Oh my: Palin’s favorables back up to 47/42
posted at 4:10 pm on November 19, 2009 by Allahpundit
PPP put her at 36/51 last month and ABC had her at 43/52 just three days ago. Now Fox drops this. Good lord — Sullivan’s going to have to take another few days off to cope with the data.
Despite being characterized by many as a divisive force in her party and the nation, Americans are much more likely to give Palin a positive rating (47 percent favorable) than another prominent female leader — Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (28 percent favorable). Moreover, about six in 10 Americans (61 percent) think Palin has been treated unfairly by the press, according to the latest Fox News poll…
Among self-identified Republicans in the survey, Palin gets the highest favorable ratings (70 percent) amid a group of other possible contenders for the GOP nomination, including Mike Huckabee (63 percent), Mitt Romney (60 percent) and Newt Gingrich (58 percent). Palin’s favorable score among all voters is 47 percent, up nine percentage points over last July’s reading of 38 percent…
President Obama recently stated that he “probably won’t” read Sarah Palin’s new book. But his possible opponent in the 2012 elections trails him in personal favorability by only seven points (54 percent to 47 percent). Among the critical segment of independent voters, they are virtually even (Obama at 50 percent; Palin at 49 percent).
Have her numbers moved that much that quickly or is this attributable to Fox’s sample, which split 38D/36R/20I? Likely a little of both. Republican party ID is waaay lower than 36 percent right now if most pollsters are to be believed, but conservative identification is on the rise and the GOP’s been leading the Dems on Rasmussen’s generic ballot for awhile. The D/R gap might be a bit narrow here, but only a bit. Meanwhile, remember that she did well enough on Oprah on Monday that even Palin-bashers felt obliged to say so afterwards. She’s never better than when she gets to show off her common touch, and Oprah was a perfect opportunity. No surprise to see her get a bounce from it.
Via Dan Calabrese and North Star National, here’s video of her arriving at yesterday’s book signing in Michigan; the cheers start at around 5:45. The next event is in Indiana, where people slept on the sidewalk overnight to be first in line. As Politico notes, this does feel a bit like a campaign tour and seems surprisingly well organized thus far given Team Palin’s reputation for sloppiness. Exit quotation: Is the ‘Cuda getting ready to take on Huckabee for the Christian vote? Hmmmmmmm.
Update: Forgot to mention that not all polls lately have had her favorables in negative territory. Rasmussen, notably, put them at 51/43 earlier this week.










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And so it begins…
BlueStateBilly on November 19, 2009 at 4:12 PM
AP is on suicide watch
The Notorious G.O.P on November 19, 2009 at 4:13 PM
Wait… AP posted this?
Excuse me, I think I need to sit down.
Enoxo on November 19, 2009 at 4:13 PM
They liker her…they really like her…!
seriously, good for her though.
Daemonocracy on November 19, 2009 at 4:13 PM
1000+ comments this time?
Mark Boabaca on November 19, 2009 at 4:13 PM
I think that someone needs a drink.. :)
Seriously, though, good for her, and what’s good for Sarah is good for America.
AW1 Tim on November 19, 2009 at 4:14 PM
Her media appearances must be resonating with the people. I still have a hard time watching her I hate to say. I like reading her blogs and share her values but she just doesn’t come across well in interviews in my opnion.
Daemonocracy on November 19, 2009 at 4:14 PM
One would be “acting stupidly” to count her out.
Cicero43 on November 19, 2009 at 4:14 PM
Still too early to jump to conclusions. Just let her do her thing and if she does well, her numbers will improve.
If she runs for 2012 she’s going to have to debate the other candidates and go heavy on policy. If she does so, then the numbers that matter [is she qualified], when they matter [primaries/general], will improve.
El_Terrible on November 19, 2009 at 4:14 PM
Good for her – I’ve seen some of her interviews. She’s been engaging, speaking her mind and coming off very well.
She says what people think – much needed right now.
gophergirl on November 19, 2009 at 4:15 PM
I think AP is a secret admirer of somebody famous!
BobMbx on November 19, 2009 at 4:15 PM
If you pair Palin with the right running mate – maybe Romney, maybe Jindal, maybe DeMint, maybe even Liz Cheney – she will win in 2012.
DarkKnight3565 on November 19, 2009 at 4:15 PM
As I’ve said a thousand times, when there’s bad news I’m going to blog it, and when there’s good news I’m going to blog it. If you want only the good news, you can read C4P.
