Open thread: NY-23; Update: Fox News calls it for Owens; Update: Hoffman concedes

posted at 8:52 pm on November 3, 2009 by Allahpundit

Here we go. Could be a 10-point win for Owens, could be a 10-point win for Hoffman. InTrade is betting heavily on the conservative.

The Watertown Daily Times will be updating as results come in, but you’re advised to check Newzjunky too. They’ve been all over the Hoffman saga since day one.

I don’t want to raise expectations too much, but if DH pulls this off and Christie squeaks through in New Jersey, we’re getting a humpbot cameo tonight. For the first time in a long, long time.

Update: The WDT results page is loading slowly. Try this one instead.

Update: Results are coming in very slowly but apparently exit polls had Hoffman by three, 50/47.

Update: With more than 10 percent of the vote in, Hoffman’s … down by seven. According to Marc Ambinder, Republicans in the district are very nervous. We’re not actually going to get a Christie upset and a Hoffman defeat, are we?

Update: Gingrich is writing his jeremiad about third-party challenges as we speak. From Dave Weigel:

WHOA – Hoffman splitting Madison County, where he was leading 2-1 in Siena Poll. Getting ready to say “Congressman Bill Owens.”

Update: A much-needed shot of hope from Erick Erickson: “Just talked to ppl close to Hoffman. They think he’s won. Owens votes in. Their sampling tracks with what we’re seeing.”

Update: At least one Hoffman supporter thinks it’s over.

Update: Hope and change — Hoffman narrowing the gap?

The Plattsburgh attorney has 57,050 votes compared to Conservative Doug Hoffman, a Lake Placid CPA, with 54,538 votes…

There are more than 10,000 absentee votes to still be counted…

Owens is maintaining a 48 percent to 46 percent lead.

Update: Chuck Todd notes that there may not be a call in this race tonight given that the absentee ballots won’t be counted until tomorrow. Fair enough, but if Hoffman’s still behind by three or four thousand votes at evening’s end, how likely is it that he’s going to make up the difference by winning 75 percent of those ballots?

Update: FNC has called it for the Democrat. Points to take away from the loss: (1) PPP’s last poll was way, waaaay off; (2) Scozzafava’s endorsement must have had some impact on her supporters, as it erased the five-point lead Hoffman held in the last Siena poll after she dropped out; (3) third-party challenges, while sometimes warranted, are a very risky proposition (attention Glenn Beck!); (4) the win in New Jersey, where The One staked his own political capital in campaigning for Corzine, was huge compared to the loss here; and (5) as I said over the weekend, the actual result of this race is unimportant. The point in torpedoing Scozzafava and swinging the GOP behind Hoffman was to send a message to the Republican leadership that only fiscal conservatives will be tolerated henceforth, and that message has been sent even with Owens winning a squeaker. The loss is disappointing but it’s a detail on an otherwise great night.

So great, in fact, that it deserves something special. This special.

Update: He’s not going to make up the difference in absentees, especially since many of them were sent in when Scozzafava was still in the race. So the time has come.


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Comment pages: 1 2 3 23

OH, IT’S ON.

Good Lt on November 3, 2009 at 8:53 PM

humpbot!!!!!!

elduende on November 3, 2009 at 8:53 PM

I don’t want to raise expectations too much, but if DH pulls this off and Christie squeaks through in New Jersey, we’re getting a humpbot cameo tonight. For the first time in a long, long time.

Dude.

Good Lt on November 3, 2009 at 8:54 PM

That preview on Twitter was excellent. Now I REALLY want them all to win.

warrenmr on November 3, 2009 at 8:54 PM

Quick! Lock all the cemetery gates!

Go Hoffman and Christie! Congrats to McDonnell! Anyone hear anything about CA 10? That would be a shocker if we pulled that one out.

J.J. Sefton on November 3, 2009 at 8:54 PM

Is anyone watching Olbermann? In TEMS chat, someone posted a tweet that suggests Olby went off on the 9/12ers.

