go figure! On a Positive note, if there is a republican takeover of the House in 2010 she could be voted out of the Speaker position.

Tommy_G on December 4, 2009 at 12:30 PM

Their evidence of this is the lack of any returns for the search string “hot Pelosi girl on girl action” in their favorite pr0n search engines. . . .

Wind Rider on December 4, 2009 at 12:39 PM

At least poor Harry won’t have to smell all those tourists going through the capitol.

justltl on December 4, 2009 at 12:40 PM

Radioactive Reid. Dead man walking.

Harry: Can you smell the defeat?

EMD on December 4, 2009 at 12:43 PM

while relative unknown Danny Tarkanian beats him by six.

Nobody with the last name of Tarkanian, is relatively “unknown” in Nevada.

MarkTheGreat on December 4, 2009 at 12:43 PM

And to think, the opposition hasn’t started airing ads yet.

MarkTheGreat on December 4, 2009 at 12:44 PM

Harry’s not worried … the survey was taken of registered voters. He still has ACORN and the unions.

darwin on December 4, 2009 at 12:44 PM

Another race of a traditionalist to watch is McCain. He’s not doing well in the polls.

AnninCA on December 4, 2009 at 12:37 PM

That’s why he’s acting more conservative. Complaining about $500 B in Medicare cuts is like shooting fish in a barrel. That’s why I’m amazed that the proposal made it through committee to the final bill being considered.

Any politician would have to be ludicrous to think that a popular idea would be to raise taxes and insurance premiums while cutting $500B from Medicare.

It’s absurd to think that such a proposal would be considered. . . somehow we have ‘news’ organizations like the AP talking about how wonderful it is (facts be danged).

ThackerAgency on December 4, 2009 at 12:44 PM

While I’d like to see Reid shoved out of office, the fact is that other than a couple of election cycles (2002 was one of them) the party with the POTUS always loses seats in mid-term elections. So, its really just a question of degree at this point; will it be a sea change event ala 1994 or a tepid turnover. Right now the media and Dems are setting the stage for 2010 and will paint anything less that a turnover of both chambers as a win for them. I’d say that if UE remains above 9.5% then the Dems better update their resumes.

I’m generally a pessimist as far as this NHC deal goes, but the Dems could temper their losses next November by tabling this thing now. I’ve thought for a while that the best outcome for them at this point would be for it to die by a couple of votes in order for them to gin up their base. I buy that the Dems would sacrifice some House seats for NHC but Senators are another story. To lose Reid next year would be a pretty big blow to the Dems no matter how they spin it.

volnation on December 4, 2009 at 12:44 PM

They’ll be more than enough dead people to push him over the top.

Gregor on December 4, 2009 at 12:26 PM

That at least will make sense. They’ll be voting for one of their own.

MarkTheGreat on December 4, 2009 at 12:46 PM

She actually considered quite conservative by the voters in her district. Go figure! On a Positive note, if there is a republican takeover of the House in 2010 she could be voted out of the Speaker position.

Tommy_G on December 4, 2009 at 12:30 PM

Then again, when you decline to be the dominatrix of ceremonies for the Folsom Street follies, to a San Franciscan you’re probably a conservative

Wind Rider on December 4, 2009 at 12:46 PM

I hope this scum bag reid spends every penny he has and still is kicked out.

letget on December 4, 2009 at 12:27 PM

Every penny spent to preserve Reid’s seat, is one less penny available for other races.

MarkTheGreat on December 4, 2009 at 12:46 PM

Aww Harry…Now you and Tom Daschle can sit around a tug each other.

BigWyo on December 4, 2009 at 12:47 PM

I predict a humpbot in 2010.

bighead4 on December 4, 2009 at 12:48 PM

if there is a republican takeover of the House in 2010 she could be voted out of the Speaker position.

Tommy_G on December 4, 2009 at 12:30 PM

Personally, I don’t see a Republican majority ever voting to keep Pelosi as speaker.

MarkTheGreat on December 4, 2009 at 12:48 PM

Dodd’s going to get beat too.