Allahpundit on November 19, 2009 at 4:16 PM
Hey, maybe people feel that she couldn’t be any worse than the morons that are in the White House now. With all their fancy book learnin’ they seem to be making a fine mess of things… maybe what we need is a real live person who actually LOVES this country, who paid bills, who went to parent/teacher meetings, and who can kill a 5 point buck at 50 yards.
Sarah resonates with folks, because she is one of them. They can relate. I can relate.
Plus, she’s hot.
Daddy-O on November 19, 2009 at 4:16 PM
You must be in awe of The One if thats all it takes.
BobMbx on November 19, 2009 at 4:16 PM
We thought the media was rough on her now, if her favorables continue to climb the media will go into overdrive. Time to get those folks back into some dumpsters in Alaska and how much will it take to finally get Levi to spill his guts?
Cindy Munford on November 19, 2009 at 4:16 PM
The U.S. Army plans to prevent media from covering Sarah Palin’s appearance at Fort Bragg, fearing the event will turn into political grandstanding against President Barack Obama, officials said Thursday.
BDU-33 on November 19, 2009 at 4:16 PM
Reputation does not always equal reality.
Especially given who has been helping foster that reputation.
CDeb on November 19, 2009 at 4:17 PM
As fond as I am of having an all female ticket, I don’t think the public will elect Liz Cheney, simply because of her last name.
Of your choices, outside that, I like Palin / DeMint. Maybe even Palin / Petraeus.
Enoxo on November 19, 2009 at 4:17 PM
Well duh. She was hibernating, so she lost some points.
She gets back out in the sunshine, and zooms to the top like a peppy li’l cork.
What’s ‘at tell ya?
Akzed on November 19, 2009 at 4:18 PM
I’m sorry, but I only trust polls that with at least a 20-point party identification split, based on phone calls to urban area codes, of adults. Everything else is an evil conservative put-up job.
CK MacLeod on November 19, 2009 at 4:18 PM
Probably cause most anyone would be better than this
orfannkyl on November 19, 2009 at 4:18 PM
Well, she even got a “Good lord” out of AP, so something is happening in the Christian arena. As for Huck, Sara will eat him whole and spit out the bones without breaking her smile.
MikeA on November 19, 2009 at 4:18 PM
I’m so tired of Allahpundit building up Sarah Palin all the time.
Michelle, can’t you fire this dude already?
MadisonConservative on November 19, 2009 at 4:18 PM
Duh, of course this is like a campaign tour. It’s the warmup act for 2012. If you still think she’s not running, you haven’t been paying attention during her interviews.
As for taking on Huckster, I’ve been saying for months that Huck has no shot if she’s running. She’ll win the social conservative vote in a walk. The woman carried a Down Syndrome baby to term. I don’t care what Huckster does. He ain’t topping that with the pro-life crowd.
With regard to this poll, I told AP to quit with all the threads about her negative ratings with the electorate. Of course her numbers sucked. Has any politician ever been subjected to the treatment this woman received over the last year? But as we saw during her convention speech and her career in Alaska, when Sarah is allowed to be Sarah, people fall in love with her. Give her time. By 2012, she’ll be a formidable candidate.
Doughboy on November 19, 2009 at 4:18 PM
Oh, don’t get you pants in a bunch… I was only kidding.
Enoxo on November 19, 2009 at 4:19 PM
Where’s Proud Rino and all the other squishies?
John the Libertarian on November 19, 2009 at 4:19 PM
Fred and Jerry Thompson ridiculed the Sunday morning news clique, specifically the joke being on David Brooks who has never successfully sold a book to match Palin’s sales.
maverick muse on November 19, 2009 at 4:19 PM
I think it has much to do with Levi making an ass out of himself on a daily basis. The more he foams at the mouth on national “news” shows, the more people realize that they’ve been duped by the media when it comes to the real Palin.
uknowmorethanme on November 19, 2009 at 4:20 PM
Palin/Rubio?
Can Rubio get us the hispanic vote?
LurkerDood on November 19, 2009 at 4:20 PM
Heh.
AP usually drops a positive Palin piece occasionally, usually when the “good news” is pretty incontrovertible.
He’ll be back with snark about her by QOTD, if not sooner, IMO.
cs89 on November 19, 2009 at 4:20 PM
Her numbers will only go up. Sarah Palin has great appeal. Anyone who doubts that and her talent are ignoring the facts. She is a fantastic candidate.
The GOP should embrace her not push her away. They would only irritate the base, which is already irritated enough.
Governor Perry, Liz Cheney, Michele Bachmann, and few others are smart enough to realize that.
cubachi on November 19, 2009 at 4:20 PM
I kind of wonder of maybe Governor Palin also asked them to push back the media, as she doesn’t want to use troops as photo ops like The Won.