Terrie on November 3, 2009 at 8:54 PM

if DH pulls this off and Christie squeaks through in New Jersey, we’re getting a humpbot cameo tonight.

Dude.

Pasalubong on November 3, 2009 at 8:55 PM

What the heck is a humpbot cameo?

And please don’t leave me to my imagination.

That would be dangerous!

wyntre on November 3, 2009 at 8:56 PM

if DH pulls this off and Christie squeaks through in New Jersey, we’re getting a humpbot cameo tonight.

Please tell me that doesn’t have anything to do with Barney Frank.

txag92 on November 3, 2009 at 8:56 PM

we’re getting a humpbot cameo tonight. For the first time in a long, long time.

AAAWWWWWWWJEEEEEYAAAAAHHHHH!

Weight of Glory on November 3, 2009 at 8:56 PM

NY-23 wasn’t a horse race, it was a melee.

Someone should tell the GOP you can’t win a melee when your only weapons are a racing saddle and a riding crop.

jaime on November 3, 2009 at 8:57 PM

“Olby went off on the 9/12ers.”

What is a 9/12er?

“getting a humpbot cameo”

Um … I’m scared to ask, what is a humpbot cameo?

Shambhala on November 3, 2009 at 8:57 PM

Another poster mentioned that Christie is winning counties that Obama carried by a 2-1 margin.

McDonnell is winning by 20%, the GOP is making massive gains in the VA House.

Both ObamaCare and Cap&Trade is dropping like a rock on InTrade.

Palinista Hoffman is running away with it in NY-23, a district Obama won comfortably.

Time to party!

Man, this is just awesome.

Norwegian on November 3, 2009 at 8:58 PM

I’m with wyntre on this. What IS a humpbot cameo?

One Angry Christian on November 3, 2009 at 8:58 PM

Humpbot with or without battlefield lasers?

Bishop on November 3, 2009 at 8:59 PM

Come on humpbot…!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

d1carter on November 3, 2009 at 8:59 PM

we’re getting a humpbot cameo tonight. For the first time in a long, long time.


Is it funnier than this???????

Goin’ “Outlaw”….

ted c on November 3, 2009 at 8:59 PM

Is anyone watching Olbermann?

Seriously??
Terrie??? Seriously???

uncivilized on November 3, 2009 at 8:59 PM

Hoffman, Baby, Hoffman

alexraye on November 3, 2009 at 8:59 PM

It’s pretty awesome that most of the comments in the beginning of this thread are more excited about the potential appearance of the humpbot that the potential victory in NY-23.

Good Lt on November 3, 2009 at 9:00 PM

What IS a humpbot cameo?

Patience, newbies.

Fortunata on November 3, 2009 at 9:00 PM

Will someone please explain this humpbpt stuff?

patriette on November 3, 2009 at 9:01 PM

Some wise poster on another thread gave the humpbot a name — Pookie!

massrighty on November 3, 2009 at 9:01 PM

Seriously??
Terrie??? Seriously???
uncivilized on November 3, 2009 at 8:59 PM

I watched for a few seconds as I searched for Animal Planet. Olby had some liberal fud and the conversation was very, ah, subdued.

Then my skin started to burn and I had to change the channel.

Bishop on November 3, 2009 at 9:01 PM

Is anyone watching Olbermann?

Seriously??
Terrie??? Seriously???

uncivilized on November 3, 2009 at 8:59 PM

To see his head explode!

Terrie on November 3, 2009 at 9:01 PM

Why no coverage of the gay marriage battle going on in Maine?

Here’s a link to streaming results.

http://www.bangordailynews.com/electionresults.html

Spathi on November 3, 2009 at 9:01 PM

The humpbot is a pretty good litmus for mewbs.

To answer your question: It’s something that Allah posted when he wasn’t so damned cranky.

darclon on November 3, 2009 at 9:01 PM

Damn, I think the last time humpbot was on scene was when immigration reform was shot down. Mighty fine day that was!

DCA on November 3, 2009 at 9:02 PM

Will someone please explain this humpbpt stuff?

patriette on November 3, 2009 at 9:01 PM

A bot that humps, of course.