Oink on December 4, 2009 at 12:48 PM

Still a whole year left but the prognosis is good.

Yakko77 on December 4, 2009 at 12:49 PM

If Reid loses, we probably get Durbin as Senate Majority Leader.

I.e., we lose a dried-up ineffectual buffoon. We get somebody who could be an effective leader.
__________

RJGatorEsq. on December 4, 2009 at 12:34 PM

The flip side of that is that Durbin will not have much of a majority to work with, and a fired up Republican party in opposition.

MarkTheGreat on December 4, 2009 at 12:50 PM

Anybody credible in Mass that can challenge Barney “watch me blow this housing bubble” Frank?

Wind Rider on December 4, 2009 at 12:50 PM

Problem:

If Reid loses, we probably get Durbin as Senate Majority Leader.

I.e., we lose a dried-up ineffectual buffoon. We get somebody who could be an effective leader.
__________

RJGatorEsq. on December 4, 2009 at 12:34 PM

Durbin is another Chicago thug and he’s stuck his foot in his mouth almost as much as Dirty Harry.
That being said, if he’s elected senate leader, he will be tougher and smarter than Reid. Bad news!

donh525 on December 4, 2009 at 12:51 PM

unless someone already posted this. check out the other senators up for reelection next year:

http://www.senate.gov/general/contact_information/senators_cfm.cfm?Class=3

bernzright777 on December 4, 2009 at 12:51 PM

ONLY 10 POINTS DOWN????

Wake up Nevada and remove this canker sore on the butt of America!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

SDarchitect on December 4, 2009 at 12:51 PM

Reid may find that the voters are not as ignorant as he thinks. I keep my fingers crossed that my son who lives in Nevada leads people to the poles in droves to vote AGAINST Reid. He has done enough to destroy this country.

SgtRed on December 4, 2009 at 12:53 PM

The nutroots is already conceding Reid’s seat. They hate him more than we do it seems.

Speedwagon82 on December 4, 2009 at 12:53 PM

If Reid loses, we probably get Durbin as Senate Majority Leader.

I.e., we lose a dried-up ineffectual buffoon. We get somebody who could be an effective leader.

RJGatorEsq. on December 4, 2009 at 12:34 PM

Durbin and “effective” do not belong in the same sentence

yo on December 4, 2009 at 12:54 PM

We have to keep the heat at maximum for another whole year. Can we?

DerKrieger on December 4, 2009 at 12:54 PM

Watch the FL race.

AnninCA on December 4, 2009 at 12:32 PM

We have no incumbent Republican in Florida… only Rubio’s stand-in that Crist picked out.

Crist will “decide he likes being governor” early 2010. Rubio by a M I L E.

CC

CapedConservative on December 4, 2009 at 12:57 PM

Unless the Republicans take over a majority in the Senate, I would prefer to have Reid remain right where he is—one of the most ineffective, and uninspiring dem leaders—evah.

Rovin on December 4, 2009 at 12:57 PM

Dodd doesn’t seem to be faring too well up in CT either.

Boy oh boy, wouldn’t it be great to see on election night Reid, Dodd and Boxer having to make concession speeches?

Intrepid on December 4, 2009 at 12:58 PM

Thirty-eight percent is the core democratic party members. The same percentage shows up in other polls on other subjects. This means Reid has ONLY the hard left core voting for him.

Unless he starts stuffing ballots now it is going to be a “See ya’ wouldn’t want to be ya’” moment.

Good. One less corrupt politician.

archer52 on December 4, 2009 at 12:59 PM

I will be making a contribution to his general election opponent.

CP on December 4, 2009 at 12:59 PM

What was that saying……”Whom the gods would destroy, they first make majority leaders”?

Somethin’ like that.

Intrepid on December 4, 2009 at 1:01 PM

Personally, I don’t see a Republican majority ever voting to keep Pelosi as speaker.

MarkTheGreat on December 4, 2009 at 12:48 PM

That would be cool if they did, though… make her move to the right or risk being the most ineffective Speaker ever…. To get anything passed, she would have to move to the right, and then she might get primaried out in 2012.