Enoxo on November 19, 2009 at 4:20 PM
Dude! Come on! She was reloading.
John the Libertarian on November 19, 2009 at 4:21 PM
Andrew Sullivan is having a bad, bad day.
blatantblue on November 19, 2009 at 4:21 PM
Now that she’s not being mishandled by the McCain campaign, she can get her own message across. And I think it is starting to resonate better with Americans.
rbj on November 19, 2009 at 4:21 PM
Collective orgasm at C4P
blatantblue on November 19, 2009 at 4:22 PM
She’s great…hope that she stays true to what we have seen this early in her career. Many a promising politician start our great and then go the way of the RINO. Keeping fingers crossed…..
search4truth on November 19, 2009 at 4:23 PM
Allahpundit on November 19, 2009 at 4:16 PM
btw, Jerry Thompson today generously referenced “our very good friend from Politico” that you share in common, Carl Cameron.
maverick muse on November 19, 2009 at 4:23 PM
Which is which?
Jim Treacher on November 19, 2009 at 4:23 PM
And she is the anti-Obama. Even moderates I know are really sick of that buffoon.
John the Libertarian on November 19, 2009 at 4:23 PM
There is no ‘ctrl’ button on Sarah Palin’s computer. Sarah Palin is always in control.
rollthedice on November 19, 2009 at 4:23 PM
Based on this poll, the White House may decide to target Oprah next as a non-legitimate news source spreading propaganda and lies to the public just for having Palin on her show.
jon1979 on November 19, 2009 at 4:24 PM
I think her numbers will only go up. She has O’Reilly’s interview tonight, and he seems to let on that she did very, very well. Lots of indies watch BOR.
deidre on November 19, 2009 at 4:24 PM
Petraeus I believe is a Democrat. However, I think the point stands – pair her with a running mate with the right gravitas and appeal to independents, and no way Hugobama beats her.
DarkKnight3565 on November 19, 2009 at 4:24 PM
Niether.
She was merely waiting.
rollthedice on November 19, 2009 at 4:24 PM
COTD, right there.
MikeA on November 19, 2009 at 4:25 PM
***
I like the SARAH’CUDA for POTUS, JOHN BOLTON for VP ticket. AMERICA FIRST–and there are a lot of good conservative, principled, honest, patriotic people to pick for high government positions. Liz Cheney, Condi Rice, Mitt Romney, etc. come to mind.
***
John Bibb
***
rocketman on November 19, 2009 at 4:25 PM
Dear McCain campaign,
If you have used her properly and put her on friendly media, the way the Obama campaign did with The One, you would have won the election. Your Dumb. Ha Ha!
Dr_Irish on November 19, 2009 at 4:25 PM
Are we going to start having “Sarah Palin Facts” now?
CDeb on November 19, 2009 at 4:26 PM
Palin/Petraeus 2012 : 57 state sweep
Muletrain on November 19, 2009 at 4:26 PM
saw this earlier…imagine what Fort Hood will be like. Bet they try to force her to cancel that one.
Hopefully someone gets a video camera inside Fort Bragg and it hits Youtube.
jp on November 19, 2009 at 4:26 PM
The Huffington Post staff must be drinking themselves to death over this. Bless their hearts….they try so hard discredit her and destroy her. People sleeping outside in freezing cold weather to buy a book? Isn’t all that work the HuffPo has put in worth anything to you people?
ramrants on November 19, 2009 at 4:26 PM
She talks very highly of Liberman in her book. She seems close to Giuliani as well.
deidre on November 19, 2009 at 4:26 PM
She gets the “divisive” label, but the only reasons I see for that is that she was doing the job that VP candidates do by attacking everyone’s golden child. And then there were a few really bad interviews.
I think Obama is pretty well taking care of the first issue. He keeps this pace up, and people will be grateful they had at least one person that warned them what was coming. She’s on her way to taking care of the second issue now.
She’s battle tested now, and it’s all upside from here. It’s just a matter of how much ground is made up and how fast.
stldave on November 19, 2009 at 4:26 PM
this is the ticket
no way they question Foreign Policy experience then
jp on November 19, 2009 at 4:26 PM
My dream ticket(assuming Rubio wins the Senate race). But it’s not just for the cynical purposes of attracting Latino votes. Aside from Palin, he’s the most exciting conservative rising star in the party.