Wethal on November 3, 2009 at 9:02 PM

Uh, newbs…

darclon on November 3, 2009 at 9:02 PM

Republican “insiders” are poring over the election successes and racking their brains: “How can we f— this up as much as possible? Let’s reach across the aisle and, with Pelosi and Reid, issue a condemnation of Tea Party activists and their meddling in this election!”

Django on November 3, 2009 at 9:02 PM

To see his head explode!

Terrie on November 3, 2009 at 9:01 PM

Oh, well, then…that would be worth watching.
Over and over again…

uncivilized on November 3, 2009 at 9:02 PM

Come on, humpbot.

BadgerHawk on November 3, 2009 at 9:03 PM

Um … I’m scared to ask, what is a humpbot cameo?

Shambhala on November 3, 2009 at 8:57 PM

It’s not as awesome as an episode of Gay Robot, but more concise and visually entertaining.

James on November 3, 2009 at 9:03 PM

Long ago…in the days of yore when humping, battlefield robots were not only expected at HA, but demanded.

*sniff*

The good ol’ days.

Bishop on November 3, 2009 at 9:03 PM

patriette on November 3, 2009 at 9:01 PM

Search the archives of 2007 when immigration reform was shot down. I think.

DCA on November 3, 2009 at 9:03 PM

https://twitter.com/JimPethokoukis/status/5408764560

NY-23 exit polls at 5:00 PM – Hoffman (Conservative): 50.3%, Owens (Dem) 47.2%, Scozzfava (Rep) 2.5%

Mark1971 on November 3, 2009 at 9:03 PM

Will someone please explain this humpbpt stuff?

patriette on November 3, 2009 at 9:01 PM

Can’t explain. Gotta see it.

uncivilized on November 3, 2009 at 9:04 PM

Humpbotapalooza.

Django on November 3, 2009 at 9:04 PM

Heads up RINOS!!

abobo on November 3, 2009 at 9:04 PM

Oh man I have not enjoyed the humpbot in a long long time. Here’s to hoping for a cyber-erotica night tonight!

conservnut on November 3, 2009 at 9:04 PM

C’mon Humpbot!

clearbluesky on November 3, 2009 at 9:04 PM

I don’t want to raise expectations too much, but if DH pulls this off and Christie squeaks through in New Jersey, we’re getting a humpbot cameo tonight. For the first time in a long, long time

I’m taking full credit for the recent grassroots commenter humpbot requests.

BadgerHawk on November 3, 2009 at 9:04 PM

I believe Hoffman will win. I have no idea by how much. And after he wins, this will be explained by the MSM as proof that the Republican Party is doomed.

Loxodonta on November 3, 2009 at 9:05 PM

I wonder if Newt is watching any of this…

I know Sarah is.

Seven Percent Solution on November 3, 2009 at 9:05 PM

Humpy hasnt been out to play in a long time

William Amos on November 3, 2009 at 9:05 PM

ROTFLMFAO ted C!

Now THAT is funny.

wyntre on November 3, 2009 at 9:06 PM

Humpbot cameo is distilled awesomeness.

Track-A-'Crat on November 3, 2009 at 9:06 PM

Go Doug!!! A real American running, not a DC insider.

Hoping for the humpbot!!

Brat4life on November 3, 2009 at 9:06 PM

On Drudge right now: “Owens concedes race.”

Bishop on November 3, 2009 at 9:06 PM

Break out the brooms.

livefreerdie on November 3, 2009 at 9:06 PM

Had to search the archives to learn what humpbot was. I want it! Go, Hoffman, Go!

Trent1289 on November 3, 2009 at 9:07 PM

It has been a very long year. It’s nice to see the American people stand up and begin to take our Country back, one election at a time.

God Bless America.

tatersalad on November 3, 2009 at 9:07 PM

Wow. From small town accountant to US congress in just a few months.

We’ve come a long way since The Messianic, Hope and Change, Leader of the WOOORLD drunken stupor!

katy on November 3, 2009 at 9:07 PM

>we’re getting a humpbot cameo tonight. For the first time in a long, long time.