BPD on December 4, 2009 at 1:01 PM

We have no incumbent Republican in Florida… only Rubio’s stand-in that Crist picked out.

Crist will “decide he likes being governor” early 2010. Rubio by a M I L E.

CC

CapedConservative on December 4, 2009 at 12:57 PM

Makes sense to me.

I think Boxer may lose in CA. I really do.

AnninCA on December 4, 2009 at 1:03 PM

Nobody with the last name of Tarkanian, is relatively “unknown” in Nevada.

MarkTheGreat on December 4, 2009 at 12:43 PM

Or unknown by the NCAA rules committee….

CC

CapedConservative on December 4, 2009 at 1:03 PM

Or unknown by the NCAA rules committee….

CC

CapedConservative on December 4, 2009 at 1:03 PM

Winner.

BPD on December 4, 2009 at 1:06 PM

AnninCA is on the money in that the grassroots movement is going to swallow up the traditional GOP (i.e. RINOs and demi-RINOs) candidates and elected officials.

I predict that Reid, Lincoln, Dodd and McCain (in the Republican primary) will fall in 2010.

I think that many, many others will join their ranks, but that is who comes to mind right now.

And Pelosi, after hemorhaging seats in the 2010 election cycle, won’t be Speaker in 2011, even if the Dems control the House.

And Hillary will split with Obama (over a contrived difference regarding Iran, N. Korea or Afpac) to begin her 2012 campaign in earnest (i.e. come out of the closet with respect to the campaing her minions are currently undertaking on her behalf right now).

Grab some popcorn and a Diet Coke.

molonlabe28 on December 4, 2009 at 1:07 PM

But I’ll settle for Pelosi returning to the House in 2011 and being forced to hand the gavel over to Boehner.

Please God, can’t we get someone else besides Boehner? That’s the scariest of all… the Dems are going to absolutely implode and Boehner and his Maverick-y counterparts in the Senate (Cowboy McCain, Grahmnesty, et al.) will be all we have to offer.

Who’s ready for the mantle of leadership?

realityunwound on December 4, 2009 at 1:17 PM

Harry the Mortician is well on his way to a fitting political end.

james23 on December 4, 2009 at 1:18 PM

I can’t wait to see this a$$-hat’s face when they kick his smug balls right to the roof of his mouth. (Politically speaking, of course)

Claypigeon on December 4, 2009 at 1:18 PM

The war election is lost…

Fletch54 on December 4, 2009 at 12:18 PM

:-D

SouthernGent on December 4, 2009 at 1:19 PM

I’d bet dollars to donuts, that his Saturday night sneak, on the health care bill didn’t help him a bit either.

capejasmine on December 4, 2009 at 1:25 PM

Harry Reid is LDS. And as a Mormon myself, he’s an embarrassment to the LDS community.

I think Boxer may lose in CA. I really do.

AnninCA on December 4, 2009 at 1:03 PM

I hope she does. She’s an embarrassment to California.

I predict a humpbot in 2010.

bighead4 on December 4, 2009 at 12:48 PM

Good call.

Conservative Samizdat on December 4, 2009 at 1:27 PM

Dingy, may you continue to sink in the cesspool of crap you keep dishing out to us.

yoda on December 4, 2009 at 1:27 PM

Ed we need a poll on this.

By how much does Harry Reid lose? Does he even run? And best of all how will the media spin the second Democrat majority leader of the Senate that can’t win reelection.

Theworldisnotenough on December 4, 2009 at 1:29 PM

Senator Reid is a loser.

jukin on December 4, 2009 at 1:29 PM

Best news I’ve heard in a long time. This anti-American commie loser makes me want to throw a brick through my TV everytime he’s on it.

Dopenstrange on December 4, 2009 at 1:34 PM

Reid, Dodd, Specter, Boxer, Lincoln and Gillibrand will all be replaced. Biden’s seat will go Republican, too.

And those Congressional seats will be seeing some new blood as well. Frank is safe, but Murtha and Rangel?

yogi41 on December 4, 2009 at 1:38 PM

Comment pages: 1 2