Doughboy on November 19, 2009 at 4:27 PM
It is amazing that people go nuts when her bus pulls up. I don’t see any other pol on the conserv. side able to replicate this kind of enthusiasm for a dang book tour.
james23 on November 19, 2009 at 4:27 PM
No teleprompter…just genuine sentiments from an unfiltered American woman – who has a # 1 bestselling book and is scaring the progressive-liberal-Marxists to pieces! Go Cuda!
redwhiteblue on November 19, 2009 at 4:27 PM
She really is the anti-Obama- totally agree.
Lib and moderate friends that supported O won’t talk about him. They just won’t bring it up and just look annoyed when I mention anything remotely political. Mind you, these people would work a Bush slam into their grocery list- they were that obsessed with talking about him.
Monica on November 19, 2009 at 4:28 PM
You just know he wanted to add the word “heartache” in there, somewhere.
Kent18 on November 19, 2009 at 4:29 PM
Gotta hit that 1000+ post mark. ;)
And it is a litte know fact that Sarah Palin didn’t actually write her book. The words arranged themselves out of a sense of pure awe.
rollthedice on November 19, 2009 at 4:29 PM
I love how that rolls off my tongue.
Not enough experience on that ticket.
Hispanic vote? If they’re aggressive about it, I think should at least get Bush’s number (44%), probably should do better. Is Rubio bilingual? If he’s not expect a lot of inauthentic Hispanic attacks.
El_Terrible on November 19, 2009 at 4:29 PM
Party labels don’t matter to her. It’s principles and values. She as said she’ll support any candidate no matter the label as long as they hold her values.
Enoxo on November 19, 2009 at 4:29 PM
*facepalm*
Meanwhile, we’re complaining about the media treating her with sexism.
*sigh*
MadisonConservative on November 19, 2009 at 4:29 PM
A little old former democrat lady called into a show to say how truly sorry she was for the hell that America put Palin through; that she chose to show support for Palin by paying full price instead of a discount for the Palin book.
Palin is the greatest unifying popular asset that conservatives have in one personality.
CAMPAIGN FOR COUNTRY FIRST!
maverick muse on November 19, 2009 at 4:29 PM
Smaller government, lower taxes, fiscal spending, national security, supports our troops… what’s not to like?
Go Sarah!!!
TN Mom on November 19, 2009 at 4:29 PM
I heard that Sarah Palin once killed two stones with one bird.
CDeb on November 19, 2009 at 4:29 PM
MikeA on November 19, 2009 at 4:29 PM
Now THAT is an eye-brow raiser in a most positive way.
outOfElement on November 19, 2009 at 4:30 PM
She has taken a year’s worth of unrelenting pounding and will take more, possibly even more, as she continues to speak out. One has to be blinded by liberalism or elitism, or both, not to recognize her poise in these circumstances.
GaltBlvnAtty on November 19, 2009 at 4:30 PM
My thought ed zachery!
Sarah Palin doesn’t go moose hunting-moose simply drop dead in fear when she nears.
Sarah Palin will end Global Warming because………it wouldn’t dare.
JoeinTX on November 19, 2009 at 4:30 PM
Another thing is that she’s “fair” to Obama’s person , she’s cautious attacking him directly. But does not hesitate to attack different policy’s or henchmen like Pelosi.
the_nile on November 19, 2009 at 4:30 PM
I’m still not convinced *any* Palin ticket wins in 2012.
Again, I love her, and would otherwise vote for her, but I think she has truly been ruined as a viable candidate.
There’s a layer of folks that will vote for her under any circumstances – and if she’s the final GOP candidate, I will too – but there’s a *lot* of folks out there that simply won’t ever be convinced that she’s more than the Tina Fey character of horrific stupidity.
I don’t think she can possibly win, and putting her on the ticket just ensures Obama’s win, imo (as angry as that notion makes me, I honestly think that’s what’ll happen).
Midas on November 19, 2009 at 4:30 PM
If its Palin/Petraus
the Democrat/MSM scare line will be they are plotting to setup a Christian-Theocrat-Military Industrial Complex-Dictatorship
in so many words
jp on November 19, 2009 at 4:31 PM
AP uses “heart-ache” ironically. It’s a goof.
lorien1973 on November 19, 2009 at 4:31 PM
Some people wear Superman pajamas.
Superman wears Sarah Palin pajamas.
rollthedice on November 19, 2009 at 4:31 PM
Hahaahahaha! All these Palin threads, radio/tv interviews are going to cause postpartum Palinista’s next week.
portlandon on November 19, 2009 at 4:31 PM
Palin made perfectly clear this morning with Ingraham that we must focus our unity to oppose what’s happening today, not be distracted by future plans.