Say it’s so… say it’s so…

Elastic Jordan on November 3, 2009 at 9:07 PM

What’s a humpbot?

Enoxo on November 3, 2009 at 9:07 PM

On Drudge right now: “Owens concedes race.”

Bishop on November 3, 2009 at 9:06 PM

BS

ted c on November 3, 2009 at 9:08 PM

On Drudge right now: “Corzine concedes election.”

Bishop on November 3, 2009 at 9:09 PM

I’m getting another beer…

lovingmyUSA on November 3, 2009 at 9:09 PM

MSNBC airing a special tonight: “What’s In Sarah Palin’s Garbage Can?”

LibTired on November 3, 2009 at 9:09 PM

[Mark1971 on November 3, 2009 at 9:03 PM]

Thanks. That’s reassuring.

Dusty on November 3, 2009 at 9:09 PM

What’s a humpbot?

Enoxo on November 3, 2009 at 9:07 PM

There are two classic HA videos that AP used to employ, one for the good times one for the bad times. For the good times, the humpbot. For the bad times, the bunny.

Weight of Glory on November 3, 2009 at 9:09 PM

As juvenile as it is…

I agree that it is a fine day for some Humpbot, Allah.

Have at it, Bot!

tickleddragon on November 3, 2009 at 9:10 PM

On Drudge right now: “Corzine concedes election.”

Bishop on November 3, 2009 at 9:09 PM

Could someone block this moron?

Aristotle on November 3, 2009 at 9:10 PM

I don’t want to raise expectations too much, but if DH pulls this off and Christie squeaks through in New Jersey, we’re getting a humpbot cameo tonight.

Who are you, “AllahPundit,” and what have you done with Eeyore?

sulla on November 3, 2009 at 9:10 PM

Let’s go HOFMMAN *clap* *clap* *clapclapclapp*

Let’s go HOFMMAN *clap* *clap* *clapclapclapp*

Let’s go HOFMMAN *clap* *clap* *clapclapclapp*

alohapundit on November 3, 2009 at 9:10 PM

I’m getting another beer…

lovingmyUSA on November 3, 2009 at 9:09 PM

And some leftover Halloween candy.

uncivilized on November 3, 2009 at 9:10 PM

Weight of Glory on November 3, 2009 at 9:09 PM

We’re in a renaissance period these days. There won’t be any chocolate bunny, hopefully, for a very long time.

BadgerHawk on November 3, 2009 at 9:11 PM

I don’t see those headlines on Drudge…

D2Boston on November 3, 2009 at 9:11 PM

On Drudge right now: “Corzine concedes election.”

Bishop on November 3, 2009 at 9:09 PM

No way.

fiatboomer on November 3, 2009 at 9:11 PM

H-bot on Stand-by

*wocka-chicka-wocka-chicka*

Christien on November 3, 2009 at 9:11 PM

Make it a triple, boys. And for goodness sake, hurry up: I need to get back to writing my novel (any NaNoWriMo peeps out there?)

I WILL NOT GLOAT TOMORROW.
I WILL NOT GLOAT TOMORROW.
I WILL NOT GLOAT TOMORROW.
(but I’d love to have a reason to gloat)

Animator Girl on November 3, 2009 at 9:11 PM

Jake Tapper tweeted:

NBC’s “The Biggest Loser” is at the White House tonight. This is not a joke.

Terrie on November 3, 2009 at 9:12 PM

BadgerHawk on November 3, 2009 at 9:11 PM

May it be so, friend. May it be so.

Weight of Glory on November 3, 2009 at 9:12 PM

Way way off topic, but they found the three softball players from North Dakota, dead in their car. Pretty sad.

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,571526,00.html

Bishop on November 3, 2009 at 9:12 PM

Bishop is BS-ing us. Ignore.

Animator Girl on November 3, 2009 at 9:12 PM

I don’t want to raise expectations too much, but if DH pulls this off and Christie squeaks through in New Jersey, we’re getting a humpbot cameo tonight. For the first time in a long, long time.