Defeat the Democrat Marxist Agenda now.
maverick muse on November 19, 2009 at 4:32 PM
As for the Christian vote….I don’t want to discount it altogether but I really don’t think it’s going to be all that much about social issues. Not even in the primary. It’s all about who is a credible small government candidate with a record to support it. Romney doesn’t really have that, not does Huckabee, in my view. With Palin it is an easier sell than those 2, but she has the resignation to talk about. Yes, that is a sticking point with me. I will say her answer about Purnell being solid, and that the agenda is safe with him, is a great response.
stldave on November 19, 2009 at 4:32 PM
Good one. The Chuck Norris-esque Cheney lines the other day were too funny. Saran could make for plenty of hilarious material as well.
Monica on November 19, 2009 at 4:32 PM
Sarah Palin is so tough, she told Biden to shut up, and he did!
BobMbx on November 19, 2009 at 4:32 PM
People need to get off Petreaus’ jock. We don’t even know his politics but you’re ready to put him on the ticket.
Morons.
uknowmorethanme on November 19, 2009 at 4:32 PM
I can understand why you think that, but there is still alot of time
this is of course why Soros is sending Levi out to pose for Playgirl giving the Lefy Celeb talk shows something to degrade her with. Makes her seem not very Presidential.
jp on November 19, 2009 at 4:32 PM
lol.
rickyricardo on November 19, 2009 at 4:33 PM
If she elects to pursue higher office, if she can get a majority of the Electoral College, and if she can obtain a working majority of citizenry to help her bring the US back to its founding principles, Palin might be able to save the country.
If not her, then who? Frankly, not one conservative on the landscape today can generate the star power, fire power, and financial power that she does with ease. Tomorrow isn’t looking any better either.
itzWicks on November 19, 2009 at 4:33 PM
That’s a good point. Just pointing out that though Petraeus may be a great general, his social and economic views could still be too liberal. I haven’t heard him express his views on these issues, but I’m assuming he’s a Democrat for a reason.
DarkKnight3565 on November 19, 2009 at 4:33 PM
One of my best friends is a member of MoveOn. He had stickers all over his car during the election. The most he can muster these days is a dig at Bush, but doesn’t really talk about President Obama at all. He’s not about to start voting Republican, but he knows his side’s a disaster right now.
BadgerHawk on November 19, 2009 at 4:33 PM
Two things:
1) Did you see the new poll numbers? And that’s just after a few interviews. Mind you, she’s knocking them out of the park. But imagine what an extended primary campaign could do for her favorability. It did wonders for Hillary who was hated by at least half the country.
2) As far as how she’d fare against Obama, if things don’t improve in the next 3 years, he’ll lose in Carter-esque fashion. A hamburger would be able to beat him in the general election.
Doughboy on November 19, 2009 at 4:34 PM
If it means winning, and the top of the ticket has a Reagan….yes
Hell, I could live with Lieberman and a Non-Partsian ticket if Palin was at the top.
jp on November 19, 2009 at 4:34 PM
How about….
Palin/McCrystal
heh!
deidre on November 19, 2009 at 4:34 PM
I’m reminded of the article you linked to a day or two ago, AP. Essentially, Palin-hate was so strong, it had made the author feel like defending her. It’s a true sentiment — the enemy (Palin) of my enemy (the media and liberals) can’t be all that bad, right?
LastRick on November 19, 2009 at 4:34 PM
Sarah Palin says a name before shooting a Moose. And somewhere a Liberal asks “Who is calling me?”
Holger on November 19, 2009 at 4:34 PM
One good thing about the Presidency is you are shielded from malicious frivolous lawsuits, like those that were bankrupting Sarah.
John the Libertarian on November 19, 2009 at 4:34 PM
But we do know Petreaus is responsible for killing more terrorists than Obama is.
BobMbx on November 19, 2009 at 4:34 PM
LOL. Heads are exploding all over Liberalland.
Sue on November 19, 2009 at 4:34 PM
Oooooh… SarahCuda!
Key West Reader on November 19, 2009 at 4:34 PM
If it means winning, and the top of the ticket has a Reagan….yes
Hell, I could live with Lieberman and a Non-Partsian ticket if Palin was at the top.
jp on November 19, 2009 at 4:34 PM
//
He could be Obama with balls for all we know.
uknowmorethanme on November 19, 2009 at 4:35 PM
Sadly, Sarah has more cajones than any of the GOP men.
Right Wing Women Rock
cool short rock vid
deedtrader on November 19, 2009 at 4:35 PM
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