Well, if I wasn’t invested in these races before, I am now!

dougwinship on November 3, 2009 at 9:12 PM

BTW humpbot needs to get his butt in here from the unemployment line.

it’s been a long time.

fiatboomer on November 3, 2009 at 9:12 PM

voting machine problems reported by MM? Is the election being stolen?

unseen on November 3, 2009 at 9:12 PM

LibTired on November 3, 2009 at 9:09 PM

+1

NebCon on November 3, 2009 at 9:12 PM

I’m getting another beer…

I’m getting sick on jelly beans…and some red wine :p Come on, final results already…

Fortunata on November 3, 2009 at 9:13 PM

Could someone block this moron?
Aristotle on November 3, 2009 at 9:10 PM

Heh.

Bishop on November 3, 2009 at 9:13 PM

Hoffman on Hannity!

Enoxo on November 3, 2009 at 9:13 PM

Man, I miss humpbot.

Let the good times, er, roll.

sulla on November 3, 2009 at 9:13 PM

HOFFMAN ON HANNITY NOW

Joe Caps on November 3, 2009 at 9:13 PM

Doug is on Sean!! Go Doug!! He looks good!!

Brat4life on November 3, 2009 at 9:13 PM

I just looked up teh humpbot (yes I is a newb :P) and I have to say LMAO!!! Just think of how much better Transformers would have been if humpbot had a cameo, possibly with the liberal idiot Fox who starred in the film. :D

SG1_Conservative on November 3, 2009 at 9:14 PM

Patience Newbees. You will learn of the humpbot in a few hours, and understand the greatness of AP.

conservnut on November 3, 2009 at 9:14 PM

Hoping for the humpbot. Please!

Come on, Christie!

Fallen Sparrow on November 3, 2009 at 9:14 PM

On Drudge right now: “Corzine concedes election.”

Bishop on November 3, 2009 at 9:09 PM

On Hot Air right now: “Tool concedes reality.”

Ronnie on November 3, 2009 at 9:14 PM

As for the humpbot, I have not seen one before but… bring it on!!!

fullogas on November 3, 2009 at 9:14 PM

Enoxo on November 3, 2009 at 9:13 PM

Bah!

Joe Caps on November 3, 2009 at 9:14 PM

Jake Tapper tweeted:

NBC’s “The Biggest Loser” is at the White House tonight. This is not a joke.
Terrie on November 3, 2009 at 9:12 PM

We know. He lives there.//

canditaylor68 on November 3, 2009 at 9:15 PM

On Hot Air right now: “Tool concedes reality.”
Ronnie on November 3, 2009 at 9:14 PM

Heh.

Bishop on November 3, 2009 at 9:15 PM

“Ramming speed!” – Daniel Simpson day

BHO Jonestown on November 3, 2009 at 9:16 PM

THAT’S IT!!!!! MICHEAL STEEL IS OUT!!

HE JUST SAID ON LARRY KING THAT THIS IS NOT A REFERENDUM ON OBAMA’S POLICIES!

RUN THIS IDIOT OUT OF THE PARTY!!!!!! NOW!!!!

Rovin on November 3, 2009 at 9:16 PM

Could someone block this moron?

Aristotle on November 3, 2009 at 9:10 PM

Bishop is the master of untagged sarcasm, and an accomplished jokester.

And, a much admired poster, especially by those who’ve felt the lash of his wit.

massrighty on November 3, 2009 at 9:16 PM

He’s already doing things different. I mean he’s on Hannity during his big day and not hiding upstairs some where waiting for a win. I really like him.

Brat4life on November 3, 2009 at 9:16 PM

I’m getting another beer…
I’m getting sick on jelly beans…and some red wine :p Come on, final results already…

Fortunata on November 3, 2009 at 9:13 PM

I have gone through half a bag of good & Plentys and some peanut brittle. And some dental floss.

fullogas on November 3, 2009 at 9:17 PM

Comment pages: 1 2 3 23